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BACKGROUND: Chronic kidney disease (CKD) increases morbidity and mortality in most vascular procedures. However, a binary classification of estimated glomerular filtration rate (eGFR) <60 mL/min/1.73 m2, which is often used in both modeling and clinical trials, may not be optimal for predicting clinical outcomes. OBJECTIVE: Determine the optimal eGFR cutoff for use in risk stratification and prediction models. METHODS: Vascular Quality Initiative (VQI) data for non-emergent, first-time OAR, EVAR, TEVAR, CEA, CAS, PVI, Supra- and infra-inguinal bypass were analyzed from to 2013-2023 and divided into cohorts based on eGFR (≥60, 45-59, 30-44, <30, and preoperative dialysis). χ2 and logistic regression were used to evaluate perioperative outcomes. RESULTS: Compared to patients with eGFR ≥60, those with eGFR 45-59 had similar odds of mortality following all procedures, except TEVAR. Driven by this group, the combined cohort showed a slight increase in the odds of mortality for eGFR 45-59 (0.6% vs. 0.7%, aOR 1.16, P=0.002). Those in the 30-44 group demonstrated increased odds of mortality both overall and in the individual procedure groups (0.6% vs. 1.2%, aOR 1.78, P<0.001). The odds of mortality continued to increase with worsening eGFR. The overall rate of new permanent dialysis was low for all eGFR cohorts, with a 0.02% difference between those with eGFR >60 and those in the 45-59 cohort (0.04% vs. 0.06%; a OR 1.65, P<0.001). The odds of permanent dialysis likewise continued to increase with decreasing eGFR. CONCLUSIONS: Rather than a binary eGFR cutoff of ≥60 and <60 to stratify patient risk, better risk stratification may be achieved by using five groups of ≥60, 45-59, 30-44, <30, and preoperative dialysis.
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OBJECTIVE: Most surgeons employ an endovascular-first approach to the treatment of peripheral arterial disease (PAD), but controversy remains regarding the ideal interventions for the management of isolated popliteal artery disease (IPAD). Indeed, there are a paucity of data that compare outcomes of popliteal stents vs other peripheral vascular interventions (PVIs). The goal of this study was to evaluate outcomes of PVIs in IPAD. METHODS: The Vascular Study Group of New England database was queried for all IPAD PVIs performed for atherosclerotic occlusive disease from 2010 to 2021. Those with at least 1 year of follow-up data available were included for analysis. The primary endpoint was 1-year freedom from a composite target lesion (TL) treatment failure that included restenosis >50% on duplex, reintervention, or ipsilateral major amputation. RESULTS: We included 689 procedures performed on 634 patients. Of these, 250 (36.3%) were treated with plain balloons (POBA), 215 (31.2%) had stents, 170 (24.7%) had special balloons (drug-coated, cutting, or lithotripsy), and 54 (7.8%) atherectomies were performed. Stent placement was associated with lower freedom from TL treatment failure (72.6%) than special balloon (81.2%; P = .048) and atherectomy (88.9%; P = .012), but not POBA (76.8%; P = .293). On multivariable logistic regression, stents (odds ratio, 0.637; P = .021) and preoperative P2Y12 inhibitor therapy (odds ratio, 0.683; P = .048) were both associated with lower freedom from intervention failure. CONCLUSIONS: Popliteal stent placement is associated with a higher rate of TL treatment failure at 1 year when compared with other PVIs including special balloon angioplasty and atherectomy, but not POBA, and should therefore be avoided in favor of special balloons or atherectomy whenever feasible.
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Angioplastia com Balão , Doença Arterial Periférica , Artéria Poplítea , Stents , Humanos , Artéria Poplítea/diagnóstico por imagem , Artéria Poplítea/cirurgia , Masculino , Feminino , Idoso , Doença Arterial Periférica/terapia , Doença Arterial Periférica/diagnóstico por imagem , Doença Arterial Periférica/cirurgia , Pessoa de Meia-Idade , Estudos Retrospectivos , Angioplastia com Balão/instrumentação , Angioplastia com Balão/efeitos adversos , Fatores de Tempo , Aterectomia/efeitos adversos , Bases de Dados Factuais , Resultado do Tratamento , Amputação Cirúrgica , Fatores de Risco , Salvamento de Membro , Grau de Desobstrução Vascular , Idoso de 80 Anos ou mais , Procedimentos Endovasculares/instrumentação , Procedimentos Endovasculares/efeitos adversos , New England , Medição de RiscoRESUMO
OBJECTIVE: Despite level 1 evidence demonstrating the benefit of carotid endarterectomy for the prevention of stroke in patients with severe asymptomatic carotid stenosis (ACS), there has been a trend toward recommending optimal medical therapy (OMT) alone. This recommendation has been promulgated based on the observation that modern advances in OMT reduce the overall stroke risk in the general population, but the success of this treatment strategy is dependent on patient and provider adherence. In current practice, patients with moderate ACS are nearly all treated with OMT alone. The objective of this study was to evaluate adherence to OMT in a cohort of patients with moderate ACS undergoing treatment with OMT alone. METHODS: Consecutive carotid duplex ultrasound examinations were reviewed for the years 2019 and 2020. Those with moderate (50%-69%) ACS based on Society for Vascular Surgery guidelines were included in the study. Patients were assessed for OMT at the time of the index duplex, the first follow-up visit, and at each subsequent follow-up visit until the end of the study. OMT was defined as abstinence from smoking, aspirin or other antiplatelet use, and statin or other lipid-lowering therapy. Patients were stratified based on their ability to achieve OMT, and each component was evaluated to identify shortfalls in therapy. RESULTS: A total of 323 duplex ultrasound examinations with moderate ACS in 255 patients were identified. Of the 255 patients, 143 (56.1%) were on OMT at the time of the first duplex; that number increased to 163 (63.9%) by the first follow-up visit and 175 (68.6%) by the completion of the study. There were 112 (43.9%) patients who were not on OMT at the time of the index duplex, 43 (38.4%) of whom achieved OMT over a median follow-up time of 2.7 years. By the end of follow-up, 86 (76.8%) were taking aspirin or another antiplatelet medication, 93 (83.0%) were on statin or other lipid-lowering therapy, and 74 (66.1%) were abstinent from smoking. Pre-duplex smoking was independently associated with failure to achieve OMT (hazard ratio: 0.452, P = .017). CONCLUSIONS: Among patients with moderate ACS who were not previously on OMT, the rate of OMT achievement is poor. Although advances in lipid management through statin therapy have been praised for their role in improving the effectiveness of OMT, smoking cessation represents an important target for improving uptake and as a result effectiveness of OMT.
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Doenças Assintomáticas , Estenose das Carótidas , Fidelidade a Diretrizes , Inibidores da Agregação Plaquetária , Humanos , Estenose das Carótidas/diagnóstico por imagem , Estenose das Carótidas/terapia , Estenose das Carótidas/complicações , Masculino , Feminino , Idoso , Inibidores da Agregação Plaquetária/uso terapêutico , Inibidores da Agregação Plaquetária/efeitos adversos , Estudos Retrospectivos , Resultado do Tratamento , Fatores de Risco , Fatores de Tempo , Pessoa de Meia-Idade , Ultrassonografia Doppler Dupla , Inibidores de Hidroximetilglutaril-CoA Redutases/uso terapêutico , Índice de Gravidade de Doença , Acidente Vascular Cerebral/etiologia , Acidente Vascular Cerebral/prevenção & controle , Medição de Risco , Idoso de 80 Anos ou mais , Abandono do Hábito de Fumar , Padrões de Prática Médica/tendências , Hipolipemiantes/uso terapêutico , Hipolipemiantes/efeitos adversosRESUMO
BACKGROUND: Groin incision wound complications (WC) are common among vascular surgery patients. Obesity is a known risk factor, but there is no consensus on the best way to prevent WC in obese patients after vascular procedures. The objective of this study was to identify risk factors for WC and strategies to prevent these complications specifically in obese patients. METHODS: All patients who had longitudinal groin incisions at a single institution from 2021-2022 were included. The medical records were reviewed and all groin-related WC were identified. WC were stratified into major and minor WC where major WC were those requiring reoperation or hospital readmission. Patients were stratified into obese (body mass index > 30 kg/m2) and nonobese cohorts. RESULTS: A total of 238 groin incisions were included. There were 46 (19.3%) obese and 192 (80.7%) nonobese patients. One hundred fifty six (65.5%) were closed with nylon, 49 (20.6%) were closed in a subcuticular fashion, and 32 (13.4%) were closed with staples. There were 45 (18.9%) WC: 15 (33.3%) major and 30 (66.7%) minor. Obesity was associated with a higher WC rate (39.1% vs. 14.1%, P < 0.001), which was driven by minor WC (32.6% vs. 7.8%, P < 0.001) rather than major WC (6.5% vs. 5.7%, P = 0.873). On multivariable analysis, obesity remained a predictor for overall (odds ratio [OR] 4.953, P < 0.001) and minor WC (OR 7.389, P < 0.001). Additionally, female sex was associated with a higher rate of WC on unadjusted (27.6% vs. 12.8%, P = 0.016) and adjusted analysis (OR 2.411, P = 0.014). Among obese patients, subcuticular closure was associated with higher rates of minor complications (OR 8.454, P = 0.044). Obese patients with major complications less frequently had close follow-up including rehab disposition, discharge with visiting nurse, or frequent office wound checks than those with minor complications (33.33% vs. 86.67%, P = 0.043). CONCLUSIONS: Groin WC are more common in obese and female patients. Among obese patients, this difference is driven primarily by minor WC. Avoiding a subcuticular skin closure may reduce the risk of minor WC in obese patients. In addition, close postoperative follow-up using rehab, visiting nurse services, and frequent office wound checks may prevent minor complications from escalating to major complications.
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OBJECTIVE: To determine if routine completion angiography for lower extremity bypasses using vein conduit results in lower rates of postoperative bypass occlusion. SUMMARY OF BACKGROUND DATA: With the increasing availability of on-table angiography and significant advancements in endovascular techniques, some operators routinely perform completion angiograms. The effect of this surgical paradigm has yet to be rigorously compared to the more widespread selective use of completion imaging in the modern era. METHODS: This retrospective cohort study included infrainguinal arterial bypass procedures utilizing vein conduit completed at a single hospital system from 2001 to 2018 and compared postoperative outcomes between bypasses that underwent routine completion angiography versus selective completion angiography. Notably, any bypasses that underwent completion angiography due to intraoperative concerns were excluded from this analysis. RESULTS: 666 bypasses that were performed in 589 patients met inclusion criteria. 126 (16.9%) bypasses were classified into the routine completion angiogram group compared to 540 (81.0%) into the selective completion angiogram group. Patients who underwent routine completion angiograms had a rate of intraoperative reintervention of 22.2%. The routine angiogram group had lower rates of reintervention (3.9% vs 10.0%, P = 0.03) and graft occlusion (2.3% vs 9.2%, P = 0.01) at 1-month postoperatively. CONCLUSION: Lower extremity bypasses using vein conduit that undergo routine completion angiography are associated with lower rates of graft occlusion at 30-days postoperatively. Completion angiography should thus be routinely performed in infrainguinal bypasses that utilize venous conduit.
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Implante de Prótese Vascular , Oclusão de Enxerto Vascular , Humanos , Oclusão de Enxerto Vascular/cirurgia , Grau de Desobstrução Vascular , Estudos Retrospectivos , Veia Safena/transplante , Angiografia , Isquemia/cirurgia , Fatores de Risco , Resultado do TratamentoRESUMO
OBJECTIVE: Recently evolving practice patterns in complex aortic surgery have led to regionalization of care within fewer centers in the United States, and thus patients may have to travel farther for complex aortic care. Travel distance has been associated with inferior outcomes after non-vascular surgery, particularly non-index readmission. This study aims to assess the impact of patient travel distance on perioperative outcomes and readmissions after complex aortic surgery. METHODS: A retrospective review was conducted of all patients in the Vascular Quality Initiative and Vascular Implant Surveillance and Interventional Outcomes Network databases undergoing complex endovascular aortic repair (EVAR) including internal iliac or visceral vessel involvement, complex thoracic endovascular aortic repair (TEVAR) including zone 0 to 2 proximal extent or branched devices, and complex open abdominal aortic aneurysm (AAA) repair including suprarenal or higher clamp sites. Travel distance was stratified by rural/urban commuting area (RUCA) population-density category. Wilcoxon and χ2 tests were used to assess relationships between travel distance quintiles and baseline characteristics, mortality, and readmission. Travel distance and other factors were included in multivariable Cox models for survival and Fine-Gray competing risk models for freedom from readmission. RESULTS: Between 2011 and 2018, 8782 patients underwent complex aortic surgery in the Vascular Quality Initiative and Vascular Implant Surveillance and Interventional Outcomes Network databases, including 4822 complex EVARs, 2672 complex TEVARs, and 1288 complex open AAA repairs. Median travel distance was 22.8 miles (interquartile range [IQR], 8.6-54.8 miles). Median age was 75 years for all distance quintiles, but patients traveling longer distances were more likely female (26.8% in quintile 5 [Q5] vs 19.9% in Q1; P < .001), white (93.8% of Q5 vs 83.8% of Q1; P < .001), to have larger-diameter AAAs (median 59 mm for Q5 vs 55 mm for Q1; P < .001), and to have had prior aortic surgery (20.8% for Q5 vs 5.9% for Q1; P < .001). Overall 30-day readmission was more common at farther distances (18.1% for Q5 vs 14.8% for Q1; P = .003), with higher non-index readmission (11.2% for Q5 vs 2.7% for Q1; P < .001) and conversely lower index readmission (6.9% for Q5 vs 12.0% for Q1; P < .001). Multivariable-adjusted Fine-Gray models confirmed greater hazard of non-index readmission with farther distance, with a Q5 hazard ratio of 3.02 (95% confidence interval, 2.12-4.30; P < .001). Multivariable-adjusted Cox models demonstrated no association between travel distance and long-term survival but found that non-index readmission was associated with increased long-term mortality (hazard ratio, 1.46; 95% confidence interval, 1.20-1.78; P = .0001). CONCLUSIONS: Patients traveling farther for complex aortic surgery demonstrate higher non-index readmission, which, in turn, is associated with increased long-term mortality risk. Aortic centers of excellence should consider targeting these patients for more comprehensive follow-up and care coordination to improve outcomes.
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Aneurisma da Aorta Abdominal , Implante de Prótese Vascular , Procedimentos Endovasculares , Humanos , Feminino , Estados Unidos , Idoso , Readmissão do Paciente , Fatores de Risco , Resultado do Tratamento , Aneurisma da Aorta Abdominal/cirurgia , Estudos RetrospectivosRESUMO
INTRODUCTION: Preoperative anemia has been consistently shown to be a risk factor for acute kidney injury (AKI) after cardiac surgery. However, this association has not been examined in the open abdominal aortic aneurysm repair (OAR) population and is the subject of this analysis. METHODS: Targeted Vascular Module from the American College of Surgeons National Surgical Quality Improvement Program was queried for patients undergoing OAR from 2013 to 2019. Anemia was defined according to World Health Organization Guidelines: Hematocrit<36% for women or <39% for men. Primary endpoint was 30-day AKI. Anemia's effect on AKI was determined using inverse probability weighted logistic regression. RESULTS: There were 2275 OAR; mean age was 70.9 ± 8.2 y; 24.0% were women. Anemia was present in 498 (26.3%) patients; 165 (7.6%) had a hematocrit<33% and 8 (0.35%) had a hematocrit<24%. Differences in patient factor were nonsignificant after weighting. Any degree of postoperative AKI was more common in the anemia group (11.2% vs 5.1%; unweighted P < 0.001), as was AKI requiring hemodialysis (7.7% vs 3.2%; unweighted P < 0.001). In the weighted multivariable analysis, anemia was independently associated with postoperative AKI (odds ratio 1.51; 95% confidence interval: 1.01-2.26; P = 0.042) while controlling for age and operative factors. Patients with postoperative AKI were significantly more likely to die postoperatively than those without (26.1% vs 1.9%; <0.001). CONCLUSIONS: Preoperative anemia was independently associated with post-OAR AKI after propensity weighting and controlling for operative factors. AKI is a major source of morbidity and mortality in these patients, and, if time permits, preoperative correction of anemia or its underlying cause should be considered in high-risk patients.
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Injúria Renal Aguda , Anemia , Aneurisma da Aorta Abdominal , Procedimentos Endovasculares , Masculino , Humanos , Feminino , Pessoa de Meia-Idade , Idoso , Aneurisma da Aorta Abdominal/complicações , Aneurisma da Aorta Abdominal/cirurgia , Procedimentos Endovasculares/efeitos adversos , Complicações Pós-Operatórias/epidemiologia , Complicações Pós-Operatórias/etiologia , Fatores de Risco , Injúria Renal Aguda/epidemiologia , Injúria Renal Aguda/etiologia , Anemia/complicações , Anemia/epidemiologia , Estudos Retrospectivos , Resultado do TratamentoRESUMO
BACKGROUND: The Society for Vascular Surgery (SVS) developed objective performance goals (OPGs) for lower extremity bypass (LEB) in chronic limb-threatening ischemia (CLTI) based on studies that included patients who were at good risk for open revascularization. In the endovascular era, many LEB patients have had prior interventions, and most would be considered high-risk by the original SVS OPG standards. The goal of this study is to characterize a contemporary patient population undergoing LEB for CLTI and determine if outcomes remain commensurate with the parameters established by the SVS OPG. MATERIALS AND METHODS: All patients who underwent LEB for CLTI over a 10-year period (2012-2021) were identified. Patients were stratified into low- and high-risk categories based upon the clinical, conduit, and anatomic parameters used in the SVS OPG. Limb salvage at 1 year and amputation-free survival, a composite outcome of major amputation and mortality, at 1 year were compared with the SVS OPG cohort. Primary, assisted, and secondary patency at 1 and 3 years were also evaluated using Kaplan-Meier survival analysis. RESULTS: There were 169 LEBs performed for CLTI. One hundred and two (60.36%) males, 101 (59.76%) current or former smokers, 115 (68.05%) with hypertension, 69 (40.83%) with diabetes mellitus, and 40 (23.67%) with coronary artery disease. Median age was 71.84 years, and mean follow-up was 2.17 years. 65 (38.46%) had a prior ipsilateral endovascular intervention, and 18 (10.65%) were redo bypasses. 21 (12.43%) were deemed clinically high-risk, 44 (26.04%) were high-risk conduits, and 118 (69.82%) had high-risk anatomic factors. Freedom from amputation at 1 year was 87.05% in this cohort which was similar to the overall SVS OPG cohort (88.9%). Amputation-free survival at 1 year was 77.78%, which was also similar to the overall SVS OPG cohort (76.5%). Primary patency at one and three years was 46.84% and 37.59%, assisted patency at one and three years was 61.87% and 44.81%, and secondary patency at one and three years was 72.13% and 61.16%. CONCLUSIONS: The majority of patients undergoing LEB in the endovascular era meet the SVS OPG criteria for high risk. Despite this, the 1-year limb salvage and amputation-free survival in this cohort were equivalent to the SVS OPG LEB cohort. This supports the continued use of LEB for limb salvage in high-risk patients and those who have failed endovascular approaches.
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Procedimentos Endovasculares , Doença Arterial Periférica , Masculino , Humanos , Idoso , Feminino , Resultado do Tratamento , Isquemia/diagnóstico por imagem , Isquemia/cirurgia , Isquemia/etiologia , Doença Arterial Periférica/diagnóstico por imagem , Doença Arterial Periférica/cirurgia , Procedimentos Cirúrgicos Vasculares , Salvamento de Membro , Fatores de Risco , Extremidade Inferior/irrigação sanguínea , Estudos Retrospectivos , Procedimentos Endovasculares/efeitos adversosRESUMO
BACKGROUND: With increasing regionalization of complex aortic surgery within fewer US centers, patients may face increased travel burden when accessing aortic surgery. Longer travel distances have been associated with inferior outcomes after major surgery; however, the impacts of distance on reinterventions and costs have not been described. This study aims to assess the association between patient travel distance and longer-term outcomes including costs and reinterventions after complex aortic surgery. METHODS: A retrospective review was conducted of all patients in the Vascular Implant Surveillance and Interventional Outcomes Network database undergoing complex endovascular aortic repair including internal iliac or visceral vessel involvement, complex thoracic endovascular aortic repair including Zone 0-2 proximal extent or branched devices, and complex open abdominal aortic aneurysm repair including suprarenal or higher clamp sites. Travel distance was stratified by Rural-Urban Commuting Area population-density category. Multinomial logistic regression models, negative-binomial models, and zero-inflated Poisson models were used to assess the association between travel distance and index procedural and comprehensive first-year costs, long-term imaging, and long-term reinterventions, respectively. RESULTS: Between 2011 and 2018, 8,782 patients underwent complex aortic surgery in the Vascular Implant Surveillance and Interventional Outcomes Network database, including 4,822 complex endovascular aortic repairs, 2,672 complex thoracic endovascular aortic repairs, and 1,288 complex open abdominal aortic aneurysm repairs. Median travel distance was 22.8 miles (interquartile range 8.6-54.8 miles, range 0-2,688.9 miles). Median age was 75 years for all distance quintiles. Patients traveling farther were more likely to be female (26.8% in quintile 5 [Q5] vs. 19.9% in Q1, P < 0.001) and to have had a prior aortic surgery (20.8% for Q5 vs. 5.9% for Q1, P < 0.001). Patients traveling farther had higher index procedural costs, with adjusted odds ratio (OR) 2.34 (95% confidence interval [CI] 1.86-2.94, P < 0.0001) of being in the highest cost tertile versus lowest for patients in Q5 vs. Q1. For patients with ≥ 1-year follow-up, those traveling farther had higher imaging costs, with adjusted Q5 OR 1.55 (95% CI 1.22-1.95, P = 0.0002), and comprehensive first-year costs, with adjusted Q5 OR 2.06 (95% CI 1.57-2.70, P < 0.0001). In contrast, patients traveling farther had similar numbers of reinterventions and imaging studies postoperatively. CONCLUSIONS: Patients traveling farther for complex aortic surgery have higher procedural costs, postoperative imaging costs, and comprehensive first-year costs. These patients should be targeted for increased care coordination for improved outcomes and healthcare system burden.
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Aneurisma da Aorta Abdominal , Implante de Prótese Vascular , Procedimentos Endovasculares , Humanos , Feminino , Idoso , Masculino , Implante de Prótese Vascular/efeitos adversos , Complicações Pós-Operatórias/etiologia , Resultado do Tratamento , Estudos Retrospectivos , Aneurisma da Aorta Abdominal/diagnóstico por imagem , Aneurisma da Aorta Abdominal/cirurgia , Fatores de RiscoRESUMO
BACKGROUND AND PURPOSE: High-risk atherosclerosis is an underlying cause of cardiovascular events, yet identifying the specific patient population at immediate risk is still challenging. Here, we used a rabbit model of atherosclerotic plaque rupture and human carotid endarterectomy specimens to describe the potential of molecular fibrin imaging as a tool to identify thrombotic plaques. METHODS: Atherosclerotic plaques in rabbits were induced using a high-cholesterol diet and aortic balloon injury (N=13). Pharmacological triggering was used in a group of rabbits (n=9) to induce plaque disruption. Animals were grouped into thrombotic and nonthrombotic plaque groups based on gross pathology (gold standard). All animals were injected with a novel fibrin-specific probe 68Ga-CM246 followed by positron emission tomography (PET)/magnetic resonance imaging 90 minutes later. 68Ga-CM246 was quantified on the PET images using tissue-to-background (back muscle) ratios and standardized uptake value. RESULTS: Both tissue-to-background (back muscle) ratios and standardized uptake value were significantly higher in the thrombotic versus nonthrombotic group (P<0.05). Ex vivo PET and autoradiography of the abdominal aorta correlated positively with in vivo PET measurements. Plaque disruption identified by 68Ga-CM246 PET agreed with gross pathology assessment (85%). In ex vivo surgical specimens obtained from patients undergoing elective carotid endarterectomy (N=12), 68Ga-CM246 showed significantly higher binding to carotid plaques compared to a D-cysteine nonbinding control probe. CONCLUSIONS: We demonstrated that molecular fibrin PET imaging using 68Ga-CM246 could be a useful tool to diagnose experimental and clinical atherothrombosis. Based on our initial results using human carotid plaque specimens, in vivo molecular imaging studies are warranted to test 68Ga-CM246 PET as a tool to stratify risk in atherosclerotic patients.
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Fibrina , Trombose Intracraniana/diagnóstico por imagem , Placa Aterosclerótica/diagnóstico por imagem , Tomografia por Emissão de Pósitrons/métodos , Compostos Radiofarmacêuticos , Animais , Aorta Abdominal/diagnóstico por imagem , Músculos do Dorso/diagnóstico por imagem , Artérias Carótidas/diagnóstico por imagem , Feminino , Radioisótopos de Gálio , Humanos , Processamento de Imagem Assistida por Computador , Trombose Intracraniana/etiologia , Imageamento por Ressonância Magnética , Masculino , Placa Aterosclerótica/complicações , CoelhosRESUMO
OBJECTIVE: This study evaluates the distribution of authorship by sex over the last 10 years among the top 25 surgical journals. SUMMARY OF BACKGROUND DATA: Despite an increase in women entering surgical residency, there remains a sex disparity in surgical leadership. Scholarly activity is the foundation for academic promotion. However, few studies have evaluated productivity by sex in surgical literature. METHODS: Original research in the 25 highest-impact general surgery/subspecialty journals were included (1/2008-5/2018). Journals with <70% identified author sex were excluded. Articles were categorized by sex of first, last, and overall authorship. We examined changes in proportions of female first, last, and overall authorship over time, and analyzed the correlation between these measurements and journal impact factor. RESULTS: There were 71,867 articles from 19 journals included. Sex was successfully predicted for 87.3% of authors (79.1%-92.5%). There were significant increases in the overall percentage of female authors (ß = 0.55, P < 0.001), female first authors (ß = 0.97, P < 0.001), and female last authors (ß = 0.53, P < 0.001) over the study period. Notably, all cardiothoracic subspecialty journals did not significantly increase the proportion of female last authors over the study period. There were no correlations between journal impact factor and percentage of overall female authors (rs = 0.39, P = 0.09), female first authors (rs = 0.29, P = 0.22), or female last author (rs = 0.35, P = 0.13). CONCLUSIONS: This study identifies continued but slow improvement in female authorship of high-impact surgical journals during the contemporary era. However, the improvement was more apparent in the first compared to senior author positions.
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Autoria , Pesquisa Biomédica/métodos , Fator de Impacto de Revistas , Publicações Periódicas como Assunto , Médicas , Feminino , Humanos , Estudos Retrospectivos , Fatores SexuaisRESUMO
OBJECTIVE: To determine if premature menopause and early menarche are associated with increased risk of AAA, and to explore potential effect modification by smoking history. SUMMARY OF BACKGROUND DATA: Despite worse outcomes for women with AAA, no studies have prospectively examined sex-specific risk factors, such as premature menopause and early menarche, with risk of AAA in a large, ethnically diverse cohort of women. METHODS: This was a post-hoc analysis of Women's Health Initiative participants who were beneficiaries of Medicare Parts A&B fee-for-service. AAA cases and interventions were identified from claims data. Follow-up period included Medicare coverage until death, end of follow-up or end of coverage inclusive of 2017. RESULTS: Of 101,119 participants included in the analysis, the mean age was 63 years and median follow-up was 11.3 years. Just under 10,000 (9.4%) women experienced premature menopause and 22,240 (22%) experienced early men-arche. Women with premature menopause were more likely to be overweight, Black, have >20 pack years of smoking, history of cardiovascular disease, hypertension, and early menarche. During 1,091,840 person-years of follow-up, 1125 women were diagnosed with AAA, 134 had premature menopause (11.9%), 93 underwent surgical intervention and 45 (48%) required intervention for ruptured AAA. Premature menopause was associated with increased risk of AAA [hazard ratio 1.37 (1.14, 1.66)], but the association was no longer significant after multivariable adjustment for demographics and cardiovascular disease risk factors. Amongst women with ≥20 pack year smoking history (n = 19,286), 2148 (11.1%) had premature menopause, which was associated with greater risk of AAA in all models [hazard ratio 1.63 (1.24, 2.23)]. Early menarche was not associated with increased risk of AAA. CONCLUSIONS: This study finds that premature menopause may be an important risk factor for AAA in women with significant smoking history. There was no significant association between premature menopause and risk of AAA amongst women who have never smoked. These results suggest an opportunity to develop strategies for better screening, risk reduction and stratification, and outcome improvement in the comprehensive vascular care of women.
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Aneurisma da Aorta Abdominal , Doenças Cardiovasculares , Menopausa Precoce , Masculino , Feminino , Idoso , Humanos , Estados Unidos/epidemiologia , Pessoa de Meia-Idade , Aneurisma da Aorta Abdominal/diagnóstico , Medicare , Saúde da Mulher , Fatores de RiscoRESUMO
BACKGROUND: The Society for Vascular Surgery (SVS) recently published clinical practice guidelines on the management of visceral aneurysms. However, studies investigating the perioperative outcomes of open repair of visceral aneurysms have been limited to single-center experiences with variable results that span multiple decades. In the present study, we sought to detail the morbidity and mortality associated with open repair of visceral aneurysms using a national database in the contemporary era. METHODS: National Surgical Quality Improvement Program data from 2013 to 2019 were queried for patients who had undergone open repair of visceral aneurysms, which had been classified as mesenteric, renal, or splenic using Current Procedural Terminology and International Classification of Diseases codes. The primary endpoint was the composite of major complications (cardiovascular, pulmonary, progressive renal failure, deep wound infection, return to operating room, sepsis) and 30-day mortality. Logistic regression was used to identify the predictors of the primary endpoint for nonruptured aneurysm cases. RESULTS: Of the 304 aneurysms, 263 were nonruptured (137 mesenteric, 66 renal, 60 splenic) and 41 were ruptured (24 mesenteric, 1 renal, 16 splenic) and had undergone open repair. For those with nonruptured aneurysms, their mean age was 59.4 ± 14.7 years and 48.3% were women. For those with nonruptured aneurysms, the 30-day mortality was 1.9% and the major complication rate was 12.9%. A return to the operating room (5.3%) and prolonged ventilator support (3.8%) were especially common. As expected, rupture was associated with significantly greater mortality (22.0%; P < .001) and major complications (34.1%; P = .001). The use of postoperative transfusion was common in the elective group but was significantly greater in the ruptured group (24.3% vs 80.5%; P < .001). The predictors of the primary outcome for nonruptured aneurysms included male sex (odds ratio [OR], 2.93; 95% confidence interval [CI], 1.28-6.7; P = .011), anticoagulation (not discontinued before surgery) or bleeding disorder (OR, 4.52; 95% CI, 1.37-14.7; P = .012), and albumin <3.0 g/dL (OR, 4.66; 95% CI, 1.17-18.6; P = .029). Neither age nor aneurysm location were significant risk factors. CONCLUSIONS: Open repair of visceral aneurysms was associated with acceptable morbidity and mortality, although these risks are significantly greater once ruptured. Male sex, bleeding risk, and low albumin were all risk factors for adverse events and should be considered for operative planning and postoperative care.
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Aneurisma/cirurgia , Procedimentos Endovasculares/mortalidade , Artérias Mesentéricas , Complicações Pós-Operatórias/epidemiologia , Artéria Renal , Medição de Risco/métodos , Artéria Esplênica , Feminino , Seguimentos , Humanos , Incidência , Masculino , Massachusetts/epidemiologia , Pessoa de Meia-Idade , Morbidade , Estudos Retrospectivos , Fatores de Risco , Fatores de TempoRESUMO
OBJECTIVE: The optimal revascularization modality following complete resection of aortic graft infection (AGI) without enteric involvement remains unclear. The purpose of this investigation is to determine the revascularization approach associated with the lowest morbidity and mortality using real-world data in patients undergoing complete excision of AGI. METHODS: A retrospective, multi-institutional study of AGI from 2002 to 2014 was performed using a standardized database. Baseline demographics, comorbidities, and perioperative variables were recorded. The primary outcome was infection-free survival. Descriptive statistics, Kaplan-Meier survival analysis, and univariate and multivariable analyses were performed. RESULTS: A total of 241 patients at 34 institutions from seven countries presented with AGI during the study period (median age, 68 years; 75% male). The initial aortic procedures that resulted in AGI were 172 surgical grafts (71%), 66 endografts (27%), and three unknown (2%). Of the patients, 172 (71%) underwent complete excision of infected aortic graft material followed by in situ (in-line) bypass (ISB), including antibiotic-treated prosthetic graft (35%), autogenous femoral vein (neo-aortoiliac surgery) (24%), and cryopreserved allograft (41%). Sixty-nine patients (29%) underwent extra-anatomic bypass (EAB). Overall median Kaplan-Meier estimated survival was 5.8 years. Perioperative mortality was 16%. When stratified by ISB vs EAB, there was a significant difference in Kaplan-Meier estimated infection-free survival (2910 days; interquartile range, 391-3771 days vs 180 days; interquartile range, 27-3750 days; P < .001). There were otherwise no significant differences in presentation, comorbidities, or perioperative variables. Multivariable Cox regression showed lower infection-free survival among patients with EAB (hazard ratio [HR], 2.4; 95% confidence interval [CI], 1.6-3.6; P < .001), polymicrobial infection (HR, 2.2; 95% CI, 1.4-3.5; P = .001), methicillin-resistant Staphylococcus aureus infection (HR, 1.7; 95% CI, 1.1-2.7; P = .02), as well as the protective effect of omental/muscle flap coverage (HR, 0.59; 95% CI, 0.37-0.92; P = .02). CONCLUSIONS: After complete resection of AGI, perioperative mortality is 16% and median overall survival is 5.8 years. EAB is associated with nearly a two and one-half-fold higher reinfection/mortality compared with ISB. Omental and/or muscle flap coverage of the repair appear protective.
Assuntos
Implante de Prótese Vascular , Coinfecção , Staphylococcus aureus Resistente à Meticilina , Infecções Relacionadas à Prótese , Idoso , Prótese Vascular/efeitos adversos , Coinfecção/cirurgia , Feminino , Humanos , Masculino , Infecções Relacionadas à Prótese/diagnóstico , Infecções Relacionadas à Prótese/cirurgia , Reoperação , Estudos Retrospectivos , Fatores de Risco , Resultado do TratamentoRESUMO
OBJECTIVE: Acute peripheral arterial events, such as aortic dissection, carotid artery dissection, vertebral artery dissection, and ruptured renoviseral aneurysms, have been reported during pregnancy in case series, but there is a paucity of population-based data. This study sought to establish pregnancy and preeclampsia as risk factors for acute peripheral arterial events. Approach and Results: All women who gave birth between 1998 and 2020 within a multicenter health care system were identified. Births that occurred in women <18 or >50 years of age were excluded. Primary outcome was any acute peripheral arterial event that was symptomatic or required intervention. Cox regression model was used to evaluate the association between vascular events and pregnancy as a time-varying covariate. The pregnancy exposure period was from the estimated date of conception to 3 months postpartum. There were 277 697 pregnancies (81.3% deliveries, 17.0% abortions, and 1.7% ectopics) among 176 635 women with 1.68 million patient-years of total follow-up (median, 7.9 years; interquartile range, 2.4-16.2). Preeclampsia complicated 5.3% of pregnancies; 67 790 of 225 763 (30.0%) deliveries were delivered by cesarean. Ninety-six acute arterial events occurred during follow-up, of which 24 occurred during pregnancy, including the postpartum period. Pregnancy (hazard ratio, 1.85 [95% CI, 1.01-3.38]; P=0.046) and preeclampsia (hazard ratio, 10.9 [95% CI, 5.24-22.7]; P<0.001) were significant independent predictors of acute arterial events. CONCLUSIONS: While taking into account limitations from estimating conception and outcome dates, pregnancy, especially when complicated by preeclampsia, is associated with an increased risk of acute peripheral arterial events.
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Pré-Eclâmpsia/epidemiologia , Doenças Vasculares/epidemiologia , Adulto , Boston/epidemiologia , Feminino , Humanos , Estudos Longitudinais , Período Pós-Parto , Pré-Eclâmpsia/diagnóstico , Gravidez , Resultado da Gravidez , Prognóstico , Medição de Risco , Fatores de Risco , Fatores de Tempo , Doenças Vasculares/diagnósticoRESUMO
BACKGROUND: Superficial femoral artery and profunda patency has been shown to affect aortofemoral bypass (AFB) limb patency. However, the effect of retrograde flow through the external iliac artery (EIA) is unknown and is the subject of this analysis. METHODS: Institutional AFB data from 2000 to 2017 were gathered, excluding that where Superficial femoral artery /EIA patency could not be determined. The cohort was divided into limbs with and without EIA occlusion; primary outcome was limb-based primary patency. Kaplan-Meier estimated patency; cox proportional-hazards model evaluated EIA patency while controlling for other factors. RESULTS: Over the study period, there were AFB 557 limbs in 281 patients. Of the 435 AFB limbs in 220 patients that met inclusion criteria and were included in the analysis, 162 had EIA occlusion and 273 had a patent EIA. Mean age was 69.6 ± 9.0. EIA occlusions were more common in male patients (59.9% vs. 44.6%; P = 0.001), patients with CAD (43.8% vs. 34.1%; P = 0.042), COPD (34.6% vs. 20.5%; P = 0.001), and CHF (14.8% vs. 5.9%; P = 0.002). Limbs with EIA occlusions more often underwent end-to-side proximal anastomosis (40.7% vs. 24.2%; P < 0.001) and simultaneous infrainguinal bypass (7.4% vs. 0.7%; P < 0.001). Median clinical follow-up was 4.4 years (IQR: 1.6-8.4). Five-year primary patency was 83.1% (95% CI: 74.5-90.0%) for EIA occlusion limbs and 85.9% (95% CI: 80.2-90.0%) with patent EIA limbs (P = 0.96). While controlling for other factors, EIA stenosis or occlusion did not affect primary patency. For patients with a proximal occlusion (occluded aorta, occluded common iliac, or end-to-end proximal anastomosis) and occluded SFA (N = 73), EIA occlusion had a HR of 1.92 for loss of patency, but this was not statistically significant. CONCLUSIONS: EIA patency did not influence primary patency in the overall cohort Further investigation on the topic in specific patient subgroups is warranted to determine the effect of EIA patency.
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Arteriopatias Oclusivas/cirurgia , Artéria Ilíaca/cirurgia , Doenças Vasculares Periféricas/cirurgia , Grau de Desobstrução Vascular , Idoso , Velocidade do Fluxo Sanguíneo , Feminino , Artéria Femoral/cirurgia , Humanos , Perna (Membro)/irrigação sanguínea , MasculinoRESUMO
BACKGROUND: Unlike periprocedural Type 1A endoleaks, late appearing proximal endoleaks have been poorly described. METHODS: We studied all elective EVAR from 2010 -2018 in a single institution. Late endoleaks were defined as those appearing after 1 year. We used Cox regression to study factors associated with late Type 1A endoleaks and survival. RESULTS: Of 477 EVAR during the study period, 411 (86%) had follow-up imaging, revealing 24 Type 1A endoleaks; 4 early and 20 late. Freedom from Type 1A endoleaks was 99%, 92-81% at 1, 5 and 8 years with a median time to occurrence of 2.5 years (.01-8.2 years). On completion angiogram, only 10% of patients with a late Type 1A had a proximal endoleak, and 60% had no endoleak. Only 21% of late Type 1As were diagnosed on routine 1-year CT angiogram, but 79% had stable or expanding sacs. Two thirds (65%) of the patients eventually diagnosed with late Type 1A endoleaks had previously been treated for other endoleaks, mostly Type 2 (10/13). Age (HR 1.07/year [1.02-1.12], P = 0.01), neck diameter >28mm (HR 3.5 [1.2-10.3], P = 0.02), neck length <20mm (HR 3.0 [1.1-8.6], P = 0.04), and neck angle>60 degrees (HR 3.4 [1.5-7.9], P = 0.004) were associated with higher rates of Type 1A endoleak, but not female sex, endograft, or the use of suprarenal fixation. 2 patients had proximal degeneration and 5 experienced graft migration. There were 2 ruptures (10%), and 13 patients underwent repair with 5 open conversions. Median survival after late Type 1A repair was 6.6 years (0-8.4 years). CONCLUSION: Late appearing Type 1A endoleaks have a high rate of rupture and present significant diagnostic and management challenges. Careful surveillance is needed in patients with hostile neck anatomy and those who undergo intervention for other endoleaks. Adverse neck anatomy may be better suited for open repair or fenestrated/branched devices rather than conventional EVAR.
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Aneurisma Aórtico/cirurgia , Endoleak/etiologia , Procedimentos Endovasculares/efeitos adversos , Complicações Pós-Operatórias/etiologia , Idoso , Idoso de 80 Anos ou mais , Aneurisma Aórtico/mortalidade , Ruptura Aórtica/etiologia , Endoleak/diagnóstico , Endoleak/terapia , Feminino , Humanos , Masculino , Prognóstico , Modelos de Riscos Proporcionais , Estudos Retrospectivos , Stents , Análise de Sobrevida , Fatores de TempoRESUMO
OBJECTIVE/BACKGROUND: Endovascular aneurysm repair (EVAR) is associated with worse outcomes in patients whose anatomy does not meet the device instructions for use (IFU). However, whether open surgical repair (OSR) and commercially available fenestrated EVAR (Zenith Fenestrated [ZFEN]) represent better options for these patients is unknown. METHODS: We identified all patients without prior aortic surgery undergoing elective repair of abdominal aortic aneurysms with neck length ≥4 mm at a single institution with EVAR, OSR, and ZFEN. We applied device-specific aneurysm neck-related IFU to EVAR patients, and a generic EVAR IFU to ZFEN and OSR patients. Long-term outcomes were studied using propensity scores with inverse probability weighting. We compared outcomes in patients undergoing EVAR by adherence to IFU and outcomes by repair types in the subset of patients not meeting IFU. RESULTS: Of 652 patients (474 EVAR, 34 ZFEN, 143 OSR), 211 had measurements outside of standard EVAR IFU (109 EVAR [23%], 27 ZFEN [80%], and 74 OSR [52%]). Perioperative mortality was 0.5% overall. For EVAR, treatment outside the IFU was associated with significantly higher adjusted rates of long-term type IA endoleak (22% at 5 years compared to 2% within IFU, hazard ratio [HR]: 5.8 [3.1-10.9], P < .001), and lower survival (5- and 10-year survival: 56% and 34% vs 81% and 53%, HR: 2.3 [1.2-4.3], P = .01). There was no difference in reinterventions or open conversion. In patients not meeting IFU, ZFEN was associated with higher adjusted rates of reinterventions (EVAR as referent: HR: 2.6 [1.5-4.4, P < .001), whereas OSR and EVAR patients experienced similar reintervention rates (HR: 0.7 [0.4-1.1], P = .13). Patients outside the IFU experienced lower mortality with OSR compared with either EVAR (HR: 0.4 [0.2-0.9], P = .005) or ZFEN (HR: 0.3 [0.1-0.7], P = .002). When restricted to patients outside the IFU deemed fit for open repair, OSR patients remained associated with lower adjusted mortality compared with ZFEN (HR: 0.2 [0.1-0.5], P < .001), but statistical significance was lost in the comparison to EVAR (HR: 0.6 [0.3-1.1], P = .1). CONCLUSIONS: Treatment outside device-specific IFU is associated with adverse long-term outcomes. Open surgical repair is associated with higher long-term survival in patients who fall outside of the EVAR IFU and should be favored over EVAR or ZFEN in suitable patients. A three-vessel-based fenestrated strategy may not be a durable solution for difficult aortic necks, but more data are needed to evaluate the performance of newer, four-vessel devices.
Assuntos
Aneurisma da Aorta Abdominal/cirurgia , Implante de Prótese Vascular , Procedimentos Endovasculares , Idoso , Idoso de 80 Anos ou mais , Aneurisma da Aorta Abdominal/diagnóstico por imagem , Aneurisma da Aorta Abdominal/mortalidade , Prótese Vascular , Implante de Prótese Vascular/efeitos adversos , Implante de Prótese Vascular/instrumentação , Implante de Prótese Vascular/mortalidade , Tomada de Decisão Clínica , Endoleak/etiologia , Endoleak/terapia , Procedimentos Endovasculares/efeitos adversos , Procedimentos Endovasculares/instrumentação , Procedimentos Endovasculares/mortalidade , Feminino , Humanos , Masculino , Pessoa de Meia-Idade , Desenho de Prótese , Retratamento , Estudos Retrospectivos , Medição de Risco , Fatores de Risco , Stents , Fatores de Tempo , Resultado do TratamentoRESUMO
BACKGROUND: A recent review of Vascular Study Group of New England data suggested that simultaneous endovascular treatment of tandem carotid lesions (TCAL: common carotid artery + internal carotid artery) is associated with a fourfold increase in perioperative neurologic events and death. However, given the small cohort, the effect of symptomatic status could not be evaluated. This study sought to determine the risk of simultaneous TCAL stenting in cohorts stratified by symptom status. METHODS: Vascular Quality Initiative data (2005-2020) were queried for carotid stenting procedures (CAS). Emergent and bilateral procedures, patients with prior ipsilateral CAS, internal carotid artery lesions with stenosis <50%, and hybrid transcarotid procedures were excluded. The cohort was stratified by symptomatic status. The primary outcome was the composite of perioperative stroke and death. Predictors of stroke/death were determined with multivariable logistic regression for symptomatic and asymptomatic patients with TCAL forced into the models. RESULTS: There were 18,886 carotid arteries stented (18,441 patients): 18,077 (96%) with isolated carotid artery lesions and 809 (4%) with TCAL. Mean age was 70.0 ± 9.7. Symptomatic lesions were present in 58.9% of cases (isolated carotid artery lesions: 59.1% vs TCAL: 52.5%; P < .001). More TCAL arteries had a prior carotid endarterectomy (38.3% vs 23.8%; P < .001). TCAL had a higher perioperative stroke/death (3.4% vs 1.8%; P = .026) for asymptomatic lesions, but not symptomatic lesions (4.5% vs 3.7%; P = .41). TCAL were independently associated with stroke/death in asymptomatic patients (odds ratio, 1.85; 95% confidence interval, 1.03-3.33; P = .039) but not symptomatic patients (odds ratio, 1.22; 95% confidence interval, 0.76-1.97; P = .42). CONCLUSIONS: The addition of endovascular treatment of common carotid artery lesions with CAS is associated with almost double the risk of perioperative stroke/death in asymptomatic patients and should be avoided if possible. Treatment of TCAL is not associated with an increased risk of stroke/death for symptomatic lesions.
Assuntos
Artéria Carótida Primitiva , Estenose das Carótidas/terapia , Procedimentos Endovasculares/efeitos adversos , Acidente Vascular Cerebral/etiologia , Idoso , Doenças Assintomáticas , Artéria Carótida Primitiva/diagnóstico por imagem , Estenose das Carótidas/diagnóstico por imagem , Estenose das Carótidas/mortalidade , Tomada de Decisão Clínica , Procedimentos Endovasculares/instrumentação , Procedimentos Endovasculares/mortalidade , Feminino , Humanos , Masculino , Pessoa de Meia-Idade , Sistema de Registros , Estudos Retrospectivos , Medição de Risco , Fatores de Risco , Stents , Acidente Vascular Cerebral/diagnóstico , Acidente Vascular Cerebral/mortalidade , Fatores de Tempo , Resultado do TratamentoRESUMO
OBJECTIVE: Splenectomy is often performed during open thoracoabdominal aortic aneurysm (TAAA) repair, because capsular tears are common and can be associated with significant bleeding. It is unknown whether splenectomy affects the short- or long-term outcomes after TAAA repair. METHODS: All open type I to IV TAAA repairs performed from 1987 to June 2015 were evaluated using a single institutional database. The primary endpoints were in-hospital death, major adverse events (MAE) and long-term survival. The secondary endpoint was hospital length of stay (LOS). All repairs performed for aneurysm rupture were excluded. Univariate analysis was conducted using the Fisher's exact test for categorical variables and the Wilcoxon rank sum test for continuous variables. Logistic and linear multivariable regression were used for the in-hospital endpoints, and survival analyses were performed using Cox proportional hazards modeling and Kaplan-Meier techniques. RESULTS: A total of 649 patients met the study inclusion criteria. Of the 649 patients, 150 (23%) underwent concurrent splenectomy (CS) and six required emergency splenectomy secondary to bleeding postoperatively, leading to 156 cases of total in-hospital splenectomy. The perioperative mortality rate was 5.2% in the CS group and 5.2% in the non-CS group (P = 1.0). MAE were experienced by 48% of the CS patients compared with 34% of the non-CS patients (P = .003). Multivariable analysis revealed splenectomy was not independently predictive of perioperative death (adjusted odds ratio, 0.95; 95% confidence interval [CI], 0.41-2.23; P = .9). However, splenectomy was independently associated with any MAE (adjusted odds ratio, 1.78; 95% CI, 1.19-2.65; P = .005). Splenectomy was also associated with a longer length of stay (+5.39 days; 95% CI, 1.86-8.92; P = .003). No survival difference was found between the cohorts in the total splenectomy cohort in the unadjusted (log-rank P = 1.0) or adjusted (splenectomy adjusted hazard ratio, 1.02; 95% confidence interval, 0.78-1.35; P = .9). CONCLUSIONS: CS during open TAAA repair did not lead to increased perioperative mortality but did lead to significantly increased perioperative morbidity and longer hospital lengths of stay. We found no difference in long-term survival outcomes when CS was performed. Splenectomy during TAAA repair did not affect long-term survival.