Impacts of reference population size and methods on the accuracy of genomic prediction for fleece traits in Inner Mongolia Cashmere Goats.

ABSTRACT

Introduction: Inner Mongolia Cashmere Goats (IMCGs) are famous for its cashmere quality and it's a unique genetic resource in China. Therefore, it is necessary to use genomic selection to improve the accuracy of selection for fleece traits in Inner Mongolia cashmere goats. The aim of this study was to determine the effect of methods (GBLUP, BayesA, BayesB, Bayesian LASSO, Bayesian Ridge Region) and the reference population size on accuracy of genomic selection in IMCGs. Methods: This study fully utilizes the pedigree and phenotype records of fleece traits in 2255 individuals, genotype of 50794 SNPs after quality control, and environmental data to perform genomic selection of fleece traits. Then GBLUP and Bayes series methods (BayesA, BayesB, Bayesian LASSO, Bayesian Ridge Region) were used to perform estimates of genetic parameter and genomic breeding value. And the accuracy of genomic estimated breeding value (GEBV) is evaluated using the five-fold cross validation method. And the analysis of variance and multiple comparison methods were used to determine the best method for genomic selection in fleece traits of IMCGs. Further the different reference population sizes (500, 1000, 1500, and 2000) was set. Then the best method was applied to estimate genome breeding values, and evaluate the impact of reference population sizes on the accuracy of genome selection for fleece traits in IMCGs. Results: It was found that the genomic prediction accuracy for each fleece trait in IMCGs by GBLUP method is highest, and it is significantly higher than that obtained by Bayesian method. The accuracy of breeding value estimation is 58.52% -68.49%. Also, it was found that the size of the reference population has a significant impact on the accuracy of genome prediction of fleece traits. When the reference population size is 2000, the accuracy of genomic prediction for each fleece trait is significantly higher than other levels, with accuracy of 55.47% -67.87%. This provides a theoretical basis for design a reasonable genome selection plan for Inner Mongolia cashmere goats in the later stag.