Introduction of a hexavalent vaccine containing acellular pertussis into the national immunization program for infants in Peru: a cost-consequence analysis of vaccination coverage.

BACKGROUND: Infant vaccination coverage rates in Peru have declined in recent years, exacerbated by the COVID-19 pandemic. Introduction of the fully-liquid diphtheria, tetanus, and acellular pertussis (DTaP)-inactivated polio vaccine (IPV)-hepatitis B (HB)-Haemophilus influenzae type B (Hib) hexavalent vaccine (DTaP-IPV-HB-Hib) in Peru's infant National Immunization Program may help improve coverage. We evaluated costs and healthcare outcomes, including coverage, of switching from a pentavalent vaccine containing whole-cell pertussis component (DTwP-HB-Hib) plus IPV/oral polio vaccine (IPV/OPV) to the hexavalent vaccine for the primary vaccination scheme (2, 4 and 6 months). METHODS: The analysis was performed over a 5-year period on a cohort of children born in Peru in 2020 (N = 494,595). Four scenarios were considered: the pentavalent plus IPV/OPV scheme (S1); replacing the pentavalent plus IPV/OPV scheme with the hexavalent scheme (S2); expanded delivery of the pentavalent plus IPV/OPV scheme (S3); expanded delivery of the hexavalent scheme (S4). Vaccine coverage and incidence of adverse reactions (ARs) were estimated using Monte Carlo simulations and previous estimates from the literature. Cases of vaccine-preventable diseases were estimated using a Markov model. Logistical and healthcare costs associated with these outcomes were estimated. Impact of key variables (including coverage rates, incidence of ARs and vaccine prices) on costs was evaluated in sensitivity analyses. RESULTS: The overall cost from a public health payer perspective associated with the pentavalent plus IPV/OPV vaccine scheme (S1) was estimated at $56,719,350, increasing to $61,324,263 (+ 8.1%), $59,121,545 (+ 4.2%) and $64,872,734 (+ 14.4%) in scenarios S2, S3 and S4, respectively. Compared with the status quo (S1), coverage rates were estimated to increase by 3.1% points with expanded delivery alone, and by 9.4 and 14.3% points, if the hexavalent vaccine is deployed (S2 and S4, respectively). In both scenarios with the hexavalent vaccine (S2 and S4), pertussis cases would also be 5.7% and 8.7% lower, and AR rates would decrease by 32%. The cost per protected child would be reduced when the hexavalent vaccine scheme. Incidence of ARs was an important driver of cost variability in the sensitivity analysis. CONCLUSIONS: Implementation of the hexavalent vaccine in Peru's National Immunization Program has a positive public health cost consequence.

Epidemiological analysis of influenza vaccination coverage in Pudong New Area, Shanghai (2013-2023): Implications for influenza vaccination strategies.

Seasonal influenza remains a significant public health concern globally, with annual vaccinations as the most effectively preventive measure. This study examines influenza vaccination coverage rates across different age groups in Pudong New Area, Shanghai, China, from 2013 to 2023. This study extracted influenza vaccination data from the Shanghai Immunization Planning Information System (SIPIS) of the Center for Disease Control and Prevention Shanghai's Pudong New Area from 2013 to 2023. The analysis utilized weighted linear regression to compare vaccination rates over the study period. From 2013 to 2023, a cumulative total of 1,421,295 influenza vaccinations were administered in Pudong New Area, with the quadrivalent inactivated influenza vaccines (IIV4) and trivalent inactivated influenza vaccines (IIV3) comprising 56.8% and 42.9%, respectively. The overall average influenza vaccine coverage rate was 2.27% (95% CI: 2.26, 2.28). The 0-4 years group exhibited the highest average annual coverage rate of 22.52% (95% CI: 22.47, 22.57) among different age groups, in stark contrast to that of the 20-24 years age group, which had the lowest at 0.32% (95% CI: 0.31, 0.33). In terms of repeat vaccinations, a significant majority (86.87%) of recipients received only 1-2 doses, while just 13.13% received 3 or more doses. Although influenza vaccination coverage among preschool children in Pudong New Area is relatively high, it falls significantly short of WHO recommendations. Enhance the level of awareness of influenza vaccine among adults and provide a free influenza vaccination strategy for specific groups such as doctors, which is helpful to increase influenza vaccination rates among populations.

Estimating the time required to reach HPV vaccination targets across Europe.

BACKGROUND: Cervical cancer (CC) is one of the most common causes of cancer-related deaths in women. The World Health Organization (WHO) has called for the CC elimination as a public health priority and has urged countries to achieve a 90% vaccine coverage rate of human papilloma virus (HPV) vaccination among 15-year-old girls by 2030. RESEARCH DESIGN AND METHODS: Regression models were fitted to the WHO HPV vaccine coverage rate data to estimate when the 90% vaccine coverage rate target would be achieved in 22 European countries. RESULTS: The mean vaccine coverage rate of included countries was 62.2% (SD: 18.3). Nine countries (Iceland, Norway, Portugal, Ireland, Hungary, Spain, Sweden, Denmark, and Switzerland) are expected to achieve a 90% vaccine coverage rate by 2030. Six countries (Estonia, Cyprus, Netherlands, France, Germany, and Italy) are expected to reach a 90% vaccine coverage rate between 2030 and 2040 whereas seven countries (Belgium, Bulgaria, Finland, Latvia, Luxembourg, Malta, and Slovenia) are not expected to achieve the 90% vaccine coverage rate target by 2040. CONCLUSION: The majority of European countries are not on track to achieve 90% vaccine coverage rate by 2030. To achieve this, a significant increase in the annual vaccine coverage rate growth rate is required.

Assessing the impact of COVID-19 on routine immunization in Sierra Leone.

BACKGROUND: The COVID-19 pandemic had a profound impact on healthcare systems and services, including routine immunization (RI). To date, there is limited information on the effects of the COVID-19 pandemic on RI in West African countries such as Sierra Leone, which had already experienced public health emergencies that disrupted its healthcare system. Here, we describe the impact of the COVID-19 pandemic on the RI of key antigens in Sierra Leone. METHODS: We used vaccination data from the District Health Information System for BCG, measles-rubella 1 and 2, and pentavalent 1 and 3 antigens. We compared 2019, 2020, 2021, and 2022 annual coverage rates for the selected antigens at the national and district levels. We used the Pearson chi-square test to assess the difference between annual coverage rates between 2019 and 2020, 2020-2021, and 2021-2022. RESULTS: National coverage rates for all antigens declined in 2019-2020, notably measles-rubella 1 and pentavalent 3 (-5.4% and - 4.9%). Between 2020 and 2021, there was an overall increase in coverage (+ 0.2% to + 2.5%), except for measles-rubella 2 (-1.8%). Measles-rubella antigens rebounded in 2021-2022, while others decreased between - 0.5 and - 1.9% in coverage. Overall, all district-level coverage rates in 2022 were lower than those in 2019. Most districts decreased between 2019 and 2022, though a few had a continuous increase; some had an increase/recovery between 2020 and 2021; some districts had recovered 2019 levels by 2022. CONCLUSION: The COVID-19 pandemic impacted Sierra Leone's national BCG, measles-rubella, and pentavalent antigen immunization, which were not fully restored in 2022. Most districts experienced notable coverage declines during the pandemic, though a few reached or surpassed 2019 rates in 2022. Examining pandemic impact can benefit from a focus beyond the national level to identify vulnerable regions. Sierra Leone's post-pandemic RI reestablishment needs targeted strategies and continual investments for equitable access and coverage, as well as to prevent vaccine-preventable diseases.

Human Papillomavirus (HPV) vaccination coverage among French adolescents: A claims data study.

BACKGROUND: The French cancer control strategy 2021-2030 aims to achieve 80 % human papillomavirus (HPV) vaccination coverage. Since 2021, HPV vaccination is also recommended for boys aged 11-14 years, with a catch-up vaccination recommended for unvaccinated adolescents aged ≤19 years. The PAPILLON study used claims data to monitor the evolution of HPV Vaccination Coverage Rate (VCR) in the French population. METHODS: The annual HPV VCR was described from 2017 to 2022. Partial vaccination was defined as the dispensing of at least one dose of HPV vaccination. Full scheme vaccination was defined according to the current French recommendations as two or three doses of HPV vaccine over an 18-month period. Annual HPV vaccine initiation rates were estimated on 11-14 and 15-19-year-olds adolescents. Cumulative VCR were estimated on adolescents aged between 11 and 19 years at the time of first vaccination. RESULTS: Overall, 1,773,900 females and 592,167 males initiated HPV vaccination between 2017 and 2022. Initiations occurred between 11 and 14 years for 67.3 % of females and 62.4 % of males with a median time between the first two doses of 195 days and 190 days, respectively. In girls, the cumulative vaccination rate for the partial scheme vaccination at 15 y.o. increased from 28.1 % in 2017 to 50.9 % in 2022. Similarly, the cumulative vaccination rate for the full scheme vaccination at 16 y.o. increased from 15.5 % in 2017 to 33.8 % in 2022. In 2022, the initiation rates for males were 12.6 % at age 14 and 1.9 % at age 19. CONCLUSIONS: HPV vaccination coverage increased between 2017 and 2022 among girls targeted by the recommendation but remains insufficient. The results of this study show a tentative but promising start to vaccination in boys. This study will monitor the effects of actions taken to improve vaccination, including the extension of vaccination competencies to community pharmacists since end of 2022.

Quantitative analysis of hemodynamic changes induced by the discrepancy between the sizes of the flow diverter and parent artery.

The efficacy of flow diverters is influenced by the strut configuration changes resulting from size discrepancies between the stent and the parent artery. This study aimed to quantitatively analyze the impact of size discrepancies between flow diverters and parent arteries on the flow diversion effects, using computational fluid dynamics. Four silicone models with varying parent artery sizes were developed. Real flow diverters were deployed in these models to assess stent configurations at the aneurysm neck. Virtual stents were generated based on these configurations for computational fluid dynamics analysis. The changes in the reduction rate of the hemodynamic parameters were quantified to evaluate the flow diversion effect. Implanting 4.0 mm flow diverters in aneurysm models with parent artery diameters of 3.0-4.5 mm, in 0.5 mm increments, revealed that a shift from oversized to undersized flow diverters led to an increase in the reduction rates of hemodynamic parameter, accompanied by enhanced metal coverage rate and pore density. However, the flow diversion effect observed transitioning from oversizing to matching was less pronounced when moving from matching to undersizing. This emphasizes the importance of proper sizing of flow diverters, considering the benefits of undersizing and not to exceed the threshold of advantages.

Public health and economic benefits of seasonal influenza vaccination in risk groups in France, Italy, Spain and the UK: state of play and perspectives.

BACKGROUND: Seasonal influenza epidemics have a substantial public health and economic burden, which can be alleviated through vaccination. The World Health Organization (WHO) recommends a 75% vaccination coverage rate (VCR) in: older adults (aged ≥ 65 years), individuals with chronic conditions, pregnant women, children aged 6-24 months and healthcare workers. However, no European country achieves this target in all risk groups. In this study, potential public health and economic benefits achieved by reaching 75% influenza VCR was estimated in risk groups across four European countries: France, Italy, Spain, and the UK. METHODS: A static epidemiological model was used to estimate the averted public health and economic burden of increasing the 2021/2022 season VCR to 75%, using the efficacy data of standard-dose quadrivalent influenza vaccine. For each country and risk group, the most recent data on population size, VCR, pre-pandemic influenza epidemiology, direct medical costs and absenteeism were identified through a systematic literature review, supplemented by manual searching. Outcomes were: averted influenza cases, general practitioner (GP) visits, hospitalisations, case fatalities, number of days of work lost, direct medical costs and absenteeism-related costs. RESULTS: As of the 2021/2022 season, the UK achieved the highest weighted VCR across risk groups (65%), followed by Spain (47%), France (44%) and Italy (44%). Based on modelling, the 2021/2022 VCR prevented an estimated 1.9 million influenza cases, avoiding 375,200 GP visits, 73,200 hospitalisations and 38,400 deaths. To achieve the WHO 75% VCR target, an additional 24 million at-risk individuals would need to be vaccinated, most of which being older adults and patients with chronic conditions. It was estimated that this could avoid a further 918,200 influenza cases, 332,000 GP visits, 16,300 hospitalisations and 6,300 deaths across the four countries, with older adults accounting for 52% of hospitalisations and 80% of deaths. An additional €84 million in direct medical costs and €79 million in absenteeism costs would be saved in total, with most economic benefits delivered in France. CONCLUSIONS: Older adults represent most vaccine-preventable influenza cases and deaths, followed by individuals with chronic conditions. Health authorities should prioritise vaccinating these populations for maximum public health and economic benefits.

[Estimation of acetabular cup prosthesis coverage rate in total hip arthroplasty based on X-ray films].

Objective: To explore the method of accurately estimating the acetabular cup prosthesis coverage rate (hereinafter referred to as "cup coverage rate") in total hip arthroplasty (THA) based on X-ray films, and to determine the effective parameters that can be used to estimate the cup coverage rate. Methods: The three-dimensional printed pelvic models were established based on CT data of 16 healthy pelvis, and the acetabular prosthesis were implanted according to conventional THA procedure. The length and width of the uncovered area of the acetabular cup prosthesis were measured by a modified X-ray recording method with a rotating C-arm X-ray machine, and the cup coverage rate was calculated. Then the differences among the traditional anteroposterior X-ray recording method, the modified method, and actual measurement on pelvic model were statistically analyzed. The correlation between the area of the uncovered area of the prosthesis and its width and length was analyzed by using multiple linear regression analysis. Results: The cup coverage rates of traditional method, modified method, and actual measurement were 78.22%±3.36%, 86.74%±3.61%, and 89.62%±2.62%, respectively, with significant differences ( P<0.05). The results of multiple linear regression analysis showed that the width and length were positively linear with the uncovered area of the prosthesis, and the regression equation was as follows: uncovered area of the prosthesis=-21.192+0.248×width+0.140×length, and the coefficient of determination R 2=0.857, P<0.001. Conclusion: Compared with the traditional method, the modified method can more accurately evaluate the cup coverage rate during THA, and the width of the uncovered area of the prosthesis can be used as an effective reference for the cup coverage rate.

The influenza landscape and vaccination coverage in older adults during the SARS-Cov-2 pandemic: data from Several European Countries and Israel.

INTRODUCTION: The Raise Awareness of Influenza Strategies in Europe (RAISE) group gathered information about the healthcare burden of influenza (hospitalizations, intensive care unit [ICU] admissions, and excess deaths), surveillance systems, and the vaccine coverage rate (VCR) in older adults in 18 European countries and Israel. AREAS COVERED: Published medical literature and official medical documentation on the influenza disease burden in the participating countries were reviewed from 2010/11 until the 2022/23 influenza seasons. Information on the framework for monitoring the disease burden and the provision for ensuring older adults had access to vaccination in their respective countries was provided. Data on influenza VCR in older adults were collected for the 2019/20 to 2022/23 influenza seasons. Data are reported descriptively. EXPERT OPINION: Influenza presents a significant healthcare burden in older adults. Reporting outcomes across participating countries is heterogeneous, highlighting the need for standardized approaches. Although older adults receive free influenza vaccination, vaccine uptake is highly variable among countries. Moreover, hospitalization rates remain high even in countries reporting a high VCR. Increased awareness and education on the burden of disease and the broader use of improved influenza vaccines for older adults may help reduce the disease burden on this population.

Access to colorectal cancer screening in populations in China, 2020: A coverage-focused synthesis analysis.

In populations in China, colorectal cancer (CRC) screening can be mainly accessed through organized screening, opportunistic screening, and physical examination. This screening intervention is found to be effective but the exact coverage rate is difficult to measure. Based on data from published articles, official websites, and available program reports, the screening coverage rate and related indicators were quantified. A rapid review was then conducted to estimate the overall and the breakdown coverage rates of the sub-type screening services, by leveraging the numbers of articles and the by-type median sample sizes. Up to 2020, two central government-funded and four provincial/municipal-level organized CRC screening programs have been initiated and included in this analysis. For populations aged 40-74, the estimated coverage rate of organized programs in China was 2.7% in 2020, and the 2-year cumulative coverage rate in 2019-2020 was 5.3% and the 3-year cumulative coverage rate in 2018-2020 was 7.7%. The corresponding coverage rates of 50-74-year-olds were estimated to be 3.4%, 7.1%, and 10.3%, respectively. Based on the rapid review approach, the overall screening coverage rate for 40-74 years, considering organized screening programs, opportunistic screening, and physical examinations, was then estimated to be 3.0% in China in 2020. However, comparing the findings of this study with the number of health check-ups reported in the local national health statistics yearbooks suggests that the number of CRC physical examinations may be underestimated in this study. The findings suggest that further efforts are needed to improve population access to CRC screening in China. Furthermore, evidence for access to opportunistic CRC screening and physical examination is limited, and more quantitative investigation is needed.

A national registry-based study on uptake of the first dose of MMR vaccine in 380 administrative regions in Poland, 2013-2016-2020.

INTRODUCTION AND OBJECTIVE: Regular monitoring of the measles, mumps, and rubella (MMR) vaccine uptake quickly exposes immunity gaps in the population. In Poland, the first dose of the MMR vaccine is mandatory for children between 13 and 15 months of life. This study aimed to assess the uptake of the first dose of MMR vaccine in 380 administrative counties in Poland in 2020, as well as to analyze the MMR vaccine uptake trends in 2013-2016-2020. MATERIAL AND METHODS: This study is an epidemiological retrospective national registry-based analysis. Data on mandatory childhood vaccinations in all 380 counties in Poland were collected from the epidemiological reports of the State Sanitary Inspectorate territorial representatives. MMR vaccine uptake was calculated as the percentage of children who received the first dose of MRR vaccine to all children subject to mandatory vaccination in the county. RESULTS: The uptake of the first dose of MMR vaccine decreased from 99.4% in 2013, to 95.5% in 2016 and 91.9% in 2020. In 2013, 93.2% of countys MMR vaccine uptake level reached the herd immunity level, followed by 77.1% of counties in 2016 and only 38.3% of countys in 2020. In 2020, two counties reached complete (100%) MMR vaccine uptake, and the lowest MMR vaccine uptake was 63.88%. Of the 380 counties in Poland, in 226 (61.1%) the MMR vaccine uptake level was lower than the herd immunity level, and a downward trend was observed. MMR vaccine uptake decreased with an increased number of residents in a county (r= -0.35; p<0.001). CONCLUSIONS: This study revealed that in 61% of administrative regions in Poland, the MMR vaccine uptake was below the herd immunity level. Regional differences in the MMR vaccine uptake were observed. A significant decrease in MMR vaccine uptake between 2013 - 2020 poses a risk of measles outbreaks.

Coverage rates for diphtheria, tetanus, poliomyelitis, and pertussis age-specific booster recommendations in France: 2018 update of the real-world cohort analysis.

The French National Immunization Program was updated in 2013 for vaccination against diphtheria, tetanus, pertussis, and poliomyelitis. Our previous findings on the evolution of age-specific booster vaccination coverage rates (VCRs) up to 2017 suggested suboptimal vaccination coverages due to the pre-2013 recommendation-residual vaccination practices. In the current analysis, we evaluated all age-specific booster VCR and distribution of age at vaccination visits in 2018. In this retrospective observational cohort study, the cumulative booster VCRs were updated at all vaccination visits up to 2018 among the people who were eligible for a booster vaccination, using a 1/97th random sample of French national healthcare reimbursement databases. The cumulative booster VCR for individuals from all age groups increased from 2017 to 2018, except for 85-years-old vaccination visit. Majority of the individuals from all age groups were vaccinated (boosted) with a vaccine containing the pertussis valence. In 2018, sharp peaks corresponding to the recommended ages for booster vaccination visits were observed for individuals aged 6, 11 to 13, 25, 45, and 65 years. Our study reiterates suboptimal coverages in France and implies the need for booster vaccination throughout life for the protection of the population.

Acceptance of influenza vaccination and associated factors among teachers in China: A cross-sectional study based on health belief model.

Teachers played an important role on the transmission of influenza in schools and communities. The study aims to investigate the influenza vaccination coverage and the factors determining flu vaccination acceptance among teachers in Hangzhou, China. A total of 1039 junior high school teachers in Hangzhou were recruited. The self-made questionnaire was used to investigate the influenza vaccine coverage among teachers and the influencing factors of influenza vaccination acceptance. Univariate analysis using the chi-square test and multivariable analysis using binary logistic regression were conducted to determine the relative predictors. The Influenza vaccine coverage among teachers was 5.9% (62/1039). 52.9% of teachers had the intention to receive influenza vaccine, 25.3% (247/977)/21.8% (213/977) of participants was hesitant/did not have the intention to get influenza vaccine. The top three sources for teachers to gain knowledge about influenza were website (72%), TV/radio (66.1%) and social media (58%). Whether get influenza vaccination before, knowledge about influenza and influenza vaccine, the beliefs for the likelihood of catching flu, the severity of getting flu, the effectiveness of influenza vaccine, the possibility of side effects after vaccination, and the troublesome of vaccination, doctors' recommendation, as well as the situation of vaccination among other teachers were the associated factors of influenza vaccination acceptance. The influenza vaccination coverage was low but the intentions were relatively high among junior high school teachers. Future research should focus on the relationship between vaccination acceptance and behavior to increase influenza vaccination rates.

Spectacle Coverage Rate After Cataract Surgery in an Urban Area in Indonesia.

Purpose: Uncorrected refractive errors after cataract surgery contribute to visual impairments. The aim of this study was to investigate the spectacle coverage rate (SCR) following cataract surgery and its relationship with socioeconomic factors in an urban city in Indonesia. Patients and Methods: This population-based cross-sectional study was conducted in 2015 in Jakarta. The former participants of the Rapid Assessment of Avoidable Blindness (RAAB) survey had a history of cataract surgery and met either of the following criteria: (1) wore spectacles with presenting visual acuity (PVA) 6/12 or (2) had PVA less than 6/12 regardless of spectacle use but achieved the best visual acuity (BVA) 6/12 with pinhole correction. Results: Of the 2998 participants of the RAAB survey, 173 (5.6%) (252 eyes) had a history of cataract surgery, among whom 53 (86 eyes) met our inclusion criteria. The SCR was 69.8% and was associated with age group, household income level, education level, and physicians' recommendation of spectacle wear. Participants who were of nonproductive age (80%), had the highest household income level (88.2%), the highest level of education (87.5%), and had been recommended for spectacle use by their physicians (80.9%) demonstrated higher SCR. Participants with the highest household income had the highest SCR. Patients who had received a physician's recommendation showed a higher SCR and were 26 times more likely to wear spectacles (odds ratio [OR] 25.99, 95% CI 2.59-260.10). Conclusion: There is an unmet need for refractive errors after cataract surgery. Factors such as household income levels and physician recommendations were predictive of spectacle wear.

Design of improved four-coil structure with high uniformity and effective coverage rate.

Helmholtz coils have extensive applications in biological medicine, aerospace, and other industries depending on the simple structure and miraculous magnetic field characteristics. However, the uniform zone generated by them is not appropriate for scientific experiments with large devices. Due to the limitations of Helmholtz coils in application, a novel design technique is proposed to improve the homogeneity and region of magnetic field. The main approach is to add an auxiliary coil on each side of Helmholtz coils to compensate for the magnetic field that exists farther out from the center point. To analyze the size relationship between the auxiliary coil and the main coil to obtain the best magnetic field distribution, the traditional Maclaurin expansion method and particle swarm optimization (PSO) algorithm are used to research and discuss. The magnetic field distribution and the corresponding effective coverage rate (ECR) of the improved schemes with different structural parameters are calculated under the relative deviations of 0.1%, 0.5% and 1%, respectively. The results obtained by the above optimization methods are verified by the finite element software COMSOL and specific experiments. Both optimization methods manifest that the maximum effective coverage rate can be achieved when the size of the auxiliary coil is consistent with that of the main coil. In addition, we compare the improved four-coil structure proposed in this paper with the existing four-coil square structure under the same volume. The data show that the improved structure has certain advantages in the spatial magnetic field distribution. The corresponding tri-axial coil system is established by adopting the parameters on the single axis, which can achieve a constant magnetic field in arbitrary directions by controlling the magnitude and direction of current on each axis. This provides a theoretical basis for the application of magnetic navigation technology.

Coupling an individual adaptive-decision model with a SIRV model of influenza vaccination reveals new insights for epidemic control.

Past seasonal influenza epidemics and vaccination experience may affect individuals' decisions on whether to be vaccinated or not, decisions that may be constantly reassessed in relation to recent influenza related experience. To understand the potentially complex interaction between experience and decisions and whether the vaccination rate is likely to reach a critical coverage level or not, we construct an adaptive-decision model. This model is then coupled with an influenza vaccination dynamics (SIRV) model to explore the interaction between individuals' decision-making and an influenza epidemic. Nonlinear least squares estimation is used to obtain the best-fit parameter values in the SIRV model based on data on new influenza-like illness (ILI) cases in Texas. Uncertainty and sensitivity analyses are then carried out to determine the impact of key parameters of the adaptive decision-making model on the ILI epidemic. The results showed that the necessary critical coverage rate of ILI vaccination could not be reached by voluntary vaccination. However, it could be reached in the fourth year if mass media reports improved individuals' memory of past vaccination experience. Individuals' memory of past vaccination experience, the proportion with histories of past vaccinations and the perceived cost of vaccination are important factors determining whether an ILI epidemic can be effectively controlled or not. Therefore, health authorities should guide people to improve their memory of past vaccination experience through media reports, publish timely data on annual vaccination proportions and adjust relevant measures to appropriately reduce vaccination perceived cost, in order to effectively control an ILI epidemic.

Development of a combination antibiogram for empirical treatments of Pseudomonas aeruginosa at a university-affiliated teaching hospital.

INTRODUCTION: The significantly higher mortality rate in the critical illness patients with Pseudomonas aeruginosa (PA) infection is linked to inappropriate selecting of empirical treatment. Traditional local antibiogram provides clinicians the resistant rate of a single antimicrobial agent to the pathogen in the specific setting. The information is valuable to the clinicians in selecting suitable empirical antibiotic therapy. However, traditional local antibiogram can only provide information for single agent empirical antibiotic not combination regimens. The combination antibiogram should be developed to facilitate the selection of appropriate antibiotics to broader the coverage rate of resistant PA. METHODS: The susceptibility to the ß-lactam antibiotics (piperacillin/tazobactam (PTZ), ceftazidime, cefepime, imipenem, or meropenem) or to those administered in combination with an aminoglycoside (gentamicin or amikacin) or fluoroquinolone (ciprofloxacin or levofloxacin) was calculated. The chi-square test was used to compare the differences of combination coverage rates between non-ICU and ICU isolates. RESULTS: 880 PA isolates were isolated during study period. The susceptibility of single agents ranged from 83.1% to 89.7%. The combination regimens containing amikacin provide the highest cover rate (98.9%-99.1%) and those containing levofloxacin provide less coverage rate (92.3%-93.9%). The susceptibility to five ß-lactam single agents in ICU isolates significantly lower than non-ICU isolates. The non-ICU isolates exhibited significantly higher susceptibility to the PTZ-gentamicin (p = 0.002) and ceftazidime-gentamicin (p = 0.025) than ICU isolates. CONCLUSION: Our results support the use of aminoglycosides instead of fluoroquinolones as additive agents in empirical combination treatments for patients with critical infections caused by PA.

Selective inference for effect modification via the lasso.

Effect modification occurs when the effect of the treatment on an outcome varies according to the level of other covariates and often has important implications in decision-making. When there are tens or hundreds of covariates, it becomes necessary to use the observed data to select a simpler model for effect modification and then make valid statistical inference. We propose a two-stage procedure to solve this problem. First, we use Robinson's transformation to decouple the nuisance parameters from the treatment effect of interest and use machine learning algorithms to estimate the nuisance parameters. Next, after plugging in the estimates of the nuisance parameters, we use the lasso to choose a low-complexity model for effect modification. Compared to a full model consisting of all the covariates, the selected model is much more interpretable. Compared to the univariate subgroup analyses, the selected model greatly reduces the number of false discoveries. We show that the conditional selective inference for the selected model is asymptotically valid given the rate assumptions in classical semiparametric regression. Extensive simulation studies are conducted to verify the asymptotic results and an epidemiological application is used to demonstrate the method.

Pneumococcal vaccination coverage in individuals (16-59 years) with a newly diagnosed risk condition in Germany.

BACKGROUND: Despite recommendations from the German Standing Committee on Vaccination (STIKO), pneumococcal vaccination coverage remains low in vulnerable populations. This study estimated the pneumococcal vaccination coverage rate (VCR) and timing among individuals aged 16-59 years in Germany who were recommended to receive pneumococcal vaccination, according to STIKO. METHODS: A retrospective cohort analysis was conducted using the German InGef database. Individuals aged 16 to 59 years diagnosed with at least one "at-risk" (chronic disease) or "high-risk" (e.g., immunocompromising) condition considered to be at-risk of pneumococcal infection were identified at the time of first diagnosis, between January 1, 2016 and December 31, 2018, and followed up until December 31, 2019. The percentage of cumulative pneumococcal VCR with 95% confidence interval (CI) was reported for each calendar year of follow-up. RESULTS: There were 334,292 individuals followed for a median of 2.38 (interquartile range (IQR) 1.63-3.13) person years. For individuals aged 16-59 years diagnosed with an incident risk condition in 2016, pneumococcal VCR increased from 0.44% (95% CI 0.41-0.48) in 2016 to 1.24% (95% CI 1.18-1.30) in 2019. In 2019, VCRs were higher in individuals with high-risk conditions compared with at-risk conditions (2.24% (95% CI 2.09-2.40) vs. 0.90% (95% CI 0.85-0.96)). In 2019, VCRs were higher in individuals aged 50 to 59 years compared with individuals aged 16 to 49 years (2.25% (95% CI 2.10-2.41) vs. 0.90% (95% CI 0.84-0.96)). Similar trends were observed in individuals with newly diagnosed risk conditions identified in 2017 and in 2018. Older age, influenza vaccination and increasing number of risk conditions increased the likelihood of pneumococcal vaccination. Median time to vaccination from diagnosis of the risk condition was shorter for high-risk conditions (369.5 days (IQR 155.8-702.0)) compared to at-risk conditions (435.5 days (IQR 196.3-758.8)). CONCLUSION: Despite recommendations from STIKO, pneumococcal vaccination coverage remains very low and with long delays in vulnerable individuals aged 16-59 in Germany. Further efforts are required to increase immunization levels and shorten time to vaccination among individuals 16-59 years of age developing conditions with higher susceptibility to pneumococcal infection.

The Vacinómetro® initiative: an eleven-year monitorization of influenza vaccination coverage rates among risk groups in Portugal.

Annual vaccination is fundamental for individual and group protection against seasonal influenza infection. International and Portuguese healthcare organizations have established influenza vaccination coverage rate (VCR) targets for risk groups, namely 75% in people ≥ 65 years old. The Vacinómetro® initiative has been monitoring influenza VCR among target risk groups in Portugal since 2009,: Group 1, ≥ 65 years old; Group 2, patients with chronic conditions; Group 3, healthcare workers in direct contact with patients; and Group 4, 60-64 years old. Besides VCR, social-demographic and health-related variables have been evaluated. During the study period (2009/2010 - 2019/2020), the VCR increased in the 4 target risk groups: from 58.6% to 76.0% in Group 1 (reaching the WHO target); 33.3% to 72.0% in Group 2; 25.0% to 58.9% in Group 3; and 36.6% to 42.8% in Group 4. "Physician recommendation" was the main driver for vaccination whereas "lack of habit" was the main barrier to vaccination. Vacinómetro® data demonstrate that free-of-charge vaccination has a positive impact on VCR. The observed positive trends in influenza VCR demonstrate that public health measures implemented in Portugal to facilitate access to influenza vaccine result in increased vaccine uptake. Strategies to promote population literacy and the physician's awareness should be continued and reinforced. Free-of-charge vaccination criteria extended to more risk groups would also contribute to higher influenza VCR in Portugal.