Premature Death as a Normative Concept.

The practical goal of preventing premature death seems uncontroversial. But the term 'premature death' is vague with several, sometimes conflicting definitions. This ambiguity results in several conceptions with which not all will agree. Moreover, the normative rationale behind the goal of preventing premature deaths is masked by the operational definition of existing measures. In this article, we argue that 'premature death' should be recognized as a normative concept. We propose that normative theories should be used to justify measures of premature death to provide them with normative validity and public legitimacy.

Severity as a moral qualifier of malady.

The overarching aim of this article is to scrutinize how severity can work as a qualifier for the moral impetus of malady. While there is agreement that malady is of negative value, there is disagreement about precisely how this is so. Nevertheless, alleviating disease, injury, and associated suffering is almost universally considered good. Furthermore, the strength of a diseased person's moral claims for our attention and efforts will inevitably vary. This article starts by reflecting on what kind of moral impetus malady incites. We then analyze how severity may qualify this impetus. We do so by discussing the relationship between severity and need, well-being and disvalue, death, urgency, rule of rescue, and distributive justice. We then summarize our thoughts about severity as a moral qualifier. We conclude that severity is, and should continue to be seen, as a morally significant concept that deserves continued attention in the future.

Stroke unit demand in Norway - present and future estimates.

BACKGROUND: All stroke patients should receive timely admission to a stroke unit (SU). Consequently, most patients with suspected strokes - including stroke mimics (SM) are admitted. The aim of this study was to estimate the current total demand for SU bed capacity today and give estimates for future (2020-2040) demand. METHODS: Time trend estimates for stroke incidence and time constant estimates for length of stay (LOS) were estimated from the Norwegian Patient Registry (2010-2015). Incidence and LOS models for SMs were based on data from Haukeland University Hospital (2008-2017) and Akershus University Hospital (2020), respectively. The incidence and LOS models were combined with scenarios from Statistic Norway's population predictions to estimate SU demands for each health region. A telephone survey collected data on the number of currently available SU beds. RESULTS: In 2020, 361 SU beds are available, while demand was estimated to 302. The models predict a reduction in stroke incidence, which offsets projected demographic shifts. Still, the estimated demand for 2040 rose to 316, due to an increase in SMs. A variation of this reference scenario, where stroke incidence was frozen at the 2020-level, gave a 2040-demand of 480 beds. CONCLUSIONS: While the stroke incidence is likely to continue to fall, this appears to be balanced by an increase in SMs. An important uncertainty is how long the trend of decreasing stroke incidence can be expected to continue. Since the most important uncertainty factors point toward a potential increase, which may be as large as 50%, we would recommend that the health authorities plan for a potential increase in the demand for SU bed capacity.

Stroke Mimics on the Stroke Unit - Temporal trends 2008-2017 at a large Norwegian university hospital.

OBJECTIVES: The objective was to quantify temporal trends in stroke mimics (SM) admissions relative to cerebrovascular accidents (CVA), incidence of hospitalized SMs and characterize the SM case-mix at a general hospital's stroke unit (SU). MATERIALS & METHODS: All SU admissions (n = 11240) of patients aged 15 or older to Haukeland University Hospital between 2008-2017 were prospectively included and categorized as CVA or SM. Logistic regression was used to estimate time trends in the proportion of SMs among the admissions. Poisson regression was used to estimate time trends in age- and sex-dependent SM incidence. RESULTS: SMs were on average younger thaan CVA patients (68.3 vs. 71.4 years) and had a higher proportion of females (53.6% vs. 44.5%). The total proportion of SM admissions was 51.0%. There was an increasing time trend in the proportion of SM admissions, odds ratio 1.150 per year (p < 0.001), but this trend appears flattening, represented by a significant quadratic time-term, odds ratio 1.009 (p < 0.001). A higher SM proportion was also associated with the time period of a Mass Media Intervention (FAST campaign) in 2014. There was also an increasing trend in SM incidence, that remains after adjusting for age, sex, and population; also, for incidence the trend appears to be flattening. CONCLUSIONS: SMs account for approximately half of the SU admissions, and the proportion has been increasing. A FAST campaign appears to have temporarily increased the SM proportion. The age- and sex-dependent incidence of SM has been increasing but appears to flatten out.

Cycle-network expansion plan in Oslo: Modeling cost-effectiveness analysis and health equity impact.

Physical inactivity is the leading cause of non-communicable diseases, and further research on the cost-effectiveness of interventions that target inactivity is warranted. Socioeconomic status is vital in this process. We aim to evaluate the cost-effectiveness of a cycle-network expansion plan in Oslo compared to the status quo by income quintiles. We applied a Markov model using a public payer perspective. Health outcomes were measured by quality-adjusted life years (QALYs) gained from the prevention of coronary heart disease, stroke, type 2 diabetes, and cancer. We measured equity impact by the concentration index and social welfare using the achievement index. We conducted sensitivity analyses. The intervention was generally more costly and more effective than the status quo. Incremental cost per QALY falls with income quintile, ranging from $10,098 in the richest quintile to $23,053 per QALY gained in the poorest quintile. The base-case intervention increased health inequality. However, a scenario targeting low-income quintiles reduced inequality and increased social welfare. In conclusion, the cycle-network expansion is likely to be cost-effective, but with equity concerns. If decision makers care about health inequalities, the disadvantaged groups could be targeted to produce more equitable and socially desirable outcomes instead of a uniform intervention across income quintiles.

Using the Choice Sequence in Time Trade-Off as Discrete Choices: Do the Two Stories Match?

OBJECTIVES: The EQ-5D-5L valuation protocol recommends combining time trade-off (TTO) and discrete choice experiments (DCEs). DCEs that include a duration attribute (DCETTO) allow modeling on the quality-adjusted life-year scale. Because the choice sequence in a TTO can be construed as a series of DCETTO, we used data from a single TTO study to investigate the extent to which DCE values match TTO values when based on identical preferences. METHODS: In a TTO design in which a fixed set of choices were administered without termination at preference indifference, 202 individuals each valued 10 EQ-5D health states. From identified indifference points, we estimated three sets of TTO values: (i) plotting means and (ii) applying censored regressions at -1 and 1. Using all strict preferences, we (iii) estimated DCETTO values with a logit model and a bootstrap procedure. RESULTS: Estimated DCETTO and TTO values agreed well at the severe end of the quality-adjusted life-year scale, but with decreasing severity, DCETTO values were higher than TTO-values, with the difference peaking at 0.37 for the mildest health state. Left-censoring TTO values at -1 worsen the agreement for the worst health states and did not affect health states. Right censoring at 1 improved the agreement for mild states. CONCLUSIONS: TTO and the DCETTO values estimated from the same preference data diverged, with increasing difference for milder health states. Although the values converged when applying censored regression at +1, we question the validity of this adjustment.

The association of stroke severity with health-related quality of life in survivors of acute cerebrovascular disease and their informal caregivers during the first year post stroke: a survey study.

PURPOSE: To describe the health-related quality of life (HRQoL) of caregivers and survivors of transient ischaemic attack (TIA) and stroke during one year post discharge in comparison to age- and sex-matched population norms; and to analyse the association of initial stroke severity, measured by a routinely used stroke-specific scale, on subsequent HRQoL of caregivers and survivors. METHODS: Cohort of hospitalized patients with TIA and stroke discharged alive from a large university hospital in Norway, and their informal caregivers. Questionnaires at 3 and 12 months post discharge were filled out by caregivers (n = 320 and n = 326, respectively) and survivors (n = 368 and n = 383, respectively). Multivariable linear regression analyses tested associations between initial stroke severity (National Institutes of Health Stroke Scale, NIHSS) and HRQoL (EQ-5D-3L) in caregivers and survivors. RESULTS: Caregivers of survivors with TIA or stroke did not report lower HRQoL than matched norms. There was some evidence of an association of the NIHSS with caregiver HRQoL at 3 months only (age-sex-adjusted coefficient - 0.01, p = 0.008), however, this was attenuated after additional adjustments. Survivors with stroke, but not TIA, reported lower HRQoL than population norms at both time points. There was a negative association between higher NIHSS scores and survivors' HRQoL; fully adjusted coefficient - 0.01 at both time points (p = 0.001). CONCLUSION: The informal caregivers and survivors with TIA did not report lower than expected HRQoL. Increasing stroke severity was associated with decreasing HRQoL among survivors, but had limited predictive value among caregivers. Other factors may therefore be better indicators of 'at risk' caregivers.

Do not despair about severity-yet.

In a recent extended essay, philosopher Daniel Hausman goes a long way towards dismissing severity as a morally relevant attribute in the context of priority setting in healthcare. In this response, we argue that although Hausman certainly points to real problems with how severity is often interpreted and operationalised within the priority setting context, the conclusion that severity does not contain plausible ethical content is too hasty. Rather than abandonment, our proposal is to take severity seriously by carefully mapping the possibly multiple underlying accounts to well-established ethical theories, in a way that is both morally defensible and aligned with the term's colloquial uses.

Severity as a Priority Setting Criterion: Setting a Challenging Research Agenda.

Priority setting in health care is ubiquitous and health authorities are increasingly recognising the need for priority setting guidelines to ensure efficient, fair, and equitable resource allocation. While cost-effectiveness concerns seem to dominate many policies, the tension between utilitarian and deontological concerns is salient to many, and various severity criteria appear to fill this gap. Severity, then, must be subjected to rigorous ethical and philosophical analysis. Here we first give a brief history of the path to today's severity criteria in Norway and Sweden. The Scandinavian perspective on severity might be conducive to the international discussion, given its long-standing use as a priority setting criterion, despite having reached rather different conclusions so far. We then argue that severity can be viewed as a multidimensional concept, drawing on accounts of need, urgency, fairness, duty to save lives, and human dignity. Such concerns will often be relative to local mores, and the weighting placed on the various dimensions cannot be expected to be fixed. Thirdly, we present what we think are the most pertinent questions to answer about severity in order to facilitate decision making in the coming years of increased scarcity, and to further the understanding of underlying assumptions and values that go into these decisions. We conclude that severity is poorly understood, and that the topic needs substantial further inquiry; thus we hope this article may set a challenging and important research agenda.

A Norwegian 15D value algorithm: proposing a new procedure to estimate 15D value algorithms.

PURPOSE: So far there is no Norwegian value algorithm to inform healthcare decision making. The 15D health state values estimated with the original 15D valuation procedure tend to be higher than the values of other generic preference-based health-related quality of life (HRQoL) instruments. The main purpose of this study was to use a new 15D valuation procedure to estimate Norwegian 15D health state values and to explore their empirical performance. METHODS: The visual analogue scale was used to collect 15D valuation data in a representative sample of the Norwegian general population. The new procedure used fewer valuation tasks and anchored the 15D health state values in an empirically assessed range. The Norwegian 15D health state values were compared to the values of five HRQoL instruments which were provided by Norwegian residents belonging to seven disease groups and a healthy population. RESULTS: The Norwegian 15D health state values ranged from 1 to - 0.52. Compared to 15D health state values estimated with the original procedure, the Norwegian 15D health state values were lower and more in line with values of other HRQoL instruments. CONCLUSIONS: The new 15D valuation procedure is simpler, links the 15D health state values better to the requirements of the QALY model, and provides an empirically-based range. We recommend using the new valuation procedure in future 15D valuation studies, and the Norwegian health state values for use in 15D-based health economic analyses in Norway.

Fewer ischemic strokes, despite an ageing population: stroke models from observed incidence in Norway 2010-2015.

BACKGROUND: Stroke incidence rates have fallen in high-income countries over the last several decades, but findings regarding the trend over recent years have been mixed. The aim of the study was to describe and model temporal trends in incidence of stroke by age and sex between 2010 and 2015 in Norway, and to generate incidence projections towards year 2040. METHODS: All recorded strokes in Norway between 2010 and 2015 were extracted from the National Patient Registry and the National Cause of Death Registry. We report incidence by age, sex, and year; in raw numbers, per 100,000 person-years, by WHO and European standard populations; and generated statistical models by stroke type, age, sex, and year; and projected stroke incidence toward year 2040. RESULTS: The data covered 30.1 million person-years at risk, 53431 unique individuals hospitalized with a primary stroke diagnosis, and 6315 additional individuals registered as dead due to stroke. From 2010 to 2015, individuals suffering stroke per 100,000 person-years dropped from 239 to 195 (208 to 177 excluding immediate deaths). The decline was driven by ischemic strokes, with a statistically non-significant time trend for hemorrhagic stroke. CONCLUSIONS: The age-dependent incidence of ischemic strokes in Norway is declining rapidly, and more than compensates for the growth and ageing of the population. Comparisons with historic incidence statistics show that the reduction in incidence rates has accelerated over the last two decades.

Patient and service factors associated with referral and admission to inpatient rehabilitation after the acute phase of stroke in Australia and Norway.

BACKGROUND: Unequal access to inpatient rehabilitation after stroke has been reported. We sought to identify and compare patient and service factors associated with referral and admission to an inpatient rehabilitation facility (IRF) after acute hospital care for stroke in two countries with publicly-funded healthcare. METHODS: We compared two cohorts of stroke patients admitted consecutively to eight acute public hospitals in Australia in 2013-2014 (n = 553), and to one large university hospital in Norway in 2012-2013 (n = 723). Outcomes were: referral to an IRF; admission to an IRF if referred. Logistic regression models were used to identify and compare factors associated with each outcome. RESULTS: Participants were similar in both cohorts: mean age 73 years, 40-44% female, 12-13% intracerebral haemorrhage, ~ 77% mild stroke (National Institutes of Health Stroke Scale < 8). Services received during the acute admission differed (Australia vs. Norway): stroke unit treatment 82% vs. 97%, physiotherapy 93% vs. 79%, occupational therapy 83% vs. 77%, speech therapy 78% vs. 13%. Proportions referred to an IRF were: 48% (Australia) and 37% (Norway); proportions admitted: 35% (Australia) and 28% (Norway). Factors associated with referral in both countries were: moderately severe stroke, receiving stroke unit treatment or allied health assessments during the acute admission, living in the community, and independent pre-stroke mobility. Directions of associations were mostly congruent; however younger patients were more likely to be referred and admitted in Norway only. Models for admission among patients referred identified few associated factors suggesting that additional factors were important for this stage of the process. CONCLUSIONS: Similar factors were associated with referral to inpatient rehabilitation after acute stroke in both countries, despite differing service provision and access rates. Assuming it is not feasible to provide inpatient rehabilitation to all patients following stroke, the criteria for the selection of candidates need to be understood to address unwanted biases.

Stroke-Related Knowledge and Lifestyle Behavior among Stroke Survivors.

AIMS: Awareness of stroke symptoms and risk factors, and actions taken in order to reduce the risk of new stroke events, should be of great importance among stroke survivors. The aims of this study were to assess changes in stroke-related knowledge and lifestyle behavior among patients experiencing a cerebrovascular event, and to assess the agreement between the patients' self-reported diagnosis, and the discharge diagnosis. METHODS: All patients discharged with a diagnosis of stroke or transient ischemic attack during a 1-year period, received postal survey questionnaires at 3 and 12 months after discharge. The questionnaires included questions about symptom knowledge, lifestyle behavior, and patients were asked to report on their diagnosis. RESULTS: A total of 282 patients were included (mean age 71.8 years, 57.1% men). Self-reported symptom knowledge was increased at 3 months (P < .001), and this persisted at 12 months. There was a poor correlation (r = .082; P = .171) between increasing symptom knowledge and stated lifestyle behavior changes. In all, 63% of the respondents correctly identified their own cerebrovascular subtype. Thirty-seven percent had quit smoking after 12 months, 30% reported that they used less sugary items, and 26% used less fatty food after the cerebrovascular event. CONCLUSIONS: Stroke survivors reported increased stroke symptoms knowledge after 3 and 12 months. A proportion of patients made changes in lifestyle behavior. Only 2 out of 3 patients correctly identified their own cerebrovascular subtype, indicating room for improvement in clinical practice when informing and communicating with stroke and transient ischemic attack patients about their diagnosis.

Identifying menstrual migraine- improving the diagnostic criteria using a statistical method.

OBJECTIVE: To develop a robust statistical tool for the diagnosis of menstrually related migraine. BACKGROUND: The International Classification of Headache Disorders (ICHD) has diagnostic criteria for menstrual migraine within the appendix. These include the requirement for menstrual attacks to occur within a 5-day window in at least [Formula: see text] menstrual cycles ([Formula: see text]-criterion). While this criterion has been shown to be sensitive, it is not specific. Yet in some circumstances, for example to establish the underlying pathophysiology of menstrual attacks, specificity is also important, to ensure that only women in whom the relationship between migraine and menstruation is more than a chance occurrence are recruited. METHODS: Using a simple mathematical model, a Markov chain, to model migraine attacks we developed a statistical criterion to diagnose menstrual migraine (sMM). We then analysed a data set of migraine diaries using both the [Formula: see text]-criterion and the sMM. RESULTS: sMM was superior to the [Formula: see text]-criterion for varying numbers of menstrual cycles and increased in accuracy with more cycle data. In contrast, the [Formula: see text]-criterion showed maximum sensitivity only for three cycles, although specificity increased with more cycle data. CONCLUSIONS: While the ICHD [Formula: see text]-criterion is a simple screening tool for menstrual migraine, the sMM provides a more specific diagnosis and can be applied irrespective of the number of menstrual cycles recorded. It is particularly useful for clinical trials of menstrual migraine where a chance association between migraine and menstruation must be excluded.

Choice Defines Value: A Predictive Modeling Competition in Health Preference Research.

OBJECTIVE: To identify which specifications and approaches to model selection better predict health preferences, the International Academy of Health Preference Research (IAHPR) hosted a predictive modeling competition including 18 teams from around the world. METHODS: In April 2016, an exploratory survey was fielded: 4074 US respondents completed 20 out of 1560 paired comparisons by choosing between two health descriptions (e.g., longer life span vs. better health). The exploratory data were distributed to all teams. By July, eight teams had submitted their predictions for 1600 additional pairs and described their analytical approach. After these predictions had been posted online, a confirmatory survey was fielded (4148 additional respondents). RESULTS: The victorious team, "Discreetly Charming Econometricians," led by Michal Jakubczyk, achieved the smallest χ2, 4391.54 (a predefined criterion). Its primary scientific findings were that different models performed better with different pairs, that the value of life span is not constant proportional, and that logit models have poor predictive validity in health valuation. CONCLUSIONS: The results demonstrated the diversity and potential of new analytical approaches in health preference research and highlighted the importance of predictive validity in health valuation.

The disvalue of death in the global burden of disease.

In the Global Burden of Disease study, disease burden is measured as disability-adjusted life years (DALYs). The paramount assumption of the DALY is that it makes sense to aggregate years lived with disability (YLDs) and years of life lost (YLLs). However, this is not smooth sailing. Whereas morbidity (YLD) is something that happens to an individual, loss of life itself (YLL) occurs when that individual's life has ended. YLLs quantify something that involves no experience and does not take place among living individuals. This casts doubt on whether the YLL is an individual burden at all. If not, then YLDs and YLLs are incommensurable. There are at least three responses to this problem, only one of which is tenable: a counterfactual account of harm. Taking this strategy necessitates a re-examination of how we count YLLs, particularly at the beginning of life.

Differences in and Determinants of Prehospital Delay Times among Stroke Patients-1994 Versus 2012.

OBJECTIVES: Prehospital delay is a challenge for stroke treatment and the delivery of time-critical treatments. Few studies have examined secular trends in prehospital delay, and results vary. This study investigates how prehospital delay among Norwegian stroke patients has changed over the last 2 decades. METHODS: We compared time from symptom onset to admission in 2 cohorts of stroke patients admitted to Akershus University Hospital, Norway, in 1994 (n = 550) and 2012 (n = 522), and constructed predictive models for arrival within 3 hours for each cohort. RESULTS: More patients arrived within 3 hours of symptom onset in 2012 compared to 1994 (proportion, 47.1% versus 19.3%, P < .001), also after adjusting for age, sex, and baseline differences; odds ratio (OR) was 5.14 (95% confidence interval [CI] 3.69-7.15). Stroke severity was the only predictor examined that was independently associated with early arrival during both periods. For patients with moderate strokes the overall OR was 2.06 (95% CI 1.41-3.00) and for severe strokes 4.52 (95% CI 2.97-6.87), compared to those with mild strokes. In the 1994 cohort additional predictors of early arrival were living with others and not being admitted from nursing home. CONCLUSIONS: Prehospital delay in Norway has decreased considerably over the last 2 decades and since the availability of time-critical treatments. However, there is still an urgent need to reduce the number of delayed admissions as a large proportion of patients continue to arrive too late to benefit from these treatments. Patients with severer strokes were predicted to have earlier arrival.

The Burden of Stroke Mimics: Present and Future Projections.

BACKGROUND AND PURPOSE: An increasing proportion of patients presenting with suspected stroke prove to have other conditions, often referred to as stroke mimics. The aim of this study was to present a projection of the number of hospitalized strokes, transient ischemic attacks (TIAs), and stroke mimics in Norway up to the year 2050 based on expected demographic changes, to estimate the burden of stroke mimics in the coming decades. MATERIALS AND METHODS: This prospective study included all admissions to the stroke unit of Akershus University Hospital from March 1, 2012, to February 28, 2013. Relevant resource use was recorded. Based on the age- and sex-specific absolute incidences for the study period, the expected numbers of strokes, TIAs, and stroke mimics in the entire Norwegian population were computed for every fifth year for the period 2020-2050. RESULTS: We included 1881 admissions, of which 38.2% were stroke mimics. With constant age- and sex-dependent incidence rates, we estimated that the number of strokes and stroke mimics will respectively increase by 121.3% and 88.7% (men) and 97.6% and 71.7% (women). For hospital admission levels to stay constant at the 2013 level, an annual reduction of 2.1% and 1.7% (men) and 1.8% and 1.5% (women) must take place for strokes and mimics, respectively. CONCLUSIONS: A significant proportion of stroke unit admissions prove to have other conditions than stroke. With constant age- and sex-dependent incidence rates, the number of stroke mimics admissions will increase substantially over the next decades.

Cues and clues predicting presence of symptoms of depression in stroke survivors.

AIMS AND OBJECTIVES: To investigate to what extent self-reported cues about lack of treatment or concerns about inadequate health care from stroke survivors were associated with symptoms of depression. BACKGROUND: Stroke survivors are prone to depression, and thus, any easily available cues which may inform healthcare workers about patients' mental well-being are potentially important. This study investigates whether two such cues - Cue 1 the subjectively reported lack of access to rehabilitation, and more generally, Cue 2 an expressed concern that their healthcare needs may not be adequately met - may be clinically relevant to be on the outlook for. DESIGN: A cross-sectional survey of stroke survivors three months after discharge from a stroke unit. METHODS: Analysis of data on stroke survivors collected at three months after discharge from a hospital's stroke unit, by means of a mailed questionnaire. Descriptive statistics for the sample population were computed, and a binary logistic model fitted to estimate the impact of subjectively perceived lack of rehabilitation and subjectively reported low confidence in the healthcare system on symptoms of depression as measured by the Hospital Anxiety and Depression Scale. RESULTS: The percentage of patients reporting the presence of symptoms of depression three months postdischarge (22·6%) was consistent with the main body of literature on this subject. Both cues investigated had a significant (p < 0·05) and elevated odds ratio-Cue 1 odds ratio = 4·7 (1·3-18·4) and Cue 2 odds ratio = 2·8 (1·2-6·4), respectively - for showing symptoms of depression in our population. CONCLUSION: Healthcare workers who come in contact with stroke survivors who report having missed out on rehabilitation or express concern that their care needs may not be adequately met by their access to health care should ensure that the patients' mental well-being is being duly monitored and should consider further investigation for depression. RELEVANCE TO CLINICAL PRACTICE: Healthcare workers who come into contact with stroke survivors should pay attention to patients' remonstrance of access to rehabilitation, or concerns about adequacy of received care, as these might constitute cues for the presence of symptoms of depression.

Pre-contact by telephone increases response rates to postal questionnaires in a population of stroke patients: an open ended randomized controlled trial.

BACKGROUND: A follow-up study on a cohort of stroke patients through a postal survey questionnaire 3 and 12 months after discharge from hospital was performed. The response rate at 3-months follow-up was lower than desired, and pre-contact by phone as a measure for increasing the response rate at 12 months was studied. METHODS: The study design was a randomized controlled trial on a cohort of 3 months follow-up-non-responders where the intervention group was pre-contacted with an aim to obtain an informal 'consent to receive' the questionnaire before the 12-months survey was mailed, and the control group was not. The primary outcome was 45 days response rate; secondary outcome was 365 days response rate. The main analysis followed the intention to treat principle. A secondary, per-protocol analysis (i.e. subjects who were not reached by phone were reassigned to the control group) is included. Also included is a rudimentary cost-utility analysis, where we estimated the cost per additional response. RESULTS: Of the 235 subjects, 116 were randomized to the intervention group and 119 to the control group. 10 were excluded due to death (7 in the IG and 3 in the CG), 6 due to dementia (3 in the IG and 3 in the CG), and 2 (1 in the IG and 1 in the CG) for other reasons. The primary outcome was a response rate of 42.9 % in the intervention group, and 26.8 % in the control group, giving p =0.014, with estimated OR of 2.04 (95 % CI [1.16,3.64]). The secondary outcome had p =0.009 with OR 2.10 (95 % CI [1.20,3.70]). The as-per-protocol analyses gave stronger results with p =0.001 and p =0.003, respectively. The cost-utility analysis gave a time cost of 1 working hour per additional response. CONCLUSIONS: The results are in line with previous research, and show that pre-contact has a positive effect on response rate also for a population of elderly with reduced health. Given the importance of high response rate in surveys, a cost of 1 working hour per additional response is likely to be worth while. TRIAL REGISTRATION: Registration with ISRCTN initiated on 05/21/2013 and finalised on 06/30/2014 with http://www.isrctn.com/ISRCTN31304930 . Following the prospective submission in May 2013, there were no subsequent changes to the protocol. The recruitment started on 01/06/13, after initiation of public registration.