Prognostic evaluation in gallbladder carcinoma: Introducing a composite risk model integrating nutritional and immune markers

ABSTRACT

The importance of evaluating the nutritional status and immune condition prior to surgery has gained significant attention in predicting the prognosis of cancer patients in recent years. The objective of this study is to establish a risk model for predicting the prognosis of gallbladder carcinoma (GBC) patients. Data from GBC patients who underwent radical resection at West China Hospital of Sichuan University (China) from 2014 to 2021 were retrospectively collected. A novel risk model was created by incorporating the prognostic nutritional index and glucose-to-lymphocyte ratio, and each patient was assigned a risk score. The patients were then divided into low- and high-risk cohorts, and comparisons were made between the two groups in terms of clinicopathological features and prognosis. Propensity score matching was conducted to reduce potential bias. A total of 300 GBC patients receiving radical surgery were identified and included in this study. Patients in the high-risk group were older, had higher levels of serum carcinoembryonic antigen (CEA), cancer antigen 125 (CA125), and cancer antigen 19-9 (CA19-9), were more likely to experience postoperative complications, and had more aggressive tumor characteristics, such as poor differentiation, lymph node metastasis, and advanced tumor stage. They also had lower overall survival (OS) rates (5-year OS rate 11.2% vs. 37.4%) and disease-free survival (DFS) rates (5-year DFS rate 5.1% vs. 18.2%). After propensity score matching, the high-risk population still experienced poorer prognosis (5-year OS rate 12.7% vs 20.5%; 5-year DFS rate 3.2% vs 8.2%). The risk model combining prognostic nutritional index and glucose-to-lymphocyte ratio can serve as a standalone predictor for the prognosis and assist in optimizing the treatment approach for GBC patients.