Development and Validation of a Nomogram for Assessing Survival in Patients With COVID-19 Pneumonia.

BACKGROUND: The outbreak of coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) has spread worldwide and continues to threaten peoples' health as well as put pressure on the accessibility of medical systems. Early prediction of survival of hospitalized patients will help in the clinical management of COVID-19, but a prediction model that is reliable and valid is still lacking. METHODS: We retrospectively enrolled 628 confirmed cases of COVID-19 using positive RT-PCR tests for SARS-CoV-2 in Tongji Hospital, Wuhan, China. These patients were randomly grouped into a training (60%) and a validation (40%) cohort. In the training cohort, LASSO regression analysis and multivariate Cox regression analysis were utilized to identify prognostic factors for in-hospital survival of patients with COVID-19. A nomogram based on the 3 variables was built for clinical use. AUCs, concordance indexes (C-index), and calibration curves were used to evaluate the efficiency of the nomogram in both training and validation cohorts. RESULTS: Hypertension, higher neutrophil-to-lymphocyte ratio, and increased NT-proBNP values were found to be significantly associated with poorer prognosis in hospitalized patients with COVID-19. The 3 predictors were further used to build a prediction nomogram. The C-indexes of the nomogram in the training and validation cohorts were 0.901 and 0.892, respectively. The AUC in the training cohort was 0.922 for 14-day and 0.919 for 21-day probability of in-hospital survival, while in the validation cohort this was 0.922 and 0.881, respectively. Moreover, the calibration curve for 14- and 21-day survival also showed high coherence between the predicted and actual probability of survival. CONCLUSIONS: We built a predictive model and constructed a nomogram for predicting in-hospital survival of patients with COVID-19. This model has good performance and might be utilized clinically in management of COVID-19.

Phenolic environmental estrogens in urine and blood plasma from women with uterine leiomyoma: Epidemiological survey.

AIM: To explore the effect of phenolic environmental estrogens (EE) on women with uterine leiomyoma (UL). METHODS: Urine and blood plasma samples were collected from 300 patients diagnosed with UL at the Affiliated Zhongda Hospital of Southeast University between December 2013 and December 2014. Control urine and blood plasma samples were collected from 300 women who are either patients without UL or healthy volunteers presenting to the same hospital for physical examination during the same period. Bisphenol A (BPA), nonylphenol (NP) and octylphenol (OP) concentration in these samples was measured using solid phase extraction (SPE) coupled with liquid chromatography-tandem mass spectrometry. RESULTS: The OP concentration in urine and blood plasma was significantly higher in the UL group compared with the control group (r = 0.224, P = 0.001). Urine BPA concentration was not significantly different between the UL group and the control group (r = 0.009, P = 0.896). There was also no statistically significant difference in urine NP concentration between the two groups (r = 0.057, P = 0.419). On logistic regression, exposure concentration of urine BPA (OR, 1.129; 95%CI: 1.081-1.179) and NP (OR, 1.165; 95%CI: 1.025-1.324) was associated with UL genesis (P < 0.05). Nevertheless, there was no significant difference in blood plasma concentration of BPA, OP and NP between the two groups (P > 0.05). CONCLUSION: Urine and blood plasma EE exposure levels in women, especially the urine level, was related to the incidence of UL.

Emodin azide methyl anthraquinone derivative induced G0/ G1 arrest in HER2/neu-overexpressing MDA-MB-453 breast cancer cells.

PURPOSE: Our previous data have shown that emodin azide methyl anthraquinone derivative (AMAD) triggered mitochondrial- dependent cell apoptosis involving caspase-8-mediated Bid cleavage, and induced proteasomal degradation of HER2/neu by blocking Her2/neu binding to Hsp90. In the present study, we futher investigated the effect of this compound on the cell cycle and related molecular mechanisms in HER2/neu-overexpressing MDA-MB-453 breast cancer cells. METHODS: The cell cycle distribution was tested by flow cytometry. The expression of cell cycle-related proteins was determined by Western blot analysis; DNA agarose gel electrophoresis was used to examine the apoptosis of MDAMB- 453 cells induced by emodin AMAD. RESULTS: After MDA-MB-453 cells were treated with different concentrations of emodin AMAD for 24 hrs, cells were arrested in G0/G1 phase, and the expression of G0/G1 related proteins c/Myc, Cyclin D1, CDK4 and p-Rb changed. DNA fragmentation appeared on the agarose gel in a concentration- dependent manner. CONCLUSION: Emodin AMAD induced G0/G1 arrest in Her2/ neu-overexpressing MDA-MB-453 cancer cells. This G0/G1 arrest was associated with decreasing protein expression of c-Myc, Cyclin D1, CDK4, and p-Rb.

Health burden of unbalanced fatty acids intake from 1990 to 2019: A global analysis.

BACKGROUND: Unbalanced fatty acids intake is associated with a range of health outcomes; however, the impact on human health remains unclear globally. We aim to provide a comprehensive assessment of the health effect of unbalanced fatty acids intake on a global scale. METHODS: We analyzed the trends of summary exposure value (SEV) and the attributable burden of unbalanced fatty acids intake, including diet low in polyunsaturated fatty acids (low PUFAs), diet low in seafood omega-3 fatty acids (low seafood-(ω-3)-PUFAs), and diet high in trans fatty acids (high TFAs) from 1990 to 2019 using data from Global Burden of Disease Study 2019. FINDINGS: The global fatty acids intake was far from the optimal level. High-income North America had the highest SEV of diet of high TFAs, while less-developed regions located in Saharan Africa had the highest SEVs of low PUFAs and low seafood-(ω-3)-PUFAs. The attributable burden was unequally distributed to less-developed regions. Males had lower SEVs but higher attributable burden than females and this gender gap was particularly pronounced before the age of 59. The young population had a higher SEV of diet of low PUFAs, comparable SEV of low seafood-(ω-3)-PUFAs but lower SEV of high TFAs than the elderly population. CONCLUSIONS: This study underpinned the high prevalence of unbalanced fatty acids intake worldwide and provided evidence-based guidance for identifying at-risk populations and developing effective strategies to improve fatty acids intake in the future. FUNDING: The study was funded by Shanxi Province "136" Revitalization Medical Project Construction Funds and the Fundamental Research Funds for the Central Universities.

Meta-analysis on the performance of p16/Ki-67 dual immunostaining in detecting high-grade cervical intraepithelial neoplasm.

AIM: Although routine screening contributes to substantial reductions in cervical cancer morbidity and mortality, the low specificity of HPV detection and limited sensitivity of cervical cytology necessitates the application of more optimized markers, such as the newly-introduced p16/Ki-67 dual-staining method. Here we reviewed several studies to evaluate the performance of this method in cervical cancer screening. METHODS: An electronic database search was performed on PubMed, Web of Science, CNKI and Wanfang Database for studies assessing p16/Ki-67 dual immunostaining in the diagnosis of high-grade cervical intraepithelial neoplasm (HGCIN) with abnormal cytological morphologies. Two reviewers screened literatures, extracted data and assessed the quality of the included studies independently. Meta-analysis was performed using ReV. Man 5.2 and Meta-DiSc 1.2 software packages. RESULTS: The absolute sensitivity of p16/Ki-67 dual staining for diagnosing HGCIN ranged from 80% to 94%, while the sensitivity of triage method with hrHPV testing ranged from 78% to 96%. The specificity of p16/Ki-67 testing and hrHPV detection for predicting absence of CIN2+ ranged from 39% to 79% and 15% to 44%, respectively. Quantitative meta-analysis showed that the pooled sensitivity of p16/ki-67 dual staining is 0.88 [95'CI (0.86-0.90)], the pooled specificity is 0.58 [95'CI (0.56-0.60)]. For hrHPV testing, the pooled sensitivity and pooled specificity is 0.94 [95'CI (0.93-0.96)] and 0.32 [95'CI (0.29-0.34)], respectively. CONCLUSIONS: p16/Ki-67 dual immunostaining had comparable sensitivity and improved specificity in screening HGCIN or CC when compared with hrHPV detection. Further studies may be beneficial to assess the efficacy of this novel biomarker, which can be potentially used as one of the initial screening assays.

Primary peritoneal carcinoma metastasizing to breast: a single case report and literature review from clinic to biology.

Primary peritoneal carcinoma (PPC) is a type of rare malignant epithelial tumor. Metastasis from PPC to breast has been rarely reported. PPC originates de novo from the peritoneal tissues rather than invasion or metastasis from adjacent or remote organs. PPCs have been implicated in many cases of carcinomas of unknown primary origin. It is similar to ovarian cancer (OvCa), because it shares the same common embryonic origin, the coelomic epithelium (mesodermal origin). The mechanism of oncogenesis remains elusive. In this article, we report a rare case of PPC in a patient 10 years after total abdominal hysterectomy and bilateral salpingooophorectomy for uterine leiomyoma, which was widely spread in the abdomen and metastasized to the colon, liver and distant organs including breast. The treatment is similar to that of primary ovarian cancer. We also reviewed the primary peritoneal cancer metastatic to breast and discuss the possible mechanisms and biology of primary peritoneal cancer, using experimental and animal model.