Effect of diabetes on mortality and liver transplantation in alcoholic liver cirrhotic patients with acute decompensation.

BACKGROUND: Previous studies have investigated the influence of diabetes on alcoholic liver cirrhosis patients, leaving its impact unclear. Thus, we conducted a study to reveal the association of diabetes and clinical outcomes of such patients. MATERIALS AND METHODS: We prospectively collected data from multicenter pertaining to 965 patients diagnosed with alcoholic liver cirrhosis, all of whom were admitted due to acute decompensation between 2015 and 2019. Risk of major precipitating factors and incidences of death or liver transplantation in patients with and without diabetes was comparatively assessed. Propensity score (PS) matching was performed at a 1:2 ratio for accurate comparisons. RESULTS: The mean age was 53.4 years, and 81.0% of the patients were male. Diabetes was prevalent in 23.6% of the cohort and was positively correlated with hepatic encephalopathy and upper gastrointestinal bleeding, although not statistically significant. During a median follow-up of 903.5 person-years (PYs), 64 patients with and 171 without diabetes died or underwent liver transplantation, with annual incidence of 33.6/100 PYs and 24.0/100 PYs, respectively. In the PS-matched cohort, the incidence of death or liver transplantation was 36.8/100 PYs and 18.6/100 PYs in the diabetes and matched control group, respectively. After adjusting for various factors, coexisting diabetes significantly heightened the risk of death or liver transplantation in the short and long term, in addition to prolonged prothrombin time, low serum albumin, elevated total bilirubin and creatinine, and decreased serum sodium levels. CONCLUSIONS: Diabetes increases the risk of death or liver transplantation in patients with alcoholic liver cirrhosis.

Alcohol-associated liver disease increases the risk of muscle loss and mortality in patients with cirrhosis.

BACKGROUND: Rapid skeletal muscle loss adversely affects the clinical outcomes of liver cirrhosis. However, the relationships between the annual changes in skeletal muscle area (ΔSMA/year) and the etiology of cirrhosis, factors associated with muscle loss, and risk of mortality remains unclear. METHODS: A total of 384 patients who underwent multiple computed tomography (CT) scans between March 2004 and June 2021 were enrolled in this study (median age, 67 years; 64% men; median model for end-stage liver disease score, 9). Body composition and ΔSMA/year were estimated using a 3D image analysis system and data from at least two distinct CT scans. Differences in ΔSMA/year among different etiologies of cirrhosis, factors associated with rapid muscle loss (defined as ΔSMA/year ≤ - 3.1%), and the association between ΔSMA/year and mortality were examined. RESULTS: Patients with alcohol-associated liver disease (ALD) cirrhosis experienced more rapid muscle loss (ΔSMA/year, - 5.7%) than those with hepatitis B (ΔSMA/year, - 2.8%) and hepatitis C cirrhosis (ΔSMA/year, - 3.1%). ALD cirrhosis was independently associated with ΔSMA/year ≤ - 3.1% after adjusting for age, sex, and liver functional reserve. Over a median follow-up period of 3.8 years, ALD cirrhosis, ΔSMA/year ≤ - 3.1%, and low subcutaneous adipose tissue level were found to be significantly associated with reduced survival. ALD cirrhosis (hazard ratio [HR], 2.43; 95% confidence interval [CI] 1.12-5.28) and ΔSMA/year ≤ - 3.1% (HR, 3.68; 95% CI 2.46-5.52) were also predictive of mortality. CONCLUSIONS: These results suggest that ALD cirrhosis increases the risk of rapid muscle loss and mortality in affected patients.

Folic acid supplementation is associated with a decreased mortality and reduced hospital readmission in patients with decompensated alcohol-related liver cirrhosis.

BACKGROUND AND AIMS: Thiamine and folic acid malnutrition is highly frequent in patients with decompensated alcohol-related liver cirrhosis (aLC). Current guidelines therefore recommend vitamin supplementation in these patients. However, implementation and its impact on the clinical outcome remains unknown. Therefore, we aimed to analyze the use of thiamine and folic acid and their effects on mortality and morbidity in patients with decompensated aLC. METHODS: A number of 289 consecutive patients with decompensated aLC who received a paracentesis at Hannover Medical School between 2011 and 2023 were retrospectively investigated. The use of folic acid and thiamine-containing supplements was assessed in the discharge medication. Patients were followed for up to one year regarding liver transplant (LTx)-free survival and the incidence of hepatic encephalopathy, infections and hepatic decompensation requiring rehospitalization. RESULTS: Median baseline MELD was 15, median age 56.6 years. 73.0% (n = 211) were male patients. At hospital discharge, thiamine-containing supplements and folic acid were prescribed to 48.1% (n = 139) and 18.0% (n = 52) patients, respectively. Neither thiamine nor folic acid prescription were linked to improved clinical outcomes within 90 days. However, folic acid intake was associated with a higher one-year LTx-free survival (HR = 0.48; p = 0.04) in the multivariable analysis. Furthermore, folic acid substitution was linked to a decreased risk of rehospitalization within one year (HR = 0.55; p = 0.01) in the multivariable competing risk model. In contrast, thiamine prescription did neither affect LTx-free survival nor the here investigated liver-related complications. CONCLUSION: Folic acid, but not thiamine substitution was linked to an improved outcome in patients with decompensated aLC.

Rising hospital admissions for alcohol-related cirrhosis and the impact of sex and comorbidity - a data linkage study.

OBJECTIVES: International studies have shown shifting demographic data and rising hospitalizations for alcohol-related cirrhosis (ARC), with a paucity of data from Australia. We examined hospitalizations, mortality and demographic data for people admitted with ARC over the last decade in Queensland, Australia. STUDY DESIGN: Data linkage study. METHODS: A retrospective analysis of adults hospitalized with ARC during 2008-2019 was performed using state-wide admissions data. International Classification of Diseases, 10th revision, codes identified admissions with the principal diagnosis of ARC based on validated algorithms. Comorbidity was assessed using the Charlson Comorbidity Index. RESULTS: A total of 7152 individuals had 24,342 hospital admissions with ARC (16,388 were for ARC). There was a predominance of males (72.6%) and age ≥50 years (80.4%) at index admission. Females were admitted at a significantly younger age than men (59% of women and 43% of men were aged <60 years, P < 0.001). Comorbidities were common, with 45.1% of people having at least one comorbidity. More than half (54.6%) of the patients died over the study period (median follow-up time was 5.1 years; interquartile range 2.4-8.6). Women had significantly lower mortality, with 47.6% (95% confidence interval [CI] 45.0-50.2) probability of 5-year survival, compared with 40.1% (95% CI 38.5-41.6) in men. In multivariable analysis, this was attributable to significantly lower age and comorbidity burden in women. Significantly lower survival was seen in people with higher comorbidity burden. Overall, the number of admissions for ARC increased 2.2-fold from 869 admissions in 2008 to 1932 in 2019. CONCLUSIONS: Hospital admissions for ARC have risen substantially in the last decade. Females were admitted at a younger age, with fewer comorbidities and had lower mortality compared with males. The association between greater comorbidity burden and higher mortality has important clinical implications, as comorbidity-directed interventions may reduce mortality.

The Lower Survival in Patients With Alcoholism and Hepatitis C Continues in the DAA Era.

BACKGROUND: Alcohol liver disease (ALD) may coexist with hepatitis C (HCV) in many transplant recipients (alcoholic cirrhosis with hepatitis C [AHC]). Our objective was to determine whether there were differences in postliver transplantation outcomes of patients with AHC when compared with those with alcoholic cirrhosis (AC) and/or alcoholic hepatitis (AH). METHODS: Using UNOS explant data sets (2016-2020), the survival probabilities of AC, AH, and AHC were compared by Kaplan-Meier survival analysis. Cox proportional-hazard regression analysis was used to determine outcomes after adjusting for disease confounders. The outcomes were also compared with predirect antiviral agent (DAA) period. RESULTS: During study period, 8369 biopsy-proven ALD liver transplant recipients were identified. Of those, 647 had AHC (HCV + alcohol), 353 had AH, and 7369 had AC. MELD-Na score (28.7 ± 9.5 versus 23.8 ± 10.7; P < 0.001) and presence of ACLF-3 (19% versus 11%; P < 0.001) were higher in AC + AH as compared with AHC. AHC and AC+AH has similar adjusted mortality at 1-y, but 3-y (hazard ratios, 1.76; 95% confidence intervals, 1.32-2.35; P < 0.0001) and 5-y (hazard ratios, 1.64; 95% confidence intervals, 1.24-2.15; P = 0.0004) mortality rates were higher in AHC. Survival improved in the DAA era (2016-2020) compared with 2009 to 2013 in AHC, but remained worse in AHC group versus AC and/or AH. Malignancy-related mortality was higher in AHC (15% versus 9.3% in AC) in the DAA era. CONCLUSIONS: AHC was associated with lower 3- and 5-y post-LT survival as compared with ALD without HCV and the worse outcomes in AHC group continued in the DAA era.

Cirrosis hepática alcohólica: actualización epidemiológica de la tasa de mortalidad entre los años 2017-2021 en Chile / Alcoholic liver cirrhosis: epidemiological update of mortality rates between 2017-2021 in Chile

Introducción: La cirrosis hepática alcohólica (CHA) es una etapa final de la enfermedad hepática por alcohol. Dada la falta de análisis epidemiológicos recientes en Chile, el objetivo de este estudio es comparar descriptivamente la tasa de mortalidad (TM) por CHA entre los años 2017-2021 en Chile. Metodología: Estudio observacional y transversal, sobre defunciones por CHA en Chile durante 2017-2021 según sexo y edad (n=2.551). Datos obtenidos del Departamento de Estadística e Información en Salud. Se utilizó estadística descriptiva y cálculo de TM. No requirió aprobación del comité de ética. Resultados: Se obtuvo una TM para el período estudiado de 3,98/100.000 habitantes. El sexo masculino presenta la mayor TM con 7,05. El grupo etario de 65-79 años presenta la mayor TM con 9,08/100.000 habitantes. Para TM por región, lidera Los Lagos con 39,84/100.000 habitantes, la menor es Coquimbo con 10,03/100.000 habitantes. Discusión: La mayor TM por CHA se encuentra en hombres, lo cual puede deberse a un mayor consumo social. El grupo etario de 65-79 años presentó la mayor TM, coincidiendo con estadísticas internacionales. El porcentaje de ruralidad pudiera afectar el consumo de alcohol, aumentando la TM por CHA en aquellas más rurales. La prevención es vital para evitar el desarrollo de CHA, siendo crucial establecer programas de salud pública para evitar el consumo de alcohol en Chile. Se identificó una falta de datos epidemiológicos en Chile, por lo que se invita a la actualización de estos.

Introduction: Alcoholic liver cirrhosis (ALC) is one of the final stages of alcoholic-related liver disease (ARLD). Due to the lack of recent epidemiological research in Chile, the main objective of this study is to descriptively compare the mortality rate (MR) due to ALC between the years 2017-2021 in Chile. Methodology: Observational and cross-sectional study, on the number of deaths owing to ALC in Chile during 20172021 according to sex and age (n=2,551). Data obtained from the department of statistics and health information. Descriptive statistics and MR calculation were used. Ethics committee approval was not required. Results: A MR was obtained for the studied period of 3.98/100,000 inhabitants. The male sex submitted the highest MR with 7.05. The age group of 65-79 years presents the highest MR with 9,08/100,000 inhabitants. The region with the highest MR is Los Lagos with 39,84/100.000 inhabitants and the one with the lowest is Coquimbo with 10,03/100.000 inhabitants. Discussion: The highest MR is found in men, which may be due the fact that, socially, men consume more alcohol than women. The age group of 65-79 years presented the highest MR, which coincides with the international statistics. The percentage of rurality impacts the alcohol consumption increasing the MR due to ALD in the most rural areas. Prevention is vital to avoid its development, so it's crucial to establish public health programs to avoid alcohol consumption in Chile. A lack of updated epidemiological information has been identified in our country, therefore it is invited to update the epidemiological data.

A scoring system for predicting hepatocellular carcinoma risk in alcoholic cirrhosis.

The role of hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) surveillance is being questioned in alcoholic cirrhosis because of the relative low HCC risk. This study aimed to assess the risk and predictors of HCC in Korean patients with alcoholic cirrhosis by using competing risk analysis. A total of 745 patients with alcoholic cirrhosis were recruited at a university-affiliated hospital in Korea and randomly assigned to either the derivation (n = 507) and validation (n = 238) cohort. Subdistribution hazards model of Fine and Gray was used with deaths and liver transplantation treated as competing risks. Death records were confirmed from Korean government databases. A nomogram was developed to calculate the Alcohol-associated Liver Cancer Estimation (ALICE) score. The cumulative incidence of HCC was 15.3 and 13.3% at 10 years for derivation and validation cohort, respectively. Age, alpha-fetoprotein level, and albumin level were identified as independent predictors of HCC and incorporated in the ALICE score, which discriminated low, intermediate, and high risk for HCC in alcoholic cirrhosis at the cut-off of 60 and 100. The risk of HCC can be stratified by using a combination of readily available clinical parameters (age, AFP level, and albumin level) in patients with alcoholic cirrhosis.

Relationship Between Etiology of Cirrhosis and Survival Among Patients Hospitalized in Intensive Care Units.

OBJECTIVE: To determine short-term outcomes of patients with alcohol-associated cirrhosis (ALC) admitted to the intensive care unit (ICU) compared with other etiologies of liver disease. In addition, we investigate whether quick sequential organ failure assessment accurately predicts presence of sepsis and in-hospital mortality in critically ill patients with various etiologies of cirrhosis. METHODS: A retrospective cohort of 1174 consecutive patients with cirrhosis admitted to the ICU between January of 2006 and December of 2015 was analyzed. Outcomes of interest included survival rates within the ICU, post-ICU in-hospital, or at 30 days post-ICU discharge. RESULTS: Five hundred seventy-eight patients were found to have ALC with 596 in the non-ALC group. There was no significant difference in ICU mortality rates in ALC versus non-ALC cohorts (10.2% vs 11.7%, P=.40). However, patients with ALC had significantly higher post-ICU in-hospital death (10.0% vs 6.5%, P=.04) as well as higher mortality at 30-day post-ICU discharge (18.7% vs 11.2%, P<.001). Sustained alcohol abstinence did not offer survival advantage over nonabstinence. The predictive power for quick sequential organ failure assessment for sepsis and in-hospital mortality for patients with cirrhosis was limited. CONCLUSION: Critically ill patients with ALC have decreased survival after ICU discharge compared with patients with other etiologies of cirrhosis, independent of alcohol abstinence.

Associations Between Alcohol Use and Liver-Related Outcomes in a Large National Cohort of Patients With Cirrhosis.

Alcohol use can cause hepatic necroinflammation and worsening portal hypertension in patients with cirrhosis. We aimed to evaluate the associations between degree of alcohol use and clinical liver-related outcomes according to etiology of cirrhosis. In this retrospective cohort analysis, 44,349 U.S. veterans with cirrhosis from alcohol-associated liver disease (ALD), chronic hepatitis C virus (HCV) infection, or nonalcoholic fatty liver disease were identified who completed the Alcohol Use Disorders Identification Test Consumption questionnaire in 2012. Based on this score, level of alcohol use was categorized as none, low level, or unhealthy. Multivariable Cox proportional hazards regression was used to assess for associations between alcohol use and mortality, cirrhosis decompensation (new ascites, encephalopathy, or variceal bleeding), and hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC). At baseline, 36.4% of patients endorsed alcohol use and 17.1% had unhealthy alcohol use. During a mean 4.9 years of follow-up, 25,806 (57.9%) patients died, 9,409 (21.4%) developed a new decompensation, and 4,733 (11.1%) developed HCC. In patients with ALD-cirrhosis and HCV-cirrhosis, unhealthy alcohol use, compared with no alcohol use, was associated with higher risks of mortality (adjusted hazard ratio [aHR] = 1.13, 95% confidence interval [CI] = 1.07-1.19 and aHR = 1.14, 95% CI = 1.08-1.20, respectively) and decompensation (aHR = 1.18, 95% CI = 1.07-1.30 and aHR = 1.08, 95% CI = 1.00-1.16, respectively). Alcohol use was not associated with HCC, regardless of cirrhosis etiology. Conclusion: Unhealthy alcohol use was common in patients with cirrhosis and was associated with higher risks of mortality and cirrhosis decompensation in patients with HCV-cirrhosis and ALD-cirrhosis. Therefore, health care providers should make every effort to help patients achieve abstinence. The lack of association between alcohol use and HCC merits further investigation.

Role of Bacterial Infection in the Development of Acute Liver Failure in Patients with Decompensated Alcoholic Liver Cirrhosis.

We examined 74 patients with acute decompensation of alcoholic liver cirrhosis: 34 (45.9%) with bacterial infection (group 1) and 40 (54.1%) without bacterial infection (group 2). The degree and index of acute-on-chronic liver failure (ACLF) were determined using an on-line CLIF-C ACLF Calculator and the levels of cytokeratin-18 fragments, TNFα, IL-1ß, IL-4, IL-6, and IL-8. In group 1, AST, cytokeratin-18, TNFα, IL-1ß, IL-6, degree and score of ACLF were significantly higher than in group 2. ACLF developed in 18 (52.9%) patients in group 1 and in 11 (27.5%) (p<0.05) patients in group 2. Within 1 month, 10 (29.4%) patients of group 1 and 2 (5%) patients of group 2 died (p<0.05). Patients with bacterial infection showed a more severe course of alcoholic liver cirrhosis and ACLF than those without bacterial infection.

Impact of Safety-Net Burden on In-Hospital Mortality and Hospitalization Costs Among Patients with Alcoholic Hepatitis and Alcoholic Cirrhosis.

AIMS: Alcoholic hepatitis (AH) and alcoholic cirrhosis disproportionately affect ethnic minority and safety-net populations. We evaluate the impact of a hospital's safety net burden (SNB) on in-hospital mortality and costs among patients with AH and alcoholic cirrhosis. METHODS: We performed a cross-sectional analysis of 2012-2016 National Inpatient Sample. SNB was calculated as percentage of hospitalizations with Medicaid or uninsured payer status. Associations between hospital SNB and in-hospital mortality and costs were evaluated with adjusted multivariable logistic regression and linear regression models. RESULTS: Among 21,898 AH-related hospitalizations, compared to low SNB hospitals (LBH), patients hospitalized in high SNB hospitals (HBH) were younger (44.4 y vs. 47.4 y, P < 0.001) and more likely to be African American (11.3% vs. 7.7%, P < 0.001) or Hispanic (15.4% vs. 8.4%, P < 0.001). AH-related hospitalizations in HBH had a non-significant trend towards higher odds of mortality (OR 1.27, 95% CI 0.98-1.65, P = 0.07) and higher mean hospitalizations costs. Among 108,669 alcoholic cirrhosis-related hospitalizations, patients in HBH were younger (53.3 y vs. 55.8 y, P < 0.001) and more likely to be African American (8.2% vs. 7.3%, P < 0.001) or Hispanic (24.4% vs. 12.0%, P < 0.001) compared to LBH. Compared to alcoholic cirrhosis-related hospitalizations in LBH, mortality was higher among medium SNB (OR 1.10, 95% CI 1.03-1.17, P = 0.007) and HBH (OR 1.07, 95% CI 1.00-1.15, P = 0.05). Mean hospitalization costs were not different by SNB status. CONCLUSIONS: HBH hospitals predominantly serve ethnic minorities and underinsured/uninsured populations. The higher in-hospital mortality associated HBH particularly for alcoholic cirrhosis patients is alarming given its increasing burden in the USA.

Obesity and accumulation of subcutaneous adipose tissue are poor prognostic factors in patients with alcoholic liver cirrhosis.

In alcoholic liver cirrhosis (LC) patients, obesity has become a problem that progresses into liver dysfunction. Herein, we investigated the relationship between the prognosis of steatohepatitis and body weight, along with fat accumulation in patients with alcoholic LC. We conducted a single-center retrospective study, enrolled 104 alcoholic LC patients without hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) based on histological and clinical evidence, and investigated factors related to poor prognosis using multivariate Cox regression and cluster analyses. Cox regression analysis revealed three independent relevant factors: subcutaneous adipose tissue (SAT) index (median 34.8 cm2/m2, P = 0.009, hazard ratio [HR] 1.017, 95% confidence interval [CI] 1.004-1.030), total bilirubin level (median 1.7 mg/dL, P = 0.003, HR 1.129, 95% CI 1.042-1.223), and prothrombin time value (median 64%, P = 0.007, HR 0.967, 95% CI 0.943-0.991). In the cluster analysis, we categorized the patients into three groups: no adipose tissue accumulation (NAT group), SAT prior accumulation (SAT group), and visceral adipose tissue prior accumulation (VAT group). The results of the three groups revealed that the SAT group displayed a significantly poor prognosis of the Kaplan-Meier curve (67.1 vs 21.2 vs 65.3, P<0.001) of a 5-year survival rate. Propensity score matching analysis of the SAT and VAT groups was performed to adjust the patient's background, but no significant differences were found between them; however, the prognosis was poorer (21.2 vs 66.3, P<0.001), and hemostatic factors were still at a lower level in the SAT group. These findings suggest that SAT accumulation type of obesity is a poor prognostic factor in alcoholic LC patients without HCC, and the hemorrhagic tendency might worsen the poor prognosis in such cases.

Trends in the Burden of Chronic Liver Disease Among Hospitalized US Adults.

Importance: One factor associated with the rapidly increasing clinical and economic burden of chronic liver disease (CLD) is inpatient health care utilization. Objective: To understand trends in the hospitalization burden of CLD in the US. Design, Setting, and Participants: This cross-sectional study of hospitalized adults in the US used data from the National Inpatient Sample from 2012 to 2016 on adult CLD-related hospitalizations. Data were analyzed from June to October 2019. Main Outcomes and Measures: Hospitalizations identified using a comprehensive review of CLD-specific International Classification of Diseases, Ninth Revision, Clinical Modification and International Statistical Classification of Diseases, Tenth Revision, Clinical Modification codes. Survey-weighted annual trends in national estimates of CLD-related hospitalizations, in-hospital mortality, and hospitalization costs, stratified by demographic and clinical characteristics. Results: This study included 1 016 743 CLD-related hospitalizations (mean [SD] patient age, 57.4 [14.4] years; 582 197 [57.3%] male; 633 082 [62.3%] white). From 2012 to 2016, the rate of CLD-related hospitalizations per 100 000 hospitalizations increased from 3056 (95% CI, 3042-3069) to 3757 (95% CI, 3742-3772), and total inpatient hospitalization costs increased from $14.9 billion (95% CI, $13.9 billion to $15.9 billion) to $18.8 billion (95% CI, $17.6 billion to $20.0 billion). Mean (SD) patient age increased (56.8 [14.2] years in 2012 to 57.8 [14.6] years in 2016) and, subsequently, the proportion with Medicare also increased (41.7% [95% CI, 41.1%-42.2%] to 43.6% [95% CI, 43.1%-44.1%]) (P for trend < .001 for both). The proportion of hospitalizations of patients with hepatitis C virus was similar throughout the period of study (31.6% [95% CI, 31.3%-31.9%]), and the proportion with alcoholic cirrhosis and nonalcoholic fatty liver disease showed increases. The mortality rate was higher among hospitalizations with alcoholic cirrhosis (11.9% [95% CI, 11.7%-12.0%]) compared with other etiologies. Presence of hepatocellular carcinoma was also associated with a high mortality rate (9.8% [95% CI, 9.5%-10.1%]). Cost burden increased across all etiologies, with a higher total cost burden among hospitalizations with alcoholic cirrhosis ($22.7 billion [95% CI, $22.1 billion to $23.2 billion]) or hepatitis C virus ($22.6 billion [95% CI, $22.1 billion to $23.2 billion]). Presence of cirrhosis, complications of cirrhosis, and comorbidities added to the CLD burden. Conclusions and Relevance: Over the study period, the total estimated national hospitalization costs in patients with CLD reached $81.1 billion. The inpatient CLD burden in the US is likely increasing because of an aging CLD population with increases in concomitant comorbid conditions.

Abstinence from alcohol and alcohol rehabilitation therapy in alcoholic liver disease: a population-based study.

Objective: Abstinence from alcohol is recommended in patients diagnosed with alcoholic hepatitis (AH) and alcoholic cirrhosis (AC). We aimed to determine the impact of alcohol abstinence on prognosis of patients with AC and AH.Methods: All incident AC and AH patients in Iceland 2001-2016 were identified. Cirrhosis was confirmed clinically, biochemically, with imaging and histologically. Abstinence, alcohol rehabilitation and survival were analyzed.Results: Overall, 169 patients with AC and/or AH were identified. Eleven died during index hospitalization, leaving 158 patients for final analysis, median (IQR) age 56 years (48-65), 72% males. Over all 61 patients (39%) had AC, 40 (25%) AH and 57 (36%) features of both. Thirty-nine percent of patients remained abstinent during follow-up and 63% underwent alcohol rehabilitation. Moderate to severe ascites at diagnosis (odds ratio (OR): 3.05, 95% confidence interval (CI): 1.37-7.02) and lack of alcoholic rehabilitation (OR: 5.28, 95% CI: 2.24- 14.11) were independent predictors of abstinence. Abstinence at one year of follow-up was not related to increased survival. Patients surviving one year, abstinence during follow-up was related to increased survival for both groups.Conclusion: Abstinence from alcohol following AC/AH diagnosis was achieved in 39% of patients. Abstinence was not related to increased survival for alcoholic liver disease patients at one-year, which might partly indicate that this might be a marker that some patients were 'too sick to drink'. AC and AH patients who survived one year and remained abstinent had a favorable long-term prognosis.

Long-term outcomes in patients with decompensated alcohol-related liver disease, steatohepatitis and Maddrey's discriminant function <32.

BACKGROUND & AIMS: Patients with alcoholic hepatitis and a modified Maddrey's discriminant function (mDF) <32 have a low risk of short-term mortality. However, few data exist concerning long-term outcomes. The aims of this study were to evaluate 5-year survival rates and to identify predictive factors for long-term prognosis in this patient population. METHODS: We studied patients from 2 centers who were admitted for hepatic decompensation (ascites, hepatic encephalopathy, or jaundice) and who had histological findings of steatohepatitis and an mDF <32. Clinical and biological parameters were recorded at the time of liver biopsy and alcohol consumption was recorded during follow-up. We performed Cox proportional hazard survival analysis to identify factors associated with 5-year survival. RESULTS: One hundred and twenty-one patients were included (male: 64%, mean age: 51.5 ± 10.3 years, presence of cirrhosis: 84%). The median model for end-stage liver disease and mDF scores were 14 (IQR 11.7-16.1) and 19 (IQR 11.1-24), respectively. During follow-up, 30% of the patients remained abstinent. Survival rates at 1, 6, 12, 24, and 60 months were 96.7 ± 1.6%, 90.1 ± 2.7%, 80.8 ± 3.6%, 69.9 ± 4.3%, and 50.7 ± 4.9%, respectively. The majority of deaths (80%) were liver related. In multivariable analysis, encephalopathy at baseline and alcohol abstinence were predictive of 5-year survival. The 5-year survival rates of patients without and with encephalopathy at baseline were 60.5 ± 5.8% and 29.7 ± 8.0%, respectively, and the 5-year survival rates of abstinent and non-abstinent patients were 74.0 ± 8.0% and 40.9 ± 5.8%, respectively. CONCLUSIONS: The mortality rate of patients with alcoholic hepatitis and an mDF <32 is around 50% at 5 years. Hepatic encephalopathy at baseline and lack of alcohol abstinence impair long-term prognosis. New treatment strategies, including measures to ensure abstinence, are required. LAY SUMMARY: Patients with alcoholic hepatitis that is of intermediate severity have a low risk of short-term mortality but not much is known regarding long-term outcomes for these patients. This study clearly indicates that patients with intermediate disease characteristics have poor long-term outcomes. The presence of hepatic encephalopathy at the time of diagnosis and the absence of alcohol abstinence during follow-up are factors that predict poor long-term mortality.

The value of different CT-based methods for diagnosing low muscle mass and predicting mortality in patients with cirrhosis.

BACKGROUND & AIMS: Low muscle mass impacts on morbidity and mortality in cirrhosis. The skeletal-muscle index (SMI) is a well-validated tool to diagnose muscle wasting, but requires specialized radiologic software and expertise. Thus, we compared different Computed tomography (CT)-based evaluation methods for muscle wasting and their prognostic value in cirrhosis. METHODS: Consecutive cirrhotic patients included in a prospective registry undergoing abdominal CT scans were analysed. SMI, transversal psoas muscle thickness (TPMT), total psoas volume (TPV) and paraspinal muscle index (PSMI) were measured. Sarcopenia was defined using SMI as a reference method by applying sex-specific cut-offs (males: <52.4 cm2 /m2 ; females: <38.5 cm2 /m2 ). RESULTS: One hundred and nine patients (71.6% male) of age 57 ± 11 years, MELD 16 (8-26) and alcoholic liver disease (63.3%) as the main aetiology were included. According to established SMI cut-offs, low muscle mass was present in 69 patients (63.3%) who also presented with higher MELD (17 vs 14 points; P = .025). The following optimal sex-specific cut-offs (men/women) for diagnosing low muscle mass were determined: TPMT: <10.7/ <7.8 mm/m, TPV: <194.9/ <99.2 cm3 and PSMI <26.3/ <20.8 cm2 /m2 . Thirty (27.5%) patients died during a follow-up of 15 (0.3-45.7) months. Univariate competing risks analyses showed a significant risk for mortality according to SMI (aSHR:2.52, 95% CI: 1.03-6.21, P = .043), TPMT (aSHR: 3.87, 95% CI: 1.4-8.09, P = .007) and PSMI (aSHR: 2.7, 95% CI: 1.17-6.23, P = .02), but not TPV (P = .18) derived low muscle mass cut-offs. In multivariate analysis only TPMT (aSHR: 2.82, 95% CI: 1.20-6.67, P = .018) was associated with mortality, SMI (aSHR: 1.93, 95% CI: 0.72-5.16, P = .19) and PSMI (aSHR: 1.93, 95% CI: 0.79-4.75, P = .15) were not. CONCLUSION: Low muscle mass was highly prevalent in our cohort of patients with cirrhosis. Gender-specific TPMT, SMI and PSMI cut-offs for low muscle mass can help identify patients with an increased risk for mortality. Importantly, only TPMT emerged as an independent risk factor for mortality in patients with cirrhosis.

Trends in Characteristics, Mortality, and Other Outcomes of Patients With Newly Diagnosed Cirrhosis.

Importance: Changes in the characteristics of patients with cirrhosis are likely to affect future outcomes and are important to understand in planning for the care of this population. Objective: To identify changes in demographic and clinical characteristics and outcomes in patients with newly diagnosed cirrhosis. Design, Setting, and Participants: A retrospective cohort study of patients with a new diagnosis of cirrhosis was conducted using the Indiana Network for Patient Care, a large statewide regional health information exchange, between 2004 and 2014. Patients with at least 1 year of continuous follow-up before the cirrhosis diagnosis were followed up through August 1, 2015. The analysis was conducted from December 2018 to January 2019. Exposures: Age, cause of cirrhosis, and year of diagnosis. Main Outcomes and Measures: Overall rates for mortality, liver transplant, hepatocellular carcinoma, and hepatic decompensation (composite of ascites, hepatic encephalopathy, or variceal bleeding). Results: A total of 9261 patients with newly diagnosed cirrhosis were identified (mean [SD] age, 57.9 [12.6] years; 5109 [55.2%] male). A 69% increase in new diagnoses occurred over the course of the study period (620 in 2004 vs 1045 in 2014). The proportion of those younger than 40 years increased by 0.20% per year (95% CI, 0.04% to 0.36%; P for trend = .02), and the proportion of those aged 65 years and older increased by 0.81% per year (95% CI, 0.51% to 1.11%; P for trend < .001). The proportion of patients with alcoholic cirrhosis increased by 0.80% per year (95% CI, 0.49% to 1.12%), and the proportion with nonalcoholic steatohepatitis increased by 0.59% per year (95% CI, 0.30% to 0.87%), whereas the proportion with viral hepatitis decreased by 1.36% per year (95% CI, -1.68% to -1.03%) (P < .001 for all). In patients younger than 40 years, 40 to 64 years, and 65 years and older, mortality rates were 6.4 (95% CI, 5.4 to 7.6), 9.9 (95% CI, 9.5 to 10.4), and 16.2 (95% CI, 15.2 to 17.2) per 100 person-years, respectively (P < .001). Mortality rates decreased during the study period (11.9 [95% CI, 10.7-13.1] per 100 person-years in 2004 vs 10.0 [95% CI, 8.1-12.2] per 100 person-years in 2014; annual adjusted hazard ratio, 0.87 [95% CI, 0.86 to 0.88]) and were lower in those with alcoholic cirrhosis compared with patients with viral hepatitis (adjusted hazard ratio, 0.89 [95% CI, 0.80 to 0.98]). Rates of hepatocellular carcinoma were low in patients younger than 40 years (0.5 [95% CI, 0.2 to 0.9] per 100 person-years). Liver transplant rates were low throughout the study period (0.3 [95% CI, 0.3-0.4] per 100 person-years). In patients with compensated cirrhosis, rates of hepatic decompensation were lower in patients younger than 40 years (adjusted subhazard ratio 0.78; 95% CI, 0.62 to 0.99) and in patients with nonalcoholic steatohepatitis (adjusted subhazard ratio, 0.51; 95% CI, 0.43 to 0.60). Conclusions and Relevance: The population of patients with newly diagnosed cirrhosis in Indiana has experienced changes in the age distribution and cause of cirrhosis, with decreasing mortality rates. These findings support investment in the prevention and treatment of alcoholic liver disease and nonalcoholic steatohepatitis, particularly in younger and older patients. Additional study is needed to identify the reasons for decreasing mortality rates.

Natural history of histologically proven alcohol-related liver disease: A systematic review.

BACKGROUND & AIMS: To date, studies into the natural history of alcohol-related liver disease (ALD) have lacked long-term follow-up, large numbers of participants, or both. We performed a systematic review to summarise studies that describe the natural history of histologically proven ALD. METHODS: PubMed and Medline were searched for relevant studies according to pre-specified criteria. Data were extracted to describe the prevalence of ALD, histological progression of disease and mortality. Single-proportion meta-analysis was used to combine data from studies regarding rates of progression or mortality. RESULTS: Thirty-seven studies were included, reporting data from 7,528 participants. Amongst cohorts of hazardous drinkers, on average 15% had normal histological appearance, 27% had hepatic steatosis, 24% had steatohepatitis and 26% had cirrhosis. The annualised rates of progression of pre-cirrhotic disease to cirrhosis were 1% (0-8%) for patients with normal histology, 3% (2-4%) for hepatic steatosis, 10% (6-17%) for steatohepatitis and 8% (3-19%) for fibrosis. Annualised mortality was 6% (4-7%) in patients with steatosis and 8% (5-13%) in cirrhosis. In patients with steatohepatitis on biopsy a marked difference was seen between inpatient cohorts (annual mortality 15%, 8-26%) and mixed cohorts of inpatients and outpatients (annual mortality 5%, 2-10%). Only in steatosis did non-liver-related mortality exceed liver-specific causes of mortality (5% per year vs. 1% per year). CONCLUSIONS: These data confirm the observation that alcohol-related hepatic steatohepatitis requiring admission to hospital is the most dangerous subtype of ALD. Alcohol-related steatosis is not a benign condition as it is associated with significant risk of mortality. LAY SUMMARY: Knowledge of the natural history of a disease allows clinicians and patients to understand the risks that are associated with a medical condition. In this study we systematically gathered all the published data regarding the natural history of alcohol-related liver disease in people who had a liver biopsy. We used this data to define the prevalence of the disease, the annual risk of progression to cirrhosis and the annual risk of death at each stage of the disease.

Waiting List Mortality and Transplant Rates for NASH Cirrhosis When Compared With Cryptogenic, Alcoholic, or AIH Cirrhosis.

BACKGROUND: Patients with nonalcoholic steatohepatitis (NASH) cirrhosis have excellent postliver transplant survival despite having many comorbidities. We hypothesized that this could be due to a selection bias. METHODS: We analyzed the United Network for Organ Sharing data from 2002 to 2016 and compared postliver transplant survival of NASH (n = 7935) patients with cryptogenic cirrhosis (CC) (n = 6087), alcoholic cirrhosis (AC) (n = 16 810), and autoimmune hepatitis cirrhosis (AIH) (n = 2734). RESULTS: By 3 years of listing, the cumulative incidence (CI) of death or deterioration was 29% for NASH, 28% for CC and AC, and 24% for AIH, but when adjusted for risk factors, the CI was similar for NASH and AIH. The factors that increased the risk of waiting list removal due to death/deterioration were poor performance status, encephalopathy, diabetes, high Model for End-stage Liver Disease, Hispanic race, older age and a low serum albumin. Most patients were transplanted within the first year (median, 2 months; interquartile range, 1-7 months) of listing and by 5 years, the unadjusted CI of transplantation was 54% for NASH, 52% for CC, 51% for AIH, and 48% for AC. The adjusted CI of transplantation within 2 months of listing was higher for AC (subhazard ratio [SHR], 1.17), AIH (SHR, 1.17), and CC (SHR, 1.13) when compared with NASH, but after 2 months, adjusted transplantation rates decreased in AC (SHR, 0.6), AIH (SHR, 0.78), and CC (SHR, 0.95). The negative predictors of receiving a transplant were dialysis, female sex, nonwhite race, high albumin, and creatinine. CONCLUSIONS: Patients with NASH cirrhosis are not disadvantaged by higher waitlist removal or lower transplantation rates.