Primary membranoproliferative glomerulonephritis in Sfax, Tunisia: epidemiologic profile and prognostic factors.

INTRODUCTION: membranoproliferative glomerulo nephritis (MPGN) is a rare kidney disease with a poor prognosis as 50% of patients attend the end stage renal failure after 10 years of follow up. Several factors have been described associated with poor renal prognosis. The aim of our study is to determine the epidemiologic profile and to identify prognostic factors of MPGN. METHODS: our study is retrospective over a period of 16 years (January 1996 - December 2011) including all cases of primary MPGN aged more than 15 years, collected at the nephrology department of Hedi Chaker University Hospital, Sfax, Tunisia. RESULTS: we collected 118 cases of primary MPGN, with mean age of 45 (SD 19) years. The incidence of MPGN has decreased from 10 cases/year between 1996 and 1999 to 5 cases/year between 2008 and 2011. Seventy-nine percent of patients (n=93) had renal failure at the moment of diagnosis (e-GFR less than 60 ml/min/1.73m2;). After a mean follow-up of 51.9 (SD 44) months, progression to end stage renal failure was observed in 43.5% of followed cases (n=20). On univariate analysis, factors associated with death or progression to end stage renal failure were initial renal failure and sclerotic glomeruli (respectively p at 0.040 and 0.032). Multivariate analysis indicated that initial renal failure was significantly correlated with death or progression to end stage renal failure (HR: 0.14, 95% CI (0.033-0.593), p=0.008). CONCLUSION: there has been a decline in the number of cases of MPGN diagnosed in our hospital. The presence of renal failure at diagnosis was associated with death or progression to end stage renal failure.