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1.
PLoS One ; 19(5): e0301122, 2024.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-38758933

RESUMO

This article investigates the dynamic impact of green energy consumption (GE), financial inclusion (FI), and military spending (MS) on environmental sustainability (ES) by utilizing a sample of 121 countries from 2003 to 2022. The dataset is divided into high-income, upper-middle income and low and lower-middle-income countries. We employed a two-step system GMM approach, which was further robust through panel Quantile and Driscoll-Kraay (D-K) regressions. The findings divulged that green energy resources benefit ES at global and all income levels because of having a significant negative impact of 5.9% on ecological footprints. At the same time, FI and MS significantly enhance ecological footprints by 7% and 6.9%, respectively, proving these factors detrimental to ES. Moreover, conflicts (CON), terrorism (TM), institutional quality (IQ), and socioeconomic conditions (SEC) also have a significantly positive association with global ecological footprints and most of the income level groups. Dissimilarly, financial inclusion and armed conflicts have a non-significant influence on ecological footprints in low-income and high-income countries, respectively. Furthermore, institutional quality enhances ES in upper-middle and low and lower-middle-income countries by negatively affecting ecological footprints. At the same time, terrorism significantly reduces ecological footprints in high-income countries. This research also provides the imperative policy inferences to accomplish various SDGs.


Assuntos
Conservação dos Recursos Naturais , Humanos , Conservação dos Recursos Naturais/economia , Fatores Socioeconômicos , Conservação de Recursos Energéticos/economia , Desenvolvimento Sustentável/economia , Países em Desenvolvimento/economia , Renda
2.
PLoS One ; 19(5): e0295183, 2024.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-38696449

RESUMO

Given the importance of ICT diffusion in the development of the financial sector, this analysis is an effort to analyze the transmission channels between the two in high-income and middle and low-income economies over 2001-2019. We have used three variables, including the ICT index, individuals using the internet, and mobile subscribers, to represent ICT and three indices, including the financial development index, financial institution index, and financial market index, to make our results reliable and robust. We utilized a GMM method for conducting the empirical analysis. Generally, our results imply that ICT diffusion positively impacts financial development in high-income economies and negatively impacts middle and low-income economies. Our findings suggest that middle- and low-income-economy policymakers should follow the footprint of the high-income economies and increase the role of ICT in the financial sector for its development.


Assuntos
Países em Desenvolvimento , Desenvolvimento Econômico , Países em Desenvolvimento/economia , Humanos , Renda , Países Desenvolvidos/economia , Internet
5.
PLoS One ; 19(5): e0301710, 2024.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-38753852

RESUMO

The dynamics of central government funding to regions depend on local investments. In regional autonomy, local governments are encouraged to be more self-reliant from the central government. For regions with high natural resource yields, they will not encounter difficulties in meeting their fiscal needs. Community welfare can be realized through fulfilling basic needs, one of which is infrastructure development. High-quality infrastructure will be able to contribute to further progress in trade, thus enhancing production efficiency. The objective of this research is to analyze the extent of the influence of central government transfer funds, especially the Natural Resource Revenue Sharing Funds (DBH SDA), on local government investments in infrastructure across 508 districts/cities in Indonesia. The method used is dynamic panel regression using the Generalized Method of Moment (GMM) Arellano-Bond approach. This study finds that the role of DBH SDA is still low in infrastructure spending. The role of the central government remains significant in determining infrastructure spending at the district/city level in Indonesia. This indicates that local governments rely more on other sectors in infrastructure investment. By enhancing the role of DBH SDA through technological advancements, it is hoped that the market value of natural resources can be higher through resource downstreaming. This strategy will have broader impacts, as labor needs can be absorbed not only in raw material production activities but also in the processing technology sector. Furthermore, the utilization of natural resources with modern technology can increase extraction efficiency, support sustainable development, and minimize environmental impacts.


Assuntos
Investimentos em Saúde , Indonésia , Investimentos em Saúde/economia , Humanos , Recursos Naturais , Países em Desenvolvimento/economia , Conservação dos Recursos Naturais/economia , Conservação dos Recursos Naturais/métodos , Financiamento Governamental , Governo , Governo Local
7.
Nature ; 625(7996): 722-727, 2024 Jan.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-38110573

RESUMO

Ecosystems generate a wide range of benefits for humans, including some market goods as well as other benefits that are not directly reflected in market activity1. Climate change will alter the distribution of ecosystems around the world and change the flow of these benefits2,3. However, the specific implications of ecosystem changes for human welfare remain unclear, as they depend on the nature of these changes, the value of the affected benefits and the extent to which communities rely on natural systems for their well-being4. Here we estimate country-level changes in economic production and the value of non-market ecosystem benefits resulting from climate-change-induced shifts in terrestrial vegetation cover, as projected by dynamic global vegetation models (DGVMs) driven by general circulation climate models. Our results show that the annual population-weighted mean global flow of non-market ecosystem benefits valued in the wealth accounts of the World Bank will be reduced by 9.2% in 2100 under the Shared Socioeconomic Pathway SSP2-6.0 with respect to the baseline no climate change scenario and that the global population-weighted average change in gross domestic product (GDP) by 2100 is -1.3% of the baseline GDP. Because lower-income countries are more reliant on natural capital, these GDP effects are regressive. Approximately 90% of these damages are borne by the poorest 50% of countries and regions, whereas the wealthiest 10% experience only 2% of these losses.


Assuntos
Mudança Climática , Países Desenvolvidos , Países em Desenvolvimento , Ecossistema , Produto Interno Bruto , Mudança Climática/economia , Mudança Climática/estatística & dados numéricos , Modelos Climáticos , Países Desenvolvidos/economia , Países em Desenvolvimento/economia , Plantas , Densidade Demográfica , Fatores Socioeconômicos
14.
Nature ; 621(7979): 568-576, 2023 Sep.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-37704722

RESUMO

Growth faltering in children (low length for age or low weight for length) during the first 1,000 days of life (from conception to 2 years of age) influences short-term and long-term health and survival1,2. Interventions such as nutritional supplementation during pregnancy and the postnatal period could help prevent growth faltering, but programmatic action has been insufficient to eliminate the high burden of stunting and wasting in low- and middle-income countries. Identification of age windows and population subgroups on which to focus will benefit future preventive efforts. Here we use a population intervention effects analysis of 33 longitudinal cohorts (83,671 children, 662,763 measurements) and 30 separate exposures to show that improving maternal anthropometry and child condition at birth accounted for population increases in length-for-age z-scores of up to 0.40 and weight-for-length z-scores of up to 0.15 by 24 months of age. Boys had consistently higher risk of all forms of growth faltering than girls. Early postnatal growth faltering predisposed children to subsequent and persistent growth faltering. Children with multiple growth deficits exhibited higher mortality rates from birth to 2 years of age than children without growth deficits (hazard ratios 1.9 to 8.7). The importance of prenatal causes and severe consequences for children who experienced early growth faltering support a focus on pre-conception and pregnancy as a key opportunity for new preventive interventions.


Assuntos
Caquexia , Países em Desenvolvimento , Transtornos do Crescimento , Pré-Escolar , Feminino , Humanos , Lactente , Recém-Nascido , Masculino , Gravidez , Caquexia/economia , Caquexia/epidemiologia , Caquexia/etiologia , Caquexia/prevenção & controle , Estudos de Coortes , Países em Desenvolvimento/economia , Países em Desenvolvimento/estatística & dados numéricos , Suplementos Nutricionais , Transtornos do Crescimento/epidemiologia , Transtornos do Crescimento/prevenção & controle , Estudos Longitudinais , Mães , Fatores Sexuais , Desnutrição/economia , Desnutrição/epidemiologia , Desnutrição/etiologia , Desnutrição/prevenção & controle , Antropometria
15.
JAMA ; 330(8): 715-724, 2023 08 22.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-37606674

RESUMO

Importance: Aspirin is an effective and low-cost option for reducing atherosclerotic cardiovascular disease (CVD) events and improving mortality rates among individuals with established CVD. To guide efforts to mitigate the global CVD burden, there is a need to understand current levels of aspirin use for secondary prevention of CVD. Objective: To report and evaluate aspirin use for secondary prevention of CVD across low-, middle-, and high-income countries. Design, Setting, and Participants: Cross-sectional analysis using pooled, individual participant data from nationally representative health surveys conducted between 2013 and 2020 in 51 low-, middle-, and high-income countries. Included surveys contained data on self-reported history of CVD and aspirin use. The sample of participants included nonpregnant adults aged 40 to 69 years. Exposures: Countries' per capita income levels and world region; individuals' socioeconomic demographics. Main Outcomes and Measures: Self-reported use of aspirin for secondary prevention of CVD. Results: The overall pooled sample included 124 505 individuals. The median age was 52 (IQR, 45-59) years, and 50.5% (95% CI, 49.9%-51.1%) were women. A total of 10 589 individuals had a self-reported history of CVD (8.1% [95% CI, 7.6%-8.6%]). Among individuals with a history of CVD, aspirin use for secondary prevention in the overall pooled sample was 40.3% (95% CI, 37.6%-43.0%). By income group, estimates were 16.6% (95% CI, 12.4%-21.9%) in low-income countries, 24.5% (95% CI, 20.8%-28.6%) in lower-middle-income countries, 51.1% (95% CI, 48.2%-54.0%) in upper-middle-income countries, and 65.0% (95% CI, 59.1%-70.4%) in high-income countries. Conclusion and Relevance: Worldwide, aspirin is underused in secondary prevention, particularly in low-income countries. National health policies and health systems must develop, implement, and evaluate strategies to promote aspirin therapy.


Assuntos
Aspirina , Doenças Cardiovasculares , Prevenção Secundária , Adulto , Idoso , Feminino , Humanos , Masculino , Pessoa de Meia-Idade , Aspirina/uso terapêutico , Doenças Cardiovasculares/epidemiologia , Doenças Cardiovasculares/mortalidade , Doenças Cardiovasculares/prevenção & controle , Estudos Transversais , Países Desenvolvidos/economia , Países Desenvolvidos/estatística & dados numéricos , Países em Desenvolvimento/economia , Países em Desenvolvimento/estatística & dados numéricos , Prevenção Secundária/economia , Prevenção Secundária/métodos , Prevenção Secundária/estatística & dados numéricos , Autorrelato/economia , Autorrelato/estatística & dados numéricos , Fármacos Cardiovasculares/uso terapêutico
16.
Environ Sci Pollut Res Int ; 30(37): 87274-87285, 2023 Aug.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-37422559

RESUMO

Despite worldwide commitments to reduce fossil fuel consumption in favour of alternative energies, several countries still rely on carbon-intensive sources to meet their energy demands. The previous studies show inconsistent results on the association between financial development and CO2 emissions. As a result, the impact of financial development, human capital, economic growth and energy efficiency on CO2 emission is evaluated here. Empirical research on a panel of 13 South and East Asian (SEA) nations between 1995 and 2021 using the CS-ARDL. Estimates from the empirical analysis considering energy efficiency, human capital, economic growth and overall energy use yield different findings. Financial development has a negative effect on CO2 emission, while economic growth positively impacts CO2 emission. The data also show that improving human capital and energy efficiency has a positive, though statistically insignificant, impact on CO2 emission. According to the causes and effects analysis, CO2 emission will be influenced by policies that aim to improve financial development, human capital, and energy efficiency, but not vice versa. Policy considerations that can be implemented in light of these findings and sustainable development goals can be accomplished by promoting financial resources and human capital.


Assuntos
Dióxido de Carbono , Desenvolvimento Econômico , Combustíveis Fósseis , Carbono , Pesquisa Empírica , Energia Renovável , Ásia Oriental , Ásia Meridional , Combustíveis Fósseis/economia , Países em Desenvolvimento/economia
17.
Surg Clin North Am ; 103(3): 551-563, 2023 Jun.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-37149390

RESUMO

More than 95% of the 11 million burns that occur annually happen in low-resource settings, and 70% of those occur among children. Although some low- and middle-income countries have well-organized emergency care systems, many have not prioritized care for the injured and experience unsatisfactory outcomes after burn injury. This chapter outlines key considerations for burn care in low-resource settings.


Assuntos
Queimaduras , Serviços Médicos de Emergência , Criança , Humanos , Queimaduras/economia , Queimaduras/terapia , Serviços Médicos de Emergência/economia , Serviços Médicos de Emergência/organização & administração , Países em Desenvolvimento/economia
18.
JAMA ; 329(19): 1650-1661, 2023 05 16.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-37191704

RESUMO

Importance: Most epidemiological studies of heart failure (HF) have been conducted in high-income countries with limited comparable data from middle- or low-income countries. Objective: To examine differences in HF etiology, treatment, and outcomes between groups of countries at different levels of economic development. Design, Setting, and Participants: Multinational HF registry of 23 341 participants in 40 high-income, upper-middle-income, lower-middle-income, and low-income countries, followed up for a median period of 2.0 years. Main Outcomes and Measures: HF cause, HF medication use, hospitalization, and death. Results: Mean (SD) age of participants was 63.1 (14.9) years, and 9119 (39.1%) were female. The most common cause of HF was ischemic heart disease (38.1%) followed by hypertension (20.2%). The proportion of participants with HF with reduced ejection fraction taking the combination of a ß-blocker, renin-angiotensin system inhibitor, and mineralocorticoid receptor antagonist was highest in upper-middle-income (61.9%) and high-income countries (51.1%), and it was lowest in low-income (45.7%) and lower-middle-income countries (39.5%) (P < .001). The age- and sex- standardized mortality rate per 100 person-years was lowest in high-income countries (7.8 [95% CI, 7.5-8.2]), 9.3 (95% CI, 8.8-9.9) in upper-middle-income countries, 15.7 (95% CI, 15.0-16.4) in lower-middle-income countries, and it was highest in low-income countries (19.1 [95% CI, 17.6-20.7]). Hospitalization rates were more frequent than death rates in high-income countries (ratio = 3.8) and in upper-middle-income countries (ratio = 2.4), similar in lower-middle-income countries (ratio = 1.1), and less frequent in low-income countries (ratio = 0.6). The 30-day case-fatality rate after first hospital admission was lowest in high-income countries (6.7%), followed by upper-middle-income countries (9.7%), then lower-middle-income countries (21.1%), and highest in low-income countries (31.6%). The proportional risk of death within 30 days of a first hospital admission was 3- to 5-fold higher in lower-middle-income countries and low-income countries compared with high-income countries after adjusting for patient characteristics and use of long-term HF therapies. Conclusions and Relevance: This study of HF patients from 40 different countries and derived from 4 different economic levels demonstrated differences in HF etiologies, management, and outcomes. These data may be useful in planning approaches to improve HF prevention and treatment globally.


Assuntos
Países Desenvolvidos , Países em Desenvolvimento , Saúde Global , Insuficiência Cardíaca , Feminino , Humanos , Masculino , Pessoa de Meia-Idade , Causalidade , Insuficiência Cardíaca/epidemiologia , Insuficiência Cardíaca/etiologia , Insuficiência Cardíaca/mortalidade , Insuficiência Cardíaca/terapia , Hospitalização/economia , Hospitalização/estatística & dados numéricos , Hipertensão/complicações , Hipertensão/epidemiologia , Renda , Volume Sistólico , Saúde Global/estatística & dados numéricos , Sistema de Registros/estatística & dados numéricos , Países Desenvolvidos/economia , Países Desenvolvidos/estatística & dados numéricos , Países em Desenvolvimento/economia , Países em Desenvolvimento/estatística & dados numéricos , Idoso
19.
Nature ; 618(7965): 575-582, 2023 Jun.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-37258664

RESUMO

Poverty is an important social determinant of health that is associated with increased risk of death1-5. Cash transfer programmes provide non-contributory monetary transfers to individuals or households, with or without behavioural conditions such as children's school attendance6,7. Over recent decades, cash transfer programmes have emerged as central components of poverty reduction strategies of many governments in low- and middle-income countries6,7. The effects of these programmes on adult and child mortality rates remains an important gap in the literature, however, with existing evidence limited to a few specific conditional cash transfer programmes, primarily in Latin America8-14. Here we evaluated the effects of large-scale, government-led cash transfer programmes on all-cause adult and child mortality using individual-level longitudinal mortality datasets from many low- and middle-income countries. We found that cash transfer programmes were associated with significant reductions in mortality among children under five years of age and women. Secondary heterogeneity analyses suggested similar effects for conditional and unconditional programmes, and larger effects for programmes that covered a larger share of the population and provided larger transfer amounts, and in countries with lower health expenditures, lower baseline life expectancy, and higher perceived regulatory quality. Our findings support the use of anti-poverty programmes such as cash transfers, which many countries have introduced or expanded during the COVID-19 pandemic, to improve population health.


Assuntos
Mortalidade da Criança , Países em Desenvolvimento , Mortalidade , Pobreza , Adulto , Pré-Escolar , Feminino , Humanos , Mortalidade da Criança/tendências , COVID-19/economia , COVID-19/epidemiologia , Países em Desenvolvimento/economia , Pobreza/economia , Pobreza/prevenção & controle , Pobreza/estatística & dados numéricos , Expectativa de Vida , Gastos em Saúde/estatística & dados numéricos , Saúde Pública/métodos , Saúde Pública/estatística & dados numéricos , Saúde Pública/tendências , Mortalidade/tendências
20.
JAMA ; 329(15): 1312-1314, 2023 04 18.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-37071104

RESUMO

This study examines what study authors consider to be appropriate cost-effectiveness analysis thresholds as reflected in the referenced thresholds in their published cost-effectiveness analyses.


Assuntos
Análise Custo-Benefício , Análise de Custo-Efetividade , Atenção à Saúde , Países em Desenvolvimento/economia , Anos de Vida Ajustados por Qualidade de Vida , Atenção à Saúde/economia
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