Predictors of readmission in nonagenarians: analysis of the American College of Surgeons National Surgical Quality Improvement Project dataset.

BACKGROUND: Increased longevity has led to more nonagenarians undergoing elective surgery. Development of predictive models for hospital readmission may identify patients who benefit from preoperative optimization and postoperative transition of care intervention. Our goal was to identify significant predictors of 30-d readmission in nonagenarians undergoing elective surgery. METHODS: Nonagenarians undergoing elective surgery from January 2011 to December 2012 were identified using the American College of Surgeons National Surgical Quality Improvement Project participant use data files. This population was randomly divided into a 70% derivation cohort for model development and 30% validation cohort. Using multivariate step-down regression, predictive models were developed for 30-d readmission. RESULTS: Of 7092 nonagenarians undergoing elective surgery, 798 (11.3%) were readmitted within 30 d. Factors significant in univariate analysis were used to develop predictive models for 30-d readmissions. Diabetes (odds ratio [OR]: 1.51, 95% confidence interval [CI]: 1.24-1.84), dialysis dependence (OR: 2.97, CI: 1.77-4.99), functional status (OR: 1.52, CI: 1.29-1.79), American Society of Anesthesiologists class II or higher (American Society of Anesthesiologist physical status classification system; OR: 1.80, CI: 1.42-2.28), operative time (OR: 1.05, CI: 1.02-1.08), myocardial infarction (OR: 5.17, CI: 3.38-7.90), organ space surgical site infection (OR: 8.63, CI: 4.04-18.4), wound disruption (OR: 14.3, CI: 4.80-42.9), pneumonia (OR: 8.59, CI: 6.17-12.0), urinary tract infection (OR: 3.88, CI: 3.02-4.99), stroke (OR: 6.37, CI: 3.47-11.7), deep venous thrombosis (OR: 5.96, CI: 3.70-9.60), pulmonary embolism (OR: 20.3, CI: 9.7-42.5), and sepsis (OR: 13.1, CI: 8.57-20.1), septic shock (OR: 43.8, CI: 18.2-105.0), were included in the final model. This model had a c-statistic of 0.73, indicating a fair association of predicted probabilities with observed outcomes. However, when applied to the validation cohort, the c-statistic dropped to 0.69, and six variables lost significance. CONCLUSIONS: A reliable predictive model for readmission in nonagenarians undergoing elective surgery remains elusive. Investigation into other determinants of surgical outcomes, including social factors and access to skilled home care, might improve model predictability, identify areas for intervention to prevent readmission, and improve quality of care.

Genomic variation as a marker of response to neoadjuvant therapy in locally advanced rectal cancer.

There is variation in the responsiveness of locally advanced rectal cancer to neoadjuvant chemoradiation, from complete response to total resistance. This study compared genetic variation in rectal cancer patients who had a complete response to chemoradiation versus poor response, using tumor tissue samples sequenced with genomics analysis software. Rectal cancer patients treated with chemoradiation and proctectomy June 2006-March 2017 were grouped based on response to chemoradiation: those with no residual tumor after surgery (CR, complete responders, AJCC-CPR tumor grade 0, n = 8), and those with poor response (PR, AJCC-CPR tumor grade two or three on surgical resection, n = 8). We identified 195 variants in 83 genes in tissue specimens implicated in colorectal cancer biopathways. PR patients showed mutations in four genes not mutated in complete responders: KDM6A, ABL1, DAXX-ZBTB22, and KRAS. Ten genes were mutated only in the CR group, including ARID1A, PMS2, JAK1, CREBBP, MTOR, RB1, PRKAR1A, FBXW7, ATM C11orf65, and KMT2D, with specific discriminating variants noted in DMNT3A, KDM6A, MTOR, APC, and TP53. Although conclusions may be limited by small sample size in this pilot study, we identified multiple genetic variations in tumor DNA from rectal cancer patients who are poor responders to neoadjuvant chemoradiation, compared to complete responders.

Audiovisual Modules to Enhance Informed Consent in the ICU: A Pilot Study.

Obtaining informed consent for commonly performed ICU procedures is often compromised by variability in communication styles and inadequate verbal descriptions of anatomic concepts. The objective of this study was to evaluate the efficacy of an audiovisual module in improving the baseline knowledge of ICU procedures among patients and their caregivers. DESIGN: Prospective, observational study. SETTING: Forty-eight-bed adult surgical ICU at a tertiary care center. SUBJECTS: Critically ill surgical patients and their legally authorized representatives. INTERVENTIONS: An audiovisual module describing eight commonly performed ICU procedures. MEASUREMENTS AND MAIN RESULTS: Fifty-nine subjects were enrolled and completed an 11-question pre- and postvideo test of knowledge regarding commonly performed ICU procedures and a brief satisfaction survey. Twenty-nine percent had a healthcare background. High school was the highest level of education for 37% percent of all subjects. Out of 11 questions on the ICU procedure knowledge test, subjects scored an average 8.0 ± 1.9 correct on the pretest and 8.4 ± 2.0 correct on the posttest (p = 0.055). On univariate logistic regression, having a healthcare background was a negative predictor of improved knowledge (odds ratio, 0.185; 95% CI, 0.045-0.765), indicating that those with a health background had a lower probability of improving their score on the posttest. Among subjects who did not have a healthcare background, scores increased from 7.7 ± 1.9 to 8.3 ± 2.1 (p = 0.019). Seventy-five percent of all subjects indicated that the video was easy to understand, and 70% believed that the video improved their understanding of ICU procedures. CONCLUSIONS: Audiovisual modules may improve knowledge and comprehension of commonly performed ICU procedures among critically ill patients and caregivers who have no healthcare background.

Gelatin Thoracic Paravertebral Teaching Model for Placement of a Continuous Infusion Catheter in the Extrathoracic Paravertebral Space.

OBJECTIVE: Our aim was to develop an ultrasound-guided training curriculum for continuous infusion catheter placement in the paravertebral space and to create a gelatin thoracic spine-rib model for use in this training. We sought to create a model that was inexpensive and reusable such that multiple participants could use one model during training. DESIGN: The model was prepared by embedding a firm foam thoracic spine replica with bilateral attached ribs into an opaque gelatin mixture. Once solidified, a preselected area was excised on each side, such that the model could be easily refilled with new gelatin blocks for use by each participant. This allowed for multiple participants to use the same model while eliminating confusion with prior tract marks. SETTING: The Marcia and Eugene Applebaum Simulation Learning Institute, Beaumont Hospital, Royal Oak, MI; a private nonprofit tertiary care hospital associated with the OUWB School of Medicine, Rochester, MI. PARTICIPANTS: Fifty-two medical students and general surgery residents underwent a 30-minute didactic session on ultrasound technique for catheter placement followed by practice on the gelatin model. RESULTS: The texture and echogenicity of the model were subjectively comparable to those of tissue in vivo and the osseous elements of the spine in the model were clearly identified using ultrasound. The exchangeable catheter placement area provided an efficient and effective method to test accurate performance in catheter placement by multiple users. Participants increased their confidence in the use of ultrasound for this procedure. CONCLUSIONS: To date, this is the first gelatin thoracic spine-rib model that has been used to teach ultrasound-guided catheter insertion into the paravertebral space, with removable testing areas that can be used by multiple users. This model can provide an inexpensive training tool that can be used in a surgical simulation setting.

Solid, Cystic, and Tubular: Novice Ultrasound Skills Training Using a Versatile, Affordable Practice Model.

OBJECTIVE: In spite of the recognized benefits of ultrasound, many physicians have little experience with using ultrasound to perform procedures. Many medical schools and residency programs lack a formal ultrasound training curriculum. We describe an affordable ultrasound training curriculum and versatile, inexpensive practice model. DESIGN: Participants underwent a didactic session to teach the theory required to perform ultrasound-guided procedures. Motor skills were taught using a practice model incorporating analogs of common anatomic and pathologic structures into an opacified gelatin substrate. SETTING: The Marcia and Eugene Applebaum Simulation Learning Institute, Beaumont Hospital, Royal Oak, MI; a private nonprofit tertiary care hospital associated with the OUWB School of Medicine, Rochester, MI. PARTICIPANTS: The model was tested in a cohort of 50 medical students and general surgery residents. RESULTS: The gelatin model can be constructed for $1.03 per learner. The solid, cystic, and vascular structural analogs were readily identifiable on ultrasound and easily differentiated based on their echotextures. Eighty-four percent of participants successfully aspirated the cystic structure, 88% successfully biopsied a portion of the solid structure, and 76% successfully cannulated the tubular structure. Overall, 82% of participants achieved a passing score for the exercise based on a validated Objective Structured Assessment of Technical Skill instrument. There were no significant differences between the medical students and residents. CONCLUSION: This model can be used to teach basic ultrasound skills such as aspiration, biopsy, and vessel cannulation, providing a foundation for the use of ultrasound in a broad range of clinical procedures, as well as providing practice opportunities for medical students and residents to gain increased ultrasound competency and confidence.

Effects of repealing the motorcycle helmet law in Michigan.

BACKGROUND: In 2012, Michigan repealed its universal helmet law. Our study assessed the clinical impact of this repeal. METHODS: Our trauma database was queried retrospectively for 2 motorcycle riding seasons before and 3 seasons after repeal. On-scene death data was obtained from the Medical Examiner. RESULTS: Helmet use in hospitalized patients decreased after the helmet law repeal. Non-helmeted patients had a significant increased rate of head injury. Non-helmeted patients were more likely to die during hospitalization. While, helmet use and drugs/alcohol status significantly affected the risk for head injury, only drug/alcohol had a significant effect on overall mortality. CONCLUSIONS: Following helmet law repeal, helmet use has decreased. Helmet status and drug/alcohol use was found to significantly increase risk of head injury. Although overall mortality was only affected by drug/alcohol use, non-helmeted patients did have a higher inpatient mortality. These findings deserve furthermore study and may provide a basis for reinstating the universal helmet law.

Using global gene expression to discriminate thin melanomas with poor outcomes.

Most melanomas present as thin lesions (≤1.0 mm) with a good prognosis; however, a small percentage of patients with thin lesions experience recurrence or metastasis. The aim of our study was to identify a distinct pattern of gene expression within thin melanomas known to have eventually metastasized to regional lymph nodes or distant sites compared with those that followed the typical course with good response to wide local excision alone. Patients who were disease-free for a minimum of 10 y served as controls (n = 10) to the experimental group who developed metastasis (n = 9). Laser capture microdissection was used to specifically isolate cancer cells from formalin-fixed paraffin-embedded tissue with subsequent gene expression analysis on Affymetrix Human Transcriptome Array 2.0 Arrays. Although gene expression differences were observed between the patients with thin melanoma with poor clinical outcome and those with good clinical outcome, neither the number of genes nor the magnitude of the fold difference was very substantial or significant. Cluster analysis with this subset of genes could definitively separate a subset of the poor responders from the good responders, but there remained a mixed group of tumors that could not be predicted from gene expression alone. Pathway analysis identified cellular processes that were regulated based on the response, including categories commonly associated with melanoma progression. Ultimately, we concluded that there were very few differences between these groups. Future research will be required and investigation of the mutational landscape may be another strategy to uncover genomic changes that drive recurrence and metastasis in thin melanoma.