RESUMO
PURPOSE: The objective of this study was to characterize the conditional risk of developing grade 2+ urinary or gastrointestinal (GI) toxicity for patients treated with external beam radiation therapy in Radiation Therapy Oncology Group 0126. A secondary objective was to analyze baseline patient and treatment characteristics and determine their relevance in predicting toxicity both at the time of trial enrollment and at later points of follow-up. METHODS AND MATERIALS: One thousand five hundred thirty-two patients with localized prostate cancer were enrolled between March 2002 and August 2008, of whom 1499 were eligible and included in data analysis with a median follow-up of 8.4 years (range, 0.02-13 years). Patients were treated with either 3-dimensional conformal radiation therapy or intensity-modulated radiation therapy according to institutional practice without the addition of androgen deprivation and randomized to receive either standard-dose radiation therapy of 70.2 Gy or dose-escalated radiation therapy of 79.2 Gy of radiation therapy to the prostate only with standard fractionation. Univariate and multivariate analyses were performed to determine whether initial factors were predictive of late toxicity at the time of treatment and at later time points. RESULTS: As patients proceed further from completion of radiation therapy without the development of toxicity, the subsequent risk of both grade 2+ genitourinary (GU) and GI toxicity decreases with time. At the time of enrollment, the risk of developing grade 2+ toxicity over the next 5 years was 9.57% and 17.89%, respectively. After 5 years of toxicity-free survival, the risk of developing grade 2+ GU or GI toxicity in the subsequent 5 years was 3.02% and 1.54%, respectively. Baseline treatment and patient-related factors predicted late toxicity both at trial enrollment and after 2 years of toxicity-free survivorship. Baseline urinary dysfunction and dose-escalated radiation therapy were associated with increased late GU toxicity. Acute GI toxicity and dose-escalated radiation therapy were associated with increased risk of late GI toxicity. Treatment with intensity-modulated radiation therapy was associated with reduced risk of either toxicity. CONCLUSIONS: The conditional risk of grade 2+ toxicities decreases as patients proceed further from treatment, with most toxicities occurring in the first few years after treatment completion. Baseline patient and treatment characteristics remain relevant at both enrollment and later time points.
RESUMO
Importance: As patients achieve years of survival after treatment for prostate cancer, the risk of biochemical failure (BF) or prostate cancer-specific death (PCSD) may evolve over time, with clinical relevance to both patients and clinicians. Objective: To determine conditional BF-free survival, PSCD, and overall survival estimates for patients with low- or intermediate-risk prostate cancer enrolled in the Radiation Therapy Oncology Group (RTOG) 0126 and RTOG 0415 clinical trials. A secondary objective was to determine whether prognostic factors at diagnosis remain relevant at later points in follow-up. Design, Setting, and Participants: A pooled secondary analysis of patients treated with external-beam radiotherapy alone and enrolled in the prospective randomized clinical trials RTOG 0126 and RTOG 0415 was performed. Patients included for analysis were enrolled between March 2002 and December 2009 with a median follow-up of 6.9 years. Overall survival was calculated using the Kaplan-Meier method at various survivorship time points. Cumulative incidence was used to calculate BF rates using the Phoenix definition, as well as PCSD. Risk factors such as Gleason score, tumor (T) stage, prostate-specific antigen level, and the equivalent dose in 2 Gy fractions of prescribed dose were analyzed at different time points using multivariable Cox proportional hazards modeling. Data were analyzed from November 2021 to February 2023. Main Outcomes and Measures: Conditional risks of BF and PCSD after completion of external-beam radiotherapy. Results: A total of 2591 patients (median [IQR] age, 69 [63-73] years) were included in the study with a mean (range) PSA level of 7.1 (4.7-8.9) ng/mL, 1334 patients (51.5%) with a Gleason score 6 disease, and 1706 patients (65.8%) with T1 disease. Rates of BF from time of treatment were 1.63% (95% CI, 1.20%-2.18%) at 1 year, 7.04% (95% CI, 6.09%-8.08%) at 3 years, 12.54% (95% CI, 11.28%-13.88%) at 5 years, and 22.32% (95% CI, 20.46%-24.24%) at 8 years. For patients surviving 1, 3, and 5 years without BF, the rates of BF in the next 5 years were 14.20% (95% CI, 12.80%-15.66%), 17.19% (95% CI, 15.34%-19.14%), and 18.85% (95% CI, 16.21%-21.64%), respectively. At the initial time point, the rate of PCSD in the next 5 years was 0.66% (95% CI, 0.39%-1.04%). For patients who achieved 1, 3, 5, and 8 years of survivorship, the rates of PCSD in the next 5 years were 1.16% (95% CI, 0.77-1.67) at 1 year, 2.42% (95% CI, 1.74%-3.27%) at 3 years, 2.88% (95% CI, 2.01%-3.99%) at 5 years, and 3.49% (95% CI, 0.98%-8.73%) at 8 years. Conclusions and Relevance: In this secondary analysis of 2 randomized clinical trials of patients undergoing external beam radiotherapy for prostate cancer, the conditional risks of BF and death from prostate cancer increased with time for patients with low- and intermediate-risk prostate cancer treated with radiotherapy alone. These results could inform optimal trial design and may be helpful information for patients evaluated in follow-up. Trial Registration: ClinicalTrials.gov Identifier: NCT00033631; NCT00331773.