Predictive model to differentiate chronic histaminergic angioedema and chronic spontaneous urticaria with angioedema.

ABSTRACT

Background: Chronic histaminergic angioedema (CHA) may be classified as a separate acquired angioedema (AE) or as an endotype of chronic spontaneous urticaria (CSU). A recent study suggested them to be independent pathologies. Objective: We carried out an exhaustive analysis between CHA and AE-CSU to explore the possible differentiation between them on the bases of a series of predictors. Methods: An observational, retrospective, cross-sectional, and exploratory study was designed. Fifty-six CHA and 40 AE-CSU patients were included. Data were extracted from the year before and year after time of diagnosis. A predictive model was generated by logistic regression, and its discriminatory power was assessed using the area under the receiver operating characteristic curve. Results: The average frequency of AE attacks per year turned out to be higher in the AE-CSU group than in the CHA group, both before (median [interquartile range] 12 [43] vs 8 [16]) and after (24.3 [51.2] vs 2 [4.25]) diagnosis, respectively. The uvula was more frequently affected in CHA. No other differences were found. However, using 7 clinical characteristics of the patients, a multiple logistic regression model was able to predict, with a specificity of 86.4%, a sensitivity of 92.3%, and an area under the curve of 95.1% (P = .024), that CHA and AE-CSU behaved differently. Conclusion: CHA has similar characteristics to AE-CSU, although they slightly differed in the frequency of attacks and their location. Despite its similarities, a multiple logistic regression model that used clinical and evolutionary characteristics allowed the differentiation of both pathologies and supports the idea that these 2 entities are independent.