Lockdown measures and relative changes in the age-specific incidence of SARS-CoV-2 in Spain.

During the first months of the severe acute respiratory syndrome-coronavirus-2 (SARS-CoV-2) epidemic in 2020, Spain implemented an initial lockdown period on 15 March followed by a strengthened lockdown period on 30 March when only essential workers continued to commute to work. However, little is known about the epidemic dynamics in different age groups during these periods.We used the daily number of coronavirus 2019 cases (by date of symptom onset) reported to the National Epidemiological Surveillance Network among individuals aged 15-19 years through 65-69 years. For each age group g, we computed the proportion PrE(g) of individuals in age group g among all reported cases aged 15-69 years during the pre-lockdown period (1-10 March 2020) and the corresponding proportion PrL(g) during two lockdown periods (initial: 25 March-3 April; strengthened: 8-17 April 2020). For each lockdown period, we computed the proportion ratios PR(g) = PrL(g)/PrE(g). For each pair of age groups g1, g2, PR(g1)>PR(g2) implies a relative increase in the incidence of detected SARS-CoV-2 infection in the age group g1 compared with g2 for the lockdown period vs. the pre-lockdown period.For the initial lockdown period, the highest PR values were in age groups 50-54 years (PR = 1.21; 95% CI: 1.12,1.30) and 55-59 years (PR = 1.19; 1.11,1.27). For the second lockdown period, the highest PR values were in age groups 15-19 years (PR = 1.26; 0.95,1.68) and 50-54 years (PR = 1.20; 1.09,1.31).Our results suggest that different outbreak control measures led to different changes in the relative incidence by age group. During the initial lockdown period, when non-essential work was allowed, individuals aged 40-64 years, particularly those aged 50-59 years, had a higher relative incidence compared with the pre-lockdown period. Younger adults/older adolescents had an increased relative incidence during the later, strengthened lockdown. The role of different age groups during the epidemic should be considered when implementing future mitigation efforts.

Counterpropagating Radiative Shock Experiments on the Orion Laser.

We present new experiments to study the formation of radiative shocks and the interaction between two counterpropagating radiative shocks. The experiments are performed at the Orion laser facility, which is used to drive shocks in xenon inside large aspect ratio gas cells. The collision between the two shocks and their respective radiative precursors, combined with the formation of inherently three-dimensional shocks, provides a novel platform particularly suited for the benchmarking of numerical codes. The dynamics of the shocks before and after the collision are investigated using point-projection x-ray backlighting while, simultaneously, the electron density in the radiative precursor was measured via optical laser interferometry. Modeling of the experiments using the 2D radiation hydrodynamic codes nym and petra shows very good agreement with the experimental results.

Socio-economics, food habits and the prevalence of childhood obesity in Spain.

BACKGROUND: In 2012, the prevalence of obesity and overweight statuses among children in Spain was 9% and 26%, respectively. Concerns about childhood obesity have increased over the past few years, as obesity developed during childhood can persist throughout an individual's lifetime (cohort effect). This study aims to develop a better understanding of the factors influencing the prevalence of obesity in Spain. METHODS: Microdata from the 2012 National Health Survey are used, and the methodological framework is based on the estimation of a sample selection model. RESULTS: Results suggest that the prevalence of obesity increases among children who live in households of a lower socio-economic status and households in which parents are obese. Lower levels of childhood physical activity are positively related to the probability of being obese. Finally, there exists a positive relationship between children's body mass index and an inappropriate intake of fresh fruits, fish, pasta and rice, legumes, sweets and soft drinks. CONCLUSIONS: The methodological framework used in this study is flexible enough to be used in traditional longitudinal studies. Children's and households' lifestyles play a pivotal role in the prevalence of obesity. Policies should be oriented toward changing lifestyles, which would require more multidisciplinary research in the future to reduce childhood obesity.

Lessons learnt from the radiological measures performed by the Radiological Emergency Network of Extremadura in the International Emergency Exercise CURIEX 2013.

In late 2013 (5th-7th of November), the Cáceres Urgent Response International Exercise (CURIEX 2013) took place to test the Nuclear Emergency Plan of Cáceres (PENCA) with the collaboration of both national and international support teams. The theme of the exercise was the simulation of a nuclear accident at the Almaraz Nuclear Power Plant located in Extremadura (Spain) with release of radioactive plume. From the point of view of radioactive contamination, the CURIEX exercise objective was to assess the capability of the different radiological teams to quantify the radioactive impact that would occur in this environment, a goal in which the Radiological Emergency Network of Extremadura (RARE) is directly implicated. The present paper analyses in detail the environmental radiological and dosimetrical results obtained by the Radiological Emergency Network of Extremadura during the CURIEX exercise. The rapid radioactivity measurement techniques on air and soil samples performed by the RARE's mobile lab involves great uncertainties. However, the results show a relative good effectiveness both in dose rate car-borne measurements and gamma soil spectrometry with uncertainties over 40%. It also shows a good correlation between the dose rate values measured by car-borne apparatus and those calculated from gamma spectrometry measurements. The capability of the RARE's facilities are evaluated in both the measurements, showing whether or not there is a radiological problem, and the transmission of that data to the decision centres in the shortest time. Although the results were highly satisfactory, some shortcomings were detected and therefore some improvements are proposed in the paper, in order to achieve a greater capacity in response to an event with the characteristics simulated in the CURIEX exercise.

Effectiveness of a three-dimensional anorectal ultrasound in perianal Crohn's disease: incompatibility with clinical and surgical examinations.

PURPOSE: We have correlated the 3D anorectal ultrasound (3D ARU) findings with clinical examination and the surgical findings and examined its capacity to provide ancillary information, which potentially alters patient management. PATIENTS AND METHODS: This is a prospective analysis conducted at a tertiary academic hospital. A total of 95 patients were included. We screened for sphincter defects and the presence of perianal Crohn's disease (PACD)-related lesions. RESULTS: We performed 150 3D ARUs. Exploratory ultrasound coincided with the rationale for diagnosis in 67.7% of cases, and fistulae were detected in 79% of cases where there was clinical suspicion. Fistulae were associated with abscesses in 29 cases, and isolated abscesses were identified in 19 cases (17.7%), only 12 of which (63.2%) were clinically suspected. Sphincter defects were observed in 15 cases with 7 cases (77.8%) presenting with clinical fecal incontinence. The operative findings coincided with ultrasonographic findings in 81.3% of the analyzed cases. The inter-observer variability of endosonographic classification resulted in a kappa score of 0.86. Ultrasonographic data altered the therapeutic plan of management in 73 cases (48.6%). CONCLUSIONS: Three-dimensional ARU is accurate in the diagnosis of fistula type in PACD and in the delineation of ancillary suspected and unsuspected abscess collections. Its use impacts therapeutic management in about half the cases examined. A new ultrasonographic-based PACD classification system is presented which has high inter-observer agreement but which requires future prospective validation in clinical PACD patients.

Percutaneous neuromodulation of the posterior tibial nerve for the treatment of faecal incontinence - mid-term results: is retreatment required?

AIM: Posterior tibial nerve stimulation (PTNS) has emerged in recent years as a therapy for faecal incontinence. Its long-term effectiveness is yet to be established, along with what the form of retreatment should be in the event of loss of effectiveness. The present study aimed to establish the mid-term results to identify the proportion of patients who may need further treatment, and if so when. METHOD: A prospective study including 30 patients was conducted at an academic hospital. The patients underwent 12 weekly outpatient treatment sessions, each lasting 30 min (first PTNS phase). Neuromodulation was discontinued in those patients who did not have a 40% decrease in their pretreatment Wexner score. Patients having a better than 40% response were offered another 12-week course of complete treatment (second PTNS phase), following which they received no further PTNS treatment (phase without PTNS) but were assessed at 6 months and 2 years. RESULTS: All patients finished the first phase and 22/30 patients continued to the second phase. During this phase 11 patients showed an improved Wexner score (baseline/first phase/second phase: 14.3 ± 4.2 vs 9.9 ± 5.4 vs 6.8 ± 5.4). After a 6-month period without any treatment, the score was still improved in 11/30 patients (9.1 ± 6.2). At 2 years there was improvement in 16/30 patients (8.8 ± 7.1). There was a significant improvement in three variables of the quality of life questionnaire: lifestyle, coping behaviour and embarrassment. CONCLUSION: The response to first and second phase PTNS was maintained for up to 2 years. Retreatment was not required in about half of patients, even when they had finished the treatment 6 months or 2 years previously.

Occular complications following dental local anesthesia.

OBJECTIVE: To determine the frequency of appearance and the factors most commonly associated with ocular complications following dental local anesthesia, also establishing the location and type of anesthesia used. STUDY DESIGN: An indexed search in the Pubmed and Compludoc databases was carried out with the keywords "oral anesthesia", "ocular", "ophthalmologic", "damage", "complications", "injection". We established a limitation that the literature had to have been published after the year 1970. A total of 19 articles were obtained, forming a total sample of 37 patients. The patient's sex, age, nerve anesthetized, type of anesthetic used, ophthalmological complication present, recovery time, treatment and side effects were analyzed. RESULTS: There is a higher involvement of females (77%). The average age was 34.2 years. There was no preference for an anesthetic technique. Diplopia was the most common complication (65%), which coincides with the data from other authors. Almost all of the complications were of a temporary nature, with an average recovery time of 68 minutes. CONCLUSIONS: This is one of the few studies of its kind in dental literature, it thus being difficult to make precise conclusions. Ophthalmological complications are seldom a problem, diplopia being the most common among them. The authors appear to indicate an intravascular injection of the anesthetic as the cause of the problem, and therefore, it should be avoided in order to prevent accidents at the ocular level.

Muon implantation experiments in films: Obtaining depth-resolved information.

Implanted positive muons with low energies (in the range 1-30 keV) are extremely useful local probes in the study of thin films and multi-layer structures. The average muon stopping depth, typically in the order of tens of nanometers, is a function of the muon implantation energy and of the density of the material, but the stopping range extends over a broad region, which is also in the order of tens of nanometers. Therefore, an adequate simulation procedure is required in order to extract the depth dependence of the experimental parameters. Here, we present a method to extract depth-resolved information from the implantation energy dependence of the experimental parameters in a low-energy muon spin spectroscopy experiment. The method and corresponding results are exemplified for a semiconductor film, Cu(In,Ga)Se2, covered with a thin layer of Al2O3, but can be applied to any heterostructure studied with low-energy muons. It is shown that if an effect is present in the experimental data, this method is an important tool to identify its location and depth extent.

Recommendations for the evaluation and management of the anticipated and non-anticipated difficult airway of the Societat Catalana d'Anestesiologia, Reanimació i Terapèutica del Dolor, based on the adaptation of clinical practice guidelines and expert consensus. / Recomendaciones para la evaluación y manejo de la vía aérea difícil prevista y no prevista de la Societat Catalana d'Anestesiologia, Reanimació i Terapèutica del Dolor, basadas en la adaptación de guías de práctica clínica y consenso de expertos.

The Airway Division of the Catalan Society of Anaesthesiology, Intensive Care and Pain Management (SCARTD) presents its latest guidelines for the evaluation and management of the difficult airway. This update includes the technical advances and changes observed in clinical practice since publication of the first edition of the guidelines in 2008. The recommendations were defined by a consensus of experts from the 19 participating hospitals, and were adapted from 5 recently published international guidelines following an in-depth analysis and systematic comparison of their recommendations. The final document was sent to the members of SCARTD for evaluation, and was reviewed by 11 independent experts. The recommendations, therefore, are supported by the latest scientific evidence and endorsed by professionals in the field. This edition develops the definition of the difficult airway, including all airway management techniques, and places emphasis on evaluating and classifying the airway into 3 categories according to the anticipated degree of difficulty and additional safety considerations in order to plan the management strategy. Pre-management planning, in terms of preparing patients and resources and optimising communication and interaction between all professionals involved, plays a pivotal role in all the scenarios addressed. The guidelines reflect the increased presence of video laryngoscopes and second-generation devices in our setting, and promotes their routine use in intubation and their prompt use in cases of unanticipated difficult airway. They also address the increased use of ultrasound imaging as an aid to evaluation and decision-making. New scenarios have also been included, such as the risk of bronchoaspiration and difficult extubation Finally, the document outlines the training and continuing professional development programmes required to guarantee effective and safe implementation of the guidelines.

Can innovations in traditional pork products help thriving EU untapped pig breeds? A non-hypothetical discrete choice experiment with hedonic evaluation.

The EU is supporting measures that stimulate enhanced value-added products in order to conserve local and threatened livestock breeds. Several Traditional Pork Products (TPP) and Innovative Traditional Pork Products (ITPP) with health innovations from four untapped pig breeds in Spain (Porc Negre Mallorquí), Croatia (Turopolje), Italy (Cinta Senese) and Slovenia (Krskopolje) were analysed. Consumers' "Non-hypothetical" willingness to pay (WTP) and hedonic evaluation were investigated. An integrated experimental approach using two Non-Hypothetical Discrete Choice Experiment (NH-DCE) was carried out before and after a hedonic evaluation test. Results showed that the health innovative products (ITPP) received similar and even lower WTP than the "control" products (TPP) from the untapped pig breeds. The TPP outperformed products enriched with healthy ingredients or with reduced undesirable compounds. The potential demand for traditional and "unaltered" product from the rustic pig breeds could contribute to their conservation. A market niche exists, where consumers appreciate these high-quality products and where no "add-ons" are required to enhance their uptake.

Severity of periodontal disease correlates to inflammatory systemic status and independently predicts the presence and angiographic extent of stable coronary artery disease.

BACKGROUND: Periodontal disease (PD) has been recognized as a risk factor for systemic diseases, but its involvement in the pathogenesis of coronary artery disease (CAD) remains debated. OBJECTIVES: We sought to evaluate the potential relations between severity of the PD, inflammatory response and angiographic lesions extent in patients with stable CAD. DESIGN: A total of 131 subjects referred to our centre for coronary angiography were evaluated for presence and extension of CAD, then divided into two groups, one with presence of lesions (cases, n = 85) and other one with absence of lesions (controls, n = 46). Mean periodontal pocket depth (PPkD), high sensitivity C reactive protein (hs-CRP), serum amyloid A protein (SAA) and fibrinogen levels were measured in all patients. RESULTS: Cases and controls did not differ according to their baseline characteristics and prevalence of traditional cardiovascular risk factors. PPkD was greater in patients with CAD than in controls (2.24 +/- 1.28 mm vs 1.50 +/- 0.93 mm, P < 0.001 by Student's t-test). Systemic inflammatory response was more pronounced in cases than in controls, with higher values of hs-CRP, SAA and fibrinogen. Furthermore, PPkD values correlated with hs-CRP (r = 0.80, P < 0.001), SAA (r = 0.71, P < 0.001), fibrinogen levels (r = 0.72, P < 0.001) and the American College of Cardiology/American Heart Association angiographic score (r = 0.68, P < 0.001) in cases. Multivariate analysis indicated a persistent independent correlation between PPkD and angiographic score after adjustment for inflammatory markers levels. CONCLUSION: In the present study, PD lesions predicted presence of CAD stenosis in patients with cardiovascular risk factors. PD severity was correlated to angiographic extent of coronary lesions, independent of systemic inflammatory status. Those results suggest that these patients might benefit from an intensive periodontal therapy to prevent CAD progression.

Electronic structure and migration of interstitial hydrogen in the rutile phase of TiO2.

The formation and migration energies of interstitial hydrogen in rutile TiO2 are obtained from first principles calculations. The computational approach was based on density functional theory with a semilocal generalised-gradient approximation functional, supplemented with an on-site Hubbard term to account for correlation among the Ti 3d electrons. Charge-transition levels are calculated and compared to previous theoretical studies. The donor character of hydrogen is examined in depth, focusing in particular on the tendency to form polaron-like configurations with the unpaired electron trapped at nearby titanium ions. Distinct minimum-energy paths of hydrogen migration and associated energy barriers were determined by the nudged elastic-band method. The present findings show clearly the strong anisotropy in the energy barriers for migration within the open c channels as opposed to migration crossing adjacent channels of the rutile lattice. For the rate-limiting step which leads to macroscopic diffusion along the c axis the corresponding rate and diffusion coefficient were also determined from transition-state theory. The results are discussed in connection to existing measurements of hydrogen diffusion and recent findings from electron paramagnetic resonance, electron-nuclear double resonance and muonium spectroscopies that probed the spatial localization of the electron spin.

[Heart failure due to non-infectious causes in developing countries: etiologic approach and therapeutic principles]. / Insuffisance cardiaque d'origine non infectieuse en zone tropicale: approche étiologique et principes thérapeutiques.

Cardiovascular disease is a major worldwide health problem with a growing impact in developing countries. Heart failure is the clinical manifestation of many advanced cardiac disorders. It can have numerous etiologies and the incidence of non-infectious causes is increasing with socio-economic development, thus illustrating the global nature of this epidemiologic transition. Several of the numerous non-infectious causes of heart failure involve cardiac diseases specific to tropical areas including dilated cardiomyopathy, endomyocardial fibrosis, and peripartum cardiomyopathy. Other widespread disorders are becoming more common as a result of the epidemiologic transition. Cardiovascular risk factors are changing particularly with regard to the incidence of coronary artery disease, ischemic cardiomyopathy, and hypertension-related complications. The purpose of this article is to provide an overview of non-infectious causes of heart failure in terms of frequency, onset, and therapeutic requirements. Symptomatic treatment of heart failure is same as in developing countries but is often delayed due to shortcomings in the care system.

[Left ventricular noncompaction: a cardiomyopathy in young individuals. Description of first cases in Africa]. / La non compaction du ventricule gauche, une cardiomyopathie du sujet jeune: premieres observations Africaines.

Left ventricular noncompaction (LVNC) is a recently identified and probably rare congenital cardiomyopathy characterized by changes in the structure of the myocardium secondary to incomplete embryogenesis. The purpose of this report is to describe three cases of LVNC involving African patients. To our knowledge these are the first cases described in Africa. All three patients in this series were men from sub-Saharan Africa ranging in age from 23 to 45 years. The first patient in whom cardiomegaly was recognized on a routine chest x-ray was asymptomatic. The second who presented with exertional dyspnea developed left bundle branch block. The third was admitted to the hospital for acute pulmonary edema. In all three cases transthoracic echocardiography suggested diagnosis. The left ventricle was dilated and hypokinetic and the myocardium exhibited a spongy aspect in association with the presence of prominent trabeculations separated by crypts located at the apex and lateral wall. Color Doppler demonstrated that intratrabecular recesses were filled by intraventricular blood flow. Magnetic resonance imaging (MRI) specifically confirmed this morphological feature. Sudden death due to arrhythmia, cardiac insufficiency, and systemic emboli are the main complications of LVNC. The incidence of LVNC, which is certainly underestimated, is highest in young adults but it can be diagnosed at any age. Echocardiography and MRI are effective tools for detection of the morphologic diagnostic criteria. Recent evidence suggests that LVNC is of genetic origin and the data reported here shows that the underlying mutations are present in sub-Saharan populations. Family screening in African populations is still difficult. Therapeutic management is currently based on symptomatic treatment of cardiac insufficiency and can require techniques not readily available in tropical settings.

Mapping natural radioactivity of soils in the eastern Canary Islands.

The Canary Islands archipielago (Spain) comprises seven main volcanic islands and several islets that form a chain extending for around 500 km across the eastern Atlantic, between latitudes 27°N and 30°N, with its eastern edge only 100 km from the NW African coast. The administrative province of Las Palmas comprises the three eastern Canary Islands (Lanzarote, Fuerteventura and Gran Canaria). An extensive study of terrestrial gamma dose rates in surface soils has been carried out to cover the entire territory of the province (4093 km2). The average outdoor gamma dose rate in air at 1 m above ground is 73 nGyh-1 at Gran Canaria, 32 nGyh-1 at Fuerteventura, and 25 nGyh-1 at Lanzarote. To complete the radiological characterization of this volcanic area, 350 soil samples at 0-5 cm depth were collected to cover all the geologic typologies of the islands. These samples were measured using high resolution gamma spectrometry to determine the activity concentrations of 226Ra, 232Th and 40K. The average values obtained were 25.2 Bq/kg, 28.9 Bq/kg, and 384.4 Bq/kg, respectively. Maps of terrestrial gamma activity, effective dose, and activity concentrations of 226Ra, 232Th and 40K for the region have been developed through the use of geostatistical interpolation techniques. These maps are in accord with the geology of the islands.

Influence of atomic kinetics in the simulation of plasma microscopic properties and thermal instabilities for radiative bow shock experiments.

Numerical simulations of laboratory astrophysics experiments on plasma flows require plasma microscopic properties that are obtained by means of an atomic kinetic model. This fact implies a careful choice of the most suitable model for the experiment under analysis. Otherwise, the calculations could lead to inaccurate results and inappropriate conclusions. First, a study of the validity of the local thermodynamic equilibrium in the calculation of the average ionization, mean radiative properties, and cooling times of argon plasmas in a range of plasma conditions of interest in laboratory astrophysics experiments on radiative shocks is performed in this work. In the second part, we have made an analysis of the influence of the atomic kinetic model used to calculate plasma microscopic properties of experiments carried out on magpie on radiative bow shocks propagating in argon. The models considered were developed assuming both local and nonlocal thermodynamic equilibrium and, for the latter situation, we have considered in the kinetic model different effects such as external radiation field and plasma mixture. The microscopic properties studied were the average ionization, the charge state distributions, the monochromatic opacities and emissivities, the Planck mean opacity, and the radiative power loss. The microscopic study was made as a postprocess of a radiative-hydrodynamic simulation of the experiment. We have also performed a theoretical analysis of the influence of these atomic kinetic models in the criteria for the onset possibility of thermal instabilities due to radiative cooling in those experiments in which small structures were experimentally observed in the bow shock that could be due to this kind of instability.

Normal sensitivity to excitotoxicity in a transgenic Huntington's disease rat.

Huntington's disease (HD) is a hereditary neurodegenerative disorder caused by a CAG repeat expansion in the HD gene. Excitotoxic cell damage by excessive stimulation of glutamate receptors has been hypothesized to contribute to the pathogenesis of HD. Transgenic mouse models of HD have shown variable sensitivity to excitotoxicity. The models differ in the genetic background, the type and length of the promoter driving the transgene expression, the CAG repeat length and/or the HD gene construct length. Furthermore, one has to differentiate whether transgenic or knock-in models have been used. All these factors may be involved in determining the responsiveness to an excitotoxic insult. Here, we explored the responsiveness to excitotoxic damage using a transgenic HD rat model carrying 22% of the rat HD gene which is driven by the rat HD promoter and which harbors 51 CAG repeats. 3 and 18 months old transgenic HD rats and their wild-type littermates received unilateral intrastriatal injections of the glutamate analogue quinolinic acid. Lesion size was assessed 7 days later using the degenerative stain Fluoro-Jade and by immunohistochemistry for the neuronal protein NeuN. No difference in susceptibility to excitotoxicity was found between the groups. Our study supports mouse data showing maintained susceptibility to excitotoxicity with the expression of around 25% of the full HD gene. Differences in sensitivity to excitotoxicity between genetic animal models of HD may be dependent on the length of the expressed HD gene although additional factors are also likely to be important.

Differential analysis of donor characteristics for pancreas and islet transplantation.

Suitable selection of donors is key to the success of human islet isolation and transplantation. Although several important donor-related factors have been identified previously, they needed to be confirmed in our setting. The aims of this study were: (1) to compare the characteristics of islet donors with those of pancreas donors (national transplant registry). (2) to compare the characteristics of islet donors resulting in a successful isolation in our facility with the characteristics of pancreas donors, and (3) to compare the characteristics of islet donors at this facility, whether or not isolation was successful, with donors elsewhere whose islets were transplanted and included in the Collaborative Islet Transplant Registry. The 35 islet isolations completed at our facility were analyzed for various characteristics. Significant differences were seen in donor age body mass index (BMI), and body weight between our islet donors and our pancreas donors (P < .001). These differences were maintained in the subgroup analysis corresponding to donors of successful isolations compared to pancreas donors (P < .01). Most successful isolations in our islet isolation facility were associated with donors of BMI >25. The percentage of successful isolation (>300,000 IEq) was higher among donors with a body weight >90 kg. We concluded that there was little overlap between the donor profiles for pancreas transplantation and for islet transplantation. More specific selection criteria relative to both BMI and body weight for islet donors may result in greater success of pancreas islet isolation and transplantation.

Angiosarcoma of the breast. Two cases following breast conserving treatment for invasive carcinoma.

Angiosarcoma of the breast is a rare malignant tumour. It can be primary or secondary in women who have been treated of a ductal carcinoma of the breast. There are some differences between both them. We present two clinical cases secondary to radiotherapy and a review of the literature, discussing about aetiology, incidence, diagnostic, treatment and prognostic of this tumours.

Pharmacoeconomic analysis of adjuvant therapy with exemestane, anastrozole, letrozole or tamoxifen in postmenopausal women with operable and estrogen receptor-positive breast cancer.

OBJECTIVE: To compare the efficiency of adjuvant therapy with aromatase inhibitors or with tamoxifen in postmenopausal women with operable breast cancer and positive estrogen receptors. MATERIAL AND METHODS: A cost-utility analysis was performed based on a Markov model, from the Spanish National Health Care System perspective, comparing the treatment with exemestane (EXE: 25 mg/day) or tamoxifen (TAM: 20 mg/day) after 2-3 years of monotherapy with TAM; anastrozole (ANA, 1 mg/day) or TAM (20 mg/day) without previous TAM therapy; and letrozole (LET: 2.5 mg/day) or placebo after 5 years of monotherapy with TAM. The follow-up of a hypothetical cohort of women starting treatment at 63 years of age was simulated during 10 and 20 years. The probabilities of transition between health states and quality adjusted life years (QALYs) were obtained from the literature, and the unit costs (euro corresponding to 2004) from a Spanish database. RESULTS: After 10 and 20 years of follow-up, more QALYs per patient would be gained with the EXE scheme (0.230-0.286 and 0.566-0.708, respectively) than with ANA (0.114 and 0.285) and LET (0.176 and 0.474). The cost of gaining one QALY was lower with the EXE scheme (50,801-62,522 euro and 28,849- 35,371 euro, respectively) than with ANA (104,272 euro and 62,477 euro) and LET (91,210 euro and 49,460 euro). The result was stable for the cost per life-year gained (LYG) and in the sensitivity analysis. CONCLUSIONS: The EXE scheme after TAM is more cost-effective than the ANA and LET schemes.