RESUMO
OBJECTIVES: Several prediction models have been developed to assess discharge destinations for patients with acute stroke; however, few studies have performed external validation. We aimed to perform a temporal external validation of a prediction tool to identify stroke patients with a high possibility of discharge to home. MATERIALS AND METHODS: From December 2017 to July 2019, consecutive patients with acute stroke were included. Clinical nurses and physical therapists applied the prediction model to assess the patients' possibility of home discharge. Whether or not the patient was discharged their own home was the outcome measured. We calculated the sensitivity and specificity of the model and evaluated the discrimination and calibration based on the area under the curve (AUC) and the calibration plot. RESULTS: Of the 1214 patients assessed, 618 (51%) were discharged home. Using the same cutoff values recommended in the study that first described the tool, we determined the sensitivity and specificity of 91% and 59%, respectively. The AUC to assess the model discrimination was 0.80 (95% confidence interval, 0.77-0.82) and the calibration plot showed acceptable agreement between the predicted and observed outcomes. CONCLUSIONS: The tool showed a high sensitivity, as expected, in the present study, which examined external validity during the different study periods.
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Modelos Estatísticos , Alta do Paciente , Acidente Vascular Cerebral , Humanos , Reprodutibilidade dos Testes , Acidente Vascular Cerebral/terapiaRESUMO
The efficacy of reperfusion therapy (RT) using intravenous infusion of recombinant tissue plasminogen activator and/or endovascular therapy for minor ischemic stroke (MIS) has not yet been established. The present study aimed to elucidate the clinical features of MIS patients with atrial fibrillation (AF) and examine whether they could be potential candidates for RT. Data of MIS patients, defined as those with a score ≤ 5 on the National Institute of Health Stroke Scale, were extracted from patients admitted to our hospital between 2006 and 2018, and clinical characteristics were compared between the AF and non-AF groups. Thereafter, the impact of RT on outcomes in the AF- group was evaluated using the modified Rankin scale (mRS) score 3 months after onset and compared to that of standard medical therapy (SMT) using propensity score matching (PSM). Of 10,483 stroke patients, 3003 were shortlisted, and 457 AF patients and 2546 non-AF patients were finally selected. Patients in the AF group had more RT (13.3% vs. 5.7%, p < 0.001) than those in the non-AF group. Using PSM, 53 patients each were extracted from the AF-RT and AF-SMT groups. The frequencies of mRS = 0 or 1 for the AF-RT and AF-SMT groups were 69.8% and 64.2% (p = 0.536), respectively, with a significant difference in mRS = 0 (56.5% vs. 34.0%, p = 0.019). The present study found that MIS patients with AF underwent more RT than those without AF and that RT compared favorably with SMT for them; further study is warranted to examine whether these patients could be good candidates for RT.
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Fibrilação Atrial/complicações , AVC Isquêmico/complicações , AVC Isquêmico/terapia , Idoso , Idoso de 80 Anos ou mais , Procedimentos Endovasculares , Feminino , Humanos , Infusões Intravenosas , Masculino , Pessoa de Meia-Idade , Reperfusão , Ativador de Plasminogênio Tecidual/administração & dosagem , Ativador de Plasminogênio Tecidual/uso terapêutico , Resultado do TratamentoRESUMO
BACKGROUND AND PURPOSE: Discharge planning for inpatients with acute stroke can enhance reasonable use of healthcare resources, as well as improve clinical outcomes and decrease financial burden of patients. Especially, prediction for discharge destination is crucial for discharge planning. This study aimed to develop an assessment model to identify patients with a high possibility of discharge to home after an acute stroke. METHODS: We reviewed the electronic medical records of 3200 patients with acute stroke who were admitted to a stroke center in Japan between January 1, 2011, and December 31, 2015. The outcome variable was the discharge destination of postacute stroke patients. The predictive variables were identified through logistic regression analysis. Data were divided into 2 data sets: the learning data set (n=2240) for developing the instrument and the test data set (n=960) for evaluating the predictive capability of the model. RESULTS: In all, 1548 (48%) patients were discharged to their homes. Multiple logistic regression analysis identified 5 predictive variables for discharge to home: living situation, type of stroke, functional independence measure motor score on admission, functional independence measure cognitive score on admission, and paresis. The assessment model showed a sensitivity of 85.0% and a specificity of 75.3% with an area under the curve equal to 0.88 (95% confidence interval, 0.86-0.89) when the cutoff point was 10. On evaluating the predictive capabilities, the model showed a sensitivity of 88.0% and a specificity of 68.7% with an area under the curve equal to 0.87 (95% confidence interval, 0.85-0.89). CONCLUSIONS: We have developed an assessment model for identifying patients with a high possibility of being discharged to their homes after an acute stroke. This model would be useful for health professionals to adequately plan patients' discharge soon after their admission.
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Registros Eletrônicos de Saúde/tendências , Alta do Paciente/tendências , Reabilitação do Acidente Vascular Cerebral/tendências , Acidente Vascular Cerebral/diagnóstico , Acidente Vascular Cerebral/epidemiologia , Idoso , Idoso de 80 Anos ou mais , Estudos de Coortes , Feminino , Humanos , Japão/epidemiologia , Masculino , Pessoa de Meia-Idade , Admissão do Paciente/tendências , Recuperação de Função Fisiológica/fisiologia , Estudos RetrospectivosRESUMO
BACKGROUND: The etiology of transient global amnesia (TGA) remains unclear. We studied the pathophysiology of TGA in 165 Japanese patients. SUBJECTS AND METHODS: TGA was diagnosed in hospitalized patients from 2004 to 2015. We analyzed clinical characteristics, magnetic resonance imaging findings, and maximum intima-media thickness of the common carotid artery, and the reflux of internal jugular venous (IJV) flow by ultrasonography, and statistically compared patients with TGA with age-matched and sex-matched patients who have had a transient ischemic attack (TIA), small-vessel occlusion (SVO), and normal controls (each group, N = 165). RESULTS: Patients with TGA showed lower prevalence of vascular risk factors than patients with TIA and SVO did. Eleven patients (6.7%) had 2 episodes of TAG, but specific clinical variables could not be recognized in these patients. The maximum intima-media thickness was significantly thinner in TGA (1.1 ± .7 mm) than in SVO (1.6 ± .9 mm; P = .001). The percentages of cases whose IJV flow reflux was increased by Valsalva maneuver showed no difference (P = .573) between TGA (26.0 %) and SVO (29.4%). MR diffusion-weighted imaging yielded small hyperintense signals in the hippocampus in 64 of 90 (71.1%) patients between 24 and 72 hours. Potential precipitating specific factors or events before the attacks could be recognized in 40 cases (24.2%) of 165 patients. CONCLUSION: Arterial ischemia and IJV flow reflux might not contribute to TGA pathophysiology. The vulnerability of the hippocampus to physical or emotional stress might be suspected as an underlying mechanism in some patients with TGA.
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Amnésia Global Transitória/fisiopatologia , Doenças Cardiovasculares/fisiopatologia , Veias Jugulares/fisiopatologia , Fluxo Sanguíneo Regional , Idoso , Amnésia Global Transitória/diagnóstico por imagem , Arteriopatias Oclusivas/diagnóstico por imagem , Arteriopatias Oclusivas/fisiopatologia , Isquemia Encefálica/diagnóstico por imagem , Isquemia Encefálica/fisiopatologia , Doenças Cardiovasculares/diagnóstico por imagem , Doenças Cardiovasculares/epidemiologia , Angiografia Cerebral , Imagem de Difusão por Ressonância Magnética , Feminino , Humanos , Veias Jugulares/diagnóstico por imagem , Angiografia por Ressonância Magnética , Masculino , Pessoa de Meia-Idade , Estudos Retrospectivos , Fatores de Risco , Ultrassonografia DopplerRESUMO
OBJECTIVE: Papaverine hydrochloride (PPV) has been widely used for pharmacologic angioplasty to dilate spastic vessels after aneurysmal subarachnoid hemorrhage (SAH). Colforsin daropate hydrochloride (CDH) has also recently been reported to be useful for reversal of cerebral vasospasm (CV). In this study, we compared the impacts of intraarterial PPV and CDH on the outcomes of SAH patients. METHODS: A consecutive series of SAH patients were retrospectively analyzed. Ninety-eight and 133 patients were included in the study during 1998-1999 (group A) and 2003-2005 (group B), respectively. PPV or CDH was the only agent used for pharmacologic angioplasty in groups A and B, respectively. Good outcome was defined as a modified Rankin scale score ≤ 2 at discharge. RESULTS: The percentages of patients without CV who had good outcomes were similar in groups A (78%) and B (81%, P = 0.91). However, the percentage of patients with CV with a good outcome was significantly higher in group B (66%) than in group A (34%, P = 0.032). Logistic regression revealed that age ≤ 65 years (P = 0.0001), World Federation of Neurological Surgeons (WFNS) grade ≤ 2 (P < 0.0001), CV (P = 0.0001), and group B (P = 0.0069) were independent causative factors for good outcome in the overall patient population. Age ≤ 65 (P = 0.0002) and WFNS grade ≤ 2 (P < 0.0001) were independent causative factors for good outcome in patients without CV, whereas only group B (P = 0.0089) was an independent factor for good outcome in patients with CV. CONCLUSION: CDH appears to be associated with a better outcome in patients with SAH.
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Isquemia Encefálica/tratamento farmacológico , Isquemia Encefálica/etiologia , Colforsina/análogos & derivados , Hemorragia Subaracnóidea/complicações , Vasoespasmo Intracraniano/tratamento farmacológico , Vasoespasmo Intracraniano/etiologia , Adulto , Idoso , Estudos de Coortes , Colforsina/administração & dosagem , Feminino , Humanos , Injeções Intra-Arteriais , Masculino , Pessoa de Meia-Idade , Estudos RetrospectivosRESUMO
OBJECTIVE: Free radicals are important in causing neural cell injury during cerebral infarction. Although there was a randomized, placebo-controlled, double-blind study at multiple centers in Japan showing the efficacy of the free radical scavenger, edaravone, in acute cerebral infarction, to date the clinical studies are few. This study investigated the effect of edaravone on the outcome of patients with acute lacunar infarction. METHODS: We retrospectively evaluated 124 consecutive patients with first-ever acute lacunar infarctions who were admitted to our hospital within 24 hours after the onset between January 2004 and June 2007. Of these, 59 patients received both edaravone and conventional therapy (edaravone group), and the other 65 underwent conventional therapy only (non-edaravone group). There was no significant difference in patients' baseline characteristics in the two groups. The clinical outcome was assessed by the National Institutes of Health Stroke Scale (NIHSS). RESULTS: The reduction of NIHSS scale during hospitalization (1.5+/-1.0 vs. 1.0+/-1.1; p = 0.007), especially that of the motor palsy scale (1.0+/-1.0 vs. 0.5+/-1.0; p = 0.006) was significantly larger, and the percentage of patients with a favorable outcome (NIHSS at discharge < or =1) (91.5% vs. 78.5%; p = 0.044) was significantly better in the edaravone group. CONCLUSION: Edaravone improves the outcomes of patients with acute lacunar infarction, especially motor palsy, without regard to the conventional therapy performed concomitantly.