The Value of Serum Procalcitonin, Thromboelastography Combined with Platelet Count in Predicting the Short-Term Progression of Septic Shock in the Intensive Care Unit.

Objective: By evaluating the level of serum procalcitonin (PCT), thromboelastography (TEG) and platelet count (PLT) of patients with septic shock in intensive care unit (ICU), the predictive value of the combination of the three indicators on the short-term progression was discussed, which provided a new basis for early clinical diagnosis and disease evaluation. Methods: The clinical data of 130 patients with septic shock admitted to the IUC of our hospital from December 2021 to December 2023 were analyzed retrospectively. These subjects were divided into good prognosis group (n=78) and poor prognosis group (n=52) according to the 28 d deaths. The influencing factors were explored using the Multivariate logistic regression analysis. The value of single or combined PCT, PLT and TEG in predicting poor short-term prognosis was assessed using the receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve. Results: The patients in poor prognosis group had higher Acute Physiology and Chronic Health Evaluation II (APACHE II) scores, serum PCT level, coagulation reaction time (R value) and coagulation formation time (K value), but lower PLT levels, final strength of coagulation (MA value) and coagulation formation rate (α angle) than those in good prognosis group (P<0.001). PCT, R value and K value were risk factors (P<0.001), while PLT, MA value and α angle were protective factors (P<0.001). The area under the curve (AUC) of PCT, PLT and TEG predicting poor short-term progression was 0.813, 0.658 and 0.752, respectively. The AUC of combined three indicators was 0.905, which had the highest predictive value. Conclusion: Serum levels of PCT, PLT and TEG had certain value in predicting poor short-term progression of septic shock patients, and their combined diagnostic value was higher. Therefore, regular monitoring of these three indicators could provide certain guiding significance for the prevention and treatment of poor short-term prognosis in patients with septic shock.

Tandem gait step-width increases more rapidly in more severely affected people with Parkinson's disease.

INTRODUCTION: Tandem gait performance reportedly predicts fall risk in people with Parkinson's disease (PwPD) and help distinguish PwPD from atypical parkinsonism. In a cross-sectional study, we previously showed that tandem gait step-width widens with increasing Hoehn and Yahr (H&Y) staging scores. In this longitudinal study, we aimed to determine if progression in tandem gait deficits is dependent on disease severity in PwPD. METHODS: Participants underwent an instrumented tandem gait measurement every 6 months for at least 2 years. The mean and variability of 4 tandem gait parameters were calculated at each visit: step-width, step-length, step-time, and step-velocity. The change in these parameters over time for 3 H&Y groups (stage 1, 2 and 2.5+) compared to aging controls was determined using a random coefficients regression model. The annual percent change in tandem gait parameters was correlated with initial disease features using Kendall's τB. RESULTS: 66 participants were analyzed (46 PD, 20 controls). Mean step-width increased over time in an H&Y stage-dependent manner, with H&Y 2 and H&Y 2.5+ experiencing increases of 6% and 10% per year (p = 0.001 and 0.024 respectively). Annual percent-change in step-width was correlated with initial motor Unified Parkinson's Disease Rating Scale (UPDRS) scores (Kendall's τB = 0.229), total UPDRS scores (τB = 0.249), H&Y scores (τB = 0.266) and inversely correlated with Montreal Cognitive Assessment (MoCA) scores (τB = -0.209; ps ≤ 0.019). CONCLUSION: Tandem gait step-width widens over time more rapidly in more severely affected PD patients. These results suggest that tandem gait should be routinely clinically evaluated and considered in the management of imbalance in PwPD.

Comorbid onset of cardiovascular diagnosis and long-term confirmed disability progression in multiple sclerosis: A 15-year follow-up study.

BACKGROUND: People with multiple sclerosis (pwMS) have greater prevalence of comorbid cardiovascular diseases (CVD) when compared to the general population despite similar frequency of CV risk factors. OBJECTIVE: Determine the impact of comorbid-onset of CVD diagnosis on long-term confirmed disability progression (CDP). METHODS: 276 pwMS (29 clinically isolated syndrome, 130 relapsing-remitting and 117 progressive) were clinically followed an average of 14.9 years, with a mean of 14.4 clinical visits. Retrospective electronic medical records (EMR) review determined CVD diagnoses (hypertension, hyperlipidemia, diabetes, and heart disease) at baseline and over the follow-up. CDP was determined with ≥1.0 point Expanded Disability Status Scale (EDSS) increase from EDSS <5.5, or ≥ 0.5-point increase from ≥5.5, and was sustained on next clinical visit. RESULTS: A significantly shorter time to overall CDP was detected in 213 pwMS who had an existing (28 pwMS) or developed new onset (185 pwMS) of CVD, compared to 63 CVD-healthy pwMS over the follow-up (13.4 vs 15.9 years, Mantel-Cox p < 0.001), independent of baseline age and EDSS score. The CVD diagnosis preceded the CDP in 103 pwMS (55.7%), occurred after CDP in 71 pwMS (38.4%) and was concurrent in 11 pwMS (5.9%). Using mixed-effect models adjusted for significant age (F = 56.5, p < 0.001) and time effects (F = 67.8, p < 0.001), the CVD-onset diagnosis was associated with greater accrual of disability, as measured by longitudinal increase in EDSS score (F = 4.207, p = 0.04). Sex was not significant predictor of future disability in our cohort. CONCLUSION: PwMS with an existing or new onset of comorbid CVD diagnosis showed accelerated disability worsening over long-term. There was no temporal relationship between the onset of CVD and CDP within the group that had CVD-onset diagnosis.

[Muscle-invasive and metastatic urothelial carcinoma of the urinary bladder : Current state of histopathologic, molecular, and immunologic prognostic and predictive factors]. / Das muskelinvasive und metastasierte Urothelkarzinom der Harnblase : Aktueller Stand histopathologischer, molekularer und immunologischer Prognose- und Prädiktionsfaktoren.

BACKGROUND: Muscle-invasive and metastatic urothelial carcinoma (UC) represents a heterogeneous disease entity with numerous morphological, molecular, and immunological phenotypes. AIMS: This article aims to provide an overview of current histopathological, molecular, and immunological prognostic and predictive factors in muscle-invasive and metastatic UC. RESULTS AND DISCUSSION: Muscle-invasive and metastatic UC exhibits a wide range of divergent differentiations and histological subtypes. The correct diagnosis of these morphological variants is essential, as they may determine the clinical course and may also present specific and potentially therapeutically targetable molecular alterations (e.g., HER2 alterations in micropapillary UC). The morphological subtypes largely correlate with the six molecular consensus subtypes. Furthermore, morphological and molecular subtypes are associated with immunological properties that are relevant for modern immunotherapies, such as the PD-L1 status. Numerous immunotherapy studies in the setting of curatively treatable muscle-invasive UC will be reported in 2024 and 2025, likely leading to an increasing number of PD-L1 testing indications.

Cortical morphological alterations in cognitively normal Parkinson's disease with severe hyposmia.

Olfactory dysfunction is a common non-motor symptom of Parkinson's disease(PD) and may hold valuable insights into the disease's underlying pathophysiology. This study aimed to investigate cortical morphometry alterations in PD patients with severe hyposmia(PD-SH) and mild hyposmia(PD-MH) using surface-based morphometry(SBM) methods. Participants included 36 PD-SH patients, 38 PD-MH patients, and 40 healthy controls(HCs). SBM analysis revealed distinct patterns of cortical alterations in PD-SH and PD-MH patients. PD-MH patients exhibited reduced cortical thickness in the right supramarginal gyrus, while PD-SH patients showed widespread cortical thinning in regions including the bilateral pericalcarine cortex, bilateral lingual gyrus, left inferior parietal cortex, left lateral occipital cortex, right pars triangularis, right cuneus, and right superior parietal cortex. Moreover, PD-SH patients displayed reduced cortical thickness in the right precuneus compared to PD-MH patients. Fractal dimension analysis indicated increased cortical complexity in PD-MH patients' right superior temporal cortex and right supramarginal gyrus, as well as decreased complexity in the bilateral postcentral cortex, left superior parietal cortex, and right precentral cortex. Similarly, cortical gyrification index and cortical sulcal depth exhibited heterogeneous patterns of changes in PD-SH and PD-MH patients compared to HCs. These findings underscore the multifaceted nature of olfactory impairment in PD, with distinct patterns of cortical morphometry alterations associated with different degrees of hyposmia. The observed discrepancies in brain regions showing alterations reflect the complexity of PD's pathophysiology. These insights contribute to a deeper understanding of olfactory dysfunction in PD and provide potential avenues for early diagnosis and targeted interventions.

Key learnings from the INBUILD trial in patients with progressive pulmonary fibrosis.

In a patient with interstitial lung disease (ILD) of known or unknown etiology other than idiopathic pulmonary fibrosis (IPF), progressive pulmonary fibrosis (PPF) is defined by worsening lung fibrosis on high-resolution computed tomography (HRCT), decline in lung function, and/or deterioration in symptoms. The INBUILD trial involved 663 patients with PPF who were randomized to receive nintedanib or placebo. The median exposure to trial medication was approximately 19 months. The INBUILD trial provided valuable learnings about the course of PPF and the efficacy and safety of nintedanib. The relative effect of nintedanib on reducing the rate of forced vital capacity decline was consistent across subgroups based on ILD diagnosis, HRCT pattern, and disease severity at baseline, and between patients who were and were not taking glucocorticoids or disease-modifying anti-rheumatic drugs and/or glucocorticoids at baseline. The adverse events most frequently associated with nintedanib were gastrointestinal, particularly diarrhea, but nintedanib was discontinued in only a minority of cases. The results of the INBUILD trial highlight the importance of prompt detection and treatment of PPF and the utility of nintedanib as a treatment option.

What did we find out from the INBUILD trial about progressive lung fibrosis?Lung fibrosis is a rare disease in which the lung tissue becomes scarred and hardened. This makes it more difficult for the lungs to inflate and for the lungs to exchange oxygen with the blood. In some patients, lung fibrosis gets worse over time. This is known as progressive lung fibrosis. In the INBUILD trial, researchers looked at the effects of a drug called nintedanib in patients with progressive lung fibrosis. In this trial, 663 patients were randomly allocated to receive either nintedanib or a placebo and then followed for approximately 19 months. The patients and the researchers did not know which patients were taking the active drug (nintedanib) and which patients were taking placebo. The results showed that the criteria used to find patients with progressive lung fibrosis to take part in the trial successfully identified patients whose disease would continue to worsen. These criteria were based on a decline in the volume (size) of the lungs, worsening symptoms such as shortness of breath, and worsening of changes seen on a scan of the chest. The trial results also showed that nintedanib slowed down loss of lung function and had a similar benefit in patients with different severities of disease at the start of the trial. The most common side-effects of nintedanib were gastrointestinal problems, particularly diarrhea, but most patients given nintedanib were able to cope with these side-effects without needing to stop treatment. Large trials like the INBUILD trial are important for helping us understand how diseases progress and in which patients particular drugs should be used.

A chain mediation model reveals the association between metacognition and quality of life in hematologic tumor patients.

The study aims to explore the relationship among metacognition (MC), fear of disease of progression (FoP), psychological distress (PD), and quality of life (QoL), and verify whether FoP and PD have a chain mediating effect between MC and QoL. 231 hematologic tumor patients in a large tertiary hospital were investigated by using Meta-Cognitions Questionnaire-30, Fear of Progression Questionnaire-Short Form, Hospital Anxiety and Depression Scale, and Functional Assessment of Cancer Therapy scale. Data analyses were performed using IBM SPSS (version 25.0) and the PROCESS macro (version 4.1). The results showed that the direct impact of MC on QoL was not statistically significant. However, the indirect influence of MC on QoL manifest through the independent influences of PD and FoP, as well as the chain mediating effect of "PD → FoP." In addition, all four dimensions of QoL (physical, social and family, emotional, and functional) satisfy the chain mediation model, except for the social and family domain. These insights advance our comprehension of the intricate interplay between MC and QoL, underscoring the importance of improving MC to alleviate patients' PD, mitigate FoP, and ultimately improve the QoL of hematologic tumor patients.

α-Fetoprotein, α-Fetoprotein-L3, and Des-γ-Carboxy Prothrombin Stratify Hepatocellular Carcinoma Treatment Response and Progression Risk.

Background and Aims: Assessing aggressive biology at early-stage hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) diagnosis remains challenging. Alpha-fetoprotein (AFP) is the only clinical biomarker of aggressive HCC. In this study, AFP, Lens culinaris agglutinin-reactive AFP (AFP-L3), and des-γ-carboxy prothrombin (DCP) were measured at diagnosis prior to transplant evaluation and first cycle liver-directed therapy (LDT). Methods: The prospective cohort included 207 patients who received LDT as a bridge/downstage to transplant or definitive treatment plan between 2016 and 2022. Plasma AFP, AFP-L3, and DCP levels were measured at diagnosis and analyzed with other factors associated with treatment response and time-to-progression. Results: Biomarker phenotyping revealed 41% were triple negative, 30% expressed multiple biomarkers, and 12% express all 3 biomarkers. The biomarker profile was associated with target/overall response rate and time-to-progression (P < .001). Profiling stratified 1-year progression risk in nontransplant candidates, driven by coexpression of AFP and DCP in multivariate analysis controlling for tumor burden and staging. Conclusion: The biomarker panel at diagnosis established prognosis for LDT response and stratified 1-year HCC progression risk. AFP, AFP-L3, and DCP profiling isolated aggressive HCC biology at diagnosis and may have important implications in post-LDT surveillance and transplant wait time.

Identification of Fast Progressors Among Patients With Nonalcoholic Steatohepatitis Using Machine Learning.

Background and Aims: There is a high unmet need to develop noninvasive tools to identify nonalcoholic fatty liver disease/nonalcoholic steatohepatitis (NAFLD/NASH) patients at risk of fast progression to end-stage liver disease (ESLD). This study describes the development of a machine learning (ML) model using data around the first clinical evidence of NAFLD/NASH to identify patients at risk of future fast progression. Methods: Adult patients with ESLD (cirrhosis or hepatocellular carcinoma) due to NAFLD/NASH were identified in Optum electronic health records (2007-2018 period). Patients were stratified into fast (0.5 and 3 years) and standard progressor (6-10 years) cohorts based on retrospectively established progression time between ESLD and the earliest observable disease, and characteristics were reported using descriptive statistics. Two ML models predicting fast progression were created, performance was compared, and top predictive features from the final model were compared between cohorts. Results: Among a total of 4013 NAFLD patients with cirrhosis or hepatocellular carcinoma (mean age 58.6 ± 12.5; 65% female), 24% were fast (n = 951) and 25% standard (n = 992) progressors that were used for modeling. The cohorts were comparable for gender, body mass index, type 2 diabetes, and arterial hypertension, but differed significantly for obesity, hyperlipidemia, and age at index. The final model (NASH FASTmap) is a 44 feature light gradient boosting model which performed better (area under the curve [0.77], F1-score [0.74], accuracy [0.71], and precision [0.71]) than eXtreme gradient boosting model to predict fast progression. Conclusion: Future fast progression to ESLD in NAFLD/NASH patients can be predicted from clinical data using ML. Electronic health record implementation of NASH FASTmap could support clinical assessment for risk stratification and potentially improve disease management.

[Bullous mycosis fungoides-clinical indicator for an aggressive course of disease]. / Bullöse Mycosis fungoides ­ ein klinischer Indikator für einen aggressiven Krankheitsverlauf.

Mycosis fungoides (MF) is defined as the most common cutaneous T­cell lymphoma (CTCL). The bullous form is considered one of its numerous variants. Only a few cases of this rare entity have been described. We report the case of a man with an aggressive course of bullous MF, which led to lethal outcome within a few weeks due to a fulminant sepsis.

Apical tubular complement activation and the loss of kidney function in proteinuric kidney diseases.

Many kidney diseases are associated with proteinuria. Since proteinuria is independently associated with kidney function loss, anti-proteinuric medication, often in combination with dietary salt restriction, comprises a major cornerstone in the prevention of progressive kidney failure. Nevertheless, complete remission of proteinuria is very difficult to achieve, and most patients with persistent proteinuria slowly progress toward kidney failure. It is well-recognized that proteinuria leads to kidney inflammation and fibrosis via various mechanisms. Among others, complement activation at the apical side of the proximal tubular epithelial cells is suggested to play a crucial role as a cause of progressive loss of kidney function. However, hitherto limited attention is given to the pathophysiological role of tubular complement activation relative to glomerular complement activation. This review aims to summarize the evidence for tubular epithelial complement activation in proteinuric kidney diseases in relation to loss of kidney function.

Disease progression in Parkinson's disease patients with mild cognitive impairment: 5-year longitudinal study from the early Parkinson's disease longitudinal Singapore (PALS) cohort.

AIM: To investigate motor, non-motor and cognitive progression in early Parkinson's disease (PD) patients with Mild Cognitive Impairment (MCI). METHODS: PD patients were recruited within 1 year of diagnosis and were classified into PD-MCI group and PD with normal cognition (PD-NC) group. H&Y staging scale, MDS-UPDRS part III were used to assess disease severity and motor progression. Non-motor symptom scale (NMSS) was used to evaluate the NMS progression. Cognitive progression was assessed from 5 cognitive domains. Annual progression changes in the longitudinal outcomes were examined via linear mixed model with random intercept effect. False discovery rate (FDR) method was performed to control for multiple testing comparison and q-value was calculated. We set the threshold of q-values as 0.1. RESULT: A total of 205 PD patients, including 107 PD-MCI and 98 PD-NC patients were assessed prospectively over a 5-year period. PD-MCI patients, compared to PD-NC group, had a significantly higher progression rate in H&Y score (0.11 vs. 0.06, p=0.03, q=0.08), MDS-UPDRS motor score (3.11 vs. 1.90 p<0.001, q=0.06) and postural instability gait difficulty (PIGD) score (0.40 vs. 0.20, p=0.02, q=0.07). PD-MCI group also exhibited significantly faster deterioration in NMSS perceptual domain (PD-MCI vs. PD-NC: 0.38 vs. -0.04, p=0.01, q=0.06) and cognitive visuospatial domain (PD-MCI vs. PD-NC: 0.13 vs. -0.06, p=0.048, q=0.09) after adjustment for confounders and multiple comparisons. CONCLUSIONS: PD-MCI patients had faster decline in motor functions, visuo-perceptual and visuospatial performance. These findings provide a more comprehensive prognosis of PD-MCI, which could be helpful for clinician to manage PD-MCI patients.

Only repeatedly elevated IgG4 levels in primary sclerosing cholangitis may distinguish a particular patient phenotype.

BACKGROUND: Primary sclerosing cholangitis (PSC) is a chronic liver disease leading to inflammation with scaring and strictures of bile ducts, which can lead to liver cirrhosis. A subtype of PSC characterized by high serum IgG4 (sIgG4) levels has been reported to be associated with poor outcomes, but the exact role and the longitudinal development of sIgG4 levels in PSC progression remains to be clarified. The aim of this study was to investigate if subsequent analysis of sIgG4 levels allows the identification of the PSC phenotype with high sIgG4. METHODS: sIgG4 values were repeatedly analysed in a well-characterized European PSC cohort of 110 individuals. Biochemical parameters, clinical endpoints, death and liver transplantation were compared between PSC subgroups. RESULTS: 12.7% (n = 14) of PSC patients showed increased sIgG4 levels (PSC-IgG4). The values normalized in 57.1% (n = 8; PSC-IgG4norm) during follow-up measurements, whereas the values remained permanently elevated in 42.9% (n = 6; PSC-IgG4const). Serum values of AP and γGT were significantly higher in PSC-IgG4const compared to PSC-IgG4norm at final blood sampling. Furthermore, mean age at PSC diagnosis was markedly lower in PSC-IgG4const compared to PSC-IgG4norm. CONCLUSIONS: This is the first study analyzing longitudinal development of sIgG4 in PSC. Our data indicate that only sequential determination of sIgG4 levels allow to accurately distinguish between the PSC phenotype with high sIgG4 and PSC with low sIgG4.

Trends in symptom prevalence and sequential onset of SARS-CoV-2 infection from 2020 to 2022 in East and Southeast Asia: a trajectory pattern exploration based on summary data.

BACKGROUND: The COVID-19 pandemic's diverse symptomatology, driven by variants, underscores the critical need for a comprehensive understanding. Employing stochastic models, our study evaluates symptom sequences across SARS-CoV-2 variants on aggregated data, yielding essential insights for targeted interventions. METHODS: We conducted a meta-analysis based on research literature published before December 9, 2022, from PubMed, LitCovid, Google Scholar, and CNKI databases, to investigate the prevalence of COVID-19 symptoms during the acute phase. Registered in PROSPERO (CRD42023402568), we performed random-effects meta-analyses using the R software to estimate pooled prevalence and 95% CI. Based on our findings, we introduced the Stochastic Progression Model and Sequential Pattern Discovery using Equivalence classes (SPADE) algorithm to analyze patterns of symptom progression across different variants. RESULTS: Encompassing a total of 430,100 patients from east and southeast Asia, our results reveal the highest pooled estimate for cough/dry cough across wild-type, Delta, and Omicron variants, with fever (78.18%; 95% CI: 67-89%) being the most prominent symptom for the Alpha variant. Symptoms associated with the Omicron variant primarily manifested in upper respiratory tracts, cardiovascular, and neuropsychiatric systems. Stochastic models indicate early symptoms including dry cough and fever, followed by subsequent development of sleep disorders, fatigue, and more. CONCLUSION: Our study underscores the evolving symptomatology across SARS-CoV-2 variants, emphasizing similarities in fever, cough, and fatigue. The Omicron variant presents a distinct profile characterized by milder symptoms yet heightened neuropsychological challenges. Advanced analytical models validate the observed sequential progression of symptoms, reinforcing the consistency of disease trajectory.

Patient-centric thresholding of Cobas® EGFR mutation Test v2 for surveillance of EGFR-mutated metastatic non-small cell lung cancer.

Cobas EGFR mutation Test v2 was FDA-approved as qualitative liquid biopsy for actionable EGFR variants in non-small cell lung cancer (NSCLC). It generates semiquantitative index (SQI) values that correlate with mutant allele levels, but decision thresholds for clinical use in NSCLC surveillance are lacking. We conducted long-term ctDNA monitoring in 20 subjects with EGFR-mutated NSCLC; resulting in a 155 on-treatment samples. We defined optimal SQI intervals to predict/rule-out progression within 12 weeks from sampling and performed orthogonal calibration versus deep-sequencing and digital PCR. SQI showed significant diagnostic power (AUC 0.848, 95% CI 0.782-0.901). SQI below 5 (63% of samples) had 93% (95% CI 87-96%) NPV, while SQI above 10 (25% of samples) had 69% (95% CI 56-80%) PPV. Cobas EGFR showed perfect agreement with sequencing (Kappa 0.860; 95% CI 0.674-1.00) and digital PCR. SQI values strongly (r: 0.910, 95% 0.821-0.956) correlated to mutant allele concentrations with SQI of 5 and 10 corresponding to 6-9 (0.2-0.3%) and 64-105 (1.1-1.6%) mutant allele copies/mL (VAF) respectively. Our dual-threshold classifier of SQI 0/5/10 yielded informative results in 88% of blood draws with high NPV and good overall clinical utility for patient-centric surveillance of metastatic NSCLC.

Improving Hepatocellular Carcinoma Surveillance Outcomes in Patients with Cirrhosis after Hepatitis C Cure: A Modelling Study.

BACKGROUND & AIMS: Hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) presents a significant global health challenge, particularly among individuals with liver cirrhosis, with hepatitis C (HCV) a major cause. In people with HCV-related cirrhosis, an increased risk of HCC remains after cure. HCC surveillance with six monthly ultrasounds has been shown to improve survival. However, adherence to biannual screening is currently suboptimal. This study aimed to evaluate the effect of increased HCC surveillance uptake and improved ultrasound sensitivity on mortality among people with HCV-related cirrhosis post HCV cure. METHODS: This study utilized mathematical modelling to assess HCC progression, surveillance, diagnosis, and treatment among individuals with cirrhosis who had successfully been treated for HCV. The deterministic compartmental model incorporated Barcelona Clinic Liver Cancer (BCLC) stages to simulate disease progression and diagnosis probabilities in 100 people with cirrhosis who had successfully been treated for hepatitis C over 10 years. Four interventions were modelled to assess their potential for improving life expectancy: realistic improvements to surveillance adherence, optimistic improvements to surveillance adherence, diagnosis sensitivity enhancements, and improved treatment efficacy Results: Realistic adherence improvements resulted in 9.8 (95% CI 7.9, 11.6) life years gained per cohort of 100 over a 10-year intervention period; 17.2 (13.9, 20.3) life years were achieved in optimistic adherence improvements. Diagnosis sensitivity improvements led to a 7.0 (3.6, 13.8) year gain in life years, and treatment improvements improved life years by 9.0 (7.5, 10.3) years. CONCLUSIONS: Regular HCC ultrasound surveillance remains crucial to reduce mortality among people with cured hepatitis C and cirrhosis. Our study highlights that even minor enhancements to adherence to ultrasound surveillance can significantly boost life expectancy across populations more effectively than strategies that increase surveillance sensitivity or treatment efficacy.

Multi-omics analysis reveals drivers of loss of ß-cell function after newly diagnosed autoimmune type 1 diabetes: An INNODIA multicenter study.

AIMS: Heterogeneity in the rate of ß-cell loss in newly diagnosed type 1 diabetes patients is poorly understood and creates a barrier to designing and interpreting disease-modifying clinical trials. Integrative analyses of baseline multi-omics data obtained after the diagnosis of type 1 diabetes may provide mechanistic insight into the diverse rates of disease progression after type 1 diabetes diagnosis. METHODS: We collected samples in a pan-European consortium that enabled the concerted analysis of five different omics modalities in data from 97 newly diagnosed patients. In this study, we used Multi-Omics Factor Analysis to identify molecular signatures correlating with post-diagnosis decline in ß-cell mass measured as fasting C-peptide. RESULTS: Two molecular signatures were significantly correlated with fasting C-peptide levels. One signature showed a correlation to neutrophil degranulation, cytokine signalling, lymphoid and non-lymphoid cell interactions and G-protein coupled receptor signalling events that were inversely associated with a rapid decline in ß-cell function. The second signature was related to translation and viral infection was inversely associated with change in ß-cell function. In addition, the immunomics data revealed a Natural Killer cell signature associated with rapid ß-cell decline. CONCLUSIONS: Features that differ between individuals with slow and rapid decline in ß-cell mass could be valuable in staging and prediction of the rate of disease progression and thus enable smarter (shorter and smaller) trial designs for disease modifying therapies as well as offering biomarkers of therapeutic effect.

Risk factors for chronic kidney disease progression over 20 years for primary prevention in Japanese individuals at a preventive medicine research center: Focus on the influence of plasma glucose levels.

AIMS/INTRODUCTION: Chronic kidney disease (CKD) is a very important issue globally because of the risk of its progressing to end-stage renal disease. We aimed to identify factors contributing to long-term estimated glomerular filtration rate (eGFR) decline to determine an early diagnosis and prevent CKD progression. MATERIALS AND METHODS: From January 2003 to December 2006, 5,507 individuals underwent health checkups at our hospital's Preventive Medicine Research Center. We ultimately enrolled 2,175 individuals. The eGFR was ≥60 mL/min/1.73 m2 at the start of observation period, which was 20 years. The event onset time was the day that the eGFR became <30 mL/min during the 20-year period. Baseline risk factors - in particular, the effect of plasma glucose levels on the eGFR - were extracted and evaluated by using Fine and Gray analysis. RESULTS: During the 20-year observation, the hazard ratio (HR) of CKD progression was examined. A fasting plasma glucose (FPG) level ≥105 mg/dL was significantly associated with the risk of CKD progressing to an eGFR <30 mL/min. This trend was similar in the slope of eGFR. An FPG ≥105 mg/dL or an glycated hemoglobin level ≥6.5% was useful for intervening in CKD progression. Multivariate analysis showed that independent risk factors were an FPG level ≥105 mg/dL (HR 1.9; P < 0.001), age ≥60 years (HR 3.86; P < 0.001), obesity (HR 1.61; P < 0.01) and urinary protein (HR 1.55; P < 0.01). CONCLUSIONS: For early intervention against a reduction in the eGFR, detecting mild increases in FPG ≥105 mg/dL in patients with CKD with or without diabetes is useful.

Impact of family history of prostate cancer on disease progression for prostatic cancer patients undergoing active surveillance: A systematic review and meta-analysis.

PURPOSE: To evaluate how a family history of prostate cancer influences the progression of the disease in individuals with prostate cancer undergoing active surveillance. MATERIALS AND METHODS: We conducted a thorough literature search in PubMed/MEDLINE, Embase, and Cochrane Library up to June 2023. This systematic review was registered in PROSPERO (CRD42023441853). The study evaluated the effects of family history of prostate cancer (intervention) on disease progression (outcome) in prostate cancer patients undergoing active surveillance (population) and compared them to those without a family history (comparators). For time to disease progression outcomes, the extracted data were synthesized using the inverse variance method on the log hazard ratios scale. RESULTS: A total of eight studies were incorporated into this systematic review and meta-analysis. The combined hazard ratio for unadjusted disease progression was 1.06 (95% confidential interval [CI] 0.66-1.69; p=0.82). The combined hazard ratio for adjusted disease progression was 1.31 (95% CI 1.16-1.48; p<0.0001). All the enlisted studies demonstrated high quality based on the Newcastle-Ottawa scale. The certainty of evidence for univariate and multivariate analysis of disease progression was very low and low, respectively. Publication bias for all studies was not significant. CONCLUSIONS: For individuals with prostate cancer opting for active surveillance, a family history of prostate cancer may serve as an independent risk factor associated with an elevated risk of disease progression. Clinicians should be counseled about the increased risk of disease progression in patients with a family history of prostate cancer undergoing active surveillance.

Diffusion Tensor Imaging-Along the Perivascular-Space Index Is Associated with Disease Progression in Parkinson's Disease.

BACKGROUND: The glymphatic clearance pathway is a waste clearance system that allows for removal of soluble proteins such as amyloid ß (Aß) from the brain. Higher Aß levels are associated with cognitive dysfunction in Parkinson's disease (PD). Diffusion tensor imaging-along the perivascular space (DTI-ALPS) is an imaging measure proposed to indirectly measure glymphatic function. OBJECTIVES: Evaluate differences in DTI-ALPS-index between PD and healthy controls (HC) and characterize relationships between this proposed measure of glymphatic clearance, cognition, and disease severity in PD. METHODS: PD (n = 32) and HC (n = 23) participants underwent brain imaging to assess DTI-ALPS. PD participants were classified as PD-normal cognition (PD-NC; n = 20) or PD-mild cognitive impairment (PD-MCI; n = 12) based on a Level II comprehensive cognitive assessment. A subgroup of PD participants (n = 21) returned for annual assessments for up to 4 years after baseline. Longitudinal outcomes included changes in performance on the comprehensive cognitive assessment and changes in the Movement Disorders Society Unified Parkinson's Disease Rating Scale (MDS-UPDRS). RESULTS: PD participants had lower DTI-ALPS-index compared to HC. PD participants classified as PD-MCI had significantly lower DTI-ALPS-index compared to PD-NC. Lower DTI-ALPS-index at baseline was associated with longitudinal cognitive decline and worse longitudinal disease severity. CONCLUSIONS: Glymphatic clearance, as measured with DTI-ALPS, has potential to serve as a marker of longitudinal disease progression. Interventions targeting glymphatic function should be explored for potential to slow cognitive decline in PD. © 2024 International Parkinson and Movement Disorder Society.