Effect of baseline oestradiol serum concentration on the efficacy of anastrozole for preventing breast cancer in postmenopausal women at high risk: a case-control study of the IBIS-II prevention trial.

BACKGROUND: An increased risk of breast cancer is associated with high serum concentrations of oestradiol and testosterone in postmenopausal women, but little is known about how these hormones affect response to endocrine therapy for breast cancer prevention or treatment. We aimed to assess the effects of serum oestradiol and testosterone concentrations on the efficacy of the aromatase inhibitor anastrozole for the prevention of breast cancer in postmenopausal women at high risk. METHODS: In this case-control study we used data from the IBIS-II prevention trial, a randomised, controlled, double-blind trial in postmenopausal women aged 40-70 years at high risk of breast cancer, conducted in 153 breast cancer treatment centres across 18 countries. In the trial, women were randomly assigned (1:1) to receive anastrozole (1 mg/day, orally) or placebo daily for 5 years. In this pre-planned case-control study, the primary analysis was the effect of the baseline oestradiol to sex hormone binding globulin (SHBG) ratio (oestradiol-SHBG ratio) on the development of all breast cancers, including ductal carcinoma in situ (the primary endpoint in the trial). Cases were participants in whom breast cancer was reported after trial entry and until the cutoff on Oct 22, 2019, and who had valid blood samples and no use of hormone replacement therapy within 3 months of trial entry or during the trial. For each case, two controls without breast cancer were selected at random, matched on treatment group, age (within 2 years), and follow-up time (at least that of the matching case). For each treatment group, we applied a multinominal logistic regression likelihood-ratio trend test to assess what change in the proportion of cases was associated with a one-quartile change in hormone ratio. Controls were used only to determine quartile cutoffs. Profile likelihood 95% CIs were used to indicate the precision of estimates. A secondary analysis also investigated the effect of the baseline testosterone-SHBG ratio on breast cancer development. We also assessed relative benefit of anastrozole versus placebo (calculated as 1 - the ratio of breast cancer cases in the anastrozole group to cases in the placebo group). The trial was registered with ISRCTN (number ISRCTN31488319) and completed recruitment on Jan 31, 2012, but long-term follow-up is ongoing. FINDINGS: 3864 women were recruited into the trial between Feb 2, 2003, and Jan 31, 2012, and randomly assigned to receive anastrozole (n=1920) or placebo (n=1944). Median follow-up time was 131 months (IQR 106-156), during which 85 (4·4%) cases of breast cancer in the anastrozole group and 165 (8·5%) in the placebo group were identified. No data on gender, race, or ethnicity were collected. After exclusions, the case-control study included 212 participants from the anastrozole group (72 cases, 140 controls) and 416 from the placebo group (142 cases, 274 controls). A trend of increasing breast cancer risk with increasing oestradiol-SHBG ratio was found in the placebo group (trend per quartile 1·25 [95% CI 1·08 to 1·45], p=0·0033), but not in the anastrozole group (1·06 [0·86 to 1·30], p=0·60). A weaker effect was seen for the testosterone-SHBG ratio in the placebo group (trend 1·21 [1·05 to 1·41], p=0·011), but again not in the anastrozole group (trend 1·18 [0·96 to 1·46], p=0·11). A relative benefit of anastrozole was seen in quartile 2 (0·55 [95% CI 0·13 to 0·78]), quartile 3 (0·54 [0·22 to 0·74], and quartile 4 (0·56 [0·23 to 0·76]) of oestradiol-SHBG ratio, but not in quartile 1 (0·18 [-0·60 to 0·59]). INTERPRETATION: These results suggest that serum hormones should be measured more routinely and integrated into risk management decisions. Measuring serum hormone concentrations is inexpensive and might help clinicians differentiate which women will benefit most from an aromatase inhibitor. FUNDING: Cancer Research UK, National Health and Medical Research Council (Australia), Breast Cancer Research Foundation, and DaCosta Fund.

Tamoxifen for prevention of breast cancer: extended long-term follow-up of the IBIS-I breast cancer prevention trial.

BACKGROUND: Four previously published randomised clinical trials have shown that tamoxifen can reduce the risk of breast cancer in healthy women at increased risk of breast cancer in the first 10 years of follow-up. We report the long-term follow-up of the IBIS-I trial, in which the participants and investigators remain largely masked to treatment allocation. METHODS: In the IBIS-I randomised controlled trial, premenopausal and postmenopausal women 35-70 years of age deemed to be at an increased risk of developing breast cancer were randomly assigned (1:1) to receive oral tamoxifen 20 mg daily or matching placebo for 5 years. Patients were randomly assigned to the two treatment groups by telephone or fax according to a block randomisation schedule (permuted block sizes of six or ten). Patients and investigators were masked to treatment assignment by use of central randomisation and coded drug supply. The primary endpoint was the occurrence of breast cancer (invasive breast cancer and ductal carcinoma in situ), analysed by intention to treat. Cox proportional hazard models were used to assess breast cancer occurrence and mortality. The trial is closed to recruitment and active treatment is completed, but long-term follow-up is ongoing. This trial is registered with controlledtrials.com, number ISRCTN91879928. FINDINGS: Between April 14, 1992, and March 30, 2001, 7154 eligible women recruited from genetics clinics and breast care clinics in eight countries were enrolled into the IBIS-I trial and were randomly allocated to the two treatment groups: 3579 to tamoxifen and 3575 to placebo. After a median follow up of 16.0 years (IQR 14.1-17.6), 601 breast cancers have been reported (251 [7.0%] in 3579 patients in the tamoxifen group vs 350 [9.8%] in 3575 women in the placebo group; hazard ratio [HR] 0.71 [95% CI 0.60-0.83], p<0.0001). The risk of developing breast cancer was similar between years 0-10 (226 [6.3%] in 3575 women in the placebo group vs 163 [4.6%] in 3579 women in the tamoxifen group; hazard ratio [HR] 0.72 [95% CI 0.59-0.88], p=0.001) and after 10 years (124 [3.8%] in 3295 women vs 88 [2.6%] in 3343, respectively; HR 0.69 [0.53-0.91], p=0.009). The greatest reduction in risk was seen in invasive oestrogen receptor-positive breast cancer (HR 0.66 [95% CI 0.54-0.81], p<0.0001) and ductal carcinoma in situ (0.65 [0.43-1.00], p=0.05), but no effect was noted for invasive oestrogen receptor-negative breast cancer (HR 1.05 [95% CI 0.71-1.57], p=0.8). INTERPRETATION: These results show that tamoxifen offers a very long period of protection after treatment cessation, and thus substantially improves the benefit-to-harm ratio of the drug for breast cancer prevention. FUNDING: Cancer Research UK (UK) and the National Health and Medical Research Council (Australia).

RAD51C is a susceptibility gene for ovarian cancer.

A homozygous mutation in the RAD51C gene was recently found to cause Fanconi anemia-like disorder. Furthermore, six heterozygous deleterious RAD51C mutations were detected in German breast and ovarian cancer families. We screened 277 Finnish familial breast or ovarian cancer patients for RAD51C and identified two recurrent deleterious mutations (c.93delG and c.837+1G>A). These mutations were further genotyped in 491 familial breast cancer patients, 409 unselected ovarian cancer patients and two series of unselected breast cancer cases (884 from Helsinki and 686 from Tampere) and population controls (1279 and 807, respectively). The mutation frequency among all breast cancer cases was not different from the controls (4 out of 2239, 0.2% versus population controls 2 out of 2086, 0.1%, P= 0.7). In the Helsinki series, each mutation was found in four cases with personal or family history of ovarian cancer. No mutations were found among cases with familial breast cancer only, four out of the eight carriers did not have family history of breast cancer. The mutations associated with an increased risk of familial breast and ovarian cancer (OR: 13.59, 95% CI 1.89-97.6, P= 0.026 compared with controls), but especially with familial ovarian cancer in the absence of breast cancer (OR: 213, 95% CI 25.6-1769, P= 0.0002) and also with unselected ovarian cancer (OR: 6.31, 95% CI 1.15-34.6, P= 0.033), with a significantly higher mutation rate among the familial cases (two out of eight, 25%) than the unselected ovarian cancer cases (4 out of 409, 1%) (OR: 33.8, 95% CI 5.15-221, P= 0.005). These results suggest RAD51C as the first moderate-to-high risk susceptibility gene for ovarian cancer.

Bone morphogenetic protein 4 expression in multiple normal and tumor tissues reveals its importance beyond development.

Bone morphogenetic proteins (BMPs) are extracellular signaling molecules that belong to the transforming growth factor ß (TGFß) superfamily and are known to regulate cell proliferation, differentiation and motility, especially during development. BMP4 has an indispensable role in vertebrate development while limited information on BMP4 expression and function exists in adult tissues. Nevertheless, its contribution to cancer development and progression has gained increasing interest in recent years. Functional studies, especially in breast cancer, have implicated BMP4 both in inhibition of cell proliferation and in promotion of cell migration and invasion. To gain an insight into the function of BMP4 in normal and cancer tissues, BMP4 protein expression levels were analyzed by immunohistochemistry in 34 different normal organs/tissues, 34 different tumor types and finally in 486 breast cancer samples where possible associations between BMP4 and clinicopathological parameters were statistically evaluated. In over 20% of normal and malignant tissues, BMP4 was expressed at high level. Strong expression was observed particularly in some normal epithelial cells, such as bladder and stomach, and in squamous cell carcinomas. In breast cancer, strong BMP4 expression was detected in 25% of patients, and was associated with low proliferation index and increased frequency of tumor recurrence. Taken together, BMP4 is expressed in a subset of normal adult tissues and is likely to contribute to tissue homeostasis. However, in tumors, BMP4 expression levels vary considerably, implying diverse roles in different tumor types. This role is biphasic in breast cancer as BMP4 expression is linked to reduced proliferation and increased recurrence, thus corroborating our previous in-vitro functional data.

Evaluation of frequency of clinical symptoms and signs within six months prior to death in patients with advanced solid cancers.

This retrospective study documented the frequency of the clinical symptoms and signs that increase in advanced cancer patients as they move toward death in order to create a sum score and correlate it with survival. Of 572 adult patients who were treated in four selected hospitals and who died in 1998 and 1999, data at six, three, and one month(s) prior to death was available for 257. The results showed that the number of symptoms and certain clinical findings accelerated toward death, increasing the sum score. Younger patients obtained higher sum scores at one month prior to death than did elderly ones (p=0.014); this suggests that elderly patients die at a point where they show less worsening in their clinical condition than do younger patients. The score was independent of cancer type or gender. The results of this analysis provide data for further development of a clinical tool to predict long-term survival in palliative care settings.

Long-term prognosis of breast cancer detected by mammography screening or other methods.

INTRODUCTION: Previous studies of breast cancer have shown that patients whose tumors are detected by mammography screening have a more favorable survival. Little is known, however, about the long-term prognostic impact of screen detection. The purpose of the current study was to compare breast cancer-specific long-term survival of patients whose tumors were detected in mammography screening compared with those whose tumors were detected by other methods. METHODS: Breast cancer patients diagnosed within five specified geographical areas in Finland in 1991 and 1992 were identified (N = 2,936). Detailed clinical, treatment and outcome data, as well as tissue samples, were collected. Women with in situ carcinoma, distant metastases at the time of primary diagnosis and women who were not treated surgically were excluded. The main analyses were performed after excluding patients with other malignancy or contralateral breast cancer, followed by sensitivity analyses with different exclusion criteria. Median follow-up time was 15.4 years. Univariate and multivariate analyses of breast cancer-specific survival were performed. RESULTS: Of patients included in the main analyses (n = 1,884), 22% (n = 408) of cancers were screen-detected and 78% (n = 1,476) were detected by other methods. Breast cancer-specific 15-year survival was 86% for patients with screen-detected cancer and 66% for patients diagnosed using other methods (P < 0.0001, HR = 2.91). Similar differences in survival were observed in women at screening age (50 to 69 years), as well as in clinically important subgroups, such as patients with small tumors (≤ 1 cm in diameter) and without nodal involvement (N0). Women with breast cancer diagnosed on the basis of screening mammography had a more favorable prognosis than those diagnosed outside screening programs, following adjustments according to patient age, tumor size, axillary lymph node status, histological grade and hormone receptor status. Significant differences in the risk of having future contralateral breast cancer according to method of detection were not observed. CONCLUSIONS: Breast cancer detected by mammography screening is an independent prognostic factor in breast cancer and is associated with a more favorable survival rate as well as in long-term follow-up.

Breast cancer biological subtypes and protein expression predict for the preferential distant metastasis sites: a nationwide cohort study.

INTRODUCTION: Some molecular subtypes of breast cancer have preferential sites of distant relapse. The protein expression pattern of the primary tumor may influence the first distant metastasis site. METHODS: We identified from the files of the Finnish Cancer Registry patients diagnosed with breast cancer in five geographical regions Finland in 1991-1992, reviewed the hospital case records, and collected primary tumor tissue. Out of the 2,032 cases identified, 234 developed distant metastases after a median follow-up time of 2.7 years and had the first metastatic site documented (a total of 321 sites). Primary tumor microarray (TMA) cores were analyzed for 17 proteins using immunohistochemistry and for erbB2 using chromogenic in situ hybridization, and their associations with the first metastasis site were examined. The cancers were classified into luminal A, luminal B, HER2+ enriched, basal-like or non-expressor subtypes. RESULTS: A total of 3,886 TMA cores were analyzed. Luminal A cancers had a propensity to give rise first to bone metastases, HER2-enriched cancers to liver and lung metastases, and basal type cancers to liver and brain metastases. Primary tumors that gave first rise to bone metastases expressed frequently estrogen receptor (ER) and SNAI1 (SNAIL) and rarely COX2 and HER2, tumors with first metastases in the liver expressed infrequently SNAI1, those with lung metastases expressed frequently the epidermal growth factor receptor (EGFR), cytokeratin-5 (CK5) and HER2, and infrequently progesterone receptor (PgR), tumors with early skin metastases expressed infrequently E-cadherin, and breast tumors with first metastases in the brain expressed nestin, prominin-1 and CK5 and infrequently ER and PgR. CONCLUSIONS: Breast tumor biological subtypes have a tendency to give rise to first distant metastases at certain body sites. Several primary tumor proteins were associated with homing of breast cancer cells.

Development and evaluation of a virtual microscopy application for automated assessment of Ki-67 expression in breast cancer.

BACKGROUND: The aim of the study was to develop a virtual microscopy enabled method for assessment of Ki-67 expression and to study the prognostic value of the automated analysis in a comprehensive series of patients with breast cancer. METHODS: Using a previously reported virtual microscopy platform and an open source image processing tool, ImageJ, a method for assessment of immunohistochemically (IHC) stained area and intensity was created. A tissue microarray (TMA) series of breast cancer specimens from 1931 patients was immunostained for Ki-67, digitized with a whole slide scanner and uploaded to an image web server. The extent of Ki-67 staining in the tumour specimens was assessed both visually and with the image analysis algorithm. The prognostic value of the computer vision assessment of Ki-67 was evaluated by comparison of distant disease-free survival in patients with low, moderate or high expression of the protein. RESULTS: 1648 evaluable image files from 1334 patients were analysed in less than two hours. Visual and automated Ki-67 extent of staining assessments showed a percentage agreement of 87% and weighted kappa value of 0.57. The hazard ratio for distant recurrence for patients with a computer determined moderate Ki-67 extent of staining was 1.77 (95% CI 1.31-2.37) and for high extent 2.34 (95% CI 1.76-3.10), compared to patients with a low extent. In multivariate survival analyses, automated assessment of Ki-67 extent of staining was retained as a significant prognostic factor. CONCLUSIONS: Running high-throughput automated IHC algorithms on a virtual microscopy platform is feasible. Comparison of visual and automated assessments of Ki-67 expression shows moderate agreement. In multivariate survival analysis, the automated assessment of Ki-67 extent of staining is a significant and independent predictor of outcome in breast cancer.

Molecular subtypes of breast cancers detected in mammography screening and outside of screening.

PURPOSE: The frequency and significance of gene expression profile-derived molecular subtypes of breast cancers found in mammography screening are unknown. EXPERIMENTAL DESIGN: We identified breast cancers diagnosed in women of any age living in defined geographic regions in Finland in 1991 to 1992 and collected clinical and pathologic data. Surrogates for the molecular subtypes were determined for 247 cancers found in organized mammography screening and 989 cancers detected outside of screening using immunohistochemistry or in situ hybridization. Molecular subtypes were defined as luminal A [estrogen receptor (ER) positive and/or progesterone receptor (PR) positive, HER2-], luminal B (ER+ and/or PR+, HER2+), basal-like (ER-, PR-, HER2-, cytokeratin 5+, and/or HER1+), HER2+/ER- (ER-, PR-, and HER2+), and unclassified. The median follow-up time was 9.4 years. RESULTS: The luminal type A was common (73.7%) and the HER2+/ER- type is rare (5.7%) in screen-detected cancer, and only 16% were HER2 positive. Women with cancer diagnosed in screening at ages 50 to 69 years had similar molecular subtype distribution as women whose cancer was found outside of screening at age >69 years. In a multivariate model, cancer detection at screening independently predicted favorable distant disease-free survival when the molecular subtype was included as a covariate in addition to age, histologic grade, and cancer size. Women with small (pT(1)N(0)M(0)) HER2-positive cancer had similar outcome regardless of the method of detection. CONCLUSIONS: Molecular subtype distribution of screen-detected breast cancer differs from that of cancers found outside of screening and accounts in part for the better outcome of screen-detected cancer.

Penetrance analysis of the PALB2 c.1592delT founder mutation.

PURPOSE: PALB2 is a recently identified breast cancer susceptibility gene. We have previously identified in the Finnish population a PALB2 c.1592delT founder truncation mutation that is associated with an increased risk of breast cancer. In the present study, we wanted to assess in more detail the increased risk (hazard ratio, HR) and the age-specific cumulative risk (penetrance) of c.1592delT with regard to susceptibility to breast and other forms of cancer. EXPERIMENTAL DESIGN: Modified segregation analyses fitted under maximum likelihood theory were used to estimate age-specific cumulative risks and HRs using the families of mutation carriers identified from a consecutive series of breast cancer cases unselected for age at onset or family history. RESULTS: We found a substantially increased risk of breast cancer [HR, 6.1; 95% confidence interval (95% CI), 2.2-17.2; P = 0.01] equivalent to a 40% (95% CI, 17-77) breast cancer risk by age 70 years, comparable to that for carriers of mutations in BRCA2. We found marginal evidence (P = 0.06) that the HR for breast cancer decreased with age by 4.2% per year (95% CI, 0.2-8.1), from 7.5-fold at age 30 years to 2.0-fold at age 60 years. CONCLUSIONS: Our results suggest that it may be appropriate to offer PALB2 c.1592delT mutation testing to Finnish women with breast cancer, especially those with an early age at onset or a family history of breast or related cancers, and to offer carriers the option of participation in extended disease surveillance programs.

ARLTS1 germline variants and the risk for breast, prostate, and colorectal cancer.

Recently, a nonsense alteration Trp149Stop in the ARLTS1 gene was found more frequently in familial cancer cases versus sporadic cancer patients and healthy controls. Here, the role of Trp149Stop or any other ARLTS1 germline variant was evaluated on breast, prostate, and colorectal cancer risk. The whole gene was screened for germline alterations in 855 familial cancer patients. The five observed variants were further screened in 1169 non-familial cancer patients as well as in 809 healthy population controls. The Trp149Stop was found at low frequencies (0.5-1.2%) in all patient subgroups versus 1.6% in controls, and the mutant allele did not co-segregate with disease status in families with multiple affected individuals. The CC genotype in the Cys148Arg variant was slightly more common among both familial and sporadic breast (odds ratio (OR), 1.48; 95% confidence interval (CI), 1.16-1.87; P=0.001) and prostate cancer patients (OR, 1.50; 95% CI, 1.13-1.99; P=0.005) when compared to controls. A novel ARLTS1 variant Gly65Val was found at higher frequency among familial prostate cancer patients (8 of 164, 4.9%) than in controls (13 of 809, 1.6%; OR, 3.14; 95% CI, 1.28-7.70, P=0.016). However, after adjusting for multiple testing, none of these results were still significant. No association was found with any of the variants and colorectal cancer risk. Our results suggest that Trp149Stop is not a predisposition allele in breast, prostate, or colorectal cancer in the Finnish population, and, while the Gly65Val variant may increase familial prostate cancer risk and the Cys148Arg change may affect both breast and prostate cancer risk, the evidence is not strong in these data.

Comparison of cancer registry and clinical data as predictors for breast cancer survival.

BACKGROUND: In spite of the increasing amount of clinically relevant information for survival from breast cancer, the amount of data recorded in a population-based cancer registry is limited and the registry-based survival predictions are routinely made without clinical details. OBJECTIVE: To find out how important is the role of screening and clinical tumor characteristics in addition to cancer registry information in describing the breast cancer survival. METHODS: A representative clinical database on 483 breast cancer patients diagnosed during 1996-1997 in Tampere University Hospital Area was linked with Finnish Cancer Registry data and a survival model including the available registry variables was compared to models including screen-detection information and clinical tumor characteristics also. RESULTS AND CONCLUSION: Estimates of registry stage and age act as surrogates for clinical variables and mammography-detection. The surrogacy was found to be almost complete indicating that clinical variables are not necessarily needed when making breast cancer mortality predictions based on a population-based cancer registry. In cases with dissimilar staging cancer registry stage gave a better picture of the breast cancer survival than the clinical stage.

BARD1 variants Cys557Ser and Val507Met in breast cancer predisposition.

BARD1 (BRCA1-associated RING-domain 1) is a tumor suppressor whose protein product interacts with BRCA1, and in which rare somatic and germline mutations have been reported in breast, uterine, and endometrial cancers. We aimed to evaluate whether there are BARD1 genetic variants that contribute to breast cancer risk by screening the gene for germline alterations in 45 Finnish familial breast cancer patients and in seven patients with both breast and ovarian cancer. Two of the missense alterations identified (Cys557Ser and Val507Met) were recently suggested to associate with an increased breast cancer risk. We also analyzed these variants in large and independent series of familial and unselected breast cancer patients and healthy controls. No clearly deleterious mutations were detected in the initial mutation screening. No association of the Cys557Ser and breast cancer risk was observed as the variant was found altogether in 1.4% (16/1181) of familial and 2.2% (34/1565) of unselected breast cancer patients, and in 2.5% (27/1083) of healthy controls. The frequency of the Val-allele of the Val507Met variant was modestly higher among breast cancer patients than among healthy controls, although the difference did not reach statistical significance. No statistically significant association of the Cys557Ser or Val507Met variants with any clinicopathologic parameters was observed. These results suggest that the contribution of the BARD1 germline variants to breast cancer predisposition is very limited, and that neither Cys557Ser nor Val507Met have an effect on familial breast cancer susceptibility.

Generalisability of survival estimates for patients with breast cancer--a comparison across two population-based series.

The purpose of the study was to analyse the generalisability and geographic transportability of survival estimates produced by commonly used prognostic factors. We compared the influence of tumour size, histologic grade, axillary nodal status, oestrogen and progesterone receptor contents, age at diagnosis and two prognostication schemes (the Nottingham Prognostic Index and St. Gallen criteria) in two nationwide cohorts of patients diagnosed with breast cancer in 1991-2, the FinProg (n=2923, Finland) and the SEER series (n=43,249, the United States (US)). Eight-year estimates of breast cancer-specific (84% versus 80%), relative (86% versus 83%), and overall (70% versus 69%) survival were slightly more favourable in the SEER than in the FinProg series, respectively. Despite differences in demographic variables and the frequency of use of adjuvant therapies and mammography screening between the series, the prognostic factors examined produced close to overlapping survival curves with similar shapes. The results suggest that quantitative survival estimates based on frequently used prognostic factors and prognostication schemes are generalisable and transportable between large, unselected cohorts of breast cancer patients.

Search for large genomic alterations of the BRCA1 gene in a Finnish population.

Mutations in the BRCA1 and BRCA2 genes are known to predispose to breast cancer. In Finland, however, only 21% of all breast cancer families have mutations in these genes. Recent studies have shown that large genomic alterations of BRCA1 are common in many countries. Because such alterations will be missed in conventional mutation screening strategies, we decided to screen Finnish breast and ovarian cancer families for genomic alterations by using a multiplex polymerase chain reaction method. The most characteristic features of BRCA1-related breast cancer were used to select patients, namely (1) both breast and ovarian cancer in the family (48 patients), (2) four or more breast cancers in family (22 patients), or (3) young age (< or =40 years) of onset (58 patients). A total of 128 patients were included in the study. All exons of BRCA1 were analyzed but no alterations were found. This study excludes the frequent occurrence of large genomic alterations in the BRCA1 gene in Finland. Here, again, Finland differs from other countries with a mixed population structure. Our results are in agreement with the common hypothesis that there are still unknown breast cancer susceptibility gene(s) that are responsible for breast cancer predisposition.

Endometrial K-ras mutations in postmenopausal breast cancer patients treated with adjuvant tamoxifen or toremifene.

PURPOSE: Long-term use of tamoxifen is associated with a two- to threefold increased risk of endometrial cancer in postmenopausal women. Toremifene is another triphenylethylene antiestrogen, which is as effective as tamoxifen in postmenopausal breast cancer. Thus far, its use has not been associated with an increased risk of endometrial cancer. K-ras codon 12 mutations seem to be important in endometrial carcinogenesis, and these mutations have been found in endometrial samples of patients on tamoxifen. The present study was undertaken to investigate if there is any difference in the frequency of endometrial K-ras mutations among patients treated with tamoxifen or toremifene. METHODS: Endometrial samples were taken from 23 postmenopausal breast cancer patients (tamoxifen, n = 11; toremifene, n = 12) before and after 36 months of treatment. DNA was isolated from formalin-fixed paraffin-embedded samples using a routine proteinase K digestion protocol. K-ras mutations in codon 12 were screened using real-time PCR and melting curve analysis in LightCycler equipment. Wild-type PNA oligomer was used to increase the sensitivity of the assay. RESULTS: All baseline samples contained wild-type K-ras, while 10/23 (43%) of the follow-up samples carried a codon 12 mutation. Mutations were identified in 3 of the 11 in the tamoxifen group and in 7 of the 12 in the toremifene group. Seven were transitions (G-->A), and three were transversions (two G-->T, one G-->C). One of the mutations in the toremifene group was associated with a polypoid endometrium. All the other mutations were found in an atrophic (n = 6) or proliferative (n = 3) endometrium. CONCLUSIONS: Both tamoxifen and toremifene induce endometrial K-ras codon 12 mutations. The significance of this finding to endometrial carcinogenesis remains to be elucidated.

Evaluation of dose-response models and parameters predicting radiation induced pneumonitis using clinical data from breast cancer radiotherapy.

The purpose of this work is to evaluate the predictive strength of the relative seriality, parallel and LKB normal tissue complication probability (NTCP) models regarding the incidence of radiation pneumonitis, in a large group of patients following breast cancer radiotherapy, and furthermore, to illustrate statistical methods for examining whether certain published radiobiological parameters are compatible with a clinical treatment methodology and patient group characteristics. The study is based on 150 consecutive patients who received radiation therapy for breast cancer. For each patient, the 3D dose distribution delivered to lung and the clinical treatment outcome were available. Clinical symptoms and radiological findings, along with a patient questionnaire, were used to assess the manifestation of radiation-induced complications. Using this material, different methods of estimating the likelihood of radiation effects were evaluated. This was attempted by analysing patient data based on their full dose distributions and associating the calculated complication rates with the clinical follow-up records. Additionally, the need for an update of the criteria that are being used in the current clinical practice was also examined. The patient material was selected without any conscious bias regarding the radiotherapy treatment technique used. The treatment data of each patient were applied to the relative seriality, LKB and parallel NTCP models, using published parameter sets. Of the 150 patients, 15 experienced radiation-induced pneumonitis (grade 2) according to the radiation pneumonitis scoring criteria used. Of the NTCP models examined, the relative seriality model was able to predict the incidence of radiation pneumonitis with acceptable accuracy, although radiation pneumonitis was developed by only a few patients. In the case of modern breast radiotherapy, radiobiological modelling appears to be very sensitive to model and parameter selection giving clinically acceptable results in certain cases selectively (relative seriality model with Seppenwoolde et al and Gagliardi et al parameter sets). The use of published parameters should be considered as safe only after their examination using local clinical data. The variation of inter-patient radiosensitivity seems to play a significant role in the prediction of such low incidence rate complications. Scoring grades were combined to give stronger evidence of radiation pneumonitis since their differences could not be strictly associated with dose. This obviously reveals a weakness of the scoring related to this endpoint, and implies that the probability of radiation pneumonitis induction may be too low to be statistically analysed with high accuracy, at least with the latest advances of dose delivery in breast radiotherapy.

Amplification of erbB2 and erbB2 expression are superior to estrogen receptor status as risk factors for distant recurrence in pT1N0M0 breast cancer: a nationwide population-based study.

PURPOSE: To assess the relative importance of 10 prognostic factors in pT1N0M0 breast cancer (< or =2 cm in diameter, node negative). EXPERIMENTAL DESIGN: Women diagnosed with breast cancer in Finland from 1991 to 1992 were identified from the files of the Finnish Cancer Registry, and individual clinicopathological data were collected from the hospital case records of women living in five regions comprising about one-half of the Finnish population. Of the women with minimum required information available (n = 2842), 852 had unilateral pT(1)N(0)M(0) cancer. The median follow-up time was 9.5 years, and only 5% had received systemic adjuvant therapy. Estrogen receptor (ER), progesterone receptor, erbB2, p53, and Ki-67 expression was determined from tumor tissue microarrays using immunohistochemistry, and the erbB2 (HER-2) amplification status was determined using chromogenic in situ hybridization. RESULTS: Primary tumor size < or =5 mm and histological grade 1 were associated with 100 and 95% (95% confidence interval, 92-98%) 9-year distant disease-free survival, respectively, whereas strong erbB2 expression or the presence of >20% Ki-67-positive cells was associated with >20% risk. ER and progesterone receptor values obtained from the hospital case records or tumor microarrays showed weaker association with outcome than the erbB2 status. Small (< or =10 mm) erbB2-negative cancers were associated with >90% 9-year distant disease-free survival, irrespective of histological grade. CONCLUSIONS: Prognosis of pT(1)N(0)M(0) breast cancer is generally well defined by the histological grade and primary tumor size. The erbB2 status was superior to ER as a prognostic factor in these tumors.

Double-reading of plain radiographs--no benefit with regard to earliness of diagnosis of cancer recurrence: a randomised follow-up study.

The aim of this study was to estimate the effect of the radiologist's interpretation of plain radiographs on the earliness of diagnosis of cancer recurrences. Data consisted of patients who had undergone primary treatment and were resident in the Tampere University Hospital Area in Finland during 1991-1997. Consecutive patients were randomised in a double-reading arm (an oncologist and a radiologist independently interpreting radiographs), and in a single-reading arm (interpretation by an oncologist only; if necessary, a radiologist's clinical report was obtained following a separate request). The time of diagnosis of recurrence and death were estimated by the cumulative probabilities of actuarial method with the Wilcoxon (Gehan) test. There were 869 eligible participants, mostly breast cancer patients (n = 516). In total, 227 recurrences were diagnosed, and of these 55 on plain radiographs, which is 24.2% of the total number of recurrences. There was no statistically significant difference between the arms in the number of recurrences (P = 0.85) or in the time of detecting the recurrence (P = 0.64). Altogether, 225 (25.9%) died from cancer and 38 (4.4%) from other causes. There was no statistically significant difference (P = 0.34) in survival between the two arms during the follow-up to 5 years. Double-reading of plain radiographs does not offer any extra benefit for the detection of recurrences or for patient's survival compared with single-reading.

Early skin and lung reactions in breast cancer patients after radiotherapy: prospective study.

PURPOSE: The association between early radiological lung reactions consequent upon radiotherapy and patients' symptoms is not well established. This prospective study examined the association between symptoms experienced by the patient, clinical findings observed by the physician and reactions visible in chest X-ray as interpreted by a radiologist, as well as the association between skin or breast symptoms and lung symptoms induced by radiotherapy after different methods of surgery. METHODS: Altogether 207 consecutive breast cancer patients entered the trial between 1st October 1997 and 31st December 1998. Chest X-rays were taken at entry and 3, 6 and 12 months after radiotherapy. The frequency and intensity of symptoms as well as clinical and chest X-ray findings were assessed over time. RESULTS: Skin and breast symptoms were common after radiotherapy but seldom severe (9%). Lung reactions were seen in chest X-ray in 47% of patients in re-evaluation by a radiologist at 3 months. The frequency of lung or skin symptoms did not correlate with chest X-ray findings, but there was a significant correlation between skin and lung symptoms. Radiotherapy after conservative surgery for node-positive breast cancer caused lung reactions seen in chest X-ray more often than after mastectomy when using other techniques. The reactions were most common at the 6 month evaluation (P=0.01). Concomitant adjuvant chemo- or endocrine therapy did not significantly increase the incidence of lung reactions. CONCLUSIONS: Skin, breast and lung symptoms were frequent after radiotherapy, but there was no real association between lung or skin symptoms and chest X-ray findings. The only correlation noted was between skin or breast symptoms and lung symptoms experienced by patients. Radiotherapy after conservative surgery was more frequently linked to chest X-ray findings than radiotherapy after mastectomy. We conclude that routine chest X-ray after radiotherapy gives no more clinically relevant information than the symptoms of the patient and we do not recommend routine chest X-rays for that reason.