Development and Validation of the American Heart Association's PREVENT Equations.

BACKGROUND: Multivariable equations are recommended by primary prevention guidelines to assess absolute risk of cardiovascular disease (CVD). However, current equations have several limitations. Therefore, we developed and validated the American Heart Association Predicting Risk of CVD EVENTs (PREVENT) equations among US adults 30 to 79 years of age without known CVD. METHODS: The derivation sample included individual-level participant data from 25 data sets (N=3 281 919) between 1992 and 2017. The primary outcome was CVD (atherosclerotic CVD and heart failure). Predictors included traditional risk factors (smoking status, systolic blood pressure, cholesterol, antihypertensive or statin use, and diabetes) and estimated glomerular filtration rate. Models were sex-specific, race-free, developed on the age scale, and adjusted for competing risk of non-CVD death. Analyses were conducted in each data set and meta-analyzed. Discrimination was assessed using the Harrell C-statistic. Calibration was calculated as the slope of the observed versus predicted risk by decile. Additional equations to predict each CVD subtype (atherosclerotic CVD and heart failure) and include optional predictors (urine albumin-to-creatinine ratio and hemoglobin A1c), and social deprivation index were also developed. External validation was performed in 3 330 085 participants from 21 additional data sets. RESULTS: Among 6 612 004 adults included, mean±SD age was 53±12 years, and 56% were women. Over a mean±SD follow-up of 4.8±3.1 years, there were 211 515 incident total CVD events. The median C-statistics in external validation for CVD were 0.794 (interquartile interval, 0.763-0.809) in female and 0.757 (0.727-0.778) in male participants. The calibration slopes were 1.03 (interquartile interval, 0.81-1.16) and 0.94 (0.81-1.13) among female and male participants, respectively. Similar estimates for discrimination and calibration were observed for atherosclerotic CVD- and heart failure-specific models. The improvement in discrimination was small but statistically significant when urine albumin-to-creatinine ratio, hemoglobin A1c, and social deprivation index were added together to the base model to total CVD (ΔC-statistic [interquartile interval] 0.004 [0.004-0.005] and 0.005 [0.004-0.007] among female and male participants, respectively). Calibration improved significantly when the urine albumin-to-creatinine ratio was added to the base model among those with marked albuminuria (>300 mg/g; 1.05 [0.84-1.20] versus 1.39 [1.14-1.65]; P=0.01). CONCLUSIONS: PREVENT equations accurately and precisely predicted risk for incident CVD and CVD subtypes in a large, diverse, and contemporary sample of US adults by using routinely available clinical variables.

Acute high-dose MitoQ does not increase urinary kidney injury markers in healthy adults: a randomized crossover trial.

Several human studies have used the mitochondrial antioxidant MitoQ. Recent in vitro data indicating that MitoQ may induce nephrotoxicity caused concern regarding the safety of MitoQ on the kidneys, but the doses were supraphysiological. Therefore, we sought to determine whether acute MitoQ elicits changes in urinary biomarkers associated with tubular injury in healthy adults with our hypothesis being there would be no changes. Using a randomized crossover design, 32 healthy adults (16 females and 16 males, 29 ± 11 yr old) consumed MitoQ (100-160 mg based on body mass) or placebo capsules. We obtained serum samples and a 4- to 6-h postcapsule consumption urine sample. We assessed creatinine clearance and urine kidney injury biomarkers including the chitinase 3-like-1 gene product YKL-40, kidney-injury marker-1, monocyte chemoattractant protein-1, epidermal growth factor, neutrophil gelatinase-associated lipocalin, interleukin-18, and uromodulin using multiplex assays. We used t tests, Wilcoxon tests, and Hotelling's T2 to assess global differences in urinary kidney injury markers between conditions. Acute MitoQ supplementation did not influence urine flow rate (P = 0.086, rrb = 0.39), creatinine clearance (P = 0.085, rrb = 0.42), or urinary kidney injury markers (T22,8 = 30.6, P = 0.121, univariate ps > 0.064). Using exploratory univariate analysis, MitoQ did not alter individual injury markers compared with placebo (e.g., placebo vs. MitoQ: YKL-40, 507 ± 241 vs. 442 ± 236 pg/min, P = 0.241; kidney injury molecule-1, 84.1 ± 43.2 vs. 76.2 ± 51.2 pg/min, P = 0.890; and neutrophil gelatinase-associated lipocalin, 10.8 ± 10.1 vs. 9.83 ± 8.06 ng/min, P = 0.609). In conclusion, although longer-term surveillance and data are needed in clinical populations, our findings suggest that acute high-dose MitoQ had no effect on urinary kidney injury markers in healthy adults.NEW & NOTEWORTHY We found acute high-dose mitochondria-targeted antioxidant (MitoQ) supplementation was not nephrotoxic and had no effect on markers of acute kidney injury in healthy adults. These findings can help bolster further confidence in the safety of MitoQ, particularly for future investigations seeking to examine the role of mitochondrial oxidative stress, via acute MitoQ supplementation, on various physiological outcomes.

New Creatinine- and Cystatin C-Based Equations to Estimate GFR without Race.

BACKGROUND: Current equations for estimated glomerular filtration rate (eGFR) that use serum creatinine or cystatin C incorporate age, sex, and race to estimate measured GFR. However, race in eGFR equations is a social and not a biologic construct. METHODS: We developed new eGFR equations without race using data from two development data sets: 10 studies (8254 participants, 31.5% Black) for serum creatinine and 13 studies (5352 participants, 39.7% Black) for both serum creatinine and cystatin C. In a validation data set of 12 studies (4050 participants, 14.3% Black), we compared the accuracy of new eGFR equations to measured GFR. We projected the prevalence of chronic kidney disease (CKD) and GFR stages in a sample of U.S. adults, using current and new equations. RESULTS: In the validation data set, the current creatinine equation that uses age, sex, and race overestimated measured GFR in Blacks (median, 3.7 ml per minute per 1.73 m2 of body-surface area; 95% confidence interval [CI], 1.8 to 5.4) and to a lesser degree in non-Blacks (median, 0.5 ml per minute per 1.73 m2; 95% CI, 0.0 to 0.9). When the adjustment for Black race was omitted from the current eGFR equation, measured GFR in Blacks was underestimated (median, 7.1 ml per minute per 1.73 m2; 95% CI, 5.9 to 8.8). A new equation using age and sex and omitting race underestimated measured GFR in Blacks (median, 3.6 ml per minute per 1.73 m2; 95% CI, 1.8 to 5.5) and overestimated measured GFR in non-Blacks (median, 3.9 ml per minute per 1.73 m2; 95% CI, 3.4 to 4.4). For all equations, 85% or more of the eGFRs for Blacks and non-Blacks were within 30% of measured GFR. New creatinine-cystatin C equations without race were more accurate than new creatinine equations, with smaller differences between race groups. As compared with the current creatinine equation, the new creatinine equations, but not the new creatinine-cystatin C equations, increased population estimates of CKD prevalence among Blacks and yielded similar or lower prevalence among non-Blacks. CONCLUSIONS: New eGFR equations that incorporate creatinine and cystatin C but omit race are more accurate and led to smaller differences between Black participants and non-Black participants than new equations without race with either creatinine or cystatin C alone. (Funded by the National Institute of Diabetes and Digestive and Kidney Diseases.).

Tubule dysfunction and injury and future risk of sepsis-associated acute kidney injury.

BACKGROUND: Novel biomarkers can quantify both kidney tubule function, including proximal tubule reabsorptive (urine α-1 microglobulin (uα1m)) and tubule protein synthesis capacities (urine uromodulin (uUMOD)), and tubular injury (urine neutrophil gelatinase-associated lipocalin (uNGAL)). In a blood pressure trial, we reported that lower reabsorptive and synthetic protein capacity at times of health predicted future risk of acute kidney injury (AKI), but most AKI was related to hemodynamic causes in this trial. Associations between tubular function and injury and future AKI related to other causes is unknown. MATERIALS AND METHODS: We performed a case-control study in REGARDS, a population-based cohort study, among participants who provided urine at the baseline visit. We matched each septic AKI case by age, sex, race, and time from baseline to hospital admission 1 : 1 to a participant with sepsis who did not develop AKI (controls). Using conditional logistic regression, we evaluated the associations of uα1m, uUMOD, urine ammonium, and uNGAL with septic AKI. RESULTS: Mean age was 69 ± 8 years, 44% were female, and 39% were Black participants. Median baseline eGFR among cases and controls was 73 (55, 90) and 82 (65, 92) mL/min/1.73m2, and median albuminuria was 19 (8, 87) vs. 9 (5, 22) mg/g, respectively. No independent associations were observed between the tubule function or injury markers and subsequent risk of septic AKI once models were adjusted for baseline albuminuria, estimated glomerular filtration rate, and other risk factors. CONCLUSION: Among community participants, tubule function and injury markers at times of health were not independently associated with future risk of septic AKI.

Plasma proenkephalin A and incident chronic kidney disease and albuminuria in the REasons for Geographic And Racial Differences in Stroke (REGARDS) cohort.

BACKGROUND: Plasma proenkephalin A (PENK-A) is a precursor of active enkephalins. Higher blood concentrations have been associated with estimated glomerular filtration rate (eGFR) decline in European populations. Due to the significant disparity in incident chronic kidney disease (CKD) between White and Black people, we evaluated the association of PENK-A with incident CKD and other kidney outcomes among a biracial cohort in the U.S. METHODS: In a nested cohort of 4,400 participants among the REasons for Geographic And Racial Differences in Stroke, we determined the association between baseline PENK-A concentration and incident CKD using the creatinine-cystatin C CKD-EPI 2021 equation without race coefficient, significant eGFR decline, and incident albuminuria between baseline and a follow-up visit 9.4 years later. We tested for race and sex interactions. We used inverse probability sampling weights to account for the sampling design. RESULTS: At baseline, mean (SD) age was 64 (8) years, 49% were women, and 52% were Black participants. 8.5% developed CKD, 21% experienced ≥ 30% decline in eGFR and 18% developed albuminuria. There was no association between PENK-A and incident CKD and no difference by race or sex. However, higher PENK-A was associated with increased odds of progressive eGFR decline (OR: 1.12; 95% CI 1.00, 1.25). Higher PENK-A concentration was strongly associated with incident albuminuria among patients without diabetes mellitus (OR: 1.29; 95% CI 1.09, 1.53). CONCLUSION: While PENK-A was not associated with incident CKD, its associations with progression of CKD and incident albuminuria, among patients without diabetes, suggest that it might be a useful tool in the evaluation of kidney disease among White and Black patients.

Major cardiovascular events and subsequent risk of kidney failure with replacement therapy: a CKD Prognosis Consortium study.

AIMS: Chronic kidney disease (CKD) increases risk of cardiovascular disease (CVD). Less is known about how CVD associates with future risk of kidney failure with replacement therapy (KFRT). METHODS AND RESULTS: The study included 25 903 761 individuals from the CKD Prognosis Consortium with known baseline estimated glomerular filtration rate (eGFR) and evaluated the impact of prevalent and incident coronary heart disease (CHD), stroke, heart failure (HF), and atrial fibrillation (AF) events as time-varying exposures on KFRT outcomes. Mean age was 53 (standard deviation 17) years and mean eGFR was 89 mL/min/1.73 m2, 15% had diabetes and 8.4% had urinary albumin-to-creatinine ratio (ACR) available (median 13 mg/g); 9.5% had prevalent CHD, 3.2% prior stroke, 3.3% HF, and 4.4% prior AF. During follow-up, there were 269 142 CHD, 311 021 stroke, 712 556 HF, and 605 596 AF incident events and 101 044 (0.4%) patients experienced KFRT. Both prevalent and incident CVD were associated with subsequent KFRT with adjusted hazard ratios (HRs) of 3.1 [95% confidence interval (CI): 2.9-3.3], 2.0 (1.9-2.1), 4.5 (4.2-4.9), 2.8 (2.7-3.1) after incident CHD, stroke, HF and AF, respectively. HRs were highest in first 3 months post-CVD incidence declining to baseline after 3 years. Incident HF hospitalizations showed the strongest association with KFRT [HR 46 (95% CI: 43-50) within 3 months] after adjustment for other CVD subtype incidence. CONCLUSION: Incident CVD events strongly and independently associate with future KFRT risk, most notably after HF, then CHD, stroke, and AF. Optimal strategies for addressing the dramatic risk of KFRT following CVD events are needed.

Risk Factors for Incident CKD in Black and White Americans: The REGARDS Study.

RATIONALE & OBJECTIVE: Little information exists on the incidence of and risk factors for chronic kidney disease (CKD) in contemporary US cohorts and whether risk factors differ by race, sex, or region in the United States. STUDY DESIGN: Observational cohort study. SETTING & PARTICIPANTS: 4,198 Black and 7,799 White participants aged at least 45 years, recruited from 2003 through 2007 across the continental United States, with baseline estimated glomerular filtration rate (eGFR)>60mL/min/1.73m2 and eGFR assessed again approximately 9 years later. EXPOSURES: Age, sex, race (Black or White), region ("stroke belt" or other), education, income, systolic blood pressure, body mass index, diabetes, coronary heart disease, hyperlipidemia, smoking, and albuminuria. OUTCOMES: (1) eGFR change and (2) incident CKD defined as eGFR<60mL/min/1.73m2 and≥40% decrease from baseline or kidney failure. ANALYTICAL APPROACH: Linear regression and modified Poisson regression were used to determine the association of risk factors with eGFR change and incident CKD overall and stratified by race, sex, and region. RESULTS: Mean age of participants was 63±8 (SD) years, 54% were female, and 35% were Black. After 9.4±1.0 years of follow-up, CKD developed in 9%. In an age-, sex-, and race-adjusted model, Black race (ß =-0.13; P<0.001) was associated with higher risk of eGFR change, but this was attenuated in the fully adjusted model (ß=0.02; P=0.5). Stroke belt residence was independently associated with eGFR change (ß =-0.10; P<0.001) and incident CKD (relative risk, 1.14 [95% CI, 1.01-1.30]). Albuminuria was more strongly associated with eGFR change (ß of-0.26 vs-0.17; P=0.01 for interaction) in Black compared with White participants. Results were similar for incident CKD. LIMITATIONS: Persons of Hispanic ethnicity were excluded; unknown duration and/or severity of risk factors. CONCLUSIONS: Established CKD risk factors accounted for higher risk of incident CKD in Black versus White individuals. Albuminuria was a stronger risk factor for eGFR decrease and incident CKD in Black compared with White individuals. Living in the US stroke belt is a novel risk factor for CKD.

Alpha Globin Gene Copy Number Is Associated with Prevalent Chronic Kidney Disease and Incident End-Stage Kidney Disease among Black Americans.

BACKGROUND: α-Globin is expressed in endothelial cells of resistance arteries, where it limits endothelial nitric oxide signaling and enhances α-adrenergic-mediated vasoconstriction. α-Globin gene (HBA) copy number is variable in people of African descent and other populations worldwide. Given the protective effect of nitric oxide in the kidney, we hypothesized that HBA copy number would be associated with kidney disease risk. METHODS: Community-dwelling Black Americans aged ≥45 years old were enrolled in a national longitudinal cohort from 2003 through 2007. HBA copy number was measured using droplet digital PCR. The prevalence ratio (PR) of CKD and the relative risk (RR) of incident reduced eGFR were calculated using modified Poisson multivariable regression. The hazard ratio (HR) of incident ESKD was calculated using Cox proportional hazards multivariable regression. RESULTS: Among 9908 participants, HBA copy number varied from 2 to 6. In analyses adjusted for demographic, clinical, and genetic risk factors, a one-copy increase in HBA was associated with 14% greater prevalence of CKD (PR, 1.14; 95% CI, 1.07 to 1.21; P<0.0001). While HBA copy number was not associated with incident reduced eGFR (RR, 1.06; 95% CI, 0.94 to 1.19; P=0.38), the hazard of incident ESKD was 32% higher for each additional copy of HBA (HR, 1.32; 95% CI, 1.09 to 1.61; P=0.005). CONCLUSIONS: Increasing HBA copy number was associated with a greater prevalence of CKD and incidence of ESKD in a national longitudinal cohort of Black Americans.

Estimated Glomerular Filtration Rate, Albuminuria, and Adverse Outcomes: An Individual-Participant Data Meta-Analysis.

Importance: Chronic kidney disease (low estimated glomerular filtration rate [eGFR] or albuminuria) affects approximately 14% of adults in the US. Objective: To evaluate associations of lower eGFR based on creatinine alone, lower eGFR based on creatinine combined with cystatin C, and more severe albuminuria with adverse kidney outcomes, cardiovascular outcomes, and other health outcomes. Design, Setting, and Participants: Individual-participant data meta-analysis of 27 503 140 individuals from 114 global cohorts (eGFR based on creatinine alone) and 720 736 individuals from 20 cohorts (eGFR based on creatinine and cystatin C) and 9 067 753 individuals from 114 cohorts (albuminuria) from 1980 to 2021. Exposures: The Chronic Kidney Disease Epidemiology Collaboration 2021 equations for eGFR based on creatinine alone and eGFR based on creatinine and cystatin C; and albuminuria estimated as urine albumin to creatinine ratio (UACR). Main Outcomes and Measures: The risk of kidney failure requiring replacement therapy, all-cause mortality, cardiovascular mortality, acute kidney injury, any hospitalization, coronary heart disease, stroke, heart failure, atrial fibrillation, and peripheral artery disease. The analyses were performed within each cohort and summarized with random-effects meta-analyses. Results: Within the population using eGFR based on creatinine alone (mean age, 54 years [SD, 17 years]; 51% were women; mean follow-up time, 4.8 years [SD, 3.3 years]), the mean eGFR was 90 mL/min/1.73 m2 (SD, 22 mL/min/1.73 m2) and the median UACR was 11 mg/g (IQR, 8-16 mg/g). Within the population using eGFR based on creatinine and cystatin C (mean age, 59 years [SD, 12 years]; 53% were women; mean follow-up time, 10.8 years [SD, 4.1 years]), the mean eGFR was 88 mL/min/1.73 m2 (SD, 22 mL/min/1.73 m2) and the median UACR was 9 mg/g (IQR, 6-18 mg/g). Lower eGFR (whether based on creatinine alone or based on creatinine and cystatin C) and higher UACR were each significantly associated with higher risk for each of the 10 adverse outcomes, including those in the mildest categories of chronic kidney disease. For example, among people with a UACR less than 10 mg/g, an eGFR of 45 to 59 mL/min/1.73 m2 based on creatinine alone was associated with significantly higher hospitalization rates compared with an eGFR of 90 to 104 mL/min/1.73 m2 (adjusted hazard ratio, 1.3 [95% CI, 1.2-1.3]; 161 vs 79 events per 1000 person-years; excess absolute risk, 22 events per 1000 person-years [95% CI, 19-25 events per 1000 person-years]). Conclusions and Relevance: In this retrospective analysis of 114 cohorts, lower eGFR based on creatinine alone, lower eGFR based on creatinine and cystatin C, and more severe UACR were each associated with increased rates of 10 adverse outcomes, including adverse kidney outcomes, cardiovascular diseases, and hospitalizations.

High dietary salt intake increases urinary NGAL excretion and creatinine clearance in healthy young adults.

In rodents and older patients with elevated blood pressure (BP), high dietary sodium increases excretion of biomarkers of kidney injury, but it is unclear whether this effect occurs in healthy young adults. The purpose of this study was to determine whether short-term high dietary salt increases urinary excretion of the kidney injury biomarkers neutrophil gelatinase-associated lipocalin (NGAL) and kidney injury molecule-1 (KIM-1) in healthy young adults. Twenty participants participated in a double-blind, placebo-controlled, randomized crossover study. For 10 days each, participants were asked to consume salt (3,900 mg sodium) or placebo capsules. We measured BP during each visit, obtained 24-h urine samples for measurements of electrolytes, NGAL, and KIM-1, and assessed creatinine clearance. Compared with placebo, salt loading increased daily urinary sodium excretion (placebo: 130.3 ± 62.4 mmol/24 h vs. salt: 287.2 ± 72.0 mmol/24 h, P < 0.01). There was no difference in mean arterial BP (placebo: 77 ± 7 mmHg vs. salt: 77 ± 6 mmHg, P = 0.83) between conditions. However, salt loading increased the urinary NGAL excretion rate (placebo: 59.8 ± 44.4 ng/min vs. salt: 80.8 ± 49.5 ng/min, P < 0.01) and increased creatinine clearance (placebo: 110.5 ± 32.9 mL/min vs. salt: 145.0 ± 24.9 mL/min, P < 0.01). Urinary KIM-1 excretion was not different between conditions. In conclusion, in healthy young adults 10 days of dietary salt loading increased creatinine clearance and increased urinary excretion of the kidney injury biomarker marker NGAL but not KIM-1.NEW & NOTEWORTHY In healthy young adults, 10 days of dietary salt loading increased creatinine clearance and increased urinary excretion of the kidney injury biomarker marker neutrophil gelatinase-associated lipocalin despite no change in resting blood pressure.

Lung-kidney interactions and their role in chronic kidney disease-associated pulmonary diseases.

Chronic illnesses rarely present in a vacuum, devoid of other complications, and chronic kidney disease is hardly an exception. Comorbidities associated with chronic kidney disease lead to faster disease progression, expedited dialysis dependency, and a higher mortality rate. Although chronic kidney disease is most commonly accompanied by cardiovascular diseases and diabetes, there is clear cross talk between the lungs and kidneys pH balance, phosphate metabolism, and immune system regulation. Our present understanding of the exact underlying mechanisms that contribute to chronic kidney disease-related pulmonary disease is poor. This review summarizes the current research on kidney-pulmonary interorgan cross talk in the context of chronic kidney disease, highlighting various acute and chronic pulmonary diseases that lead to further complications in patient care. Treatment options for patients presenting with chronic kidney disease and lung disease are explored by assessing activated molecular pathways and the body's compensatory response mechanisms following homeostatic imbalance. Understanding the link between the lungs and kidneys will potentially improve health outcomes for patients and guide healthcare professionals to better understand how and when to treat each of the pulmonary comorbidities that can present with chronic kidney disease.

Fibroblast growth factor-23 and subclinical markers of cardiac dysfunction: The coronary artery risk development in young adults (CARDIA) study.

BACKGROUND: Elevated Fibroblast Growth Factor-23 (FGF23) levels have been associated with greater left ventricular mass (LVM) and heart failure. Whether higher FGF23 is associated with higher LVH prevalence and longitudinal changes in LVM and myocardial strain in middle-aged adults without cardiovascular disease (CVD) or chronic kidney disease (CKD) is unknown. METHODS: We studied 3,113 adults without CVD at baseline participating in the Year 25 (2010-2011) follow-up exam of the Coronary Artery Risk Development in Young Adults (CARDIA) study. We studied the association of Year 25 c-terminal FGF23 concentrations with indexed LVM (LVMI=LVM/height2.7), LVH and myocardial strain as assessed by speckle tracking strain echocardiography. Among the 2,758 (88.6%) participants who returned for the Year 30 examination, we also investigated the association of Year 25 FGF23 with 5 Year change in LVMI, strain parameters and incident LVH. RESULTS: The mean age was 50.0 (±3.6) years, 56.8% were female, 45.7% were Black and 6.4% had CKD. There was 6.0% LVH prevalence at Year 25. Mean 5 Year change in LVMI was 5.3 (±7.7) grams/meter. In multivariable models, FGF23 in the highest quartile was associated with greater odds of LVH at Year 25 compared to lower quartiles. [Odds Ratio 95% CI: 1.81 (1.28, 2.58)] with similar findings after exclusion of participants with CKD. There was no interaction between FGF23 and race (P = .18) or sex (P = .80). There was no association between FGF23 and global longitudinal strain. There was no association between FGF23 and 5 Year change in LVMI. There was no association between higher FGF23 and 5 year incident LVH. CONCLUSIONS: In a middle-aged adult population without known CVD or CKD, higher FGF23 was associated with greater odds of LVH, but not with greater increases in LVM over time. Further study is needed to elucidate whether FGF23 is a risk marker for underlying LVH or a mechanism for increased LVM over time in younger and middle-aged adult populations without CKD.

Associations of Plasma Biomarkers of Inflammation, Fibrosis, and Kidney Tubular Injury With Progression of Diabetic Kidney Disease: A Cohort Study.

RATIONALE & OBJECTIVE: Most circulating biomarkers of chronic kidney disease (CKD) progression focus on factors reflecting glomerular filtration. Few biomarkers capture nonglomerular pathways of kidney injury or damage, which may be particularly informative in populations at high risk for CKD progression such as individuals with diabetes. STUDY DESIGN: Cohort study. SETTING & PARTICIPANTS: 594 participants (mean age, 70 years; 53% women) of the Reasons for Geographic and Racial Differences in Stroke (REGARDS) study who had diabetes and an estimated glomerular filtration rate (eGFR)<60mL/min/1.73m2 at baseline. EXPOSURES: Plasma biomarkers of inflammation/fibrosis (TNFR1 and TNFR2, suPAR, MCP-1, YKL-40) and tubular injury (KIM-1) measured at the baseline visit. OUTCOMES: Incident kidney failure with replacement therapy (KFRT). ANALYTICAL APPROACH: Cox proportional hazards regression and least absolute shrinkage and selection operator regression adjusted for established risk factors for kidney function decline, baseline eGFR, and urinary albumin-creatinine ratio (UACR). RESULTS: A total of 98 KFRT events were observed over a mean of 6.2±3.5 (standard deviation) years of follow-up. Plasma biomarkers were modestly associated with baseline eGFR (correlation coefficients ranging from-0.08 to-0.65) and UACR (0.14 to 0.56). In individual biomarker models adjusted for eGFR, UACR, and established risk factors, hazard ratios for incident KFRT per 2-fold higher biomarker concentrations were 1.52 (95% CI, 1.25-1.84) for plasma KIM-1, 1.54 (95% CI, 1.08-2.21) for TNFR1, 1.91 (95% CI, 1.16-3.14) for TNFR2, and 1.39 (95% CI, 1.05-1.84) for YKL-40. In least absolute shrinkage and selection operator regression models accounting for biomarkers in parallel, plasma KIM-1 and TNFR1 remained associated with incident KFRT. LIMITATIONS: Single biomarker measurement, lack of follow-up eGFR assessments. CONCLUSIONS: Individual plasma markers of inflammation/fibrosis (TNFR1, TNFR2, YKL-40) and tubular injury (KIM-1) were associated with risk of incident KFRT in adults with diabetes and an eGFR<60mL/min/1.73m2 after adjustment for established risk factors.

Association of Uremic Solutes With Cardiovascular Death in Diabetic Kidney Disease.

RATIONALE & OBJECTIVE: Cardiovascular disease (CVD) is a major cause of mortality among people with diabetic kidney disease (DKD). The pathophysiology is inadequately explained by traditional CVD risk factors. The uremic solutes trimethylamine-N-oxide (TMAO) and asymmetric and symmetric dimethylarginine (ADMA, SDMA) have been linked to CVD in kidney failure with replacement therapy (KFRT), but data are limited in populations with diabetes and less severe kidney disease. STUDY DESIGN: Observational cohort. SETTINGS & PARTICIPANTS: Random subcohort of 555 REGARDS (Reasons for Geographic and Racial Differences in Stroke) study participants with diabetes and estimated glomerular filtration rate (eGFR) <60 mL/min/1.73 m2 at study entry. EXPOSURE: ADMA, SDMA, and TMAO assayed by liquid chromatography-mass spectrometry in plasma and urine. OUTCOME: Cardiovascular mortality (primary outcome); all-cause mortality and incident KFRT (secondary outcomes). ANALYTICAL APPROACH: Plasma concentrations and ratios of urine to plasma concentrations of ADMA, SDMA, and TMAO were tested for association with outcomes. Adjusted Cox regression models were fitted and hazard ratios of outcomes calculated per standard deviation and per doubling, and as interquartile comparisons. RESULTS: The mean baseline eGFR was 44 mL/min/1.73 m2. Cardiovascular death, overall mortality, and KFRT occurred in 120, 285, and 89 participants, respectively, during a mean 6.2 years of follow-up. Higher plasma ADMA and SDMA (HRs of 1.20 and 1.28 per 1-SD greater concentration), and lower ratios of urine to plasma concentrations of ADMA, SDMA, and TMAO (HRs per halving of 1.53, 1.69, and 1.38) were associated with cardiovascular mortality. Higher plasma concentrations of ADMA, SDMA, and TMAO (HRs of 1.31, 1.42, and 1.13 per 1-SD greater concentration) and lower urine to plasma ratios of ADMA, SDMA, and TMAO (HRs per halving of 1.34, 1.37, and 1.26) were associated with all-cause mortality. Higher plasma ADMA and SDMA were associated with incident KFRT by categorical comparisons (HRs of 2.75 and 2.96, comparing quartile 4 to quartile 1), but not in continuous analyses. LIMITATIONS: Single cohort, restricted to patients with diabetes and eGFR < 60 mL/min/1.73 m2, potential residual confounding by GFR, no dietary information. CONCLUSIONS: Higher plasma concentrations and lower ratios of urine to plasma concentrations of uremic solutes were independently associated with cardiovascular and all-cause mortality in DKD. Associations of ratios of urine to plasma concentrations with mortality suggest a connection between renal uremic solute clearance and CVD pathogenesis.

APOL1 Risk Variants Associated with Serum Albumin in a Population-Based Cohort Study.

INTRODUCTION: The association of apolipoprotein L1 (APOL1) nephropathy risk variants (APOL1), unique to African-ancestry (African-American [AA]) populations, with systemic inflammation, a contributor to chronic kidney disease (CKD) and end-stage kidney disease (ESKD) is ill-defined. This study aimed to describe the role of inflammatory markers in the relationship between APOL1 and incident kidney outcomes using a prospective cohort study. METHODS: APOL1 high-risk status under a recessive genetic model was studied in 10,605 AA adults aged ≥45 years from the Reasons for Geographic and Racial Differences in Stroke study. The primary variables of interest were inflammatory markers: C-reactive protein (mg/dL), white blood cell count (cells/mm3), and serum albumin (sALB) (mg/dL). High inflammation status was defined if at least one of these inflammatory markers exceeded clinical threshold. The association between APOL1 and biomarkers were assessed using regression models adjusting for age, sex, ancestry, hypertension, lipid medications, albumin-to-creatinine ratio, and estimated glomerular filtration rate (eGFR). Models were stratified by diabetes status. We identified incident ESKD using USRDS linkage, and we defined incident CKD as an eGFR <60 mL/min/1.73 m2 and ≥25% decline in the eGFR and normal baseline eGFR and tested for mediation of APOL1 and outcomes by biomarkers using the causal inference approach. RESULTS: Among 7,151 participants with data available on all inflammation markers, 4,479 participants had ≥1 marker meeting the clinical threshold. APOL1 high-risk status was associated with lower adjusted odds of reduced sALB {odds ratio (OR) (95% confidence interval [CI]): 0.59 [0.36, 0.96])}, and this association was significant in people with diabetes (OR [95% CI]: 0.40 [0.18, 0.89]) but not in those without diabetes. There was no association of APOL1 high-risk status with other markers or high inflammation status. APOL1 was independently associated with ESKD (OR [95% CI] = 1.78 [1.28, 2.48]) and CKD (OR [95% CI] = 1.38 [1.00, 1.91]). On mediation analysis, the direct effect between APOL1 and ESKD strengthened after accounting for sALB, but the estimated mediated effect was not statistically significant (OR [95% CI]: 0.98 [0.92, 1.05], p = 0.58). CONCLUSION: APOL1 high-risk variants were associated with sALB. However, sALB did not statistically mediate the association between APOL1 and incident ESKD.

Lipid accumulation product, visceral adiposity index and risk of chronic kidney disease.

BACKGROUND: Lipid accumulation product (LAP) and visceral adiposity index (VAI) are novel, non-imaging markers of visceral adiposity that are calculated by using body mass index (BMI), waist circumference (WC) and serum lipid concentrations. We hypothesized that LAP and VAI are more strongly associated with adverse kidney outcomes than BMI and WC. METHODS: Using data from the REasons for Geographic and Racial Differences in Stroke (REGARDS) study, we used multivariable logistic regression to evaluate associations of LAP, VAI, BMI and WC with incident chronic kidney disease (CKD), (incident eGFR < 60 ml/min/1.73m2 and > 25% decline). RESULTS: Among the overall cohort of 27,550 participants, the mean baseline age was 65 years; 54% were women; and 41% were African American. After a median of 9.4 years (IQR 8.6, 9.9) of follow-up, a total of 1127 cases of incident CKD were observed. Each two-fold higher value of VAI (OR 1.12, 95% CI 1.04, 1.20), LAP (OR 1.21, 95% CI 1.13, 1.29), WC (OR 2.10, 95% CI 1.60, 2.76) and BMI (OR: 2.66, 95% CI 1.88, 3.77), was associated with greater odds of incident CKD. CONCLUSIONS: LAP and VAI as measures of visceral adiposity are associated with higher odds of incident CKD but may not provide information beyond WC and BMI.

Association of Multiple Plasma Biomarker Concentrations with Progression of Prevalent Diabetic Kidney Disease: Findings from the Chronic Renal Insufficiency Cohort (CRIC) Study.

BACKGROUND: Although diabetic kidney disease is the leading cause of ESKD in the United States, identifying those patients who progress to ESKD is difficult. Efforts are under way to determine if plasma biomarkers can help identify these high-risk individuals. METHODS: In our case-cohort study of 894 Chronic Renal Insufficiency Cohort Study participants with diabetes and an eGFR of <60 ml/min per 1.73 m2 at baseline, participants were randomly selected for the subcohort; cases were those patients who developed progressive diabetic kidney disease (ESKD or 40% eGFR decline). Using a multiplex system, we assayed plasma biomarkers related to tubular injury, inflammation, and fibrosis (KIM-1, TNFR-1, TNFR-2, MCP-1, suPAR, and YKL-40). Weighted Cox regression models related biomarkers to progression of diabetic kidney disease, and mixed-effects models estimated biomarker relationships with rate of eGFR change. RESULTS: Median follow-up was 8.7 years. Higher concentrations of KIM-1, TNFR-1, TNFR-2, MCP-1, suPAR, and YKL-40 were each associated with a greater risk of progression of diabetic kidney disease, even after adjustment for established clinical risk factors. After accounting for competing biomarkers, KIM-1, TNFR-2, and YKL-40 remained associated with progression of diabetic kidney disease; TNFR-2 had the highest risk (adjusted hazard ratio, 1.61; 95% CI, 1.15 to 2.26). KIM-1, TNFR-1, TNFR-2, and YKL-40 were associated with rate of eGFR decline. CONCLUSIONS: Higher plasma levels of KIM-1, TNFR-1, TNFR-2, MCP-1, suPAR, and YKL-40 were associated with increased risk of progression of diabetic kidney disease; TNFR-2 had the highest risk after accounting for the other biomarkers. These findings validate previous literature on TNFR-1, TNFR-2, and KIM-1 in patients with prevalent CKD and provide new insights into the influence of suPAR and YKL-40 as plasma biomarkers that require validation.

Association of Estimated GFR Calculated Using Race-Free Equations With Kidney Failure and Mortality by Black vs Non-Black Race.

Importance: At a given estimated glomerular filtration rate (eGFR), individuals who are Black have higher rates of mortality and kidney failure with replacement therapy (KFRT) compared with those who are non-Black. Whether the recently adopted eGFR equations without race preserve racial differences in risk of mortality and KFRT at a given eGFR is unknown. Objective: To assess whether eGFR equations with and without race and cystatin C document racial differences in risk of KFRT and mortality in populations including Black and non-Black participants. Design, Setting, and Participants: Retrospective individual-level data analysis of 62 011 participants from 5 general population and 3 chronic kidney disease (CKD) US-based cohorts with serum creatinine, cystatin C, and follow-up for KFRT and mortality from 1988 to 2018. Exposures: Chronic Kidney Disease Epidemiology Collaboration equation with serum creatinine (eGFRcr with and without race), cystatin C (eGFRcys without race), or both markers (eGFRcr-cys without race). Main Outcomes and Measures: The prevalence of decreased eGFR at baseline and hazard ratios of KFRT and mortality in Black vs non-Black participants were calculated, adjusted for age and sex. Analyses were performed within each cohort and with random-effect meta-analyses of the models. Results: Among 62 011 participants (20 773 Black and 41 238 non-Black; mean age, 63 years; 53% women), the prevalence ratio (95% CI; percent prevalences) of eGFR less than 60 mL/min/1.73 m2 comparing Black with non-Black participants was 0.98 (95% CI, 0.93-1.03; 11% vs 12%) for eGFRcr with race, 0.95 (95% CI, 0.91-0.98; 17% vs 18%) for eGFRcys, and 1.2 (95% CI, 1.2-1.3; 13% vs 11%) for eGFRcr-cys but was 1.8 (95% CI, 1.7-1.8; 15% vs 9%) for eGFRcr without race. During a mean follow-up of 13 years, 8% and 4% of Black and non-Black participants experienced KFRT and 34% and 39% died, respectively. Decreased eGFR was associated with significantly greater risk of both outcomes for all equations. At an eGFR of 60 mL/min/1.73 m2, the hazard ratios for KFRT comparing Black with non-Black participants were 2.8 (95% CI, 1.6-4.9) for eGFRcr with race, 3.0 (95% CI, 1.5-5.8) for eGFRcys, and 2.8 (95% CI, 1.4-5.4) for eGFRcr-cys vs 1.3 (95% CI, 0.8-2.1) for eGFRcr without race. The 5-year absolute risk differences for KFRT comparing Black with non-Black participants were 1.4% (95% CI, 0.2%-2.6%) for eGFRcr with race, 1.1% (95% CI, 0.2%-1.9%) for eGFRcys, and 1.3% (95% CI, 0%-2.6%) for eGFRcr-cys vs 0.37% (95% CI, -0.32% to 1.05%) for eGFRcr without race. Similar patterns were observed for mortality. Conclusions and Relevance: In this retrospective analysis of 8 US cohorts including Black and non-Black individuals, the eGFR equation without race that included creatinine and cystatin C, but not the eGFR equation without race that included creatinine without cystatin C, demonstrated racial differences in the risk of KFRT and mortality throughout the range of eGFR. The eGFRcr-cys equation may be preferable to the eGFRcr equation without race for assessing racial differences in the risk of KFRT and mortality associated with low eGFR.

UAB-UCSD O'Brien Center for Acute Kidney Injury Research.

Acute kidney injury (AKI) remains a significant clinical problem through its diverse etiologies, the challenges of robust measurements of injury and recovery, and its progression to chronic kidney disease (CKD). Bridging the gap in our knowledge of this disorder requires bringing together not only the technical resources for research but also the investigators currently endeavoring to expand our knowledge and those who might bring novel ideas and expertise to this important challenge. The University of Alabama at Birmingham-University of California-San Diego O'Brien Center for Acute Kidney Injury Research brings together technical expertise and programmatic and educational efforts to advance our knowledge in these diverse issues and the required infrastructure to develop areas of novel exploration. Since its inception in 2008, this O'Brien Center has grown its impact by providing state-of-the-art resources in clinical and preclinical modeling of AKI, a bioanalytical core that facilitates measurement of critical biomarkers, including serum creatinine via LC-MS/MS among others, and a biostatistical resource that assists from design to analysis. Through these core resources and with additional educational efforts, our center has grown its investigator base to include >200 members from 51 institutions. Importantly, this center has translated its pilot and catalyst funding program with a $37 return per dollar invested. Over 500 publications have resulted from the support provided with a relative citation ratio of 2.18 ± 0.12 (iCite). Through its efforts, this disease-centric O'Brien Center is providing the infrastructure and focus to help the development of the next generation of researchers in the basic and clinical science of AKI. This center creates the promise of the application at the bedside of the advances in AKI made by current and future investigators.

State-of-the-Art Management of Hyperphosphatemia in Patients With CKD: An NKF-KDOQI Controversies Perspective.

Phosphate binders are among the most common medications prescribed to patients with kidney failure receiving dialysis and are often used in advanced chronic kidney disease (CKD). In patients with CKD glomerular filtration rate category 3a (G3a) or worse, including those with kidney failure who are receiving dialysis, clinical practice guidelines suggest "lowering elevated phosphate levels towards the normal range" with possible strategies including dietary phosphate restriction or use of binders. Additionally, guidelines suggest restricting the use of oral elemental calcium often contained in phosphate binders. Nutrition guidelines in CKD suggest<800-1,000mg of calcium daily, whereas CKD bone and mineral disorder guidelines do not provide clear targets, but<1,500mg in maintenance dialysis patients has been previously recommended. Many different classes of phosphate binders are now available and clinical trials have not definitively demonstrated the superiority of any class of phosphate binders over another with regard to clinical outcomes. Use of phosphate binders contributes substantially to patients' pill burden and out-of-pocket costs, and many have side effects. This has led to uncertainty regarding the use and best choice of phosphate binders for patients with CKD or kidney failure. In this controversies perspective, we discuss the evidence base around binder use in CKD and kidney failure with a focus on comparisons of available binders.