Prediction of non-muscle invasive bladder cancer recurrence using deep learning of pathology image.

We aimed to build a deep learning-based pathomics model to predict the early recurrence of non-muscle-infiltrating bladder cancer (NMIBC) in this work. A total of 147 patients from Xuzhou Central Hospital were enrolled as the training cohort, and 63 patients from Suqian Affiliated Hospital of Xuzhou Medical University were enrolled as the test cohort. Based on two consecutive phases of patch level prediction and WSI-level predictione, we built a pathomics model, with the initial model developed in the training cohort and subjected to transfer learning, and then the test cohort was validated for generalization. The features extracted from the visualization model were used for model interpretation. After migration learning, the area under the receiver operating characteristic curve for the deep learning-based pathomics model in the test cohort was 0.860 (95% CI 0.752-0.969), with good agreement between the migration training cohort and the test cohort in predicting recurrence, and the predicted values matched well with the observed values, with p values of 0.667766 and 0.140233 for the Hosmer-Lemeshow test, respectively. The good clinical application was observed using a decision curve analysis method. We developed a deep learning-based pathomics model showed promising performance in predicting recurrence within one year in NMIBC patients. Including 10 state prediction NMIBC recurrence group pathology features be visualized, which may be used to facilitate personalized management of NMIBC patients to avoid ineffective or unnecessary treatment for the benefit of patients.

Developments in conservative treatment for BCG-unresponsive non-muscle invasive bladder cancer.

INTRODUCTION: To reduce the risk of disease recurrence and progression of intermediate and high-risk Non-Muscle Invasive Bladder Cancers (NMIBCs), intravesical adjuvant treatment with Bacillus Calmette-Guerin (BCG) represents the standard of care, although up to 50% of patients will eventually recur and up to 20% of them will progress to Muscle Invasive Bladder Cancer (MIBC). Radical Cystectomy (RC) is the treatment of choice in this setting; however, this represents a major and morbid surgery, thus meaning that not all NMIBCs patient could undergo or may refuse this procedure or may refuse. The search for effective bladder sparing strategies in NMIBCs BCG-unresponsive patients is a hot topic in the urologic field. AREAS COVERED: We aimed to review the most important bladder-preserving strategies for BCG unresponsive disease, from those used in the past, even though rarely used nowadays (intravesical chemotherapy with single agents), to current available therapies (e.g. intravesical instillation with Gemcitabine-Docetaxel), and to future upcoming treatments (Oportuzumab Monatox). EXPERT OPINION: At present, bladder-preserving treatments in BCG-unresponsive patients are represented by the use of intravesical instillations, systemic immunotherapies, both with good short-term and modest mid-term efficacy, and numerous clinical trials ongoing, with encouraging initial results, in which patients could be recruited.

Potential utility of ADNP in circulating tumor cells as biomarker for prognostics in non-muscle-invasive bladder cancer.

This study aims to evaluate the prognostic utility of Activity-dependent neuroprotective protein (ADNP) expression in Circulating Tumor Cells (CTCs) inpatients with Non-muscle-invasive Bladder Cancer (NMIBC) undergoing Transurethral Resection of Bladder Tumor (TURBT). A prospective cohort of 74 bladder cancer patients and 22 non-cancer controls were enrolled. The expression of ADNP mRNA was detected by immunomagnetic beads-droplet digital PCR. The ADNP mRNA expression was evaluated in patients with high-risk NMIBC and those with indeterminate invasion depth post 2nd TURBT. Primary cultured bladder cancer cells and PBMCs from healthy donors were immunofluorescence stained. Our findings suggest that baseline ADNP mRNA level in CTCs shows potential as a prognostic marker for NMIBC with a sensitivity of 83.33% and a specificity of 73.58%. In comparison to baseline, ADNP mRNA expression increased post 2nd TURBT in 5 patients, where 2 experienced recurrence. Meanwhile, among the 12 patients with decreased levels, only one patient relapsed. A considerable limitation of this study entails the small sample size. The Immuno-magnetic beads-ddPCR technique provided a viable method for ADNP mRNA detection in CTCs from bladder cancer patients. The preoperative ADNP mRNA level in CTCs was identified as a prognostic indicator for NMIBC. Longitudinal monitoring of ADNP mRNA in CTCs of bladder cancer patients shows promise in evaluating treatment responses and predicting prognosis.

Efficacy of BCG for non-muscle invasive bladder cancer following nephroureterectomy for upper tract urothelial carcinoma.

PURPOSE: To evaluate the efficacy of intravesical (IVe) Bacillus Calmette-Guerin (BCG) to treat non-muscle invasive bladder cancer (NMIBC) recurrences in patients who have previously undergone nephroureterectomy for upper tract urothelial carcinoma (UTUC). METHODS: We performed a single institution retrospective review of patients who underwent nephroureterectomy for UTUC from 2009 to 2021. Patients who subsequently developed NMIBC treated with transurethral resection followed by IVe BCG were included in the study group. A control cohort was formed by retrospective review of patents with primary NMIBC treated with BCG during the same period. Patients in the control cohort were matched by stage of bladder cancer at a 2:1 ratio of control to study subjects. Demographic data, pathology of bladder tumors prior to and following BCG, use of maintenance BCG (mBCG), time to recurrence, time to progression, progression to cystectomy, and progression to metastatic disease were collected on all patients. Descriptive statistics were utilized to compare the 2 groups. The primary outcome was progression to muscle invasive disease. Secondary outcomes included intravesical recurrence free survival, disease free survival, and progression to metastatic disease. Univariable and multivariable logistic regression analysis was performed to elucidate independent variables associated with bladder tumor recurrence. Multivariable Cox regression analysis was used to assess the impact of prior UTUC on time to bladder tumor recurrence. RESULTS: One-hundred and ninety-one patients underwent nephroureterectomy at our institution from 2009 to 2021 for UTUC. Twenty-five patients were identified to have subsequently developed NMIBC recurrences treated with inductions BCG. The control group was comprised of 50 patients with primary NMIBC matched by stage of bladder cancer for which BCG was indicated in the study group. Median (interquartile range [IQR]) follow-up was significantly longer in the control group relative to the study group (64.8 [50.1-85.6] vs 25 months [17-35]; P = 0.001). There were no significant differences in demographics between the study and control groups. The rate of progression to muscle invasive disease was 17% vs 0% in the study group and control group respectively (P = 0.0521). History of UTUC was associated with increased risk of intravesical bladder tumor recurrence post BCG on multivariable analysis (HR 2.5; P = 0.017) and Kaplan Meier survival analysis (P = 0.039). The mean time to bladder tumor recurrence after treatment with BCG was significantly worse in the study group at (7.9 vs. 23.9 months; P = 0.0322). Similarly, the rate of progression to metastatic disease was worse in the study group (24% vs 2%; P = 0.0047). Overall disease-free survival was also noted to be significantly worse on Kaplan Meier survival analysis in the study group (P = 0.0074). No statistically significant differences in the stage grade of bladder tumor recurrence, grade of bladder tumor recurrence, or rate of progression to cystectomy were identified. CONCLUSIONS: Our study suggests reduced efficacy of BCG for NMIBC in patients with a history of UTUC. Patients in this population should be counseled accordingly. Research into alternative treatments for bladder tumor recurrence and more aggressive prophylactic regimens after nephroureterectomy for prevention of bladder tumor recurrence in this population is encouraged.

Photodynamic diagnosis-assisted transurethral resection of bladder tumor for high-risk non-muscle invasive bladder cancer improves intravesical recurrence-free survival (BRIGHT study).

OBJECTIVES: In a primary analysis of data from the BRIGHT study (UMIN000035712), photodynamic diagnosis-assisted transurethral resection of bladder tumor (PDD-TURBT) using oral 5-aminolevulinic acid hydrochloride reduced residual tumors in high-risk non-muscle invasive bladder cancer (NMIBC). We aimed to evaluate the effectiveness of PDD-TURBT for intravesical recurrence after a second transurethral resection for high-risk NMIBC. METHODS: High-risk NMIBC patients initially treated with PDD-TURBT (PDD group) were prospectively registered between 2018 and 2020. High-risk patients with NMIBC who were initially treated with white-light TURBT (WL group) were retrospectively registered. Intravesical recurrence-free survival after the second transurethral resection was compared between the PDD and WL groups using propensity score matching analysis. RESULTS: In total, 177 patients were enrolled in the PDD group, and 306 patients were registered in the WL group. After propensity score matching (146 cases in each group), intravesical recurrence within 1 year was significantly less frequent in the PDD group than in the WL group (p = 0.004; hazard ratio [HR] 0.44, 95% confidence interval [CI]: 0.25-0.77). In subgroup analysis, PDD-TURBT showed a particularly high efficacy in reducing intravesical recurrence within 1 year, especially in cases of tumors measuring less than 3 cm (p = 0.003; HR 0.31, 95% CI: 0.14-0.67), absence of residual tumor at second transurethral resection (p = 0.020; HR 0.37, 95% CI: 0.16-0.86), and no postoperative intravesical Bacillus Calmette-Guérin therapy (p < 0.001; HR 0.27, 95% CI: 0.13-0.58). CONCLUSIONS: PDD-TURBT may reduce short-term intravesical recurrence in patients with high-risk NMIBC.

Early experience with sequential intravesical gemcitabine and docetaxel for micropapillary variant non-muscle invasive bladder cancer.

BACKGROUND: Guidelines lack clear recommendations regarding conservative management of micropapillary (MP) variant non-muscle invasive bladder cancer (NMIBC). Bladder-sparing therapy using intravesical Bacillus Calmette-Guerin (BCG) has been reported although there are concerns regarding recurrence and progression with this approach. Due to the ongoing BCG shortage, we have utilized sequential intravesical gemcitabine and docetaxel (Gem/Doce) as primary therapy for NMIBC, including some cases with limited MP urothelial carcinoma (MPUC). To compare oncologic outcomes of patients with non-muscle invasive MPUC and conventional UC treated with Gem/Doce. METHODS: A secondary analysis of 138 patients with high-risk NMIBC treated with intravesical Gem/Doce from January 2011 to December 2021 was performed. Oncologic outcomes were compared in patients with or without MPUC using the Kaplan-Meier method. RESULTS: Median follow-up (f/u) for all patients was 23 months (IQR 13-34). There were 129 patients with pure UC and 9 with MPUC. In those with MPUC, all were high-grade (HG), 8/9 were stage T1, 7/9 had a focal MP component (extent < 10%), 3/9 had concomitant CIS, and 2/9 had lymphovascular invasion. All MPUC tumors were re-resected, and 4 had T0, 3 had T1 HG, 1 had Ta HG, 1 had carcinoma in situ (CIS); none had residual MP or LVI tumors before Gem/Doce treatment. The 24-month high-grade recurrence-free survival was 89% and 80% in patients with MPUC and pure UC, respectively. Survival outcomes did not significantly differ between patients with and without MPUC. Four patients with MPUC experienced recurrent NMIBC after Gem/Doce, and all were treated successfully with rescue sequential intravesical valrubicin and docetaxel (Val/Doce). Pathology of these four recurrent patients revealed more aggressive histologic features in the original tumor including: multifocal tumor (3/4), T1 HG disease (4/4), concomitant CIS (2/4), and moderate MP variant extent (30%) (1/4). No patient with MPUC underwent cystectomy, experienced progression, or died at last follow-up (median f/u of 43 months). CONCLUSIONS: Gem/Doce with Val/Doce rescue appears to have activity against carefully selected non-muscle invasive MPUC with favorable histology. Larger prospective trials are needed to validate these results.

Differences in oncological benefits from second transurethral resection between white-light initial surgery and photodynamic diagnosis-guided initial surgery for primary high-risk non-muscle invasive bladder cancer.

OBJECTIVES: The aim of this study was to compare clinical outcomes between patients receiving second TUR after initial white-light transurethral resection of bladder tumor (WL-TURBT) and initial photodynamic diagnosis (PDD)-assisted TURBT. METHODS: A total of 1007 patients were divided into four groups based on the treatment pattern: WL-TURBT with second TUR (161 patients, WL-second group) or without second TUR (540 patients, WL-alone group) and PDD-TURBT with second TUR (112 patients, PDD-second group) or without second TUR (194 patients, PDD-alone group). Oncologic outcomes (bladder cancer recurrence, progression, urothelial cancer-specific mortality) and rates of residual tumor and risk stratification of non-muscle-invasive bladder cancer (NMIBC) after second TUR were evaluated. RESULTS: After propensity score-matching 121 patients were included each in the WL-alone and WL-second groups, and 63 patients each in the PDD-alone and PDD-second groups. In the WL group, the second TUR was significantly associated with improved progression-free (p = 0.012) and urothelial cancer-specific free survival (p = 0.011), but not with recurrence-free survival (p = 0.93). Patients initially treated with PDD-TURBT, and with a tumor diameter <30 mm and multifocality had a relatively high benefit from second TUR. The rates of residual tumor and risk stratification of NMIBC did not significantly differ between WL-TURBT and PDD-TURBT groups. CONCLUSIONS: Our findings suggested that a second TUR could be omitted after an initial PDD-TURBT in selected patients with high-risk NMIBC.

Performance of the EORTC and CUETO Models to Predict Recurrence and Progression in High-risk Non-muscle-invasive Bladder Cancer Patients.

PURPOSE: To evaluate the performance of the European Organization for Research and Treatment of Cancer (EORTC) and the Spanish Urological Club for Oncological Treatment (CUETO) risk scoring models in non-muscle-invasive bladder cancer (NMIBC) patients defined as high risk according to European Association of Urology guidelines and managed based on current recommendations. MATERIAL AND METHODS: Data from 187 high-risk NMIBC patients treated at a tertiary center between July 2010 and November 2021 were analyzed retrospectively. One- and five-year recurrence- and progression-free survival were assessed for each patient using the EORTC and CUETO risk scores. The patients were divided into four risk groups according to their risk scores as low, medium-low, medium-high and high risk, as indicated in the models. Discriminative ability was evaluated with the Harrell's concordance index (c-index). RESULTS: Both risk scoring models overestimated the risk of recurrence and progression at one and five years. Only the prediction of recurrence at five years in the high risk group according to the CUETO model was compatible with our cohort. CUETO (c-indices for recurrence and progression were 0.802 and 0.834, respectively) exhibited better discrimination than EORTC (0.722 for recurrence and 0.752 for progression) in the prediction of disease recurrence and progression. CONCLUSION: The CUETO model was superior to the EORTC model in predicting recurrence and progression and stratifying patients with different prognoses in our high-risk NMIBC patient population treated according to current guideline recommendations. However, both models overestimated the probability of disease recurrence and progression. Only the probability of recurrence at five years in the high-risk group of the CUETO model was compatible with our cohort.

Comparison of hyperthermic intravesical chemotherapy and Bacillus Calmette-Guerin therapy in high-risk non-muscle invasive bladder cancer: a matched-pair analysis.

PURPOSE: To compare adjuvant hyperthermic intravesical chemotherapy (HIVEC) with mitomycin C and standard Bacillus Calmette-Guerin (BCG) therapy in terms of oncological outcomes and adverse events in patients with high-risk non-muscle-invasive bladder cancer (NMIBC). MATERIALS AND METHODS: The data of patients with high-risk papillary NMIBC treated with adjuvant intravesical BCG instillations or HIVEC in our institution between June 2017 and August 2022 were analyzed retrospectively. Twenty-four patients who received HIVEC were matched 1:1 with patients receiving BCG therapy based on tumor characteristics (tumor stage and grade), age, gender, smoking status, and the number of tumors (single or multiple). HIVEC and standard BCG treatments were compared in terms of recurrence-free survival (RFS), progression-free survival (PFS), and adverse events. RESULTS: Forty-eight patients (24 in the BCG group and 24 in the HIVEC group) were included in the study. The median follow-up times of the BCG and HIVEC groups were 32 [interquartile range (IQR): 28.0-47.8] and 28 (IQR: 16.7-41.8) months, respectively (p = 0.11). There was no significant difference between the groups in terms of the 24-month RFS (BCG 83% vs HIVEC 88%, p = 0.64) and the 24-month PFS (BCG 100% vs HIVEC 94%, p = 0.61). Regarding the safety profile, at least one adverse event occurred in 13 (54%) of the patients in the BCG group and 12 (50.0%) of those in the HIVEC group (p = 0.77). CONCLUSION: This study demonstrated that HIVEC with mitomycin C has a similar oncological efficacy and safety profile to standard BCG therapy in high-risk NMIBC.

Upstaging after Transurethral Resection of the Bladder for Non-Muscle-Invasive Cancer of the Bladder: Who Is at Highest Risk?

INTRODUCTION: Transurethral resection of the bladder (TUR-BT) is the standard initial treatment and diagnosis of bladder cancer (BC). Of note, upstaging into muscle-invasive disease (MIBC) during re-resection occurs in a significant proportion of patients. This study aimed to define risk factors at initial TUR-BT for upstaging. METHODS: TUR-BT between 2009 and 2021 were retrospectively screened (n = 3,237). We included patients with visible tumors that received their primary and re-TUR-BT at our institution. Upstaging was defined as pathological tumor stage progression into MIBC at re-TUR-BT. Clinicopathological variables were analyzed for the impact on upstaging. RESULTS: Two hundred and sixty-six patients/532 TUR-BTs were included in the final analysis. Upstaging occurred in 7.9% (21/266) patients. Patients with upstaging presented with stroma-invasive and papillary non-muscle-invasive BC at primary resection in 85.7% (18/21) and 14.3% (3/21), respectively. Detrusor muscle at primary TUR-BT was significantly less present in patients with upstaging (4.1 vs. 95.9%; p < 0.001). After multivariate analysis, solid tumor configuration (HR: 4.17; 95% CI: 1.23-14.15; p = 0.022) and missing detrusor muscle at initial TUR-BT (HR: 3.58; 95% CI: 1.05-12.24; p = 0.043) were significant risk factors for upstaging into MIBC. CONCLUSIONS: The current study defined two major risk factors for upstaging: missing detrusor muscle and solid tumor configuration. We propose that a second resection should be performed earlier if these risk factors apply.

Intratumoral PD1+CD38+Tim3+ CD8+ T Cells in Pre-BCG Tumor Tissues Are Associated with Poor Responsiveness to BCG Immunotherapy in Patients with Non-Muscle Invasive Bladder Cancer.

Intravesical immunotherapy with Bacillus Calmette-Guerin (BCG) is a standard of care therapy for non-muscle invasive bladder cancer (NMIBC), which accounts for about 75% of newly diagnosed urothelial cancer. However, given the frequent recurrence and progression, identification of a pre-treatment biomarker capable of predicting responsiveness to BCG in NMIBC is of utmost importance. Herein, using multiparametric flow cytometry, we characterized CD8+ T cells from peripheral blood and tumor tissues collected from 27 pre-BCG patients bearing NMIBC to obtain immune correlates of bladder cancer prognosis and responsiveness to BCG therapy. We observed that intratumoral CD8+ T cell subsets were highly heterogenous in terms of their differentiation state and exist at different proportions in tumor tissues. Remarkably, among the different CD8+ T cell subsets present in the tumor tissues, the frequency of the terminally exhausted-like CD8+ T cell subset, marked as PD1+CD38+Tim3+ CD8+ T cells, was inversely correlated with a favorable outcome for patients and a responsiveness to BCG therapy. Moreover, we also noted that the intratumoral abundance of the progenitor exhausted-like PD1+CD8+ T cell subset in pre-BCG NMIBC tumor tissues was indicative of better recurrence-free survival after BCG. Collectively, our study led to the identification of biomarkers that can predict the therapeutic responsiveness of BCG in NMIBC.

The impact of smoking on recurrence and progression of non-muscle invasive bladder cancer: a systematic review and meta-analysis.

OBJECTIVES: Although smoking is a well-recognized causative factor of urothelial bladder cancer and accounts for 50% of cases, less is known about the prognostic significance of smoking on non-muscle invasive bladder cancer (NMIBC) prognosis. This systematic review and meta-analysis aimed to evaluate the effect of smoking on the risk of NMIBC recurrence and progression. MATERIALS AND METHODS: We systematically searched Medline, Web of Science and Scopus databases for original articles published before October 2021 regarding the effect of smoking on NMIBC recurrence and progression. Information about smoking status and the number of events or odds ratio or hazard ratio for event-free survival must have been reported to include the study in the analysis. Quality In Prognosis Studies tool was utilized for the risk of bias assessment. RESULTS: We selected 64 eligible studies, including 28 617 patients with NMIBC with available data on smoking status. In a meta-analysis of 28 studies with 7885 patients, we found that smokers (current/former) were at higher risk for recurrence (OR = 1.68; 95% CI 1.34-2.09; P < 0.0001) compared to never smokers. Subgroup analysis of 2967 patients revealed that current smokers were at a 1.24 higher risk of recurrence (OR = 1.24; 95% CI 1.02-1.50; P = 0.03) compared to former smokers. A meta-analysis of the hazard ratio revealed that smokers are at higher risk of recurrence (HR = 1.31; 95%CI 1.15-1.48; P < 0.0001) and progression (HR = 1.18; 95%CI 1.08-1.29; P < 0.001) compared to never smokers. Detrimental prognostic effect of smoking on progression, but not for recurrence risk was also noted in the subgroup analysis of high-risk patients (HR = 1.30; 95%CI 1.09-1.55; P = 0.004) and BCG-treated ones (HR = 1.15; 95%CI 1.06-1.25; P < 0.001). CONCLUSION: In conclusion, patients with non-muscle invasive bladder cancer and a history of smoking have a worse prognosis regarding recurrence-free and progression-free survival compared to non-smokers.