A risk prediction model for hepatocellular carcinoma in non-alcoholic fatty liver disease without cirrhosis: HCC prediction for non-cirrhotic NAFLD.

BACKGROUND & AIMS: Although non-alcoholic fatty liver disease (NAFLD) is becoming a leading cause of hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC), HCC risk in non-cirrhotic NAFLD received little attention. We aimed to develop and validate an HCC risk prediction model for non-cirrhotic NAFLD. METHODS: A nationwide cohort of non-cirrhotic NAFLD patients in Korea was recruited to develop a risk prediction model and validate it internally (n = 409 088). A model using a simplified point system was developed by Cox proportional hazard model. K-fold cross-validation assessed the accuracy, discrimination and calibration. The model was validated externally using a hospital cohort from Asan Medical Center (n = 8721). RESULTS: An 11-point HCC risk prediction model for non-cirrhotic NAFLD was developed using six independent factors of age, sex, diabetes, obesity, serum alanine aminotransferase level and gamma-glutamyl transferase level (c-index 0.75). The average area under receiver operating curves (AUROCs) of the model was 0.72 at 5 years and 0.75 at 10 years. In the external validation cohort, the AUROCs were 0.79 [95% confidence interval [CI], 0.59-0.95] at 5 years and 0.84 (95% CI, 0.73-0.94) at 10 years. The calibration plots showed the expected risks corresponded well with the observed risks. Risk stratification categorized patients into the low (score 0-6), moderate (7, 8) and high (9-11; estimated incidence rate >0.2%/year) risk groups. CONCLUSIONS: A novel HCC risk prediction model for non-cirrhotic NAFLD patients was developed and validated with fair performance. The model is expected to serve as a simple and reliable tool to assess HCC risk and assist precision screening of HCC.

Gastrointestinal: Weight gain increases the risk of metachronous advanced colorectal neoplasm observed in post-polypectomy surveillance colonoscopy.

BACKGROUND AND AIM: Although obesity is a known risk factor for colorectal neoplasms, the correlation between weight change and colorectal neoplasm is unclear. Thus, we aim to evaluate the association between weight change and advanced colorectal neoplasm (ACRN) recurrence during post-polypectomy surveillance colonoscopy. METHODS: This retrospective cohort study included 7473 participants diagnosed with colorectal neoplasms between 2003 and 2010 who subsequently underwent surveillance colonoscopies until 2020. We analyzed the association between the risk of metachronous ACRN and weight change, defining stable weight as a weight change of <3% and weight gain as a weight increase of ≥3% from baseline during the follow-up period. RESULTS: During a median 8.5 years of follow-up, 619 participants (8.3%) developed ACRN. Weight gain was reported as an independent risk factor for metachronous ACRN in a time-dependent Cox analysis. A weight gain of 3-6% and ≥6% had adjusted hazard ratios (AHRs) of 1.48 (95% confidence interval [CI]: 1.19-1.84) and 2.14 (95% CI: 1.71-2.69), respectively. Participants aged 30-49 and 50-75 years with weight gain of ≥6% showed AHRs of 2.88 (95% CI: 1.96-4.21) and 1.90 (95% CI: 1.43-2.51), respectively. In men and women, weight gain of ≥3% was significantly correlated with metachronous ACRN. CONCLUSIONS: Weight gain is associated with an increased risk of metachronous ACRN. Furthermore, weight gain is associated with the recurrence of ACRN in both men and women regardless of age.

High Visceral-To-Subcutaneous Fat Ratio Is Associated with an Increased Risk of Gastroesophageal Reflux Disease in Nonobese Adults.

INTRODUCTION: Abdominal obesity increases the risk of gastroesophageal reflux disease (GERD). This study aimed to determine the association between GERD and abdominal fat area quantified by computed tomography (CT). METHODS: We analyzed the effect of abdominal fat area on gastroesophageal reflux symptoms and erosive esophagitis using logistic regression models in 5,338 participants who underwent abdominal fat measurement CT and screening esophagogastroduodenoscopy. RESULTS: Participants with reflux symptoms and erosive esophagitis were diagnosed in 1,168 (21.9%) and 671 (12.5%), respectively. Multivariate analysis showed that subcutaneous and visceral fat areas were significantly associated with reflux symptoms and erosive esophagitis. The adjusted odds ratio (OR) in the fourth quartile of visceral fat area compared with that in the lowest quartile was 1.98 (95% confidence interval (CI) 1.63-2.39) for reflux symptoms and 2.33 (95% CI 1.80-3.01) for erosive esophagitis. Visceral fat area had a stronger effect in the younger age-group. In the group <50 years, the adjusted OR in fourth quartile of visceral fat area was 2.70 (95% CI 1.86-3.94) for reflux symptoms and 3.59 (95% CI 2.22-5.80) for erosive esophagitis. High visceral-to-subcutaneous fat ratio (VSR) increased the risk of reflux symptoms and erosive esophagitis in participants with body mass index <25 kg/m2 and normal waist circumference. CONCLUSION: Subcutaneous and visceral fat areas were associated with an increased risk of reflux symptoms and erosive esophagitis. High VSR increased the risk of reflux symptoms and erosive esophagitis in participants with normal body weight and waist circumference.

Sessile serrated lesions in patients with adenoma on index colonoscopy do not increase metachronous advanced adenoma risk.

OBJECTIVES: Post-polypectomy surveillance intervals should be determined based on index colonoscopy findings. However, the risk of metachronous lesions, resulting from the coexistence of adenoma and sessile serrated lesions (SSLs), has rarely been addressed. We evaluated the impact of synchronous SSL on the risk of metachronous lesions within similar adenoma risk groups. METHODS: We retrieved individuals with one or more adenomas on index colonoscopy in a single-center retrospective cohort and stratified them into four groups depending on the presence of SSL and low-risk/high-risk adenoma (LRA/HRA). Participants who underwent surveillance colonoscopies at least 12 months apart were included. We compared the risks of metachronous lesions including HRA, advanced adenoma (AA), or SSL within similar adenoma risk groups according to the presence of SSL. RESULTS: Overall 4493 individuals were included in the analysis. The risk of metachronous HRA/AA was not significantly higher in the adenoma with SSL group compared with the adenoma without SSL group, irrespective of LRA (HRA, 6/86 vs. 231/3297, P = 1.00; AA, 0/86 vs. 52/3297, P = 0.64) or HRA (HRA, 11/64 vs. 240/1046, P = 0.36; AA, 3/64 vs. 51/1046, P = 1.00). However, the risk of metachronous SSL in individuals with synchronous SSL was higher than that in those without SSL for both LRA (15/86 vs. 161/3297, P < 0.001) and HRA groups (11/64 vs. 61/1046, P = 0.002). CONCLUSION: The presence of synchronous SSL did not increase the risk of metachronous HRA/AA, compared with isolated adenoma, but increased the risk of metachronous SSL.

Progression of pancreatic cystic lesions without any risk features is associated with initial cyst size and obesity.

BACKGROUND AND AIM: The clinical significance of incidental pancreatic cystic lesions (PCLs) remains unclear in those that are not accompanied by worrisome features or high-risk stigmata. We aimed to investigate the natural course of PCLs without any risk features and examine the clinical factors associated with their progression. METHODS: We conducted a retrospective cohort study of 427 patients with PCLs, which were incidentally detected by computed tomography between January 2003 and December 2012. Progression of PCLs without any risk features and the clinical factors associated with their progression were investigated. The length of time to significant growth was also evaluated. RESULTS: Ninety-four (22.0%) of the 427 patients had asymptomatic PCLs that showed significant growth after a median surveillance period of 5.3 years; approximately 27.7% of the patients showed significant size changes in the first 5 years, while the remaining 72.3% showed significant changes after 5 years. The cumulative rate of patients with significant growth was associated with initial cyst size and high body mass index. In the growth group, additional treatments were required for 12 patients, one of whom developed malignancy. Four patients in the stable group underwent additional treatment and showed no malignant change. CONCLUSIONS: One-fifth of the asymptomatic PCLs significantly increased in size after a long-term follow-up period, which was associated with initial cyst size and obesity. The size of PCLs mostly increased after 5 years; although the malignancy risk of PCLs was low, it was still a concern.

Association Between Carotid Ultrasonography Findings and Colorectal Adenoma in Asymptomatic Adults.

BACKGROUND: Coexistence of colorectal neoplasia and atherosclerotic cardiovascular disease has been reported. Subclinical atherosclerosis can be evaluated noninvasively and easily by assessing carotid intima-media thickness (CIMT) and carotid plaque using ultrasonography. AIMS: We aimed to evaluate the association between carotid ultrasonography findings and colorectal conventional adenoma (AD) in health checkup examinees. METHODS: We retrospectively reviewed the medical records of health checkup examinees ≥ 40 years old who had undergone both carotid ultrasonography and colonoscopies at a single hospital between January 2012 and December 2016. RESULTS: The median age of 4871 eligible participants was 54 years (range, 40-89). AD was found in 2009 individuals (41.2%), with a mean number of 1.9 ± 1.7 lesions. Abnormal CIMT (≥ 1 mm) and carotid plaque were found in 1366 (28.0%) and 1255 (25.8%) individuals, respectively. AD and high-risk adenoma (HRA) were observed more frequently in those with abnormal CIMT or plaque. Moreover, abnormal CIMT and plaque were independent risk factors for the presence of AD (odds ratio [OR]: 1.21, 95% confidence interval [CI]: 1.06-1.39, P = 0.006; OR: 1.24, 95% CI: 1.08-1.43, P = 0.002) and HRA (OR: 1.24, 95% CI: 1.05-1.52, P = 0.034; OR: 1.35, 95% CI: 1.10-1.65, P = 0.004), respectively. CONCLUSIONS: Abnormal CIMT and the presence of carotid plaque were significantly associated with AD and HRA, and each was an independent risk factor for AD and HRA. More careful observation might be needed during colonoscopies in individuals with abnormal carotid ultrasonographic findings.

Novel Endoscopic Criteria for Predicting Tumor Invasion Depth in Superficial Esophageal Squamous Carcinoma.

BACKGROUND: Accurate prediction of tumor invasion depth in superficial esophageal squamous carcinoma (SESC) is essential for deciding the appropriate treatment strategy. We proposed novel endoscopic criteria to differentiate between mucosal and submucosal esophageal cancers and to evaluate the diagnostic accuracy and usefulness of the criteria. METHODS: A total of 352 patients who underwent endoscopic or surgical resection for SESC between 1991 and 2010 were included. First, the novel endoscopic criteria were created based on the endoscopic features of 60 randomly selected patients as follows: for T1m cancers, I. flat or slightly elevated or depressed lesion with smooth/even surface of any size, II. slightly elevated lesion of ≤ 1 cm with granular or uneven surface, III. hyperemic flat lesion of ≤ 3 cm with granular or uneven surface, IV. slightly depressed lesion of ≤ 2 cm with uneven surface and for T1sm cancers, I. irregularly (unevenly) nodular or protruded lesion of any size, II. slightly elevated lesion of > 1 cm with granular or uneven surface, III. hyperemic flat lesion of > 3 cm with granular or uneven surface, IV. irregularly (unevenly) depressed lesion of > 2 cm, and V. ulcerative lesion of any size. Next, the endoscopic findings of the remaining 292 patients were reviewed according to the criteria. RESULTS: The accuracy of novel endoscopic criteria was 79.5% (232/292). The sensitivity and specificity of mucosal cancers were 78.4% and 81.0%, respectively, whereas those for submucosal cancers were 81.0% and 78.4%, respectively. The accuracy for mucosal cancers was high (97.3%, 72/74) when the lesions were flat or slightly elevated/depressed with smooth/even surface regardless of size, whereas that for submucosal cancers was high (85.7%, 18/21) when the lesions were irregular/nodular protrusions regardless of size. In multivariate analysis, macroscopic type IIb lesion was identified as an independent factor affecting accuracy (P < 0.05). The difference in recurrence-free survival rates between endoscopically mucosal and submucosal cancers was significant (P = 0.026). CONCLUSION: The novel endoscopic criteria appear to be accurate and useful in predicting invasion depth in SESC. Our criteria might help not only to decide the treatment strategy between surgery and endoscopic resection but also to predict the outcomes of SESC.

Association Between Cigarette Smoking and Alcohol Consumption and Sessile Serrated Polyps in Subjects 30 to 49 Years Old.

BACKGROUND & AIMS: We investigated the prevalence of sessile serrated polyps (SSPs) and the association between SSP risk and modifiable lifestyle factors in asymptomatic young adults. METHODS: We performed a cross-sectional study using a screening colonoscopy database of 13,618 asymptomatic subjects age 30 to 49 years, and 17,999 subjects age 50 to 75 years. We investigated risk factors of SSP by multivariable analyses of clinical data that included cigarette smoking and alcohol consumption. RESULTS: In subjects age 30 to 49 years, the prevalence of SSP was 2.0% (275 of 13,618 individuals). Of all SSPs, 40.7% (112 of 275 SSPs) were large (≥10 mm). Smoking for 20 or more pack-years was associated with overall SSPs (odds ratio [OR], 1.87; 95% CI, 1.17-2.99) and large SSPs (OR, 3.03; 95% CI, 1.62-5.66). The association between anatomic location and 20 or more pack-years of smoking was stronger for distal SSPs than for proximal SSPs (OR, 2.71; 95% CI, 1.27-5.77 vs OR, 1.60; 95% CI, 1.00-2.54). Cessation of smoking for 5 years or more decreased the risk of SSPs (OR, 0.49; 95% CI, 0.28-0.86) and of large SSPs (OR, 0.23; 95% CI, 0.10-0.54). Alcohol consumption was associated with large SSPs. These findings were similar for subjects age 50 to 75 years. CONCLUSIONS: In an analysis of a screening colonoscopy database, we found that in asymptomatic young adults, smoking and alcohol consumption were associated with any SSPs and large SSPs. Cessation of smoking decreased the risk of SSPs. Therefore, early lifestyle modification may be recommended for primary prevention of SSPs in young adults.

The effect of eradication of Helicobacter pylori on gastric cancer prevention in healthy asymptomatic populations.

BACKGROUND: Although many epidemiologic studies have evaluated the effect of Helicobacter pylori eradication on gastric cancer, the effect is still uncertain in general populations. We evaluated whether H. pylori eradication would affect the incidence of gastric cancer in healthy asymptomatic populations. MATERIALS AND METHODS: We performed a retrospective cohort study in 38 984 asymptomatic individuals, who underwent health screening examinations more than twice between 2005 and 2016. We investigated the incidence of gastric cancer among 3 groups: those without H. pylori infection (Hp-negative group), those with H. pylori eradication (eradication group), and those without H. pylori eradication (non-eradication group). RESULTS: The cumulative incidence of gastric cancer was 54.5 cases per 100 000 person-years during a median of 6.4 years. In a multivariate analysis using the Cox proportional hazard model, the cumulative incidence of gastric cancer in the non-eradication group was significantly higher than those in the Hp-negative (hazard ratio [HR] 4.12, P < .001) and eradication groups (HR 2.73, P = .001). However, the cumulative incidence of gastric cancer was not significantly different between the eradication and Hp-negative groups. Other risk factors for gastric cancer occurrence were age, smoking, family history of gastric cancer, and gastric atrophy. The standardized incidence ratios of the age groups above 40 and below 70 in the eradication group were all significantly decreased. CONCLUSIONS: Helicobacter pylori eradication reduced the cumulative incidence of gastric cancer in healthy asymptomatic population, and the effect of H. pylori eradication on the prevention of gastric cancer was observed in all ages.

Association between non-alcoholic fatty liver disease and cancer incidence rate.

BACKGROUND & AIMS: Little is known about the association between non-alcoholic fatty liver disease (NAFLD) and cancer development. This study investigated the cancer incidence rates in NAFLD and analysed the association between NAFLD and cancer development. METHODS: This historical cohort study included subjects who were followed up for >1 year after having a heath checkup at a tertiary hospital in Korea from September 1, 2004 to December 31, 2005. NAFLD was diagnosed by ultrasonographic detection of hepatic steatosis in the absence of other known liver disease, including alcoholic or viral hepatitis. Cox proportional hazards regression model was conducted to assess the association between NAFLD and cancer development. RESULTS: Of 25,947 subjects, 8,721 (33.6%) had NAFLD. During the total follow-up of 164,671 person-years (median 7.5 years), the cancer incidence rate of the NAFLD group was higher than that of the non-NAFLD group (782.9 vs. 592.8 per 100,000 person-years; hazard ratio [HR] 1.32; 95% confidence interval [CI] 1.17-1.49; p <0.001). When demographic and metabolic factors were adjusted for, NAFLD showed a strong association with three cancers: hepatocellular carcinoma ([HCC]; HR 16.73; 95% CI 2.09-133.85; p = 0.008), colorectal cancer in males (HR 2.01; 95% CI 1.10-3.68; p = 0.02), and breast cancer in females (HR 1.92; 95% CI 1.15-3.20; p = 0.01). A high NAFLD fibrosis score (NFS) and a high fibrosis-4 (FIB-4) score were associated with the development of all cancers and HCC. CONCLUSION: NAFLD was associated with the development of HCC, colorectal cancer in males, and breast cancer in females. A high NFS and a high FIB-4 score showed a strong association with the development of all cancers and HCC. LAY SUMMARY: Non-alcoholic fatty liver disease (NAFLD) is associated with developing hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC). There have been limited data on the association between NAFLD and extrahepatic cancers. This study demonstrated that patients with NAFLD showed a higher association with the development of HCC, colorectal cancer in males, and breast cancer in females. A high NAFLD fibrosis score and a high fibrosis-4 score showed a strong association with the development of all cancers and HCC.

Prevalence and risk factors of advanced colorectal neoplasms in asymptomatic Korean people between 40 and 49 years of age.

BACKGROUND AND AIM: Current guidelines recommend colon cancer screening for persons aged over 50 years. However, there are few data on colorectal cancer screening in 40- to 49-year-olds. This study assessed the prevalence and risk factors of colorectal neoplasms in 40- to 49-year-old Koreans. METHODS: We analyzed the results of screening colonoscopies of 6680 persons 40-59 years of age (2206 aged 40-49 and 4474 aged 50-59 years). RESULTS: The prevalence of overall and advanced neoplasms in the 40- to 49-year age group was lower than in the 50- to 59-year age group (26.7% and 2.4% vs 37.8% and 3.5%, respectively). However, the prevalence of overall and advanced neoplasms increased to 39.1% and 5.4%, respectively, in 45- to 49-year-old individuals with metabolic syndrome. In the 40- to 49-year age group, age, current smoking, and metabolic syndrome were associated with an increased risk of advanced neoplasms (odds ratio [OR] 1.16, 95% confidence interval [CI] 1.04-1.30; OR 3.12, 95% CI 1.20-8.12; and OR 2.00, 95% CI 1.09-3.67, respectively). CONCLUSIONS: Individuals aged 40-49 years had a lower prevalence of colorectal neoplasms than those aged 50-59 years, but some 40- to 49-year-olds showed a similar prevalence to those aged 50-59 years. Age, current smoking habits, and metabolic syndrome are associated with an increased risk of advanced neoplasms in subjects aged 40-49 years. Further studies are needed to stratify the risks of colon cancer and guide targeted screening in persons younger than 50 years old.

Treatment outcomes and recurrence following standard cold forceps polypectomy for diminutive polyps.

BACKGROUND: The recurrence rate after standard cold forceps polypectomy (CFP) of diminutive polyps of ≤5 mm has not been fully determined. The aim of this study was to analyze the long-term follow-up results and recurrence rate after CFP of diminutive polyps. METHODS: We retrospectively reviewed the medical records of 884 (738 men; age 53 years) asymptomatic subjects who underwent surveillance colonoscopy after CFP of 1-2 diminutive adenomatous polyps. Cumulative recurrence at the CFP site and risk factors for recurrence were analyzed. RESULTS: Overall recurrence over 59.7 months was 17 % after CFP of 1111 diminutive polyps. The rate of definite recurrence was 4 %, and probable recurrence was 13 %. Recurrence as advanced adenoma was 0.5 % (5/1111). The cumulative probabilities of recurrence at 3, 5, and 7 years after CFP were 10.0, 16.0, and 21.1 %, respectively. Multivariate analysis revealed that polyp 4-5 mm in size and right colonic polyp were risk factors for recurrence (hazard ratio [HR] 1.37; 95 % confidence interval [CI] 1.01-1.86 and HR 1.49; 95 % CI 1.08-2.04, respectively). The recurrence rate for 10 endoscopists who performed at least 50 CFPs ranged from 11.0 to 25.2 %; the probability of recurrence in those in the top half in terms of recurrence rate was 1.6-fold higher than that of those in the bottom half (95 % CI 1.17-2.19). CONCLUSIONS: Although recurrence may develop after standard CFP of diminutive polyps, recurrence as advanced adenoma is rare. Large polyp size, right colon polyp, and endoscopist are risk factors for recurrence after standard CFP.

Metabolic factors affect the occurrence of colorectal neoplasm on surveillance colonoscopies.

BACKGROUND AND AIM: Although metabolic factors such as obesity and hyperlipidemia were reported to be associated with high prevalence of colorectal neoplasm (CRN), their influence on the occurrence of CRN at surveillance colonoscopy has not been clarified. The purpose of this study was to analyze the association between metabolic factors and the risk of CRN at the time of surveillance colonoscopy. METHODS: We reviewed the medical records of 1792 asymptomatic subjects (average 52.1 years, 1233 male) who underwent screening and follow-up surveillance colonoscopies. Fasting glucose level, fasting insulin level, hemoglobin A1c (HbA1c), lipid profile, high sensitivity C-reactive protein, and colonoscopic findings at the time of baseline screening were analyzed to find any associations with the occurrence of CRN at the time of surveillance colonoscopy. RESULTS: The median interval between screening and surveillance colonoscopies was 3.34 years. The 3- and 5-year cumulative CRN incidences were 22.3% and 54.8%, respectively. Several metabolic factors such as hypertension, waist circumference, fasting insulin, fasting glucose, HbA1c, and triglyceride were associated with the occurrence of CRN in univariate analysis. Age, current alcohol drinker status, and high-risk colonoscopy findings at baseline remained independent risk factors for CRN occurrence in multivariate analysis. High waist circumference was also an independent risk factor (hazard ratio 1.03, 95% CI 1.02-1.04; P < 0.001). CONCLUSIONS: Metabolic factors, especially waist circumference, affect CRN occurrence at the time of surveillance colonoscopy. The surveillance colonoscopy interval may be optimized based on metabolic factors and screening colonoscopy findings.

Prediction of the Risk of a Metachronous Advanced Colorectal Neoplasm Using a Novel Scoring System.

BACKGROUND AND AIM: This study aimed to develop and validate a risk score model to estimate the probability of a metachronous advanced colorectal neoplasm (ACRN) at surveillance colonoscopy. METHODS: A retrospective analysis of a prospectively obtained database of 11,042 asymptomatic subjects who underwent surveillance colonoscopy after a screening colonoscopy was conducted. Subjects were randomly divided into derivation (n = 7730) and validation sets (n = 3312). From the derivation cohort, risk factors for a metachronous ACRN were identified by a multivariable analysis. Risk points were allocated to each risk factor based on the hazard ratio to develop the Metachronous Advanced colorectal neoplasm Prediction Scoring (MAPS) model, the performance of which was assessed in the validation cohort. RESULTS: In the derivation cohort, age, male, sessile serrated adenoma/polyp, and a high-risk CRN (ACRN or ≥3 adenomas) at screening colonoscopy were independent risk factors for a metachronous ACRN. These variables were incorporated into the MAPS model, and the risk score ranged 0-17 (high MAPS risk arbitrarily defined as 10-17). At the 3-year surveillance colonoscopy, ACRN was found in 5.1 % of the high MAPS risk group versus 3.9 % of the high-risk CRN group. The colonoscopy number needed to detect one metachronous ACRN at the 3-year surveillance was 19.5 (95 % CI 11.7-33.2) for the high MAPS risk group versus 25.8 (95 % CI 15.4-44.0) for the high-risk CRN group. These findings were similarly confirmed in the validation cohort. CONCLUSIONS: Our MAPS model based on clinical and colonoscopic parameters effectively predicts the risk of a metachronous ACRN.

Probability of high-risk colorectal neoplasm recurrence based on the results of two previous colonoscopies.

BACKGROUND: Current guidelines for the surveillance colonoscopy interval are largely based on the most recent colonoscopy findings. AIM: We aimed to evaluate differences in the probability of high-risk neoplasm recurrence according to the two previous colonoscopy findings. METHODS: This was a retrospective cohort study from a tertiary-care center. A total of 4,143 subjects who underwent three or more colonoscopies for screening or surveillance purposes from January 2001 to December 2011 were enrolled. We compared the probability of high-risk neoplasm detection on follow-up colonoscopies after the second colonoscopy based on risk categories in both the second and first colonoscopies. RESULTS: At the final colonoscopy, 370 participants (8.9 %) had high-risk neoplasms. In patients with a normal second colonoscopy, the probability of high-risk neoplasm recurrence was different between those with normal, low-risk, and high-risk findings at the first colonoscopy (3.8, 6.8, and 17.7 %, respectively). The hazard ratio of a high-risk neoplasm at the final colonoscopy for patients with a normal second and low-risk first colonoscopy over a normal second and normal first colonoscopy was 3.07 (95 % CI 2.04-4.64, P < 0.001). The hazard ratio of high-risk neoplasm at the final colonoscopy for patients with a normal second and high-risk first colonoscopy over a normal second with normal first colonoscopy was 7.88 (95 % CI 4.90-12.67, P < 0.001). CONCLUSIONS: The rate of high-risk colorectal neoplasm recurrence differs according to the two previous colonoscopy findings. Therefore, surveillance intervals could be adjusted not just only by the most recent colonoscopy findings but also by considering two previous colonoscopy findings.

Seroconversion rates of Helicobacter pylori infection in Korean adults.

BACKGROUND: Studies on seroconversion and its reversion rate in Korean adults with Helicobacter pylori infection are very rare. The purpose of this study was to evaluate the overall seroprevalence, seroconversion rate, and seroreversion rate of H. pylori infection in an adult population. MATERIALS AND METHODS: We performed this retrospective cohort study on healthy adults who had visited our health screening center at Asan Medical Center more than twice between January 2000 and December 2010. We reviewed the anti- H. pylori Ab IgG profiles of the enrolled people and their family members and the results of esophagogastroduodenoscopies and a self-reported questionnaire. RESULTS: A total of 67,212 people were enrolled in this study. The mean follow-up duration was 4.6 years, and each participant visited the center for a mean of 3.8 visits. The overall proportions of participants demonstrating persistent seropositivity, persistent seronegativity, seroconversion, and seroreversion were 53.1%, 32.5%, 4.3%, and 10.1%, respectively. The annual seroconversion rate was 2.79%. The annual crude and spontaneous seroreversion rates of the entire study population were 3.64% and 2.42%, respectively. According to multivariate logistic regression, old age (HR = 1.015), smoking (HR = 1.216), alcohol consumption more than four times per week (HR = 1.263), marriage (HR = 2.735), and living with H. pylori-infected family members (HR = 1.525) were identified as statistically significant risk factors associated with seroconversion. CONCLUSION: The annual seroconversion rate was 2.79% in our study population. Marriage and living with H. pylori-infected family members were important risk factors affecting seroconversion in our adult population.

Molecular epidemiology of canine GM1 gangliosidosis in the Shiba Inu breed in Japan: relationship between regional prevalence and carrier frequency.

BACKGROUND: Canine GM1 gangliosidosis is a fatal disease in the Shiba Inu breed, which is one of the most popular traditional breeds in Japan and is maintained as a standard breed in many countries. Therefore, it is important to control and reduce the prevalence of GM1 gangliosidosis for maintaining the quality of this breed and to ensure supply of healthy dogs to prospective breeders and owners. This molecular epidemiological survey was performed to formulate an effective strategy for the control and prevention of this disease. RESULTS: The survey was carried out among 590 clinically unaffected Shiba Inu dogs from the 8 districts of Japan, and a genotyping test was used to determine nation-wide and regional carrier frequencies. The number and native district of affected dogs identified in 16 years from 1997 to June 2013 were also surveyed retrospectively. Of the 590 dogs examined, 6 dogs (1.02%, 6/590) were carriers: 3 dogs (2.27%, 3/132) from the Kinki district and the other 3 dogs from the Hokkaido, Kanto, and Shikoku districts. The retrospective survey revealed 23 affected dogs, among which, 19 dogs (82.6%) were born within the last 7 years. Of the 23 affected dogs, 12 dogs (52.2%) were from the Kinki district. Pedigree analysis demonstrated that all the affected dogs and carriers with the pedigree information have a close blood relationship. CONCLUSIONS: Our results showed that the current carrier frequency for GM1 gangliosidosis is on the average 1.02% in Japan and rather high in the Kinki district, which may be related to the high prevalence observed over the past 16 years in this region. This observation suggests that carrier dogs are distributed all over Japan; however, kennels in the Kinki district may face an increased risk of GM1 gangliosidosis. Therefore, for effective control and prevention of this disease, it is necessary to examine as many breeding dogs as possible from all regions of Japan, especially from kennels located in areas with high prevalence and carrier frequency.

Risk stratification for advanced proximal colon neoplasm and individualized endoscopic screening for colorectal cancer by a risk-scoring model.

BACKGROUND: Only 30% to 40% of patients with advanced proximal neoplasms (APN) have distal colon neoplasms. OBJECTIVE: To develop a risk score model for APN and propose an individualized screening protocol for colorectal cancer. DESIGN: Retrospective cohort study. SETTING: Tertiary-care center. PATIENTS: Derivation cohort (6200 adults) and validation cohort (1389 adults). INTERVENTION: Screening colonoscopy. MAIN OUTCOME MEASUREMENTS: An APN risk score model was developed from the derivation cohort (6200 adults) and was tested in the validation cohort (1389 adults), who underwent screening colonoscopy. RESULTS: Age, male sex, and smoking were clinical risk factors for APN. The presence of a distal neoplasm was a sigmoidoscopic risk factor for APN. We calculated APN risk scores (0-8) based on these variables and classified patients as low risk (0-2) or high risk (3-8). In the validation cohort, the relative risk of APN was 3.5-fold higher in the high-risk group than in the low-risk group. Our model suggests that colonoscopy should be performed as an initial screening test in patients with a high clinical risk for APN. Sigmoidoscopy should be performed initially in patients with low clinical risk for APN followed by supplementary colonoscopy in those with high APN risk scores based on both clinical and sigmoidoscopic risk factors. This protocol detected APN in 22 of 34 APN+ patients (64.7%) with little increase in the endoscopy burden, whereas only 16 of 34 APN+ patients (47.1%) would be identified by initial sigmoidoscopy followed by colonoscopy only in cases with distal neoplasms. LIMITATIONS: Retrospective design. CONCLUSION: Our APN risk score model provides an algorithm for efficient screening of colorectal cancer by sigmoidoscopy and colonoscopy.

Collie eye anomaly in Hokkaido dogs: case study.

OBJECTIVE: To describe a Hokkaido dog, one of the traditional Japanese breeds that was affected by Collie eye anomaly (CEA), and to report the genotype of this dog and the Hokkaido dog allelic frequency of the CEA-associated mutation. CASE: A nine-month-old intact female Hokkaido dog without any obvious visual disturbance was diagnosed ophthalmoscopically with CEA. Severe choroidal hypoplasia was observed in the bilateral temporal area adjacent to the optic nerve head, appearing as whitish areas. Therefore, the dog was suspected of possessing the CEA-associated mutation that was previously reported as an intronic 7.8-kilo base deletion in the canine NHEJ1 gene. PROCEDURES: SYBR Green-based real-time PCR with a melting curve analysis, conventional PCR with agarose gel electrophoresis, and direct DNA sequencing were carried out to determine the genotype of the dog. Furthermore, a preliminary genotyping survey was carried out in 17 Hokkaido dogs from three kennels using the real-time PCR method, and the pedigree relationships were analyzed using their pedigree papers. RESULTS: The Hokkaido dog affected by CEA was proven to possess the CEA-associated mutation. Of these 17 Hokkaido dogs, 12 dogs were heterozygous carriers and five dogs were affected by this mutation. The preliminary genotyping survey and pedigree analysis demonstrated that the allelic frequency of the CEA-associated mutation is very high in Hokkaido dogs. CONCLUSION: These data suggest that the Hokkaido breed is highly susceptible to CEA because of the known CEA-associated mutation much like the Collie-related breeds.

Radioprotective effect of alk(en)yl thiosulfates derived from allium vegetables against DNA damage caused by X-ray irradiation in cultured cells: antiradiation potential of onions and garlic.

To evaluate a radioprotective effect of sodium n-propyl thiosulfate (NPTS) and sodium 2-propenyl thiosulfate (2PTS) derived from onions and garlic, respectively, rat hepatoma H4IIE cells and mouse lymphoma L5178Y cells were preincubated with each of these compounds for 48 hours at 37°C before receiving 10 Gy of X-ray irradiation. Cell damage caused by the irradiation was quantified as comet tail moment, which represents the degree of DNA damage. X-ray-induced DNA damage was significantly decreased in both H4IIE and L5178Y cells by micromolar concentrations of NPTS and 2PTS compared with the control without the compounds. The protective effect was more potent with 2PTS than NPTS. Onions and garlic have antiradiation potential.