The short-term impacts of coronavirus quarantine in São Paulo: The health-economy trade-offs.
PLoS One
; 16(2): e0245011, 2021.
Article
em En
| MEDLINE
| ID: mdl-33596219
ABSTRACT
We analyze the trade-offs between health and the economy during the period of social distancing in São Paulo, the state hardest hit by the COVID-19 pandemic in Brazil. We use longitudinal data with municipal-level information and check the robustness of our estimates to several sources of bias, including spatial dependence, reverse causality, and time-variant omitted variables. We use exogenous climate shocks as instruments for social distancing since people are more likely to stay home in wetter and colder periods. Our findings suggest that the health benefits of social distancing differ by levels of municipal development and may have vanished if the COVID-19 spread was not controlled in neighboring municipalities. In turn, we did not find evidence that municipalities with tougher social distancing performed worse economically. Our results also highlight that estimates that do not account for endogeneity may largely underestimate the benefits of social distancing on reducing the spread of COVID-19.
Texto completo:
1
Coleções:
01-internacional
Temas:
Doencas_passiveis_prevencao_controle
Contexto em Saúde:
1_ASSA2030
/
2_ODS3
/
4_TD
Base de dados:
MEDLINE
Assunto principal:
Quarentena
/
COVID-19
Tipo de estudo:
Health_economic_evaluation
Limite:
Humans
País/Região como assunto:
America do sul
/
Brasil
Idioma:
En
Revista:
PLoS One
Ano de publicação:
2021
Tipo de documento:
Article