Tight Blood-Glucose Control without Early Parenteral Nutrition in the ICU.

BACKGROUND: Randomized, controlled trials have shown both benefit and harm from tight blood-glucose control in patients in the intensive care unit (ICU). Variation in the use of early parenteral nutrition and in insulin-induced severe hypoglycemia might explain this inconsistency. METHODS: We randomly assigned patients, on ICU admission, to liberal glucose control (insulin initiated only when the blood-glucose level was >215 mg per deciliter [>11.9 mmol per liter]) or to tight glucose control (blood-glucose level targeted with the use of the LOGIC-Insulin algorithm at 80 to 110 mg per deciliter [4.4 to 6.1 mmol per liter]); parenteral nutrition was withheld in both groups for 1 week. Protocol adherence was determined according to glucose metrics. The primary outcome was the length of time that ICU care was needed, calculated on the basis of time to discharge alive from the ICU, with death accounted for as a competing risk; 90-day mortality was the safety outcome. RESULTS: Of 9230 patients who underwent randomization, 4622 were assigned to liberal glucose control and 4608 to tight glucose control. The median morning blood-glucose level was 140 mg per deciliter (interquartile range, 122 to 161) with liberal glucose control and 107 mg per deciliter (interquartile range, 98 to 117) with tight glucose control. Severe hypoglycemia occurred in 31 patients (0.7%) in the liberal-control group and 47 patients (1.0%) in the tight-control group. The length of time that ICU care was needed was similar in the two groups (hazard ratio for earlier discharge alive with tight glucose control, 1.00; 95% confidence interval, 0.96 to 1.04; P = 0.94). Mortality at 90 days was also similar (10.1% with liberal glucose control and 10.5% with tight glucose control, P = 0.51). Analyses of eight prespecified secondary outcomes suggested that the incidence of new infections, the duration of respiratory and hemodynamic support, the time to discharge alive from the hospital, and mortality in the ICU and hospital were similar in the two groups, whereas severe acute kidney injury and cholestatic liver dysfunction appeared less prevalent with tight glucose control. CONCLUSIONS: In critically ill patients who were not receiving early parenteral nutrition, tight glucose control did not affect the length of time that ICU care was needed or mortality. (Funded by the Research Foundation-Flanders and others; TGC-Fast ClinicalTrials.gov number, NCT03665207.).

Development and validation of the creatinine clearance predictor machine learning models in critically ill adults.

BACKGROUND: In critically ill patients, measured creatinine clearance (CrCl) is the most reliable method to evaluate glomerular filtration rate in routine clinical practice and may vary subsequently on a day-to-day basis. We developed and externally validated models to predict CrCl one day ahead and compared them with a reference reflecting current clinical practice. METHODS: A gradient boosting method (GBM) machine-learning algorithm was used to develop the models on data from 2825 patients from the EPaNIC multicenter randomized controlled trial database. We externally validated the models on 9576 patients from the University Hospitals Leuven, included in the M@tric database. Three models were developed: a "Core" model based on demographic, admission diagnosis, and daily laboratory results; a "Core + BGA" model adding blood gas analysis results; and a "Core + BGA + Monitoring" model also including high-resolution monitoring data. Model performance was evaluated against the actual CrCl by mean absolute error (MAE) and root-mean-square error (RMSE). RESULTS: All three developed models showed smaller prediction errors than the reference. Assuming the same CrCl of the day of prediction showed 20.6 (95% CI 20.3-20.9) ml/min MAE and 40.1 (95% CI 37.9-42.3) ml/min RMSE in the external validation cohort, while the developed model having the smallest RMSE (the Core + BGA + Monitoring model) had 18.1 (95% CI 17.9-18.3) ml/min MAE and 28.9 (95% CI 28-29.7) ml/min RMSE. CONCLUSIONS: Prediction models based on routinely collected clinical data in the ICU were able to accurately predict next-day CrCl. These models could be useful for hydrophilic drug dosage adjustment or stratification of patients at risk. TRIAL REGISTRATION: Not applicable.

The association of hypoglycemia with outcome of critically ill children in relation to nutritional and blood glucose control strategies.

BACKGROUND: Withholding parenteral nutrition (PN) until one week after PICU admission facilitated recovery from critical illness and protected against emotional and behavioral problems 4 years later. However, the intervention increased the risk of hypoglycemia, which may have counteracted part of the benefit. Previously, hypoglycemia occurring under tight glucose control in critically ill children receiving early PN did not associate with long-term harm. We investigated whether hypoglycemia in PICU differentially associates with outcome in the context of withholding early PN, and whether any potential association with outcome may depend on the applied glucose control protocol. METHODS: In this secondary analysis of the multicenter PEPaNIC RCT, we studied whether hypoglycemia in PICU associated with mortality (N = 1440) and 4-years neurodevelopmental outcome (N = 674) through univariable comparison and multivariable regression analyses adjusting for potential confounders. In patients with available blood samples (N = 556), multivariable models were additionally adjusted for baseline serum NSE and S100B concentrations as biomarkers of neuronal, respectively, astrocytic damage. To study whether an association of hypoglycemia with outcome may be affected by the nutritional strategy or center-specific glucose control protocol, we further adjusted the models for the interaction between hypoglycemia and the randomized nutritional strategy, respectively, treatment center. In sensitivity analyses, we studied whether any association with outcome was different in patients with iatrogenic or spontaneous/recurrent hypoglycemia. RESULTS: Hypoglycemia univariably associated with higher mortality in PICU, at 90 days and 4 years after randomization, but not when adjusted for risk factors. After 4 years, critically ill children with hypoglycemia scored significantly worse for certain parent/caregiver-reported executive functions (working memory, planning and organization, metacognition) than patients without hypoglycemia, also when adjusted for risk factors including baseline NSE and S100B. Further adjustment for the interaction of hypoglycemia with the randomized intervention or treatment center revealed a potential interaction, whereby tight glucose control and withholding early PN may be protective. Impaired executive functions were most pronounced in patients with spontaneous or recurrent hypoglycemia. CONCLUSION: Critically ill children exposed to hypoglycemia in PICU were at higher risk of impaired executive functions after 4 years, especially in cases of spontaneous/recurrent hypoglycemia.

Development and validation of clinical prediction models for acute kidney injury recovery at hospital discharge in critically ill adults.

PURPOSE: Acute kidney injury (AKI) recovery prediction remains challenging. The purpose of the present study is to develop and validate prediction models for AKI recovery at hospital discharge in critically ill patients with ICU-acquired AKI stage 3 (AKI-3). METHODS: Models were developed and validated in a development cohort (n = 229) and a matched validation cohort (n = 244) from the multicenter EPaNIC database to create prediction models with the least absolute shrinkage and selection operator (Lasso) machine-learning algorithm. We evaluated the discrimination and calibration of the models and compared their performance with plasma neutrophil gelatinase-associated lipocalin (NGAL) measured on first AKI-3 day (NGAL_AKI3) and reference model that only based on age. RESULTS: Complete recovery and complete or partial recovery occurred in 33.20% and 51.23% of the validation cohort patients respectively. The prediction model for complete recovery based on age, need for renal replacement therapy (RRT), diagnostic group (cardiac/surgical/trauma/others), and sepsis on admission had an area under the receiver operating characteristics curve (AUROC) of 0.53. The prediction model for complete or partial recovery based on age, need for RRT, platelet count, urea, and white blood cell count had an AUROC of 0.61. NGAL_AKI3 showed AUROCs of 0.55 and 0.53 respectively. In cardiac patients, the models had higher AUROCs of 0.60 and 0.71 than NGAL_AKI3's AUROCs of 0.52 and 0.54. The developed models demonstrated a better performance over the reference models (only based on age) for cardiac surgery patients, but not for patients with sepsis and for a general ICU population. CONCLUSION: Models to predict AKI recovery upon hospital discharge in critically ill patients with AKI-3 showed poor performance in the general ICU population, similar to the biomarker NGAL. In cardiac surgery patients, discrimination was acceptable, and better than NGAL. These findings demonstrate the difficulty of predicting non-reversible AKI early.

Physical, Emotional/Behavioral, and Neurocognitive Developmental Outcomes From 2 to 4 Years After PICU Admission: A Secondary Analysis of the Early Versus Late Parenteral Nutrition Randomized Controlled Trial Cohort.

OBJECTIVES: PICU patients face long-term developmental impairments, partially attributable to early parenteral nutrition (PN) versus late-PN. We investigated how this legacy and harm by early-PN evolve over time. DESIGN: Preplanned secondary analysis of the multicenter PEPaNIC-RCT (ClinicalTrials.gov, NCT01536275) that enrolled 1,440 critically ill children from 2012 to 2015 and its 2- (2014-2018) and 4-year (2016-2019) cross-sectional follow-up studies. SETTING: PICUs of Leuven (Belgium), Rotterdam (The Netherlands), and Edmonton (Canada). PATIENTS: Patients and demographically matched healthy control children that underwent longitudinal assessment for physical/emotional/behavioral/neurocognitive functions at both follow-up time points. INTERVENTIONS: In the PEPaNIC-RCT, patients were randomly allocated to early-PN versus late-PN. MEASUREMENTS AND MAIN RESULTS: This within-individual longitudinal study investigated changes in physical/emotional/behavioral/neurocognitive functions from 2 to 4 years after PICU admission for 614 patients (297 early-PN and 317 late-PN, tested at mean ± sd age 5.4 ± 4.2 and 7.3 ± 4.3 yr) and for 357 demographically matched healthy children tested at age 5.6 ± 4.3 and 7.5 ± 4.3 years. We determined within-group time-courses, interaction between time and group, and independent impact of critical illness and early-PN on these time-courses. Most deficits in patients versus healthy children remained prominent over the 2 years ( p ≤ 0.01). Deficits further aggravated for height, body mass index, the executive function metacognition, intelligence, motor coordination (alternating/synchronous tapping), and memory learning-index, whereas verbal memory deficits became smaller (working/immediate/delayed memory) ( p ≤ 0.05). Adjustment for risk factors confirmed most findings and revealed that patients "grew-into-deficit" for additional executive functions (flexibility/emotional control/total executive functioning) and "grew-out-of-deficit" for additional memory functions (recognition/pictures) ( p ≤ 0.05). Time-courses were largely unaffected by early-PN versus late-PN, except for weight loss and limited catch-up for visual-motor integration and alertness in early-PN patients ( p ≤ 0.05). CONCLUSIONS: From 2- to 4-year post-PICU admission, developmental impairments remained prominent. Within that time-window, impaired growth in height, executive functioning and intelligence aggravated, and impaired memory and harm by early-PN only partially recovered. Impact on development into adulthood requires further investigation.

Postoperative Cerebral Oxygen Saturation in Children After Congenital Cardiac Surgery and Long-Term Total Intelligence Quotient: A Prospective Observational Study.

OBJECTIVES: During the early postoperative period, children with congenital heart disease can suffer from inadequate cerebral perfusion, with possible long-term neurocognitive consequences. Cerebral tissue oxygen saturation can be monitored noninvasively with near-infrared spectroscopy. In this prospective study, we hypothesized that reduced cerebral tissue oxygen saturation and increased intensity and duration of desaturation (defined as cerebral tissue oxygen saturation < 65%) during the early postoperative period, independently increase the probability of reduced total intelligence quotient, 2 years after admission to a PICU. DESIGN: Single-center, prospective study, performed between 2012 and 2015. SETTING: The PICU of the University Hospitals Leuven, Belgium. PATIENTS: The study included pediatric patients after surgery for congenital heart disease admitted to the PICU. INTERVENTIONS: None. MEASUREMENTS AND MAIN RESULTS: Postoperative cerebral perfusion was characterized with the mean cerebral tissue oxygen saturation and dose of desaturation of the first 12 and 24 hours of cerebral tissue oxygen saturation monitoring. The independent association of postoperative mean cerebral tissue oxygen saturation and dose of desaturation with total intelligence quotient at 2-year follow-up was evaluated with a Bayesian linear regression model adjusted for known confounders. According to a noninformative prior, reduced mean cerebral tissue oxygen saturation during the first 12 hours of monitoring results in a loss of intelligence quotient points at 2 years, with a 90% probability (posterior ß estimates [80% credible interval], 0.23 [0.04-0.41]). Similarly, increased dose of cerebral tissue oxygen saturation desaturation would result in a loss of intelligence quotient points at 2 years with a 90% probability (posterior ß estimates [80% credible interval], -0.009 [-0.016 to -0.001]). CONCLUSIONS: Increased dose of cerebral tissue oxygen saturation desaturation and reduced mean cerebral tissue oxygen saturation during the early postoperative period independently increase the probability of having a lower total intelligence quotient, 2 years after PICU admission.

Endoplasmic reticulum stress actively suppresses hepatic molecular identity in damaged liver.

Liver injury triggers adaptive remodeling of the hepatic transcriptome for repair/regeneration. We demonstrate that this involves particularly profound transcriptomic alterations where acute induction of genes involved in handling of endoplasmic reticulum stress (ERS) is accompanied by partial hepatic dedifferentiation. Importantly, widespread hepatic gene downregulation could not simply be ascribed to cofactor squelching secondary to ERS gene induction, but rather involves a combination of active repressive mechanisms. ERS acts through inhibition of the liver-identity (LIVER-ID) transcription factor (TF) network, initiated by rapid LIVER-ID TF protein loss. In addition, induction of the transcriptional repressor NFIL3 further contributes to LIVER-ID gene repression. Alteration to the liver TF repertoire translates into compromised activity of regulatory regions characterized by the densest co-recruitment of LIVER-ID TFs and decommissioning of BRD4 super-enhancers driving hepatic identity. While transient repression of the hepatic molecular identity is an intrinsic part of liver repair, sustained disequilibrium between the ERS and LIVER-ID transcriptional programs is linked to liver dysfunction as shown using mouse models of acute liver injury and livers from deceased human septic patients.

Visualization of Intracranial Pressure Insults After Severe Traumatic Brain Injury: Influence of Individualized Limits of Reactivity.

Cerebral perfusion pressure (CPP) lower limits of reactivity can be determined almost continuously after severe traumatic brain injury (TBI), and deviation below the lower limit carries important prognostic information. In this study, we used a recently derived coloured contour method for visualizing intracranial pressure (ICP) insults to describe the influence of having a CPP above the CPP lower limits of reactivity after severe TBI. In a cohort of 729 patients, we examined the relationship between ICP insults and the 6-month Glasgow Outcome Scale score, using colour-coded plots, as described previously. We then assessed this relationship when ICP insults were above or below the CPP lower limit of reactivity. We found a curvilinear relationship whereby even prolonged durations of low-intensity ICP insults were not associated with poor outcomes but short durations of high-intensity insults were. When only ICP insults with a CPP below the CPP lower limit of reactivity were considered, a much lower intensity of ICP insults could be tolerated. A CPP above the lower limits of reactivity exerts a protective effect, whereas a CPP below the lower reactivity limits renders the patient vulnerable to increased morbidity from intracranial hypertension.

Association of Dose of Intracranial Hypertension with Outcome in Subarachnoid Hemorrhage.

BACKGROUND: In patients with aneurysmal subarachnoid hemorrhage (aSAH) the burden of intracranial pressure (ICP) and its contribution to outcomes remains unclear. In this multicenter study, the independent association between intensity and duration, or "dose," of episodes of intracranial hypertension and 12-month neurological outcomes was investigated. METHODS: This was a retrospective analysis of multicenter prospectively collected data of 98 adult patients with aSAH amendable to treatment. Patients were admitted to the intensive care unit of two European centers (Medical University of Innsbruck [Austria] and San Gerardo University Hospital of Monza [Italy]) from 2009 to 2013. The dose of intracranial hypertension was visualized. The obtained visualizations allowed us to investigate the association between intensity and duration of episodes of intracranial hypertension and the 12-month neurological outcomes of the patients, assessed with the Glasgow Outcome Score. The independent association between the cumulative dose of intracranial hypertension and outcome for each patient was investigated by using multivariable logistic regression models corrected for age, occurrence of delayed cerebral ischemia, and the Glasgow Coma Scale score at admission. RESULTS: The combination of duration and intensity defined the tolerance to intracranial hypertension for the two cohorts of patients. A semiexponential transition divided ICP doses that were associated with better outcomes (in blue) with ICP doses associated with worse outcomes (in red). In addition, in both cohorts, an independent association was found between the cumulative time that the patient experienced ICP doses in the red area and long-term neurological outcomes. The ICP pressure-time burden was a stronger predictor of outcomes than the cumulative time spent by the patients with an ICP greater than 20 mmHg. CONCLUSIONS: In two cohorts of patients with aSAH, an association between duration and intensity of episodes of elevated ICP and 12-month neurological outcomes could be demonstrated and was visualized in a color-coded plot.

Health-related quality of life of children and their parents 2 years after critical illness: pre-planned follow-up of the PEPaNIC international, randomized, controlled trial.

BACKGROUND: Pediatric intensive care unit (PICU) survivors are at risk for prolonged morbidities interfering with daily life. The current study examined parent-reported health-related quality of life (HRQoL) in former critically ill children and parents themselves and aimed to determine whether withholding parenteral nutrition (PN) in the first week of critical illness affected children's and parents' HRQoL 2 years later. METHODS: Children who participated in the pediatric early versus late parenteral nutrition in critical illness (PEPaNIC) trial and who were testable 2 years later (n = 1158) were included. Their HRQoL outcomes were compared with 405 matched healthy controls. At PICU admission, children had been randomly assigned to early-PN or late-PN. In the early-PN group, PN was initiated within 24 h after PICU admission. In the late-PN group, PN was withheld for up to 1 week in the PICU. Parents completed the Infant Toddler Quality of Life Questionnaire (ITQOL; age 2-3 years) or the Child Health Questionnaire-Parent Form 50 (CHQ-PF50; age 4-18 years). Besides, they completed the Health Utility Index (HUI) and the Short Form Health Survey (SF-12) regarding their child's and their own HRQoL, respectively. RESULTS: For the total age group of 786 post-PICU survivors, parents reported lower scores for almost all HRQoL scales compared to healthy children. Age-specifically, younger critically ill children (2.5 to 3 years old) scored worse for growth and development and older children (4-18 years old) scored worse for role functioning and mental health. Parents' own mental and physical HRQoL was comparable to that of healthy control parents. No HRQoL differences were found between children in the late-PN and those in the early-PN group. CONCLUSIONS: Parent-reported HRQoL of children 2 years after critical illness was impaired compared with healthy controls. In relation to their child's HRQoL, parents reported impairments in emotions, personal time, and family activities; however, their own HRQoL was not impaired. Withholding PN in the first week during critical illness had no impact on longer-term HRQoL of the child. TRIAL REGISTRATION: Clinical trials, NCT01536275. Registered 22 February 2012.

Machine learning versus physicians' prediction of acute kidney injury in critically ill adults: a prospective evaluation of the AKIpredictor.

BACKGROUND: Early diagnosis of acute kidney injury (AKI) is a major challenge in the intensive care unit (ICU). The AKIpredictor is a set of machine-learning-based prediction models for AKI using routinely collected patient information, and accessible online. In order to evaluate its clinical value, the AKIpredictor was compared to physicians' predictions. METHODS: Prospective observational study in five ICUs of a tertiary academic center. Critically ill adults without end-stage renal disease or AKI upon admission were considered for enrollment. Using structured questionnaires, physicians were asked upon admission, on the first morning, and after 24 h to predict the development of AKI stages 2 or 3 (AKI-23) during the first week of ICU stay. Discrimination, calibration, and net benefit of physicians' predictions were compared against the ones by the AKIpredictor. RESULTS: Two hundred fifty-two patients were included, 30 (12%) developed AKI-23. In the cohort of patients with predictions by physicians and AKIpredictor, the performance of physicians and AKIpredictor were respectively upon ICU admission, area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (AUROC) 0.80 [0.69-0.92] versus 0.75 [0.62-0.88] (n = 120, P = 0.25) with net benefit in ranges 0-26% versus 0-74%; on the first morning, AUROC 0.94 [0.89-0.98] versus 0.89 [0.82-0.97] (n = 187, P = 0.27) with main net benefit in ranges 0-10% versus 0-48%; after 24 h, AUROC 0.95 [0.89-1.00] versus 0.89 [0.79-0.99] (n = 89, P = 0.09) with main net benefit in ranges 0-67% versus 0-50%. CONCLUSIONS: The machine-learning-based AKIpredictor achieved similar discriminative performance as physicians for prediction of AKI-23, and higher net benefit overall, because physicians overestimated the risk of AKI. This suggests an added value of the systematic risk stratification by the AKIpredictor to physicians' predictions, in particular to select high-risk patients or reduce false positives in studies evaluating new and potentially harmful therapies. Due to the low event rate, future studies are needed to validate these findings. TRIAL REGISTRATION: ClinicalTrials.gov, NCT03574896 registration date: July 2nd, 2018.

Performance of Pediatric Mortality Prediction Scores for PICU Mortality and 90-Day Mortality.

OBJECTIVES: The use of mortality prediction scores in clinical trials in the PICU is essential for comparing patient groups. Because of the decline in PICU mortality over the last decades, leading to a shift toward later deaths, recent trials use 90-day mortality as primary outcome for estimating mortality and survival more accurately. This study assessed and compared the performance of two frequently used PICU mortality prediction scores for prediction of PICU and 90-day mortality. DESIGN: This secondary analysis of the randomized controlled Early versus Late Parenteral Nutrition in the Pediatric Intensive Care Unit trial compared the discrimination (area under the receiver operating characteristic curve) and calibration of the Pediatric Index of Mortality 3 and the Pediatric Risk of Mortality III scores for prediction of PICU and 90-day mortality. SETTING: Three participating PICUs within academic hospitals in Belgium, the Netherlands, and Canada. PATIENTS: One-thousand four-hundred twenty-eight critically ill patients 0-17 years old. INTERVENTIONS: None. MEASUREMENTS AND MAIN RESULTS: Although Pediatric Index of Mortality 3 only includes information available at the time of PICU admission, thus before any intervention in the PICU, it showed good discrimination (area under the receiver operating characteristic curve, 0.894; 95% CI, 0.892-0.896) and good calibration (no deviation from the diagonal, p = 0.58) for PICU mortality. Pediatric Risk of Mortality III, which involves the worst values for the evaluated variables during the first 24 hours of PICU stay, was statistically more discriminant (area under the receiver operating characteristic curve, 0.920; 95% CI, 0.918-0.921; p = 0.04) but poor in calibration (significant deviation from the diagonal; p = 0.04). Pediatric Index of Mortality 3 and Pediatric Risk of Mortality III discriminated equally well between 90-day mortality and survival (area under the receiver operating characteristic curve, 0.867; 95% CI, 0.866-0.869 and area under the receiver operating characteristic curve, 0.882; 95% CI, 0.880-0.884, respectively, p = 0.77), but Pediatric Risk of Mortality III was not well calibrated (p = 0.04), unlike Pediatric Index of Mortality 3 (p = 0.34). CONCLUSIONS: Pediatric Index of Mortality 3 performed better in calibration for predicting PICU and 90-day mortality than Pediatric Risk of Mortality III and is not influenced by intervention or PICU quality of care. Therefore, Pediatric Index of Mortality 3 seems a better choice for use in clinical trials with 90-day mortality as primary outcome.

Prevalence and Prognostic Value of Abnormal Liver Test Results in Critically Ill Children and the Impact of Delaying Parenteral Nutrition.

OBJECTIVES: In the Early versus Late Parenteral Nutrition in the Pediatric ICU randomized controlled trial, delaying parenteral nutrition to beyond day 7 (late parenteral nutrition) was clinically superior to supplemental parenteral nutrition initiated within 24 hours (early parenteral nutrition), but resulted in a higher rise in bilirubin. We aimed to document prevalence and prognostic value of abnormal liver tests in the PICU and the impact hereon of withholding early parenteral nutrition. DESIGN: Preplanned secondary analysis of the Early versus Late Parenteral Nutrition in the Pediatric ICU randomized controlled trial. Total bilirubin, alanine aminotransferase, aspartate aminotransferase, gamma-glutamyl transpeptidase, alkaline phosphatase plasma concentrations were measured systematically in PICU. Liver test analyses were adjusted for baseline characteristics including severity of illness. SETTING: Three PICUs in Belgium, the Netherlands, and Canada. PATIENTS: As neonatal jaundice was considered a confounder, only the 1,231 of the 1,440 Early versus Late Parenteral Nutrition in the Pediatric ICU-patients 28 days to 17 years old were included. INTERVENTIONS: Late parenteral nutrition as compared with early parenteral nutrition. MEASUREMENTS AND MAIN RESULTS: During the first seven PICU days, the prevalence of cholestasis (> 2 mg/dL [34.2 µmol/L] bilirubin) ranged between 3.8% and 4.9% and of hypoxic hepatitis (≥ 20-fold upper limit of normality for alanine aminotransferase and aspartate aminotransferase) between 0.8% and 2.2%, both unaffected by the use of parenteral nutrition. Throughout the first week in PICU plasma bilirubin concentrations were higher in late parenteral nutrition patients (p < 0.05), but became comparable to early parenteral nutrition patients as soon as parenteral nutrition was started on day 8. Plasma concentrations of gamma-glutamyl transpeptidase, alkaline phosphatase, alanine aminotransferase, and aspartate aminotransferase were unaffected by parenteral nutrition. High day 1 plasma concentrations of gamma-glutamyl transpeptidase, alanine aminotransferase, and aspartate aminotransferase (p ≤ 0.01), but not alkaline phosphatase, were independent risk factors for PICU mortality. Day 1 plasma bilirubin concentrations displayed a U-shaped association with PICU mortality, with higher mortality associated with bilirubin less than 0.20 mg/dL and greater than 0.76 mg/dL (< 3.42 µmol/L and > 13 µmol/L) (p ≤ 0.01). CONCLUSIONS: Overt cholestasis and hypoxic hepatitis were rare and unrelated to the nutritional strategy. However, withholding parenteral nutrition up to 1 week in PICU increased plasma bilirubin. A mild elevation of bilirubin on the first PICU day was associated with lower risk of death and may reflect a stress response, rather than true cholestasis.

Near-Infrared Cerebral Oximetry to Predict Outcome After Pediatric Cardiac Surgery: A Prospective Observational Study.

OBJECTIVES: To assess whether near-infrared cerebral tissue oxygen saturation, measured with the FORESIGHT cerebral oximeter (CAS Medical Systems, Branford, CT) predicts PICU length of stay, duration of invasive mechanical ventilation, and mortality in critically ill children after pediatric cardiac surgery. DESIGN: Single-center prospective, observational study. SETTING: Twelve-bed PICU of a tertiary academic hospital. PATIENTS: Critically ill children and infants with congenital heart disease, younger than 12 years old, admitted to the PICU between October 2012 and November 2015. Children were monitored with the FORESIGHT cerebral oximeter from PICU admission until they were weaned off mechanical ventilation. Clinicians were blinded to cerebral tissue oxygen saturation data. INTERVENTIONS: None. MEASUREMENTS AND MAIN RESULTS: Primary outcome was the predictive value of the first 24 hours of postoperative cerebral tissue oxygen saturation for duration of PICU stay (median [95% CI], 4 d [3-8 d]) and duration of mechanical ventilation (median [95% CI], 111.3 hr (69.3-190.4 hr]). We calculated predictors on the first 24 hours of cerebral tissue oxygen saturation monitoring. The association of each individual cerebral tissue oxygen saturation predictor and of a combination of predictors were assessed using univariable and multivariable bootstrap analyses, adjusting for age, weight, gender, Pediatric Index of Mortality 2, Risk Adjustment in Congenital Heart Surgery 1, cyanotic heart defect, and time prior to cerebral tissue oxygen saturation monitoring. The most important risk factors associated with worst outcomes were an increased SD of a smoothed cerebral tissue oxygen saturation signal and an elevated cerebral tissue oxygen saturation desaturation score. CONCLUSIONS: Increased SD of a smoothed cerebral tissue oxygen saturation signal and increased depth and duration of desaturation below the 50% saturation threshold were associated with longer PICU and hospital stays and with longer duration of mechanical ventilation after pediatric cardiac surgery.

What Do We Mean by Cerebral Perfusion Pressure?

INTRODUCTION: No consensus exists on the exact method for measuring mean arterial blood pressure (MAP) in the definition of cerebral perfusion pressure (CPP). The aim of the current study is to investigate how different MAP measurement methods have influenced the CPP recommendations in the Brain Trauma Foundation (BTF) guidelines. METHODS: All papers on which the chapter on CPP thresholds in the 2007 version of the BTF guidelines is based, were reviewed. If accurate descriptions of head of bed elevation and arterial pressure transducer height were lacking, the authors were emailed for clarification. Additionally, the effect of choosing the radial artery for MAP measurement and the potential effect of gravity were studied in the literature. RESULTS: Thresholds of CPP in the BTF guidelines are based on 11 studies. Head of bed elevation at 30° was part of the protocol in 5 studies, patients were nursed flat in 1 study, and this variable remained unknown for 5 studies. The arterial pressure transducer was at heart level in 5 studies, at ear level in 3 studies, and height was unknown in 3 studies. Measuring MAP in the radial artery underestimates carotid artery MAP by approximately 10 mmHg in the flat position, and in a nonflat position gravity influences MAP of the internal carotid artery. CONCLUSION: There is no uniform definition for CPP, which may affect conclusions on proposed CPP targets in severe traumatic brain injury by ±10 mmHg.

Cerebral Perfusion Pressure Variability Between Patients and Between Centres.

INTRODUCTION: The aim of this analysis was to investigate to what extent median cerebral perfusion pressure (CPP) differs between severe traumatic brain injury (TBI) patients and between centres, and whether the 2007 change in CPP threshold in the Brain Trauma Foundation guidelines is reflected in patient data collected at several centres over different time periods. METHODS: Data were collected from the Brain-IT database, a multi-centre project between 2003 and 2005, and from a recent project in four centres between 2009 and 2013. For patients nursed with their head up at 30° and with the blood pressure transducer at atrium level, CPP was corrected by 10 mmHg. Median CPP, interquartile ranges and total CPP ranges over the monitoring time were calculated per patient and per centre. RESULTS: Per-centre medians pre-2007 were situated between 50 and 70 mmHg in 6 out of 16 centres, while 10 centres had medians above 70 mmHg and 4 above 80 mmHg. Post-2007, three out of four centres had medians between 60 and 70 mmHg and one above 80 mmHg. One out of two centres with data pre- and post-2007 shifted from a median CPP of 76 mmHg to 60 mmHg, while the other remained at 68-67 mmHg. CONCLUSIONS: CPP data are characterised by a high inter-individual variability, but the data also suggest differences in CPP policies between centres. The 2007 guideline change may have affected policies towards lower CPP in some centres. Deviations from the guidelines occur in the direction of CPP > 70 mmHg.

Visualizing Cerebrovascular Autoregulation Insults and Their Association with Outcome in Adult and Paediatric Traumatic Brain Injury.

OBJECTIVE: The aim of this study is to assess visually the impact of duration and intensity of cerebrovascular autoregulation insults on 6-month neurological outcome in severe traumatic brain injury. MATERIAL AND METHODS: Retrospective analysis of prospectively collected minute-by-minute intracranial pressure (ICP) and mean arterial blood pressure data of 259 adult and 99 paediatric traumatic brain injury (TBI) patients from multiple European centres. The relationship of the 6-month Glasgow Outcome Scale with cerebrovascular autoregulation insults (defined as the low-frequency autoregulation index above a certain threshold during a certain time) was visualized in a colour-coded plot. The analysis was performed separately for autoregulation insults occurring with cerebral perfusion pressure (CPP) below 50 mmHg, with ICP above 25 mmHg and for the subset of adult patients that did not undergo decompressive craniectomy. RESULTS: The colour-coded plots showed a time-intensity-dependent association with outcome for cerebrovascular autoregulation insults in adult and paediatric TBI patients. Insults with a low-frequency autoregulation index above 0.2 were associated with worse outcomes and below -0.6 with better outcomes, with and approximately exponentially decreasing transition curve between the two intensity thresholds. All insults were associated with worse outcomes when CPP was below 50 mmHg or ICP was above 25 mmHg. CONCLUSIONS: The colour-coded plots indicate that cerebrovascular autoregulation is disturbed in a dynamic manner, such that duration and intensity play a role in the determination of a zone associated with better neurological outcome.

Early Detection of Increased Intracranial Pressure Episodes in Traumatic Brain Injury: External Validation in an Adult and in a Pediatric Cohort.

OBJECTIVE: A model for early detection of episodes of increased intracranial pressure in traumatic brain injury patients has been previously developed and validated based on retrospective adult patient data from the multicenter Brain-IT database. The purpose of the present study is to validate this early detection model in different cohorts of recently treated adult and pediatric traumatic brain injury patients. DESIGN: Prognostic modeling. Noninterventional, observational, retrospective study. SETTING AND PATIENTS: The adult validation cohort comprised recent traumatic brain injury patients from San Gerardo Hospital in Monza (n = 50), Leuven University Hospital (n = 26), Antwerp University Hospital (n = 19), Tübingen University Hospital (n = 18), and Southern General Hospital in Glasgow (n = 8). The pediatric validation cohort comprised patients from neurosurgical and intensive care centers in Edinburgh and Newcastle (n = 79). INTERVENTIONS: None. MEASUREMENTS AND MAIN RESULTS: The model's performance was evaluated with respect to discrimination, calibration, overall performance, and clinical usefulness. In the recent adult validation cohort, the model retained excellent performance as in the original study. In the pediatric validation cohort, the model retained good discrimination and a positive net benefit, albeit with a performance drop in the remaining criteria. CONCLUSIONS: The obtained external validation results confirm the robustness of the model to predict future increased intracranial pressure events 30 minutes in advance, in adult and pediatric traumatic brain injury patients. These results are a large step toward an early warning system for increased intracranial pressure that can be generally applied. Furthermore, the sparseness of this model that uses only two routinely monitored signals as inputs (intracranial pressure and mean arterial blood pressure) is an additional asset.

Drug-induced HPA axis alterations during acute critical illness: a multivariable association study.

OBJECTIVE: Critical illness is hallmarked by low plasma ACTH in the face of high plasma cortisol. We hypothesized that frequently used drugs could play a role by affecting the hypothalamic-pituitary-adrenal axis. DESIGN: Observational association study. PATIENTS: A total of 156 medical-surgical critically ill patients. MEASUREMENTS: Plasma concentrations of ACTH and total/free cortisol were quantified upon ICU admission and throughout the first 3 ICU days. The independent associations between drugs administered 24 h prior to ICU admission and plasma ACTH and cortisol concentrations upon ICU admission were quantified with use of multivariable linear regression analyses. RESULTS: Upon ICU admission, compared with healthy subjects, patients had low mean±SEM plasma ACTH concentrations (2·7 ± 0·6 pmol/l vs 9·0 ± 1·6 pmol/l, P < 0·0001) in the face of unaltered total plasma cortisol (336·7 ± 30·4 nmol/l vs 300·8 ± 16·6 nmol/l, P = 0·3) and elevated free plasma cortisol concentrations (41·4 ± 5·5 nmol/l vs 5·5 ± 0·8 nmol/l, P = 0·04). Plasma ACTH concentrations remained low (P < 0·001) until day 3, whereas plasma (free) cortisol concentrations steeply increased and remained high (P < 0·001). No independent correlations with plasma ACTH were found. In contrast, the total admission plasma cortisol concentration was independently and negatively associated with the cumulative opioid (P = 0·001) and propofol (P = 0·02) dose, the use of etomidate (P = 0·03), and positively with the cumulative dobutamine dose (P = 0·0007). CONCLUSIONS: Besides the known suppressive effect of etomidate, opioids and propofol may also suppress and dobutamine increases plasma cortisol in a dose-dependent manner. The observed independent associations suggest drug effects not mediated centrally via ACTH, but rather peripherally by a direct or indirect action on the adrenal cortex.