The economic impact of tobacco smoking and secondhand smoke exposure in Jordan: estimating the direct and indirect costs.

ABSTRACT

AIM: To quantify the economic burden associated with tobacco smoking among smokers aged 30-69 years, and second-hand smokers (SHS) aged 15-69 years in Jordan. MATERIALS AND METHODS: A prevalence-based analysis was conducted in alignment with the Economics of Tobacco Toolkit developed by the WHO. The time-horizon of the analysis was one year (2019). Direct and indirect costs were estimated using data from the 2019 Global Burden of Diseases study. The analysis targeted the Jordanian population of smokers aged 30-69 years, and SHS aged 15-69 years. Adjustments were applied for age, gender, and smoking-related diseases. Direct costs were estimated using the smoking-attributable fraction (SAF) and national health expenditures. Indirect costs were divided into morbidity and mortality components. A discount rate of 3.0% and an annual productivity growth rate of 1.0% were assumed in modelling future economic losses. A sensitivity analysis was conducted on the lower and upper estimates of data used in this study. RESULTS: The cost of tobacco smoking and SHS exposure was estimated at US$2,108 million (95% confidence interval [CI] = US$2,003 million-US$2,245 million). This represents 4.7% (95%CI = 4.5%-5.0%) of national gross domestic product (GDP). Direct costs accounted for 3.1% of national GDP. Tobacco smoking accounted for 85.0% of total cost and SHS exposure accounted for 15.0% of total cost. Direct costs accounted for 67.0% of total cost, while indirect morbidity and mortality costs accounted for 9.0% and 24.0% of total cost, respectively. Non-communicable diseases accounted for 96.0% of total direct costs compared to communicable diseases (4.0% of total direct costs). CONCLUSIONS: Smoking cessation interventions such as raising taxes on cigarettes, protecting people from tobacco smoke, warning labels, plain packaging, and bans on advertising, are crucial for controlling national expenditures for treating smoking-related diseases and for averting future economic losses.

In this work, we aimed to calculate the annual economic impact of tobacco smoking in Jordan in 2019. We used the World Health Organization toolkit methodology to estimate both the direct and indirect costs associated with smoking nationally. Our focus was on Jordanian smokers aged 30-69 years and people exposed to second-hand smoke aged 15­69 years. Direct costs were calculated using epidemiological data on the proportion of health expenditures attributable to smoking and the national health expenditures. Indirect costs were divided into two components morbidity and mortality. We also projected future economic losses, assuming a 3.0% discount rate and a 1.0% annual growth rate of productivity. Our study estimated that the cost of smoking and exposure to second-hand smoke was US$2,108 million (US$2,003 million-US$2,245 million), which accounted for 4.7% (4.5%-5.0) of Jordan's gross domestic product. The majority of the cost (85.0%) was due to direct smoking, while 15.0% was due to exposure to second-hand smoke. Direct costs made up 67.0% of the total cost, while the costs related to morbidity and mortality accounted for 9.0% and 24.0% of the total cost, respectively. In conclusion, our study emphasized that tobacco smoking has a significant economic impact on Jordan. Therefore, it is crucial to implement effective smoking cessation programs, such as enforcing existing anti-tobacco policies and raising taxes. These measures can help control national expenditures for treating smoking-related diseases and prevent future economic losses.