Implications of atrial fibrillation on the clinical course and outcomes of hospitalized COVID-19 patients: results of the Cardio-COVID-Italy multicentre study.

AIMS: To assess the clinical relevance of a history of atrial fibrillation (AF) in hospitalized patients with coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19). METHODS AND RESULTS: We enrolled 696 consecutive patients (mean age 67.4 ± 13.2 years, 69.7% males) admitted for COVID-19 in 13 Italian cardiology centres between 1 March and 9 April 2020. One hundred and six patients (15%) had a history of AF and the median hospitalization length was 14 days (interquartile range 9-24). Patients with a history of AF were older and with a higher burden of cardiovascular risk factors. Compared to patients without AF, they showed a higher rate of in-hospital death (38.7% vs. 20.8%; P < 0.001). History of AF was associated with an increased risk of death after adjustment for clinical confounders related to COVID-19 severity and cardiovascular comorbidities, including history of heart failure (HF) and increased plasma troponin [adjusted hazard ratio (HR): 1.73; 95% confidence interval (CI) 1.06-2.84; P = 0.029]. Patients with a history of AF also had more in-hospital clinical events including new-onset AF (36.8% vs. 7.9%; P < 0.001), acute HF (25.3% vs. 6.3%; P < 0.001), and multiorgan failure (13.9% vs. 5.8%; P = 0.010). The association between AF and worse outcome was not modified by previous or concomitant use of anticoagulants or steroid therapy (P for interaction >0.05 for both) and was not related to stroke or bleeding events. CONCLUSION: Among hospitalized patients with COVID-19, a history of AF contributes to worse clinical course with a higher mortality and in-hospital events including new-onset AF, acute HF, and multiorgan failure. The mortality risk remains significant after adjustment for variables associated with COVID-19 severity and comorbidities.

Vericiguat for Heart Failure with Reduced Ejection Fraction.

PURPOSE OF REVIEW: The nitric oxide (NO)-soluble guanylate cyclase (sGC)-cyclic guanosine monophosphate (cGMP) pathway plays an important role in the regulation of cardiovascular function, and it is disrupted in heart failure (HF), resulting in decreased protection against myocardial injury. Impaired NO-sGC-cGMP signaling in HF is secondary to reduced NO bioavailability and altered redox state of sGC, which becomes less responsive to NO. The sGC activator cinaciguat increases cGMP levels by direct NO-independent activation of sGC and may be particularly effective in conditions of increased oxidative stress and endothelial dysfunction, and therefore reduced NO levels, at the expense of a greater risk of hypotension. Conversely, sGC stimulators (riociguat and vericiguat) enhance sGC sensitivity to endogenous NO, thus exerting a more physiological action. RECENT FINDINGS: Clinical trials have suggested the benefit of vericiguat in patients with high-risk HF; in particular, a lower incidence of death from cardiovascular causes or HF hospitalization. Adding vericiguat may be considered in individual patients with HF, and reduced left ventricular ejection fraction (HFrEF) particularly those at higher risk of HF hospitalization.

Congestion in Patients with Advanced Heart Failure: Assessment and Treatment.

Heart failure (HF) is characterized by frequent hospital admissions due to acute decompensation and shortened life span with a progressive clinical course leading to an advanced stage where traditional therapies become ineffective. Due to aging of the population and improved therapies, only a small of proportion of patients with advanced HF are candidates for surgical treatments, such as mechanical circulatory support or heart transplantation. In most cases, prompt identification and management of congestion is paramount to improving symptoms and quality of life and avoiding progression to severe multiorgan dysfunction and death.

Current Use and Impact on 30-Day Mortality of Pulmonary Artery Catheter in Cardiogenic Shock Patients: Results From the CardShock Study.

BACKGROUND: Cardiogenic shock (CS) is the most life-threatening manifestation of acute heart failure. Its complexity and high in-hospital mortality may justify the need for invasive monitoring with a pulmonary artery catheter (PAC). METHODS: Patients with CS included in the CardShock Study, an observational, prospective, multicenter, European registry, were analyzed, aiming to describe the real-world use of PAC, evaluate its impact on 30-day mortality, and the ability of different hemodynamic parameters to predict outcomes. RESULTS: Pulmonary artery catheter was used in 82 (37.4%) of the 219 patients. Cardiogenic shock patients who managed with a PAC received more frequently treatment with inotropes and vasopressors, mechanical ventilation, renal replacement therapy, and mechanical assist devices (P < .01). Overall 30-day mortality was 36.5%. Pulmonary artery catheter use did not affect mortality even after propensity score matching analysis (hazard ratio = 1.17 [0.59-2.32], P = .66). Cardiac index, cardiac power index (CPI), and stroke volume index (SVI) showed the highest areas under the curve for 30-day mortality (ranging from 0.752-0.803) and allowed for a significant net reclassification improvement of 0.467 (0.083-1.180), 0.700 (0.185-1.282), 0.683 (0.168-1.141), respectively, when added to the CardShock risk score. CONCLUSIONS: In our contemporary cohort of CS, over one-third of patients were managed with a PAC. Pulmonary artery catheter use was associated with a more aggressive treatment strategy. Nevertheless, PAC use was not associated with 30-day mortality. Cardiac index, CPI, and SVI were the strongest 30-day mortality predictors on top of the previously validated CardShock risk score.

Clinical Presentation and Outcome in a Contemporary Cohort of Patients With Acute Myocarditis: Multicenter Lombardy Registry.

BACKGROUND: There is controversy about the outcome of patients with acute myocarditis (AM), and data are lacking on how patients admitted with suspected AM are managed. We report characteristics, in-hospital management, and long-term outcome of patients with AM based on a retrospective multicenter registry from 19 Italian hospitals. METHODS: A total of 684 patients with suspected AM and recent onset of symptoms (<30 days) were screened between May 2001 and February 2017. Patients >70 years of age and those >50 years of age without coronary angiography were excluded. The final study population comprised 443 patients (median age, 34 years; 19.4% female) with AM diagnosed by either endomyocardial biopsy or increased troponin plus edema and late gadolinium enhancement at cardiac magnetic resonance. RESULTS: At presentation, 118 patients (26.6%) had left ventricular ejection fraction <50%, sustained ventricular arrhythmias, or a low cardiac output syndrome, whereas 325 (73.4%) had no such complications. Endomyocardial biopsy was performed in 56 of 443 (12.6%), and a baseline cardiac magnetic resonance was performed in 415 of 443 (93.7%). Cardiac mortality plus heart transplantation rates at 1 and 5 years were 3.0% and 4.1%. Cardiac mortality plus heart transplantation rates were 11.3% and 14.7% in patients with complicated presentation and 0% in uncomplicated cases (log-rank P<0.0001). Major AM-related cardiac events after the acute phase (postdischarge death and heart transplantation, sustained ventricular arrhythmias treated with electric shock or ablation, symptomatic heart failure needing device implantation) occurred in 2.8% at the 5-year follow-up, with a higher incidence in patients with complicated forms (10.8% versus 0% in uncomplicated AM; log-rank P<0.0001). ß-Adrenoceptor blockers were the most frequently used medications both in complicated (61.9%) and in uncomplicated forms (53.8%; P=0.18). After a median time of 196 days, 200 patients had follow-up cardiac magnetic resonance, and 8 of 55 (14.5%) with complications at presentation had left ventricular ejection fraction <50% compared with 1 of 145 (0.7%) of those with uncomplicated presentation. CONCLUSIONS: In this contemporary study, overall serious adverse events after AM were lower than previously reported. However, patients with left ventricular ejection fraction <50%, ventricular arrhythmias, or low cardiac output syndrome at presentation were at higher risk compared with uncomplicated cases that had a benign prognosis and low risk of subsequent left ventricular systolic dysfunction.

The role of heart rate and ivabradine in acute heart failure.

Resting heart rate (HR) is considered a powerful predictor of mortality both in healthy subjects and in cardiovascular (CV) patients, including those affected by heart failure (HF). Its reduction below 70 bpm is the treatment target in chronic HF with reduced ejection fraction (HFrEF) when sinus rhythm is present. In acute HF (AHF) HR is usually elevated but its role as risk marker is still unknown. Notably, in unstable patients, beta-blockers can be reduced or stopped, thus enhancing this phenomenon. Moreover, some data in literature suggest that HR reduction during hospitalization or HR at discharge or in the vulnerable phase after it are more predictive of early-term events and may be therapeutic targets. On the other hand, ivabradine is a pure HR-lowering drug with no effects on inotropism. Its role in the AHF setting has been recently investigated and is the object of this review.

Current real-life use of vasopressors and inotropes in cardiogenic shock - adrenaline use is associated with excess organ injury and mortality.

BACKGROUND: Vasopressors and inotropes remain a cornerstone in stabilization of the severely impaired hemodynamics and cardiac output in cardiogenic shock (CS). The aim of this study was to analyze current real-life use of these medications, and their impact on outcome and on changes in cardiac and renal biomarkers over time in CS. METHODS: The multinational CardShock study prospectively enrolled 219 patients with CS. The use of vasopressors and inotropes was analyzed in relation to the primary outcome, i.e., 90-day mortality, with propensity score methods in 216 patients with follow-up data available. Changes in cardiac and renal biomarkers over time until 96 hours from baseline were analyzed with linear mixed modeling. RESULTS: Patients were 67 (SD 12) years old, 26 % were women, and 28 % had been resuscitated from cardiac arrest prior to inclusion. On average, systolic blood pressure was 78 (14) and mean arterial pressure 57 (11) mmHg at detection of shock. 90-day mortality was 41 %. Vasopressors and/or inotropes were administered to 94 % of patients and initiated principally within the first 24 hours. Noradrenaline and adrenaline were given to 75 % and 21 % of patients, and 30 % received several vasopressors. In multivariable logistic regression, only adrenaline (21 %) was independently associated with increased 90-day mortality (OR 5.2, 95 % CI 1.88, 14.7, p = 0.002). The result was independent of prior cardiac arrest (39 % of patients treated with adrenaline), and the association remained in propensity-score-adjusted analysis among vasopressor-treated patients (OR 3.0, 95 % CI 1.3, 7.2, p = 0.013); this was further confirmed by propensity-score-matched analysis. Adrenaline was also associated, independent of prior cardiac arrest, with marked worsening of cardiac and renal biomarkers during the first days. Dobutamine and levosimendan were the most commonly used inotropes (49 % and 24 %). There were no differences in mortality, whether noradrenaline was combined with dobutamine or levosimendan. CONCLUSION: Among vasopressors and inotropes, adrenaline was independently associated with 90-day mortality in CS. Moreover, adrenaline use was associated with marked worsening in cardiac and renal biomarkers. The combined use of noradrenaline with either dobutamine or levosimendan appeared prognostically similar.

Cardiorenal Interactions.

Recently, there has been increased appreciation of the identification and management of comorbidities in heart failure patients, and for therapies targeting conventional heart failure signs and symptoms. Renal dysfunction is common in patients with heart failure and is associated with high morbidity and mortality. Early identification of renal damage through novel biomarkers and the use of new pharmacological strategies aimed at preserving renal function may represent an important objective in the treatment. This article reviews the epidemiology and pathophysiology of cardiorenal syndrome in heart failure, and highlights novel biomarkers and improved therapies targeting renal dysfunction.

N-Terminal Pro-B-Type Natriuretic Peptide (NT-proBNP) Measurements Until a 30% Reduction Is Attained During Acute Decompensated Heart Failure Admissions and Comparison With Discharge NT-proBNP Levels: Implications for In-Hospital Guidance of Treatment.

BACKGROUND: A >30% N-terminal pro-B-type natriuretic peptide (NT-proBNP) reduction at discharge in acute decompensated heart failure (ADHF) predicts a favorable prognosis. To study the feasibility of guiding ADHF treatment by measuring NT-proBNP well before discharge, we assessed at which moment during hospitalization patients attain a NT-proBNP reduction of >30% (target) and whether this target is still attained at discharge. METHODS: Twenty-five consecutive ADHF patients with NT-proBNP >1,700 ng/L were included (original cohort). NT-proBNP was measured daily until the target was attained, at clinical stability, and at discharge and was analyzed as percentages of patients on target. For comparison purposes, the same analysis was performed in individual patient data from 2 other ADHF cohorts (42 and 111 patients, respectively), in which NT-proBNP was measured from admission to day 3 and at discharge. RESULTS: In the original cohort of 25 patients (median age 70 years, 40% male), the cumulative percentage of patients attaining the target increased gradually during admission to 22 patients (88%) in a median of 3 days (interquartile range 2-5). In the comparison cohorts, a similar course was observed in patients attaining the target before discharge. Compared with levels measured at days 2 and 3, rebound NT-proBNP increases to levels off-target at discharge were seen in up to 33% of patients in the original and comparison cohorts. CONCLUSION: A target >30% NT-proBNP reduction is gradually attained before discharge, and rebound NT-proBNP increases to levels off-target occur in up to 33% of ADHF patients who initially attained target early during admission.

Acute heart failure in the elderly: differences in clinical characteristics, outcomes, and prognostic factors in the VERITAS Study.

BACKGROUND: Acute heart failure (HF) is common in the elderly, but the association of age with clinical outcomes and prognostic factors has not been examined thoroughly. METHODS AND RESULTS: We analyzed the clinical and laboratory characteristics and the outcomes of 1,347 patients with acute HF enrolled in the VERITAS trial. Subjects were subdivided based on their median age of 72 years. Older patients had a higher prevalence of comorbidities and a higher prevalence of hypertension and atrial fibrillation. During a mean follow-up of 149 ± 61 days, 432 patients (32.1%) reached the composite end point of death, in-hospital worsening HF, or HF rehospitalization by 30 days, and 135 patients (10.4%) died by 90 days, with a worse outcome in elderly patients in both cases. At multivariable analysis, different variables were related with each of these outcomes in elderly compared with younger patients. Regarding deaths at 90 days, plasma urea nitrogen and hemoglobin levels were predictive only in the younger patients, whereas respiratory rate and albumin levels were associated with mortality only in the older patients. CONCLUSIONS: Elderly patients with acute HF have different clinical characteristics and poorer outcomes. Prognostic variables differ in elderly compared with younger patients.

Amino acids and derivatives, a new treatment of chronic heart failure?

Amino acids play a key role in multiple cellular processes. Amino acids availability is reduced in patients with heart failure (HF) with deleterious consequences on cardiac and whole-body metabolism. Several metabolic abnormalities have been identified in the failing heart, and many of them lead to an increased need of amino acids. Recently, several clinical trials have been conducted to demonstrate the benefits of amino acids supplementation in patients with HF. Although they have shown an improvement of exercise tolerance and, in some cases, of left ventricular function, they have many limitations, namely small sample size, differences in patients' characteristics and nutritional supplementations, and lack of data regarding outcomes. Moreover recent data suggest that a multi-nutritional approach, including also antioxidants, vitamins, and metals, may be more effective. Larger trials are needed to ascertain safety, efficacy, and impact on prognosis of such an approach in HF.

Exercise Performance Is a Prognostic Indicator in Elderly Patients With Chronic Heart Failure--Application of Metabolic Exercise Cardiac Kidney Indexes Score.

BACKGROUND: In patients with chronic heart failure (HF) the Metabolic Exercise Cardiac Kidney Indexes (MECKI) score, is a predictor of cardiovascular death and urgent heart transplantation. We investigated the relationship between age, exercise tolerance and the prognostic value of the MECKI score. METHODS AND RESULTS: We analyzed data from 3,794 patients with chronic systolic HF. The primary endpoint was a composite of cardiovascular death and urgent heart transplantation. Older patients had higher prevalence of comorbidities and lower exercise performance compared with younger subjects (peak V̇O2, 925 vs. 1,351 L/min; P<0.0001; V̇E/V̇CO2slope, 33.2 vs. 28.3; P>0.0001). The rate of the primary endpoint was 19% in the highest age quartile and 14% in the lowest quartile. At multivariable analysis, the independent predictors of the primary endpoint were left ventricular ejection fraction (LVEF), eGFR, peak V̇O2, serum Na(+)and the use of ß-blockers in patients aged ≥70 years, and LVEF, eGFR and peak V̇O2in younger subjects. The MECKI risk score increased across age subgroups, but on receiver operating characteristic curve analysis its prognostic power was similar in both patients aged ≥70 and <70 years. CONCLUSIONS: Older patients with HF are a high-risk population with lower exercise performance. The MECKI score increased according to age and maintained its prognostic value also in older patients.

Adrenergic receptor gene polymorphism and left ventricular reverse remodelling after cardiac resynchronization therapy: preliminary results.

AIMS: Several factors can influence the extent of left ventricular (LV) reverse remodelling after cardiac resynchronization therapy (CRT) in patients with heart failure (HF). Polymorphism in genes involved in cardiac remodelling, namely beta-adrenergic receptors (ARs), may have a role. We studied the influence of beta-1 Arg389Gly, beta-2 Arg16Gly, and beta-2 Gln27Glu ARs gene polymorphisms on the magnitude of reverse remodelling response to CRT and its possible correlations with the incidence of appropriate implantable cardioverter-defibrillator (ICD) shocks. METHODS AND RESULTS: Beta-ARs were assessed in 101 patients with HF due to idiopathic (50.5%) or ischaemic (49.5%) dilated cardiomyopathy, undergoing CRT for standard indications [left ventricular ejection fraction (LVEF) 23.5 ± 7.5%, QRS ≥ 120 ms]. Left ventricular ejection fraction was measured by echocardiography at baseline, 6 months after CRT, and periodically afterwards. The LVEF change from baseline was of 3.1 ± 11 units among Gln27Gln, 8.3 ± 10.4 units among Gln27Glu, 11 ± 6.4 units among Glu27Glu carriers (P = 0.018 for Gln27Gln vs. Glu27Glu carriers), and 8.8 ± 9.8 units among Gln27Glu + Glu27Glu carriers (P = 0.006 vs. Gln27Gln). Gln27 homozygotes had a higher incidence of appropriate ICD shocks for fast ventricular tachycardia/ventricular fibrillation. CONCLUSION: Beta-2 Gln27Glu ARs gene polymorphism may influence LV reverse remodelling after CRT with Glu27Glu carriers showing the greatest improvement. It may also influence the incidence of malignant ventricular tachyarrhythmias.

Prognostic role of tricuspid annular plane systolic excursion/pulmonary artery systolic pressure ratio in patients hospitalized for acute heart failure.

BACKGROUND: The role of TAPSE/PASP, a measurement of right ventricular to pulmonary artery coupling, in patients hospitalized for acute heart failure (AHF) is poorly described. OBJECTIVES: To evaluate the prognostic impact of TAPSE/PASP in AHF. METHODS: This retrospective single-center study included patients hospitalized for AHF between January 2004 and May 2017. TAPSE/PASP was evaluated as a continuous variable and as tertiles according to its value on admission. The main outcome was the composite of 1-year all-cause death or heart failure hospitalization. RESULTS: A total of 340 patients were included [mean age 68.8 ±â€Š11.8 years; 76.2% men, mean left ventricular ejection fraction (LVEF) 30.4 ±â€Š13.3%]. Patients with lower TAPSE/PASP had more comorbidities and a more advanced clinical profile, and received higher doses of intravenous furosemide in the first 24 h. There was a significant, linear, inverse relationship between TAPSE/PASP values and the incidence of the main outcome (P = 0.003). In two multivariable analyses including clinical (model 1), biochemical and imaging parameters (model 2) TAPSE/PASP ratio was independently associated with the primary end point [model 1: hazard ratio 0.813, 95% confidence interval (CI) 0.708-0.932, P = 0.003; model 2: hazard ratio 0.879, 95% CI 0.775-0.996, P = 0.043]. Patients with TAPSE/PASP greater than 0.47 mm/mmHg had a significantly lower risk of the primary end point (model 1: hazard ratio 0.473, 95% CI 0.277-0.808, P = 0.006; model 2: hazard ratio 0.582, 95% CI 0.355-0.955, P = 0.032; both compared with TAPSE/PASP <0.34 mm/mmHg). Similar findings were observed for 1-year all-cause mortality. CONCLUSION: TAPSE/PASP on admission demonstrated a prognostic value among patients with AHF.

Can we prevent or treat renal dysfunction in acute heart failure?

Most patients with heart failure (HF) already have or develop renal dysfunction; this might contribute to their poor outcome. Current treatment for HF can also contribute to worsen renal function. High furosemide doses are traditionally associated with worsening renal function (WRF), but patients with fluid overload may benefit of aggressive fluid removal. Unfortunately, promising therapies like vasopressin antagonists and adenosine antagonists have not been demonstrated to improve outcomes. Likewise, correction of low renal blood flow through dopamine, inotropic agents, or vasodilators does not seem to be associated with a clear benefit. However, transient WRF associated with acute HF treatment may not necessarily portend a poor prognosis. In this review, we focus on the strategies to detect renal dysfunction in acute HF, the underlying pathophysiological mechanisms, and the potential treatments.

Renal dysfunction in acute and chronic heart failure: prevalence, incidence and prognosis.

Most patients with heart failure have mild or moderate renal dysfunction. This reflects the combined impact of chronic renal parenchymal disease, renal artery disease, renal congestion and hypoperfusion, neuroendocrine and cytokine activation and the effects of treatments for heart failure. Remarkably, with good treatment, the average annual rate of decline in renal function is similar in patients with chronic heart failure and healthy people of a similar age. Urea appears to be a stronger marker of an adverse prognosis than creatinine-based measures of renal function. Recent evidence suggests that minor, transient increases in creatinine in the setting of acute heart failure are not prognostically important but persistent deterioration does indicate a higher mortality. The poor prognosis of patients with worsening renal function ensures that few require renal dialysis but this may change as methods to prevent sudden death improve and new ways are found to control fluid congestion. Reversing renal dysfunction and stopping its progression remain important targets for treatment of heart failure.

Renal dysfunction in acute heart failure: epidemiology, mechanisms and assessment.

Renal dysfunction is often present and/or worsens in patients with heart failure and this is associated with increased costs of care, complications and mortality. The cardiorenal syndrome can be defined as the presence or development of renal dysfunction in patients with heart failure. Its mechanisms are likely related to low cardiac output, increased venous congestion and renal venous pressure, neurohormonal and inflammatory activation and local changes, such as adenosine release. Many drugs, including loop diuretics, may contribute to worsening renal function through the activation of some of these mechanisms. Renal damage is conventionally defined by the increase in creatinine and blood urea nitrogen blood levels. However, these changes may be not related with renal injury or prognosis. New biomarkers of renal injury seem promising but still need to be validated. Thus, despite the epidemiological evidence, we are still lacking of satisfactory tools to assess renal injury and function and its prognostic significance.

Six-year prognosis of diabetic patients with coronary artery disease.

BACKGROUND: Diabetes is associated with increased cardiovascular mortality. The aim of our study was to determine the prognostic factors for mortality in patients with type 2 diabetes (T2DM) and coronary artery disease (CAD) who underwent coronary angiography and percutaneous coronary intervention. MATERIALS AND METHODS: Four hundred and forty-five consecutive T2DM patients with significant CAD (≥ 75% stenosis) were included in our analysis. All patients underwent standard clinical examination, laboratory tests and transthoracic echocardiography with measurement of the left ventricular ejection fraction. Severity of CAD at the coronary angiography was evaluated using the Gensini score. Clinical follow-up was completed at 1, 3 and 6 years. RESULTS: During a mean follow-up of 73·3 ± 22·1 months, 109 patients died (24·5%). Significant determinants of an increased risk of death at multivariable analysis were age (p < 0·001), serum creatinine (p = 0·001), peripheral vascular disease (p = 0·002), serum glucose (p = 0·004), serum fibrinogen (p = 0·011) and history of heart failure (HF, p = 0·011). When all the variables were entered as categorical variables, with continuous variables split at their median value, only history of HF, estimated glomerular filtration rate, serum glucose, serum fibrinogen (all p < 0·0001) and beta-blocker therapy at discharge (p = 0·027) were selected. CONCLUSIONS: Our study shows a relatively good prognosis of patients with T2DM. Comorbidities, namely HF and renal impairment, are main determinants of survival.

Prognostic significance of serum potassium in patients hospitalized for acute heart failure.

AIM: We investigated the prognostic significance of serum potassium abnormalities at discharge in patients hospitalized for acute heart failure (AHF). METHODS AND RESULTS: In a retrospective analysis, we included 926 patients hospitalized for AHF, stratified by serum potassium levels at discharge as hypokalaemia (<3.5 mEq/L), normokalaemia (3.5-5.0 mEq/L), and hyperkalaemia (>5.0 mEq/L). The primary endpoint was all-cause death at 1 year since hospital discharge. At discharge, 40 patients had hypokalaemia (4.3%), 840 normokalaemia (90.7%), and 46 hyperkalaemia (5.0%). Patients with hyperkalaemia at discharge were more frequently men, had more signs of congestion, and lower LVEF while patients with hypokalaemia were more likely to be women with HFpEF. Treatment with ACEi/ARBs and MRAs ≥50% of target dose at discharge was similar across groups. One year all-cause death occurred in 10% of the patients with hypokalaemia, 13.9% of those with normokalaemia, and 30.4% of those with hyperkalaemia (P = 0.006). After adjustment for covariates, including renal function, background treatment, and baseline potassium level, hyperkalaemia resulted an independent predictor of the primary endpoint (HR 1.96, 95% IC [1.01-3.82]; P = 0.048). CONCLUSIONS: In patients with AHF, the presence of hyperkalaemia at discharge is an independent predictor of 1 year all-cause death.

Machine learning for prediction of in-hospital mortality in coronavirus disease 2019 patients: results from an Italian multicenter study.

BACKGROUND: Several risk factors have been identified to predict worse outcomes in patients affected by SARS-CoV-2 infection. Machine learning algorithms represent a novel approach to identifying a prediction model with a good discriminatory capacity to be easily used in clinical practice. The aim of this study was to obtain a risk score for in-hospital mortality in patients with coronavirus disease infection (COVID-19) based on a limited number of features collected at hospital admission. METHODS AND RESULTS: We studied an Italian cohort of consecutive adult Caucasian patients with laboratory-confirmed COVID-19 who were hospitalized in 13 cardiology units during Spring 2020. The Lasso procedure was used to select the most relevant covariates. The dataset was randomly divided into a training set containing 80% of the data, used for estimating the model, and a test set with the remaining 20%. A Random Forest modeled in-hospital mortality with the selected set of covariates: its accuracy was measured by means of the ROC curve, obtaining AUC, sensitivity, specificity and related 95% confidence interval (CI). This model was then compared with the one obtained by the Gradient Boosting Machine (GBM) and with logistic regression. Finally, to understand if each model has the same performance in the training and test set, the two AUCs were compared using the DeLong's test. Among 701 patients enrolled (mean age 67.2 ±â€Š13.2 years, 69.5% male individuals), 165 (23.5%) died during a median hospitalization of 15 (IQR, 9-24) days. Variables selected by the Lasso procedure were: age, oxygen saturation, PaO2/FiO2, creatinine clearance and elevated troponin. Compared with those who survived, deceased patients were older, had a lower blood oxygenation, lower creatinine clearance levels and higher prevalence of elevated troponin (all P < 0.001). The best performance out of the samples was provided by Random Forest with an AUC of 0.78 (95% CI: 0.68-0.88) and a sensitivity of 0.88 (95% CI: 0.58-1.00). Moreover, Random Forest was the unique model that provided similar performance in sample and out of sample (DeLong test P = 0.78). CONCLUSION: In a large COVID-19 population, we showed that a customizable machine learning-based score derived from clinical variables is feasible and effective for the prediction of in-hospital mortality.