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1.
BMC Geriatr ; 24(1): 626, 2024 Jul 23.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-39044151

RESUMO

BACKGROUND: To examine the prevalence of toileting disability among older adults in India and its association with broad aspects of the physical and social environment. METHODS: We use data from the inaugural wave of the Longitudinal Ageing Study in India and focus on adults aged 65 and older (N = 20,789). We draw on the disablement process model and existing frameworks to identify environmental factors and other risk factors that may be associated with toileting disability. Hierarchical logistic regressions are implemented to analyze the health impacts from physical and social environment characteristics. RESULTS: One in five older Indian adults had difficulties with toileting, and the prevalence rate of this functional disability varied across sub-national regions. We find that low neighborhood trust was associated with an increased likelihood of toileting disability, as was the use of assistive mobility devices. The negative effects of these social and external environment characteristics hold when we stratified the sample by rural and urban residency. Also, older adults in urban areas without access to toilets and using shared latrines had higher odds of being disabled in terms of toileting. Other factors important in explaining toileting disability among older adults included poor self-rated health, arthritis, currently working, living in the East or West region, and having functional limitations. CONCLUSIONS: Poor person-environment fit can compromise older adults' ability to perform self-care tasks. Policymakers need to look beyond the physical environment (e.g., dedicating resources to construct toilet facilities) to adopt a more holistic, multi-faceted approach in their sanitation policies. Improving the safety of neighborhood surroundings in which shared latrines are located and the availability of accessible toilets that cater to those with mobility impairments can help improve independence in toileting among older adults.


Assuntos
Pessoas com Deficiência , Meio Social , Humanos , Idoso , Índia/epidemiologia , Masculino , Feminino , Idoso de 80 Anos ou mais , Banheiros , Estudos Longitudinais , Atividades Cotidianas , Características de Residência , Fatores de Risco
2.
J Appl Gerontol ; : 7334648241260614, 2024 Jul 21.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-39034286

RESUMO

There is a pressing need to include older individuals in health education and uncover their specific needs. Leveraging the advantages of digitized health education, this study employed a participatory approach to engage community-dwelling older adults in co-creating a synchronous tele-education program, with dementia as the focus due to its rising prevalence and associated stigma in Singapore. Our findings demonstrate the preliminary effectiveness and feasibility of tele-education. Participants' feedback and recommendations provided valuable insights and could guide the future development of a comprehensive tele-education program. Participants' satisfaction with the co-design workshops also indicates the potential of involving older generations in the design process of user-centered digital health interventions in online environments. Moving forward, the study advocates collaboration among health institutes, government and social agencies, and community organizations, alongside systematic evaluation of the long-term impacts of tele-education, with the aim of improving health outcomes and reducing health inequalities among the older population.

3.
Eur J Investig Health Psychol Educ ; 14(6): 1514-1526, 2024 May 28.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-38921066

RESUMO

Thailand's rapid population aging and reliance on family-based long-term care requires research into disparities in family caregiver burden. Since the type of residence matters to the caregiving outcome, this research aimed to examine the difference in caregiver burden between residents of private housing estates and traditional village communities. This cross-sectional study was conducted with 1276 family caregivers of community-dwelling Thai older adults, in Chiang Mai province, Thailand. The caregiver burden was examined using the Caregiver Burden Inventory (CBI), and the care recipients' dependency status was examined using Barthel's Activity of Daily Living (ADL). Descriptive analysis, multivariate analysis of variance test, and multiple logistic regression analysis were performed. Family caregivers living in a traditional village community were 1.607 times more likely to experience emotional burden (adj. OR 1.607, 95% CI: 1.049, 2.462) and 2.743 times more likely to experience overall caregiver burden (adj. OR: 1.163, 95% CI: 1.163, 6.471) compared to those in the private housing estate group. Our findings showed significant differences in caregiver burden based on residential area, contributing with insights to evidence-based policies, interventions, and programs to minimize disparities and promote family caregivers' health and well-being.

4.
Adv Gerontol ; 37(1-2): 60-66, 2024.
Artigo em Russo | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-38944774

RESUMO

The foundation of healthy aging is the prevention of disability. In modern medical usage, a syndrome refers to a collection of symptoms and signs with a single underlying cause that may not yet be known. Geriatric syndromes, on the other hand, refer to multifactorial health conditions and occur when the accumulated effects of impairments in multiple systems make an older person vulnerable to situational changes. The use of the term "syndrome" in geriatrics emphasizes the multiple causes of a single manifestation involving an abundance of factors involving multiple organs and systems and is characterized by unique features of common health problems in older adults. It is the geriatric syndromes that can have a significant impact on quality of life and disability. Therefore, early detection of these medical conditions using targeted geriatric assessment is essential in geriatrics. Understanding the essence and feminology of geriatric syndromes, their correct positioning and interpretation is an extremely urgent problem. The main purpose of the presented review is precisely to try to answer these questions. In addition, it has not yet been determined whether geriatric syndromes should be included in the diagnosis (the only exception is sarcopenia syndrome, which was officially included in the 10th International Classification of Diseases in 2016).


Assuntos
Avaliação Geriátrica , Terminologia como Assunto , Humanos , Idoso , Avaliação Geriátrica/métodos , Síndrome , Qualidade de Vida , Geriatria/métodos , Sarcopenia/diagnóstico , Sarcopenia/fisiopatologia , Envelhecimento/fisiologia
5.
Clin Exp Pediatr ; 2024 Jun 27.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-38938042

RESUMO

This review examines the critical issues of declining total fertility rates (TFRs) and aging populations in East Asia with special focus on South Korea. It provides a comprehensive analysis of TFR trends, aging demographics, and the policy responses of these nations to the low-fertility crisis. This study highlights the intricate tapestry of the factors contributing to these demographic shifts, including economic, social, and cultural influences. It also examines the effectiveness of various prenatal policies implemented across these countries, offering insight into their successes and limitations. Furthermore, it explores the role of immigration as a potential solution to the structural challenges posed by low birth rates. This review underscores the importance of multifaceted strategies for addressing the complex demographic challenges faced by South Korea.

6.
J Am Med Dir Assoc ; 25(8): 105102, 2024 Aug.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-38906177

RESUMO

Long-term care (LTC) is one of the most pressing public policy challenges today. Implementing policies to meet the population's demands becomes relevant in many countries, particularly in a context of rapid population aging. Both the technical complexities and the financial burden of implementing LTC policies discourage policy makers' actions in this area. In this environment, targeted policies arise as a solution to reduce the cost of implementing LTC policies. This article presents several arguments in favor of implementing universal-vs targeted-LTC initiatives. Arguments are divided into general arguments against targeting public policies, using categories proposed by Amartya Sen, and LTC-specific arguments, based on the concept of LTC as social security. Information shows that despite the financial arguments in favor of targeted policies, in the case of LTC, its costs may overcome the benefits. These results provide important lessons for policy makers, particularly regarding the design of (universal) LTC policies, warning that the allegedly simple solution of targeting benefits needs to be revisited, and replaced for policies that could balance universalism and resource constraints. This message is particularly important today for countries that face the challenge of increasing LTC needs and tighter resource constraints.


Assuntos
Política de Saúde , Assistência de Longa Duração , Humanos , Assistência de Longa Duração/economia , Assistência de Saúde Universal
7.
Rev. Finlay ; 14(2)jun. 2024.
Artigo em Espanhol | LILACS-Express | LILACS | ID: biblio-1565174

RESUMO

Fundamento: el envejecimiento es un hecho que afecta a toda la población mundial, y de manera considerable, a los países más desarrollados, en los que la esperanza de vida ha ido aumentando tal y como se refleja en el informe de Naciones Unidas. Objetivo: describir el contexto social y capacidad funcional en gerontos del consultorio # 8 del Área de Salud I del municipio Cienfuegos durante el año 2022. Método: se realizó un estudio descriptivo de corte transversal. Se seleccionó aleatoriamente una muestra del 30 % para un total de 131 ancianos. Se realizó una entrevista estructurada, que recogió las variables generales: edad, sexo, nivel de escolaridad, ocupación, antecedentes patológicos personales, la colaboración de apoyo y para completar la valoración social se aplicó el Cuestionario de Funcionamiento Familiar. Resultados: el grupo de edad de 60 a 65 años tuvo más prevalencia, el 45,5 % estudió hasta la primaria terminada, seguidos de los de secundaria terminada con el 29,0 %. Los jubilados estuvieron representados en un 38,9 %, las principales enfermedades no transmisibles que prevalecieron fueron: la hipertensión arterial, la cardiopatía isquémica y la diabetes mellitus tipo 2, el 40,4 % vivía solo, el 19,8 % tenía cuidador, el 14,5 % no recibían apoyo y el 9,9 % de los ancianos que se encontraban en probable estado de necesidad social. Conclusiones: un adulto mayor bien nutrido, querido, apoyado, con todas las necesidades básicas satisfechas, así como todas las enfermedades asociadas propias de esta etapa de la vida compensadas, tendrá en cualquier sociedad una mejor calidad de vida.


Foundation: aging is a fact that affects the entire world population, and considerably, the most developed countries, in which life expectancy has been increasing as reflected in the United Nations report. Objective: to describe the social context and functional capacity in gerontos of clinic # 8 of Health Area I of the Cienfuegos municipality during the year 2022. Method: a descriptive cross-sectional study was carried out. A 30 % sample was randomly selected for a total of 131 elderly people. A structured interview was carried out, which included the general variables: age, sex, level of education, occupation, personal pathological history, support collaboration and to complete the social assessment, the Family Functioning Questionnaire was applied. Results: the age group of 60 to 65 years had the most prevalence, 45.5 % studied until they completed primary school, followed by those who completed secondary school with 29.0 %. Retirees were represented at 38.9 %, the main non-communicable diseases that prevailed were: high blood pressure, ischemic heart disease and type 2 diabetes mellitus, 40.4 % lived alone, 19.8 % had a caregiver, 14.5 % did not receive support and 9.9 % of the elderly who were in a probable state of social need. Conclusions: a well-nourished, loved, supported older adult, with all basic needs satisfied, as well as all associated diseases typical of this stage of life compensated, will have a better quality of life in any society.

8.
Geriatr Nurs ; 58: 144-154, 2024 May 28.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-38810291

RESUMO

Easing the pressure on family caregiving and addressing the shortage of manpower for family caregiving are significant challenges that China faces in responding to its aging population. This study utilizes data from the 2015 and 2020 China Health and Retirement Longitudinal Study (CHARLS) and employs a Difference-in-Difference method to investigate the impact of pilot policies that integration of medical and caregiving for aging individuals. The findings reveal that these pilot programs are successful in reducing the amount of time spent on family caregiving and the financial burden placed on families, effectively relieving the pressure associated with family caregiving. However, the effects of these programs differ depending on the level of disability, household registration, and the geographical location of the participants. Further analysis suggests that these pilot programs achieve these positive outcomes by increasing government investment in health and wellness funds and providing in-family medical and caregiving services.

10.
Can J Aging ; : 1-8, 2024 May 17.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-38757195

RESUMO

BACKGROUND: Immigrant caregivers support the aging population, yet their own needs are often neglected. Mobile technology-facilitated interventions can promote caregiver health by providing easy access to self-care materials. OBJECTIVE: This study employed a design thinking framework to examine Chinese immigrant caregivers' (CICs) unmet self-care needs and co-design an app for promoting self-care with CICs. METHODS: Nineteen semi-structured interviews were conducted in conceptual design and prototype co-design phases. FINDINGS: Participants reported unmet self-care needs influenced by psychological and social barriers, immigrant status, and caregiving tasks. They expressed the need to learn to keep healthy boundaries with the care recipient and respond to emergencies. Gaining knowledge was the main benefit that drew CICs' interest in using the self-care app. However, potential barriers to use included issues of curriculum design, technology anxiety, limited free time, and caregiving burdens. DISCUSSION: The co-design process appears to be beneficial in having participants voice both barriers and preferences.

11.
Environ Res ; 252(Pt 3): 119032, 2024 Jul 01.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-38685298

RESUMO

Particulate matter with an aerodynamic diameter of ≤2.5 µm (PM2.5) can infiltrate deep into the respiratory system, posing significant health risks. Notably, the health burden of PM2.5 is more pronounced among the older adult population. With an aging population, the public health burden attributable to PM2.5 could escalate even if the current PM2.5 level remains stable. This study evaluated the number of deaths attributable to long-term PM2.5 exposure in the Republic of Korea between 2020 and 2050 and identified the PM2.5 concentration required at least to maintain the current PM2.5 health burden. To calculate mortality for 2020-2050, we performed a health impact assessment using 3-year (2019-2021) average population-weighted PM2.5 concentrations, age-specific population and mortality rates. In 2020, 33,578 [95% confidence interval (CI) = 31,708-35,448] deaths were attributable to PM2.5 exposure. Projecting forward, if the 2019-2021 average PM2.5 level remains constant, mortality is projected to be 112,953 (95% CI = 109,963-115,943) in 2050, more than three times higher than in 2020. To maintain the same level of health burden in 2050 as in 2020, the PM2.5 concentration needs to be immediately reduced to 5.8 µg/m3. In an age-specific analysis, the proportion of older adults (ages 65+) to total mortality would increase from 83% (2020) to 96% (2050), indicating that the rising mortality is predominantly driven by the aging population. By region, the reduction of PM2.5 concentrations, which is required immediately in 2020 to have the health burden in 2050 equal to that in 2020, varied from 3.6 µg/m3 in Goheung-gun (25% reduction) to 20.8 µg/m3 in Heungdeok-gu (82% reduction). Our study emphasizes the critical need for air quality management to consider aging populations when establishing PM2.5 air quality standards, as well as their associated policies and regulations.


Assuntos
Poluentes Atmosféricos , Exposição Ambiental , Material Particulado , Saúde Pública , República da Coreia , Material Particulado/análise , Humanos , Exposição Ambiental/efeitos adversos , Poluentes Atmosféricos/análise , Idoso , Idoso de 80 Anos ou mais , Pessoa de Meia-Idade , Adulto , Poluição do Ar/análise , Poluição do Ar/efeitos adversos , Adulto Jovem , Envelhecimento , Adolescente , Mortalidade/tendências , Criança , Pré-Escolar
12.
Aging Cell ; 23(7): e14164, 2024 Jul.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-38637937

RESUMO

Metabolomic age models have been proposed for the study of biological aging, however, they have not been widely validated. We aimed to assess the performance of newly developed and existing nuclear magnetic resonance spectroscopy (NMR) metabolomic age models for prediction of chronological age (CA), mortality, and age-related disease. Ninety-eight metabolic variables were measured in blood from nine UK and Finnish cohort studies (N ≈31,000 individuals, age range 24-86 years). We used nonlinear and penalized regression to model CA and time to all-cause mortality. We examined associations of four new and two previously published metabolomic age models, with aging risk factors and phenotypes. Within the UK Biobank (N ≈102,000), we tested prediction of CA, incident disease (cardiovascular disease (CVD), type-2 diabetes mellitus, cancer, dementia, and chronic obstructive pulmonary disease), and all-cause mortality. Seven-fold cross-validated Pearson's r between metabolomic age models and CA ranged between 0.47 and 0.65 in the training cohort set (mean absolute error: 8-9 years). Metabolomic age models, adjusted for CA, were associated with C-reactive protein, and inversely associated with glomerular filtration rate. Positively associated risk factors included obesity, diabetes, smoking, and physical inactivity. In UK Biobank, correlations of metabolomic age with CA were modest (r = 0.29-0.33), yet all metabolomic model scores predicted mortality (hazard ratios of 1.01 to 1.06/metabolomic age year) and CVD, after adjustment for CA. While metabolomic age models were only moderately associated with CA in an independent population, they provided additional prediction of morbidity and mortality over CA itself, suggesting their wider applicability.


Assuntos
Envelhecimento , Espectroscopia de Ressonância Magnética , Metabolômica , Humanos , Idoso , Pessoa de Meia-Idade , Idoso de 80 Anos ou mais , Adulto , Metabolômica/métodos , Masculino , Feminino , Espectroscopia de Ressonância Magnética/métodos , Longevidade , Estudos de Coortes , Adulto Jovem , Fatores de Risco , Finlândia/epidemiologia
13.
Health Justice ; 12(1): 17, 2024 Apr 19.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-38639865

RESUMO

BACKGROUND: As populations age globally, cooperation across multi-sector stakeholders is increasingly important to service older persons, particularly those with high and complex health and social needs. One such population is older people entering society after a period of incarceration in prison. The 'ageing epidemic' in prisons worldwide has caught the attention of researchers, governments and community organisations, who identify challenges in servicing this group as they re-enter the community. Challenges lie across multiple sectors, with inadequate support leading to dire consequences for public health, social welfare and recidivism. This is the first study to bring together multi-sector stakeholders from Australia to form recommendations for improving health and social outcomes for older people re-entering community after imprisonment. RESULTS: A modified nominal group technique was used to produce recommendations from N = 15 key stakeholders across prison health, corrections, research, advocacy, aged care, community services, via online workshops. The importance and priority of these recommendations was validated by a broader sample of N = 44 stakeholders, using an online survey. Thirty-six recommendations for improving outcomes for this population were strongly supported. The key issues underlying the recommendations included: improved multi-stakeholder systems and services, targeted release preparation and practices that ensure continuity of care, advocacy-focused initiatives in the community, and extended funding for effective programs. CONCLUSIONS: There is consensus across stakeholders on ways forward, with intervention and policy updates required at the individual, systems and community levels. These recommendations entail two important findings about this population: (1) They are a high-needs, unique, and underserved group at risk of significant health and social inequity in the community, (2) Multi-sector stakeholder cooperation will be crucial to service this growing group.

14.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-38642407

RESUMO

BACKGROUND: U.S.-focused studies have reported decreasing dementia prevalence in recent decades, but have not yet focused on the implications of the COVID-19 pandemic for trends. METHODS: We use the 2011-2021 National Health and Aging Trends Study (N=48,065) to examine dementia prevalence, incidence and mortality trends among adults ages 72 and older, and the contribution to prevalence trends of changes in the distribution of characteristics of the older population ("compositional shifts") during the full and pre-pandemic periods. To minimize classification error, individuals must meet dementia criteria for two consecutive rounds. RESULTS: The prevalence of probable dementia declined from 11.9% in 2011 to 9.2% in 2019 and 8.2% in 2021 (3.1% average annual decline). Declines over the 2011-2021 period were concentrated among those ages 80-89 and non-Hispanic White individuals. Declines in dementia incidence were stronger for the 2011-2021 period than for the pre-pandemic period while mortality among those with dementia rose sharply with the onset of the COVID-19 pandemic. Shifts in the composition of the older population accounted for a smaller fraction of the decline over the full period (28%) than over the pre-pandemic period (45%). CONCLUSIONS: Declines in dementia prevalence continued into years marked by onset of the COVID-19 pandemic, along with declines in incidence and sharp increases in mortality among those with dementia. However, declines are no longer largely attributable to compositional changes in the older population. Continued tracking of dementia prevalence, incidence and mortality among those with and without dementia is needed to understand long-run consequences of the pandemic.

15.
Front Public Health ; 12: 1351395, 2024.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-38605876

RESUMO

An aging population is one of the main features of China's current population structure, and it is a key area that needs attention to achieve high-quality population development. Because of its unique geographical environment, economic conditions, and sociocultural background, the study of population aging in the karst region of southwest China is particularly important. However, there is a lack of research exploring the regional differentiation of population aging and its influencing factors in the karst regions of southwest China. In light of this, we chose Anshun City, located in Guizhou Province's southwest area, as the case study area. We used the Lorenz curve and spatial autocorrelation to study the differences in the spatial distribution pattern of population aging and introduced multi-scale geographical weighted regression to explore its influencing factors. The results show that Anshun City's older people population proportion (OPP) is generally high with more than 7% of the older people there, making it part of an aging society. The OPP appeared high in the east and low in the west in spatial distribution; the older people population density (OPD) revealed a gradually increasing trend from south to north. At the township scale, both the OPP and the OPD showed significant spatial positive correlation, and the spatial agglomeration characteristics were obvious. OPD and OPP have a positive spatial correlation at the global level, and townships with similar OPP or OPD were spatially adjacent. The spatial distribution characteristics of population aging are the consequence of complex contributions such as natural, social, economic, and karst factors. Further, the spatial distribution pattern of aging is determined by a variety of influencing factors, which have different directions and intensities. Therefore, it is necessary to formulate and implement corresponding policies and strategies to deal with the aging problem in the future.


Assuntos
Envelhecimento , Meio Ambiente , Humanos , Idoso , China , Cidades , Geografia
16.
Environ Sci Pollut Res Int ; 31(12): 18683-18700, 2024 Mar.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-38347364

RESUMO

Climate change effect mitigation is a critical priority for top leaders and communities around the globe. Human-induced environmental issues are affecting humankind's standard of living and development potential and the planetary boundaries. Sustainability objectives aim to enhance environmental quality and ensure sustainable development for all by eliminating social inequalities. This study examines the complex relationships between demographic features, foreign direct investment, technological innovation, and ecological footprint, emphasizing the relevance of population aging, population density, and urbanization in this context. The research uses a selection of emerging European economies during 1995-2018. The reasons for countries' selection are related to the increasing rate of population aging in European countries, the attractiveness for foreign direct investment, the economic growth, and the technological advancement potential these emerging countries possess. In order to investigate the long-run relationship between the selected variables, the study tests the cross-section dependence, homogeneity, and cointegration and uses Konya tests to determine panel causality. Based on Konya methodology, differences between countries in the panel are evidenced and discussed accordingly. Our findings confirm the long-run relationship between environment, technological innovation, population aging, and FDI. The results of this research are highly relevant for policymakers in selected countries for identifying the set of correlations and the relevance of various variables in such national economies. Demographic features such as population aging and population density are critical for Europe, and the results show the impact on the ecological footprint.


Assuntos
Dióxido de Carbono , Invenções , Humanos , Desenvolvimento Econômico , Investimentos em Saúde , Demografia
17.
Health Econ ; 33(6): 1241-1265, 2024 Jun.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-38393964

RESUMO

We examine the causal effects of PM2.5 exposure on the burden of long-term care (LTC) by matching a satellite-based PM2.5 (particulate matter smaller than 2.5 micrometers (µm) in diameter) dataset with a nationally representative longitudinal study in China from 2011 to 2018. We find significant adverse effects of PM2.5 exposure-instrumented by thermal inversions-on the LTC burden. A 10 µg/m3 increase in annual PM2.5 exposure increases average monthly hours of LTC and the associated financial costs by 28 h and CNY 452, respectively. The effects are greater for those who had never smoked nor experienced severe PM2.5 pollution (annual average PM2.5 > 35 µg/m3) in the previous 5 years. We also find that as PM2.5 increases, chronic diseases, particularly cardiovascular diseases, could lead to a higher likelihood of LTC dependency but reduce the total hours and costs of LTC provision. Finally, we find that PM2.5 reduces the total years of LTC need, suggesting that PM2.5 increases LTC costs by increasing the severity of LTC dependency, rather than the duration of LTC need. Our findings can assist policymakers in planning for LTC provisions and clean air policies.


Assuntos
Poluição do Ar , Assistência de Longa Duração , Material Particulado , Humanos , China , Poluição do Ar/efeitos adversos , Assistência de Longa Duração/economia , Material Particulado/análise , Estudos Longitudinais , Feminino , Idoso , Masculino , Exposição Ambiental/efeitos adversos , Pessoa de Meia-Idade , Doença Crônica
18.
J Cancer Res Clin Oncol ; 150(2): 68, 2024 Feb 02.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-38305905

RESUMO

PURPOSE: Metastatic colorectal cancer (mCRC) is the leading cause of CRC deaths, however, the relative epidemiological research was insufficient. We aimed to analyze the patterns and trends of mortality of mCRC in Shanghai with a more complete system for monitoring the cause of death of the population and find potential methods to reduce the burden of CRC in China. METHODS: Mortality data from 2005 to 2021 of mCRC deaths were obtained from the mortality registration system in Shanghai. We analyzed the crude mortality rates, age-standardized mortality rates, and rates of years of life lost (YLL rates) of mCRC. In addition, the trends were quantified using Joinpoint Regression software. RESULTS: A total of 4,386 mCRC deaths were included, with 1,937 (44.16%) liver metastases and 1,061 (24.19%) lung metastases. The crude mortality rate and age-standardized mortality rate of mCRC were 9.09 per 105 person-years and 3.78 per 105 person-years, respectively. The YLL was 50,533.13 years, and the YLL rate was 104.67 per 105 person-years. The overall annual crude mortality rate of mCRC increased by 1.47% (95% CI 0.28-2.68%, P < 0.001) from 2005 to 2021. The crude mortality rate of mCRC increased by 3.20% per year (95% CI 1.80-4.70%, P < 0.001) from 2005 to 2013, but the trend of mortality growth remained stable from 2013 to 2021. The YLL rates remained stable between 2005 and 2021. CONCLUSIONS: Population aging was the most likely factor responsible for the increase in CRC mortality in Pudong. Physical examinations and screenings for the elderly were possible reasons for reducing the burden of CRC in fast-growing regions.


Assuntos
Neoplasias do Colo , Neoplasias Pulmonares , Neoplasias Retais , Humanos , Idoso , Criança , Estudos Retrospectivos , China/epidemiologia
19.
J Environ Manage ; 354: 120434, 2024 Mar.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-38417366

RESUMO

High carbon emissions and population aging are two obstacles to China's development as an emerging economy. It is urgent to scientifically examine the impacts of population aging on carbon emissions to discover new pathways for urban carbon emission reduction. However, existing studies face challenges in terms of focusing on and methodology for accurately capturing the role of industrial production and energy consumption in the environmental effects of population aging. This paper constructs a chain mediation analytical framework and systematically examines the intrinsic linkages between population aging and carbon emissions in Chinese cities from 2000 to 2020 using a two-way fixed effects model. This paper has three main findings. (1) The positive correlation between urban population aging and carbon emissions development is generally low, with coupling coordination degree values of 0.4233, 0.4458, 0.4220, 0.4715, and 0.4665 for each yearly cross-section. (2) For every 1% increase in the population aging rate, carbon emissions decrease by 0.3478% on average. The carbon reduction effect of population aging is significantly greater in low-emissions cities and high-income cities than in other cities. (3) The industrial upgrading (IU) path, energy conservation (EC) path and chain mediation (CM) path account for 72.43%, 7.23% and 20.34%, respectively, of the indirect effects. If the causal link between IU and EC is not considered, the EC effect will be overestimated by 281.16%. The results of the study suggest that properly coping with population aging and reducing carbon emissions are not completely opposed to each other, a conclusion that passes both endogeneity exclusion and robustness check. This paper advocates replacing the one-size-fits-all approach in carbon emissions management and investing more in policy preferences to support carbon emission reduction in both high-emissions and low-income cities.


Assuntos
Envelhecimento , Carbono , Humanos , Cidades , População Urbana , Clima , China , Dióxido de Carbono , Desenvolvimento Econômico
20.
J Environ Manage ; 353: 120185, 2024 Feb 27.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-38301479

RESUMO

Population aging and global warming have become everyday concerns of all countries. Based on the panel data of 30 provinces in China from 2003 to 2019, this paper uses the panel fixed effect model and two-stage least square method to analyze the effect of population aging on domestic energy carbon emissions of urban and rural residents. On this basis, the threshold regression model is introduced to explore the heterogeneity of the effect under different aging levels. The results show that (1) the progress of population aging at the overall level will significantly increase the level of carbon emissions from household energy consumption. At the regional level, the effect of population aging on carbon emissions from household energy consumption in rural areas is higher than in urban areas. (2) Population aging has a nonlinear effect on the carbon emissions of residential energy consumption. For urban areas, when the level of population aging crosses the threshold, its marginal impact on living carbon emissions in urban areas is further enhanced. In contrast, the opposite is true in rural areas. (3) Heterogeneity analysis results show that the impact of population aging on residential energy carbon emissions differs in different regions at the national and rural levels but does not show regional heterogeneity at the urban level.


Assuntos
Dióxido de Carbono , Carbono , Humanos , Carbono/análise , China , Dióxido de Carbono/análise , População Rural , Envelhecimento , Desenvolvimento Econômico
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