Prevalence and characteristics of long COVID in elderly patients: An observational cohort study of over 2 million adults in the US.

BACKGROUND: Incidence of long COVID in the elderly is difficult to estimate and can be underreported. While long COVID is sometimes considered a novel disease, many viral or bacterial infections have been known to cause prolonged illnesses. We postulate that some influenza patients might develop residual symptoms that would satisfy the diagnostic criteria for long COVID, a condition we call "long Flu." In this study, we estimate the incidence of long COVID and long Flu among Medicare patients using the World Health Organization (WHO) consensus definition. We compare the incidence, symptomatology, and healthcare utilization between long COVID and long Flu patients. METHODS AND FINDINGS: This is a cohort study of Medicare (the US federal health insurance program) beneficiaries over 65. ICD-10-CM codes were used to capture COVID-19, influenza, and residual symptoms. Long COVID was identified by (a) the designated long COVID code B94.8 (code-based definition), or (b) any of 11 symptoms identified in the WHO definition (symptom-based definition), from 1 to 3 months post-infection. A symptom would be excluded if it occurred in the year prior to infection. Long Flu was identified in influenza patients from the combined 2018 and 2019 Flu seasons by the same symptom-based definition for long COVID. Long COVID and long Flu were compared in 4 outcome measures: (a) hospitalization (any cause); (b) hospitalization (for long COVID symptom); (c) emergency department (ED) visit (for long COVID symptom); and (d) number of outpatient encounters (for long COVID symptom), adjusted for age, sex, race, region, Medicare-Medicaid dual eligibility status, prior-year hospitalization, and chronic comorbidities. Among 2,071,532 COVID-19 patients diagnosed between April 2020 and June 2021, symptom-based definition identified long COVID in 16.6% (246,154/1,479,183) and 29.2% (61,631/210,765) of outpatients and inpatients, respectively. The designated code gave much lower estimates (outpatients 0.49% (7,213/1,479,183), inpatients 2.6% (5,521/210,765)). Among 933,877 influenza patients, 17.0% (138,951/817,336) of outpatients and 24.6% (18,824/76,390) of inpatients fit the long Flu definition. Long COVID patients had higher incidence of dyspnea, fatigue, palpitations, loss of taste/smell, and neurocognitive symptoms compared to long Flu. Long COVID outpatients were more likely to have any-cause hospitalization (31.9% (74,854/234,688) versus 26.8% (33,140/123,736), odds ratio 1.06 (95% CI 1.05 to 1.08, p < 0.001)), and more outpatient visits than long Flu outpatients (mean 2.9(SD 3.4) versus 2.5(SD 2.7) visits, incidence rate ratio 1.09 (95% CI 1.08 to 1.10, p < 0.001)). There were less ED visits in long COVID patients, probably because of reduction in ED usage during the pandemic. The main limitation of our study is that the diagnosis of long COVID in is not independently verified. CONCLUSIONS: Relying on specific long COVID diagnostic codes results in significant underreporting. We observed that about 30% of hospitalized COVID-19 patients developed long COVID. In a similar proportion of patients, long COVID-like symptoms (long Flu) can be observed after influenza, but there are notable differences in symptomatology between long COVID and long Flu. The impact of long COVID on healthcare utilization is higher than long Flu.

The Mortality Risk of Proton Pump Inhibitors in 1.9 Million US Seniors: An Extended Cox Survival Analysis.

BACKGROUND & AIMS: Observational studies have linked proton pump inhibitors (PPIs) with increased risk of mortality and other safety outcomes, in contradiction with a recent PPI randomized controlled trial (RCT). Observational studies may be prone to reverse causality, where deaths are attributed to the treatment rather than the conditions that are treated (protopathic bias). METHODS: We analyzed an incident drug user cohort of 1,930,728 elderly Medicare fee-for-service beneficiaries to evaluate the PPI-associated risk of death with a Cox regression analysis with time-varying covariates and propensity score adjustments. To correct for protopathic bias which occurs when a given drug is associated with prodromal signs of death, we implemented a lag-time approach by which any study drug taken during a 90-day look-back window before each death was disregarded. RESULTS: Among 1,930,728 study individuals, 80,972 (4.2%) died during a median 3.8 years of follow-up, yielding an overall unadjusted death rate/1000 person-years of 9.85; 14.31 for PPI users and 7.93 for non- users. With no lag-time, PPI use (vs no use) was associated with 10% increased mortality risk (adjusted HR=1.10; 95% CI 1.08-1.12). However, with a lag-time of 90 days, mortality risk associated with PPI use was near zero (adjusted HR=1.01; 95% CI 0.99-1.02). CONCLUSION: Given the usage patterns of PPIs in patients with conditions that may presage death, protopathic bias may explain the association of PPIs with increased risk of death reported in observational studies.

A systematic approach for developing a corpus of patient reported adverse drug events: A case study for SSRI and SNRI medications.

"Psychiatric Treatment Adverse Reactions" (PsyTAR) corpus is an annotated corpus that has been developed using patients narrative data for psychiatric medications, particularly SSRIs (Selective Serotonin Reuptake Inhibitor) and SNRIs (Serotonin Norepinephrine Reuptake Inhibitor) medications. This corpus consists of three main components: sentence classification, entity identification, and entity normalization. We split the review posts into sentences and labeled them for presence of adverse drug reactions (ADRs) (2168 sentences), withdrawal symptoms (WDs) (438 sentences), sign/symptoms/illness (SSIs) (789 sentences), drug indications (517), drug effectiveness (EF) (1087 sentences), and drug infectiveness (INF) (337 sentences). In the entity identification phase, we identified and extracted ADRs (4813 mentions), WDs (590 mentions), SSIs (1219 mentions), and DIs (792). In the entity normalization phase, we mapped the identified entities to the corresponding concepts in both UMLS (918 unique concepts) and SNOMED CT (755 unique concepts). Four annotators double coded the sentences and the span of identified entities by strictly following guidelines rules developed for this study. We used the PsyTAR sentence classification component to automatically train a range of supervised machine learning classifiers to identifying text segments with the mentions of ADRs, WDs, DIs, SSIs, EF, and INF. SVMs classifiers had the highest performance with F-Score 0.90. We also measured performance of the cTAKES (clinical Text Analysis and Knowledge Extraction System) in identifying patients' expressions of ADRs and WDs with and without adding PsyTAR dictionary to the core dictionary of cTAKES. Augmenting cTAKES dictionary with PsyTAR improved the F-score cTAKES by 25%. The findings imply that PsyTAR has significant implications for text mining algorithms aimed to identify information about adverse drug events and drug effectiveness from patients' narratives data, by linking the patients' expressions of adverse drug events to medical standard vocabularies. The corpus is publicly available at Zolnoori et al. [30].

Tamsulosin use in benign prostatic hyperplasia and risks of Parkinson's disease, Alzheimer's disease and mortality: An observational cohort study of elderly Medicare enrollees.

PURPOSE: To study the effects of benign prostatic hyperplasia treatments, namely: alpha-adrenergic receptor blockers, 5-alpha-reductase inhibitors and phosphodiesterase-5 inhibitors on the risk of Parkinson's disease, Alzheimer's disease and mortality. MATERIALS AND METHODS: All male Medicare enrollees aged 65 or above who were diagnosed with benign prostatic hyperplasia and received one of the study drugs between 2007-2020 were followed-up for the three outcomes. We used Cox regression analysis to assess the relative risk of each of the outcomes for each study drug compared to the most prescribed drug, tamsulosin, while controlling for demographic, socioeconomic and comorbidity factors. RESULTS AND CONCLUSIONS: The study analyzed 1.1 million patients for a mean follow-up period of 3.1 years from being prescribed one of the study drugs. For all outcomes, patients on tamsulosin were used as the reference for comparison. For mortality, alfuzosin was associated with 27% risk reduction (HR 0.73, 95%CI 0.68-0.78), and doxazosin with 6% risk reduction (HR 0.94, 95%CI 0.91-0.97). For Parkinson's disease, terazosin was associated with 26% risk reduction (HR 0.74, 95%CI 0.66-0.83), and doxazosin with 21% risk reduction (HR 0.79, 95%CI 0.72-0.88). For Alzheimer's disease, terazosin was associated with 27% risk reduction (HR 0.73, 95%CI 0.65-0.82), and doxazosin with 16% risk reduction (HR 0.84, 95%CI 0.76-0.92). Tadalafil was associated with risk reduction (27-40%) in all 3 outcomes. More research is needed to elucidate the underlying mechanisms of these observations. Given the availability of safer alternatives for treating benign prostatic hyperplasia, caution should be exercised when using tamsulosin in elderly patients, especially those with an increased risk of developing neurodegenerative diseases.

Promoting interoperability between SNOMED CT and ICD-11: lessons learned from the pilot project mapping between SNOMED CT and the ICD-11 Foundation.

OBJECTIVE: To explore the feasibility and challenges of mapping between SNOMED CT and the ICD-11 Foundation in both directions, SNOMED International and the World Health Organization conducted a pilot mapping project between September 2021 and August 2022. MATERIALS AND METHODS: Phase 1 mapped ICD-11 Foundation entities from the endocrine diseases chapter, excluding malignant neoplasms, to SNOMED CT. In phase 2, SNOMED CT concepts equivalent to those covered by the ICD-11 entities in phase 1 were mapped to the ICD-11 Foundation. The goal was to identify equivalence between an ICD-11 Foundation entity and a SNOMED CT concept. Postcoordination was used for mapping to ICD-11. Each map was done twice independently, the results were compared, and discrepancies were reconciled. RESULTS: In phase 1, 59% of 637 ICD-11 Foundation entities had an exact match in SNOMED CT. In phase 2, 32% of 1893 SNOMED CT concepts had an exact match in the ICD-11 Foundation, and postcoordination added 15% of exact match. Challenges encountered included non-synonymous synonyms, mismatch in granularity, composite conditions, and residual categories. CONCLUSION: This pilot project shed light on the tremendous amount of effort required to create a map between the 2 coding systems and uncovered some common challenges. Future collaborative work between SNOMED International and WHO will likely benefit from its findings. It is recommended that the 2 organizations should clarify goals and use cases of mapping, provide adequate resources, set up a road map, and reconsider their original proposal of incorporating SNOMED CT into the ICD-11 Foundation ontology.

Comparison of electronic pharmacy prescription records with manually collected medication histories in an emergency department.

STUDY OBJECTIVE: Medication history is an essential part of patient assessment in emergency care. Patient-reported medication history can be incomplete. We study whether an electronic pharmacy-sourced prescription record can supplement the patient-reported history. METHODS: In a community hospital, we compared the patient-reported history obtained by triage nurses to a proprietary electronic pharmacy record in all emergency department (ED) patients during 3 months. RESULTS: Of 9,426 triaged patients, 5,001 (53%) had at least 1 (mean 7.7) prescription medication in the full-year electronic pharmacy record. Counting only recent prescription medications (supply lasting to at least 7 days before the ED visit), 3,688 patients (39%) had at least 1 (mean 4.0) recent medication. After adjustment for possible false-positive results, recent electronic prescription medication record enriched the patient-reported history by 28% (adding 1.1 drugs per patient). However, only 60% of patients with any active prescription medications from either source had any recent prescription medications in their electronic pharmacy record. CONCLUSION: The electronic pharmacy prescription record augments the manually collected history.

A practical strategy to use the ICD-11 for morbidity coding in the United States without a clinical modification.

OBJECTIVE: The aim of this study was to derive and evaluate a practical strategy of replacing ICD-10-CM codes by ICD-11 for morbidity coding in the United States, without the creation of a Clinical Modification. MATERIALS AND METHODS: A stepwise strategy is described, using first the ICD-11 stem codes from the Mortality and Morbidity Statistics (MMS) linearization, followed by exposing Foundation entities, then adding postcoordination (with existing codes and adding new stem codes if necessary), with creating new stem codes as the last resort. The strategy was evaluated by recoding 2 samples of ICD-10-CM codes comprised of frequently used codes and all codes from the digestive diseases chapter. RESULTS: Among the 1725 ICD-10-CM codes examined, the cumulative coverage at the stem code, Foundation, and postcoordination levels are 35.2%, 46.5% and 89.4% respectively. 7.1% of codes require new extension codes and 3.5% require new stem codes. Among the new extension codes, severity scale values and anatomy are the most common categories. 5.5% of codes are not one-to-one matches (1 ICD-10-CM code matched to 1 ICD-11 stem code or Foundation entity) which could be potentially challenging. CONCLUSION: Existing ICD-11 content can achieve full representation of almost 90% of ICD-10-CM codes, provided that postcoordination can be used and the coding guidelines and hierarchical structures of ICD-10-CM and ICD-11 can be harmonized. The various options examined in this study should be carefully considered before embarking on the traditional approach of a full-fledged ICD-11-CM.

Mapping 3 procedure coding systems to the International Classification of Health Interventions (ICHI): coverage and challenges.

OBJECTIVE: To study the coverage and challenges in mapping 3 national and international procedure coding systems to the International Classification of Health Interventions (ICHI). MATERIALS AND METHODS: We identified 300 commonly used codes each from SNOMED CT, ICD-10-PCS, and CCI (Canadian Classification of Health Interventions) and mapped them to ICHI. We evaluated the level of match at the ICHI stem code and Foundation Component levels. We used postcoordination (modification of existing codes by adding other codes) to improve matching. Failure analysis was done for cases where full representation was not achieved. We noted and categorized potential problems that we encountered in ICHI, which could affect the accuracy and consistency of mapping. RESULTS: Overall, among the 900 codes from the 3 sources, 286 (31.8%) had full match with ICHI stem codes, 222 (24.7%) had full match with Foundation entities, and 231 (25.7%) had full match with postcoordination. 143 codes (15.9%) could only be partially represented even with postcoordination. A small number of SNOMED CT and ICD-10-PCS codes (18 codes, 2% of total), could not be mapped because the source codes were underspecified. We noted 4 categories of problems in ICHI-redundancy, missing elements, modeling issues, and naming issues. CONCLUSION: Using the full range of mapping options, at least three-quarters of the commonly used codes in each source system achieved a full match. For the purpose of international statistical reporting, full matching may not be an essential requirement. However, problems in ICHI that could result in suboptimal maps should be addressed.

Two complementary AI approaches for predicting UMLS semantic group assignment: heuristic reasoning and deep learning.

OBJECTIVE: Use heuristic, deep learning (DL), and hybrid AI methods to predict semantic group (SG) assignments for new UMLS Metathesaurus atoms, with target accuracy ≥95%. MATERIALS AND METHODS: We used train-test datasets from successive 2020AA-2022AB UMLS Metathesaurus releases. Our heuristic "waterfall" approach employed a sequence of 7 different SG prediction methods. Atoms not qualifying for a method were passed on to the next method. The DL approach generated BioWordVec and SapBERT embeddings for atom names, BioWordVec embeddings for source vocabulary names, and BioWordVec embeddings for atom names of the second-to-top nodes of an atom's source hierarchy. We fed a concatenation of the 4 embeddings into a fully connected multilayer neural network with an output layer of 15 nodes (one for each SG). For both approaches, we developed methods to estimate the probability that their predicted SG for an atom would be correct. Based on these estimations, we developed 2 hybrid SG prediction methods combining the strengths of heuristic and DL methods. RESULTS: The heuristic waterfall approach accurately predicted 94.3% of SGs for 1 563 692 new unseen atoms. The DL accuracy on the same dataset was also 94.3%. The hybrid approaches achieved an average accuracy of 96.5%. CONCLUSION: Our study demonstrated that AI methods can predict SG assignments for new UMLS atoms with sufficient accuracy to be potentially useful as an intermediate step in the time-consuming task of assigning new atoms to UMLS concepts. We showed that for SG prediction, combining heuristic methods and DL methods can produce better results than either alone.

A risk identification model for detection of patients at risk of antidepressant discontinuation.

Purpose: Between 30 and 68% of patients prematurely discontinue their antidepressant treatment, posing significant risks to patient safety and healthcare outcomes. Online healthcare forums have the potential to offer a rich and unique source of data, revealing dimensions of antidepressant discontinuation that may not be captured by conventional data sources. Methods: We analyzed 891 patient narratives from the online healthcare forum, "askapatient.com," utilizing content analysis to create PsyRisk-a corpus highlighting the risk factors associated with antidepressant discontinuation. Leveraging PsyRisk, alongside PsyTAR [a publicly available corpus of adverse drug reactions (ADRs) related to antidepressants], we developed a machine learning-driven algorithm for proactive identification of patients at risk of abrupt antidepressant discontinuation. Results: From the analyzed 891 patients, 232 reported antidepressant discontinuation. Among these patients, 92% experienced ADRs, and 72% found these reactions distressful, negatively affecting their daily activities. Approximately 26% of patients perceived the antidepressants as ineffective. Most reported ADRs were physiological (61%, 411/673), followed by cognitive (30%, 197/673), and psychological (28%, 188/673) ADRs. In our study, we employed a nested cross-validation strategy with an outer 5-fold cross-validation for model selection, and an inner 5-fold cross-validation for hyperparameter tuning. The performance of our risk identification algorithm, as assessed through this robust validation technique, yielded an AUC-ROC of 90.77 and an F1-score of 83.33. The most significant contributors to abrupt discontinuation were high perceived distress from ADRs and perceived ineffectiveness of the antidepressants. Conclusion: The risk factors identified and the risk identification algorithm developed in this study have substantial potential for clinical application. They could assist healthcare professionals in identifying and managing patients with depression who are at risk of prematurely discontinuing their antidepressant treatment.

Sequential Mapping - A Novel Approach to Map from ICD-10-CM to ICD-11.

BACKGROUND: ICD-11 will be used to report mortality statistics by WHO member countries starting in 2022. In the US, ICD-10-CM will likely continue to be used for morbidity coding for a long period of time. A map between ICD-10-CM and ICD-11 will therefore be useful for interoperability purpose between datasets coded with ICD-10-CM and ICD-11. OBJECTIVES: The objective of this study is to explore novel approaches to automatically derive a map between ICD-10-CM and ICD-11 through the sequential use of existing maps. METHODS AND RESULTS: Sequential mapping through ICD-10 yielded better coverage and accuracy compared to mapping through SNOMED CT. CONCLUSIONS: Sequential mapping is useful in automatically creating a draft map from ICD-10-CM to ICD-11 and would reduce manual curation efforts in creating the final map. The various approaches offer different trade-offs among coverage, recall and precision.

Effect of common maintenance drugs on the risk and severity of COVID-19 in elderly patients.

BACKGROUND: Maintenance drugs are used to treat chronic conditions. Several classes of maintenance drugs have attracted attention because of their potential to affect susceptibility to and severity of COVID-19. METHODS: Using claims data on 20% random sample of Part D Medicare enrollees from April to December 2020, we identified patients diagnosed with COVID-19. Using a nested case-control design, non-COVID-19 controls were identified by 1:5 matching on age, race, sex, dual-eligibility status, and geographical region. We identified usage of angiotensin-converting enzyme inhibitors (ACEI), angiotensin-receptor blockers (ARB), statins, warfarin, direct factor Xa inhibitors, P2Y12 inhibitors, famotidine and hydroxychloroquine based on Medicare prescription claims data. Using extended Cox regression models with time-varying propensity score adjustment we examined the independent effect of each study drug on contracting COVID-19. For severity of COVID-19, we performed extended Cox regressions on all COVID-19 patients, using COVID-19-related hospitalization and all-cause mortality as outcomes. Covariates included gender, age, race, geographic region, low-income indicator, and co-morbidities. To compensate for indication bias related to the use of hydroxychloroquine for the prophylaxis or treatment of COVID-19, we censored patients who only started on hydroxychloroquine in 2020. RESULTS: Up to December 2020, our sample contained 374,229 Medicare patients over 65 who were diagnosed with COVID-19. Among the COVID-19 patients, 278,912 (74.6%) were on at least one study drug. The three most common study drugs among COVID-19 patients were statins 187,374 (50.1%), ACEI 97,843 (26.2%) and ARB 83,290 (22.3%). For all three outcomes (diagnosis, hospitalization and death), current users of ACEI, ARB, statins, warfarin, direct factor Xa inhibitors and P2Y12 inhibitors were associated with reduced risks, compared to never users. Famotidine did not show consistent significant effects. Hydroxychloroquine did not show significant effects after censoring of recent starters. CONCLUSION: Maintenance use of ACEI, ARB, warfarin, statins, direct factor Xa inhibitors and P2Y12 inhibitors was associated with reduction in risk of acquiring COVID-19 and dying from it.

Using Medicare Data to Assess the Proarrhythmic Risk of Non-Cardiac Treatment Drugs that Prolong the QT Interval in Older Adults: An Observational Cohort Study.

INTRODUCTION: Serious cardiac arrhythmias caused by QT-prolonging drugs are difficult to predict based on physiological measurement and pre-approval clinical trials. Post-marketing surveillance and monitoring are important to generate safety data. OBJECTIVES: To assess whether an observational study using Medicare claims data can detect the arrhythmogenic risk of QT-prolonging drugs. METHODS: We identified 17 QT-prolonging drugs with known risk of torsades des pointes (TdP) that were not used to treat cardiac arrhythmias. Amoxicillin and four serotonin-norepinephrine reuptake inhibitors (SNRIs) were used as controls. De-identified claims data of 1.2 million Medicare beneficiaries were accessed. Two separate Cox regressions were done for short-term and chronic-use drugs. The primary outcome was a composite of ventricular arrhythmias and/or sudden death, identified by ICD diagnostic codes. We explored the independent effect of each study drug on the outcomes. Other covariates included patient demographics, comorbidities, and known risk factors for drug-induced cardiac arrhythmia. RESULTS: We were able to detect increased risk in 14 of 17 study drugs (82.3%), and none of the control drugs. Among the fluoroquinolones, ciprofloxacin was the safest. Azithromycin and clarithromycin were relatively safe compared to erythromycin. Compared to SNRIs, both citalopram and escitalopram had increased risk, more so with escitalopram than citalopram. Comorbidities associated with increased risk included ischemic heart disease, electrolyte imbalance, bradycardia, acute myocardial infarction, heart failure, and chronic kidney and liver disease. CONCLUSION: Medicare data can be utilized for post-marketing surveillance and monitoring of the proarrhythmic risk of QT-prolonging drugs in older adults.

Evaluation of the International Classification of Health Interventions (ICHI) in the coding of common surgical procedures.

OBJECTIVE: To evaluate the International Classification of Health Interventions (ICHI) in the clinical and statistical use cases. MATERIALS AND METHODS: We identified 300 most-performed surgical procedures as represented by their display names in an electronic health record. For comparison with existing coding systems, we coded the procedures in ICHI, SNOMED CT, International Classification of Diseases (ICD)-10-PCS, and CCI (Canadian Classification of Health Interventions), using postcoordination (modification of existing codes by adding other codes), when applicable. Failure analysis was done for cases where full representation was not achieved. The ICHI encoding was further evaluated for adequacy to support statistical reporting by the Organisation for Economic Co-operation and Development (OECD) and European Union (EU) categories of surgical procedures. RESULTS: After deduplication, 229 distinct procedures remained. Without postcoordination, ICHI achieved full representation in 52.8%. A further 19.2% could be fully represented with postcoordination. SNOMED CT was the best performing overall, with 94.3% full representation without postcoordination, and 99.6% with postcoordination. Failure analysis showed that "method" and "target" constituted most of the missing information for ICHI encoding. For all OECD/EU surgical categories, ICHI coding was adequate to support statistical reporting. One OECD/EU category ("Hip replacement, secondary") required postcoordination for correct assignment. CONCLUSION: In the clinical use case of capturing information in the electronic health record, ICHI was outperformed by the clinically oriented procedure coding systems (SNOMED CT and CCI), but was comparable to ICD-10-PCS. Postcoordination could be an effective and efficient means of improving coverage. ICHI is generally adequate for the collection of international statistics.

Feasibility of replacing the ICD-10-CM with the ICD-11 for morbidity coding: A content analysis.

OBJECTIVE: The study sought to assess the feasibility of replacing the International Classification of Diseases-Tenth Revision-Clinical Modification (ICD-10-CM) with the International Classification of Diseases-11th Revision (ICD-11) for morbidity coding based on content analysis. MATERIALS AND METHODS: The most frequently used ICD-10-CM codes from each chapter covering 60% of patients were identified from Medicare claims and hospital data. Each ICD-10-CM code was recoded in the ICD-11, using postcoordination (combination of codes) if necessary. Recoding was performed by 2 terminologists independently. Failure analysis was done for cases where full representation was not achieved even with postcoordination. After recoding, the coding guidance (inclusions, exclusions, and index) of the ICD-10-CM and ICD-11 codes were reviewed for conflict. RESULTS: Overall, 23.5% of 943 codes could be fully represented by the ICD-11 without postcoordination. Postcoordination is the potential game changer. It supports the full representation of 8.6% of 943 codes. Moreover, with the addition of only 9 extension codes, postcoordination supports the full representation of 35.2% of 943 codes. Coding guidance review identified potential conflicts in 10% of codes, but mostly not affecting recoding. The majority of the conflicts resulted from differences in granularity and default coding assumptions between the ICD-11 and ICD-10-CM. CONCLUSIONS: With some minor enhancements to postcoordination, the ICD-11 can fully represent almost 60% of the most frequently used ICD-10-CM codes. Even without postcoordination, 23.5% full representation is comparable to the 24.3% of ICD-9-CM codes with exact match in the ICD-10-CM, so migrating from the ICD-10-CM to the ICD-11 is not necessarily more disruptive than from the International Classification of Diseases-Ninth Revision-Clinical Modification to the ICD-10-CM. Therefore, the ICD-11 (without a CM) should be considered as a candidate to replace the ICD-10-CM for morbidity coding.

The changing patterns of comorbidities associated with human immunodeficiency virus infection, a longitudinal retrospective cohort study of Medicare patients.

ABSTRACT: The objective of this paper is to determine the temporal trend of the association of 66 comorbidities with human immunodeficiency virus (HIV) infection status among Medicare beneficiaries from 2000 through 2016.We harvested patient level encounter claims from a 17-year long 100% sample of Medicare records. We used the chronic conditions warehouse comorbidity flags to determine HIV infection status and presence of comorbidities. We prepared 1 data set per year for analysis. Our 17 study data sets are retrospective annualized patient level case histories where the comorbidity status reflects if the patient has ever met the comorbidity case definition from the start of the study to the analysis year.We implemented one logistic binary regression model per study year to discover the maximum likelihood estimate (MLE) of a comorbidity belonging to our binary classes of HIV+ or HIV- study populations. We report MLE and odds ratios by comorbidity and year.Of the 66 assessed comorbidities, 35 remained associated with HIV- across all model years, 19 remained associated with HIV+ across all model years. Three comorbidities changed association from HIV+ to HIV- and 9 comorbidities changed association from HIV- to HIV+.The prevalence of comorbidities associated with HIV infection changed over time due to clinical, social, and epidemiological reasons. Comorbidity surveillance can provide important insights into the understanding and management of HIV infection and its consequences.

Use of word and graph embedding to measure semantic relatedness between Unified Medical Language System concepts.

OBJECTIVE: The study sought to explore the use of deep learning techniques to measure the semantic relatedness between Unified Medical Language System (UMLS) concepts. MATERIALS AND METHODS: Concept sentence embeddings were generated for UMLS concepts by applying the word embedding models BioWordVec and various flavors of BERT to concept sentences formed by concatenating UMLS terms. Graph embeddings were generated by the graph convolutional networks and 4 knowledge graph embedding models, using graphs built from UMLS hierarchical relations. Semantic relatedness was measured by the cosine between the concepts' embedding vectors. Performance was compared with 2 traditional path-based (shortest path and Leacock-Chodorow) measurements and the publicly available concept embeddings, cui2vec, generated from large biomedical corpora. The concept sentence embeddings were also evaluated on a word sense disambiguation (WSD) task. Reference standards used included the semantic relatedness and semantic similarity datasets from the University of Minnesota, concept pairs generated from the Standardized MedDRA Queries and the MeSH (Medical Subject Headings) WSD corpus. RESULTS: Sentence embeddings generated by BioWordVec outperformed all other methods used individually in semantic relatedness measurements. Graph convolutional network graph embedding uniformly outperformed path-based measurements and was better than some word embeddings for the Standardized MedDRA Queries dataset. When used together, combined word and graph embedding achieved the best performance in all datasets. For WSD, the enhanced versions of BERT outperformed BioWordVec. CONCLUSIONS: Word and graph embedding techniques can be used to harness terms and relations in the UMLS to measure semantic relatedness between concepts. Concept sentence embedding outperforms path-based measurements and cui2vec, and can be further enhanced by combining with graph embedding.

The new International Classification of Diseases 11th edition: a comparative analysis with ICD-10 and ICD-10-CM.

OBJECTIVE: To study the newly adopted International Classification of Diseases 11th revision (ICD-11) and compare it to the International Classification of Diseases 10th revision (ICD-10) and International Classification of Diseases 10th revision-Clinical Modification (ICD-10-CM). MATERIALS AND METHODS: : Data files and maps were downloaded from the World Health Organization (WHO) website and through the application programming interfaces. A round trip method based on the WHO maps was used to identify equivalent codes between ICD-10 and ICD-11, which were validated by limited manual review. ICD-11 terms were mapped to ICD-10-CM through normalized lexical mapping. ICD-10-CM codes in 6 disease areas were also manually recoded in ICD-11. RESULTS: Excluding the chapters for traditional medicine, functioning assessment, and extension codes for postcoordination, ICD-11 has 14 622 leaf codes (codes that can be used in coding) compared to ICD-10 and ICD-10-CM, which has 10 607 and 71 932 leaf codes, respectively. We identified 4037 pairs of ICD-10 and ICD-11 codes that were equivalent (estimated accuracy of 96%) by our round trip method. Lexical matching between ICD-11 and ICD-10-CM identified 4059 pairs of possibly equivalent codes. Manual recoding showed that 60% of a sample of 388 ICD-10-CM codes could be fully represented in ICD-11 by precoordinated codes or postcoordination. CONCLUSION: In ICD-11, there is a moderate increase in the number of codes over ICD-10. With postcoordination, it is possible to fully represent the meaning of a high proportion of ICD-10-CM codes, especially with the addition of a limited number of extension codes.

The Use of Inter-terminology Maps for the Creation and Maintenance of Value Sets.

Value sets are essential in activities such as electronic clinical quality measures (eCQM) and patient cohort definition. Creation and maintenance of value sets is labor intensive and error prone. Our method aims to use existing inter-terminology maps to improve the quality of value sets that are defined in more than one terminology. For 197 eCQM value sets defined in SNOMED CT plus ICD-9-CM and/or ICD-10-CM, the map-generated codes showed good overlap with the value set codes. Manual review showed that some new codes identified by mapping should probably be included in the value sets. This could potentially augment the ICD-9-CM codes by 45% (1.5 codes), ICD-10-CM codes by 25% (1.8 codes) and SNOMED CT codes by up to 42% (4.8 codes) per value set on average. The mapping between SNOMED CT and ICD-10-PCS did not perform as well because of the granularity discrepancy in the map.

Evaluation of Research Accessibility and Data Elements of HIV Registries.

BACKGROUND: Patient registries represent a long-term data collection system that is a platform for performing multiple research studies to generate real-world evidence. Many of these registries use common data elements (CDEs) and link data from Electronic Health Records. OBJECTIVE: This study evaluated HIV registry features that contribute to the registry's usability for retrospective analysis of existing registry data or new prospective interventional studies. METHODS: We searched PubMed and ClinicalTrials.gov (CTG) to generate a list of HIV registries. We used the framework developed by the European Medical Agency (EMA) to evaluate the registries by determining the presence of key research features. These features included information about the registry, request and collaboration processes, and available data. We acquired data dictionaries and identified CDEs. RESULTS: We found 13 HIV registries that met our criteria, 11 through PubMed and 2 through CTG. The prevalence of the evaluated features ranged from all 13 (100%) having published key registry information to 0 having a research contract template. We analyzed 6 data dictionaries and identified 14 CDEs that were present in at least 4 of 6 (66.7%) registry data dictionaries. CONCLUSION: The importance of registries as platforms for research data is growing and the presence of certain features, including data dictionaries, contributes to the reuse and secondary research capabilities of a registry. We found some features such as collaboration policies were in the majority of registries while others such as, ethical support, were in a few and are more for future development.