Financial toxicity of cancer care in sub-Saharan Africa: protocol for a systematic review.

INTRODUCTION: In sub-Saharan Africa (SSA), the number of cancer deaths is expected to double between 2020 and 2030; however, financial costs remain a barrier to accessing cancer treatment and care. There is an evidence gap on financial toxicity related to cancer care in SSA, both for the patient and for the family members providing care. Against this background, this review aims to analyse cancer care-related financial toxicity for the patient and family caregivers in SSA. METHODS AND ANALYSIS: A comprehensive search of peer-reviewed articles in the English language reporting the financial burden of cancer care on patients and family caregivers in SSA will be conducted using PubMed, Scopus and Web of Science from 1 January 2000 to 13 October 2023. Two researchers will independently review the titles, abstracts and full-text articles, and any disagreements will be resolved through consensus. A risk of bias assessment will be conducted using the assessment tools from the Joanna Briggs Institute Critical Appraisal Checklist. A quantitative and narrative synthesis of included studies, including the prevalence of financial toxicity of cancer care in SSA, will be developed. The review will be reported following the Preferred Reporting Items for Systematic Reviews and Meta-Analyses guidelines. ETHICS AND DISSEMINATION: Ethical review is not required because this review draws on published literature. The results will be presented at leading cancer and public health conferences, published in peer-reviewed journals and disseminated via website posts and social media channels to improve access to cancer care and to facilitate evidence-based policymaking in SSA. PROSPERO REGISTRATION NUMBER: CRD42023469011.

Assessing the influence of rural residence and economic distress on lower extremity risk stratification among diabetic foot ulcer patients utilizing the Wound, Ischemia, and Foot Infection (WIfI) classification system.

OBJECTIVE: Diabetic foot ulcers (DFU) are a major sequela of uncontrolled diabetes with a high risk of adverse outcomes. Poor DFU outcomes disproportionately impact patients living in rural and economically distressed communities with lack of access to consistent, quality care. This study aimed to analyze the risk of geographic and economic disparities, including rural status and county economic distress, on the disease burden of DFU at presentation utilizing the SVS WIfI classification system. METHODS: We conducted a retrospective review of 454 patients diagnosed with a DFU from 2011 to 2020 at a single institution's inpatient and outpatient wound care service. Patients >18 years old, with type II diabetes mellitus, and diabetic foot ulcer were included. RESULTS: ANCOVA analyses showed rural patients had significantly higher WIfI composite scores (F(1,451) = 9.61, p = .002), grades of wound (F(1,439) = 11.03, p = .001), and ischemia (F(1,380) = 12.574, p = .001) compared to the urban patients. Patients that resided in at-risk economic counties had significantly higher overall WIfI composite scores (F(2,448) = 3.31, p = .037) than patients who lived in transitional economic counties, and higher foot infection grading (F(2,440) = 3.02, p = .05) compared to patients who lived in distressed economic counties. DFU patients who resided in distressed economic counties presented with higher individual grades of ischemia (F(2, 377) = 3.14, p = .04) than patients in transitional economic counties. Chi-Square analyses demonstrated patients who resided in urban counties were significantly more likely to present with grade 1 wounds (χ2(3) = 9.86, p = .02) and grade 0 ischemia (χ2(3) = 16.18, p = .001) compared to patients in rural areas. Economically distressed patients presented with significantly less grade 0 ischemia compared to patients in transitional economic counties (χ2(6) = 17.48, p = .008). CONCLUSIONS: Our findings are the first to demonstrate the impact of geographic and economic disparities on the disease burden of DFU at presentation utilizing the SVS WIfI classification system. This may indicate need for improved multidisciplinary primary care prevention strategies with vascular specialists in these communities to mitigate worsening DFU and promote early intervention.

Health Care Expenses and Financial Hardship Among Medicare Beneficiaries With Functional Disability.

Importance: Medicare beneficiaries with functional disabilities often require more medical care, leading to substantial financial hardship. However, the precise magnitude and sources of this hardship remain unknown. Objectives: To quantify the financial burden from health care expenses by functional disability levels among Medicare beneficiaries. Design, Setting, and Participants: This cross-sectional study used data, including demographic and socioeconomic characteristics, health status, and health care use, from a nationally representative sample of Medicare beneficiaries from the 2013 to 2021 Medical Expenditure Panel Survey. Functional disability was measured using 6 questions and categorized into 3 levels: none (no difficulties), moderate (1-2 difficulties), and severe (≥3 difficulties). Data were analyzed from December 2023 to March 2024. Main Outcomes and Measures: Financial hardship from health care expenses was assessed using objective measures (annual out-of-pocket spending, high financial burden [out-of-pocket spending exceeding 20% of income], and catastrophic financial burden [out-of-pocket spending exceeding 40% of income]) and subjective measures (difficulty paying medical bills and paying medical bills over time). We applied weights to produce results representative of national estimates. Results: The sample included 31 952 Medicare beneficiaries (mean [SD] age, 71.1 [9.7] years; 54.6% female). In weighted analyses, severe functional disability was associated with a significantly higher financial burden from health care expenses, with out-of-pocket spending reaching $2137 (95% CI, $1943-$2330) annually. This exceeded out-of-pocket spending for those without functional disability by nearly $700 per year ($1468 [95% CI, $1311-$1625]) and for those with moderate functional disability by almost $500 per year ($1673 [95% CI, $1620-$1725]). The primary factors that played a role in this difference were home health care ($399 [95% CI, $145-$651]) and equipment and supplies ($304 [95% CI, $278-$330]). Beneficiaries with severe functional disability experienced significantly higher rates of both high and catastrophic financial burden than those without disability and those with moderate disability (13.2% [12.2%-14.1%] vs 9.1% [95% CI, 8.6%-9.5%] and 9.4% [95% CI, 9.1%-9.7%] for high financial burden, respectively, and 8.9% [95% CI, 7.8%-10.1%] vs 6.4% [95% CI, 6.1%-6.8%] and 6.0% [95% CI, 5.6%-6.4%] for catastrophic financial burden, respectively). Similar associations were observed in subjective financial hardship. For example, 11.8% (95% CI, 10.3%-13.3%) of those with severe functional disability experienced problems paying medical bills, compared with 7.7% (95% CI, 7.6%-7.9%) and 9.3% (95% CI, 9.0%-9.6%) of those without functional disability and those with moderate functional disability, respectively. Notably, there were no significant differences in financial hardship among those with Medicaid based on functional disability levels. Conclusions and Relevance: In this cross-sectional study of Medicare beneficiaries, those with severe functional disability levels experienced a disproportionate burden from health care costs. However, Medicaid played a pivotal role in reducing the financial strain. Policymakers should explore interventions that effectively relieve the financial burden of health care in this vulnerable population.

Financial Toxicity in Patients With Chronic Pancreatitis.

OBJECTIVES: Patients with chronic illnesses are susceptible to the financial burden of disease-related treatment costs. Financial toxicity is well researched in cancer and several chronic diseases. This review explores the financial challenges faced by patients with chronic pancreatitis and the impact of financial hardship on their well-being. MATERIALS AND METHODS: We performed a review of the published literature to summarize the body of existing research and to identify knowledge gaps related to the financial burden experienced by patients with chronic pancreatitis. RESULTS: Research on financial burden, cost-coping behaviors, cost-related nonadherence to prescribed medications, and social vulnerabilities in people with chronic pancreatitis is sparse. No studies have assessed the suitability and validity of instruments measuring subjective financial toxicity in a patient population with chronic pancreatitis. CONCLUSIONS: There is a critical need for further studies of financial toxicity in the patient population with chronic pancreatitis, considering that if the sources of financial burden can be identified, opportunities emerge to dampen or mitigate their impact on patients with chronic pancreatitis.

Financial Hardship Among Traditional Medicare and Medicare Advantage Enrollees With and Without Food Insecurity.

BACKGROUND: Compared to traditional Medicare (TM), Medicare Advantage (MA) plans impose out-of-pocket cost limits and offer extra benefits, potentially providing financial relief for MA enrollees, especially for those with food insecurity. OBJECTIVE: To examine whether the prevalence of food insecurity differs between TM and MA enrollees at baseline and then examine whether MA enrollment in a baseline year is associated with less financial hardships in the following year, relative to TM enrollment, especially for those experiencing food insecurity. DESIGN: We conducted a retrospective longitudinal cohort study. PARTICIPANTS: Our analysis included 2807 Medicare beneficiaries (weighted sample size, 23,963,947) who maintained continuous enrollment in either TM or MA in both 2020 and 2021 from the Medical Expenditure Panel Survey. MAIN MEASURES: We assessed outcomes related to financial hardships in health care and non-health care domains (measured in 2021). Our primary independent variables were food insecurity and MA enrollment (measured in 2020). RESULTS: The point estimate of food insecurity prevalence was greater among MA enrollees than TM enrollees, but the difference was not statistically significant (1.1 percentage points [95% CI, - 1.0, 3.4]). Furthermore, there is evidence that compared to TM enrollment, MA enrollment did not mitigate the risk of financial hardship, particularly for food-insecure enrollees. Rather, food-secure MA enrollees faced greater financial hardship in the following year than food-secure TM enrollees (11.2% [8.9-13.6] and 7.6% [6.9-8.3] for problems paying medical bills and 5.5% [4.6-6.4] and 2.8% [2.1-3.6] for paying medical bills over time). Moreover, the point estimate of financial hardship was higher among food-insecure MA enrollees than food-insecure TM enrollees (21.5% [5.4-37.5] and 11.2% [4.1-18.4] and 23.7% [9.6-37.9] and 6.9% [0.5-13.3]) despite the lack of statistical significance. CONCLUSION: These findings suggest that the promise of financial protection offered by MA plans has not been fully realized, particularly for those with food insecurity.

An analysis of financial hardship faced by patients with First Episode Psychosis, and their families, in an Indian setting.

BACKGROUND: The economic burden of psychotic disorders is not well documented in LMICs like India, due to several bottlenecks present in Indian healthcare system like lack of adequate resources, low budget for mental health services and inequity in accessibility of treatment. Hence, a large proportion of health expenditure is paid out of pocket by the households. OBJECTIVE: To evaluate the direct and indirect costs incurred by patients with First Episode Psychosis and their families in a North Indian setting. METHOD: Direct and Indirect costs were estimated for 87 patients diagnosed at AIIMS, New Delhi with first-episode psychosis (nonaffective) in the first- and sixth month following diagnosis, and the six months before diagnosis, using a bespoke questionnaire. Indirect costs were valued using the Human Capital Approach. RESULTS: Mean total costs in month one were INR 7991 ($107.5). Indirect costs were 78.3% of this total. Productivity losses was a major component of the indirect cost. Transportation was a key component of direct costs. Costs fell substantially at six months (INR 2732, Indirect Costs 61%). Respondents incurred substantial costs pre-diagnosis, related to formal and informal care seeking and loss of income. CONCLUSION: Families suffered substantial productivity loss. Care models and financial protection that address this could substantially reduce the financial burden of mental illness. Measures to address disruption to work and education during FEP are likely to have significant long-term benefits. Families also suffered prolonged income loss pre-diagnosis, highlighting the benefits of early and effective diagnosis.

Interventions to mitigate cancer-related medical financial hardship: A systematic review and meta-analysis.

BACKGROUND: This study systematically reviewed interventions mitigating financial hardship in patients with cancer and assessed effectiveness using a meta-analytic method. METHODS: PubMed, Cochrane, Scopus, CINAHL, and Web of Science were searched for articles published in English during January 2000-April 2023. Two independent reviewers selected prospective clinical trials with an intervention targeting and an outcome measuring financial hardship. Quality appraisal and data extraction were performed independently by two reviewers using a quality assessment tool. A random-effects model meta-analysis was performed. Reporting followed the preferred reporting items for systematic review and meta-analyses guidelines. RESULTS: Eleven studies (2211 participants; 55% male; mean age, 59.29 years) testing interventions including financial navigation, financial education, and cost discussion were included. Financial worry improved in only 27.3% of 11 studies. Material hardship and cost-related care nonadherence remained unchanged in the two studies measuring these outcomes. Four studies (373 participants; 37% male, mean age, 55.88 years) assessed the impact of financial navigation on financial worry using the comprehensive score of financial toxicity (COST) measure (score range, 0-44; higher score = lower financial worry) and were used for meta-analysis. There was no significant change in the mean of pooled COST score between post- and pre-intervention (1.21; 95% confidence interval, -6.54 to 8.96; p = .65). Adjusting for pre-intervention COST, mean change of COST significantly decreased by 0.88 with every 1-unit increase in pre-intervention COST (p = .02). The intervention significantly changed COST score when pre-intervention COST was ≤14.5. CONCLUSION: A variety of interventions have been tested to mitigate financial hardship. Financial navigation can mitigate financial worry among high-risk patients.

Financial burden following adult liver transplantation is common and associated with adverse recipient outcomes.

The financial impact of liver transplantation has been underexplored. We aimed to identify associations between high financial burden (≥10% annual income spent on out-of-pocket medical costs) and work productivity, financial distress (coping behaviors in response to the financial burden), and financial toxicity (health-related quality of life, HRQOL) among adult recipients of liver transplant. Between June 2021 and May 2022, we surveyed 207 adult recipients of liver transplant across 5 US transplant centers. Financial burden and distress were measured by 25 items adapted from national surveys of cancer survivors. Participants also completed the Work Productivity and Activity Impairment and EQ-5D-5L HRQOL questionnaires. In total, 23% of recipients reported high financial burden which was significantly associated with higher daily activity impairment (32.9% vs. 23.3%, p =0.048). In adjusted analyses, the high financial burden was significantly and independently associated with delayed or foregone medical care (adjusted odds ratio, 3.95; 95% CI, 1.85-8.42) and being unable to afford basic necessities (adjusted odds ratio, 5.12; 95% CI: 1.61-16.37). Recipients experiencing high financial burden had significantly lower self-reported HRQOL as measured by the EQ-5D-5L compared to recipients with low financial burden (67.8 vs. 76.1, p =0.008) and an age-matched and sex-matched US general population (67.8 vs. 79.1, p <0.001). In this multicenter cohort study, nearly 1 in 4 adult recipients of liver transplant experienced a high financial burden, which was significantly associated with delayed or foregone medical care and lower self-reported HRQOL. These findings underscore the need to evaluate and address the financial burden in this population before and after transplantation.

Financial toxicity among patients undergoing resectional surgery for inflammatory bowel disease in the United States.

AIM: Financial toxicity describes the financial burden and distress that patients experience due to medical treatment. Financial toxicity has yet to be characterized among patients with inflammatory bowel disease (IBD) undergoing surgical management of their disease. This study investigated the risk of financial toxicity associated with undergoing surgery for IBD. METHODS: This study used a retrospective analysis using the National Inpatient Sample from 2015 to 2019. Adult patients who underwent IBD-related surgery were identified using the International Classification of Diseases (10th Revision) diagnostic and procedure codes and stratified into privately insured and uninsured groups. The primary outcome was risk of financial toxicity, defined as hospital admission charges that constituted 40% or more of patient's post-subsistence income. Secondary outcomes included total hospital admission cost and predictors of financial toxicity. RESULTS: The analytical cohort consisted of 6412 privately insured and 3694 uninsured patients. Overall median hospital charges were $21 628 (interquartile range $14 758-$35 386). Risk of financial toxicity was 86.5% among uninsured patients and 0% among insured patients. Predictors of financial toxicity included emergency admission, being in the lowest residential income quartile and having ulcerative colitis (compared to Crohn's disease). Additional predictors were being of Black race or male sex. CONCLUSION: Financial toxicity is a serious consequence of IBD-related surgery among uninsured patients. Given the pervasive nature of this consequence, future steps to support uninsured patients receiving surgery, in particular emergency surgery, related to their IBD are needed to protect this group from financial risk.

Mental Health Among Puerto Rican Adolescents Living in the United States During the COVID-19 Pandemic.

OBJECTIVES: The present study examined how different family level (family financial stress, family violence) and individual (food insecurity, gender, race) determinants of health were associated with mental health among Puerto Rican adolescents living in the U.S. during the COVID-19 pandemic. METHOD: A sample consisting of 119 Puerto Rican adolescents, aged 13 to 17, was collected via Qualtrics Panels between November 2020 and January 2021. We examined the association between family financial stress experienced during the pandemic and psychological distress. We also evaluated whether the association between family financial stress and psychological distress was moderated by family violence, food insecurity, and the participant's gender and race. RESULTS: Findings showed that food insecurity positively predicted psychological distress. Results also showed that participants' race moderated the association between family financial stress and psychological distress. Specifically, we found that while there was a significant positive association between family financial stress and psychological distress among Puerto Rican adolescents who identified as a racial minority, this association was nonsignificant among White Puerto Rican adolescents. CONCLUSION: Our research highlights the significant role of COVID-19 related family financial stress and food insecurity on Puerto Rican adolescents' poor mental health during the COVID-19 pandemic.

Income loss and subsequent poor psychological well-being among the Chinese population during the early COVID-19 pandemic.

BACKGROUND: The COVID-19 pandemic has had major ramifications for health and the economy at both the individual and collective levels. This study examined exogenous negative changes in household income and their implications on psychological well-being (PWB) among the Chinese population during the COVID-19 pandemic. METHODS: Data were drawn from the early China COVID-19 Survey, a cross-sectional anonymous online survey administered to the general population in China. Self-reported PWB was measured using a 5-point Likert scale with five questions related to the participants' recent psychological state. Hierarchical multiple linear regression was employed to examine whether income loss during the COVID-19 pandemic was associated with poor psychological health. RESULTS: This study included 8,428 adults, of which 90% had suffered from a moderate or severe loss of household income due to the early COVID-19 pandemic. Those who had experienced moderate or severe loss of income scored significantly lower on psychological well-being than those who did not experience income loss (19.96 or 18.07 vs. 21.46; P < 0.001); after controlling for confounders, income loss was negatively associated with PWB scores (moderate income loss: B = - 0.603, P < 0.001; severe income loss: B = - 1.261, P < 0.001). An interaction effect existed between the degree of income loss and pre-pandemic income groups. Specifically, participants in the middle-income group who had suffered severe income loss scored the lowest on PWB (B = - 1.529, P < 0.001). There was also a main effect on income loss, such that participants with varying degrees of income loss differed across five dimensions, including anhedonia, sleep problems, irritability or anger, difficulty with concentration, and repeated disturbing dreams related to COVID-19. CONCLUSIONS: Income loss during the pandemic has had detrimental consequences on psychological well-being, and the magnitude of the impact of income loss on psychological well-being varied according to previous income levels. Future policy efforts should be directed toward improving the psychological well-being of the economically vulnerable and helping them recover from lost income in the shortest time possible.

Financial crisis early warning of Chinese listed companies based on MD&A text-linguistic feature indicators.

Nowadays, the international situation is severe and complex, and the structural issues within the Chinese economy are prominent. Consequently, the financial risks faced by Chinese listed companies continue to escalate. Hence, it is of great practical significance to furnish effective early warnings for financial crises in listed companies. In this paper, we first employ web crawler technology and natural language processing technology to assess four text-linguistic features in the Management Discussion and Analysis (MD&A) section of the annual financial reports of listed companies in China from 2011 to 2020. These features are text tone, forward-looking, readability and similarity. Subsequently, we combine these features with traditional financial indicators and explore thirteen mainstream machine learning models to comparatively analyze their effectiveness in predicting financial crises in listed companies. The empirical findings of this research reveal that MD&A text readability and similarity indicators contribute valuable incremental information to prediction models, whereas text tone and forward-looking indicators exhibit the opposite effect. The latter two indicators can be manipulated more effortlessly by management, as this study's empirical findings indicate no evidence of their contributions in incremental informational value. In fact, the forward-looking indicator even introduces additional noise to the prediction. Finally, by comparing the early warning effects of thirteen machine learning models, it is found that RF, Bagging, CatBoost, GBDT, XGBoost and LightGBM models maintain stable and accurate sample recognition ability. In general, this paper constructs a more effective financial crisis early warning model by exploring the MD&A text-linguistic feature indicators, thereby offering a fresh research perspective for further investigations in this field.

Historical Redlining, Socioeconomic Distress, and Risk of Heart Failure Among Medicare Beneficiaries.

BACKGROUND: The association of historical redlining policies, a marker of structural racism, with contemporary heart failure (HF) risk among White and Black individuals is not well established. METHODS: We aimed to evaluate the association of redlining with the risk of HF among White and Black Medicare beneficiaries. Zip code-level redlining was determined by the proportion of historically redlined areas using the Mapping Inequality Project within each zip code. The association between higher zip code redlining proportion (quartile 4 versus quartiles 1-3) and HF risk were assessed separately among White and Black Medicare beneficiaries using generalized linear mixed models adjusted for potential confounders, including measures of the zip code-level Social Deprivation Index. RESULTS: A total of 2 388 955 Medicare beneficiaries (Black n=801 452; White n=1 587 503; mean age, 71 years; men, 44.6%) were included. Among Black beneficiaries, living in zip codes with higher redlining proportion (quartile 4 versus quartiles 1-3) was associated with increased risk of HF after adjusting for age, sex, and comorbidities (risk ratio, 1.08 [95% CI, 1.04-1.12]; P<0.001). This association remained significant after further adjustment for area-level Social Deprivation Index (risk ratio, 1.04 [95% CI, 1.002-1.08]; P=0.04). A significant interaction was observed between redlining proportion and Social Deprivation Index (Pinteraction<0.01) such that higher redlining proportion was significantly associated with HF risk only among socioeconomically distressed regions (above the median Social Deprivation Index). Among White beneficiaries, redlining was associated with a lower risk of HF after adjustment for age, sex, and comorbidities (risk ratio, 0.94 [95% CI, 0.89-0.99]; P=0.02). CONCLUSIONS: Historical redlining is associated with an increased risk of HF among Black patients. Contemporary zip code-level social determinants of health modify the relationship between redlining and HF risk, with the strongest relationship between redlining and HF observed in the most socioeconomically disadvantaged communities.

Family economic pressure and early adolescents' prosocial behavior: The importance of considering the types of prosocial behavior.

BACKGROUND: Prior research findings are mixed regarding whether prosocial behavior is positively or negatively related to socioeconomic status and its correlates, such as economic pressure. This may be due to the lack of considerations for the type of prosocial behavior. AIMS: In this study, we aimed to examine how six types of prosocial behavior (i.e., public, anonymous, compliant, emotional, dire, and altruistic) are related to economic pressure among early adolescents. We hypothesized that family economic pressure would be associated with each type of prosocial behavior in differing ways. MATERIALS & METHODS: Participants were 11-14 years old (N = 143, Mage = 12.2 years, SDage = 0.87, 63 boys, 1 trans-identified boy, 55 girls), early adolescents and their parents. Among them, 54.6% were non-Hispanic/Latinx (NH/L) White, 23.8% were NH/L Black, 11.2% were NH/L Asian, 2.1% were NH/L Multiracial, and 8.4% were Hispanic/Latinx. Parents reported family economic pressure and adolescents' six types of prosocial behavior. RESULTS: Path analysis revealed that economic pressure was negatively associated with emotional and dire prosocial behavior over and above age, gender, and race/ethnicity. Family economic pressure was unrelated to public, anonymous, compliant, and altruistic prosocial behavior. DISCUSSION: These findings show some support for the Family Stress Model, such that economic stress might hinder youth's prosocial development. At the same time, youth may have similar levels of certain types of prosocial behavior regardless of their family's economic pressure. CONCLUSION: This research provided insight into the complex relation between economic pressure and youth's prosocial behavior which varies depending on the type of behavior.

Financial Hardship and its Associations with Perceived Sleep Quality in Participants with Type 2 Diabetes and Obstructive Sleep Apnea.

OBJECTIVES: The purpose of this study was to explore social determinants of health (SDoH), and disease severity as predictors of sleep quality in persons with both Obstructive Sleep Apnea (OSA) and type 2 diabetes (T2D). METHODS: Disease severity was measured by Apnea-Hypopnea Index [(AHI) ≥ 5] and HbA1c for glycemic control. SDoH included subjective and objective financial hardship, race, sex, marital status, education, and age. Sleep quality was measured by Pittsburgh Sleep Quality Index (PSQI). RESULTS: The sample (N = 209) was middle-aged (57.6 ± 10.0); 66% White and 34% African American; and 54% men and 46% women. Participants carried a high burden of disease (mean AHI = 20.7 ± 18.1, mean HbA1c = 7.9% ± 1.7%). Disease severity was not significantly associated with sleep quality (all p >.05). Worse sleep quality was associated with both worse subjective (b = -1.54, p = .015) and objective (b = 2.58, p <.001) financial hardship. Characteristics significantly associated with both subjective and objective financial hardship included being African American, female, ≤ 2 years post high school, and of younger ages (all p < .01).Discussion: Financial hardship is a more important predictor of sleep quality than disease severity, age, sex, race, marital status, and educational attainment, in patients with OSA and T2D.

Projections of the economic burden of care for individuals with dementia in mainland China from 2010 to 2050.

BACKGROUND: China has stepped into an era of aging society, where the impending considerable economic burden attributed to high prevalence of dementia in the elderly appears to be one of the most important health and social issues to deal with for the country. However, population-based quantification and projections for the economic burden of dementia in China are lacking for further health action and policy making. OBJECTIVE: To estimate and predict the costs of managing dementia in the elderly population aged 60 and above from 2010 to 2050 in China. METHODS: Data were collected from a six-province study (n = 7072) and other multiple sources for calculation of the economic burden of dementia. With the convincing data from published studies, we quantified and projected the costs attributed to dementia in China from 2010 to 2050. RESULTS: The national cost of dementia in 2010 was estimated to be US$22.8 billion by the opportunity cost method and US$26.4 billion by the proxy method. In 2050, the costs would increase to US$372.3 billion by the opportunity cost method and US$430.6 billion by the proxy method, consuming 0.53% and 0.61% of China's total GDP, respectively. A series of sensitivity analyses showed that the changes in the proportions of informal caregiving led to the most robust changes in the total burden of care for dementia in China. CONCLUSION: Dementia represents an enormous burden on China's population health and economy. Due to the changes in policies and population structure, policymakers should give priority to dementia care.