Seasonality, Clinical Characteristics, and Outcomes of Respiratory Syncytial Virus Disease by Subtype Among Children Aged <5 Years: New Vaccine Surveillance Network, United States, 2016-2020.

BACKGROUND: Respiratory syncytial virus (RSV) is a leading cause of acute respiratory illnesses in children. RSV can be broadly categorized into 2 major subtypes: A and B. RSV subtypes have been known to cocirculate with variability in different regions of the world. Clinical associations with viral subtype have been studied among children with conflicting findings such that no conclusive relationships between RSV subtype and severity have been established. METHODS: During 2016-2020, children aged <5 years were enrolled in prospective surveillance in the emergency department or inpatient settings at 7 US pediatric medical centers. Surveillance data collection included parent/guardian interviews, chart reviews, and collection of midturbinate nasal plus/minus throat swabs for RSV (RSV-A, RSV-B, and untyped) using reverse transcription polymerase chain reaction. RESULTS: Among 6398 RSV-positive children aged <5 years, 3424 (54%) had subtype RSV-A infections, 2602 (41%) had subtype RSV-B infections, and 272 (5%) were not typed, inconclusive, or mixed infections. In both adjusted and unadjusted analyses, RSV-A-positive children were more likely to be hospitalized, as well as when restricted to <1 year. By season, RSV-A and RSV-B cocirculated in varying levels, with 1 subtype dominating proportionally. CONCLUSIONS: Findings indicate that RSV-A and RSV-B may only be marginally clinically distinguishable, but both subtypes are associated with medically attended illness in children aged <5 years. Furthermore, circulation of RSV subtypes varies substantially each year, seasonally and geographically. With introduction of new RSV prevention products, this highlights the importance of continued monitoring of RSV-A and RSV-B subtypes.

Effectiveness of Updated 2023-2024 (Monovalent XBB.1.5) COVID-19 Vaccination Against SARS-CoV-2 Omicron XBB and BA.2.86/JN.1 Lineage Hospitalization and a Comparison of Clinical Severity-IVY Network, 26 Hospitals, October 18, 2023-March 9, 2024.

BACKGROUND: Assessing variant-specific COVID-19 vaccine effectiveness (VE) and severity can inform public health risk assessments and decisions about vaccine composition. BA.2.86 and its descendants, including JN.1 (referred to collectively as "JN lineages"), emerged in late 2023 and exhibited substantial divergence from co-circulating XBB lineages. METHODS: We analyzed patients hospitalized with COVID-19-like illness at 26 hospitals in 20 U.S. states admitted October 18, 2023-March 9, 2024. Using a test-negative, case-control design, we estimated effectiveness of an updated 2023-2024 (Monovalent XBB.1.5) COVID-19 vaccine dose against sequence-confirmed XBB and JN lineage hospitalization using logistic regression. Odds of severe outcomes, including intensive care unit (ICU) admission and invasive mechanical ventilation (IMV) or death, were compared for JN versus XBB lineage hospitalizations using logistic regression. RESULTS: 585 case-patients with XBB lineages, 397 case-patients with JN lineages, and 4,580 control-patients were included. VE in the first 7-89 days after receipt of an updated dose was 54.2% (95% CI = 36.1%-67.1%) against XBB lineage hospitalization and 32.7% (95% CI = 1.9%-53.8%) against JN lineage hospitalization. Odds of ICU admission (adjusted odds ratio [aOR] 0.80; 95% CI = 0.46-1.38) and IMV or death (aOR 0.69; 95% CI = 0.34-1.40) were not significantly different among JN compared to XBB lineage hospitalizations. CONCLUSIONS: Updated 2023-2024 COVID-19 vaccination provided protection against both XBB and JN lineage hospitalization, but protection against the latter may be attenuated by immune escape. Clinical severity of JN lineage hospitalizations was not higher relative to XBB.

Pre-existing Immunocompromising Conditions and Outcomes of Acute COVID-19 Patients Admitted for Pediatric Intensive Care.

BACKGROUND: We aimed to determine if pre-existing immunocompromising conditions (ICCs) were associated with the presentation or outcome of patients with acute coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) admitted for pediatric intensive care. METHODS: Fifty-five hospitals in 30 US states reported cases through the Overcoming COVID-19 public health surveillance registry. Patients <21 years admitted 12 March 2020-30 December 2021 to the pediatric intensive care unit (PICU) or high-acuity unit for acute COVID-19 were included. RESULTS: Of 1274 patients, 105 (8.2%) had an ICC, including 33 (31.4%) hematologic malignancies, 24 (22.9%) primary immunodeficiencies and disorders of hematopoietic cells, 19 (18.1%) nonmalignant organ failure with solid-organ transplantation, 16 (15.2%) solid tumors, and 13 (12.4%) autoimmune disorders. Patients with ICCs were older, had more underlying renal conditions, and had lower white blood cell and platelet counts than those without ICCs, but had similar clinical disease severity upon admission. In-hospital mortality from COVID-19 was higher (11.4% vs 4.6%, P = .005) and hospitalization was longer (P = .01) in patients with ICCs. New major morbidities upon discharge were not different between those with and without ICC (10.5% vs 13.9%, P = .40). In patients with ICCs, bacterial coinfection was more common in those with life-threatening COVID-19. CONCLUSIONS: In this national case series of patients <21 years of age with acute COVID-19 admitted for intensive care, existence of a prior ICCs were associated with worse clinical outcomes. Reassuringly, most patients with ICCs hospitalized in the PICU for severe acute COVID-19 survived and were discharged home without new severe morbidities.

Medical Costs of Respiratory Syncytial Virus-Associated Hospitalizations and Emergency Department Visits in Children Aged Younger Than 5 Years: Observational Findings from the New Vaccine Surveillance Network, 2016-2019.

OBJECTIVE: To assess medical costs of hospitalizations and emergency department (ED) care associated with respiratory syncytial virus (RSV) disease in children enrolled in the New Vaccine Surveillance Network. STUDY DESIGN: We used accounting and prospective surveillance data from 6 pediatric health systems to assess direct medical costs from laboratory-confirmed RSV-associated hospitalizations (n = 2007) and ED visits (n = 1267) from 2016 through 2019 among children aged <5 years. We grouped costs into categories relevant to clinical care and administrative billing practices. We examined RSV-associated medical costs by care setting using descriptive and bivariate analyses. We assessed associations between known RSV risk factors and hospitalization costs and length of stay using χ2 tests of association. RESULTS: The median cost was $7100 (IQR $4006-$13 355) per hospitalized child and $503 (IQR $387-$930) per ED visit. Eighty percent (n = 2628) of our final sample were children aged younger than 2 years. Fewer weeks' gestational age was associated with greater median costs in hospitalized children (P < .001, ≥37 weeks of gestational age: $6840 [$3905-$12 450]; 29-36 weeks of gestational age: $7721 [$4362-$15 274]; <29 weeks of gestational age: $9131 [$4518-$19 924]). Infants born full term accounted for 70% of the total expenditures in our sample. Almost three quarters of the health care dollars spent originated in children younger than 12 months of age, the primary age group targeted by recommended RSV prophylactics. CONCLUSIONS: Reducing the cost burden for RSV-associated medical care in young children will require prevention of RSV in all young children, not just high-risk infants. Newly available maternal vaccine and immunoprophylaxis products could substantially reduce RSV-associated medical costs.

Early Estimate of Nirsevimab Effectiveness for Prevention of Respiratory Syncytial Virus-Associated Hospitalization Among Infants Entering Their First Respiratory Syncytial Virus Season - New Vaccine Surveillance Network, October 2023-February 2024.

Respiratory syncytial virus (RSV) is the leading cause of hospitalization among infants in the United States. In August 2023, CDC's Advisory Committee on Immunization Practices recommended nirsevimab, a long-acting monoclonal antibody, for infants aged <8 months to protect against RSV-associated lower respiratory tract infection during their first RSV season and for children aged 8-19 months at increased risk for severe RSV disease. In phase 3 clinical trials, nirsevimab efficacy against RSV-associated lower respiratory tract infection with hospitalization was 81% (95% CI = 62%-90%) through 150 days after receipt; post-introduction effectiveness has not been assessed in the United States. In this analysis, the New Vaccine Surveillance Network evaluated nirsevimab effectiveness against RSV-associated hospitalization among infants in their first RSV season during October 1, 2023-February 29, 2024. Among 699 infants hospitalized with acute respiratory illness, 59 (8%) received nirsevimab ≥7 days before symptom onset. Nirsevimab effectiveness was 90% (95% CI = 75%-96%) against RSV-associated hospitalization with a median time from receipt to symptom onset of 45 days (IQR = 19-76 days). The number of infants who received nirsevimab was too low to stratify by duration from receipt; however, nirsevimab effectiveness is expected to decrease with increasing time after receipt because of antibody decay. Although nirsevimab uptake and the interval from receipt of nirsevimab were limited in this analysis, this early estimate supports the current nirsevimab recommendation for the prevention of severe RSV disease in infants. Infants should be protected by maternal RSV vaccination or infant receipt of nirsevimab.

Durability of Original Monovalent mRNA Vaccine Effectiveness Against COVID-19 Omicron-Associated Hospitalization in Children and Adolescents - United States, 2021-2023.

Pediatric COVID-19 vaccination is effective in preventing COVID-19-related hospitalization, but duration of protection of the original monovalent vaccine during SARS-CoV-2 Omicron predominance merits evaluation, particularly given low coverage with updated COVID-19 vaccines. During December 19, 2021-October 29, 2023, the Overcoming COVID-19 Network evaluated vaccine effectiveness (VE) of ≥2 original monovalent COVID-19 mRNA vaccine doses against COVID-19-related hospitalization and critical illness among U.S. children and adolescents aged 5-18 years, using a case-control design. Too few children and adolescents received bivalent or updated monovalent vaccines to separately evaluate their effectiveness. Most case-patients (persons with a positive SARS-CoV-2 test result) were unvaccinated, despite the high frequency of reported underlying conditions associated with severe COVID-19. VE of the original monovalent vaccine against COVID-19-related hospitalizations was 52% (95% CI = 33%-66%) when the most recent dose was administered <120 days before hospitalization and 19% (95% CI = 2%-32%) if the interval was 120-364 days. VE of the original monovalent vaccine against COVID-19-related hospitalization was 31% (95% CI = 18%-43%) if the last dose was received any time within the previous year. VE against critical COVID-19-related illness, defined as receipt of noninvasive or invasive mechanical ventilation, vasoactive infusions, extracorporeal membrane oxygenation, and illness resulting in death, was 57% (95% CI = 21%-76%) when the most recent dose was received <120 days before hospitalization, 25% (95% CI = -9% to 49%) if it was received 120-364 days before hospitalization, and 38% (95% CI = 15%-55%) if the last dose was received any time within the previous year. VE was similar after excluding children and adolescents with documented immunocompromising conditions. Because of the low frequency of children who received updated COVID-19 vaccines and waning effectiveness of original monovalent doses, these data support CDC recommendations that all children and adolescents receive updated COVID-19 vaccines to protect against severe COVID-19.

Interim Estimates of 2023-24 Seasonal Influenza Vaccine Effectiveness - United States.

In the United States, annual influenza vaccination is recommended for all persons aged ≥6 months. Using data from four vaccine effectiveness (VE) networks during the 2023-24 influenza season, interim influenza VE was estimated among patients aged ≥6 months with acute respiratory illness-associated medical encounters using a test-negative case-control study design. Among children and adolescents aged 6 months-17 years, VE against influenza-associated outpatient visits ranged from 59% to 67% and against influenza-associated hospitalization ranged from 52% to 61%. Among adults aged ≥18 years, VE against influenza-associated outpatient visits ranged from 33% to 49% and against hospitalization from 41% to 44%. VE against influenza A ranged from 46% to 59% for children and adolescents and from 27% to 46% for adults across settings. VE against influenza B ranged from 64% to 89% for pediatric patients in outpatient settings and from 60% to 78% for all adults across settings. These findings demonstrate that the 2023-24 seasonal influenza vaccine is effective at reducing the risk for medically attended influenza virus infection. CDC recommends that all persons aged ≥6 months who have not yet been vaccinated this season get vaccinated while influenza circulates locally.

Estimating the Undetected Burden of Respiratory Syncytial Virus Hospitalizations in Adults Through Capture-Recapture Methods.

INTRODUCTION: Traditional surveillance systems may underestimate the burden caused by respiratory syncytial virus (RSV). Capture-recapture methods provide alternatives for estimating the number of RSV-related hospitalizations in a population. METHODS: Capture-recapture methods were used to estimate the number of RSV-related hospitalizations in adults in Middle Tennessee from two independent hospitalization surveillance systems during consecutive respiratory seasons from 2016-2017 to 2019-2020. Data from the Hospitalized Adult Influenza Vaccine Effectiveness Network (HAIVEN) and the Emerging Infections Program (EIP) were used. Annual RSV hospitalization rates were calculated using the capture-recapture estimates weighted by hospitals' market share divided by the corresponding census population. RESULTS: Using capture-recapture methods, the estimated overall adult hospitalization rates varied from 8.3 (95% CI: 5.9-15.4) RSV-related hospitalizations per 10,000 persons during the 2016-2017 season to 28.4 (95% CI: 18.2-59.0) hospitalizations per 10,000 persons in the 2019-2020 season. The proportion of hospitalizations that HAIVEN determined ranged from 8.7% to 36.7% of the total capture-recapture estimated hospitalization, whereas EIP detected 23.5% to 52.7% of the total capture-recapture estimated hospitalizations. CONCLUSION: Capture-recapture estimates showed that individual traditional surveillance systems underestimated the hospitalization burden in adults. Using capture-recapture allows for a more comprehensive estimate of RSV hospitalizations.

Human Rotaviruses of Multiple Genotypes Acquire Conserved VP4 Mutations during Serial Passage.

Human rotaviruses exhibit limited tropism and replicate poorly in most cell lines. Attachment protein VP4 is a key rotavirus tropism determinant. Previous studies in which human rotaviruses were adapted to cultured cells identified mutations in VP4. However, most such studies were conducted using only a single human rotavirus genotype. In the current study, we serially passaged 50 human rotavirus clinical specimens representing five of the genotypes most frequently associated with severe human disease, each in triplicate, three to five times in primary monkey kidney cells then ten times in the MA104 monkey kidney cell line. From 13 of the 50 specimens, we obtained 25 rotavirus antigen-positive lineages representing all five genotypes, which tended to replicate more efficiently in MA104 cells at late versus early passage. We used Illumina next-generation sequencing and analysis to identify variants that arose during passage. In VP4, variants encoded 28 mutations that were conserved for all P[8] rotaviruses and 12 mutations that were conserved for all five genotypes. These findings suggest there may be a conserved mechanism of human rotavirus adaptation to MA104 cells. In the future, such a conserved adaptation mechanism could be exploited to study human rotavirus biology or efficiently manufacture vaccines.

Provider-ordered viral testing and antibiotic administration practices among children with acute respiratory infections across healthcare settings in Nashville, Tennessee.

Objective: Evaluate the association between provider-ordered viral testing and antibiotic treatment practices among children discharged from an ED or hospitalized with an acute respiratory infection (ARI). Design: Active, prospective ARI surveillance study from November 2017 to February 2020. Setting: Pediatric hospital and emergency department in Nashville, Tennessee. Participants: Children 30 days to 17 years old seeking medical care for fever and/or respiratory symptoms. Methods: Antibiotics prescribed during the child's ED visit or administered during hospitalization were categorized into (1) None administered; (2) Narrow-spectrum; and (3) Broad-spectrum. Setting-specific models were built using unconditional polytomous logistic regression with robust sandwich estimators to estimate the adjusted odds ratios and 95% confidence intervals between provider-ordered viral testing (ie, tested versus not tested) and viral test result (ie, positive test versus not tested and negative test versus not tested) and three-level antibiotic administration. Results: 4,107 children were enrolled and tested, of which 2,616 (64%) were seen in the ED and 1,491 (36%) were hospitalized. In the ED, children who received a provider-ordered viral test had 25% decreased odds (aOR: 0.75; 95% CI: 0.54, 0.98) of receiving a narrow-spectrum antibiotic during their visit than those without testing. In the inpatient setting, children with a negative provider-ordered viral test had 57% increased odds (aOR: 1.57; 95% CI: 1.01, 2.44) of being administered a broad-spectrum antibiotic compared to children without testing. Conclusions: In our study, the impact of provider-ordered viral testing on antibiotic practices differed by setting. Additional studies evaluating the influence of viral testing on antibiotic stewardship and antibiotic prescribing practices are needed.

Evaluating Acute Viral Gastroenteritis Severity: Modified Vesikari and Clark Scoring Systems.

OBJECTIVE: Acute gastroenteritis (AGE) is the second leading cause of death in children worldwide. Objectively evaluating disease severity is critical for assessing future interventions. We used data from a large, prospective surveillance study to assess risk factors associated with severe presentation using modified Vesikari score (MVS) and Clark score (CS) of severity. METHODS: From December 1, 2012 to June 30, 2016, AGE surveillance was performed for children between 15 days and 17 years old in the emergency, inpatient, and outpatient settings at Vanderbilt's Monroe Carell Jr. Children's Hospital in Nashville, TN. Stool specimens were tested for norovirus, sapovirus, rotavirus, and astrovirus. We compared demographic and clinical characteristics, along with the MVS and CS, by viral detection status and by setting. RESULTS: Of the 6309 eligible children, 4216 (67%) were enrolled, with 3256 (77%) providing a stool specimen. The median age was 1.9 years, 52% were male, and 1387 (43%) of the stool samples were virus positive. Younger age, male sex, hospitalization, and rotavirus detection were significantly associated with higher mean MVS and CS. Non-Hispanic Black race and ethnicity was associated with a lower mean MVS and CS as compared with non-Hispanic white race and ethnicity. Prematurity and enrollment in the ED were associated with higher mean CS. The 2 scoring systems were highly correlated. CONCLUSIONS: Rotavirus continues to be associated with more severe pediatric illness compared with other viral causes of AGE. MVS and CS systems yielded comparable results and can be useful tools to assess AGE severity.

Association of Symptoms and Viral Culture Positivity for SARS-CoV-2-Tennessee, April-July 2020.

BACKGROUND: Understanding how symptoms are associated with SARS-CoV-2 culture positivity is important for isolation and transmission control guidelines. METHODS: Individuals acutely infected with SARS-CoV-2 in Tennessee and their household contacts were recruited into a prospective study. All participants self-collected nasal swabs daily for 14 days and completed symptom diaries from the day of illness onset through day 14 postenrollment. Nasal specimens were tested for SARS-CoV-2 using RT-qPCR. Positive specimens with cycle threshold values < 40 were sent to the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention (CDC) for viral culture. First, we modeled the association between symptoms and the risk of culture positivity using an age-adjusted generalized additive model (GAM) accounting for repeated measurements within participants and a symptom-day spline. Next, we investigated how timing of symptom resolution was associated with the timing of culture resolution. RESULTS: In a GAM restricted to follow-up days after symptoms began, the odds of a specimen being culture positive was significantly increased on days when wheezing, loss of taste or smell, runny nose, nasal congestion, sore throat, fever, or any symptom were reported. For all symptoms except sore throat, it was more common for participants to have culture resolution before symptom resolution than for culture to resolve after or on the same day as symptom resolution. CONCLUSIONS: Overall, symptomatic individuals were more likely to be SARS-CoV-2 viral culture positive. For most symptoms, culture positivity was more likely to end before symptoms resolved. However, a proportion of individuals remained culture positive after symptom resolved, across all symptoms.

Principal Component Patterns of Pediatric Respiratory Viral Testing Across Health Care Settings.

BACKGROUND AND OBJECTIVES: Factors prompting clinicians to request viral testing in children are unclear. We assessed patterns prompting clinicians to perform viral testing in children discharged from an emergency department (ED) or hospitalized with an acute respiratory infection (ARI). METHODS: Using active ARI surveillance data collected from November 2017 through February 2020, children aged between 30 days and 17 years with fever or respiratory symptoms who had a research respiratory specimen tested were included. Children's presentation patterns from their initial evaluation at each health care setting were analyzed using principal components (PCs) analysis. PC-specific models using logistic regression with robust sandwich estimators were used to estimate odds ratios (ORs) and 95% confidence intervals (CIs) between PCs and provider-ordered viral testing. PCs were assigned respiratory virus/viruses names a priori based on the patterns represented. RESULTS: In total, 4107 children were enrolled and tested, with 2616 (64%) discharged from the ED and 1491 (36%) hospitalized. In the ED, children with a coviral presentation pattern had a 1.44-fold (95% CI, 1.24-1.68) increased odds of receiving a provider-ordered viral test than children showing clinical symptoms less representative of coviral-like infection. Whereas children in the ED and hospitalized with rhinovirus-like symptoms had 71% (OR, 0.29; 95% CI, 0.24-0.34) and 39% (OR, 0.61; 95% CI, 0.49-0.76) decreased odds, respectively, of receiving a provider-ordered viral test during their medical encounter. CONCLUSIONS: Viral tests are frequently ordered by clinicians, but presentation patterns vary by setting and influence the initiation of testing. Additional assessments of factors affecting provider decisions to use viral testing in pediatric ARI management are needed to maximize patient benefits of testing.

Maternal Vaccine Effectiveness Against Influenza-Associated Hospitalizations and Emergency Department Visits in Infants.

Importance: Influenza virus infection during pregnancy is associated with severe maternal disease and may be associated with adverse birth outcomes. Inactivated influenza vaccine during pregnancy is safe and effective and can protect young infants, but recent evidence, particularly after the 2009 novel influenza A (H1N1) pandemic, is limited. Objective: To evaluate the effectiveness of influenza vaccination during pregnancy against laboratory-confirmed influenza-associated hospitalizations and emergency department (ED) visits in infants younger than 6 months. Design, Setting, and Participants: This was a prospective, test-negative case-control study using data from the New Vaccine Surveillance Network from the 2016 to 2017 through 2019 to 2020 influenza seasons. Infants younger than 6 months with an ED visit or hospitalization for acute respiratory illness were included from 7 pediatric medical institutions in US cities. Control infants with an influenza-negative molecular test were included for comparison. Data were analyzed from June 2022 to September 2023. Exposure: Maternal influenza vaccination during pregnancy. Main Outcomes and Measures: We estimated maternal vaccine effectiveness against hospitalizations or ED visits in infants younger than 6 months, those younger than 3 months, and by trimester of vaccination. Maternal vaccination status was determined using immunization information systems, medical records, or self-report. Vaccine effectiveness was estimated by comparing the odds of maternal influenza vaccination 14 days or more before delivery in infants with influenza vs those without. Results: Of 3764 infants (223 with influenza and 3541 control infants), 2007 (53%) were born to mothers who were vaccinated during pregnancy. Overall vaccine effectiveness in infants was 34% (95% CI, 12 to 50), 39% (95% CI, 12 to 58) against influenza-associated hospitalizations, and 19% (95% CI, -24 to 48) against ED visits. Among infants younger than 3 months, effectiveness was 53% (95% CI, 30 to 68). Effectiveness was 52% (95% CI, 30 to 68) among infants with mothers who were vaccinated during the third trimester and 17% (95% CI, -15 to 40) among those with mothers who were vaccinated during the first or second trimesters. Conclusions and Relevance: Maternal vaccination was associated with reduced odds of influenza-associated hospitalizations and ED visits in infants younger than 6 months. Effectiveness was greatest among infants younger than 3 months, for those born to mothers vaccinated during the third trimester, and against influenza-associated hospitalizations.

Clinical prediction model: Multisystem inflammatory syndrome in children versus Kawasaki disease.

BACKGROUND: Multisystem inflammatory syndrome in children (MIS-C) is a rare but serious complication of severe acute respiratory syndrome coronavirus 2 infection. Features of MIS-C overlap with those of Kawasaki disease (KD). OBJECTIVE: The study objective was to develop a prediction model to assist with this diagnostic dilemma. METHODS: Data from a retrospective cohort of children hospitalized with KD before the coronavirus disease 2019 pandemic were compared to a prospective cohort of children hospitalized with MIS-C. A bootstrapped backwards selection process was used to develop a logistic regression model predicting the probability of MIS-C diagnosis. A nomogram was created for application to individual patients. RESULTS: Compared to children with incomplete and complete KD (N = 602), children with MIS-C (N = 105) were older and had longer hospitalizations; more frequent intensive care unit admissions and vasopressor use; lower white blood cell count, lymphocyte count, erythrocyte sedimentation rate, platelet count, sodium, and alanine aminotransferase; and higher hemoglobin and C-reactive protein (CRP) at admission. Left ventricular dysfunction was more frequent in patients with MIS-C, whereas coronary abnormalities were more common in those with KD. The final prediction model included age, sodium, platelet count, alanine aminotransferase, reduction in left ventricular ejection fraction, and CRP. The model exhibited good discrimination with AUC 0.96 (95% confidence interval: [0.94-0.98]) and was well calibrated (optimism-corrected intercept of -0.020 and slope of 0.99). CONCLUSIONS: A diagnostic prediction model utilizing admission information provides excellent discrimination between MIS-C and KD. This model may be useful for diagnosis of MIS-C but requires external validation.

Influenza C virus in U.S. children with acute respiratory infection 2016-2019.

Influenza C virus (ICV) is an orthomyxovirus related to influenza A and B, yet due to few commercial assays, epidemiologic studies may underestimate incidence of ICV infection and disease. We describe the epidemiology and characteristics of ICV within the New Vaccine Surveillance Network (NVSN), a Centers for Disease Control and Prevention (CDC)-led network that conducts population-based surveillance for pediatric acute respiratory illness (ARI). Nasal or/combined throat swabs were collected from emergency department (ED) or inpatient ARI cases, or healthy controls, between 12/05/2016-10/31/2019 and tested by molecular assays for ICV and other respiratory viruses. Parent surveys and chart review were used to analyze demographic and clinical characteristics of ICV+ children. Among 19,321 children tested for ICV, 115/17,668 (0.7 %) ARI cases and 8/1653 (0.5 %) healthy controls tested ICV+. Median age of ICV+ patients was 18 months and 88 (71.5 %) were ≤36 months. Among ICV+ ARI patients, 40 % (46/115) were enrolled in the ED, 60 % (69/115) were inpatients, with 15 admitted to intensive care. Most ICV+ ARI patients had fever (67.8 %), cough (94.8 %), or wheezing (60.9 %). Most (60.9 %) ARI cases had ≥1 co-detected viruses including rhinovirus, RSV, and adenovirus. In summary, ICV detection was rarely associated with ARI in children, and most ICV+ patients were ≤3 years old with co-detected respiratory viruses.

SARS-CoV-2 shedding and evolution in patients who were immunocompromised during the omicron period: a multicentre, prospective analysis.

BACKGROUND: Prolonged SARS-CoV-2 infections in people who are immunocompromised might predict or source the emergence of highly mutated variants. The types of immunosuppression placing patients at highest risk for prolonged infection have not been systematically investigated. We aimed to assess risk factors for prolonged SARS-CoV-2 infection and associated intrahost evolution. METHODS: In this multicentre, prospective analysis, participants were enrolled at five US medical centres. Eligible patients were aged 18 years or older, were SARS-CoV-2-positive in the previous 14 days, and had a moderately or severely immunocompromising condition or treatment. Nasal specimens were tested by real-time RT-PCR every 2-4 weeks until negative in consecutive specimens. Positive specimens underwent viral culture and whole genome sequencing. A Cox proportional hazards model was used to assess factors associated with duration of infection. FINDINGS: From April 11, 2022, to Oct 1, 2022, 156 patients began the enrolment process, of whom 150 were enrolled and included in the analyses. Participants had B-cell malignancy or anti-B-cell therapy (n=18), solid organ transplantation or haematopoietic stem-cell transplantation (HSCT; n=59), AIDS (n=5), non-B-cell malignancy (n=23), and autoimmune or autoinflammatory conditions (n=45). 38 (25%) participants were real-time RT-PCR-positive and 12 (8%) were culture-positive 21 days or longer after initial SARS-CoV-2 detection or illness onset. Compared with the group with autoimmune or autoinflammatory conditions, patients with B-cell dysfunction (adjusted hazard ratio 0·32 [95% CI 0·15-0·64]), solid organ transplantation or HSCT (0·60 [0·38-0·94]), and AIDS (0·28 [0·08-1·00]) had longer duration of infection, defined as time to last positive real-time RT-PCR test. There was no significant difference in the non-B-cell malignancy group (0·58 [0·31-1·09]). Consensus de novo spike mutations were identified in five individuals who were real-time RT-PCR-positive longer than 56 days; 14 (61%) of 23 were in the receptor-binding domain. Mutations shared by multiple individuals were rare (<5%) in global circulation. INTERPRETATION: In this cohort, prolonged replication-competent omicron SARS-CoV-2 infections were uncommon. Within-host evolutionary rates were similar across patients, but individuals with infections lasting longer than 56 days accumulated spike mutations, which were distinct from those seen globally. Populations at high risk should be targeted for repeated testing and treatment and monitored for the emergence of antiviral resistance. FUNDING: US Centers for Disease Control and Prevention.

Accuracy of Influenza ICD-10 Diagnosis Codes in Identifying Influenza Illness in Children.

Importance: Studies of influenza in children commonly rely on coded diagnoses, yet the ability of International Classification of Diseases, Ninth Revision codes to identify influenza in the emergency department (ED) and hospital is highly variable. The accuracy of newer International Statistical Classification of Diseases and Related Health Problems, Tenth Revision (ICD-10) codes to identify influenza in children is unknown. Objective: To determine the accuracy of ICD-10 influenza discharge diagnosis codes in the pediatric ED and inpatient settings. Design, Setting, and Participants: Children younger than 18 years presenting to the ED or inpatient settings with fever and/or respiratory symptoms at 7 US pediatric medical centers affiliated with the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention-sponsored New Vaccine Surveillance Network from December 1, 2016, to March 31, 2020, were included in this cohort study. Nasal and/or throat swabs were collected for research molecular testing for influenza, regardless of clinical testing. Data, including ICD-10 discharge diagnoses and clinical testing for influenza, were obtained through medical record review. Data analysis was performed in August 2023. Main Outcomes and Measures: The accuracy of ICD-10-coded discharge diagnoses was characterized using molecular clinical or research laboratory test results as reference. Measures included sensitivity, specificity, positive predictive value (PPV), and negative predictive value (NPV). Estimates were stratified by setting (ED vs inpatient) and age (0-1, 2-4, and 5-17 years). Results: A total of 16 867 children in the ED (median [IQR] age, 2.0 [0.0-4.0] years; 9304 boys [55.2%]) and 17 060 inpatients (median [IQR] age, 1.0 [0.0-4.0] years; 9798 boys [57.4%]) were included. In the ED, ICD-10 influenza diagnoses were highly specific (98.0%; 95% CI, 97.8%-98.3%), with high PPV (88.6%; 95% CI, 88.0%-89.2%) and high NPV (85.9%; 95% CI, 85.3%-86.6%), but sensitivity was lower (48.6%; 95% CI, 47.6%-49.5%). Among inpatients, specificity was 98.2% (95% CI, 98.0%-98.5%), PPV was 82.8% (95% CI, 82.1%-83.5%), sensitivity was 70.7% (95% CI, 69.8%-71.5%), and NPV was 96.5% (95% CI, 96.2%-96.9%). Accuracy of ICD-10 diagnoses varied by patient age, influenza season definition, time between disease onset and testing, and clinical setting. Conclusions and Relevance: In this large cohort study, influenza ICD-10 discharge diagnoses were highly specific but moderately sensitive in identifying laboratory-confirmed influenza; the accuracy of influenza diagnoses varied by clinical and epidemiological factors. In the ED and inpatient settings, an ICD-10 diagnosis likely represents a true-positive influenza case.