Trial of Thrombectomy for Stroke with a Large Infarct of Unrestricted Size.

BACKGROUND: The use of thrombectomy in patients with acute stroke and a large infarct of unrestricted size has not been well studied. METHODS: We assigned, in a 1:1 ratio, patients with proximal cerebral vessel occlusion in the anterior circulation and a large infarct (as defined by an Alberta Stroke Program Early Computed Tomographic Score of ≤5; values range from 0 to 10) detected on magnetic resonance imaging or computed tomography within 6.5 hours after symptom onset to undergo endovascular thrombectomy and receive medical care (thrombectomy group) or to receive medical care alone (control group). The primary outcome was the score on the modified Rankin scale at 90 days (scores range from 0 to 6, with higher scores indicating greater disability). The primary safety outcome was death from any cause at 90 days, and an ancillary safety outcome was symptomatic intracerebral hemorrhage. RESULTS: A total of 333 patients were assigned to either the thrombectomy group (166 patients) or the control group (167 patients); 9 were excluded from the analysis because of consent withdrawal or legal reasons. The trial was stopped early because results of similar trials favored thrombectomy. Approximately 35% of the patients received thrombolysis therapy. The median modified Rankin scale score at 90 days was 4 in the thrombectomy group and 6 in the control group (generalized odds ratio, 1.63; 95% confidence interval [CI], 1.29 to 2.06; P<0.001). Death from any cause at 90 days occurred in 36.1% of the patients in the thrombectomy group and in 55.5% of those in the control group (adjusted relative risk, 0.65; 95% CI, 0.50 to 0.84), and the percentage of patients with symptomatic intracerebral hemorrhage was 9.6% and 5.7%, respectively (adjusted relative risk, 1.73; 95% CI, 0.78 to 4.68). Eleven procedure-related complications occurred in the thrombectomy group. CONCLUSIONS: In patients with acute stroke and a large infarct of unrestricted size, thrombectomy plus medical care resulted in better functional outcomes and lower mortality than medical care alone but led to a higher incidence of symptomatic intracerebral hemorrhage. (Funded by Montpellier University Hospital; LASTE ClinicalTrials.gov number, NCT03811769.).

A longitudinal prospective study of active tuberculosis in a Western Europe setting: insights and findings.

PURPOSE: This study investigates the potential of inflammatory parameters (IP), symptoms, and patient-related outcome measurements as biomarkers of severity and their ability to predict tuberculosis (TB) evolution. METHODS: People with TB were included prospectively in the Stage-TB study conducted at five clinical sites in Barcelona (Spain) between April 2018 and December 2021. Data on demographics, epidemiology, clinical features, microbiology, and Sanit George Respiratory Questionnaire (SGRQ) and Kessler-10 as Health-Related Quality of Life (HRQoL) were collected at three time points during treatment. C-reactive protein (CRP), erythrocyte sedimentation rate (ESR), neutrophil/lymphocyte, and monocyte/lymphocyte ratios (NLR and MLR), complement factors C3, C4, and cH50, clinical and microbiological data, and HRQoL questionnaires were assessed at baseline, 2 months, and 6 months. Their ability to predict sputum culture conversion (SCC) and symptom presence after 2 months of treatment was also analysed. RESULTS: The study included 81 adults and 13 children with TB. The CRP, ESR, NLR, and MLR values, as well as the presence of symptoms, decreased significantly over time in both groups. Higher IP levels at baseline were associated with greater bacillary load and persistent symptoms. Clinical severity at baseline predicted a delayed SCC. Kessler-10 improved during follow-up, but self-reported lung impairment (SGRQ) persisted in all individuals after 6 months. CONCLUSIONS: IP levels may indicate disease severity, and sustained high levels are linked to lower treatment efficacy. Baseline clinical severity is the best predictor of SCC. Implementing health strategies to evaluate lung function and mental health throughout the disease process may be crucial for individuals with TB.

Evaluating the Accuracy of Self-Collected Swabs for the Diagnosis of Mpox.

We evaluated the accuracy of patient-collected skin lesions, oropharyngeal, and rectal swabs among 50 individuals enrolled in a study of mpox viral dynamics. We found that the performance of self-collected samples was similar to that of physician-collected samples, suggesting that self-sampling is a reliable strategy for diagnosing mpox.

Workflow Times and Outcomes in Patients Triaged for a Suspected Severe Stroke.

INTRODUCTION: Current recommendations for regional stroke destination suggest that patients with severe acute stroke in non-urban areas should be triaged based on the estimated transport time to a referral thrombectomy-capable center. METHODS: We performed a post hoc analysis to evaluate the association of pre-hospital workflow times with neurological outcomes in patients included in the RACECAT trial. Workflow times evaluated were known or could be estimated before transport allocation. Primary outcome was the shift analysis on the modified Rankin score at 90 days. RESULTS: Among the 1,369 patients included, the median time from onset to emergency medical service (EMS) evaluation, the estimated transport time to a thrombectomy-capable center and local stroke center, and the estimated transfer time between centers were 65 minutes (interquartile ratio [IQR] = 43-138), 61 minutes (IQR = 36-80), 17 minutes (IQR = 9-27), and 62 minutes (IQR = 36-73), respectively. Longer time intervals from stroke onset to EMS evaluation were associated with higher odds of disability at 90 days in the local stroke center group (adjusted common odds ratio (acOR) for each 30-minute increment = 1.03, 95% confidence interval [CI] = 1.01-1.06), with no association in the thrombectomy-capable center group (acOR for each 30-minute increment = 1.01, 95% CI = 0.98-1.01, pinteraction  = 0.021). No significant interaction was found for other pre-hospital workflow times. In patients evaluated by EMS later than 120 minutes after stroke onset, direct transport to a thrombectomy-capable center was associated with better disability outcomes (acOR = 1.49, 95% CI = 1.03-2.17). CONCLUSION: We found a significant heterogeneity in the association between initial transport destination and neurological outcomes according to the elapse of time between the stroke onset and the EMS evaluation (ClinicalTrials.gov: NCT02795962). ANN NEUROL 2022;92:931-942.

Workflows and Outcomes in Patients With Suspected Large Vessel Occlusion Stroke Triaged in Urban and Nonurban Areas.

BACKGROUND: We aim to compare the outcome of patients from urban areas, where the referral center is able to perform thrombectomy, with patients from nonurban areas enrolled in the RACECAT trial (Direct Transfer to an Endovascular Center Compared to Transfer to the Closest Stroke Center in Acute Stroke Patients With Suspected Large Vessel Occlusion). METHODS: Patients with suspected large vessel occlusion stroke, as evaluated by a Rapid Arterial Occlusion Evaluation score of ≥5, from urban catchment areas of thrombectomy-capable centers during RACECAT trial enrollment period were included in the Stroke Code Registry of Catalonia. Primary outcome was disability at 90 days, as assessed by the shift analysis on the modified Rankin Scale score, in patients with an ischemic stroke. Secondary outcomes included mortality at 90 days, rate of thrombolysis and thrombectomy, time from onset to thrombolysis, and thrombectomy initiation. Propensity score matching was used to assemble a cohort of patients with similar characteristics. RESULTS: The analysis included 1369 patients from nonurban areas and 2502 patients from urban areas. We matched 920 patients with an ischemic stroke from urban areas and nonurban areas based on their propensity scores. Patients with ischemic stroke from nonurban areas had higher degrees of disability at 90 days (median [interquartle range] modified Rankin Scale score, 3 [2-5] versus 3 [1-5], common odds ratio, 1.25 [95% CI, 1.06-1.48]); the observed average effect was only significant in patients with large vessel stroke (common odds ratio, 1.36 [95% CI, 1.08-1.65]). Mortality rate was similar between groups(odds ratio, 1.02 [95% CI, 0.81-1.28]). Patients from nonurban areas had higher odds of receiving thrombolysis (odds ratio, 1.36 [95% CI, 1.16-1.67]), lower odds of receiving thrombectomy(odds ratio, 0.61 [95% CI, 0.51-0.75]), and longer time from stroke onset to thrombolysis (mean difference 38 minutes [95% CI, 25-52]) and thrombectomy(mean difference 66 minutes [95% CI, 37-95]). CONCLUSIONS: In Catalonia, Spain, patients with large vessel occlusion stroke triaged in nonurban areas had worse neurological outcomes than patients from urban areas, where the referral center was able to perform thrombectomy. Interventions aimed at improving organizational practices and the development of thrombectomy capabilities in centers located in remote areas should be pursued. REGISTRATION: URL: https://www. CLINICALTRIALS: gov; Unique identifier: NCT02795962.

Determinants and Trends of the Use of Intravenous Thrombolysis for Minor Stroke: A Population-Based Study, 2016 to 2020.

BACKGROUND: We analyzed the main factors associated with intravenous thrombolysis (IVT) in patients with minor ischemic stroke. METHODS: Data were obtained from a prospective, government-mandated, population-based registry of stroke code patients in Catalonia (6 Comprehensive Stroke Centers, 8 Primary Stroke Centers, and 14 TeleStroke Centers). We selected patients diagnosed with ischemic stroke and National Institutes of Health Stroke Scale (NIHSS) ≤5 at hospital admission from January 2016 to December 2020. We excluded patients with a baseline modified Rankin Scale score of ≥3, absolute contraindication for IVT, unknown stroke onset, or admitted to hospital beyond 4.5 after stroke onset. The main outcome was treatment with IVT. We performed univariable and binary logistic regression analyses to identify the most important factors associated with IVT. RESULTS: We included 2975 code strokes; 1433 (48.2%) received IVT of which 30 (2.1%) had a symptomatic hemorrhagic transformation. Patients treated with IVT as compared to patients who did not receive IVT were more frequently women, had higher NIHSS, arrived earlier to hospital, were admitted to a Comprehensive Stroke Centers, and had large vessel occlusion. After binary logistic regression, NIHSS score 4 to 5 (odds ratio, 40.62 [95% CI, 31.73-57.22]; P<0.001) and large vessel occlusion (odds ratio, 16.39 [95% CI, 7.25-37.04]; P<0.001) were the strongest predictors of IVT. Younger age, female sex, baseline modified Rankin Scale score of 0, earlier arrival to hospital (<120 minutes after stroke onset), and the type of stroke center were also independently associated with IVT. The weight of large vessel occlusion on IVT was higher in patients with lower NIHSS. CONCLUSIONS: Minor stroke female patients, with higher NIHSS, arriving earlier to the hospital, presenting with large vessel occlusion and admitted to a Comprehensive Stroke Centers were more likely to receive intravenous thrombolysis.

Validation study of an automated chemiluminiscence assay to detect HIV antibodies in oral fluid specimens.

Oral fluid specimens (OF) have been widely used to know the HIV prevalence in several key populations. Here, we aim to validate in OF specimens an existing HIV chemiluminiscence assay for serum specimens. Paired OF and serum specimens were collected from 83 known HIV-positives and 83 known HIV-negatives in order to validate the performance characteristics of the automated chemiluminiscence Liaison XL Murex HIV Ag/Ab assay (Diasorin Inc, Iberia) for HIV antibody detection in OF specimens. Among the previously known HIV-seropositive group, HIV antibodies were detected in 69 out of 83 OF specimens. All serum and OF specimens collected from 83 HIV seronegative individuals were negative. The sensitivity and specificity of this assay were 83.13% and 100% respectively in OF. The PPV and NPV values were 100% and 85.57% respectively. The correlation obtained between both specimens was (K: 0.83, [95% CI: 0.748-0.915]) according to the kappa index. The ROC curve analysing the optimal cut-off of the Liaison XL Murex HIV Ag/Ab to detect positive OF specimens revealed that a cut-off of 0.497 showed sensitivity and specificity values of 98.8% and 97.59% respectively. Taking into account this cut-off, the overall sensitivity and NPV of the Liaison XL Murex HIV Ag/Ab assay could rise from 83.1 to 98.8% and from 85.5 to 97.7%, respectively. Our results suggest that the Liaison XL HIV Ag/Ab assay is suitable for the detection of HIV antibodies in OF specimens.

Transradial versus transfemoral access for acute stroke endovascular thrombectomy: a 4-year experience in a high-volume center.

PURPOSE: To compare clinical outcomes and safety of transradial (TRA) versus transfemoral access (TFA) for endovascular mechanical thrombectomy in acute stroke patients. METHODS: Retrospective analysis of 832 consecutive patients with acute stroke undergoing interventional thrombectomy using TRA (n = 64) or TFA (n = 768). RESULTS: Direct TFA failures occurred in 36 patients, 18 of which underwent crossover TFA to TRA, while direct TRA failures occurred in 2 patients having both crossovers to TFA. Successful catheterization was achieved in 96.8% (62/64) and 95.3% (732/768) of patients undergoing direct TRA and direct TFA, respectively, without significant differences. The median (IQR) catheterization time was 10 (8-16) min in the direct TRA group and 15 (10-20) in the direct TFA group (P < 0.001). This difference was also significant in the subgroup of anterior circulation strokes and in patients younger and older than 80 years of age. The majority of procedures yielded thrombolysis in cerebral infarction grade 2b/2c/3 revascularization in patients undergoing direct TRA (88.5%) and direct TFA (90.8%), without statistically significant differences. The median (IQR) puncture to recanalization time was 37 (24-58) min for the direct TRA group and 42 (28-70) min for the direct TFA group. Significant differences in access site complications, symptomatic ICH, and mRS score 0-2 at 90 days between both TRA and TFA accesses were not found. CONCLUSIONS: TRA is not inferior to TFA in the probability of catheterization, times of catheterization and revascularization, and other clinical outcomes for mechanical thrombectomy in acute stroke.

Effect of Direct Transportation to Thrombectomy-Capable Center vs Local Stroke Center on Neurological Outcomes in Patients With Suspected Large-Vessel Occlusion Stroke in Nonurban Areas: The RACECAT Randomized Clinical Trial.

Importance: In nonurban areas with limited access to thrombectomy-capable centers, optimal prehospital transport strategies in patients with suspected large-vessel occlusion stroke are unknown. Objective: To determine whether, in nonurban areas, direct transport to a thrombectomy-capable center is beneficial compared with transport to the closest local stroke center. Design, Setting, and Participants: Multicenter, population-based, cluster-randomized trial including 1401 patients with suspected acute large-vessel occlusion stroke attended by emergency medical services in areas where the closest local stroke center was not capable of performing thrombectomy in Catalonia, Spain, between March 2017 and June 2020. The date of final follow-up was September 2020. Interventions: Transportation to a thrombectomy-capable center (n = 688) or the closest local stroke center (n = 713). Main Outcomes and Measures: The primary outcome was disability at 90 days based on the modified Rankin Scale (mRS; scores range from 0 [no symptoms] to 6 [death]) in the target population of patients with ischemic stroke. There were 11 secondary outcomes, including rate of intravenous tissue plasminogen activator administration and thrombectomy in the target population and 90-day mortality in the safety population of all randomized patients. Results: Enrollment was halted for futility following a second interim analysis. The 1401 enrolled patients were included in the safety analysis, of whom 1369 (98%) consented to participate and were included in the as-randomized analysis (56% men; median age, 75 [IQR, 65-83] years; median National Institutes of Health Stroke Scale score, 17 [IQR, 11-21]); 949 (69%) comprised the target ischemic stroke population included in the primary analysis. For the primary outcome in the target population, median mRS score was 3 (IQR, 2-5) vs 3 (IQR, 2-5) (adjusted common odds ratio [OR], 1.03; 95% CI, 0.82-1.29). Of 11 reported secondary outcomes, 8 showed no significant difference. Compared with patients first transported to local stroke centers, patients directly transported to thrombectomy-capable centers had significantly lower odds of receiving intravenous tissue plasminogen activator (in the target population, 229/482 [47.5%] vs 282/467 [60.4%]; OR, 0.59; 95% CI, 0.45-0.76) and significantly higher odds of receiving thrombectomy (in the target population, 235/482 [48.8%] vs 184/467 [39.4%]; OR, 1.46; 95% CI, 1.13-1.89). Mortality at 90 days in the safety population was not significantly different between groups (188/688 [27.3%] vs 194/713 [27.2%]; adjusted hazard ratio, 0.97; 95% CI, 0.79-1.18). Conclusions and Relevance: In nonurban areas in Catalonia, Spain, there was no significant difference in 90-day neurological outcomes between transportation to a local stroke center vs a thrombectomy-capable referral center in patients with suspected large-vessel occlusion stroke. These findings require replication in other settings. Trial Registration: ClinicalTrials.gov Identifier: NCT02795962.

Effect of Intra-arterial Alteplase vs Placebo Following Successful Thrombectomy on Functional Outcomes in Patients With Large Vessel Occlusion Acute Ischemic Stroke: The CHOICE Randomized Clinical Trial.

Importance: It is estimated that only 27% of patients with acute ischemic stroke and large vessel occlusion who undergo successful reperfusion after mechanical thrombectomy are disability free at 90 days. An incomplete microcirculatory reperfusion might contribute to these suboptimal clinical benefits. Objective: To investigate whether treatment with adjunct intra-arterial alteplase after thrombectomy improves outcomes following reperfusion. Design, Setting, and Participants: Phase 2b randomized, double-blind, placebo-controlled trial performed from December 2018 through May 2021 in 7 stroke centers in Catalonia, Spain. The study included 121 patients with large vessel occlusion acute ischemic stroke treated with thrombectomy within 24 hours after stroke onset and with an expanded Treatment in Cerebral Ischemia angiographic score of 2b50 to 3. Interventions: Participants were randomized to receive intra-arterial alteplase (0.225 mg/kg; maximum dose, 22.5 mg) infused over 15 to 30 minutes (n = 61) or placebo (n = 52). Main Outcomes and Measures: The primary outcome was the difference in proportion of patients achieving a score of 0 or 1 on the 90-day modified Rankin Scale (range, 0 [no symptoms] to 6 [death]) in all patients treated as randomized. Safety outcomes included rate of symptomatic intracranial hemorrhage and death. Results: The study was terminated early for inability to maintain placebo availability and enrollment rate because of the COVID-19 pandemic. Of 1825 patients with acute ischemic stroke treated with thrombectomy at the 7 study sites, 748 (41%) patients fulfilled the angiographic criteria, 121 (7%) patients were randomized (mean age, 70.6 [SD, 13.7] years; 57 women [47%]), and 113 (6%) were treated as randomized. The proportion of participants with a modified Rankin Scale score of 0 or 1 at 90 days was 59.0% (36/61) with alteplase and 40.4% (21/52) with placebo (adjusted risk difference, 18.4%; 95% CI, 0.3%-36.4%; P = .047). The proportion of patients with symptomatic intracranial hemorrhage within 24 hours was 0% with alteplase and 3.8% with placebo (risk difference, -3.8%; 95% CI, -13.2% to 2.5%). Ninety-day mortality was 8% with alteplase and 15% with placebo (risk difference, -7.2%; 95% CI, -19.2% to 4.8%). Conclusions and Relevance: Among patients with large vessel occlusion acute ischemic stroke and successful reperfusion following thrombectomy, the use of adjunct intra-arterial alteplase compared with placebo resulted in a greater likelihood of excellent neurological outcome at 90 days. However, because of study limitations, these findings should be interpreted as preliminary and require replication. Trial Registration: ClinicalTrials.gov Identifier: NCT03876119; EudraCT Number: 2018-002195-40.

Reasons for Not Performing Mechanical Thrombectomy: A Population-Based Study of Stroke Codes.

Background and Purpose: Mechanical thrombectomy (MT) is effective for acute ischemic stroke (AIS) in selected patients with large intracranial vessel occlusion. A minority of patients with AIS receive MT. We aimed to describe the reasons for excluding patients with AIS for MT. Methods: We evaluated patients with AIS in a prospective population-based multicenter registry (Codi Ictus Catalunya registry) that includes all stroke code activations from January to June 2018 in Catalonia, Spain. We analyzed the major reasons for not treating with MT. Results: Stroke code was activated in 3060 patients. Excluding 355 intracranial hemorrhages and 502 stroke mimics, resulted in 2203 patients with AIS (mean age 72.8±13.8 years; 44.6% were women). Of the patients with AIS, 405 (18.4%) were treated with MT. We analyzed the reasons for not treating with MT. The following reasons were considered not modifiable: absence of large intracranial vessel occlusion (922, 41.9%), transient ischemic attack (206, 9.4%), and more than one cause (124, 5.6%). The potentially modifiable reasons for not performing MT by changing selection criteria were as follows: an intracranial artery occlusion that was considered inaccessible or not indicated (48, 2.2%); clinical presentation that was considered too mild to be treated (222, 10.1%); neuroimaging criteria (129, 5.9%), age/prior modified Rankin Scale score/medical comorbidities (129, 5.9%), and therapeutic time window >8 hours (16, 0.7%). Conclusions: In our area, considering all potentially modifiable causes for not performing MT, the percentage of patients with AIS eligible for MT could increase from 18.4% to a maximum of 43.1%. The clinical benefit of this increase is still uncertain and should be confirmed in future trials. Criteria for stroke code activation must be considered for the generalizability of these results.

D-Dimer as Predictor of Large Vessel Occlusion in Acute Ischemic Stroke.

BACKGROUND AND PURPOSE: Improving prehospital triage of large vessel occlusion (LVO) would reduce time to reperfusion therapies. We aimed to study early predictors of LVO in acute ischemic stroke to identify candidates for endovascular treatment. METHODS: The Stroke-Chip was a prospective observational study conducted at 6 Stroke Centers in Catalonia. Blood samples were obtained in the first 6 hours from symptom onset of consecutive patients. Stroke severity was evaluated with National Institutes of Health Stroke Scale (NIHSS) and LVO was assessed. Independent association of multiple blood biomarkers with LVO was evaluated using logistic regression models adjusted by covariates. Sensitivity, specificity, and predictive values were assessed for NIHSS and the combination of NIHSS and selected serum biomarkers levels. RESULTS: One thousand three hundred eight suspected strokes were enrolled for a 17-month period. LVO was not assessed in 131 patients. One thousand one hundred seventy-seven patients were selected for analysis (mean age 69.3 years, 56% men, median baseline NIHSS of 6, and median time to blood collection 2.5 hours). LVO was detected in 262 patients. LVO patients were older, had higher baseline NIHSS, history of atrial fibrillation, and lower time from stroke onset to admission. After logistic regression analysis, D-dimer remained an independent predictor of LVO (odds ratio, 1.59 [1.31-1.92]). Specificity and positive predictive value to exclude or detect LVO were higher when using combined D-dimer levels and NIHSS score assessment rather than NIHSS alone. CONCLUSIONS: Early D-dimer levels are an independent predictor of LVO and may be useful to better optimize prehospital patient transport to the appropriate stroke center.

Impact of COVID-19 Infection on the Outcome of Patients With Ischemic Stroke.

BACKGROUND AND PURPOSE: We evaluated whether stroke severity, functional outcome, and mortality are different in patients with ischemic stroke with or without coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) infection. METHODS: A prospective, observational, multicentre cohort study in Catalonia, Spain. Recruitment was consecutive from mid-March to mid-May 2020. Patients had an acute ischemic stroke within 48 hours and a previous modified Rankin Scale (mRS) score of 0 to 3. We collected demographic data, vascular risk factors, prior mRS score, National Institutes of Health Stroke Scale score, rate of reperfusion therapies, logistics, and metrics. Primary end point was functional outcome at 3 months. Favourable outcome was defined depending on the previous mRS score. Secondary outcome was mortality at 3 months. We performed mRS shift and multivariable analyses. RESULTS: We evaluated 701 patients (mean age 72.3±13.3 years, 60.5% men) and 91 (13%) had COVID-19 infection. Median baseline National Institutes of Health Stroke Scale score was higher in patients with COVID-19 compared with patients without COVID-19 (8 [3-18] versus 6 [2-14], P=0.049). Proportion of patients with a favourable functional outcome was 33.7% in the COVID-19 and 47% in the non-COVID-19 group. However, after a multivariable logistic regression analysis, COVID-19 infection did not increase the probability of unfavourable functional outcome. Mortality rate was 39.3% among patients with COVID-19 and 16.1% in the non-COVID-19 group. In the multivariable logistic regression analysis, COVID-19 infection was a risk factor for mortality (hazard ratio, 3.14 [95% CI, 2.10-4.71]; P<0.001). CONCLUSIONS: Patients with ischemic stroke and COVID-19 infection have more severe strokes and a higher mortality than patients with stroke without COVID-19 infection. However, functional outcome is comparable in both groups.

Foamy macrophages and the progression of the human tuberculosis granuloma.

The progression of tuberculosis from a latent, subclinical infection to active disease that culminates in the transmission of infectious bacilli is determined locally at the level of the granuloma. This progression takes place even in the face of a robust immune response that, although it contains infection, is unable to eliminate the bacterium. The factors or environmental conditions that influence this progression remain to be determined. Recent advances have indicated that pathogen-induced dysregulation of host lipid synthesis and sequestration serves a critical role in this transition. The foamy macrophage seems to be a key participant in both sustaining persistent bacteria and contributing to the tissue pathology that leads to cavitation and the release of infectious bacilli.

Empirical model for short-time prediction of COVID-19 spreading.

The appearance and fast spreading of Covid-19 took the international community by surprise. Collaboration between researchers, public health workers, and politicians has been established to deal with the epidemic. One important contribution from researchers in epidemiology is the analysis of trends so that both the current state and short-term future trends can be carefully evaluated. Gompertz model has been shown to correctly describe the dynamics of cumulative confirmed cases, since it is characterized by a decrease in growth rate showing the effect of control measures. Thus, it provides a way to systematically quantify the Covid-19 spreading velocity and it allows short-term predictions and longer-term estimations. This model has been employed to fit the cumulative cases of Covid-19 from several European countries. Results show that there are systematic differences in spreading velocity among countries. The model predictions provide a reliable picture of the short-term evolution in countries that are in the initial stages of the Covid-19 outbreak, and may permit researchers to uncover some characteristics of the long-term evolution. These predictions can also be generalized to calculate short-term hospital and intensive care units (ICU) requirements.

Modelling the dynamics of tuberculosis lesions in a virtual lung: Role of the bronchial tree in endogenous reinfection.

Tuberculosis (TB) is an infectious disease that still causes more than 1.5 million deaths annually. The World Health Organization estimates that around 30% of the world's population is latently infected. However, the mechanisms responsible for 10% of this reserve (i.e., of the latently infected population) developing an active disease are not fully understood, yet. The dynamic hypothesis suggests that endogenous reinfection has an important role in maintaining latent infection. In order to examine this hypothesis for falsifiability, an agent-based model of growth, merging, and proliferation of TB lesions was implemented in a computational bronchial tree, built with an iterative algorithm for the generation of bronchial bifurcations and tubes applied inside a virtual 3D pulmonary surface. The computational model was fed and parameterized with computed tomography (CT) experimental data from 5 latently infected minipigs. First, we used CT images to reconstruct the virtual pulmonary surfaces where bronchial trees are built. Then, CT data about TB lesion' size and location to each minipig were used in the parameterization process. The model's outcome provides spatial and size distributions of TB lesions that successfully reproduced experimental data, thus reinforcing the role of the bronchial tree as the spatial structure triggering endogenous reinfection. A sensitivity analysis of the model shows that the final number of lesions is strongly related with the endogenous reinfection frequency and maximum growth rate of the lesions, while their mean diameter mainly depends on the spatial spreading of new lesions and the maximum radius. Finally, the model was used as an in silico experimental platform to explore the transition from latent infection to active disease, identifying two main triggering factors: a high inflammatory response and the combination of a moderate inflammatory response with a small breathing amplitude.

Bottlenecks in the Acute Stroke Care System during the COVID-19 Pandemic in Catalonia.

INTRODUCTION: The COVID-19 pandemic resulted in significant healthcare reorganizations, potentially striking standard medical care. We investigated the impact of the COVID-19 pandemic on acute stroke care quality and clinical outcomes to detect healthcare system's bottlenecks from a territorial point of view. METHODS: Crossed-data analysis between a prospective nation-based mandatory registry of acute stroke, Emergency Medical System (EMS) records, and daily incidence of COVID-19 in Catalonia (Spain). We included all stroke code activations during the pandemic (March 15-May 2, 2020) and an immediate prepandemic period (January 26-March 14, 2020). Primary outcomes were stroke code activations and reperfusion therapies in both periods. Secondary outcomes included clinical characteristics, workflow metrics, differences across types of stroke centers, correlation analysis between weekly EMS alerts, COVID-19 cases, and workflow metrics, and impact on mortality and clinical outcome at 90 days. RESULTS: Stroke code activations decreased by 22% and reperfusion therapies dropped by 29% during the pandemic period, with no differences in age, stroke severity, or large vessel occlusion. Calls to EMS were handled 42 min later, and time from onset to hospital arrival increased by 53 min, with significant correlations between weekly COVID-19 cases and more EMS calls (rho = 0.81), less stroke code activations (rho = -0.37), and longer prehospital delays (rho = 0.25). Telestroke centers were afflicted with higher reductions in stroke code activations, reperfusion treatments, referrals to endovascular centers, and increased delays to thrombolytics. The independent odds of death increased (OR 1.6 [1.05-2.4], p 0.03) and good functional outcome decreased (mRS ≤2 at 90 days: OR 0.6 [0.4-0.9], p 0.015) during the pandemic period. CONCLUSION: During the COVID-19 pandemic, Catalonia's stroke system's weakest points were the delay to EMS alert and a decline of stroke code activations, reperfusion treatments, and interhospital transfers, mostly at local centers. Patients suffering an acute stroke during the pandemic period had higher odds of poor functional outcome and death. The complete stroke care system's analysis is crucial to allocate resources appropriately.

Time Trends in Intracerebral Hemorrhage Associated with Oral Anticoagulation and Its Risks Factors in Spain from 2008 to 2015.

BACKGROUND: Intracerebral hemorrhage (ICH) is 7- to 10-fold higher in anticoagulated patients. Given the more extended use of oral anticoagulants, an increase in the prevalence of ICH associated with oral anticoagulation (ICH-OAC) could be expected. However, there is no previous study that assesses the time trends of ICH-OAC in Spain. METHODS: We conducted a combined data analysis after creating a joint database of the 3 most important epidemiological studies on ICH-OAC of our country: the EPICES study (2008-2009), the TAC Registry (TR) study (2012-2013) and the TAC Registry 2 (TR2) study (2015). We finally included 65, 235, and 366 patients from the EPICES, TR, and TR2 studies, respectively. RESULTS: We have observed a 3.73-fold increase in the crude annual incidence of ICH-OAC throughout the period of study, with proportion of ICH-OAC out of total ICH increasing from 8.4% in 2008 to 18.2% in 2015. Age, dyslipidemia, and prior antiplatelet treatment increased during the study, but we found no statistically significant differences in other risk factors for ICH-OAC. CONCLUSIONS: The incidence of ICH-OAC is increasing in our country. It might at least be partly explained by aging of the population, with mean age at presentation being higher in the last years.

Moving forward through the in silico modeling of tuberculosis: a further step with UISS-TB.

BACKGROUND: In 2018, about 10 million people were found infected by tuberculosis, with approximately 1.2 million deaths worldwide. Despite these numbers have been relatively stable in recent years, tuberculosis is still considered one of the top 10 deadliest diseases worldwide. Over the years, Mycobacterium tuberculosis has developed a form of resistance to first-line tuberculosis treatments, specifically to isoniazid, leading to multi-drug-resistant tuberculosis. In this context, the EU and Indian DBT funded project STriTuVaD-In Silico Trial for Tuberculosis Vaccine Development-is supporting the identification of new interventional strategies against tuberculosis thanks to the use of Universal Immune System Simulator (UISS), a computational framework capable of predicting the immunity induced by specific drugs such as therapeutic vaccines and antibiotics. RESULTS: Here, we present how UISS accurately simulates tuberculosis dynamics and its interaction within the immune system, and how it predicts the efficacy of the combined action of isoniazid and RUTI vaccine in a specific digital population cohort. Specifically, we simulated two groups of 100 digital patients. The first group was treated with isoniazid only, while the second one was treated with the combination of RUTI vaccine and isoniazid, according to the dosage strategy described in the clinical trial design. UISS-TB shows to be in good agreement with clinical trial results suggesting that RUTI vaccine may favor a partial recover of infected lung tissue. CONCLUSIONS: In silico trials innovations represent a powerful pipeline for the prediction of the effects of specific therapeutic strategies and related clinical outcomes. Here, we present a further step in UISS framework implementation. Specifically, we found that the simulated mechanism of action of RUTI and INH are in good alignment with the results coming from past clinical phase IIa trials.

Stroke Risk Analysis, a System With a High Detection Rate of Atrial Fibrillation in Stroke and Transient Ischemic Attack.

Background and Purpose- Stroke Risk Analysis (SRA) comprises an algorithm for automated analysis of ECG monitoring, enabling the detection of paroxysmal atrial fibrillation (pxAF) and identifying patterns indicating a high risk of atrial fibrillation (R_AF). We compared Holter-enabled continuous ECG monitoring in combination with SRA (hSRA) with standard continuous ECG monitoring for pxAF detection in patients with acute ischemic stroke. Also, we sought to identify whether the detection of R_AF patterns during the first cycle (first 2 hours) of hSRA recording was associated with the detection of pxAF during the Stroke Unit stay. Methods- We enrolled 524 consecutive patients admitted in the Stroke Unit with acute ischemic stroke or transient ischemic attack with neither history of AF nor AF at admission into a prospective multicentric observational analytic clinical study with intrapatient comparison, who received both continuous ECG monitoring as well as hSRA up to 7 days. Investigators were blinded to hSRA results unless pxAF was detected on SRA. Results- Of the 524 consecutive acute stroke patients (median age, 70.0 years; 60% male; acute ischemic stroke 93%, transient ischemic attack 7%), 462 were eligible and included in the study. Among 462 patients with hSRA available for 66 hours, AF was documented by hSRA in 79 patients (17.1%). From this group, 45 AF cases (9.7%) were confirmed after review by an independent and blinded cardiologist. continuous ECG monitoring detected 21 AF cases (4.3%; P<0.0001). hSRA detected R_AF patterns in 92 patients. 35 out of the 92 R_AF patients showed an episode of AF during the Stroke Unit stay. Predictive values of R_AF patterns within the first cycle of hSRA were: sensitivity 71%, specificity 86%, positive predictive value 38%, and negative predictive value 96%. Conclusions- Automated analysis using SRA technology strongly improves pxAF detection in acute ischemic stroke patients compared with continuous ECG monitoring. The predictive value of a R_AF pattern, as detected by hSRA during the first few hours after admission, deserves further investigation.