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1.
BMJ Open ; 14(5): e080664, 2024 May 20.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-38772582

RESUMO

OBJECTIVES: In April 2012, the Japanese government launched a new nursing service called the nursing small-scale multifunctional home care (NSMHC) to meet the nursing care demands of individuals with moderate-to-severe activities of daily living (ADLs) dysfunction and who require medical care, thereby allowing them to continue living in the community. We aimed to preliminarily analyse the characteristics of first-time users of NSMHC service. DESIGN: This pooled cross-sectional study used the Japanese long-term care insurance (LTCI) claims data from the users' first use of NSMHC (from April 2012 to December 2019). SETTING: NSMHC includes nursing home visits, home care, daycare, overnight stays and medical treatment. PARTICIPANTS: The study population included LTCI beneficiaries who received their first long-term care requirement certification in Japan from April 2012 onwards, died between April 2012 and December 2019, and used any LTCI service at least once. RESULTS: Among the 836 563 individuals who used any LTCI service at least once, 3957 (0.47%) used NSMHC. We analysed 3634 individuals without any missing data regarding long-term care requirement certification. Most individuals were aged 80 years or older, with 64.3% requiring care level 3 or above, indicating complete assistance with ADLs. Regarding ADLs in individuals with dementia, 70.6% were at level 2 or below, indicating they can live almost independently even with dementia. A large proportion of NSMHC users availed the service approximately 6 months before death, with no prior use of any LTCI services; they continued using the service for around 4 months, although some people continued to use NSMHC until their month of death. CONCLUSIONS: Using individual data on nationwide LTCI, we described the characteristics of first-time users of NSMHC among those who died within 7.5 years from the first certification of care needs. Further studies are needed to investigate the effect of NSMHC use on user outcomes.


Assuntos
Atividades Cotidianas , Serviços de Assistência Domiciliar , Seguro de Assistência de Longo Prazo , Humanos , Estudos Transversais , Japão , Feminino , Masculino , Seguro de Assistência de Longo Prazo/estatística & dados numéricos , Serviços de Assistência Domiciliar/estatística & dados numéricos , Idoso , Idoso de 80 Anos ou mais , Assistência de Longa Duração/estatística & dados numéricos , Revisão da Utilização de Seguros , Pessoa de Meia-Idade , População do Leste Asiático
2.
Age Ageing ; 53(5)2024 May 01.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-38773946

RESUMO

OBJECTIVE: Moving into a long-term care facility (LTCF) requires substantial personal, societal and financial investment. Identifying those at high risk of short-term mortality after LTCF entry can help with care planning and risk factor management. This study aimed to: (i) examine individual-, facility-, medication-, system- and healthcare-related predictors for 90-day mortality at entry into an LTCF and (ii) create risk profiles for this outcome. DESIGN: Retrospective cohort study using data from the Registry of Senior Australians. SUBJECTS: Individuals aged ≥ 65 years old with first-time permanent entry into an LTCF in three Australian states between 01 January 2013 and 31 December 2016. METHODS: A prediction model for 90-day mortality was developed using Cox regression with the purposeful variable selection approach. Individual-, medication-, system- and healthcare-related factors known at entry into an LTCF were examined as predictors. Harrell's C-index assessed the predictive ability of our risk models. RESULTS: 116,192 individuals who entered 1,967 facilities, of which 9.4% (N = 10,910) died within 90 days, were studied. We identified 51 predictors of mortality, five of which were effect modifiers. The strongest predictors included activities of daily living category (hazard ratio [HR] = 5.41, 95% confidence interval [CI] = 4.99-5.88 for high vs low), high level of complex health conditions (HR = 1.67, 95% CI = 1.58-1.77 for high vs low), several medication classes and male sex (HR = 1.59, 95% CI = 1.53-1.65). The model out-of-sample Harrell's C-index was 0.773. CONCLUSIONS: Our mortality prediction model, which includes several strongly associated factors, can moderately well identify individuals at high risk of mortality upon LTCF entry.


Assuntos
Assistência de Longa Duração , Humanos , Masculino , Feminino , Idoso , Estudos Retrospectivos , Idoso de 80 Anos ou mais , Assistência de Longa Duração/estatística & dados numéricos , Fatores de Risco , Medição de Risco , Austrália/epidemiologia , Sistema de Registros , Atividades Cotidianas , Casas de Saúde/estatística & dados numéricos , Fatores de Tempo , Instituição de Longa Permanência para Idosos/estatística & dados numéricos , Modelos de Riscos Proporcionais
3.
Ig Sanita Pubbl ; 80(1): 1-18, 2024.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-38708444

RESUMO

BACKGROUND This study aimed to investigate, among elderly patients in long-term care (LTC) facilities, potentially inappropriate drug prescriptions, potentially interactions and verify whether they can be traced back to hospitalisations or accesses to the Emergency Department (ED). The study data were acquired by means of a case report form investigating the medication management process in LTCs. MATERIAL AND METHODS Analysis of pharmacutilisation in LTCFs patients aged ≥65 years on polypharmacy or excessive polypharmacy, January-July 2023. Data was extracted from a database (DB) containing the monthly prescriptions of medicines supplied by direct distribution (DD) to LTCs. The prevalence of PIMs was evaluated by applying the Beers and STOPP criteria to the medication profile of each patient. RESULTS The overall prevalence of polypharmacy and hyperpolypharmacy was 83% and 17%, respectively. PIMs were defined using Beers and STOPP criteria. The most frequent PIMs were proton pump inhibitors (19% e 15%), antiplatelets agent (17% e 13%) and non-associated sulfonamides (14% e 12%). Of the 1,921 PIMs, 121 were contraindicated or very serious (6%) and 1,800 were major (94%).The most common medicaments involved in drug-drug interaction are furosemide (21%), sertraline (19%), pantoprazole (16%) e trazodone (15%). LTCs participating in the study (56%) excluded polypharmacy as a cause of access to the ED and ADRs. Therefore no case was ever reported (100%). CONCLUSIONS Polypharmacy or excessive polypharmacy among elderly patients may increase PIMs and ADRs. A constant review of the therapeutic regimens and deprescribing decrease inappropriate use of medications and interactions, ADRs, and accesses to the ED with consequent reduction of pharmaceutical spending.


Assuntos
Prescrição Inadequada , Assistência de Longa Duração , Polimedicação , Humanos , Idoso , Estudos Retrospectivos , Prescrição Inadequada/estatística & dados numéricos , Assistência de Longa Duração/estatística & dados numéricos , Feminino , Masculino , Idoso de 80 Anos ou mais , Itália , Lista de Medicamentos Potencialmente Inapropriados/estatística & dados numéricos , Interações Medicamentosas , Hospitalização/estatística & dados numéricos
4.
Int J Geriatr Psychiatry ; 39(5): e6094, 2024 May.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-38666781

RESUMO

OBJECTIVES: To provide insight into the health and social care costs during the disease trajectory in persons with dementia and the impact of institutionalization and death on healthcare costs compared with matched persons without dementia. METHODS: Electronic health record data from family physicians were linked with national administrative databases to estimate costs of primary care, medication, secondary care, mental care, home care and institutional care for people with dementia and matched persons from the year before the recorded dementia diagnosis until death or a maximum of 4 years after the diagnosis. RESULTS: Total mean health and social care costs among persons with dementia increased substantially during the disease trajectory, mainly due to institutional care costs. For people who remained living in the community, mean health and social care costs are higher for people with dementia than for those without dementia, while for those who are admitted to a long-term care facility, mean health and social care costs are higher for people without dementia than for those with dementia. CONCLUSIONS: The steep rise in health and social care costs across the dementia care trajectory is mainly due to increasing costs for institutional care. For those remaining in the community, home care costs and hospital care costs were the main cost drivers. Future research should adopt a societal perspective to investigate the influence of including social costs.


Assuntos
Demência , Custos de Cuidados de Saúde , Humanos , Demência/economia , Demência/terapia , Masculino , Feminino , Idoso , Custos de Cuidados de Saúde/estatística & dados numéricos , Estudos Longitudinais , Idoso de 80 Anos ou mais , Estudos de Casos e Controles , Serviços de Assistência Domiciliar/economia , Serviços de Assistência Domiciliar/estatística & dados numéricos , Registros Eletrônicos de Saúde/estatística & dados numéricos , Institucionalização/economia , Institucionalização/estatística & dados numéricos , Pessoa de Meia-Idade , Assistência de Longa Duração/economia , Assistência de Longa Duração/estatística & dados numéricos
5.
Front Public Health ; 12: 1226884, 2024.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-38651130

RESUMO

Background: With the rapid aging of the population, the health needs of the older adult have increased significantly, resulting in the frequent occurrence of the "social hospitalization" problem, which has led to a rapid increase in hospitalization costs. This study investigates whether the "social hospitalization problem" arising from the long-term care needs can be solved through the implementation of long-term care insurance, thereby improving the overall health of the older adults and controlling the unreasonable increase in hospitalization costs. Methods: The entropy theory was used as a conceptual model, based on data from the China Health and Retirement Longitudinal Study (CHARLS) in 2015 and 2018. The least-squares method was used to examine the relationship between long-term care needs and hospitalization costs, and the role that long-term care insurance implementation plays in its path of influence. Results: The results of this study indicated that long-term care needs would increase hospitalization cost, which remained stable after a series of tests, such as replacing the core explanatory variables and introducing fixed effects. Through the intermediary effect test and mediated adjustment effect test, we found the action path of long-term care needs on hospitalization costs. Long-term care needs increases hospitalization costs through more hospitalizations. Long-term care insurance reduces hospitalization costs. Its specific action path makes long-term care insurance reduce hospitalization costs through a negative adjustment of the number of hospitalizations. Conclusion: To achieve fair and sustainable development of long-term care insurance, the following points should be achieved: First, long-term care insurance should consider the prevention in advance and expand the scope of participation and coverage; Second, long-term care insurance should consider the control in the event and set moderate levels of treatment payments; Third, long-term care insurance should consider post-supervision and explore appropriate payment methods.


Assuntos
Hospitalização , Seguro de Assistência de Longo Prazo , Assistência de Longa Duração , Humanos , Seguro de Assistência de Longo Prazo/economia , Seguro de Assistência de Longo Prazo/estatística & dados numéricos , Hospitalização/economia , Hospitalização/estatística & dados numéricos , Idoso , Feminino , Masculino , Assistência de Longa Duração/economia , Assistência de Longa Duração/estatística & dados numéricos , Estudos Longitudinais , China , Pessoa de Meia-Idade , Estudos Transversais , Idoso de 80 Anos ou mais , Custos Hospitalares/estatística & dados numéricos , Necessidades e Demandas de Serviços de Saúde/economia
6.
BMC Med Res Methodol ; 24(1): 98, 2024 Apr 27.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-38678174

RESUMO

BACKGROUND: Language barriers can impact health care and outcomes. Valid and reliable language data is central to studying health inequalities in linguistic minorities. In Canada, language variables are available in administrative health databases; however, the validity of these variables has not been studied. This study assessed concordance between language variables from administrative health databases and language variables from the Canadian Community Health Survey (CCHS) to identify Francophones in Ontario. METHODS: An Ontario combined sample of CCHS cycles from 2000 to 2012 (from participants who consented to link their data) was individually linked to three administrative databases (home care, long-term care [LTC], and mental health admissions). In total, 27,111 respondents had at least one encounter in one of the three databases. Language spoken at home (LOSH) and first official language spoken (FOLS) from CCHS were used as reference standards to assess their concordance with the language variables in administrative health databases, using the Cohen kappa, sensitivity, specificity, positive predictive value (PPV), and negative predictive values (NPV). RESULTS: Language variables from home care and LTC databases had the highest agreement with LOSH (kappa = 0.76 [95%CI, 0.735-0.793] and 0.75 [95%CI, 0.70-0.80], respectively) and FOLS (kappa = 0.66 for both). Sensitivity was higher with LOSH as the reference standard (75.5% [95%CI, 71.6-79.0] and 74.2% [95%CI, 67.3-80.1] for home care and LTC, respectively). With FOLS as the reference standard, the language variables in both data sources had modest sensitivity (53.1% [95%CI, 49.8-56.4] and 54.1% [95%CI, 48.3-59.7] in home care and LTC, respectively) but very high specificity (99.8% [95%CI, 99.7-99.9] and 99.6% [95%CI, 99.4-99.8]) and predictive values. The language variable from mental health admissions had poor agreement with all language variables in the CCHS. CONCLUSIONS: Language variables in home care and LTC health databases were most consistent with the language often spoken at home. Studies using language variables from administrative data can use the sensitivity and specificity reported from this study to gauge the level of mis-ascertainment error and the resulting bias.


Assuntos
Idioma , Humanos , Ontário , Feminino , Masculino , Pessoa de Meia-Idade , Bases de Dados Factuais/estatística & dados numéricos , Adulto , Idoso , Barreiras de Comunicação , Inquéritos Epidemiológicos/estatística & dados numéricos , Inquéritos Epidemiológicos/métodos , Assistência de Longa Duração/estatística & dados numéricos , Assistência de Longa Duração/normas , Assistência de Longa Duração/métodos , Serviços de Assistência Domiciliar/estatística & dados numéricos , Serviços de Assistência Domiciliar/normas , Reprodutibilidade dos Testes
7.
J Hum Nutr Diet ; 37(3): 673-684, 2024 Jun.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-38446530

RESUMO

BACKGROUND: Dietitians are central members of the multidisciplinary long-term care (LTC) healthcare team. The overall aim of this current investigation is to gain a better understanding of dietitian involvement in LTC resident's end-of-life care via referrals. METHODS: Retrospective chart reviews for 164 deceased residents (mean age = 88.3 ± 7.3; 61% female) in 18 LTC homes in Ontario, Canada, identified dietitian referrals and documented eating challenges recorded over 2-week periods at four time points (i.e., 6 months, 3 months, 1 month and 2 weeks) prior to death. Nutrition care plans at the beginning of these time points were also noted. Logistic mixed effects regression models identified time-varying predictors of dietitian referrals. Bivariate tests identified associations between nutrition orders and dietitian referrals that occurred in the last month of life. RESULTS: Nearly three-quarters (73%) of participants had at least one dietitian referral across the four observations. Referrals increased significantly with proximity to death; 45% of residents had a referral documented in the last 2 weeks of life. Dietitian referrals were associated with the number of eating challenges (odds ratio [OR] = 1.42, 95% confidence interval [CI] = 1.27, 1.58). Comfort-focused nutrition care orders were significantly more common when a dietitian was referred (25%) compared with when a dietitian was not referred (12%) in the final month of life (p = 0.04). CONCLUSIONS: Our findings suggest that dietitians are involved in end-of-life and comfort-focused nutrition care initiatives, yet they are not engaged consistently for this purpose. This presents a significant opportunity for dietitians to upskill and champion palliative approaches to nutrition care within the multidisciplinary LTC team.


Assuntos
Assistência de Longa Duração , Nutricionistas , Encaminhamento e Consulta , Assistência Terminal , Humanos , Feminino , Nutricionistas/estatística & dados numéricos , Masculino , Encaminhamento e Consulta/estatística & dados numéricos , Assistência de Longa Duração/estatística & dados numéricos , Ontário , Estudos Retrospectivos , Idoso de 80 Anos ou mais , Idoso , Casas de Saúde/estatística & dados numéricos
8.
Scand J Public Health ; 52(3): 345-353, 2024 May.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-38481014

RESUMO

AIM: To describe long-term care (LTC) use in Finland and Sweden in 2020, by reporting residential entry and exit patterns including hospital admissions and mortality, compared with the 2018-2019 period and community-living individuals. METHODS: From national registers in Finland and Sweden, all individuals 70+ were included. Using the Finnish and Swedish study populations in January 2018 as the standard population, we reported changes in sex- and age-standardized monthly rates of entry into and exit from LTC facilities, mortality and hospital admission among LTC residents and community-living individuals in 2020. RESULTS: Around 850,000 Finns and 1.4 million Swedes 70+ were included. LTC use decreased in both countries from 2018 to 2020. In the first wave (March/April 2020), Finland experienced a decrease in LTC entry rates and an increase in LTC exit rates, both more marked than Sweden. This was largely due to short-term movements. Mortality rates peaked in April and December 2020 for LTC residents in Finland, while mortality peaked for both community-living individuals and LTC residents in Sweden. A decrease in hospital admissions from LTC facilities occurred in April 2020 and was less marked in Finland versus Sweden. CONCLUSIONS: During the first wave of the pandemic mortality was consistently higher in Sweden. We also found a larger decrease in LTC use and, among LTC residents, a smaller decrease in hospital admissions in Finland than in Sweden. This study calls for assessing the health consequences of the differences observed between these two Scandinavian countries as part of the lessons from the COVID-19 pandemic.


Assuntos
COVID-19 , Hospitalização , Assistência de Longa Duração , Sistema de Registros , Humanos , COVID-19/mortalidade , COVID-19/epidemiologia , Suécia/epidemiologia , Assistência de Longa Duração/estatística & dados numéricos , Finlândia/epidemiologia , Idoso , Feminino , Masculino , Hospitalização/estatística & dados numéricos , Idoso de 80 Anos ou mais , Mortalidade/tendências
9.
J Tissue Viability ; 33(2): 318-323, 2024 May.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-38360494

RESUMO

AIM: The aim of the study was to describe types and frequencies of skin care interventions and products provided in institutional long-term care. MATERIALS AND METHODS: Baseline data from a cluster randomized controlled trial conducted in nursing homes in Berlin, Germany was collected before randomization. Numbers, proportions and frequencies of washing, showering and bathing, and the application of leave-on products were calculated. Product labels were iteratively and inductively categorized into overarching terms and concepts. RESULTS: A total of n = 314 residents participated in the study. In the majority, washing of the whole body was done once daily, and showering was performed once per week or more rarely. The majority received leave-on products daily on the face and once per week on the whole body. Most of the skin care interventions were delivered by nurses. There was marked heterogeneity in terms of product names, whereas the product names reveal little about the ingredients or composition. CONCLUSION: Personal hygiene and cleansing interventions are major parts of clinical practice in long-term care. Daily washing is a standard practice at the moment. In contrast, leave-on products are used infrequently. To what extent the provided care promotes skin integrity is unclear. Due to the heterogeneity and partly misleading labels of skin care products, informed decision making is difficult to implement at present. GOV IDENTIFIER: NCT03824886.


Assuntos
Assistência de Longa Duração , Higiene da Pele , Humanos , Estudos Transversais , Higiene da Pele/métodos , Higiene da Pele/normas , Higiene da Pele/estatística & dados numéricos , Feminino , Assistência de Longa Duração/métodos , Assistência de Longa Duração/normas , Assistência de Longa Duração/estatística & dados numéricos , Masculino , Alemanha , Idoso de 80 Anos ou mais , Idoso , Casas de Saúde/estatística & dados numéricos , Casas de Saúde/normas , Casas de Saúde/organização & administração
10.
Gesundheitswesen ; 86(5): 371-379, 2024 May.
Artigo em Alemão | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-38195791

RESUMO

BACKGROUND: Despite demographic changes, there is still no systematic and comparable differentiation of nursing care reporting on a small-scale level in Germany, where outpatient long-term care is depicted. This article presents findings of care assessment data of the Medical Service of Bavaria and draws conclusions for future reporting on nursing. METHODS: For the analysis, anonymised initial long-term care assessments of the Bavarian Medical Service of 2019 were evaluated exemplarily using descriptive methods. The study describes the characteristics of persons with a care level recommendation, the distribution of care level categories, medical diagnoses and degree of independence in the areas of life. RESULTS: The persons assessed were on average 80 years old. At the time of the initial assessment, the largest proportion of persons with an assigned care level lived in an outpatient setting. Care level (PG) 1 (slight impairment of independence or abilities) was assigned to 35.1% of the insured, PG 2 (considerable impairment) to 43.1%, PG 3 (severe impairment) to 16.6%, PG 4 and 5 (most severe impairment) were each rarely assigned at the time of the initial assessment (3.9% and 1.4%, respectively). Medical diagnoses were dominated by gait and mobility disorders, unspecified dementia, heart failure and senility. In particular, there were impairments in the areas of 'mobility' and 'organisation of everyday life and social contacts'. CONCLUSIONS: The data available from the German Medical Service may be highly relevant to health research and policy and may provide a basis for planning interventions in long-term care.


Assuntos
Assistência de Longa Duração , Alemanha , Assistência de Longa Duração/estatística & dados numéricos , Humanos , Idoso de 80 Anos ou mais , Idoso , Feminino , Masculino , Saúde Pública , Necessidades e Demandas de Serviços de Saúde/estatística & dados numéricos , Avaliação das Necessidades
11.
Bone ; 180: 116995, 2024 03.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-38145862

RESUMO

BACKGROUND: Stratifying residents at increased risk for fractures in long-term care facilities (LTCFs) can potentially improve awareness and facilitate the delivery of targeted interventions to reduce risk. Although several fracture risk assessment tools exist, most are not suitable for individuals entering LTCF. Moreover, existing tools do not examine risk profiles of individuals at key periods in their aged care journey, specifically at entry into LTCFs. PURPOSE: Our objectives were to identify fracture predictors, develop a fracture risk prognostic model for new LTCF residents and compare its performance to the Fracture Risk Assessment in Long term care (FRAiL) model using the Registry of Senior Australians (ROSA) Historical National Cohort, which contains integrated health and aged care information for individuals receiving long term care services. METHODS: Individuals aged ≥65 years old who entered 2079 facilities in three Australian states between 01/01/2009 and 31/12/2016 were examined. Fractures (any) within 365 days of LTCF entry were the outcome of interest. Individual, medication, health care, facility and system-related factors were examined as predictors. A fracture prognostic model was developed using elastic nets penalised regression and Fine-Gray models. Model discrimination was examined using area under the receiver operating characteristics curve (AUC) from the 20 % testing dataset. Model performance was compared to an existing risk model (i.e., FRAiL model). RESULTS: Of the 238,782 individuals studied, 62.3 % (N = 148,838) were women, 49.7 % (N = 118,598) had dementia and the median age was 84 (interquartile range 79-89). Within 365 days of LTCF entry, 7.2 % (N = 17,110) of individuals experienced a fracture. The strongest fracture predictors included: complex health care rating (no vs high care needs, sub-distribution hazard ratio (sHR) = 1.52, 95 % confidence interval (CI) 1.39-1.67), nutrition rating (moderate vs worst, sHR = 1.48, 95%CI 1.38-1.59), prior fractures (sHR ranging from 1.24 to 1.41 depending on fracture site/type), one year history of general practitioner attendances (≥16 attendances vs none, sHR = 1.35, 95%CI 1.18-1.54), use of dopa and dopa derivative antiparkinsonian medications (sHR = 1.28, 95%CI 1.19-1.38), history of osteoporosis (sHR = 1.22, 95%CI 1.16-1.27), dementia (sHR = 1.22, 95%CI 1.17-1.28) and falls (sHR = 1.21, 95%CI 1.17-1.25). The model AUC in the testing cohort was 0.62 (95%CI 0.61-0.63) and performed similar to the FRAiL model (AUC = 0.61, 95%CI 0.60-0.62). CONCLUSIONS: Critical information captured during transition into LTCF can be effectively leveraged to inform fracture risk profiling. New fracture predictors including complex health care needs, recent emergency department encounters, general practitioner and consultant physician attendances, were identified.


Assuntos
População Australasiana , Demência , Fraturas Ósseas , Assistência de Longa Duração , Casas de Saúde , Idoso , Idoso de 80 Anos ou mais , Feminino , Humanos , Masculino , População Australasiana/estatística & dados numéricos , Austrália/epidemiologia , Demência/epidemiologia , Di-Hidroxifenilalanina , Fraturas Ósseas/epidemiologia , Assistência de Longa Duração/estatística & dados numéricos , Casas de Saúde/estatística & dados numéricos , Fatores de Risco
12.
J Med Internet Res ; 25: e43815, 2023 04 06.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-37023416

RESUMO

BACKGROUND: Numerous studies have identified risk factors for physical restraint (PR) use in older adults in long-term care facilities. Nevertheless, there is a lack of predictive tools to identify high-risk individuals. OBJECTIVE: We aimed to develop machine learning (ML)-based models to predict the risk of PR in older adults. METHODS: This study conducted a cross-sectional secondary data analysis based on 1026 older adults from 6 long-term care facilities in Chongqing, China, from July 2019 to November 2019. The primary outcome was the use of PR (yes or no), identified by 2 collectors' direct observation. A total of 15 candidate predictors (older adults' demographic and clinical factors) that could be commonly and easily collected from clinical practice were used to build 9 independent ML models: Gaussian Naïve Bayesian (GNB), k-nearest neighbor (KNN), decision tree (DT), logistic regression (LR), support vector machine (SVM), random forest (RF), multilayer perceptron (MLP), extreme gradient boosting (XGBoost), and light gradient boosting machine (Lightgbm), as well as stacking ensemble ML. Performance was evaluated using accuracy, precision, recall, an F score, a comprehensive evaluation indicator (CEI) weighed by the above indicators, and the area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (AUC). A net benefit approach using the decision curve analysis (DCA) was performed to evaluate the clinical utility of the best model. Models were tested via 10-fold cross-validation. Feature importance was interpreted using Shapley Additive Explanations (SHAP). RESULTS: A total of 1026 older adults (mean 83.5, SD 7.6 years; n=586, 57.1% male older adults) and 265 restrained older adults were included in the study. All ML models performed well, with an AUC above 0.905 and an F score above 0.900. The 2 best independent models are RF (AUC 0.938, 95% CI 0.914-0.947) and SVM (AUC 0.949, 95% CI 0.911-0.953). The DCA demonstrated that the RF model displayed better clinical utility than other models. The stacking model combined with SVM, RF, and MLP performed best with AUC (0.950) and CEI (0.943) values, as well as the DCA curve indicated the best clinical utility. The SHAP plots demonstrated that the significant contributors to model performance were related to cognitive impairment, care dependency, mobility decline, physical agitation, and an indwelling tube. CONCLUSIONS: The RF and stacking models had high performance and clinical utility. ML prediction models for predicting the probability of PR in older adults could offer clinical screening and decision support, which could help medical staff in the early identification and PR management of older adults.


Assuntos
População do Leste Asiático , Assistência de Longa Duração , Aprendizado de Máquina , Restrição Física , Idoso , Humanos , Estudos Transversais , População do Leste Asiático/estatística & dados numéricos , Assistência de Longa Duração/estatística & dados numéricos , Restrição Física/estatística & dados numéricos , Fatores de Risco , Masculino , Feminino , Idoso de 80 Anos ou mais , Algoritmos , Modelos Teóricos , Instituições de Cuidados Especializados de Enfermagem/estatística & dados numéricos , Instituição de Longa Permanência para Idosos/estatística & dados numéricos , China/epidemiologia
14.
Anesth Analg ; 134(3): 515-523, 2022 03 01.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-35180168

RESUMO

BACKGROUND: There is growing interest in identifying and developing interventions aimed at reducing the risk of increased, long-term opioid use among surgical patients. While understanding how these interventions impact health care spending has important policy implications and may facilitate the widespread adoption of these interventions, the extent to which they may impact health care spending among surgical patients who utilize opioids chronically is unknown. METHODS: This study was a retrospective analysis of administrative health care claims data for privately insured patients. We identified 53,847 patients undergoing 1 of 10 procedures between January 1, 2004, and September 30, 2018 (total knee arthroplasty, total hip arthroplasty, laparoscopic cholecystectomy, open cholecystectomy, laparoscopic appendectomy, open appendectomy, cesarean delivery, functional endoscopic sinus surgery, transurethral resection of the prostate, or simple mastectomy) who had chronic opioid utilization (≥10 prescriptions or ≥120-day supply in the year before surgery). Patients were classified into 3 groups based on differences in opioid utilization, measured in average daily oral morphine milligram equivalents (MMEs), between the first postoperative year and the year before surgery: "stable" (<20% change), "increasing" (≥20% increase), or "decreasing" (≥20% decrease). We then examined the association between these 3 groups and health care spending during the first postoperative year, using a multivariable regression to adjust for observable confounders, such as patient demographics, medical comorbidities, and preoperative health care utilization. RESULTS: The average age of the sample was 62.0 (standard deviation [SD] 13.1) years, and there were 35,715 (66.3%) women. Based on the change in average daily MME between the first postoperative year and the year before surgery, 16,961 (31.5%) patients were classified as "stable," 15,463 (28.7%) were classified as "increasing," and 21,423 (39.8%) patients were classified as "decreasing." After adjusting for potential confounders, "increasing" patients had higher health care spending ($37,437) than "stable" patients ($31,061), a difference that was statistically significant ($6377; 95% confidence interval [CI], $5669-$7084; P < .001), while "decreasing" patients had lower health care spending ($29,990), a difference (-$1070) that was also statistically significant (95% CI, -$1679 to -$462; P = .001). These results were generally consistent across an array of subgroup and sensitivity analyses. CONCLUSIONS: Among patients with chronic opioid utilization before surgery, subsequent increases in opioid utilization during the first postoperative year were associated with increased health care spending during that timeframe, while subsequent decreases in opioid utilization were associated with decreased health care spending.


Assuntos
Analgésicos Opioides/uso terapêutico , Uso de Medicamentos/economia , Custos de Cuidados de Saúde/estatística & dados numéricos , Assistência de Longa Duração/estatística & dados numéricos , Transtornos Relacionados ao Uso de Opioides/economia , Adolescente , Adulto , Idoso , Doença Crônica , Feminino , Gastos em Saúde , Humanos , Seguro Saúde/economia , Masculino , Pessoa de Meia-Idade , Pacientes , Estudos Retrospectivos , Adulto Jovem
15.
CMAJ Open ; 10(1): E50-E55, 2022.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-35078823

RESUMO

BACKGROUND: Low socioeconomic status is associated with increased risk of stroke and worse poststroke functional status. The aim of this study was to determine whether socioeconomic status, as measured by material deprivation, is associated with direct discharge to long-term care or length of stay after inpatient stroke rehabilitation. METHODS: We performed a retrospective, population-based cohort study of people admitted to inpatient rehabilitation in Ontario, Canada, after stroke. Community-dwelling adults (aged 19-100 yr) discharged from acute care with a most responsible diagnosis of stroke between Sept. 1, 2012, and Aug. 31, 2017, and subsequently admitted to an inpatient rehabilitation bed were included. We used a multivariable logistic regression model to examine the association between material deprivation quintile (from the Ontario Marginalization Index) and discharge to long-term care, and a multivariable negative binomial regression model to examine the association between material deprivation quintile and rehabilitation length of stay. RESULTS: A total of 18 736 people were included. There was no association between material deprivation and direct discharge to long-term care (most v. least deprived: odds ratio [OR] 1.07, 95% confidence interval [CI] 0.89-1.28); however, people living in the most deprived areas had a mean length of stay 1.7 days longer than that of people in the least deprived areas (p = 0.004). This difference was not significant after adjustment for other baseline differences (relative change in mean 1.02, 95% CI 0.99-1.04). INTERPRETATION: People admitted to inpatient stroke rehabilitation in Ontario had similar discharge destinations and lengths of stay regardless of their socioeconomic status. In future studies, investigators should consider further examining the associations of material deprivation with upstream factors as well as potential mitigation strategies.


Assuntos
Vida Independente/estatística & dados numéricos , Assistência de Longa Duração , Centros de Reabilitação/estatística & dados numéricos , Reabilitação do Acidente Vascular Cerebral , Acidente Vascular Cerebral/epidemiologia , Idoso , Canadá/epidemiologia , Feminino , Estado Funcional , Humanos , Pacientes Internados , Tempo de Internação/estatística & dados numéricos , Assistência de Longa Duração/métodos , Assistência de Longa Duração/estatística & dados numéricos , Masculino , Alta do Paciente/normas , Alta do Paciente/estatística & dados numéricos , Recuperação de Função Fisiológica , Estudos Retrospectivos , Fatores Socioeconômicos , Reabilitação do Acidente Vascular Cerebral/métodos , Reabilitação do Acidente Vascular Cerebral/estatística & dados numéricos
16.
Crit Care Med ; 50(1): 93-102, 2022 01 01.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-34166292

RESUMO

OBJECTIVES: Availability of long-term acute care hospitals has been associated with hospital discharge practices. It is unclear if long-term acute care hospital availability can influence patient care decisions. We sought to determine the association of long-term acute care hospital availability at different hospitals with the likelihood of tracheostomy. DESIGN: Retrospective cohort study. SETTING: California Patient Discharge Database, 2016-2018. PATIENTS: Adult patients receiving mechanical ventilation for respiratory failure. INTERVENTIONS: None. MEASUREMENTS AND MAIN RESULTS: Using the California Patient Discharge Database 2016-2018, we identified all mechanically ventilated patients and those who received tracheostomy. We determine the association between tracheostomy and the distance between each hospital and the nearest long-term acute care hospital and the number of long-term acute care hospital beds within 20 miles of each hospital. Among 281,502 hospitalizations where a patient received mechanical ventilation, 22,899 (8.1%) received a tracheostomy. Patients admitted to a hospital closer to a long-term acute care hospital compared with those furthest from a long-term acute care hospital had 38.9% (95% CI, 33.3-44.6%) higher odds of tracheostomy (closest hospitals 8.7% vs furthest hospitals 6.3%, adjusted odds ratio = 1.65; 95% CI, 1.40-1.95). Patients had a 32.4% (95% CI, 27.6-37.3%) higher risk of tracheostomy when admitted to a hospital with more long-term acute care hospital beds in the immediate vicinity (most long-term acute care hospital beds within 20 miles 8.9% vs fewest long-term acute care hospital beds 6.7%, adjusted odds ratio = 1.54; 95% CI, 1.31-1.80). Distance to the nearest long-term acute care hospital was inversely correlated with hospital risk-adjusted tracheostomy rates (ρ = -0.25; p < 0.0001). The number of long-term acute care hospital beds within 20 miles was positively correlated with hospital risk-adjusted tracheostomy rates (ρ = 0.22; p < 0.0001). CONCLUSIONS: Proximity and availability of long-term acute care hospital beds were associated with patient odds of tracheostomy and hospital tracheostomy practices. These findings suggest a hospital effect on tracheostomy decision-making over and above patient case-mix. Future studies focusing on shared decision-making for tracheostomy are needed to ensure goal-concordant care for prolonged mechanical ventilation.


Assuntos
Hospitais/provisão & distribuição , Hospitais/estatística & dados numéricos , Respiração Artificial/estatística & dados numéricos , Insuficiência Respiratória/terapia , Traqueostomia/estatística & dados numéricos , Adulto , Idoso , Idoso de 80 Anos ou mais , California , Comorbidade , Feminino , Mortalidade Hospitalar , Humanos , Assistência de Longa Duração/estatística & dados numéricos , Masculino , Pessoa de Meia-Idade , Estudos Retrospectivos , Fatores Sociodemográficos , Meios de Transporte
17.
PLoS One ; 16(12): e0261078, 2021.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-34879115

RESUMO

OBJECTIVES: To examine the relation between physical and psychological health indicators at adolescence (age 18) and household, personal, and nursing home care use later in life at ages 57-69 years. METHODS: Using medical examinations on men born in 1944-1947 who were evaluated for military service at age 18 in the Netherlands, we link physical and psychological health assessments to national administrative microdata on the use of home care services at ages 57-69 years. We postulate a panel probit model for home care use over these years. In the analyses, we account for selective survival through correlated panel probit models. RESULTS: Poor mental health and being overweight at age 18 are important predictors of later life home care use. Home care use at ages 57-69 years is also highly related to and interacts with father's socioeconomic status and recruits' education at age 18. DISCUSSION: Specific health characteristics identified at age 18 are highly related to the later utilization of home-care at age 57-69 years. Some characteristics may be amenable to early life health interventions to decrease the future costs of long-term home care.


Assuntos
Características da Família , Serviços de Assistência Domiciliar/estatística & dados numéricos , Assistência de Longa Duração/estatística & dados numéricos , Transtornos Mentais/fisiopatologia , Saúde Mental , Obesidade Infantil/fisiopatologia , Psicologia do Adolescente/tendências , Adolescente , Idoso , Humanos , Masculino , Transtornos Mentais/epidemiologia , Transtornos Mentais/psicologia , Pessoa de Meia-Idade , Países Baixos/epidemiologia , Obesidade Infantil/epidemiologia , Obesidade Infantil/psicologia
18.
Sci Rep ; 11(1): 21607, 2021 11 03.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-34732819

RESUMO

Previous studies indicated residents in geriatric long-term care facilities (LTCFs) had much higher prevalence of extended-spectrum ß-lactamase-producing Enterobacteriaceae (ESBL-E) carriage than the general population. Most ESBL-E carriers are asymptomatic. The study tested the hypothesis that residents with ESBL-E carriage may accumulate inside geriatric LTCFs through potential cross-transmission after exposure to residents with prolonged ESBL-E carriage. 260 residents from four Japanese LTCFs underwent ESBL-E testing of fecal specimens and were divided into two cohorts: Cohort 1,75 patients with ≥ 2 months residence at study onset; Cohort 2, 185 patients with < 2 months residence at study onset or new admission during the study period. Three analyses were performed: (1) ESBL-E carriage statuses in Cohort 1 and Cohort 2; (2) changes in ESBL-E carriage statuses 3-12 months after the first testing and ≥ 12 months after the second testing; and (3) lengths of positive ESBL-E carriage statuses. Compared with the residents in Cohort 1, a significantly larger proportion of residents in Cohort 2 were positive for ESBL-E carriage (28.0% in Cohort 1 vs 40.0% in Cohort 2). In the subsequent testing results, 18.3% of residents who were negative in the first testing showed positive conversion to ESBL-E carriage in the second testing, while no patients who were negative in the second testing showed positive conversion in the third testing. The maximum length of ESBL-E carriage was 17 months. The findings indicated that some residents acquired ESBL-E through potential cross-transmission inside the LTCFs after short-term residence. However, no residents showed positive conversion after long-term residence, which indicates that residents with ESBL-E carriage may not accumulate inside LTCFs. Practical infection control and prevention measures could improve the ESBL-E prevalence in geriatric LTCFs.


Assuntos
Infecção Hospitalar/epidemiologia , Infecções por Enterobacteriaceae/epidemiologia , Enterobacteriaceae/isolamento & purificação , Instalações de Saúde/estatística & dados numéricos , Assistência de Longa Duração/estatística & dados numéricos , Idoso , Idoso de 80 Anos ou mais , Estudos de Coortes , Infecção Hospitalar/microbiologia , Infecções por Enterobacteriaceae/microbiologia , Infecções por Enterobacteriaceae/transmissão , Feminino , Seguimentos , Humanos , Japão/epidemiologia , Masculino , Testes de Sensibilidade Microbiana , Pessoa de Meia-Idade , Prevalência , Prognóstico
19.
Ann Intern Med ; 174(12): 1674-1682, 2021 12.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-34662150

RESUMO

BACKGROUND: Older adults dually eligible for Medicare and Medicaid have particularly high food insecurity prevalence and health care use. OBJECTIVE: To determine whether participation in the Supplemental Nutrition Assistance Program (SNAP), which reduces food insecurity, is associated with lower health care use and cost for older adults dually eligible for Medicare and Medicaid. DESIGN: An incident user retrospective cohort study design was used. The association between participation in SNAP and health care use and cost using outcome regression was assessed and supplemented by entropy balancing, matching, and instrumental variable analyses. SETTING: North Carolina, September 2016 through July 2020. PARTICIPANTS: Older adults (aged ≥65 years) dually enrolled in Medicare and Medicaid but not initially enrolled in SNAP. MEASUREMENTS: Inpatient admissions (primary outcome), emergency department visits, long-term care admissions, and Medicaid expenditures. RESULTS: Of 115 868 persons included, 5093 (4.4%) enrolled in SNAP. Mean follow-up was approximately 22 months. In outcome regression analyses, SNAP enrollment was associated with fewer inpatient hospitalizations (-24.6 [95% CI, -40.6 to -8.7]), emergency department visits (-192.7 [CI, -231.1 to -154.4]), and long-term care admissions (-65.2 [CI, -77.5 to -52.9]) per 1000 person-years as well as fewer dollars in Medicaid payments per person per year (-$2360 [CI, -$2649 to -$2071]). Results were similar in entropy balancing, matching, and instrumental variable analyses. LIMITATION: Single state, no Medicare claims data available, and possible residual confounding. CONCLUSION: Participation in SNAP was associated with fewer inpatient admissions and lower health care costs for older adults dually eligible for Medicare and Medicaid. PRIMARY FUNDING SOURCE: National Institutes of Health.


Assuntos
Assistência Alimentar/economia , Idoso , Serviço Hospitalar de Emergência/estatística & dados numéricos , Feminino , Gastos em Saúde/estatística & dados numéricos , Hospitalização/estatística & dados numéricos , Humanos , Assistência de Longa Duração/estatística & dados numéricos , Masculino , Medicaid , Medicare , North Carolina , Estudos Retrospectivos , Estados Unidos
20.
Med Care ; 59(Suppl 5): S479-S485, 2021 10 01.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-34524246

RESUMO

OBJECTIVE: This study seeks to measure wage differences between registered nurses (RNs) working in long-term care (LTC) (eg, nursing homes, home health) and non-LTC settings (eg, hospitals, ambulatory care) and whether differences are associated with the characteristics of the RN workforce between and within settings. STUDY DESIGN: This was a cross-sectional design. This study used the 2018 National Sample Survey of Registered Nurses (NSSRN) public-use file to examine RN employment and earnings. METHODS: Our study population included a sample of 15,373 RNs who were employed at least 1000 hours in nursing in the past year and active in patient care. Characteristics such as race/ethnicity, type of RN degree completed, census region, and union status were included. Multiple regression analyses examined the effect of these characteristics on wages. Logistic regression was used to predict RN employment in LTC settings. RESULTS: RNs in LTC experienced lower wages compared with those in non-LTC settings, yet this difference was not associated with racial/ethnic or international educational differences. Among RNs working in LTC, lower wages were associated with part-time work, less experience, lack of union representation, and regional wage differences. CONCLUSION: Because RNs in LTC earn lower wages than RNs in other settings, policies to minimize pay inequities are needed to support the RN workforce caring for frail older adults.


Assuntos
Etnicidade/estatística & dados numéricos , Assistência de Longa Duração/estatística & dados numéricos , Enfermeiras e Enfermeiros/estatística & dados numéricos , Grupos Raciais/estatística & dados numéricos , Salários e Benefícios/estatística & dados numéricos , Estudos Transversais , Mão de Obra em Saúde/economia , Humanos , Assistência de Longa Duração/economia , Enfermeiras e Enfermeiros/economia , Análise de Regressão , Estados Unidos
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