RESUMO
INTRODUCTION: The aims of this study were to measure: (i) the growth in after-hours emergency department--referred CT (ED-CT) performed in accredited training departments between 2011 and 2013; (ii) the growth in ED CT relative to growth in ED presentations at the same hospitals; and (iii) trainee workload resulting from after-hours ED CT. METHODS: Ethics approval was obtained for all participating sites. Accredited training facilities in Australia and New Zealand with three or more trainees and serving one or more EDs were invited to participate (N = 32). Four nights were surveyed between August and December 2013. For data collection, the number of ED patients having one or more CT scans; ED CT scan total images; non-contrast head CTs; and ED patients (total and categories 1 and 2) attending the ED in the preceding 24 h and first half of calendar year were collected for 2013 and corresponding days in 2012 and 2011. Trainee staffing levels were measured. RESULTS: Eleven of 32 sites provided data for all four nights and 14 of 32 for one or more nights. A 15.7% increase in number of ED CTs between 1700 and 2200 h and 16.8% increase between 2201 and 0730 h occurred in the 2 years between 2011 and 2013 compared with a 6.9% increase in overall ED and 26% increase in categories 1 and 2 presentations over the same period. The number of CT images, however, increased 23%. CONCLUSION: Growth in demand by EDs for after-hours CT services has implications for service provision and trainee workloads in Royal Australian and New Zealand College of Radiologists-accredited training departments.
Assuntos
Acreditação/normas , Plantão Médico/estatística & dados numéricos , Serviço Hospitalar de Emergência/estatística & dados numéricos , Necessidades e Demandas de Serviços de Saúde/estatística & dados numéricos , Hospitais de Ensino/estatística & dados numéricos , Tomografia Computadorizada por Raios X/estatística & dados numéricos , Plantão Médico/normas , Austrália/epidemiologia , Serviço Hospitalar de Emergência/normas , Hospitais de Ensino/normas , Auditoria Médica , Nova Zelândia/epidemiologia , Tomografia Computadorizada por Raios X/normas , Revisão da Utilização de Recursos de Saúde , Carga de Trabalho/estatística & dados numéricosRESUMO
INTRODUCTION: The prognosis of diffuse fibrotic lung disease (DFLD) is known to be variable, but there is a paucity of literature on prognostic markers independent of precise clinical diagnosis. This study aimed to assess the mortality prediction of three high-resolution computed tomography (HRCT) scores in a heterogeneous population of patients with DFLD. A large radiologist and physician reader group was used to determine agreement among readers of varying background in applying these scores. METHODS: Institutional review board approval was obtained. Informed consent was waived for this retrospective study. Eighty HRCTs in 68 patients with DFLD (35 men, mean age 72.9 years) were evaluated retrospectively by 18 readers. Readers included thoracic and general radiologists, respiratory physicians and radiology trainees. Features scored were honeycombing, extent of disease and traction bronchiectasis. Demographics, diagnosis and pulmonary function data were collected. Patients were categorised as having either idiopathic pulmonary fibrosis, fibrosis relating to connective tissue disease, 'miscellaneous' DFLD or 'undefined', where no single entity was felt entirely or confidently to explain the pulmonary disease. Agreement was assessed using the kappa statistic. Associations with mortality were analysed using the Cox marginal model. RESULTS: Agreement was better for honeycombing (kappa = 0.44) and disease extent (kappa = 0.47) than traction bronchiectasis (kappa = 0.24). Honeycombing presence (P < 0.0005) and disease extent >30% (P = 0.002) predicted increased mortality independent of clinical diagnosis. Traction bronchiectasis was non-predictive. Clinical diagnosis was not an independent predictor, but age was independently associated with mortality (P = 0.004). Pulmonary function data were only available for 43 patients, but in a limited subanalysis, the diffusion capacity of carbon monoxide was independently predictive of increased mortality (P = 0.005). CONCLUSIONS: The presence of honeycombing and a greater extent of fibrotic lung disease predict increased mortality independent of clinical diagnosis. Our large, mixed-expertise reader group shows moderate interobserver agreement, comparable with agreement values for these scores in the literature.