Association of Frailty With Thrombosis of Hemodialysis Vascular Access: A Prospective Taiwanese Cohort Study.

RATIONALE & OBJECTIVE: Frailty, a multidimensional construct, has been associated with poor outcomes in patients receiving maintenance dialysis. This study assessed the association of frailty with dialysis vascular access patency. STUDY DESIGN: Multicenter prospective cohort study. SETTING & PARTICIPANTS: 761 prevalent patients receiving hemodialysis at 9 centers in Taiwan as of January 2018. EXPOSURE: Performance-based frailty was defined as 3 of the following: unintentional weight loss, weakness, exhaustion, low physical activity, and slow gait speed. Patients were categorized as prefrail if they had 1 or 2 of these characteristics. OUTCOME: Rate of and time to dialysis access thrombosis. Data regarding vascular access events were collected for 30 months after enrollment through December 31, 2020. ANALYTICAL APPROACH: Logistic regression analysis was used to estimate the association of clinical characteristics with frailty. Cox proportional hazards regression analysis was used to estimate the association of frailty with vascular access thrombosis adjusted for known clinical risk factors. RESULTS: The patients' mean age was 66 years, 46% were female, 18% had synthetic graft accesses, and 82% arteriovenous fistulas. Overall, 31% were frail, 35% were prefrail, and 34% were not frail. The frailty phenotype was associated with age, female sex, low body mass index, diabetes mellitus, and prior stroke. During a median follow-up of 731 days, 161 patients (21%) had access thrombosis events (not frail, 14%; prefrail, 20%; frail, 30%; P < 0.001). Frail patients had a higher risk of vascular access thrombosis than nonfrail patients (HR, 2.31 [95% CI, 1.55-3.39], P < 0.001). After multivariable adjustment for age and comorbidities, frailty remained significantly associated with access thrombosis for both fistulas and grafts. LIMITATIONS: Limited generalizability and potential residual confounding. CONCLUSIONS: Frailty is associated with an increased risk of vascular access thrombosis. These findings highlight the risks of access failure experienced by frail patients receiving hemodialysis.

The Impact of Frailty on the Outcomes of Hemodialysis Vascular Access.

BACKGROUND: Frailty has been associated with mortality and adverse cardiovascular outcomes in patients with hemodialysis (HD), however the relevance of frailty on the outcomes of HD vascular access remains unclear. METHODS: We enrolled a cohort of patients with prevalent HD between August 2018 and November 2018. The presence of 5 frailty phenotypes was determined at enrollment, using the modified Fried's criteria. Data regarding vascular access events or mortality were linked to prospectively collected data up to 24 months after enrollment. RESULTS: Of the 382 patients screened, 313 were recruited in the final analysis. The participants' mean age was 66 years, and 42.5% were female. Among all participants, 40.3% were determined to be frail and 29.4% pre-frail. The frail phenotype was associated with age, female gender, lower body mass index, unemployment, lower education level, and higher dialysis clearance. During the follow-up period (median, 24 months), 112 patients had vascular access events (non-frail, 27.4%; pre-frail, 35.9%; frail, 46.1%; p = 0.003) and 45 patients experienced thrombosis of the vascular access (non-frail, 4.2%; pre-frail, 9.8%; frail, 18.3%; p = 0.002). Cox regression analysis showed that frail patients had a 2.2-fold higher risk of experiencing vascular access events than non-frail patients [hazard ratio (HR): 2.205, 95% confidence interval (CI): 1.377-3.532, p = 0.001], but the association was not significant (HR: 1.634, 95% CI: 0.938-2.848, p = 0.082) after multivariate adjustment. CONCLUSIONS: The frail phenotype is common in Taiwanese patients who undergo maintenance HD and is associated with adverse outcomes of dialysis vascular access.

Effectiveness of non-pharmaceutical interventions and vaccine for containing the spread of COVID-19: Three illustrations before and after vaccination periods.

BACKGROUND: There are few studies demonstrating how the effectiveness of various extents of non-pharmaceutical interventions (NPIs) before and after vaccination periods. The study aimed to demonstrate such an effectiveness in the alteration of the epidemic curves from theory to practice. METHODS: The empirical data on the daily reported COVID-19 cases were extracted from open source. A computer simulation design in conjunction with the susceptible-exposed-infected-recovered (SEIR) type model was applied to evaluating confinement measures in Italy with adjustment for underreported cases; isolation and quarantine in Taiwan; and NPIs and vaccination in Israel. RESULTS: In Italy scenario, the extents of confinement measures were 34% before the end of March and then scaled up to 70% after then. Both figures were reduced to 22-69% after adjusting for underreported cases. Approximately 44% of confinement measures were implemented in the second surge of pandemic in Italy. Fitting the observational data on Taiwan assuming the initial outbreak similar to Wuhan, China, 44% of isolation and quarantine were estimated before March 23rd, 2020. Isolation and quarantine were scaled up to 90% and at least 60% to contain community-acquired outbreaks from March 24th, 2020 onwards. Given 15% monthly vaccination rate from December 2020 in Israel, the effectiveness estimates of reducing the infected toll were 36%, 56%, and 85% for NPIs alone, vaccination alone, and both combined, respectively. CONCLUSION: We demonstrated how various NPIs stamp out and delay the epidemic curve of COVID-19. The optimal implementation of these NPIs has to be planned before wide vaccine uptake worldwide.

Review of epidemic, containment strategies, clinical management, and economic evaluation of COVID-19 pandemic.

The spread of the emerging pathogen, named as SARS-CoV-2, has led to an unprecedented COVID-19 pandemic since 1918 influenza pandemic. This review first sheds light on the similarity on global transmission, surges of pandemics, and the disparity of prevention between two pandemics. Such a brief comparison also provides an insight into the potential sequelae of COVID-19 based on the inference drawn from the fact that a cascade of successive influenza pandemic occurred after 1918 and also the previous experience on the epidemic of SARS and MERS occurring in 2003 and 2015, respectively. We then propose a systematic framework for elucidating emerging infectious disease (EID) such as COVID-19 with a panorama viewpoint from natural infection and disease process, public health interventions (non-pharmaceutical interventions (NPIs) and vaccine), clinical treatments and therapies (antivirals), until global aspects of health and economic loss, and economic evaluation of interventions with emphasis on mass vaccination. This review not only concisely delves for evidence-based scientific literatures from the origin of outbreak, the spread of SARS-CoV-2 to three surges of pandemic, and NPIs and vaccine uptakes but also provides a new insight into how to apply big data analytics to identify unprecedented discoveries through COVID-19 pandemic scenario embracing from biomedical to economic viewpoints.

Increased risk of developing peripheral artery disease in hemodialysis patients receiving statin treatments: a population-based cohort study in Taiwan.

BACKGROUND: Few investigations have evaluated the influences on peripheral arterial disease (PAD) risk of statin treatment in hemodialysis (HD) subjects with hyperlipidemia (HL). METHODS: From the National Health Insurance Research Dataset, we identified 3658 HD patients with statin therapy for HL as the statin cohort, and then selected, by 1:1 propensity score matching, 3658 HD patients with HL but without statin use as the nonstatin cohort in 2000-07. The cohorts were followed through until the end of 2011. We used Cox proportional hazards regression analysis to assess the hazard ratio (HR) of PAD development. RESULTS: The average follow-up period was 4.18 years; the incident PAD risk was 1.35-fold greater in statin users than in nonusers (16.87 versus 12.46/1000 person-years), with an adjusted HR (aHR) of 1.34 for PAD [95% confidence interval (CI) 1.12-1.62]. The PAD risk increases were significant for patients receiving fluvastatin (aHR 1.88; 95% CI 1.12-3.14) and atorvastatin (aHR 1.60; 95% CI 1.24-2.08). The risk increased with higher annual average statin dosage (P for trend <0.0001); the risk was higher for those receiving moderate-intensity statin treatment. The sensitivity test revealed similar findings. CONCLUSIONS: HD patients with HL on statin medication were at increased PAD risk, which increased with cumulative statin dosage. Thorough considerations are needed before prescribing statins to HD patients.

Dimethylarginine Dimethylaminohydrolase 1 Polymorphisms and Venous Intimal Hyperplasia in Hemodialysis Patients.

BACKGROUND: After angioplasty, veins are more prone to intimal hyperplasia than arteries. Veins tend to produce less nitric oxide (NO), which could lead to endothelial dysfunction. Asymmetric dimethylarginine (ADMA) is an endogenous inhibitor of NO synthase and contributes to cardiovascular disease. In humans, dimethylarginine dimethylaminohydrolase 1 (DDAH1) is the major enzyme for ADMA degradation. In this study, we aim to determine whether venous intimal hyperplasia in hemodialysis (HD) vascular access is influenced by common polymorphisms in the DDAH1 genes. METHODS: This is a prospective observational cohort study. A total of 473 HD patients referred for the angioplasty of vascular access were enrolled. There were 190 arteriovenous grafts (AVG) and 283 arteriovenous fistulas (AVF). The follow-up lasted for 2 years after the interventions. Seven single nucleotide polymorphisms (SNPs) in DDAH1 were genotyped and ADMA were measured at baseline. The primary outcome was restenosis after angioplasty. RESULTS: Among the 7 SNPs, plasma ADMA levels were significantly different in DDAH1 rs233112 (GA + GG vs. AA, 0.86 ± 0.23 vs. 0.82 ± 0.19 µM, p = 0.03) and rs1498373 (CT + TT vs. CC, 0.87 ± 0.23 vs. 0.82 ± 0.20 µM, p = 0.02) genotypes. The AVF group with GG + GA genotype of rs233112 and CT + TT genotype of rs1498373 had higher risks of early restenosis at 3 months. In the AVG group, only GG + GA genotype of rs233112 was associated with early restenosis. A combined analysis of AVG and AVF groups showed that patients with rs233112 GA + GG genotype and rs1498373 CT + TT genotype had higher risks of early restenosis (both p < 0.001). The multivariate analysis results showed that the association of these genotypes with early restenosis is independent of clinical, access, or biochemical factors. CONCLUSIONS: Our findings suggest that certain DDAH1 polymorphisms modulate circulating ADMA levels and are associated with venous intimal hyperplasia.

Correction to: Individualized home-based exercise and nutrition interventions improve frailty in older adults: a randomized controlled trial.

Following publication of the original article [1], the author reported that an abbreviation was incorrect in the original article.

Individualized home-based exercise and nutrition interventions improve frailty in older adults: a randomized controlled trial.

BACKGROUND: Frail older adults are predisposed to multiple comorbidities and adverse events. Recent interventional studies have shown that frailty can be improved and managed. In this study, effective individualized home-based exercise and nutrition interventions were developed for reducing frailty in older adults. METHODS: This study was a four-arm, single-blind, randomized controlled trial conducted between October 2015 and June 2017 at Miaoli General Hospital in Taiwan. Overall, 319 pre-frail or frail older adults were randomly assigned into one of the four study groups (control, exercise, nutrition, and exercise plus nutrition [combination]) and followed up during a 3-month intervention period and 3-month self-maintenance period. Improvement in frailty scores was the primary outcome. Secondary outcomes included improvements in physical performance and mental health. The measurements were performed at baseline, 1 month, 3 months, and 6 months. RESULTS: At the 6-month measurement, the exercise (difference in frailty score change from baseline: - 0.23; 95% confidence interval [CI]: - 0.41, - 0.05; p = 0.012), nutrition (- 0.28; 95% CI: - 0.46, - 0.11; p = 0.002), and combination (- 0.34; 95% CI: - 0.52, - 0.16; p <  0.001) groups exhibited significantly greater improvements in the frailty scores than the control group. Significant improvements were also observed in several physical performance parameters in the exercise, nutrition, and combination groups, as well as in the 12-Item Short Form Health Survey mental component summary score for the nutrition group. CONCLUSIONS: The designated home-based exercise and nutrition interventions can help pre-frail or frail older adults to improve their frailty score and physical performance. TRIAL REGISTRATION: Retrospectively registered at ClinicalTrials.gov (identifier: NCT03477097); registration date: March 26, 2018.

2019 Consensus of the Taiwan Hypertension Society and Taiwan Society of Cardiology on the Clinical Application of Central Blood Pressure in the Management of Hypertension.

The Taiwan Society of Cardiology (TSOC) and the Taiwan Hypertension Society (THS) have appointed a joint consensus group for the 2019 Consensus of the TSOC and THS on the Clinical Application of Central blood pressure (BP) in the Management of Hypertension with the aim of formulating a management consensus on the clinical application of central BP in the management of hypertension. This consensus document focuses on the clinical application of central BP in the care of patients with hypertension. The major determinants of central BP are increased arterial stiffness and wave reflection, which are also the dominant hemodynamic manifestations of vascular aging. Central BP can be measured noninvasively using various techniques, including with convenient cuff-based oscillometric central BP monitors. Noninvasive central BP is better than conventional brachial BP to assess target organ damage and long-term cardiovascular outcomes. Based on the analysis of long-term events, a central BP threshold of 130/90 mmHg for defining hypertension has been proposed. Recent studies have suggested that a central BP strategy to confirm a diagnosis of hypertension may be more cost-effective than conventional strategies, and that guiding hypertension management with central BP may result in the use of fewer medications to achieve BP control. Although noninvasive measurements of brachial BP are inaccurate and central BP has been shown to carry superior prognostic value beyond brachial BP, the use of central BP should be justified in studies comparing central BP-guided therapeutic strategies with conventional care for cardiovascular events.

Timely thrombectomy can improve patency of hemodialysis arteriovenous fistulas.

OBJECTIVE: The urgency with which salvage of thrombosed vascular accesses for dialysis should be attempted remains unknown. We examined the effect of a timely thrombectomy approach on vascular access outcomes for dialysis. METHODS: A before-and-after study was conducted with patients on hemodialysis who had undergone endovascular thrombectomy. A timely thrombectomy initiative (ie, salvage within 24 hours of thrombosis diagnosis) was started in July 2015 at our institution. Data about thrombectomy procedures, performed within 1 year before and after the initiative was introduced, were abstracted from an electronic database. Immediate outcomes and patency outcomes were compared between the preinitiative (control) and postinitiative (intervention) groups. RESULTS: During the study period, 329 patients were enrolled, including 165 cases before and 164 cases after the initiative. The intervention group had more thrombectomy procedures performed within 24 hours (93% vs 55%; P < .01) and within 48 hours (97% vs 79%; P < .01) than the control group. No between-group differences in procedural success or clinical success rates were found. At 3 months, the intervention group had a higher postintervention primary patency rate than the control group, although this did not reach statistical significance (58% vs 48%; P = .06). After stratification into native or graft accesses, the patency benefit was observed in the native access group (68% vs 50%; P = .03) but not in the graft access group (50% vs 46%; P = .65). After adjusting for potential confounders, timely thrombectomy remained an independent predictor of postintervention primary patency (hazard ratio, 0.449; 95% confidence interval, 0.224-0.900; P = .02) for native dialysis accesses. CONCLUSIONS: Our results suggest that a timely thrombectomy approach, in which salvage is attempted within 24 hours of thrombosis diagnosis, improves postintervention primary patency of native but not graft accesses for dialysis.

Association between nonsteroidal anti-inflammatory drugs and atrial fibrillation among a middle-aged population: a nationwide population-based cohort.

AIMS: It remains inconclusive whether the use of nonsteroidal anti-inflammatory drugs (NSAIDs) increases the risk of atrial fibrillation (AF), especially in middle-aged Asian populations. In this study, we evaluated the association between NSAID use and the risk of AF in a nationwide population-based study of middle-aged individuals in Taiwan. METHODS: A nested case-control study was conducted using the National Health Insurance Research Database (NHIRD) in Taiwan. We identified the cases with a diagnosis of AF (ICD-9-CM codes: 427.31) and the matched controls from three independent Longitudinal Health Insurance Databases (LHIDs) derived from the NHIRD from data collected from 2001 to 2013. Conditional logistic regression models with covariate adjustment were performed to evaluate the association between NSAID use and the risk of AF. RESULTS: A total of 57 058 participants (28 529 AF cases and 28 529 matched controls) were included. Participants with NSAID use had an elevated risk of AF compared to non-users [adjusted odds ratio (AOR) = 1.18, 95% confidence interval (CI): 1.14-1.23]. When further assessing the effects of different classes of NSAIDs on the risk of AF, the results showed that participants who used non-selective NSAIDs had a significantly elevated risk of AF (AOR = 1.18, 95% CI: 1.13-1.23), as did participants with a combined use of selective and non-selective NSAIDs (AOR = 1.30, 95% CI: 1.21-1.39). CONCLUSIONS: NSAID use was associated with an increased risk of AF occurrence among the participants included in our study cohort. Closely monitoring the adverse effects of NSAID treatment on the risk of AF will be important, particularly among individuals at high risk.

Deficiency of circulating progenitor cells associated with vascular thrombosis of hemodialysis patients.

Background: Hemodialysis (HD) patients have an increased risk of thrombosis. Endothelial progenitor cells (EPCs), which function in vascular repair, are deficient in HD patients. Nonetheless, the relationship between EPC deficiency and thrombosis in HD patients is unknown. Methods: From January 2010 to December 2012, circulating levels of EPCs that were positive for CD34 and kinase insert domain receptor (KDR) were measured in 269 HD patients. Patients received prospective follow-ups at 6-month intervals until May 2015. The primary outcome was the composite of HD access thrombosis and systemic vascular thrombosis. Results: There were 141 thrombotic events, 50 systemic vascular thrombotic events and 116 HD access thrombotic events. We found significantly negative associations between CD34 + KDR + tertile and overall thrombotic events (low: 61%; middle: 56%; high: 40%; P = 0.02), systemic vascular thrombotic events (low: 27%; middle: 18%; high: 10%; P = 0.03) and HD access thrombotic events (low: 52%; middle: 46%; high: 36%; P = 0.02). Univariate analysis indicated that systemic vascular thrombotic events were positively associated with age, diabetes, dyslipidemia, vascular disease history, urea clearance, albumin and C-reactive protein (CRP), and negatively associated with CD34 + KDR + cell count. HD access thrombosis was positively associated with vascular disease history and CRP, and negatively associated with CD34 + KDR + cell count. Multivariate analysis indicated that a low CD34 + KDR + cell count was an independent risk factor for both types of thrombosis. Conclusions: Our study of a population of HD patients showed that a low level of circulating EPCs is associated with thrombosis.

Medical costs of a low skeletal muscle mass are modulated by dietary diversity and physical activity in community-dwelling older Taiwanese: a longitudinal study.

BACKGROUND: Age-related loss of skeletal muscle mass (SMM) and function (sarcopenia) are associated with poor health outcomes and an economic burden on health care services. An appropriate diet and physical activity have been proposed for prevention and treatment of sarcopenia. Nevertheless, the effects on medical service utilization and costs remain unclear. This study determined the effects of SMM in conjunction with diet quality and physical activity on medical service utilization and expenditure in community-dwelling older Taiwanese. METHODS: In total, 1337 participants from the Elderly Nutrition and Health Survey in Taiwan (1999-2000) were enrolled. An SMM index [SMMI, calculated by dividing SMM (kg) by height (m2)] was used as the marker of sarcopenia. Participants with the lowest SMMI quartiles (<11.4 kg/m2 for men and 8.50 kg/m2 for women) comprised the high-risk group, and the remainder comprised the low-risk group. Dietary information (dietary diversity: low and high) and physical activity (low and moderate) were obtained at baseline. Annual medical service utilization and expenditure were calculated from National Health Insurance claims until December 31, 2006. Generalized linear models were used to determine the association between the SMMI and annual medical service utilization and costs in conjunction with dietary diversity or physical activity. RESULTS: After 8 follow-up years, regardless of gender, participants in the high-risk group reported significantly more hospitalization (days and expenditure) and total medical expenditure. Participants in the high-risk group who had low dietary diversity made fewer annual outpatient (14%), preventive care (19%), and dental (40%) visits, but exhibited longer hospitalization (102%) than did those who had a low SMMI and high dietary diversity. Similar patterns were observed in the corresponding medical expenditures. The findings were similar when considering physical activity. Being in the low-risk group in conjunction with having high dietary diversity or more physical activity was associated with the lowest annual adjusted mean hospitalization days with expenditure, and also total expenditure. CONCLUSIONS: A lower SMMI was associated with more hospitalization days and costs. However, high dietary diversity and more physical activity can attenuate the effects of lower SMMI on medical service utilization and expenditure.

Longitudinal transition trajectory of gouty arthritis and its comorbidities: a population-based study.

The aim of the study was to investigate the longitudinal transition trajectory of gout and its comorbidities in male patients with gout in different age groups. A total of 3973 male patients who received a new diagnosis of gouty arthritis were identified from the Taiwan Longitudinal Health Insurance Database and divided into two age cohorts (<50 and ≥50 years). Each patient was individually followed from 2000 to 2009 to identify associated comorbidities, namely hypertension, hypercholesterolemia, diabetes mellitus, cardiovascular diseases, and chronic kidney disease. Two outcome measurements of stroke and all-cause cancer were further identified until 2010. The transition trajectory was divided into the following five phenotype groups: persistent hypertension combined with a high prevalence of various gout-related comorbidities, persistent hypercholesterolemia combined with a moderate prevalence of various gout-related comorbidities, persistent low prevalence of various gout-related comorbidities, moderate to high prevalence of various gout-related comorbidities, and low to high prevalence of various gout-related comorbidities. Although the younger and older patients had a similar longitudinal transition trajectory of gout-related comorbidities, the older patients had a higher 10-year likelihood of transition from a low or moderate to a high prevalence of various gout-related comorbidities. In addition, the incidences of stroke and all-cause cancer were higher in the groups with high and moderate to high prevalences of various gout-related comorbidities than in the other groups. The occurrence of gouty arthritis in different life stages can cause cluster effects involving varying degrees of comorbidities over time. The findings of the current study can provide additional knowledge and increase clinical awareness regarding the early assessment and management of gout-related comorbidities in clinical practice.

Blood Pressure, Carotid Flow Pulsatility, and the Risk of Stroke: A Community-Based Study.

BACKGROUND AND PURPOSE: High blood pressure is a major cause of cardiovascular events, and carotid flow pulsatility may be associated with cardiovascular events. However, the combined effect of blood pressure and flow pulsatility on the development of stroke remains unclear. Therefore, we investigated the combined influence of central blood pressure and pulsatility index (PI) on the incidence of stroke. METHODS: Baseline data from 2033 adults (≥30 years) without stroke history in the Cardiovascular Disease Risk Factor Two-Township Study were linked to incident stroke. Common carotid flow PI was calculated by peak systolic velocity, end-diastolic velocity, and mean vessel velocity, which were measured in the common carotid artery. Hazard ratios for the risk of total stroke resulting from high central systolic blood pressure (CSBP) and high PI were calculated with Cox proportional hazard models. RESULTS: Over a median follow-up of 9.81 years, 132 people incurred stroke events. The incidence rates of stroke were 1.3, 6.4, and 13.2 per 1000 person-years for tertile groups of CSBP (P for trend<0.05) and 4.3, 7.0, and 9.4 per 1000 person-years for tertile groups of PI (P for trend<0.05). Compared with the first tertile of CSBP, hazard ratios were 4.88 (95% confidence interval, 2.29-10.43) for the second tertile and 10.42 (5.05-21.53) for the third tertile. Hazard ratios of PI were 2.18 (1.39-3.42; third tertile) and 1.64 (1.02-2.63; second tertile) compared with the first tertile. The individuals with a high CSBP and high PI had a 13-fold higher stroke risk compared with those with low CSBP and low PI (13.2; 1.75-99.71) after adjusting for age, sex, and traditional cardiovascular risk. CONCLUSIONS: CSBP and common carotid PI jointly and independently predicted future stroke. Carotid flow pulsatility may play an important role in the development of stroke.

Circulating Progenitor Cells Affect Thrombosis of Dialysis Arteriovenous Fistulas.

BACKGROUND: Arteriovenous fistula (AVF) thrombosis is a relevant cause of morbidity in hemodialysis (HD) patients. The number of circulating endothelial progenitor cells (EPCs) has been identified as a surrogate marker for vascular repair and health. Deficiency of EPCs has been demonstrated in dialysis patients to be associated with vascular events. Nonetheless, their role in thrombosis of AVFs remains unknown. METHODS: From January 2010 to May 2013, 147 HD patients with dysfunctional AVFs were enrolled. Surface makers including CD34, KDR and CD133 were used in combination to determine the number of circulating EPCs. All participants were prospectively followed at 6-month interval until December 2015. The primary outcome was thrombosis of dialysis AVFs. RESULTS: The median follow-up was 47 months, within which 42 patients experienced at least one episode of AVF thrombosis. Patients with AVF thrombosis had lower CD34+KDR+ cell counts compared with patients without thrombosis (median 5 vs. 13 per 150,000 mononuclear cells, p < 0.001). Kaplan-Meier analysis demonstrated an inverse relationship between CD34+KDR+ cell count tertiles and thrombosis-free patency (59, 69 and 86% for low, middle and high tertiles; p = 0.02). Using Cox regression analysis, AVF thrombosis was predicted by baseline CD34+KDR+ cell counts (hazards ratio (HR) 0.963, 95% CI 0.928-1.000, p = 0.05) and tertiles (high vs. low, HR 3.266, 95% CI 1.380-7.728, p < 0.01). In multivariate analysis, only CD34+KDR+ cell tertiles, C-reactive protein and lesion length remained independent predictors for thrombosis. CONCLUSION: Our study demonstrated an independently reverse association between circulating EPCs and thrombosis of dialysis AVFs. Further studies are warranted to ascertain whether EPCs serve as a marker or a therapeutic target for AVF thrombosis.

Additive Value of Heart Rate Variability in Predicting Obstructive Coronary Artery Disease Beyond Framingham Risk.

BACKGROUND: Heart rate variability (HRV) is usually reduced in patients with CAD. We therefore investigated whether reduced HRV is predictive of angiographic CAD beyond Framingham risk in patients with stable angina. METHODS AND RESULTS: A total of 514 patients (age, 66.1 ± 14.3 years, 358 men) were enrolled. Holter ECG was performed before catheterization, and 24-h HRV was analyzed in both the frequency domain (VLF, LF, HF and total power) and the time domain (SDNN, SDANN, RMSSD and pNN20). Angiographic CAD was defined as ≥ 50% diameter reduction of 1 or more coronary arteries. On coronary angiography 203 patients (39.6%) had angiographic CAD. Patients with CAD had significantly higher Framingham risk and lower HRV according to both frequency and time domain parameters. After controlling for age, gender, heart rate, SBP, renal function, lipids and Framingham risk, reduced HRV indices remained predictors of CAD (OR, 95% CI for LF, HF, SDNN, RMSSD and pNN20: 0.81, 0.66-0.99; 0.77, 0.63-0.94; 0.75, 0.59-0.96; 0.72, 0.58-0.88; and 0.76, 0.62-0.94, respectively). On subgroup analysis, HRV parameters appeared to be predictive of CAD only in subjects with high Framingham risk or diabetes. CONCLUSIONS: Reduced HRV is predictive of CAD in patients with stable angina, independent of traditional risk factors and Framingham risk. The predictive value of HRV may be relevant only in subjects with high Framingham risk or diabetes.

Association of short-term use of nonsteroidal anti-inflammatory drugs with stroke in patients with hypertension.

BACKGROUND AND PURPOSE: Limited studies have investigated the risk of cerebrovascular events associated with the use of nonsteroidal anti-inflammatory drugs (NSAIDs) in subjects at high risk. We examined the short-term (defined as 30-day period) effect of selective and nonselective NSAIDs use on the risk of ischemic and hemorrhagic stroke in patients with hypertension. METHODS: We conducted a case-crossover study using the National Health Insurance Research Database in Taiwan. We identified 1653 hypertensive subjects with stroke (defined as International Classification of Diseases-Ninth Revision-CM-codes: 433.x, 434.x, and 436.x for ischemic stroke; 430 and 431 for hemorrhagic stroke) in 2010. We investigated the transient effect of NSAIDs use on stroke using conditional logistic regressions with the adjustment of potential confounders. RESULTS: The results suggested that NSAIDs use during the 30 days before stroke was associated with a 1.57-fold increased risk of ischemic stroke, but not of hemorrhagic stroke (adjusted odds ratio, 1.57; 95% confidence interval, 1.26-1.97 for ischemic stroke; and adjusted odds ratio, 1.38; 95% confidence interval, 0.79-2.40 for hemorrhagic stroke). When classifying NSAIDs into selective and nonselective groups, nonselective NSAIDs use significantly increased the risk of ischemic stroke (adjusted odds ratio, 1.55; 95% confidence interval, 1.24-1.94), but not of hemorrhagic stroke (adjusted odds ratio, 1.56; 95% confidence interval, 0.90-2.73). CONCLUSIONS: The results demonstrate an increased risk of stroke, specifically ischemic stroke among hypertensive subjects with NSAIDs use. It would be important to closely monitor the transient effect of initial NSAIDs treatment, particularly in patients with hypertension.

Associations of body mass index, smoking, and alcohol consumption with prostate cancer mortality in the Asia Cohort Consortium.

Many potentially modifiable risk factors for prostate cancer are also associated with prostate cancer screening, which may induce a bias in epidemiologic studies. We investigated the associations of body mass index (weight (kg)/height (m)(2)), smoking, and alcohol consumption with risk of fatal prostate cancer in Asian countries where prostate cancer screening is not widely utilized. Analysis included 18 prospective cohort studies conducted during 1963-2006 across 6 countries in southern and eastern Asia that are part of the Asia Cohort Consortium. Body mass index, smoking, and alcohol intake were determined by questionnaire at baseline, and cause of death was ascertained through death certificates. Analysis included 522,736 men aged 54 years, on average, at baseline. During 4.8 million person-years of follow-up, there were 634 prostate cancer deaths (367 prostate cancer deaths across the 11 cohorts with alcohol data). In Cox proportional hazards analyses of all cohorts in the Asia Cohort Consortium, prostate cancer mortality was not significantly associated with obesity (body mass index >25: hazard ratio (HR) = 1.08, 95% confidence interval (CI): 0.85, 1.36), ever smoking (HR = 1.00, 95% CI: 0.84, 1.21), or heavy alcohol intake (HR = 1.00, 95% CI: 0.74, 1.35). Differences in prostate cancer screening and detection probably contribute to differences in the association of obesity, smoking, or alcohol intake with prostate cancer risk and mortality between Asian and Western populations and thus require further investigation.

The serologic decoy receptor 3 (DcR3) levels are associated with slower disease progression in HIV-1/AIDS patients.

BACKGROUND/PURPOSE: The decoy receptor 3 (DcR3) is a member of the tumor necrosis factor receptor (TNFR) super-family. It counteracts the biological effects of Fas ligands and inhibits apoptosis. The goals of this study were to understand the associations between serologic DcR3 (sDcR3) levels and different human immunodeficiency virus type 1 (HIV-1) subtypes, as well as the AIDS disease progression. METHODS: Serum samples from 61 HIV/AIDS patients, who had been followed up every 6 months for 3 years, were collected. sDcR3 levels were quantified using an enzyme immunoassay (EIA). RESULTS: The sDcR3 levels in patients with HIV-1 subtype B were significantly higher than those in patients infected with subtype CRF01_AE (p < 0.001). In addition, multivariable linear mixed model analysis demonstrated that HIV-1 subtype B and slow disease progression were associated with higher levels of sDcR3, adjusting for potential predictors (p = 0.0008 and 0.0455, respectively). CONCLUSION: HIV-1-infected cells may gain a survival advantage by activating DcR3, which prevents infected cell detection by the host immune system. These data indicate that the sDcR3 level is a biomarker for AIDS disease progression.