Prevalence and progression of arterial calcifications on computed tomography in humans with knee osteoarthritis.

OBJECTIVES: Ectopic bone deposition plays an important role in osteoarthritis (OA) and in arterial wall disease. We aimed to investigate the prevalence and progression of arterial calcifications on whole-body computed tomography (CT) in persons with knee OA. METHODS: We included 118 (36 male) participants who satisfied the clinical American College of Rheumatology classification criteria for knee OA. Baseline investigations included Western Ontario and McMaster Universities Osteoarthritis Index (WOMAC) and Kellgren-Lawrence grading. At baseline and after two years, a whole-body CT was performed using the same scanner and protocol. Calcifications were quantified in the carotid, brachiocephalic, coronary, thoracic aortic, abdominal aortic, iliac, femoropopliteal and crural arteries. Multivariable linear and logistic regression modeling was used for analyses. RESULTS: At baseline males were 66.9 ± 7.7 and females were 68.0 ± 5.6 years old. Calcifications were common, all participants except two females had some calcification, and prevalence ranged between 41.8% and 94.4% for various arterial beds. Baseline femoropopliteal calcifications were associated with a higher Kellgren-Lawrence grade (more severe knee OA). Median annual progression rate was 13.1% in males and 15.7% in females. Structural OA severity was not associated with progression, but a five points lower (worse) WOMAC was associated with 1% faster progression of arterial calcifications (p= 0.008). CONCLUSION: Around age 70 nearly all persons with knee OA have arterial calcifications, which progress substantially. For further investigation into shared causality intervention studies are needed.

Added value of an artificial intelligence algorithm in reducing the number of missed incidental acute pulmonary embolism in routine portal venous phase chest CT.

OBJECTIVES: The purpose of this study was to evaluate the incremental value of artificial intelligence (AI) compared to the diagnostic accuracy of radiologists alone in detecting incidental acute pulmonary embolism (PE) on routine portal venous contrast-enhanced chest computed tomography (CT). METHODS: CTs of 3089 consecutive patients referred to the radiology department for a routine contrast-enhanced chest CT between 27-5-2020 and 31-12-2020, were retrospectively analysed by a CE-certified and FDA-approved AI algorithm. The diagnostic performance of the AI was compared to the initial report. To determine the reference standard, discordant findings were independently evaluated by two readers. In case of disagreement, another experienced cardiothoracic radiologist with knowledge of the initial report and the AI output adjudicated. RESULTS: The prevalence of acute incidental PE in the reference standard was 2.2% (67 of 3089 patients). In 25 cases, AI detected initially unreported PE. This included three cases concerning central/lobar PE. Sensitivity of the AI algorithm was significantly higher than the outcome of the initial report (respectively 95.5% vs. 62.7%, p < 0.001), whereas specificity was very high for both (respectively 99.6% vs 99.9%, p = 0.012). The AI algorithm only showed a slightly higher amount of false-positive findings (11 vs. 2), resulting in a significantly lower PPV (85.3% vs. 95.5%, p = 0.047). CONCLUSION: The AI algorithm showed high diagnostic accuracy in diagnosing incidental PE, detecting an additional 25 cases of initially unreported PE, accounting for 37.3% of all positive cases. CLINICAL RELEVANCE STATEMENT: Radiologist support from AI algorithms in daily practice can prevent missed incidental acute PE on routine chest CT, without a high burden of false-positive cases. KEY POINTS: • Incidental pulmonary embolism is often missed by radiologists in non-diagnostic scans with suboptimal contrast opacification within the pulmonary trunk. • An artificial intelligence algorithm showed higher sensitivity detecting incidental pulmonary embolism on routine portal venous chest CT compared to the initial report. • Implementation of artificial intelligence support in routine daily practice will reduce the number of missed incidental pulmonary embolism.

An artificial intelligence algorithm for pulmonary embolism detection on polychromatic computed tomography: performance on virtual monochromatic images.

OBJECTIVES: Virtual monochromatic images (VMI) are increasingly used in clinical practice as they improve contrast-to-noise ratio. However, due to their different appearances, the performance of artificial intelligence (AI) trained on conventional CT images may worsen. The goal of this study was to assess the performance of an established AI algorithm trained on conventional polychromatic computed tomography (CT) images (CPI) to detect pulmonary embolism (PE) on VMI. METHODS: Paired 60 kiloelectron volt (keV) VMI and CPI of 114 consecutive patients suspected of PE, obtained with a detector-based spectral CT scanner, were retrospectively analyzed by an established AI algorithm. The CT pulmonary angiography (CTPA) were classified as positive or negative for PE on a per-patient level. The reference standard was established using a comprehensive method that combined the evaluation of the attending radiologist and three experienced cardiothoracic radiologists aided by two different detection tools. Sensitivity, specificity, positive and negative predictive values and likelihood ratios of the algorithm on VMI and CPI were compared. RESULTS: The prevalence of PE according to the reference standard was 35.1% (40 patients). None of the diagnostic accuracy measures of the algorithm showed a significant difference between CPI and VMI. Sensitivity was 77.5% (95% confidence interval (CI) 64.6-90.4%) and 85.0% (73.9-96.1%) (p = 0.08) on CPI and VMI respectively and specificity 96.0% (91.4-100.0%) and 94.6% (89.4-99.7%) (p = 0.32). CONCLUSIONS: Diagnostic performance of the AI algorithm that was trained on CPI did not drop on VMI, which is reassuring for its use in clinical practice. CLINICAL RELEVANCE STATEMENT: A commercially available AI algorithm, trained on conventional polychromatic CTPA, could be safely used on virtual monochromatic images. This supports the sustainability of AI-aided detection of PE on CT despite ongoing technological advances in medical imaging, although monitoring in daily practice will remain important. KEY POINTS: • Diagnostic accuracy of an AI algorithm trained on conventional polychromatic images to detect PE did not drop on virtual monochromatic images. • Our results are reassuring as innovations in hardware and reconstruction in CT are continuing, whilst commercial AI algorithms that are trained on older generation data enter healthcare.

Intracranial arterial calcification in patients with unruptured and ruptured intracranial aneurysms.

OBJECTIVES: Arterial calcification is thought to protect against rupture of intracranial aneurysms, but studies in a representative population of intracranial aneurysm patients have not yet been performed. The aim was to compare the prevalence of aneurysm wall calcification and intracranial carotid artery calcification (ICAC) between patients with an unruptured intracranial aneurysm (UIA) and a ruptured intracranial aneurysm (RIA). MATERIALS AND METHODS: We matched 150 consecutive UIA patients to 150 RIA patients on age and sex. Aneurysm wall calcification and ICAC were quantified on non-contrast enhanced computed tomography images with the modified Agatston score. We compared the prevalence of aneurysm wall calcification, ICAC, and severe ICAC (defined as a modified Agatston score in the fourth quartile) between UIA and RIA patients using univariate and multivariate conditional logistic regression models adjusted for aneurysm characteristics and cardiovascular risk factors. RESULTS: Aneurysm wall calcification was more prevalent in UIA compared to RIA patients (OR 5.2, 95% CI: 2.0-13.8), which persisted after adjustment (OR 5.9, 95% CI: 1.7-20.2). ICAC prevalence did not differ between the two groups (crude OR 0.9, 95% CI: 0.5-1.8). Severe ICAC was more prevalent in UIA patients (OR 2.0, 95% CI: 1.1-3.6), but not after adjustment (OR 1.0, 95% CI: 0.5-2.3). CONCLUSIONS: Aneurysm wall calcification but not ICAC was more prevalent in UIAs than in RIAs, which corresponds to the hypothesis that calcification may protect against aneurysmal rupture. Aneurysm wall calcification should be further assessed as a predictor of aneurysm stability in prospective cohort studies. CLINICAL RELEVANCE STATEMENT: Calcification of the intracranial aneurysm wall was more prevalent in unruptured than ruptured intracranial aneurysms after adjustment for cardiovascular risk factors. Calcification may therefore protect the aneurysm against rupture, and aneurysm wall calcification is a candidate predictor of aneurysm stability. KEY POINTS: Aneurysm wall calcification was more prevalent in patients with unruptured than ruptured aneurysms, while internal carotid artery calcification was similar. Aneurysm wall calcification but not internal carotid artery calcification is a candidate predictor of aneurysm stability. Cohort studies are needed to assess the predictive value of aneurysm wall calcification for aneurysm stability.

RISK FACTORS FOR MEDIAL AND INTIMAL INTRACRANIAL INTERNAL CAROTID ARTERY CALCIFICATION IN MEN AND WOMEN WITH CARDIOVASCULAR DISEASE. THE UCC-SMART STUDY.

INTRODUCTION: Calcifications of the intracranial internal carotid artery (iICA) can lead to an increased risk for stroke. Two types of iICA calcification are known: those affecting the tunica intima or the tunica media. In extracranial arteries, risk factors and calcification patterns are different in women and men, but little is known regarding the iICA. In this study we aimed to identify sex-specific risk profiles and medications associated to intimal and medial iICA calcification in patients with cardiovascular disease (CVD). METHODS: Participants of the UCC-SMART cohort undergoing a non-contrast head CT within six months from the study inclusion were considered (n=475). Intimal or medial iICA calcification pattern was assessed using a previously histology-validated method. Sex-stratified associations between calcification pattern and cardiovascular risk factors, laboratory parameters, and medication use were calculated using Poisson regression analysis with robust standard errors. RESULTS: 204 women and 271 men (age range 24-79 years) were included. 45.4% of men and 34.8% of women showed intimal iICA calcification, while 28.4% of men and 24.0% of women showed medial iICA calcification. Minimal or no iICA calcification was observed in 26.2% of men and in 41,2% of women (reference group). Older age was associated with both calcification patterns in women and men. In women, use of vitamin K antagonists and lipid lowering drugs were associated to medial calcification, while systolic blood pressure and glucose levels were associated to intimal calcification. In men, current smoking was associated to intimal calcification. CONCLUSIONS: Women and men with CVD show differences in risk profiles and medication use associated to intimal and medial iCA calcification.

Do pseudoxanthoma elasticum patients have higher prevalence of kidney stones on computed tomography compared to hospital controls?

BACKGROUND: Pseudoxanthoma elasticum (PXE) is an autosomal recessive disease characterized by diminished inorganic plasma pyrophosphate (PPi), a strong calcification inhibitor. In addition to more typical calcification of skin, retina and arterial wall a diminished plasma PPi could lead to other ectopic calcification, such as formation of kidney stones. OBJECTIVE: To compare the prevalence of kidney stones between PXE patients and hospital controls on computed tomography (CT). METHOD: Low-dose CT images of PXE patients and controls were assessed by one radiologist, who was blinded for the diagnosis PXE. The number of kidney stones, and the size of the largest stone was recorded. Odds ratios (ORs) for having kidney stone were calculated using multivariable adjusted logistic regression. RESULTS: Our study comprised 273 PXE patients and 125 controls. The mean age of PXE patients was 51.5 ± 15.9 years compared to 54.9 ± 14.2 in the control group (p = 0.04) and PXE patients more often were women (63 vs. 50%, p = 0.013). The prevalence of kidney stones on CT was similar: 6.9% in PXE patients, compared to 5.6% in controls (p = 0.6). In the multivariate analysis adjusting for age and sex, there was no significantly higher odds for PXE patients on having stones, compared to controls: OR 1.48 (95% CI 0.62-3.96). CONCLUSION: There is no significant difference in the prevalence of incidental kidney stones on CT in PXE patients versus controls.

Quantitative MRI assessment of joint effusion using T2-relaxometry at 3 Tesla: a feasibility and reproducibility study.

OBJECTIVE: T2-relaxometry could differentiate between physiological and haemorrhagic joint effusion (≥ 5% blood) in vitro. Are quantitative T2-relaxation time measurements of synovial fluid feasible and reproducible in vivo in clinically bleed-free joints of men with haemophilia? MATERIALS AND METHODS: In this cross-sectional study, we measured T2-relaxation times of synovial fluid in clinically bleed-free ankles, knees or elbows of men with severe haemophilia A using a T2-mapping sequence (duration ≤ 7 min) at 3 Tesla MRI. Manual and circular regions of interest (ROI) were drawn in the synovial fluid of each joint by two independent observers to measure T2-relaxation times. Measurement feasibility was expressed as the success rate of the measurements by both observers. The interobserver and intraobserver reproducibility of the measurements were evaluated by the intraclass correlation coefficient of absolute agreement (ICC) and the limits of agreement (LoA) from Bland Altman analysis. RESULTS: We evaluated 39 clinically bleed-free joints (11 ankles, 12 knees, 16 elbows) of 39 men (median age, 24 years; range 17-33) with severe haemophilia A. The success rate of the T2-measurements was ≥ 90%. Interobserver reliability was good to excellent (manual ROI: ICC = 0.92, 95% CI 0.76-0.97; circular ROI: ICC = 0.82, 95% CI 0.66-0.91) and interobserver agreement was adequate (manual ROI: LoA = 71 ms; circular ROI: LoA = 146 ms). Intraobserver reliability was good to excellent (manual ROI: ICC = 0.78, 95% CI - 0.06-0.94; circular RO: ICC = 0.99, 95% CI 0.98-0.99) and intraobserver agreement was good (manual ROI: LoA = 63 ms; circular ROI: LoA = 41 ms). CONCLUSION: T2-relaxometry of synovial fluid in haemophilia patients is feasible with good interobserver and intraobserver reproducibility.

From algorithms to action: improving patient care requires causality.

In cancer research there is much interest in building and validating outcome prediction models to support treatment decisions. However, because most outcome prediction models are developed and validated without regard to the causal aspects of treatment decision making, many published outcome prediction models may cause harm when used for decision making, despite being found accurate in validation studies. Guidelines on prediction model validation and the checklist for risk model endorsement by the American Joint Committee on Cancer do not protect against prediction models that are accurate during development and validation but harmful when used for decision making. We explain why this is the case and how to build and validate models that are useful for decision making.

Intracranial arteriosclerosis and the risk of dementia: A population-based cohort study.

BACKGROUND: The impact of intracranial arteriosclerosis on dementia remains largely unclear. METHODS: In 2339 stroke-free and dementia-free participants (52.2% women, mean age 69.5 years) from the general population, we assessed intracranial carotid artery calcification (ICAC) and vertebrobasilar artery calcification (VBAC) as proxy for arteriosclerosis. Associations with dementia were assessed using Cox models. In addition, indirect effects through cerebral small vessel disease (cSVD) and subcortical brain structure volumes were assessed using causal mediation analyses. RESULTS: During a median of 13.4 years (25th-75th percentiles 9.9-14.5) of follow-up, 282 participants developed dementia. Both ICAC presence (hazard ratio [HR]: 1.53, 95% confidence interval [CI]: 1.00-2.32]) and volume (HR per standard deviation: 1.19, 95% CI: 1.01-1.40) increased dementia risk. For VBAC, severe calcifications increased dementia risk (HR for third vs first volume tertile: 1.89, 95% CI: 1.00-3.59). These effects were mediated partly through increased cSVD (percentage mediated for ICAC: 13% and VBAC: 24%). DISCUSSION: Intracranial arteriosclerosis increases the risk of dementia.

Reduced Lung-Cancer Mortality with Volume CT Screening in a Randomized Trial.

BACKGROUND: There are limited data from randomized trials regarding whether volume-based, low-dose computed tomographic (CT) screening can reduce lung-cancer mortality among male former and current smokers. METHODS: A total of 13,195 men (primary analysis) and 2594 women (subgroup analyses) between the ages of 50 and 74 were randomly assigned to undergo CT screening at T0 (baseline), year 1, year 3, and year 5.5 or no screening. We obtained data on cancer diagnosis and the date and cause of death through linkages with national registries in the Netherlands and Belgium, and a review committee confirmed lung cancer as the cause of death when possible. A minimum follow-up of 10 years until December 31, 2015, was completed for all participants. RESULTS: Among men, the average adherence to CT screening was 90.0%. On average, 9.2% of the screened participants underwent at least one additional CT scan (initially indeterminate). The overall referral rate for suspicious nodules was 2.1%. At 10 years of follow-up, the incidence of lung cancer was 5.58 cases per 1000 person-years in the screening group and 4.91 cases per 1000 person-years in the control group; lung-cancer mortality was 2.50 deaths per 1000 person-years and 3.30 deaths per 1000 person-years, respectively. The cumulative rate ratio for death from lung cancer at 10 years was 0.76 (95% confidence interval [CI], 0.61 to 0.94; P = 0.01) in the screening group as compared with the control group, similar to the values at years 8 and 9. Among women, the rate ratio was 0.67 (95% CI, 0.38 to 1.14) at 10 years of follow-up, with values of 0.41 to 0.52 in years 7 through 9. CONCLUSIONS: In this trial involving high-risk persons, lung-cancer mortality was significantly lower among those who underwent volume CT screening than among those who underwent no screening. There were low rates of follow-up procedures for results suggestive of lung cancer. (Funded by the Netherlands Organization of Health Research and Development and others; NELSON Netherlands Trial Register number, NL580.).

Deuterium body array for the simultaneous measurement of hepatic and renal glucose metabolism and gastric emptying with dynamic 3D deuterium metabolic imaging at 7 T.

Deuterium metabolic imaging (DMI) is a novel noninvasive method to assess tissue metabolism and organ (patho)physiology in vivo using deuterated substrates, such as [6,6'-2 H2 ]-glucose. The liver and kidneys play a central role in whole-body glucose homeostasis, and in type 2 diabetes, both hepatic and renal glucose metabolism are dysregulated. Diabetes is also associated with gastric emptying abnormalities. In this study, we developed a four-channel 2 H transmit/receive body array coil for DMI in the human abdomen at 7 T and assessed its performance. In addition, the feasibility of simultaneously measuring gastric emptying, and hepatic and renal glucose uptake and metabolism with dynamic 3D DMI upon administration of deuterated glucose, was investigated. Simulated and measured B1 + patterns were in good agreement. The intrasession variability of the natural abundance deuterated water signal in the liver and right kidney, measured in nine healthy volunteers, was 5.6% ± 0.9% and 4.9% ± 0.7%, respectively. Dynamic 3D DMI scans with oral administration of [6,6'-2 H2 ]-glucose showed similar kinetics of deuterated glucose appearance and disappearance in the liver and kidney. The measured gastric emptying half time was 80 ± 10 min, which is in good agreement with scintigraphy measurements. In conclusion, DMI with oral administration of [6,6'-2 H2 ]-glucose enables simultaneous assessment of gastric emptying and liver and kidney glucose uptake and metabolism. When applied in patients with diabetes, this approach may advance our understanding of the interplay between disturbances in liver and kidney glucose uptake and metabolism and gastric emptying, at a detail that cannot be achieved by any other method.

Screening for subclinical synovial proliferation in haemophilia: A systematic review and meta-analysis comparing physical examination and ultrasound.

INTRODUCTION: Ultrasound is increasingly used as addition to physical examination for detection of subclinical joint changes in haemophilia. However, the added value of ultrasound to physical examination for detecting synovial proliferation is not fully established. AIM: To determine the diagnostic accuracy of swelling at physical examination for ultrasound-detected synovial proliferation in haemophilia. METHODS: PubMed and EMBASE were searched up to 2 August 2022. Studies reporting original data on occurrence of swelling at physical examination and synovial proliferation on ultrasound of index joints in persons with haemophilia were included. Risk of bias and applicability were assessed using the Quality Assessment of Diagnostic Accuracy Studies 2 (QUADAS-2) tool. Diagnostic accuracy parameters of swelling at physical examination for ultrasound-detected synovial proliferation were determined. Summary sensitivity and specificity were calculated using a bivariate random-effects model. RESULTS: Fifteen studies reporting on swelling at physical examination and synovial proliferation on ultrasound in 2890 joints of 627 patients were included. Prevalence of subclinical synovial proliferation ranged between 0% and 55%. Sensitivity of swelling was low [summary estimate .34; 95% confidence interval (CI) .24-.46], while specificity was high (summary estimate .97; CI .92-.99). Predictive values varied widely due to inter-study differences in prevalence of synovial proliferation. CONCLUSION: Joint swelling has low sensitivity for presence of ultrasound-detected synovial proliferation in haemophilia, suggesting underestimation of synovial proliferation by physical examination alone. Consequently, ultrasound screening may generate important information on synovial changes which would otherwise remain undetected.

Subclinical synovial proliferation in patients with severe haemophilia A: The value of ultrasound screening and biochemical markers.

AIM: Subclinical bleeding and inflammation play a role in progression of haemophilic arthropathy. Synovial proliferation is predictive of joint bleeding and its early detection may guide treatment changes and prevent arthropathy progression. This study evaluated the prevalence of active and inactive subclinical synovial proliferation and investigated potential biochemical blood/urine markers to identify patients with active subclinical synovial proliferation. METHODS: This cross-sectional study included patients with severe haemophilia A born 1970-2006 who were evaluated during routine clinic visits. Patients with (a history of) inhibitors or recent joint bleeding were excluded. Elbows, knees and ankles were examined for subclinical synovial proliferation by ultrasound and physical examination. Active synovial proliferation was distinguished from inactive synovial proliferation using predefined criteria. Blood/urine biochemical markers (serum osteopontin, sVCAM-1, Coll2-1, COMP, CS846, TIMP, and urinary CTX-II) were compared individually and as combined indexes between patients with and without active synovial proliferation. RESULTS: This cohort consisted of 79 patients with a median age of 31 years (range 16.5-50.8 years) with 62/79 (78%) of the patients using continuous prophylaxis. The annualized joint bleeding rate over the last 5 years was .6 (.2-1.1). Active (17/79, 22%) and inactive subclinical synovial proliferation (17/79, 22%) were both prevalent in this cohort. Biochemical markers were not correlated with active subclinical synovial proliferation. CONCLUSION: Subclinical synovial proliferation, both active and inactive, was prevalent in patients with severe haemophilia A with access to prophylaxis and would be overlooked without routinely performed ultrasounds. Biochemical markers were unable to identify patients with active subclinical synovial proliferation.

Robustness of pulmonary nodule radiomic features on computed tomography as a function of varying radiation dose levels-a multi-dose in vivo patient study.

OBJECTIVE: Analysis of textural features of pulmonary nodules in chest CT, also known as radiomics, has several potential clinical applications, such as diagnosis, prognostication, and treatment response monitoring. For clinical use, it is essential that these features provide robust measurements. Studies with phantoms and simulated lower dose levels have demonstrated that radiomic features can vary with different radiation dose levels. This study presents an in vivo stability analysis of radiomic features for pulmonary nodules against varying radiation dose levels. METHODS: Nineteen patients with a total of thirty-five pulmonary nodules underwent four chest CT scans at different radiation dose levels (60, 33, 24, and 15 mAs) in a single session. The nodules were manually delineated. To assess the robustness of features, we calculated the intra-class correlation coefficient (ICC). To visualize the effect of milliampere-second variation on groups of features, a linear model was fitted to each feature. We calculated bias and calculated the R2 value as a measure of goodness of fit. RESULTS: A small minority of 15/100 (15%) radiomic features were considered stable (ICC > 0.9). Bias increased and R2 decreased at lower dose, but shape features seemed to be more robust to milliampere-second variations than other feature classes. CONCLUSION: A large majority of pulmonary nodule radiomic features were not inherently robust to radiation dose level variations. For a subset of features, it was possible to correct this variability by a simple linear model. However, the correction became increasingly less accurate at lower radiation dose levels. CLINICAL RELEVANCE STATEMENT: Radiomic features provide a quantitative description of a tumor based on medical imaging such as computed tomography (CT). These features are potentially useful in several clinical tasks such as diagnosis, prognosis prediction, treatment effect monitoring, and treatment effect estimation. KEY POINTS: • The vast majority of commonly used radiomic features are strongly influenced by variations in radiation dose level. • A small minority of radiomic features, notably the shape feature class, are robust against dose-level variations according to ICC calculations. • A large subset of radiomic features can be corrected by a linear model taking into account only the radiation dose level.

Bronchiectasis is associated with lower lung function in lung cancer screening participants.

BACKGROUND AND OBJECTIVE: Bronchiectasis is a frequent incidental finding on chest computed tomography (CT), but its relevance in lung cancer screening is not fully understood. We investigated the association between bronchiectasis and respiratory symptoms, pulmonary function, and emphysema in lung cancer screening participants with and without chronic obstructive pulmonary disease (COPD). METHODS: We included 3260 (ex-)smokers from the Dutch-Belgian lung cancer screening trial (NELSON). Bronchiectasis was scored by chest radiologists. The relationship with pulmonary function (FEV1%predicted, FEV1/FVC), respiratory complaints (cough, dyspnea, wheezing, mucus hypersecretion), and CT-quantified emphysema (15th percentile) was examined with independent t-tests and multivariate regression. RESULTS: Bronchiectasis was present in 5.4% (n = 175/3260). There was no difference in prevalence between subjects with and without COPD (68/1121 [5.9%] vs. 109/2139 [5.1%]; p = .368). COPD subjects with bronchiectasis had a lower FEV1%predicted (76.2% vs. 85.0%; p < .001), lower FEV1/FVC (0.58 vs. 0.62; p < .001), and more emphysema (- 938 HU vs. - 930 HU; p = .001) than COPD subjects without bronchiectasis. In COPD subjects, bronchiectasis was independently associated with a lower FEV1%predicted (B = - 7.7; CI [- 12.3, - 3.3]), lower FEV1/FVC (B = - 2.5; CI [- 4.3, - 0.8]), more cough (OR 2.4; CI [1.3, 4.3]), more mucus hypersecretion (OR 1.8; CI [1.0, 3.1]) and more dyspnea (OR 2.3; CI [1.3, 3.9]). In those without COPD (n = 2139), bronchiectasis was associated with more cough, mucus hypersecretion, and wheezing, but not with deteriorating lung function. CONCLUSION: Bronchiectasis was present in 5.4% of our lung cancer screening participants and was associated with more respiratory symptoms and, in those with COPD, with lower lung function and more emphysema. CLINICAL RELEVANCE STATEMENT: In a lung cancer screening population, bronchiectasis has a prevalence of 5.4% with a mainly mild severity. This finding is of little clinical relevance unless mild COPD is also present. In those subjects, bronchiectasis was associated with a lower lung function, more respiratory symptoms, and more emphysema. KEY POINTS: • Bronchiectasis was found in 5.4% of lung cancer screening participants, consisting of (ex-)smokers with and without mild COPD. • In those with mild COPD, bronchiectasis was associated with a lower lung function, more respiratory symptoms, and more emphysema. • Incidental findings of mild bronchiectasis are not very relevant in a lung cancer screening population, unless COPD is also present.

Multi-source data approach for personalized outcome prediction in lung cancer screening: update from the NELSON trial.

Trials show that low-dose computed tomography (CT) lung cancer screening in long-term (ex-)smokers reduces lung cancer mortality. However, many individuals were exposed to unnecessary diagnostic procedures. This project aims to improve the efficiency of lung cancer screening by identifying high-risk participants, and improving risk discrimination for nodules. This study is an extension of the Dutch-Belgian Randomized Lung Cancer Screening Trial, with a focus on personalized outcome prediction (NELSON-POP). New data will be added on genetics, air pollution, malignancy risk for lung nodules, and CT biomarkers beyond lung nodules (emphysema, coronary calcification, bone density, vertebral height and body composition). The roles of polygenic risk scores and air pollution in screen-detected lung cancer diagnosis and survival will be established. The association between the AI-based nodule malignancy score and lung cancer will be evaluated at baseline and incident screening rounds. The association of chest CT imaging biomarkers with outcomes will be established. Based on these results, multisource prediction models for pre-screening and post-baseline-screening participant selection and nodule management will be developed. The new models will be externally validated. We hypothesize that we can identify 15-20% participants with low-risk of lung cancer or short life expectancy and thus prevent ~140,000 Dutch individuals from being screened unnecessarily. We hypothesize that our models will improve the specificity of nodule management by 10% without loss of sensitivity as compared to assessment of nodule size/growth alone, and reduce unnecessary work-up by 40-50%.

Pediatric body composition based on automatic segmentation of computed tomography scans: a pilot study.

BACKGROUND: Body composition during childhood may predispose to negative health outcomes later in life. Automatic segmentation may assist in quantifying pediatric body composition in children. OBJECTIVE: To evaluate automatic segmentation for body composition on pediatric computed tomography (CT) scans and to provide normative data on muscle and fat areas throughout childhood using automatic segmentation. MATERIALS AND METHODS: In this pilot study, 537 children (ages 1-17 years) who underwent abdominal CT after high-energy trauma at a Dutch tertiary center (2002-2019) were retrospectively identified. Of these, the CT images of 493 children (66% boys) were used to establish normative data. Muscle (psoas, paraspinal and abdominal wall) and fat (subcutaneous and visceral) areas were measured at the third lumbar vertebral (L3) level by automatic segmentation. A representative subset of 52 scans was also manually segmented to evaluate the performance of automatic segmentation. RESULTS: For manually-segmented versus automatically-segmented areas (52 scans), mean Dice coefficients were high for muscle (0.87-0.90) and subcutaneous fat (0.88), but lower for visceral fat (0.60). In the control group, muscle area was comparable for both sexes until the age of 13 years, whereafter, boys developed relatively more muscle. From a young age, boys were more prone to visceral fat storage than girls. Overall, boys had significantly higher visceral-to-subcutaneous fat ratios (median 1.1 vs. 0.6, P<0.01) and girls higher fat-to-muscle ratios (median 1.0 vs. 0.7, P<0.01). CONCLUSION: Automatic segmentation of L3-level muscle and fat areas allows for accurate quantification of pediatric body composition. Using automatic segmentation, the development in muscle and fat distribution during childhood (in otherwise healthy) Dutch children was demonstrated.

Basal ganglia calcifications: No association with cognitive function.

BACKGROUND AND PURPOSE: Basal ganglia calcifications (BGC), a form of vascular calcification, are a common brain computed tomography (CT) finding. We investigated whether BGC are associated with cognitive function and examined the association between vascular risk factors and BGC. MATERIAL AND METHODS: Patients who visited a memory clinic of a Dutch general hospital between April 2009 and April 2015 were included. The patients underwent a standard diagnostic work up including cognitive tests (Cambridge Cognitive Examination, including the Mini Mental State Examination) and brain CT. Vascular risk factors such as hypertension, diabetes mellitus, hyperlipidemia and smoking were assessed. CTs were analyzed for presence and severity (absent, mild, moderate or severe) of BGC. Multivariable logistic regression was used to identify risk factors for BGC and linear regression for the association between BGC and cognitive function. RESULTS: Of the 1992 patients, 40.3% was male. The median age was 80 years and 866 patients (43.5%) had BGC. BGC was associated with female gender (odds ratio (OR) 1.27, 95% confidence interval (CI) 1.06-1.53, p 0.011), and inversely associated with hypertension (OR 0.74, 95% CI 0.60-0.89, p 0.002) and use of antihypertensive drugs (OR 0.79, 95% CI 0.64-0.98, p 0.031). No association was found between presence and severity of BGC and cognitive function or other vascular risk factors. CONCLUSIONS: No association with cognitive function was found. Risk factors for BGC were female gender, while hypertension and antihypertensive drug use were associated with a lower risk of BGC.

Morphological Subtypes of Intracranial Internal Carotid Artery Arteriosclerosis and the Risk of Stroke.

BACKGROUND: Accumulating evidence highlights the existence of distinct morphological subtypes of intracranial carotid arteriosclerosis. So far, little is known on the prevalence of these subtypes and subsequent stroke risk in the general population. We determined the prevalence of morphological subtypes of intracranial arteriosclerosis and assessed the risk of stroke associated with these subtypes. METHODS: Between 2003 and 2006, 2391 stroke-free participants (mean age 69.6, 51.7% women) from the population-based Rotterdam Study underwent noncontrast computed tomography to visualize calcification in the intracranial carotid arteries as a proxy for intracranial arteriosclerosis. Calcification morphology was evaluated according to a validated grading scale and categorized into intimal, internal elastic lamina (IEL), or mixed subtype. Follow-up for stroke was complete until January 1, 2016. We used multivariable Cox regression to assess associations of each subtype with incident stroke. RESULTS: The prevalence of calcification was 82% of which 39% had the intimal subtype, 48% IEL subtype, and 13% a mixed subtype. During a median follow-up of 10.4 years, 155 participants had a stroke. All 3 subtypes were associated with a higher risk of stroke (adjusted hazard ratio [95% CI] for intimal: 2.11 [1.07-4.13], IEL: 2.66 [1.39-5.11], and mixed subtype 2.57 [1.18-5.61]). The association of the IEL subtype with stroke was strongest among older participants. The association of the intimal subtype with stroke was noticeably stronger in women than in men. CONCLUSIONS: Calcification of the IEL was the most prevalent subtype of intracranial arteriosclerosis. All 3 subtypes were associated with an increased risk of stroke, with noticeable age and sex-specific differences.

Scan-based competing death risk model for re-evaluating lung cancer computed tomography screening eligibility.

BACKGROUND: A baseline computed tomography (CT) scan for lung cancer (LC) screening may reveal information indicating that certain LC screening participants can be screened less, and instead require dedicated early cardiac and respiratory clinical input. We aimed to develop and validate competing death (CD) risk models using CT information to identify participants with a low LC risk and a high CD risk. METHODS: Participant demographics and quantitative CT measures of LC, cardiovascular disease and chronic obstructive pulmonary disease were considered for deriving a logistic regression model for predicting 5-year CD risk using a sample from the National Lung Screening Trial (n=15 000). Multicentric Italian Lung Detection data were used to perform external validation (n=2287). RESULTS: Our final CD model outperformed an external pre-scan model (CD Risk Assessment Tool) in both the derivation (area under the curve (AUC) 0.744 (95% CI 0.727-0.761) and 0.677 (95% CI 0.658-0.695), respectively) and validation cohorts (AUC 0.744 (95% CI 0.652-0.835) and 0.725 (95% CI 0.633-0.816), respectively). By also taking LC incidence risk into consideration, we suggested a risk threshold where a subgroup (6258/23 096 (27%)) was identified with a number needed to screen to detect one LC of 216 (versus 23 in the remainder of the cohort) and ratio of 5.41 CDs per LC case (versus 0.88). The respective values in the validation cohort subgroup (774/2287 (34%)) were 129 (versus 29) and 1.67 (versus 0.43). CONCLUSIONS: Evaluating both LC and CD risks post-scan may improve the efficiency of LC screening and facilitate the initiation of multidisciplinary trajectories among certain participants.