Pesquisa | BVS Doenças Infecciosas e Parasitárias

1.

Assessing transmissibility of SARS-CoV-2 lineage B.1.1.7 in England.

Volz, Erik; Mishra, Swapnil; Chand, Meera; Barrett, Jeffrey C; Johnson, Robert; Geidelberg, Lily; Hinsley, Wes R; Laydon, Daniel J; Dabrera, Gavin; O'Toole, Áine; Amato, Robert; Ragonnet-Cronin, Manon; Harrison, Ian; Jackson, Ben; Ariani, Cristina V; Boyd, Olivia; Loman, Nicholas J; McCrone, John T; Gonçalves, Sónia; Jorgensen, David; Myers, Richard; Hill, Verity; Jackson, David K; Gaythorpe, Katy; Groves, Natalie; Sillitoe, John; Kwiatkowski, Dominic P; Flaxman, Seth; Ratmann, Oliver; Bhatt, Samir; Hopkins, Susan; Gandy, Axel; Rambaut, Andrew; Ferguson, Neil M.

Nature ; 593(7858): 266-269, 2021 05.

Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-33767447

2.

Estimating the effects of non-pharmaceutical interventions on COVID-19 in Europe.

Flaxman, Seth; Mishra, Swapnil; Gandy, Axel; Unwin, H Juliette T; Mellan, Thomas A; Coupland, Helen; Whittaker, Charles; Zhu, Harrison; Berah, Tresnia; Eaton, Jeffrey W; Monod, Mélodie; Ghani, Azra C; Donnelly, Christl A; Riley, Steven; Vollmer, Michaela A C; Ferguson, Neil M; Okell, Lucy C; Bhatt, Samir.

Nature ; 584(7820): 257-261, 2020 08.

Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-32512579

3.

Reply to: The effect of interventions on COVID-19.

Flaxman, Seth; Mishra, Swapnil; Scott, James; Ferguson, Neil; Gandy, Axel; Bhatt, Samir.

Nature ; 588(7839): E29-E32, 2020 12.

Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-33361788

4.

Have deaths from COVID-19 in Europe plateaued due to herd immunity?

Okell, Lucy C; Verity, Robert; Watson, Oliver J; Mishra, Swapnil; Walker, Patrick; Whittaker, Charlie; Katzourakis, Aris; Donnelly, Christl A; Riley, Steven; Ghani, Azra C; Gandy, Axel; Flaxman, Seth; Ferguson, Neil M; Bhatt, Samir.

Lancet ; 395(10241): e110-e111, 2020 06 20.

Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-32534627

5.

Host or pathogen-related factors in COVID-19 severity? - Authors' reply.

Okell, Lucy C; Verity, Robert; Katzourakis, Aris; Volz, Erik M; Watson, Oliver J; Mishra, Swapnil; Walker, Patrick; Whittaker, Charlie; Donnelly, Christl A; Riley, Steven; Ghani, Azra C; Gandy, Axel; Flaxman, Seth; Ferguson, Neil M; Bhatt, Samir.

Lancet ; 396(10260): 1397, 2020 10 31.

Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-33129392

6.

An omnibus CUSUM chart for monitoring time to event data.

Phinikettos, Ioannis; Gandy, Axel.

Lifetime Data Anal ; 20(3): 481-94, 2014 Jul.

Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-24061909

7.

Using a latent Hawkes process for epidemiological modelling.

Lamprinakou, Stamatina; Gandy, Axel; McCoy, Emma.

PLoS One ; 18(3): e0281370, 2023.

Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-36857340

8.

A COVID-19 model for local authorities of the United Kingdom.

Mishra, Swapnil; Scott, James A; Laydon, Daniel J; Zhu, Harrison; Ferguson, Neil M; Bhatt, Samir; Flaxman, Seth; Gandy, Axel.

J R Stat Soc Ser A Stat Soc ; 185(Suppl 1): S86-S95, 2022 Nov.

Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-38607865

9.

Modelling the impact of the tier system on SARS-CoV-2 transmission in the UK between the first and second national lockdowns.

Laydon, Daniel J; Mishra, Swapnil; Hinsley, Wes R; Samartsidis, Pantelis; Flaxman, Seth; Gandy, Axel; Ferguson, Neil M; Bhatt, Samir.

BMJ Open ; 11(4): e050346, 2021 04 22.

Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-33888533

10.

Comparing the responses of the UK, Sweden and Denmark to COVID-19 using counterfactual modelling.

Mishra, Swapnil; Scott, James A; Laydon, Daniel J; Flaxman, Seth; Gandy, Axel; Mellan, Thomas A; Unwin, H Juliette T; Vollmer, Michaela; Coupland, Helen; Ratmann, Oliver; Monod, Melodie; Zhu, Harrison H; Cori, Anne; Gaythorpe, Katy A M; Whittles, Lilith K; Whittaker, Charles; Donnelly, Christl A; Ferguson, Neil M; Bhatt, Samir.

Sci Rep ; 11(1): 16342, 2021 08 11.

Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-34381102

11.

Age groups that sustain resurging COVID-19 epidemics in the United States.

Monod, Mélodie; Blenkinsop, Alexandra; Xi, Xiaoyue; Hebert, Daniel; Bershan, Sivan; Tietze, Simon; Baguelin, Marc; Bradley, Valerie C; Chen, Yu; Coupland, Helen; Filippi, Sarah; Ish-Horowicz, Jonathan; McManus, Martin; Mellan, Thomas; Gandy, Axel; Hutchinson, Michael; Unwin, H Juliette T; van Elsland, Sabine L; Vollmer, Michaela A C; Weber, Sebastian; Zhu, Harrison; Bezancon, Anne; Ferguson, Neil M; Mishra, Swapnil; Flaxman, Seth; Bhatt, Samir; Ratmann, Oliver.

Science ; 371(6536)2021 03 26.

Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-33531384

12.

Changing composition of SARS-CoV-2 lineages and rise of Delta variant in England.

Mishra, Swapnil; Mindermann, Sören; Sharma, Mrinank; Whittaker, Charles; Mellan, Thomas A; Wilton, Thomas; Klapsa, Dimitra; Mate, Ryan; Fritzsche, Martin; Zambon, Maria; Ahuja, Janvi; Howes, Adam; Miscouridou, Xenia; Nason, Guy P; Ratmann, Oliver; Semenova, Elizaveta; Leech, Gavin; Sandkühler, Julia Fabienne; Rogers-Smith, Charlie; Vollmer, Michaela; Unwin, H Juliette T; Gal, Yarin; Chand, Meera; Gandy, Axel; Martin, Javier; Volz, Erik; Ferguson, Neil M; Bhatt, Samir; Brauner, Jan M; Flaxman, Seth.

EClinicalMedicine ; 39: 101064, 2021 Sep.

Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-34401689

13.

Inference of COVID-19 epidemiological distributions from Brazilian hospital data.

Hawryluk, Iwona; Mellan, Thomas A; Hoeltgebaum, Henrique; Mishra, Swapnil; Schnekenberg, Ricardo P; Whittaker, Charles; Zhu, Harrison; Gandy, Axel; Donnelly, Christl A; Flaxman, Seth; Bhatt, Samir.

J R Soc Interface ; 17(172): 20200596, 2020 11.

Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-33234065

14.

State-level tracking of COVID-19 in the United States.

Unwin, H Juliette T; Mishra, Swapnil; Bradley, Valerie C; Gandy, Axel; Mellan, Thomas A; Coupland, Helen; Ish-Horowicz, Jonathan; Vollmer, Michaela A C; Whittaker, Charles; Filippi, Sarah L; Xi, Xiaoyue; Monod, Mélodie; Ratmann, Oliver; Hutchinson, Michael; Valka, Fabian; Zhu, Harrison; Hawryluk, Iwona; Milton, Philip; Ainslie, Kylie E C; Baguelin, Marc; Boonyasiri, Adhiratha; Brazeau, Nick F; Cattarino, Lorenzo; Cucunuba, Zulma; Cuomo-Dannenburg, Gina; Dorigatti, Ilaria; Eales, Oliver D; Eaton, Jeffrey W; van Elsland, Sabine L; FitzJohn, Richard G; Gaythorpe, Katy A M; Green, William; Hinsley, Wes; Jeffrey, Benjamin; Knock, Edward; Laydon, Daniel J; Lees, John; Nedjati-Gilani, Gemma; Nouvellet, Pierre; Okell, Lucy; Parag, Kris V; Siveroni, Igor; Thompson, Hayley A; Walker, Patrick; Walters, Caroline E; Watson, Oliver J; Whittles, Lilith K; Ghani, Azra C; Ferguson, Neil M; Riley, Steven.

Nat Commun ; 11(1): 6189, 2020 12 03.

Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-33273462

15.

Model checks for Cox-type regression models based on optimally weighted martingale residuals.

Gandy, Axel; Jensen, Uwe.

Lifetime Data Anal ; 15(4): 534-57, 2009 Dec.

Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-19507026

16.

Authors' reply to the discussion of 'A COVID-19 Model for Local Authorities of the United Kingdom' by Mishra et al. in Session 2 of the Royal Statistical Society's Special Topic Meeting on COVID-19 transmission: 11 June 2021.

Mishra, Swapnil; Scott, James A; Laydon, Daniel J; Zhu, Harrison; Ferguson, Neil M; Bhatt, Samir; Flaxman, Seth; Gandy, Axel.

J R Stat Soc Ser A Stat Soc ; 185(Suppl 1): S110-S111, 2022 Nov.

Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-38607859

17.

Genomics and epidemiology of the P 1 SARS-CoV-2 lineage in Manaus, Brazil

Faria, Nuno R; Mellan, Thomas A; Whittaker, Charles; Claro, Ingra M; Candido, Darlan da S; Mishra, Swapnil; Crispin, Myuki A. E; Sales, Flavia C. S; Hawryluk, Iwona; McCrone, John T; Hulswit, Ruben J. G; Franco, Lucas A. M; Raimundo, Mariana S; Jesus, Jaqueline G. de; Andrade, Pamela S; Coletti, Thais M; Ferreira, Giulia M; Silva, Camila A. M; Manuli, Erika R; Pereira, Rafael H. M; Peixoto, Pedro S; Kraemer, Moritz U. G; Gaburo Jr, Camila; Camilo, Cecilia da C; Hoeltgebaum, Henrique; Souza, William M; Pinho, Mariana C. de; Araujo, Leonardo J. T; Malta, Frederico S. V; Lima, Aline B de; Silva, Joice do P; Zaulli, Danielle A. G; Ferriera, Alessandro C. de S; Schnekenberg, Ricardo P; Laydon, Daniel J; Walker, Patrick G. T; Schluter, Hannah M; Santos, Ana L. P. dos; Vidal, Maria S; Caro, Valentina S Del; Filho, Rosinaldo M; Aguiar, Renato S; Proença-Moderna, José L; Nelson, Bruce; Hay, James A; Monod, Mélodie; Miscouridou, Xenia; Coupland, Helen; Sonabend, Raphael; Vollmer, Michaela; Gandy, Axel; Prete Jr, Carlos A.

Science ; 372(6544): 1-7, 2021. graf

Artigo em Inglês | LILACS, CONASS, ColecionaSUS, SES-SP, SESSP-IALPROD, SES-SP | ID: biblio-1247888

18.

Global tests in the additive hazards regression model.

Gandy, Axel; Therneau, Terry M; Aalen, Odd O.

Stat Med ; 27(6): 831-44, 2008 Mar 15.

Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-17593564

19.

Checking a semiparametric additive risk model.