Exploring diverse programmed cell-death patterns to develop a novel gene signature for predicting the prognosis of lung adenocarcinoma patients.

ABSTRACT

Background: Programmed cell death (PCD) plays a critical role in tumor progression and malignancy, and exploring its relationship with lung adenocarcinoma (LUAD)'s survival outcomes is important for personalized diagnosis and treatment. This study aimed to identify survival-related genes and construct an effective prognostic indicator for LUAD based on 12 forms of PCD. Methods: A total of 1,933 candidate genes related to PCD were collected from published studies and public data center. A prognostic gene signature, called the cell death index (CDI), was established based on RNA-Seq and immunohistochemistry (IHC). IHC staining on tissue microarray was applied for the validation of protein level. Moreover, GSE42127, GSE72094 were used as validation datasets. Results: The CDI based on expression level of nine genes (CCNB2, HMGA1, CACNA2D2, BUB1B, BTG2, KIF14, PTGDS, SERPINB5, BRCA1) was highly predictive for overall survival (OS) of LUAD in our cohort [36-month area under the curve (AUC) 0.750, 60-month AUC 0.809]. The CDI was further validated in independent cohorts (GSE72094, 36-month AUC 0.717, 60-month AUC 0.737; GSE42127, 12-month AUC 0.829, 60-month AUC 0.663). And the CDI was found to be an independent prognostic factor after adjusting for other clinical characteristics. Furthermore, the high-CDI group was associated with upregulated tumor immune infiltration compared to the low-CDI group. Conclusions: This study identified a 9-gene signature (CDI) based on PCD-related genes that accurately predicted the prognosis of LUAD patients. The CDI could serve as a valuable prognostic indicator and guide personalized therapeutic strategies for LUAD.