Using risk-adjusted cumulative sum to evaluate surgeon, divisional, and institutional outcomes-a feasibility study.

BACKGROUND: Few objective, real-time measurements of surgeon performance exist. The risk-adjusted cumulative sum is a novel method that can track surgeon-level outcomes on a continuous basis. The objective of this study was to demonstrate the feasibility of using risk-adjusted cumulative sum to monitor outcomes after colorectal operations and identify clinically relevant performance variations. METHODS: The National Surgical Quality Improvement Program was queried to obtain patient-level data for 1,603 colorectal operations at a high-volume center from 2011 to 2020. For each case, expected risks of morbidity, mortality, reoperation, readmission, and prolonged length of stay were estimated using the National Surgical Quality Improvement Program risk calculator. Risk-adjusted cumulative sum curves were generated to signal observed-to-expected odds ratios of 1.5 (poor performance) and 0.5 (exceptional performance). Control limits were set based on a false positive rate of 5% (α = 0.05). RESULTS: The cohort included data on 7 surgeons (those with more than 20 cases in the study period). Institutional observed versus expected outcomes were the following: morbidity 12.5% (vs 15.0%), mortality 2.5% (vs 2.0%), prolonged length of stay 19.7% (vs 19.1%), reoperation 11.1% (vs 11.3%), and 30-day readmission 6.1% (vs 4.8%). Risk-adjusted cumulative sum accurately demonstrated within- and between-surgeon performance variations across these metrics and proved effective when considering division-level data. CONCLUSION: Risk-adjusted cumulative sum adjusts for patient-level risk factors to provide real-time data on surgeon-specific outcomes. This approach enables prompt identification of performance outliers and can contribute to quality assurance, root-cause analysis, and incentivization not only at the surgeon level but at divisional and institutional levels as well.

Early host immune responses in a human organoid-derived gallbladder monolayer to Salmonella Typhi strains from patients with acute and chronic infections: a comparative analysis.

Salmonella enterica serovar Typhi (S. Typhi), a human-restricted pathogen, invades the host through the gut to cause typhoid fever. Recent calculations of the typhoid fever burden estimated that more than 10 million new typhoid fever cases occur in low and middle-income countries, resulting in 65,400-187,700 deaths yearly. Interestingly, if not antibiotic-treated, upon the resolution of acute disease, 1%-5% of patients become asymptomatic chronic carriers. Chronically infected hosts are not only critical reservoirs of infection that transmit the disease to naive individuals but are also predisposed to developing gallbladder carcinoma. Nevertheless, the molecular mechanisms involved in the early interactions between gallbladder epithelial cells and S. Typhi remain largely unknown. Based on our previous studies showing that closely related S. Typhi strains elicit distinct innate immune responses, we hypothesized that host molecular pathways activated by S. Typhi strains derived from acutely and chronically infected patients would differ. To test this hypothesis, we used a novel human organoid-derived polarized gallbladder monolayer model, and S. Typhi strains derived from acutely and chronically infected patients. We found that S. Typhi strains derived from acutely and chronically infected patients differentially regulate host mitogen-activated protein kinase (MAPK) and S6 transcription factors. These variations might be attributed to differential cytokine signaling, predominantly via TNF-α and IL-6 production and appear to be influenced by the duration the isolate was subjected to selective pressures in the gallbladder. These findings represent a significant leap in understanding the complexities behind chronic S. Typhi infections in the gallbladder and may uncover potential intervention targets.