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Replicating patterns of prospect theory for decision under risk.
Ruggeri, Kai; Alí, Sonia; Berge, Mari Louise; Bertoldo, Giulia; Bjørndal, Ludvig D; Cortijos-Bernabeu, Anna; Davison, Clair; Demic, Emir; Esteban-Serna, Celia; Friedemann, Maja; Gibson, Shannon P; Jarke, Hannes; Karakasheva, Ralitsa; Khorrami, Peggah R; Kveder, Jakob; Andersen, Thomas Lind; Lofthus, Ingvild S; McGill, Lucy; Nieto, Ana E; Pérez, Jacobo; Quail, Sahana K; Rutherford, Charlotte; Tavera, Felice L; Tomat, Nastja; Reyn, Chiara Van; Veckalov, Bojana; Wang, Keying; Yosifova, Aleksandra; Papa, Francesca; Rubaltelli, Enrico; Linden, Sander van der; Folke, Tomas.
Afiliação
  • Ruggeri K; Department of Health Policy and Management, Mailman School of Public Health, Columbia University, New York, NY, USA. kai.ruggeri@columbia.edu.
  • Alí S; Policy Research Group, Centre for Business Research, Judge Business School, University of Cambridge, Cambridge, UK. kai.ruggeri@columbia.edu.
  • Berge ML; School of Psychology, University of Sussex, Brighton, UK.
  • Bertoldo G; Department of Personality & Health Psychology, Eötvös Loránd University, Budapest, Hungary.
  • Bjørndal LD; School of Psychology, University of Padova, Padova, Italy.
  • Cortijos-Bernabeu A; Department of Psychology, University of Oslo, Oslo, Norway.
  • Davison C; Department of Social Psychology and Quantitative Psychology, Faculty of Psychology, University of Barcelona, Barcelona, Spain.
  • Demic E; School of Psychology and Neuroscience, University of St Andrews, St Andrews, UK.
  • Esteban-Serna C; Department of Psychology, Faculty of Philosophy, University of Belgrade, Belgrade, Serbia.
  • Friedemann M; Division of Psychology & Language Sciences, University College London, London, UK.
  • Gibson SP; Department of Experimental Psychology, University of Oxford, Oxford, UK.
  • Jarke H; Department of Psychology, Health & Professional Development, Faculty of Health & Life Sciences, Oxford Brookes University, Oxford, UK.
  • Karakasheva R; Policy Research Group, Centre for Business Research, Judge Business School, University of Cambridge, Cambridge, UK.
  • Khorrami PR; Division of Psychiatry and Applied Psychology, University of Nottingham, Nottingham, UK.
  • Kveder J; Department of Sociomedical Sciences, Mailman School of Public Health, Columbia University, New York, NY, USA.
  • Andersen TL; Department of Psychology, Faculty of Arts, University of Ljubljana, Ljubljana, Slovenia.
  • Lofthus IS; PPR Svendborg, Svendborg Municipality , Svendborg, Denmark.
  • McGill L; Department of Psychology, University of Oslo, Oslo, Norway.
  • Nieto AE; Trinity College, Dublin, Ireland.
  • Pérez J; Department of Psychology, University Francisco de Vitoria, Madrid, Spain.
  • Quail SK; Department of Psychology, University Francisco de Vitoria, Madrid, Spain.
  • Rutherford C; Department of Social Policy & Intervention, University of Oxford, Oxford, UK.
  • Tavera FL; Department of Psychology, University of Cambridge, Cambridge, UK.
  • Tomat N; Department of Psychology, University of Cologne, Cologne, Germany.
  • Reyn CV; Department of Psychology, Faculty of Arts, University of Ljubljana, Ljubljana, Slovenia.
  • Veckalov B; Department of Psychology and Educational Sciences, KU Leuven, Leuven, Belgium.
  • Wang K; Department of Psychology, Faculty of Philosophy, University of Belgrade, Belgrade, Serbia.
  • Yosifova A; Faculty of Social and Behavioural Sciences, University of Amsterdam, Amsterdam, The Netherlands.
  • Papa F; Division of Psychology & Language Sciences, University College London, London, UK.
  • Rubaltelli E; Department of Cognitive Science and Psychology, New Bulgarian University, Sofia, Bulgaria.
  • Linden SV; Organisation for Economic Cooperation and Development, Paris, France.
  • Folke T; JDM Lab, Department of Developmental Psychology and Socialization, University of Padova, Padova, Italy.
Nat Hum Behav ; 4(6): 622-633, 2020 06.
Article em En | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-32424259
ABSTRACT
Prospect theory is among the most influential frameworks in behavioural science, specifically in research on decision-making under risk. Kahneman and Tversky's 1979 study tested financial choices under risk, concluding that such judgements deviate significantly from the assumptions of expected utility theory, which had remarkable impacts on science, policy and industry. Though substantial evidence supports prospect theory, many presumed canonical theories have drawn scrutiny for recent replication failures. In response, we directly test the original methods in a multinational study (n = 4,098 participants, 19 countries, 13 languages), adjusting only for current and local currencies while requiring all participants to respond to all items. The results replicated for 94% of items, with some attenuation. Twelve of 13 theoretical contrasts replicated, with 100% replication in some countries. Heterogeneity between countries and intra-individual variation highlight meaningful avenues for future theorizing and applications. We conclude that the empirical foundations for prospect theory replicate beyond any reasonable thresholds.
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Texto completo: 1 Coleções: 01-internacional Base de dados: MEDLINE Assunto principal: Teoria Psicológica / Tomada de Decisões Limite: Adolescent / Adult / Aged / Aged80 / Female / Humans / Male / Middle aged Idioma: En Revista: Nat Hum Behav Ano de publicação: 2020 Tipo de documento: Article
Texto completo
Imprimir
XML
PubMed Links
Buscar no Google

Texto completo: 1 Coleções: 01-internacional Base de dados: MEDLINE Assunto principal: Teoria Psicológica / Tomada de Decisões Limite: Adolescent / Adult / Aged / Aged80 / Female / Humans / Male / Middle aged Idioma: En Revista: Nat Hum Behav Ano de publicação: 2020 Tipo de documento: Article