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This corrects the article DOI: 10.1038/srep46474.
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The primary aim of this prospective study is to develop and validate a new prognostic model for predicting the risk of mortality in Emergency Department (ED) patients. The study involved 1765 patients in the development cohort and 1728 in the validation cohort. The main outcome was mortality up to 30 days after admission. Potential risk factors included clinical characteristics, vital signs, and routine haematological and biochemistry tests. The Bayesian Model Averaging method within the Cox's regression model was used to identify independent risk factors for mortality. In the development cohort, the incidence of 30-day mortality was 9.8%, and the following factors were associated with a greater risk of mortality: male gender, increased respiratory rate and serum urea, decreased peripheral oxygen saturation and serum albumin, lower Glasgow Coma Score, and admission to intensive care unit. The area under the receiver operating characteristic curve for the model with the listed factors was 0.871 (95% CI, 0.844-0.898) in the development cohort and 0.783 (95% CI, 0.743-0.823) in the validation cohort. Calibration analysis found a close agreement between predicted and observed mortality risk. We conclude that the risk of mortality among ED patients could be accurately predicted by using common clinical signs and biochemical tests.
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Serviço Hospitalar de Emergência , Modelos Teóricos , Idoso , Idoso de 80 Anos ou mais , Teorema de Bayes , Feminino , Humanos , Masculino , Pessoa de Meia-Idade , Mortalidade , Prognóstico , Estudos Prospectivos , Medição de Risco , Fatores de RiscoRESUMO
BACKGROUND: The Rapid Emergency Medicine Score (REMS) and Worthing Physiological Scoring system (WPS) have been developed for predicting in-hospital mortality in nonsurgical emergency department (ED) patients. The prognostic performance of the scoring systems in independent populations has not been clear. The aim of the study is to evaluate the prognostic accuracy of REMS and WPS systems in the estimation of 30-day mortality risk among medical patients in ED. METHODS: The study was designed as a prospective investigation, with the setting being the ED of the National Hospital of Can Tho, Vietnam. We enrolled medical patients aged 16+ years who met the study entry criteria. Clinical data were obtained as required for each scoring system. The primary outcome was mortality within 30 days since hospitalization. The association between each scoring system and mortality was assessed by the hazard ratio (HR) of the Cox's proportional hazard model. RESULTS: The study involved 1746 patients, average age 65.9 years (SD 17). During the period of follow-up, 172 patients (9.9 %) died. The risk of 30-day mortality was increased by 30 % for each additional REMS unit (HR: 1.28; 95 % confidence interval (CI): 1.23-1.34) and by 60 % for each additional WPS unit (HR: 1.6; 95 % CI: 1.5-1.7). The AUC of the REMS was 0.71 (95 % CI: 0.67-0.76) which was significantly lower than that of the WPS (0.80; 95 % CI: 0.76-0.83). CONCLUSIONS: Both REMS and WPS have good prognostic value in the prediction of death in ED patients. The WPS appeared to have a better prognostic performance than the REMS system.
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PURPOSE: The aim of this study was to report the use of novel masking agents during an anterior lamellar keratoplasty performed using a femtosecond laser in a patient with corneal ectasia that was consistent with recurrent keratoconus. METHODS: This is a case report. RESULTS: A 55-year-old man, with a 23-year status after penetrating keratoplasty for keratoconus, presented with a chief complaint of ocular discomfort in the right eye. On slit-lamp examination, the physician estimated 70% to 80% inferior thinning at the graft-host interface with inferior corneal neovascularization. Because of the high risk of developing corneal perforation and the patient's desire to minimize visual recovery time, anterior lamellar keratoplasty was chosen. To minimize the risk of perforation during femtosecond dissection of the anterior lamellar bed, gentian violet and cyanoacrylate glue were used in the area of thinning as masking agents. CONCLUSIONS: This represents the first documented use of gentian violet and cyanoacrylate glue as double masking agents to defocus the femtosecond laser raster pass during keratoplasty.