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1.
J Environ Sci (China) ; 147: 607-616, 2025 Jan.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-39003075

RESUMO

This study embarks on an explorative investigation into the effects of typical concentrations and varying particle sizes of fine grits (FG, the involatile portion of suspended solids) and fine debris (FD, the volatile yet unbiodegradable fraction of suspended solids) within the influent on the mixed liquor volatile suspended solids (MLVSS)/mixed liquor suspended solids (MLSS) ratio of an activated sludge system. Through meticulous experimentation, it was discerned that the addition of FG or FD, the particle size of FG, and the concentration of FD bore no substantial impact on the pollutant removal efficiency (denoted by the removal rate of COD and ammonia nitrogen) under constant operational conditions. However, a notable decrease in the MLVSS/MLSS ratio was observed with a typical FG concentration of 20 mg/L, with smaller FG particle sizes exacerbating this reduction. Additionally, variations in FD concentrations influenced both MLSS and MLVSS/MLSS ratios; a higher FD concentration led to an increased MLSS and a reduced MLVSS/MLSS ratio, indicating FD accumulation in the system. A predictive model for MLVSS/MLSS was constructed based on quality balance calculations, offering a tool for foreseeing the MLVSS/MLSS ratio under stable long-term influent conditions of FG and FD. This model, validated using data from the BXH wastewater treatment plant (WWTP), showcased remarkable accuracy.


Assuntos
Esgotos , Eliminação de Resíduos Líquidos , Eliminação de Resíduos Líquidos/métodos , Tamanho da Partícula , Poluentes Químicos da Água/análise
2.
J Cardiothorac Surg ; 19(1): 414, 2024 Jul 03.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-38956694

RESUMO

BACKGROUND: To develop and evaluate a predictive nomogram for polyuria during general anesthesia in thoracic surgery. METHODS: A retrospective study was designed and performed. The whole dataset was used to develop the predictive nomogram and used a stepwise algorithm to screen variables. The stepwise algorithm was based on Akaike's information criterion (AIC). Multivariable logistic regression analysis was used to develop the nomogram. The receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve was used to evaluate the model's discrimination ability. The Hosmer-Lemeshow (HL) test was performed to check if the model was well calibrated. Decision curve analysis (DCA) was performed to measure the nomogram's clinical usefulness and net benefits. P < 0.05 was considered to indicate statistical significance. RESULTS: The sample included 529 subjects who had undergone thoracic surgery. Fentanyl use, gender, the difference between mean arterial pressure at admission and before the operation, operation type, total amount of fluids and blood products transfused, blood loss, vasopressor, and cisatracurium use were identified as predictors and incorporated into the nomogram. The nomogram showed good discrimination ability on the receiver operating characteristic curve (0.6937) and is well calibrated using the Hosmer-Lemeshow test. Decision curve analysis demonstrated that the nomogram was clinically useful. CONCLUSIONS: Individualized and precise prediction of intraoperative polyuria allows for better anesthesia management and early prevention optimization.


Assuntos
Anestesia Geral , Nomogramas , Poliúria , Procedimentos Cirúrgicos Torácicos , Humanos , Feminino , Masculino , Estudos Retrospectivos , Pessoa de Meia-Idade , Poliúria/diagnóstico , Procedimentos Cirúrgicos Torácicos/efeitos adversos , Idoso , Curva ROC , Adulto
3.
Infect Drug Resist ; 17: 2701-2710, 2024.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-38974318

RESUMO

Introduction: This study aims to establish a comprehensive, multi-level approach for tackling tropical diseases by proactively anticipating and managing Persistent Inflammation, Immunosuppression, and Catabolism Syndrome (PICS) within the initial 14 days of Intensive Care Unit (ICU) admission. The primary objective is to amalgamate a diverse array of indicators and pathogenic microbial data to pinpoint pivotal predictive variables, enabling effective intervention specifically tailored to the context of tropical diseases. Methods: A focused analysis was conducted on 1733 patients admitted to the ICU between December 2016 and July 2019. Utilizing the Least Absolute Shrinkage and Selection Operator (LASSO) regression, disease severity and laboratory indices were scrutinized. The identified variables served as the foundation for constructing a predictive model designed to forecast the occurrence of PICS. Results: Among the subjects, 13.79% met the diagnostic criteria for PICS, correlating with a mortality rate of 38.08%. Key variables, including red-cell distribution width coefficient of variation (RDW-CV), hemofiltration (HF), mechanical ventilation (MV), Norepinephrine (NE), lactic acidosis, and multiple-drug resistant bacteria (MDR) infection, were identified through LASSO regression. The resulting predictive model exhibited a robust performance with an Area Under the Curve (AUC) of 0.828, an accuracy of 0.862, and a specificity of 0.977. Subsequent validation in an independent cohort yielded an AUC of 0.848. Discussion: The acquisition of RDW-CV, HF requirement, MV requirement, NE requirement, lactic acidosis, and MDR upon ICU admission emerges as a pivotal factor for prognosticating PICS onset in the context of tropical diseases. This study highlights the potential for significant improvements in clinical outcomes through the implementation of timely and targeted interventions tailored specifically to the challenges posed by tropical diseases.

4.
BMC Public Health ; 24(1): 1772, 2024 Jul 03.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-38961338

RESUMO

OBJECTIVE: Shift work and Shift Work Sleep Disorder (SWSD) are known to affect the secretion of several neurotransmitters and hormones associated with premature ejaculation (PE). However, their specific influence on the regulation of male ejaculation remains unclear. This study explores the relationship between shift work, SWSD, and PE. METHODS: From April to October 2023, a cross-sectional survey was conducted across five regions of China to explore the work schedules, sleep quality, and sexual function of male workers. Participants' sleep quality was evaluated using a validated SWSD questionnaire, and their erectile function and ejaculatory control were assessed with the International Inventory of Erectile Function (IIEF-5) scores and Premature Ejaculation Diagnostic Tool (PEDT) scores, respectively. Univariate and multivariate linear regression analyses were employed to identify risk factors associated with PE. Confounders were controlled using multiple regression models, and clinical prediction models were developed to predict PE onset and assess the contribution of risk factors. RESULTS: The study included 1239 eligible participants, comprising 840 non-shift workers and 399 shift workers (148 with SWSD and 251 without SWSD). Compared to non-shift working males, those involved in shift work (ß 1.58, 95% CI 0.75 - 2.42, p < 0.001) and those suffering from SWSD (ß 2.86, 95% CI 1.86 - 3.85, p < 0.001) they had significantly higher PEDT scores. Additionally, we identified daily sleep of less than six hours, depression, anxiety, diabetes, hyperlipidemia, frequent alcohol consumption (more than twice a week), and erectile dysfunction as risk factors for PE. The predictive model for PE demonstrated commendable efficacy. CONCLUSION: Both shift work and SWSD significantly increase the risk of premature ejaculation, with the risk magnifying in tandem with the duration of shift work. This study reveals the potential impact of shift work and SWSD on PE and provides new theoretical foundations for the risk assessment and prevention of this condition.


Assuntos
Ejaculação Precoce , Jornada de Trabalho em Turnos , Transtornos do Sono do Ritmo Circadiano , Humanos , Masculino , Ejaculação Precoce/epidemiologia , Adulto , Estudos Transversais , Jornada de Trabalho em Turnos/efeitos adversos , China/epidemiologia , Transtornos do Sono do Ritmo Circadiano/epidemiologia , Pessoa de Meia-Idade , Fatores de Risco , Inquéritos e Questionários , Adulto Jovem
6.
Technol Health Care ; 2024 Jun 24.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-38968033

RESUMO

BACKGROUND: Gestational diabetes, a frequent pregnancy complication marked by elevated maternal blood glucose, can cause serious adverse effects for both mother and fetus, including increased amniotic fluid and risks of fetal asphyxia, hypoxia, and premature birth. OBJECTIVE: To construct a predictive model to analyze the risk factors for macrosomia in deliveries with gestational diabetes. METHODS: From January 2021 to February 2023, 362 pregnant women with gestational diabetes were selected for the study. They were followed up until delivery. Based on newborn birth weight, the participants were divided into the macrosomia group (birth weight ⩾ 4000 g) and the non-macrosomia group (birth weight < 4000 g). The data of the two groups of pregnant women were compared. ROC curves were plotted to analyze the predictive value of multiple factors for the delivery of macrosomic infants among pregnant women with gestational diabetes. A logistic regression model was constructed to identify the risk factors for delivering macrosomic infants and the model was tested. RESULTS: A total of 362 pregnant women with gestational diabetes were included, of which 58 (16.02%) had babies with macrosomia. The macrosomia group exhibited higher metrics in several areas compared to those without: pre-pregnancy BMI, fasting glucose, 1 h and 2 h OGTT sugar levels, weight gain during pregnancy, and levels of triglycerides, LDL-C, and HDL-C, all with significant differences (P< 0.05). ROC analysis revealed predictive value for macrosomia with AUCs of 0.761 (pre-pregnancy BMI), 0.710 (fasting glucose), 0.671 (1 h OGTT), 0.634 (2 h OGTT), 0.850 (weight gain), 0.837 (triglycerides), 0.742 (LDL-C), and 0.776 (HDL-C), indicating statistical significance (P< 0.05). Logistic regression identified high pre-pregnancy BMI, fasting glucose, weight gain, triglycerides, and LDL-C levels as independent risk factors for macrosomia, with odds ratios of 2.448, 2.730, 1.884, 16.919, and 5.667, respectively, and all were statistically significant (P< 0.05). The model's AUC of 0.980 (P< 0.05) attests to its reliability and stability. CONCLUSION: The delivery of macrosomic infants in gestational diabetes may be related to factors such as body mass index before pregnancy, blood-glucose levels, gain weight during pregnancy, and lipid levels. Clinical interventions targeting these factors should be implemented to reduce the incidence of macrosomia.

7.
World J Clin Cases ; 12(18): 3385-3394, 2024 Jun 26.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-38983398

RESUMO

BACKGROUND: Endometrial cancer (EC) is a common gynecological malignancy that typically requires prompt surgical intervention; however, the advantage of surgical management is limited by the high postoperative recurrence rates and adverse outcomes. Previous studies have highlighted the prognostic potential of circulating tumor DNA (ctDNA) monitoring for minimal residual disease in patients with EC. AIM: To develop and validate an optimized ctDNA-based model for predicting short-term postoperative EC recurrence. METHODS: We retrospectively analyzed 294 EC patients treated surgically from 2015-2019 to devise a short-term recurrence prediction model, which was validated on 143 EC patients operated between 2020 and 2021. Prognostic factors were identified using univariate Cox, Lasso, and multivariate Cox regressions. A nomogram was created to predict the 1, 1.5, and 2-year recurrence-free survival (RFS). Model performance was assessed via receiver operating characteristic (ROC), calibration, and decision curve analyses (DCA), leading to a recurrence risk stratification system. RESULTS: Based on the regression analysis and the nomogram created, patients with postoperative ctDNA-negativity, postoperative carcinoembryonic antigen 125 (CA125) levels of < 19 U/mL, and grade G1 tumors had improved RFS after surgery. The nomogram's efficacy for recurrence prediction was confirmed through ROC analysis, calibration curves, and DCA methods, highlighting its high accuracy and clinical utility. Furthermore, using the nomogram, the patients were successfully classified into three risk subgroups. CONCLUSION: The nomogram accurately predicted RFS after EC surgery at 1, 1.5, and 2 years. This model will help clinicians personalize treatments, stratify risks, and enhance clinical outcomes for patients with EC.

8.
World J Diabetes ; 15(6): 1242-1253, 2024 Jun 15.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-38983822

RESUMO

BACKGROUND: The birth of large-for-gestational-age (LGA) infants is associated with many short-term adverse pregnancy outcomes. It has been observed that the proportion of LGA infants born to pregnant women with gestational diabetes mellitus (GDM) is significantly higher than that born to healthy pregnant women. However, traditional methods for the diagnosis of LGA have limitations. Therefore, this study aims to establish a predictive model that can effectively identify women with GDM who are at risk of delivering LGA infants. AIM: To develop and validate a nomogram prediction model of delivering LGA infants among pregnant women with GDM, and provide strategies for the effective prevention and timely intervention of LGA. METHODS: The multivariable prediction model was developed by carrying out the following steps. First, the variables that were associated with LGA risk in pregnant women with GDM were screened by univariate analyses, for which the P value was < 0.10. Subsequently, Least Absolute Shrinkage and Selection Operator regression was fit using ten cross-validations, and the optimal combination factors were selected by choosing lambda 1se as the criterion. The final predictors were determined by multiple backward stepwise logistic regression analysis, in which only the independent variables were associated with LGA risk, with a P value < 0.05. Finally, a risk prediction model was established and subsequently evaluated by using area under the receiver operating characteristic curve, calibration curve and decision curve analyses. RESULTS: After using a multistep screening method, we establish a predictive model. Several risk factors for delivering an LGA infant were identified (P < 0.01), including weight gain during pregnancy, parity, triglyceride-glucose index, free tetraiodothyronine level, abdominal circumference, alanine transaminase-aspartate aminotransferase ratio and weight at 24 gestational weeks. The nomogram's prediction ability was supported by the area under the curve (0.703, 0.709, and 0.699 for the training cohort, validation cohort, and test cohort, respectively). The calibration curves of the three cohorts displayed good agreement. The decision curve showed that the use of the 10%-60% threshold for identifying pregnant women with GDM who are at risk of delivering an LGA infant would result in a positive net benefit. CONCLUSION: Our nomogram incorporated easily accessible risk factors, facilitating individualized prediction of pregnant women with GDM who are likely to deliver an LGA infant.

9.
Front Pharmacol ; 15: 1387647, 2024.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-38983908

RESUMO

Background: Although prognostic models based on pyroptosis-related genes (PRGs) have been constructed in bladder cancer (BLCA), the comprehensive impact of these genes on tumor microenvironment (TME) and immunotherapeutic response has yet to be investigated. Methods: Based on expression profiles of 52 PRGs, we utilized the unsupervised clustering algorithm to identify PRGs subtypes and ssGSEA to quantify immune cells and hallmark pathways. Moreover, we screened feature genes of distinct PRGs subtypes and validated the associations with immune infiltrations in tissue using the multiplex immunofluorescence. Univariate, LASSO, and multivariate Cox regression analyses were employed to construct the scoring scheme. Results: Four PRGs clusters were identified, samples in cluster C1 were infiltrated with more immune cells than those in others, implying a favorable response to immunotherapy. While the cluster C2, which shows an extremely low level of most immune cells, do not respond to immunotherapy. CXCL9/CXCL10 and SPINK1/DHSR2 were identified as feature genes of cluster C1 and C2, and the specimen with high CXCL9/CXCL10 was characterized by more CD8 + T cells, macrophages and less Tregs. Based on differentially expressed genes (DEGs) among PRGs subtypes, a predictive model (termed as PRGs score) including five genes (CACNA1D, PTK2B, APOL6, CDK6, ANXA2) was built. Survival probability of patients with low-PRGs score was significantly higher than those with high-PRGs score. Moreover, patients with low-PRGs score were more likely to benefit from anti-PD1/PD-L1 regimens. Conclusion: PRGs are closely associated with TME and oncogenic pathways. PRGs score is a promising indicator for predicting clinical outcome and immunotherapy response.

10.
Sci Rep ; 14(1): 15828, 2024 Jul 09.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-38982104

RESUMO

The central lymph node metastasis (CLNM) status in the cervical region serves as a pivotal determinant for the extent of surgical intervention and prognosis in papillary thyroid carcinoma (PTC). This paper seeks to devise and validate a predictive model based on clinical parameters for the early anticipation of high-volume CLNM (hv-CLNM, > 5 nodes) in high-risk patients. A retrospective analysis of the pathological and clinical data of patients with PTC who underwent surgical treatment at Medical Centers A and B was conducted. The data from Center A was randomly divided into training and validation sets in an 8:2 ratio, with those from Center B serving as the test set. Multifactor logistic regression was harnessed in the training set to select variables and construct a predictive model. The generalization ability of the model was assessed in the validation and test sets. The model was evaluated through the receiver operating characteristic area under the curve (AUC) to predict the efficiency of hv-CLNM. The goodness of fit of the model was examined via the Brier verification technique. The incidence of hv-CLNM in 5897 PTC patients attained 4.8%. The occurrence rates in males and females were 9.4% (128/1365) and 3.4% (156/4532), respectively. Multifactor logistic regression unraveled male gender (OR = 2.17, p < .001), multifocality (OR = 4.06, p < .001), and lesion size (OR = 1.08 per increase of 1 mm, p < .001) as risk factors, while age emerged as a protective factor (OR = 0.95 per an increase of 1 year, p < .001). The model constructed with four predictive variables within the training set exhibited an AUC of 0.847 ([95%CI] 0.815-0.878). In the validation and test sets, the AUCs were 0.831 (0.783-0.879) and 0.845 (0.789-0.901), respectively, with Brier scores of 0.037, 0.041, and 0.056. Subgroup analysis unveiled AUCs for the prediction model in PTC lesion size groups (≤ 10 mm and > 10 mm) as 0.803 (0.757-0.85) and 0.747 (0.709-0.785), age groups (≤ 31 years and > 31 years) as 0.778 (0.720-0.881) and 0.837 (0.806-0.867), multifocal and solitary cases as 0.803 (0.767-0.838) and 0.809 (0.769-0.849), and Hashimoto's thyroiditis (HT) and non-HT cases as 0.845 (0.793-0.897) and 0.845 (0.819-0.871). Male gender, multifocality, and larger lesion size are risk factors for hv-CLNM in PTC patients, whereas age serves as a protective factor. The clinical predictive model developed in this research facilitates the early identification of high-risk patients for hv-CLNM, thereby assisting physicians in more efficacious risk stratification management for PTC patients.


Assuntos
Metástase Linfática , Câncer Papilífero da Tireoide , Neoplasias da Glândula Tireoide , Humanos , Masculino , Feminino , Câncer Papilífero da Tireoide/patologia , Câncer Papilífero da Tireoide/cirurgia , Pessoa de Meia-Idade , Metástase Linfática/patologia , Adulto , Neoplasias da Glândula Tireoide/patologia , Estudos Retrospectivos , Curva ROC , Linfonodos/patologia , Prognóstico , Fatores de Risco , Idoso , Modelos Logísticos , Adulto Jovem
11.
Infect Drug Resist ; 17: 2923-2931, 2024.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-39011345

RESUMO

Purpose: Accurate differentiation between early and late latent syphilis stages is pivotal for patient management and treatment strategies. Nontreponemal IgM antibodies have shown potential in discriminating latent syphilis staging by differentiating syphilis activity. This study aimed to develop a predictive nomogram model for latent syphilis staging based on nontreponemal IgM antibodies. Patients and Methods: We explored the correlation between nontreponemal IgM antibodies and latent syphilis staging and developed a nomogram model to predict latent syphilis staging based on 352 latent syphilis patients. Model performance was assessed using AUC, calibration curve, Hosmer-Lemeshow χ2 statistics, C-index, Brier score, decision curve analysis, and clinical impact curve. Additionally, an external validation set was used to further assess the model's stability. Results: Nontreponemal IgM antibodies correlated with latent syphilis staging. The constructed model demonstrated a strong discriminative capability with an AUC of 0.743. The calibration curve displayed a strong fit, key statistics including Hosmer-Lemeshow χ² at 2.440 (P=0.486), a C-index score of 0.743, and a Brier score of 0.054, all suggesting favorable model calibration performance. Decision curve analysis and clinical impact curve highlighted the model's robust clinical applicability. The external validation set yielded an AUC of 0.776, Hosmer-Lemeshow χ² statistics of 2.440 (P=0.486), a C-index score of 0.767, and a Brier score of 0.054, further underscored the reliability of the model. Conclusion: The nontreponemal IgM antibody-based predicted model could equip clinicians with a valuable tool for the precise staging of latent syphilis and enhancing clinical decision-making.

12.
Front Oncol ; 14: 1384931, 2024.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-38947887

RESUMO

Objective: This study aims to construct a predictive model based on machine learning algorithms to assess the risk of prolonged hospital stays post-surgery for colorectal cancer patients and to analyze preoperative and postoperative factors associated with extended hospitalization. Methods: We prospectively collected clinical data from 83 colorectal cancer patients. The study included 40 variables (comprising 39 predictor variables and 1 target variable). Important variables were identified through variable selection via the Lasso regression algorithm, and predictive models were constructed using ten machine learning models, including Logistic Regression, Decision Tree, Random Forest, Support Vector Machine, Light Gradient Boosting Machine, KNN, and Extreme Gradient Boosting, Categorical Boosting, Artificial Neural Network and Deep Forest. The model performance was evaluated using Bootstrap ROC curves and calibration curves, with the optimal model selected and further interpreted using the SHAP explainability algorithm. Results: Ten significantly correlated important variables were identified through Lasso regression, validated by 1000 Bootstrap resamplings, and represented through Bootstrap ROC curves. The Logistic Regression model achieved the highest AUC (AUC=0.99, 95% CI=0.97-0.99). The explainable machine learning algorithm revealed that the distance walked on the third day post-surgery was the most important variable for the LR model. Conclusion: This study successfully constructed a model predicting postoperative hospital stay duration using patients' clinical data. This model promises to provide healthcare professionals with a more precise prediction tool in clinical practice, offering a basis for personalized nursing interventions, thereby improving patient prognosis and quality of life and enhancing the efficiency of medical resource utilization.

13.
Mycobiology ; 52(3): 160-171, 2024.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-38948454

RESUMO

Global climate change influences the emergence, spread, and severity of rust diseases that affect crops and forests. In Korea, the rust diseases that affect Wisteria floribunda and its alternate host Corydalis incisa are rapidly spreading northwards. Through morphological, molecular, phylogenetic, and pathogenicity approaches, Neophysopella kraunhiae was identified as the causal agent, alternating between the two host plants to complete its life cycle. Using the maximum entropy model (Maxent) under shared socioeconomic pathways (SSPs), the results of this study suggest that by the 2050s, C. incisa is likely to extend its range into central Korea owing to climate shifts, whereas the distribution of W. floribunda is expected to remain unchanged nationwide. The generalized additive model revealed a significant positive correlation between the presence of C. incisa and the incidence of rust disease, highlighting the role that climate-driven expansion of this alternate host plays in the spread of N. kraunhiae. These findings highlight the profound influence of climate change on both the distribution of a specific plant and the disease a rust fungus causes, raising concerns about the potential emergence and spread of other rust pathogens with similar host dynamics.

14.
Heliyon ; 10(11): e32591, 2024 Jun 15.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-38961971

RESUMO

This qualitative study has three objectives: (1) to develop a predictive AI model to categorize the online learning behavior of Thai students who study through a Thai Massive Open Online Course (MOOC); (2) to categorize students' online behavior in a Thai MOOC; and (3) to evaluate the prediction accuracy of the developed predictive AI models. Data were collected from 8000 learners enrolled in the KMUTT015 course on the Thai MOOC platform. The k-means clustering algorithm classified learners enrolled in the Thai MOOC platform based on their online learning behaviors. The decision tree algorithm was used to assess the accuracy of the AI model prediction capability. The study finds the predictive AI model successfully categorizes learners based on their learning behaviors and predicts their future online learning behaviors in the online learning environment. The k-means clustering algorithm yields three groups of learners in the Thai MOOC platform: High Active Participants (HAP), Medium Active Participants (MAP), and Lurking participants. The findings also indicate high predictive accuracy rates for each behavioral group (HAP cluster = 0.98475, Lurking participants cluster = 0.967625, and MAP cluster = 0.955375), indicating the proficiency of the AI predictive model in forecasting learner behavior. The results of this study will benefit the design of online courses that respond to the needs of students with different online learning characteristics and help them achieve a high level of academic performance.

15.
Front Public Health ; 12: 1409214, 2024.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-38962763

RESUMO

Background: To explore the relationship between body mass index (BMI), age, sex, and blood pressure (systolic blood pressure, SBP; diastolic blood pressure, DBP) in children during COVID-19, providing reference for the prevention and screening of hypertension in children. Methods: This study adopted a large-scale cross-sectional design to investigate the association between BMI and blood pressure in 7-17-year-old students in City N, China, during COVID-19. Thirty-six primary and secondary schools in City N were sampled using a stratified cluster sampling method. A total of 11,433 students aged 7-17 years in City N, China, were selected for blood pressure (Diastolic blood pressure, DBP, Systolic blood pressure, SBP), height, and weight, Resting heart rate (RHR), chest circumference, measurements, and the study was written using the STROBE checklist. Data analysis was conducted using SPSS 26.0, calculating the mean and standard deviation of BMI and blood pressure for male and female students in different age groups. Regression analysis was employed to explore the impact of BMI, age, and sex on SBP and DBP, and predictive models were established. The model fit was evaluated using the model R2. Results: The study included 11,287 primary and secondary school students, comprising 5,649 boys and 5,638 girls. It was found that with increasing age, BMI and blood pressure of boys and girls generally increased. There were significant differences in blood pressure levels between boys and girls in different age groups. In regression models, LC, Age, BMI, and chest circumference show significant positive linear relationships with SBP and DBP in adolescents, while RHR exhibits a negative linear relationship with SBP. These factors were individually incorporated into a stratified regression model, significantly enhancing the model's explanatory power. After including factors such as Age, Gender, and BMI, the adjusted R2 value showed a significant improvement, with Age and BMI identified as key predictive factors for SBP and DBP. The robustness and predictive accuracy of the model were further examined through K-fold cross-validation and independent sample validation methods. The validation results indicate that the model has a high accuracy and explanatory power in predicting blood pressure in children of different weight levels, especially among obese children, where the prediction accuracy is highest. Conclusion: During COVID-19, age, sex, and BMI significantly influence blood pressure in children aged 7-17 years, and predictive models for SBP and DBP were established. This model helps predict blood pressure in children and reduce the risk of cardiovascular diseases. Confirmation of factors such as sex, age, and BMI provide a basis for personalized health plans for children, especially during large-scale infectious diseases, providing guidance for addressing health challenges and promoting the health and well-being of children.


Assuntos
Pressão Sanguínea , Índice de Massa Corporal , COVID-19 , Humanos , Adolescente , Criança , Masculino , Feminino , Estudos Transversais , China/epidemiologia , Pressão Sanguínea/fisiologia , Hipertensão , Fatores Sexuais , SARS-CoV-2 , Fatores Etários
16.
Abdom Radiol (NY) ; 2024 Jul 14.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-39003651

RESUMO

PURPOSE: To develop and validate a model for predicting suboptimal debulking surgery (SDS) of serous ovarian carcinoma (SOC) using radiomics method, clinical and MRI features. METHODS: 228 patients eligible from institution A (randomly divided into the training and internal validation cohorts) and 45 patients from institution B (external validation cohort) were collected and retrospectively analyzed. All patients underwent abdominal pelvic enhanced MRI scan, including T2-weighted imaging fat-suppressed fast spin-echo (T2FSE), T1-weighted dual-echo magnetic resonance imaging (T1DEI), diffusion weighted imaging (DWI), and T1 with contrast enhancement (T1CE). We extracted, selected and eliminated highly correlated radiomic features for each sequence. Then, Radiomic models were made by each single sequence, dual-sequence (T1CE + T2FSE), and all-sequence, respectively. Univariate and multivariate analyses were performed to screen the clinical and MRI independent predictors. The radiomic model with the highest area under the curve (AUC) was used to combine the independent predictors as a combined model. RESULTS: The optimal radiomic model was based on dual sequences (T2FSE + T1CE) among the five radiomic models (AUC = 0.720, P < 0.05). Serum carbohydrate antigen 125, the relationship between sigmoid colon/rectum and ovarian mass or mass implanted in Douglas' pouch, diaphragm nodules, and peritoneum/mesentery nodules were considered independent predictors. The AUC of the radiomic-clinical-radiological model was higher than either the optimal radiomic model or the clinical-radiological model in the training cohort (AUC = 0.908 vs. 0.720/0.854). CONCLUSIONS: The radiomic-clinical-radiological model has an overall algorithm reproducibility and may help create individualized treatment programs and improve the prognosis of patients with SOC.

17.
JMIR Hum Factors ; 11: e55964, 2024 Jul 03.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-38959064

RESUMO

BACKGROUND: Artificial intelligence (AI) has the potential to enhance physical activity (PA) interventions. However, human factors (HFs) play a pivotal role in the successful integration of AI into mobile health (mHealth) solutions for promoting PA. Understanding and optimizing the interaction between individuals and AI-driven mHealth apps is essential for achieving the desired outcomes. OBJECTIVE: This study aims to review and describe the current evidence on the HFs in AI-driven digital solutions for increasing PA. METHODS: We conducted a scoping review by searching for publications containing terms related to PA, HFs, and AI in the titles and abstracts across 3 databases-PubMed, Embase, and IEEE Xplore-and Google Scholar. Studies were included if they were primary studies describing an AI-based solution aimed at increasing PA, and results from testing the solution were reported. Studies that did not meet these criteria were excluded. Additionally, we searched the references in the included articles for relevant research. The following data were extracted from included studies and incorporated into a qualitative synthesis: bibliographic information, study characteristics, population, intervention, comparison, outcomes, and AI-related information. The certainty of the evidence in the included studies was evaluated using GRADE (Grading of Recommendations Assessment, Development, and Evaluation). RESULTS: A total of 15 studies published between 2015 and 2023 involving 899 participants aged approximately between 19 and 84 years, 60.7% (546/899) of whom were female participants, were included in this review. The interventions lasted between 2 and 26 weeks in the included studies. Recommender systems were the most commonly used AI technology in digital solutions for PA (10/15 studies), followed by conversational agents (4/15 studies). User acceptability and satisfaction were the HFs most frequently evaluated (5/15 studies each), followed by usability (4/15 studies). Regarding automated data collection for personalization and recommendation, most systems involved fitness trackers (5/15 studies). The certainty of the evidence analysis indicates moderate certainty of the effectiveness of AI-driven digital technologies in increasing PA (eg, number of steps, distance walked, or time spent on PA). Furthermore, AI-driven technology, particularly recommender systems, seems to positively influence changes in PA behavior, although with very low certainty evidence. CONCLUSIONS: Current research highlights the potential of AI-driven technologies to enhance PA, though the evidence remains limited. Longer-term studies are necessary to assess the sustained impact of AI-driven technologies on behavior change and habit formation. While AI-driven digital solutions for PA hold significant promise, further exploration into optimizing AI's impact on PA and effectively integrating AI and HFs is crucial for broader benefits. Thus, the implications for innovation management involve conducting long-term studies, prioritizing diversity, ensuring research quality, focusing on user experience, and understanding the evolving role of AI in PA promotion.


Assuntos
Inteligência Artificial , Exercício Físico , Humanos , Exercício Físico/fisiologia , Telemedicina , Ergonomia/métodos , Aplicativos Móveis , Promoção da Saúde/métodos
18.
Neurourol Urodyn ; 2024 Jul 04.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-38962959

RESUMO

AIMS: To investigate the risk factors for neurogenic lower urinary tract dysfunction (NLUTD) in patients with acute ischemic stroke (AIS), and develop an internally validated predictive nomogram. The study aims to offer insights for preventing AIS-NLUTD. METHODS: We conducted a retrospective study on AIS patients in a Shenzhen Hospital from June 2021 to February 2023, categorizing them into non-NLUTD and NLUTD groups. The bivariate analysis identified factors for AIS-NLUTD (p < 0.05), integrated into a least absolute shrinkage and selection operator (LASSO) regression model. Significant variables from LASSO were used in a multivariate logistic regression for the predictive model, resulting in a nomogram. Nomogram performance and clinical utility were evaluated through receiver operating characteristic curves, calibration curves, decision curve analysis (DCA), and clinical impact curve (CIC). Internal validation used 1000 bootstrap resamplings. RESULTS: A total of 373 participants were included in this study, with an NLUTD incidence rate of 17.7% (66/373). NIHSS score (OR = 1.254), pneumonia (OR = 6.631), GLU (OR = 1.240), HGB (OR = 0.970), and hCRP (OR = 1.021) were used to construct a predictive model for NLUTD in AIS patients. The model exhibited good performance (AUC = 0.899, calibration curve p = 0.953). Internal validation of the model demonstrated strong discrimination and calibration abilities (AUC = 0.898). Results from DCA and CIC curves indicated that the prediction model had high clinical utility. CONCLUSIONS: We developed a predictive model for AIS-NLUTD and created a nomogram with strong predictive capabilities, assisting healthcare professionals in evaluating NLUTD risk among AIS patients and facilitating early intervention.

19.
World J Surg Oncol ; 22(1): 184, 2024 Jul 16.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-39010072

RESUMO

BACKGROUND: The prognosis of advanced gastric cancer (AGC) is relatively poor, and long-term survival depends on timely intervention. Currently, predicting survival rates remains a hot topic. The application of radiomics and immunohistochemistry-related techniques in cancer research is increasingly widespread. However, their integration for predicting long-term survival in AGC patients has not been fully explored. METHODS: We Collected 150 patients diagnosed with AGC at the Affiliated Zhongshan Hospital of Dalian University who underwent radical surgery between 2015 and 2019. Following strict inclusion and exclusion criteria, 90 patients were included in the analysis. We Collected postoperative pathological specimens from enrolled patients, analyzed the expression levels of MAOA using immunohistochemical techniques, and quantified these levels as the MAOAHScore. Obtained plain abdominal CT images from patients, delineated the region of interest at the L3 vertebral body level, and extracted radiomics features. Lasso Cox regression was used to select significant features to establish a radionics risk score, convert it into a categorical variable named risk, and use Cox regression to identify independent predictive factors for constructing a clinical prediction model. ROC, DCA, and calibration curves validated the model's performance. RESULTS: The enrolled patients had an average age of 65.71 years, including 70 males and 20 females. Multivariate Cox regression analysis revealed that risk (P = 0.001, HR = 3.303), MAOAHScore (P = 0.043, HR = 2.055), and TNM stage (P = 0.047, HR = 2.273) emerged as independent prognostic risk factors for 3-year overall survival (OS) and The Similar results were found in the analysis of 3-year disease-specific survival (DSS). The nomogram developed could predict 3-year OS and DSS rates, with areas under the ROC curve (AUCs) of 0.81 and 0.797, respectively. Joint calibration and decision curve analyses (DCA) confirmed the nomogram's good predictive performance and clinical utility. CONCLUSION: Integrating immunohistochemistry and muscle fat features provides a more accurate prediction of long-term survival in gastric cancer patients. This study offers new perspectives and methods for a deeper understanding of survival prediction in AGC.


Assuntos
Gastrectomia , Monoaminoxidase , Neoplasias Gástricas , Gordura Subcutânea , Humanos , Masculino , Feminino , Neoplasias Gástricas/cirurgia , Neoplasias Gástricas/patologia , Neoplasias Gástricas/mortalidade , Neoplasias Gástricas/metabolismo , Idoso , Taxa de Sobrevida , Prognóstico , Gordura Subcutânea/diagnóstico por imagem , Gordura Subcutânea/patologia , Gordura Subcutânea/metabolismo , Pessoa de Meia-Idade , Seguimentos , Monoaminoxidase/metabolismo , Monoaminoxidase/análise , Estudos Retrospectivos , Nomogramas , Biomarcadores Tumorais/metabolismo , Biomarcadores Tumorais/análise , Tomografia Computadorizada por Raios X/métodos
20.
Perioper Med (Lond) ; 13(1): 75, 2024 Jul 16.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-39014493

RESUMO

BACKGROUND: Delayed neurocognitive recovery (DNR) is a common complication in patients undergoing laparoscopic surgery, and there are currently no effective therapies. It is vital to provide a reliable basis for clinical prediction. This study tried to analyse the risk factors for DNR in patients undergoing laparoscopic colorectal surgery and to establish a risk prediction model. METHODS: A retrospective analysis of the clinical data and DNR status of patients undergoing laparoscopic colorectal surgery at Xiangya Hospital of Central South University from March 2018 to July 2020 was conducted. Logistic regression was performed to analyse the related risk factors for DNR post-operatively, and the predictive model of DNR post-operatively was constructed and validated internally. Patients who underwent laparoscopic colorectal surgery between January and July 2021 were also selected for external validation of the predictive model, to ultimately investigate the risk factors for DNR in patients undergoing laparoscopic colorectal surgery. RESULTS: The incidence of DNR in patients undergoing laparoscopic colorectal surgery was 15.2% (31/204). The maximum variability of cerebral oxygen, age, education, and pre-existing diabetes was related to the incidence of DNR (p < 0.05). The risk prediction model of DNR after laparoscopic colorectal surgery was established. The internal and external validation showed that the discrimination was good (the AUCs were 0.751 and 0.694, respectively). CONCLUSIONS: The risk prediction model of DNR related to cerebral oxygen saturation monitoring shows good predictive performance and clinical value, providing a basis for postoperative DNR prevention.

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