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2.
Vasc Endovascular Surg ; 54(4): 325-332, 2020 May.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-32079508

RESUMO

OBJECTIVE: Open repair of ruptured abdominal aortic aneurysm (rAAA) has shown improved outcomes at trauma centers. Whether the benefit of trauma center designation extends to endovascular repair of rAAA is unknown. METHODS: Retrospective cohort study using the California Office of Statewide Health Planning and Development 2007 to 2014 discharge database to identify patients with rAAA. Data included demographic and admission factors, discharge disposition, International Classification of Diseases, Ninth Revision, Clinical Modification codes, and hospital characteristics. Hospitals were categorized by trauma center designation and teaching hospital status. The effect of repair type and trauma center designation (level I, level II, or other-other trauma centers and nondesignated hospitals) was evaluated to determine rates and risks of 9 postoperative complications, in-hospital mortality, and 30-day postdischarge mortality. RESULTS: Of 1941 rAAA repair patients, 61.2% had open and 37.8% had endovascular; 1.0% had both. Endovascular repair increased over the study interval. Hospitals were 12.0% level I, 25.0% level II, and 63.0% other. A total of 48.7% of hospitals were teaching hospitals (level I, 100%; level II, 42.2%; and other, 41.8%). Endovascular repair was significantly more common at teaching hospitals (41.5% vs 34.3%, P < .001) and was the primary repair method at level I trauma centers (P < .001). Compared with open repair, endovascular repair was protective for most complications and in-hospital mortality. The risk for in-hospital mortality was highest among endovascular patients at level II trauma centers (hazard ratio 1.67, 95% confidence interval [CI]: 0.95-2.92) and other hospitals (hazard ratio 1.66, 95% CI: 1.01-2.72). CONCLUSIONS: Endovascular repair overall was associated with a lower risk of adverse outcomes. Endovascular repair at level I trauma centers had a lower risk of in-hospital mortality which may be a result of their teaching hospital status, organizational structure, and other factors. The weight of the contributions of such factors warrants further study.


Assuntos
Aneurisma da Aorta Abdominal/cirurgia , Ruptura Aórtica/cirurgia , Implante de Prótese Vascular , Procedimentos Endovasculares , Centros de Traumatologia , Idoso , Idoso de 80 Anos ou mais , Aneurisma da Aorta Abdominal/diagnóstico por imagem , Aneurisma da Aorta Abdominal/economia , Aneurisma da Aorta Abdominal/mortalidade , Ruptura Aórtica/diagnóstico por imagem , Ruptura Aórtica/economia , Ruptura Aórtica/mortalidade , Implante de Prótese Vascular/efeitos adversos , Implante de Prótese Vascular/economia , Implante de Prótese Vascular/mortalidade , California , Bases de Dados Factuais , Procedimentos Endovasculares/efeitos adversos , Procedimentos Endovasculares/economia , Procedimentos Endovasculares/mortalidade , Feminino , Custos Hospitalares , Mortalidade Hospitalar , Hospitais de Ensino , Humanos , Masculino , Pessoa de Meia-Idade , Estudos Retrospectivos , Medição de Risco , Fatores de Risco , Fatores de Tempo , Centros de Traumatologia/economia , Resultado do Tratamento
3.
Br J Surg ; 106(3): 206-216, 2019 02.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-30702746

RESUMO

Background: Population screening for abdominal aortic aneurysm (AAA) in 65­year­old men has been shown to be cost­effective. A risk group with higher prevalence is siblings of patients with an AAA. This health economic model­based study evaluated the potential cost­effectiveness of targeted AAA screening of siblings. Methods: A Markov model validated against other screening programmes was used. Two methods of identifying siblings were analysed: direct questioning of patients with an AAA (method A), and employing a national multigeneration register (method B). The prevalence was based on observed ultrasound data on AAAs in siblings. Additional parameters were extracted from RCTs, vascular registers, literature and ongoing screening. The outcome was cost­effectiveness, probability of cost­effectiveness at different willingness­to­pay (WTP) thresholds, reduction in AAA death, quality­adjusted life­years (QALYs) gained and total costs on a national scale. Results: Methods A and B were estimated to reduce mortality from AAA, at incremental cost­effectiveness ratios of €7800 (95 per cent c.i. 4627 to 12 982) and €7666 (5000 to 13 373) per QALY respectively. The probability of cost­effectiveness was 99 per cent at a WTP of €23 000. The absolute risk reduction in AAA deaths was five per 1000 invited. QALYs gained were 27 per 1000 invited. In a population of ten million, methods A and B were estimated to prevent 12 and 17 AAA deaths, among 2418 and 3572 siblings identified annually, at total costs of €499 500 and €728 700 respectively. Conclusion: The analysis indicates that aneurysm­related mortality could be decreased cost­effectively by applying a targeted screening method for siblings of patients with an AAA.


Assuntos
Aneurisma da Aorta Abdominal/diagnóstico , Distribuição por Idade , Idoso , Idoso de 80 Anos ou mais , Aneurisma da Aorta Abdominal/economia , Aneurisma da Aorta Abdominal/mortalidade , Ruptura Aórtica/diagnóstico , Ruptura Aórtica/economia , Ruptura Aórtica/mortalidade , Análise Custo-Benefício , Diagnóstico Precoce , Feminino , Humanos , Masculino , Cadeias de Markov , Prognóstico , Anos de Vida Ajustados por Qualidade de Vida , Distribuição por Sexo , Irmãos , Suécia/epidemiologia
4.
Angiology ; 70(5): 407-413, 2019 May.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-30654619

RESUMO

In Europe, the prevalence of abdominal aortic aneurysms (AAAs) in the elderly population (≥65 year old) has declined in the past decades to <4%. Aneurysmal degeneration of the aorta is a serious and potentially life-threatening vascular disease. Abdominal aortic aneurysms typically develop subclinically and often only become symptomatic when complicated by impending rupture. Most AAAs are discovered incidentally while investigating for an unrelated pathology. Ruptured AAA is the tenth leading cause of death in Belgium (0.32% of all deaths in 2014). Health-care providers have emphasized the importance of early detection of AAA and elective repair when the rupture risk outweighs operative risk (usual diameter threshold of 55 mm). Routine AAA screening programs, consisting of a single abdominal ultrasonography at the age of 65 years, aim to reduce the number of AAA-related deaths. Does population-based ultrasound screening for AAA achieve its objective and is it cost-effective? This literature review tries to answer these challenging questions.


Assuntos
Aneurisma da Aorta Abdominal/diagnóstico por imagem , Ruptura Aórtica/diagnóstico por imagem , Programas de Rastreamento/métodos , Ultrassonografia , Fatores Etários , Idoso , Idoso de 80 Anos ou mais , Aneurisma da Aorta Abdominal/economia , Aneurisma da Aorta Abdominal/mortalidade , Aneurisma da Aorta Abdominal/terapia , Ruptura Aórtica/economia , Ruptura Aórtica/mortalidade , Ruptura Aórtica/terapia , Análise Custo-Benefício , Diagnóstico Precoce , Feminino , Custos de Cuidados de Saúde , Humanos , Expectativa de Vida , Masculino , Programas de Rastreamento/economia , Pessoa de Meia-Idade , Valor Preditivo dos Testes , Prevalência , Prognóstico , Medição de Risco , Fatores de Risco , Fatores Sexuais , Ultrassonografia/economia
5.
Ann Vasc Surg ; 54: 123-133, 2019 Jan.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-29778610

RESUMO

BACKGROUND: The purpose of this study was to characterize utilization and outcomes of thoracic endovascular aortic aneurysm repair (TEVAR) in New York State during the first decade of commercial availability, with respect to evolving indications, results, and costs. Of specific interest was evaluation of the volume-outcome relationship for this relatively uncommon procedure. METHODS: The New York Statewide Planning and Research Cooperative System database was queried to identify patients undergoing TEVAR from 2005 to 2014 for aortic dissection (AD), non-ruptured aneurysm (NRA), and ruptured aneurysm (RA). Outcomes assessed included in-hospital mortality, complications, and costs. Linkage to the National Provider Identifier and New York Office of Professions databases facilitated comparisons by surgeon and facility volume. RESULTS: One thousand eight hundred thirty-eight patients were identified: 334 AD, 226 RA, and 1,278 NRA. Since introduction, TEVAR implantation increased significantly over the 10-year period in all groups (P < 0.01), with recent increase in utilization for AD. Increased in-hospital mortality correlated with RA (OR 5.52 [3.02-10.08], P < 0.01), coagulopathy (3.38 [2.02-5.66], P < 0.01), cerebrovascular disease (2.47 [1.17-5.22], P = 0.02), and nonwhite/nonblack race (1.74 [1.08-2.82], P = 0.02). Early in the experience (2005-2007), patients were more likely to be treated at high-volume facilities (>17 per year) and by high-volume surgeons (>5 per year), (P < 0.01). Since 2011, however, most patients (53%) have undergone TEVAR by low-volume surgeons (<3 per year). Neither surgeon nor hospital volume was associated with clinical outcomes. CONCLUSIONS: Since the introduction of TEVAR, comparable results have been obtained across hospital and surgeon volume strata. Favorable outcomes, even in low-volume settings, underscore the complexity of volume-outcome relationships in high-acuity procedures. These findings have implications for credentialing, regionalization, and future dissemination of advanced endovascular technology.


Assuntos
Aneurisma da Aorta Torácica/cirurgia , Dissecção Aórtica/cirurgia , Ruptura Aórtica/cirurgia , Implante de Prótese Vascular/tendências , Procedimentos Endovasculares/tendências , Avaliação de Processos em Cuidados de Saúde/tendências , Idoso , Idoso de 80 Anos ou mais , Dissecção Aórtica/diagnóstico por imagem , Dissecção Aórtica/economia , Dissecção Aórtica/mortalidade , Aneurisma da Aorta Torácica/diagnóstico por imagem , Aneurisma da Aorta Torácica/economia , Aneurisma da Aorta Torácica/mortalidade , Ruptura Aórtica/diagnóstico por imagem , Ruptura Aórtica/economia , Ruptura Aórtica/mortalidade , Implante de Prótese Vascular/efeitos adversos , Implante de Prótese Vascular/economia , Implante de Prótese Vascular/mortalidade , Bases de Dados Factuais , Difusão de Inovações , Procedimentos Endovasculares/efeitos adversos , Procedimentos Endovasculares/economia , Procedimentos Endovasculares/mortalidade , Feminino , Custos de Cuidados de Saúde/tendências , Disparidades em Assistência à Saúde/tendências , Mortalidade Hospitalar/tendências , Hospitais com Alto Volume de Atendimentos/tendências , Hospitais com Baixo Volume de Atendimentos/tendências , Humanos , Masculino , Pessoa de Meia-Idade , New York , Complicações Pós-Operatórias/mortalidade , Avaliação de Processos em Cuidados de Saúde/economia , Estudos Retrospectivos , Fatores de Tempo , Resultado do Tratamento
6.
Ann Vasc Surg ; 56: 163-174, 2019 Apr.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-30476604

RESUMO

BACKGROUND: The objective of the study was to compare the cost-effectiveness of endovascular aortic repair (rEVAR) versus open surgical repair (rOSR) for ruptured abdominal aortic aneurysm (rAAA), where rEVAR is regularly performed outside of instructions for use (IFUs) (shorter and more angulated necks). Primary end point is incremental cost-effectiveness ratio (ICER) of rEVAR versus rOSR and aneurysm-related mortality. Secondary end points are cost per quality-adjusted life years (QALYs), perioperative morbidity and mortality, reintervention, and all-cause mortality. METHODS: All rAAA repairs performed between 2002 and 2016 in a single center were scrutinized. Between 2002 and 2007, most rAAAs were repaired using rOSR. From 2007 to 2016, we implemented a rEVAR with an anatomically possible protocol. During this time, severe angulation was rarely seen as a contraindication to rEVAR, and rEVAR was performed on aneurysms with an infrarenal aortic neck cranial to the aneurysm with a diameter of 20-33 mm and a length of at least 5 mm. Demographics and outcomes were reported according to the Society for Vascular Surgery guidelines. QALY was measured based on quality of time spent without symptoms of disease or toxicity of treatment (Q-TWiST) assessment. RESULTS: Eight hundred aneurysm surgeries were performed; of these, 135 were emergency surgeries of which 88 were for rAAA; (42 rEVARs and 46 rOSRs). Primary technical success (rEVAR 89.1% vs. rOSR 87.8%; P = 0.1), perioperative morbidity (rEVAR 56.5% vs. rOSR 64.3%; P = 0.457), and mortality (rEVAR 26.1% vs. rOSR 28.6%; P = 0.794) were nonsignificantly favorable in rEVAR patients. Freedom from reintervention was significantly lower in rEVAR patients at 3 years (rEVAR 74% vs. rOSR 90%; P = 0.038). Three-year aneurysm-related survival (rEVAR 65% vs. rOSR 62%; P = 0.848) and all-cause survival (rEVAR 56% vs. rOSR 51%; P = 0.577) were higher in rEVAR patients. At 3 years, rEVAR patients had a higher QALY of 1.671 versus OSR of 1.549 (P = 0.502). Operating room (P = 0.001) and total accommodation costs (P = 0.139) were lower in rEVAR patients, while equipment (P < 0.001), surveillance, and reintervention (P < 0.001) costs were higher. Median cost of rEVAR at 3 years was €23,352 vs. €20,494 for OSR (P < 0.084) (power>80%). Median cost per QALY of rEVAR at 3 years was €13,974 vs. €13,230 for rOSR (P = 0.296). ICER for rEVAR versus rOSR was €23,426 (95% confidence interval [CI] < €0 to > €30,000). At 3 years, the area under the curve and 95% CI for Q-TWiST was higher in rEVAR compared with OSR (rEVAR 500.819 vs. rOSR 437.838). CONCLUSIONS: There is no significant difference in cost or QALYs between rEVAR and rOSR even when rEVAR is performed on complex cases outside of IFU (shorter and more angulated necks). There is a significantly higher freedom from secondary intervention in rOSR patients compared with rEVAR patients at 3 years.


Assuntos
Aneurisma da Aorta Abdominal/economia , Aneurisma da Aorta Abdominal/cirurgia , Ruptura Aórtica/economia , Ruptura Aórtica/cirurgia , Implante de Prótese Vascular/economia , Procedimentos Endovasculares/economia , Custos Hospitalares , Hospitais com Alto Volume de Atendimentos , Avaliação de Processos e Resultados em Cuidados de Saúde/economia , Idoso , Idoso de 80 Anos ou mais , Aneurisma da Aorta Abdominal/diagnóstico por imagem , Aneurisma da Aorta Abdominal/mortalidade , Ruptura Aórtica/diagnóstico por imagem , Ruptura Aórtica/mortalidade , Aortografia/métodos , Implante de Prótese Vascular/efeitos adversos , Implante de Prótese Vascular/mortalidade , Análise Custo-Benefício , Bases de Dados Factuais , Procedimentos Endovasculares/efeitos adversos , Procedimentos Endovasculares/mortalidade , Feminino , Humanos , Masculino , Pessoa de Meia-Idade , Complicações Pós-Operatórias/economia , Complicações Pós-Operatórias/mortalidade , Complicações Pós-Operatórias/cirurgia , Intervalo Livre de Progressão , Qualidade de Vida , Anos de Vida Ajustados por Qualidade de Vida , Reoperação/economia , Fatores de Risco , Fatores de Tempo , Tomografia Computadorizada por Raios X , Resultado do Tratamento
7.
Int Angiol ; 36(6): 517-525, 2017 12.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-27905693

RESUMO

BACKGROUND: Health economic analyses based on randomized trials have shown that screening for abdominal aortic aneurysm (AAA) cost-effectively decreases AAA-related, as well as all- cause mortality. However, follow-up from implemented screening programmes now reveal substantially changed conditions in terms of prevalence, attendance rate, costs and mortality after intervention. Our aim was to evaluate whether screening for AAA among 65-year-old men is cost-effective based on contemporary data on prevalence and attendance rates from an ongoing AAA screening programme. METHODS: A decision-analytic model, previously used to analyse the cost-effectiveness of an AAA screening programme prior to implementation in clinical practice, was updated using data collected from an implemented screening programme as well as data from contemporary published data and the Swedish register for vascular surgery (Swedvasc). RESULTS: The base-case analysis showed that the cost per life-year gained and quality-adjusted life year (QALY) gained were €4832 and €6325, respectively. Based on conventional threshold values of cost-effectiveness, the probability of screening being cost-effective was high. CONCLUSION: Despite the reduction of AAA-prevalence and changes in AAA-management over time, screening 65-year-old men for AAA still appears to yield health outcomes at a cost below conventional thresholds of cost-effectiveness.


Assuntos
Aneurisma da Aorta Abdominal/diagnóstico , Ruptura Aórtica/diagnóstico , Programas de Rastreamento/economia , Idoso , Idoso de 80 Anos ou mais , Aneurisma da Aorta Abdominal/economia , Aneurisma da Aorta Abdominal/mortalidade , Ruptura Aórtica/economia , Ruptura Aórtica/mortalidade , Análise Custo-Benefício , Humanos , Modelos Logísticos , Masculino , Qualidade de Vida , Anos de Vida Ajustados por Qualidade de Vida , Suécia/epidemiologia , Procedimentos Cirúrgicos Vasculares
8.
J Vasc Surg ; 64(3): 811-818.e3, 2016 09.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-27565600

RESUMO

OBJECTIVE: Aneurysm rupture is a major cause of morbidity and mortality, and evidence suggests shared risk for both abdominal aortic aneurysms (AAAs) and intracranial aneurysms (IAs). We hypothesized that screening for AAA in patients with known IA is cost-effective. METHODS: We used a decision tree model to compare costs and outcomes of AAA screening vs no screening in a hypothetical cohort of patients with IA. We measured expected outcomes using quality-adjusted life-years (QALYs) and the incremental cost-effectiveness ratio (ICER). We performed a Monte Carlo simulation and additional sensitivity analyses to assess the effects of ranging base case variables on model outcomes and identified thresholds where a decision alternative dominated the model (both less expensive and more effective than the alternative). RESULTS: In our base case analysis, screening for AAA provided an additional 0.17 QALY (2.5-97.5 percentile: 0.11-0.27 QALY) at a saving of $201 (2.5-97.5 percentile: $-127 to $896). This yielded an ICER of $-1150/QALY (2.5-97.5 percentile: $-4299 to $6374/QALY), that is, screening saves $1150 per QALY gained. CONCLUSIONS: Based on this model, screening for AAA in individuals with IA is cost-effective at an ICER of $1150/QALY, well below accepted societal thresholds estimated at $60,000/QALY. Cost-effectiveness of cross-screening in these populations is sensitive to aneurysm coprevalence and risk of rupture. Further prospective study is warranted to validate this finding.


Assuntos
Aneurisma da Aorta Abdominal/diagnóstico por imagem , Aneurisma da Aorta Abdominal/economia , Diagnóstico por Imagem/economia , Custos de Cuidados de Saúde , Aneurisma Intracraniano/diagnóstico por imagem , Programas de Rastreamento/economia , Aneurisma da Aorta Abdominal/epidemiologia , Aneurisma da Aorta Abdominal/cirurgia , Ruptura Aórtica/diagnóstico por imagem , Ruptura Aórtica/economia , Ruptura Aórtica/epidemiologia , Simulação por Computador , Análise Custo-Benefício , Técnicas de Apoio para a Decisão , Árvores de Decisões , Humanos , Aneurisma Intracraniano/economia , Aneurisma Intracraniano/epidemiologia , Modelos Econômicos , Método de Monte Carlo , Valor Preditivo dos Testes , Prevalência , Prognóstico , Anos de Vida Ajustados por Qualidade de Vida , Procedimentos Cirúrgicos Vasculares/economia
9.
Vasc Endovascular Surg ; 50(3): 147-55, 2016 Apr.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-26975604

RESUMO

INTRODUCTION: Ruptured abdominal aortic aneurysm (rAAA) remains a critical diagnosis, and research is needed to address outcomes following surgical repair. The purpose of this study was to compare nationwide outcomes for patients who received either endovascular repair (EVAR) or open surgical repair (OSAR) for rAAA. METHODS: The Medicare Provider Analysis and Review file from 2005 to 2009 was used to identify patients diagnosed with rAAA and treated with either EVAR or OSAR. Those patients with both procedures were excluded. Primary outcomes included mortality, postoperative complications, and readmission rates. Secondary outcomes included hospital resource utilization and length of stay (LOS). RESULTS: A total of 8480 patients with rAAA who underwent EVAR (n = 1939) or OSAR (n = 6541) were identified. On multivariate regression, the likelihood of dying in the hospital after OSAR compared to EVAR was significantly greater (odds ratio [OR] = 1.95; 95% confidence interval [CI] = 1.74-2.18). There was significantly greater frequency of postoperative complications after OSAR compared to EVAR (OR = 2.1, 95%CI = 1.86-2.37, P < .0001). Freedom from readmission after OSAR was significantly greater than that after EVAR. Total hospital cost for all services after EVAR was greater than that after OSAR (US$100 875 vs US$89 035; P < .0001), but intensive care unit (ICU) cost for EVAR was significantly less than that for OSAR (US$5516 vs US$8600; P < .0001). Total hospital and ICU LOS were shorter in EVAR compared to OSAR (P < .0001 for both). DISCUSSION: EVAR for rAAA has shown mortality benefits over OSAR as well as reduced ICU and total LOS. This data suggest EVAR is associated with a greater survival benefit, fewer postoperative complications, and may help improve hospital resource utilization.


Assuntos
Aneurisma da Aorta Abdominal/cirurgia , Ruptura Aórtica/cirurgia , Implante de Prótese Vascular , Procedimentos Endovasculares , Idoso , Idoso de 80 Anos ou mais , Aneurisma da Aorta Abdominal/diagnóstico por imagem , Aneurisma da Aorta Abdominal/economia , Aneurisma da Aorta Abdominal/mortalidade , Ruptura Aórtica/diagnóstico por imagem , Ruptura Aórtica/economia , Ruptura Aórtica/mortalidade , Implante de Prótese Vascular/efeitos adversos , Implante de Prótese Vascular/economia , Implante de Prótese Vascular/mortalidade , Redução de Custos , Análise Custo-Benefício , Bases de Dados Factuais , Procedimentos Endovasculares/efeitos adversos , Procedimentos Endovasculares/economia , Procedimentos Endovasculares/mortalidade , Feminino , Custos Hospitalares , Humanos , Estimativa de Kaplan-Meier , Tempo de Internação , Modelos Logísticos , Masculino , Medicare , Análise Multivariada , Razão de Chances , Readmissão do Paciente , Complicações Pós-Operatórias/etiologia , Modelos de Riscos Proporcionais , Medição de Risco , Fatores de Risco , Fatores de Tempo , Resultado do Tratamento , Estados Unidos
10.
Eur J Vasc Endovasc Surg ; 50(3): 303-10, 2015 Sep.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-26001320

RESUMO

OBJECTIVES/BACKGROUND: ECAR (Endovasculaire ou Chirurgie dans les Anévrysmes aorto-iliaques Rompus) is a prospective multicentre randomized controlled trial including consecutive patients with ruptured aorto-iliac aneurysms (rAIA) eligible for treatment by either endovascular (EVAR) or open surgical repair (OSR). Inclusion criteria were hemodynamic stability and computed tomography scan demonstrating aorto-iliac rupture. METHODS: Randomization was done by week, synchronously in all centers. The primary end point was 30 day mortality. Secondary end points were post-operative morbidity, length of stay in the intensive care unit (ICU), amount of blood transfused (units) and 6 month mortality. RESULTS: From January 2008 to January 2013, 107 patients (97 men, 10 women; median age 74.4 years) were enrolled in 14 centers: 56 (52.3%) in the EVAR group and 51 (47.7%) in the OSR group. The groups were similar in terms of age, sex, consciousness, systolic blood pressure, Hardman index, IGSII score, type of rupture, use of endoclamping balloon, and levels of troponin, creatinine, and hemoglobin. Delay to treatment was higher in the EVAR group (2.9 vs. 1.3 hours; p < .005). Mortality at 30 days and 1 year were not different between the groups (18% in the EVAR group vs. 24% in the OSR group at 30 days, and 30% vs. 35%, respectively, at 1 year). Total respiratory support time was lower in the EVAR group than in the OSR group (59.3 hours vs. 180.3 hours; p = .007), as were pulmonary complications (15.4% vs. 41.5%, respectively; p = .050), total blood transfusion (6.8 vs. 10.9, respectively; p = .020), and duration of ICU stay (7 days vs. 11.9 days, respectively; p = .010). CONCLUSION: In this study, EVAR was found to be equal to OSR in terms of 30 day and 1 year mortality. However, EVAR was associated with less severe complications and less consumption of hospital resources than OSR.


Assuntos
Aneurisma Roto/cirurgia , Aneurisma da Aorta Abdominal/cirurgia , Ruptura Aórtica/cirurgia , Implante de Prótese Vascular , Procedimentos Endovasculares , Aneurisma Ilíaco/cirurgia , Idoso , Idoso de 80 Anos ou mais , Aneurisma Roto/diagnóstico , Aneurisma Roto/economia , Aneurisma Roto/mortalidade , Aneurisma da Aorta Abdominal/diagnóstico , Aneurisma da Aorta Abdominal/economia , Aneurisma da Aorta Abdominal/mortalidade , Ruptura Aórtica/diagnóstico , Ruptura Aórtica/economia , Ruptura Aórtica/mortalidade , Transfusão de Sangue , Implante de Prótese Vascular/efeitos adversos , Implante de Prótese Vascular/economia , Implante de Prótese Vascular/mortalidade , Análise Custo-Benefício , Procedimentos Endovasculares/efeitos adversos , Procedimentos Endovasculares/economia , Procedimentos Endovasculares/mortalidade , Feminino , França , Custos Hospitalares , Mortalidade Hospitalar , Humanos , Aneurisma Ilíaco/diagnóstico , Aneurisma Ilíaco/economia , Aneurisma Ilíaco/mortalidade , Estimativa de Kaplan-Meier , Tempo de Internação , Masculino , Pessoa de Meia-Idade , Complicações Pós-Operatórias/mortalidade , Complicações Pós-Operatórias/terapia , Estudos Prospectivos , Fatores de Tempo , Resultado do Tratamento
11.
Br J Surg ; 101(8): 976-82, 2014 Jul.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-24862963

RESUMO

BACKGROUND: Implementation of the National Health Service abdominal aortic aneurysm (AAA) screening programme (NAAASP) for men aged 65 years began in England in 2009. An important element of the evidence base supporting its introduction was the economic modelling of the long-term cost-effectiveness of screening, which was based mainly on 4-year follow-up data from the Multicentre Aneurysm Screening Study (MASS) randomized trial. Concern has been expressed about whether this conclusion of cost-effectiveness still holds, given the early performance parameters, particularly the lower prevalence of AAA observed in NAAASP. METHODS: The existing published model was adjusted and updated to reflect the current best evidence. It was recalibrated to mirror the 10-year follow-up data from MASS; the main cost parameters were re-estimated to reflect current practice; and more robust estimates of AAA growth and rupture rates from recent meta-analyses were incorporated, as were key parameters as observed in NAAASP (attendance rates, AAA prevalence and size distributions). RESULTS: The revised and updated model produced estimates of the long-term incremental cost-effectiveness of £5758 (95 per cent confidence interval £4285 to £7410) per life-year gained, or £7370 (£5467 to £9443) per quality-adjusted life-year (QALY) gained. CONCLUSION: Although the updated parameters, particularly the increased costs and lower AAA prevalence, have increased the cost per QALY, the latest modelling provides evidence that AAA screening as now being implemented in England is still highly cost-effective.


Assuntos
Aneurisma da Aorta Abdominal/economia , Ruptura Aórtica/economia , Medicina Estatal/economia , Aneurisma da Aorta Abdominal/diagnóstico por imagem , Aneurisma da Aorta Abdominal/prevenção & controle , Ruptura Aórtica/diagnóstico por imagem , Ruptura Aórtica/prevenção & controle , Análise Custo-Benefício , Diagnóstico Precoce , Inglaterra , Humanos , Masculino , Programas de Rastreamento/economia , Modelos Econômicos , Anos de Vida Ajustados por Qualidade de Vida , Ultrassonografia
12.
J Vasc Surg ; 60(3): 553-7, 2014 Sep.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-24768368

RESUMO

OBJECTIVE: Patients receiving interfacility transfer to a higher level of medical care for ruptured abdominal aortic aneurysms (rAAAs) are an important minority that are not well characterized and are typically omitted from outcomes and quality indicator studies. Our objective was to compare patients transferred for treatment of rAAAs with those treated without transfer, with particular emphasis on mortality and resource utilization. METHODS: We linked longitudinal data from 2005 to 2010 Healthcare Cost and Utilization Project (HCUP) State Inpatient Databases and Emergency Department Databases from California, Florida, and New York. Patients were identified using International Classification of Diseases-Ninth Revision-Clinical Modification codes. Our main outcome variables were mortality, length of stay, and cost. Data included discharge information on the transfer-out and transfer-in hospital. We used univariate and multivariate analysis to identify variables independently associated with transfer and in-hospital mortality. RESULTS: Of 4439 rAAA patients identified with intent to treat, 847 (19.1%) were transferred before receiving operative repair. Of those transferred, 141 (17%) died without undergoing AAA repair. By multivariate analysis, increasing age in years (odds ratio [OR] 0.98; 95% confidence interval [CI], 0.97-0.99; P < .001), private insurance vs Medicare (OR, 0.62; 95% CI, 0.47-0.80; P < .001), and increasing comorbidities as measured by the Elixhauser Comorbidity Index (OR, 0.90; 95% CI, 0.86-0.95; P < .001) were negatively associated with transfer. Weekend presentation (OR, 1.23; 95% CI, 1.02-1.47; P = .03) was positively associated with transfer. Transfer was associated with a lower operative mortality (adjusted OR, 0.81; 95% CI, 0.68-0.97; P < .02) but an increased overall mortality when including transferred patients who died without surgery (OR, 1.30; 95% CI, 1.05-1.60; P = .01). Among the transferred patients, there was no significant difference in travel distance between those who survived and those who died (median, 28.7 vs 25.8 miles; P = .07). Length of stay (median, 10 vs 9 days; P = .008), and hospital costs ($161,000 vs $146,000; P = .02) were higher for those transferred. CONCLUSIONS: The survival advantage for patients transferred who received treatment was eclipsed by increased mortality of the transfer process. Including 17% of transferred patients who died without receiving definitive repair, mortality was increased for patients transferred for rAAA repair compared with those not transferred after adjusting for demographic, clinical, and hospital factors. Transferred patients used significantly more hospital resources. Improving systems and guidelines for interfacility transfer may further improve the outcomes for these patients and decrease associated hospital resource utilization.


Assuntos
Aneurisma da Aorta Abdominal/mortalidade , Aneurisma da Aorta Abdominal/cirurgia , Ruptura Aórtica/mortalidade , Ruptura Aórtica/cirurgia , Transferência de Pacientes , Procedimentos Cirúrgicos Vasculares/mortalidade , Idoso , Idoso de 80 Anos ou mais , Aneurisma da Aorta Abdominal/diagnóstico , Aneurisma da Aorta Abdominal/economia , Ruptura Aórtica/diagnóstico , Ruptura Aórtica/economia , Distribuição de Qui-Quadrado , Emergências , Feminino , Recursos em Saúde/economia , Recursos em Saúde/estatística & dados numéricos , Custos Hospitalares , Mortalidade Hospitalar , Humanos , Tempo de Internação , Modelos Logísticos , Masculino , Pessoa de Meia-Idade , Análise Multivariada , Razão de Chances , Transferência de Pacientes/economia , Sistema de Registros , Medição de Risco , Fatores de Risco , Fatores de Tempo , Resultado do Tratamento , Estados Unidos/epidemiologia , Procedimentos Cirúrgicos Vasculares/efeitos adversos , Procedimentos Cirúrgicos Vasculares/economia
13.
Ann Vasc Surg ; 28(6): 1378-83, 2014 Aug.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-24530712

RESUMO

BACKGROUND: To determine the factors contributing to increased rate of ruptured abdominal aortic aneurysms (AAAs) for elderly poor patients. METHODS: Medicare claims were analyzed for patients who underwent AAA repair from 2006 to 2009 with preoperative abdominal imaging. Repair for ruptured versus intact AAAs was our primary outcome measure. We used logistic regression to determine the relationship between Medicaid eligibility and the risk of rupture, sequentially adding variables related to patient characteristics, socioeconomic status, receipt of preoperative AAA surveillance, and hospital AAA volume. We then estimated the proportional effect of each factor. RESULTS: No differences in rupture were observed in women based on payer status. Medicaid-eligible men were more likely to present with ruptured AAA (odds ratio [OR] 2.42, 95% confidence interval [CI] 1.65-3.52). After adjusting for patient and hospital factors, the poor remained at higher risk for rupture (OR 1.5, 95% CI 1.10-2.26). This disparate risk of rupture was more commonly observed in hospitals treating a higher proportion of Medicaid-eligible patients. We estimate that 36% of the observed disparity in rupture for the elderly poor is explained by patient factors, 27% by gaps in surveillance, 9% by hospital factors, and <1% by socioeconomic factors. CONCLUSIONS: Incomplete preoperative surveillance is a key contributor to increased rupture of AAA in the elderly poor. Efforts aimed at improving disparities must include consistent access to medical care.


Assuntos
Aneurisma da Aorta Abdominal/cirurgia , Ruptura Aórtica/cirurgia , Diagnóstico por Imagem , Definição da Elegibilidade , Disparidades em Assistência à Saúde , Medicare , Pobreza , Procedimentos Cirúrgicos Vasculares , Fatores Etários , Idoso , Idoso de 80 Anos ou mais , Aneurisma da Aorta Abdominal/diagnóstico , Aneurisma da Aorta Abdominal/economia , Aneurisma da Aorta Abdominal/mortalidade , Ruptura Aórtica/diagnóstico , Ruptura Aórtica/economia , Ruptura Aórtica/mortalidade , Diagnóstico por Imagem/economia , Progressão da Doença , Feminino , Acessibilidade aos Serviços de Saúde , Disparidades em Assistência à Saúde/economia , Hospitais com Alto Volume de Atendimentos , Humanos , Modelos Logísticos , Masculino , Medicare/economia , Razão de Chances , Valor Preditivo dos Testes , Estudos Retrospectivos , Fatores de Risco , Fatores Sexuais , Fatores de Tempo , Estados Unidos , Procedimentos Cirúrgicos Vasculares/efeitos adversos , Procedimentos Cirúrgicos Vasculares/economia , Procedimentos Cirúrgicos Vasculares/mortalidade
14.
Eur J Vasc Endovasc Surg ; 47(4): 357-65, 2014 Apr.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-24485841

RESUMO

OBJECTIVES: The epidemiology and management of abdominal aortic aneurysms (AAA) has changed significantly, with lower prevalence, increased longevity of patients, increased use of endovascular aneurysm repair (EVAR), and improved outcome. The clinical and health economic effectiveness of one-time screening of 65-year-old men was assessed within this context. METHODS: One-time ultrasound screening of 65-year-old men (invited) versus no screening (control) was analysed in a Markov model. Data on the natural course of AAA (risk of repair and rupture) was based on randomised controlled trials. Screening detected AAA prevalence (1.7%), surgical management (50% EVAR), repair outcome, costs, and long-term survival were based on contemporary population-based data. Incremental cost-efficiency ratios (ICER), absolute and relative risk reduction for death from AAA (ARR, RRR), numbers needed to screen (NNS), and life-years gained were calculated. Annual discounting was 3.5%. RESULTS: In base case at 13-years follow-up the ICER was €14,706 per incremental quality-adjusted life-year (QALY); ARR was 15.1 per 10,000 invited, NNS was 530, and QALYs gained were 56.5 per 10,000 invited. RRR was 42% (from 0.36% in control to 0.21% in invited). In a lifetime analysis the ICER of screening decreased to €7,570/QALY. The parameters with highest impact on the cost-efficiency of screening in the sensitivity analysis were the prevalence of AAA (threshold value <0.5%) and degree of incidental detection in the control cohort. CONCLUSIONS: In the face of recent changes in the management and epidemiology of AAA, screening men for AAA remains cost-effective and delivers significant clinical impact.


Assuntos
Aneurisma da Aorta Abdominal/economia , Aneurisma da Aorta Abdominal/epidemiologia , Ruptura Aórtica/cirurgia , Idoso , Aneurisma da Aorta Abdominal/mortalidade , Aneurisma da Aorta Abdominal/cirurgia , Ruptura Aórtica/economia , Ruptura Aórtica/epidemiologia , Ruptura Aórtica/mortalidade , Análise Custo-Benefício , Seguimentos , Humanos , Masculino , Anos de Vida Ajustados por Qualidade de Vida , Resultado do Tratamento
15.
Br J Surg ; 101(3): 208-15, 2014 Feb.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-24469619

RESUMO

BACKGROUND: Minimally invasive endovascular aneurysm repair (EVAR) could be a surgical technique that improves outcome of patients with ruptured abdominal aortic aneurysm (rAAA). The aim of this study was to analyse the cost-effectiveness and cost-utility of EVAR compared with standard open repair (OR) in the treatment of rAAA, with costs per 30-day and 6-month survivor as outcome parameters. METHODS: Resource use was determined from the Amsterdam Acute Aneurysm (AJAX) trial, a multicentre randomized trial comparing EVAR with OR in patients with rAAA. The analysis was performed from a provider perspective. All costs were calculated as if all patients had been treated in the same hospital (Onze Lieve Vrouwe Gasthuis, teaching hospital). RESULTS: A total of 116 patients were randomized. The 30-day mortality rate was 21 per cent after EVAR and 25 per cent for OR: absolute risk reduction (ARR) 4·4 (95 per cent confidence interval (c.i.) -11·0 to 19·7) per cent. At 6 months, the total mortality rate for EVAR was 28 per cent, compared with 31 per cent among those assigned to OR: ARR 2·4 (-14·2 to 19·0) per cent. The mean cost difference between EVAR and OR was €5306 (95 per cent c.i. -1854 to 12,659) at 30 days and €10,189 (-2477 to 24,506) at 6 months. The incremental cost-effectiveness ratio per prevented death was €120,591 at 30 days and €424,542 at 6 months. There was no significant difference in quality of life between EVAR and OR. Nor was EVAR superior regarding cost-utility. CONCLUSION: EVAR may be more effective for rAAA, but its increased costs mean that it is unaffordable based on current standards of societal willingness-to-pay for health gains.


Assuntos
Aneurisma da Aorta Abdominal/economia , Ruptura Aórtica/economia , Procedimentos Endovasculares/economia , Doença Aguda , Aneurisma da Aorta Abdominal/mortalidade , Aneurisma da Aorta Abdominal/cirurgia , Ruptura Aórtica/mortalidade , Ruptura Aórtica/cirurgia , Análise Custo-Benefício , Procedimentos Endovasculares/mortalidade , Custos Hospitalares , Humanos , Qualidade de Vida , Anos de Vida Ajustados por Qualidade de Vida , Stents/economia , Instrumentos Cirúrgicos/economia
16.
Br J Surg ; 101(3): 225-31, 2014 Feb.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-24469621

RESUMO

BACKGROUND: Emergency endovascular repair (EVAR) for ruptured abdominal aortic aneurysm (rAAA) may have lower operative mortality rates than open surgical repair. Concerns remain that the early survival benefit after EVAR for rAAA may be offset by late reinterventions. The aim of this study was to compare reintervention rates and cost-effectiveness of EVAR and open repair for rAAA. METHODS: A retrospective analysis was undertaken of patients with rAAA undergoing EVAR or open repair over 6 years. A health economic model developed for the cost-effectiveness of elective EVAR was used in the emergency setting. RESULTS: Sixty-two patients (mean age 77·9 years) underwent EVAR and 85 (mean age 75·9 years) had open repair of rAAA. Median follow-up was 42 and 39 months respectively. There was no significant difference in 30-day mortality rates after EVAR and open repair (18 and 26 per cent respectively; P = 0·243). Reintervention rates were also similar (32 and 31 per cent; P = 0·701). The mean cost per patient was €26,725 for EVAR and €30,297 for open repair, and the cost per life-year gained was €7906 and €9933 respectively (P = 0·561). Open repair had greater initial costs: longer procedural times (217 versus 178·5 min; P < 0·001) and intensive care stay (5·0 versus 1·0 days; P = 0·015). Conversely, EVAR had greater reintervention (€156,939 versus €35,335; P = 0·001) and surveillance (P < 0·001) costs. CONCLUSION: There was no significant difference in reintervention rates after EVAR or open repair for rAAA. EVAR was as cost-effective at mid-term follow-up. The increased procedural costs of open repair are not outweighed by greater surveillance and reintervention costs after EVAR.


Assuntos
Aneurisma da Aorta Abdominal/economia , Ruptura Aórtica/economia , Procedimentos Endovasculares/economia , Idoso , Idoso de 80 Anos ou mais , Aneurisma da Aorta Abdominal/mortalidade , Aneurisma da Aorta Abdominal/cirurgia , Ruptura Aórtica/mortalidade , Ruptura Aórtica/cirurgia , Análise Custo-Benefício , Cuidados Críticos/economia , Procedimentos Endovasculares/mortalidade , Feminino , Humanos , Tempo de Internação , Masculino , Pessoa de Meia-Idade , Complicações Pós-Operatórias/economia , Complicações Pós-Operatórias/mortalidade , Estudos Prospectivos , Reoperação/economia , Reoperação/mortalidade , Resultado do Tratamento
17.
J Vasc Surg ; 59(3): 575-82, 2014 Mar.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-24342064

RESUMO

OBJECTIVE: Endovascular aortic repair (EVAR) for abdominal aortic aneurysm (AAA) is increasingly used for emergent treatment of ruptured AAA (rAAA). We sought to compare the perioperative and long-term mortality, procedure-related complications, and rates of reintervention of EVAR vs open aortic repair of rAAA in Medicare beneficiaries. METHODS: We examined perioperative and long-term mortality and complications after EVAR or open aortic repair performed for rAAA in all traditional Medicare beneficiaries discharged from a United States hospital from 2001 to 2008. Patients were matched by propensity score on baseline demographics, coexisting conditions, admission source, and hospital volume of rAAA repair. Sensitivity analyses were performed to evaluate the effect of bias that might have resulted from unmeasured confounders. RESULTS: Of 10,998 patients with repaired rAAA, 1126 underwent EVAR and 9872 underwent open repair. Propensity score matching yielded 1099 patient pairs. The average age was 78 years, and 72.4% were male. Perioperative mortality was 33.8% for EVAR and 47.7% for open repair (P < .001), and this difference persisted for >4 years. At 36 months, EVAR patients had higher rates of AAA-related reinterventions than open repair patients (endovascular reintervention, 10.9% vs 1.5%; P < .001), whereas open patients had more laparotomy-related complications (incisional hernia repair, 1.8% vs 6.2%; P < .001; all surgical complications, 4.4% vs 9.1%; P < .001). Use of EVAR for rAAA increased from 6% of cases in 2001 to 31% in 2008, whereas during the same interval, overall 30-day mortality for admission for rAAA, regardless of treatment, decreased from 55.8% to 50.9%. CONCLUSIONS: EVAR for rAAA is associated with lower perioperative and long-term mortality in Medicare beneficiaries. Increasing adoption of EVAR for rAAA is associated with an overall decrease in mortality of patients hospitalized for rAAA during the last decade.


Assuntos
Aneurisma da Aorta Abdominal/cirurgia , Ruptura Aórtica/cirurgia , Implante de Prótese Vascular , Procedimentos Endovasculares , Medicare , Idoso , Idoso de 80 Anos ou mais , Aneurisma da Aorta Abdominal/mortalidade , Ruptura Aórtica/economia , Ruptura Aórtica/mortalidade , Implante de Prótese Vascular/efeitos adversos , Implante de Prótese Vascular/mortalidade , Distribuição de Qui-Quadrado , Intervalo Livre de Doença , Procedimentos Endovasculares/efeitos adversos , Procedimentos Endovasculares/mortalidade , Feminino , Humanos , Estimativa de Kaplan-Meier , Tempo de Internação , Masculino , Complicações Pós-Operatórias/mortalidade , Complicações Pós-Operatórias/cirurgia , Pontuação de Propensão , Reoperação , Fatores de Risco , Fatores de Tempo , Resultado do Tratamento , Estados Unidos
19.
Br J Surg ; 98(11): 1546-55, 2011 Nov.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-21725968

RESUMO

BACKGROUND: The aim of this study was to determine the cost-effectiveness of ultrasound screening for abdominal aortic aneurysm (AAA) in men aged 65 years, for both the Netherlands and Norway. METHODS: A Markov model was developed to simulate life expectancy, quality-adjusted life-years, net health benefits, lifetime costs and incremental cost-effectiveness ratios for both screening and no screening for AAA. The best available evidence was retrieved from the literature and combined with primary data from the two countries separately, and analysed from a national perspective. A threshold willingness-to-pay (WTP) of €20,000 and €62,500 was used for data from the Netherlands and Norway respectively. RESULTS: The additional costs of the screening strategy compared with no screening were €421 (95 per cent confidence interval 33 to 806) per person in the Netherlands, and the additional life-years were 0·097 (-0·180 to 0·365), representing €4340 per life-year. For Norway, the values were €562 (59 to 1078), 0·057 (-0·135 to 0·253) life-years and €9860 per life-year respectively. In Norway the results were sensitive to a decrease in the prevalence of AAA in 65-year-old men to 1 per cent, or lower. Probabilistic sensitivity analyses indicated that AAA screening has a 70 per cent probability of being cost-effective in the Netherlands with a WTP threshold of €20,000, and 70 per cent in Norway with a threshold of €62,500. CONCLUSION: Using this model, screening for AAA in 65-year-old men would be highly cost-effective in both the Netherlands and Norway.


Assuntos
Aneurisma da Aorta Abdominal/prevenção & controle , Ruptura Aórtica/prevenção & controle , Programas de Rastreamento/economia , Idoso , Aneurisma da Aorta Abdominal/economia , Ruptura Aórtica/economia , Análise Custo-Benefício , Custos de Cuidados de Saúde , Humanos , Masculino , Cadeias de Markov , Países Baixos , Noruega , Anos de Vida Ajustados por Qualidade de Vida
20.
J Vasc Surg ; 54(3): 628-36, 2011 Sep.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-21620630

RESUMO

INTRODUCTION: Smoking cessation is one of the few available strategies to decrease the risk for expansion and rupture of small abdominal aortic aneurysms (AAAs). The cost-effectiveness of an intensive smoking cessation therapy in patients with small AAAs identified at screening was evaluated. METHODS: A Markov cohort simulation model was used to compare an 8-week smoking cessation intervention with adjuvant pharmacotherapy and annual revisits vs nonintervention among 65-year-old male smokers with a small AAA identified at screening. The smoking cessation rate was tested in one-way sensitivity analyses in the intervention group (range, 22%-57%) and in the nonintervention group (range, 3%-30%). Literature data on the effect of smoking on AAA expansion and rupture was factored into the model. RESULTS: The intervention was cost-effective in all tested scenarios and sensitivity analyses. The smoking cessation intervention was cost-effective due to a decreased need for AAA repair and decreased rupture rate even when disregarding the positive effects of smoking cessation on long-term survival. The incremental cost/effectiveness ratio reached the willingness-to-pay threshold value of €25,000 per life-year gained when assuming an intervention cost of > €3250 or an effect of ≤ 1% difference in long-term smoking cessation between the intervention and nonintervention groups. Smoking cessation resulted in a relative risk reduction for elective AAA repair by 9% and for rupture by 38% over 10 years of follow-up. CONCLUSIONS: An adequate smoking cessation intervention in patients with small AAAs identified at screening can cost-effectively increase long-term survival and decrease the need for AAA repair.


Assuntos
Aneurisma da Aorta Abdominal/diagnóstico , Aneurisma da Aorta Abdominal/economia , Custos de Cuidados de Saúde , Programas de Rastreamento/economia , Abandono do Hábito de Fumar/economia , Fumar/economia , Idoso , Aneurisma da Aorta Abdominal/etiologia , Aneurisma da Aorta Abdominal/terapia , Ruptura Aórtica/economia , Ruptura Aórtica/etiologia , Ruptura Aórtica/prevenção & controle , Simulação por Computador , Análise Custo-Benefício , Progressão da Doença , Humanos , Masculino , Cadeias de Markov , Modelos Econômicos , Valor Preditivo dos Testes , Prognóstico , Anos de Vida Ajustados por Qualidade de Vida , Sistema de Registros , Medição de Risco , Fatores de Risco , Fumar/efeitos adversos , Suécia , Fatores de Tempo
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