End of an era for erythropoiesis-stimulating agents in oncology.

Erythropoiesis-stimulating agents (ESAs) are available to treat chemotherapy-induced anemia (CIA). In 2007-2008, regulatory notifications advised of venous thromboembolism and mortality risks while the Center for Medicare and Medicaid Services' restricted ESA initiation to patients with hemoglobin <10 g/dl. In 2010, a Risk Evaluation and Mitigation Strategies required consent prior to administration. We evaluated ESA utilization from 2003 to 2012 and obtained private health insurer claims data for persons with lung, colorectal, or breast cancer from 2001 to 2012. ESA use for CIA was determined by an ESA claim after chemotherapy, up to 6 months after treatment. We identified 839,948 commercially insured patients, including 24,785 patients with ESA-treated CIA (3.2%). Darbepoetin use increased 3.9-fold from 2003 to 2007 (12.3% to 48.7%) and then decreased 95% to 2.6% by 2012. Epoetin use decreased 90% from 2003 to 2012 (30.3% to 3.1%). Between 2003 and 2012, mean epoetin dosing decreased 0.8-fold (244,979 in 2003 vs. 196,216 units in 2012), but increased 1.8-fold for darbepoetin-treated CIA (262 in 2003 to 467 µg in 2012). Among CIA patients, transfusions were low (4.5%) in 2002-2007, then increased 2.2-fold between 2008 and 2012. Safety initiatives between 2007 and 2010 facilitated reductions in ESA use combined with changes in coverage. These data show the efficacy of regulatory efforts, publication of adverse events and changes in reimbursement in reducing use of ESAs. Future studies are warranted to optimize deimplementation strategies to improve patient safety.

Reimagining Cancer: Moving from the Cellular to the Tissue Level.

The current universally accepted explanation of cancer origin and behavior, the somatic mutation theory, is cell-centered and rooted in perturbation of gene function independent of the external environmental context. However, tumors consist of various epithelial and stromal cell populations temporally and spatially organized into an integrated neoplastic community, and they can have properties similar to normal tissues. Accordingly, we review specific normal cellular and tissue traits and behaviors with adaptive temporal and spatial self-organization that result in ordered patterns and structures. A few recent theories have described these tissue-level cancer behaviors, invoking a conceptual shift from the cellular level and highlighting the need for methodologic approaches based on the analysis of complex systems. We propose extending the analytical approach of regulatory networks to the tissue level and introduce the concept of "cancer attractors." These concepts require reevaluation of cancer imaging and investigational approaches and challenge the traditional reductionist approach of cancer molecular biology.

Mammalian TIMELESS is required for ATM-dependent CHK2 activation and G2/M checkpoint control.

Timeless (Tim), a core circadian clock gene in Drosophila, is retained in mammals but has no apparent mammalian circadian clock function. Mammalian TIM is essential for ATR-dependent Chk1 activation and S-phase arrest. We report that TIM is likewise essential for ATM-dependent Chk2-mediated signaling of doxorubicin-induced DNA double strand breaks. TIM depletion attenuates doxorubicin-induced G(2)/M cell cycle arrest and sensitizes cancer cells to doxorubicin-induced cytotoxicity. TIM is, thereby, a potential novel anticancer drug target whose inhibition may enhance the therapeutic cytotoxicity of agents that activate DNA damage pathways as part of their mechanism.

The association of quality of life with potentially remediable disruptions of circadian sleep/activity rhythms in patients with advanced lung cancer.

BACKGROUND: Cancer patients routinely develop symptoms consistent with profound circadian disruption, which causes circadian disruption diminished quality of life. This study was initiated to determine the relationship between the severity of potentially remediable cancer-associated circadian disruption and quality of life among patients with advanced lung cancer. METHODS: We concurrently investigated the relationship between the circadian rhythms of 84 advanced lung cancer patients and their quality of life outcomes as measured by the EORTC QLQ C30 and Ferrans and Powers QLI. The robustness and stability of activity/sleep circadian daily rhythms were measured by actigraphy. Fifty three of the patients in the study were starting their definitive therapy following diagnosis and thirty one patients were beginning second-line therapy. Among the patients who failed prior therapy, the median time between completing definitive therapy and baseline actigraphy was 4.3 months, (interquartile range 2.1 to 9.8 months). RESULTS: We found that circadian disruption is universal and severe among these patients compared to non-cancer-bearing individuals. We found that each of these patient's EORTC QLQ C30 domain scores revealed a compromised capacity to perform the routine activities of daily life. The severity of several, but not all, EORTC QLQ C30 symptom items correlate strongly with the degree of individual circadian disruption. In addition, the scores of all four Ferrans/Powers QLI domains correlate strongly with the degree of circadian disruption. Although Ferrans/Powers QLI domain scores show that cancer and its treatment spared these patients' emotional and psychological health, the QLI Health/Function domain score revealed high levels of patients' dissatisfaction with their health which is much worse when circadian disruption is severe. Circadian disruption selectively affects specific Quality of Life domains, such as the Ferrans/Powers Health/Function domain, and not others, such as EORTC QLQ C30 Physical Domain. CONCLUSIONS: These data suggest the testable possibility that behavioral, hormonal and/or light-based strategies to improve circadian organization may help patients suffering from advanced lung cancer to feel and function better.

Global breast cancer seasonality.

Human breast cancer incidence has seasonal patterns that seem to vary among global populations. The aggregate monthly frequency of breast cancer diagnosis was collected and examined for 2,921,714 breast cancer cases diagnosed across 64 global regions over spans from 2 to 53 years. Breast cancer is consistently diagnosed more often in spring and fall, both in the Northern and Southern Hemispheres, regardless of presumable menopausal status (50). This seasonality is increasingly more prominent as population distance from the equator increases and this latitude dependence is most pronounced among women living in rural areas. Moreover, the overall annual incidence (2005-2006), per 100,000 population, of breast cancer increased as the latitude of population residence increased. These data make it clear that human breast cancer discovery occurs non-randomly throughout each year with peaks near both equinoxes and valleys near both solstices. This stable global breast cancer seasonality has implications for better prevention, more accurate screening, earlier diagnosis, and more effective treatment. This complex latitude-dependent breast cancer seasonality is clearly related to predictable local day/night length changes which occur seasonally. Its mechanism may depend upon seasonal sunlight mediation of vitamin D and seasonal mediation of nocturnal melatonin peak level and duration.

Recurrence and mortality according to estrogen receptor status for breast cancer patients undergoing conservative surgery. Ipsilateral breast tumour recurrence dynamics provides clues for tumour biology within the residual breast.

BACKGROUND: The study was designed to determine how tumour hormone receptor status affects the subsequent pattern over time (dynamics) of breast cancer recurrence and death following conservative primary breast cancer resection. METHODS: Time span from primary resection until both first recurrence and death were considered among 2825 patients undergoing conservative surgery with or without breast radiotherapy. The hazard rates for ipsilateral breast tumour recurrence (IBTR), distant metastasis (DM) and mortality throughout 10 years of follow-up were assessed. RESULTS: DM dynamics displays the same bimodal pattern (first early peak at about 24 months, second late peak at the sixth-seventh year) for both estrogen receptor (ER) positive (P) and negative (N) tumours and for all local treatments and metastatic sites. The hazard rates for IBTR maintain the bimodal pattern for ERP and ERN tumours; however, each IBTR recurrence peak for ERP tumours is delayed in comparison to the corresponding timing of recurrence peaks for ERN tumours. Mortality dynamics is markedly different for ERP and ERN tumours with more early deaths among patients with ERN than among patients with ERP primary tumours. CONCLUSION: DM dynamics is not influenced by the extent of conservative primary tumour resection and is similar for both ER phenotypes across different metastatic sites, suggesting similar mechanisms for tumour development at distant sites despite apparently different microenvironments. The IBTR risk peak delay observed in ERP tumours is an exception to the common recurrence risk rhythm. This suggests that the microenvironment within the residual breast tissue may enforce more stringent constraints upon ERP breast tumour cell growth than other tissues, prolonging the latency of IBTR. This local environment is, however, apparently less constraining to ERN cells, as IBTR dynamics is similar to the corresponding recurrence dynamics among other distant tissues.

Actigraphic assessment of daily sleep-activity pattern abnormalities reflects self-assessed depression and anxiety in outpatients with advanced non-small cell lung cancer.

OBJECTIVES: We measured subjectively evaluated depression and anxiety, and objectively measured daily sleep-activity patterns in inpatients and outpatients with advanced non-small cell lung cancer (NSCLC) and determined whether cancer-associated depression and anxiety are accompanied by characteristic circadian rhythm abnormalities. METHODS: Equal numbers of inpatients (n=42) and outpatients (n=42) with advanced NSCLC were studied. Baseline depression and anxiety, assessed by the Hospital Anxiety and Depression Scale (HADS), and actigraphy were recorded before chemotherapy initiation. The effects of the presence and severity of chronic obstructive pulmonary disease (COPD) on depression, anxiety, and actigraphy were assessed only among the 42 outpatients. RESULTS: Anxiety occurred in 40% and depression in 25% of these lung cancer patients, equally among inpatients and outpatients. All patients suffer extremely disturbed daily sleep-activity cycles but each patient also maintains some degree of circadian organization. Outpatients maintain more robust daily activity patterns and longer, more consolidated nighttime sleep compared with inpatients. The more disrupted the daily sleep-activity rhythm, the worse the depression and/or anxiety scores for outpatients. These relationships are obscured among inpatients. COPD has no independent measurable effects on the daily organization of sleep-activity, depression, or anxiety. CONCLUSIONS: Lung cancer patients whose diurnal activity is disturbed by prolonged and frequent sedentary episodes and whose sleep is disturbed by frequent and prolonged waking are most anxious and depressed. These findings and relationships are masked by hospitalization. Since diurnal exercise improves both sleep and mood, it is reasonable to test whether enhancing daytime activity and nighttime sleep can diminish cancer-associated depression.

Period 2 mutation accelerates ApcMin/+ tumorigenesis.

Colorectal cancer risk is increased in shift workers with presumed circadian disruption. Intestinal epithelial cell proliferation is gated throughout each day by the circadian clock. Period 2 (Per2) is a key circadian clock gene. Per2 mutant (Per2(m/m)) mice show an increase in lymphomas and deregulated expression of cyclin D and c-Myc genes that are key to proliferation control. We asked whether Per2 clock gene inactivation would accelerate intestinal and colonic tumorigenesis. The effects of PER2 on cell proliferation and beta-catenin were studied in colon cancer cell lines by its down-regulation following RNA interference. The effects of Per2 inactivation in vivo on beta-catenin and on intestinal and colonic polyp formation were studied in mice with Per2 mutation alone and in combination with an Apc mutation using polyp-prone Apc(Min/+) mice. Down-regulation of PER2 in colon cell lines (HCT116 and SW480) increases beta-catenin, cyclin D, and cell proliferation. Down-regulation of beta-catenin along with Per2 blocks the increase in cyclin D and cell proliferation. Per2(m/m) mice develop colonic polyps and show an increase in small intestinal mucosa beta-catenin and cyclin D protein levels compared with wild-type mice. Apc(Min/+)Per2(m/m) mice develop twice the number of small intestinal and colonic polyps, with more severe anemia and splenomegaly, compared with Apc(Min/+) mice. These data suggest that Per2 gene product suppresses tumorigenesis in the small intestine and colon by down-regulation of beta-catenin and beta-catenin target genes, and this circadian core clock gene may represent a novel target for colorectal cancer prevention and control.

Discovery of candidate genes and pathways that may help explain fertility cycle stage dependent post-resection breast cancer outcome.

Breast cancer relapse and death occur more often and sooner among young pre-menopausal women. Breast cancer resected during luteal phase cures about a quarter more women than if the operation is performed during follicular phase. We have identified candidate breast cancer gene signatures that may point to the potential mechanisms of cycle stage-dependent surgical cure. We performed whole murine genome microarrays on mammary tumors resected during pre-ovulatory (diestrus, follicular) and post-ovulatory (estrus, luteal) phases of the estrous cycle with known post-surgical cure or relapse (pulmonary metastasis) outcome. A set of genes whose expressions are differentially modulated by fertility cycle stage of tumor resection and also associate with prognosis were identified. These identified genes were validated by qRT-PCR. From two independent microarray studies, we identified 90 genes in mammary tumors whose expressions change significantly (up to 100-fold) across the estrous cycle, 69 genes that are associated with cure/relapse independent of cycle stage at resection, and 24 genes that change significantly (up to 12-fold) across the estrous cycle and also associate with the outcome. The mRNA expression patterns of these 24 identified genes were 100% validated by qRT-PCR in the same samples. We have identified candidate breast cancer genes and pathways that may point to the potential mechanisms by which the post-resection breast cancer outcome is influenced by the menstrual cycle phase of cancer resection. Since human breast cancer outcome is influenced by the menstrual cycle phase of breast cancer resection, we consider this study in a mouse breast cancer model to be a proof of principle that such signatures may well exist in human premenopausal breast cancer. It remains to be determined in human breast cancer whether woman to woman and/or tumor to tumor variability will mask cycle phase dependent and outcome predictive genomic signatures in human premenopausal breast cancer. The pathways identified by these studies are potential targets for the development of peri-surgical neoadjuvant therapies, which may delay or prevent relapse by preventing dormant micrometastatic tumor cells from escaping that dormant state post-operatively.

Down regulation of circadian clock gene Period 2 accelerates breast cancer growth by altering its daily growth rhythm.

Purpose Per2, a core circadian clock gene, has tumor suppressor properties and is mutated or down regulated in human breast cancers. We have manipulated the expression of this gene in vitro and in vivo to more fully understand how the Per2 clock gene product affects cancer growth. Methods We used siRNA and shRNA to down regulate Per2 expression in vitro and in vivo and measured cancer cell proliferation, tumor growth rate and several molecular pathways relevant to cancer growth and their circadian organizations. All statistical tests were two-sided. Results Down regulation of functional Per2 gene expression increases Cyclin D and Cyclin E levels and doubles in vitro breast cancer cell proliferation (P < 0.05). Down regulation of Per2 also accelerates in vivo tumor growth and doubles the daily amplitude of the tumor growth rhythm (P < 0.05). Conclusions The clock gene Per2 exerts its tumor suppressor function in a circadian time dependent manner. Therefore, Per2 and perhaps other clock genes represent a new class of potential therapeutic targets whose manipulation will modulate cancer growth and cancer cell proliferation.

Neuroprotective role of erythropoietin by antiapoptosis in the retina.

Erythropoietin (EPO) stimulates red blood cell production, in part by inhibiting apoptosis of the red blood cell precursors. The erythropoietic effects of EPO are circadian stage dependent. Retinal injury due to light occurs through oxidative mechanisms and is manifest by retinal and retinal pigment epithelium (RPE) cells apoptosis. The visual cycle might be circadian coordinated as a means of effectively protecting the retina from the detrimental effects of light-induced, oxygen-dependent, free radical-mediated damage, especially at the times of day when light is more intense. We show that the retinal expression of EPO and its receptor (EPOR), as well as subsequent Janus kinase 2 (Jak2) phosphorylations, are each tightly linked to a specific time after oxidative stress and in anticipation of daily light onset. This is consistent with physiological protection against daily light-induced, oxidatively mediated retinal apoptosis. In vitro, we verify that EPO protects RPE cells from light, hyperoxia, and hydrogen peroxide-induced retinal cell apoptosis, and that these stimuli increase EPO and EPOR expression in cultured RPE cells. Together, these data support the premise that EPO and its EPOR interactions represent an important retinal shield from physiologic and pathologic light-induced oxidative injury.

Hypothesis: primary antiangiogenic method proposed to treat early stage breast cancer.

BACKGROUND: Women with Down syndrome very rarely develop breast cancer even though they now live to an age when it normally occurs. This may be related to the fact that Down syndrome persons have an additional copy of chromosome 21 where the gene that codes for the antiangiogenic protein Endostatin is located. Can this information lead to a primary antiangiogenic therapy for early stage breast cancer that indefinitely prolongs remission? A key question that arises is when is the initial angiogenic switch thrown in micrometastases? We have conjectured that avascular micrometastases are dormant and relatively stable if undisturbed but that for some patients angiogenesis is precipitated by surgery. We also proposed that angiogenesis of micrometastases very rarely occurs before surgical removal of the primary tumor. If that is so, it seems possible that we could suggest a primary antiangiogenic therapy but the problem then arises that starting a therapy before surgery would interfere with wound healing. RESULTS: The therapy must be initiated at least one day prior to surgical removal of the primary tumor and kept at a Down syndrome level perhaps indefinitely. That means the drug must have virtually no toxicity and not interfere meaningfully with wound healing. This specifically excludes drugs that significantly inhibit the VEGF pathway since that is important for wound healing and because these agents have some toxicity. Endostatin is apparently non-toxic and does not significantly interfere with wound healing since Down syndrome patients have no abnormal wound healing problems. CONCLUSION: We propose a therapy for early stage breast cancer consisting of Endostatin at or above Down syndrome levels starting at least one day before surgery and continuing at that level. This should prevent micrometastatic angiogenesis resulting from surgery or at any time later. Adjuvant chemotherapy or hormone therapy should not be necessary. This can be continued indefinitely since there is no acquired resistance that develops, as happens in most cancer therapies.

Tumor dormancy and surgery-driven interruption of dormancy in breast cancer: learning from failures.

Primary tumor removal, usually considered intrinsically beneficial, can perturb metastatic homeostasis, and for some patients results in the acceleration of metastatic cancer. The continuous-growth model is required to yield to an interrupted-growth model, the implications of which are episodes of tumor dormancy. This Review analyzes the recent evolution of two paradigms related to the development of breast cancer metastases. The evolution of the paradigms described herein is supported by a growing body of findings from experimental models, and is required to explain breast cancer recurrence dynamics for patients undergoing surgery with or without adjuvant chemotherapy.

Circadian clock coordinates cancer cell cycle progression, thymidylate synthase, and 5-fluorouracil therapeutic index.

Dysregulated cellular proliferation is a characteristic property of cancer. We show that, despite this fact, cancers maintain high amplitude, circadian rhythms in their growth, DNA synthesis, and mitosis. These patterns are accompanied by the daily traverse of BMAL-1 protein between the cytoplasm, where it is produced, and nucleus, where it influences timing of cancer cell proliferation. This core clock gene product gates cancer cell proliferation by coordinating clock-controlled proteins, thymidylate synthase [thymidylate synthase activity (TSA) cell DNA replication], WEE-1 (cell mitosis), and vascular endothelial growth factor (growth). 5-Fluorouracil (5-FU)-induced host bone marrow and gut toxicity and tumor shrinkage following administration at six equispaced times of day allowed determination of circadian relationships among tumor growth, relevant clock, and clock-controlled proteins and dependence of 5-FU target availability (TSA) in normal and cancer tissues and resultant 5-FU toxic-therapeutic index. The time of day (hours after lights on) of low TSA in each tissue and tumor is respectively associated with greatest toxicity to that tissue and greatest tumor shrinkage. 5-FU treatment near daily awakening results in least damage to bone marrow and gut, greatest antitumor effect, and best survival. This time of day is associated with maximum tumor nuclear BMAL-1 and total cell WEE-1 protein. The described chain of events, for the first time, links cancer cell clock proteins, cancer cell DNA synthesis, proliferation, TSA, and 5-FU toxic-therapeutic index, explaining the dependence of cancer outcome on circadian timing of 5-FU.

Cancer growth and spread are saltatory and phase-locked to the reproductive cycle through mediators of angiogenesis.

The frequency of breast cancer metastatic spread is affected by the menstrual cycle phase of its resection. Breast cancer growth, post-resection spread, and cure frequency are each modulated by the estrous cycle in C(3)HeB/FeJ mice. Tumor metastases are 2- to 3-fold more frequent when the resection is done during diestrus as compared with estrus. Tumor angiogenesis is essential for both cancer growth and lethal metastatic cancer spread. The balance between vascular endothelial growth factor (VEGF) and basic fibroblast growth factor (bFGF) modulates new blood vessel formation and blood vessel permeability. Sex hormones modulate the expression of these key angiogenesis regulators in the endometrium and uterus. We, therefore, asked whether the estrous cycle modulates the density of CD31-positive vessels within the tumor, the permeability of tumor blood vessels, levels of VEGF and bFGF immunoreactive protein in normal breast and breast cancer, and whether expression of these genes are modulated by the estrous cycle stage in C(3)HeB/FeJ mice. We find that tumor blood vessel density and blood volume do not vary throughout the cycle; however, tumor capillary permeability is regulated by the estrous cycle being highest in diestrus, the cycle stage associated with the highest cancer growth rate and the highest frequency of post-resection cancer metastasis. VEGF protein levels in breast cancer are >100-fold higher than in normal breast. VEGF protein in this mammary tumor varies with the estrus cycle with highest levels in proestrus. In a non-breast tumor, methylcholantrenene A sarcoma, from CD(2)F(1) mice, tumor VEGF protein also varies with the estrus cycle with highest levels in proestrus and diestrus. VEGF gene expression in the mammary tumor does not change significantly across the cycle, but is modulated by the cycle in normal breast tissue. bFGF protein concentration is 6-fold higher in normal breast than in breast cancer. bFGF protein pattern in both tumor and breast are similar, opposite to VEGF, and affected by oophorectomy. bFGF message is modulated by the cycle in both breast cancer and normal breast. The changes in breast cancer capillary permeability, VEGF, and bFGF that occur during each fertility cycle, in breast tissue and breast cancer, putatively in response to cyclical changes in sex hormones, might contribute, at least in part, to both the modulation of cancer growth and post-resection breast cancer spread by the fertility cycle. These fertility cycle-induced effects on tumor biology also seem to extend to non-breast cancer biology.

Menopausal status dependence of early mortality reduction due to diagnosis of smaller breast cancers (T1 v T2-T3): relevance to screening.

PURPOSE: To provide data relevant to the paradoxical mortality excess for women age 40 to 49 years observed during the first 6 to 8 years in the invited group in all mammography screening studies. PATIENTS AND METHODS: In 1,173 patients undergoing mastectomy alone as primary treatment, allocated to subsets according to menopausal status and tumor size, hazard rates for death were calculated. The ratios between the hazard rate for T2-T3 patients and the corresponding value for T1 patients were assessed over time. RESULTS: For postmenopausal patients, the ratio appeared to be time-dependent, dropping from the maximum value of approximately 5 at the first year after surgery to a near constant value of approximately 2 after 5 to 6 years. Premenopausal patients, on the contrary, showed a nearly constant ratio of approximately 3. Therefore, although in each T-category the 10-year survival of premenopausal and postmenopausal patients was similar, its time distribution was menopause-dependent. In particular, the difference between cumulative survival of premenopausal and postmenopausal T2-T3 patients attained statistical significance after 3 years. CONCLUSION: The mortality reduction due to the diagnosis of smaller tumors is significantly higher for postmenopausal women than for premenopausal women during early postsurgery time. According to the hypothesis that primary tumor surgical removal, occurring sooner in the invited group than in the control arm of screening trials, results in some acceleration of metastasis development, a greater number of unfavorable events (recurrence and death) should occur in the invited group. We suggest that for younger women, the early balance between benefit from tumor downsizing and harm from surgery-induced metastasis acceleration results in harm. This disadvantage does not occur in postmenopausal women.

Season, sun, sex, and cervical cancer.

INTRODUCTION: Sunlight's UV B component, a known cellular immunosupressant, carcinogen, and activator of viral infections, is generally seasonally available. Venereal human papillomavirus (HPV) transmission, at least in part, causes cervical cancer. We have previously inspected the monthly rates of venereal HPV infection and sunlight fluency in Southern Holland over 16 consecutive years. Both peak in August with at least 2-fold seasonality. The amount of available sunlight and the rate of Papanicolaou (Pap) smear screen-detected HPV are positively correlated. We now investigate whether premalignant and malignant cervical epithelial changes are also seasonal and related to seasonal sunlight fluency. METHODS: We have studied >900,000 consecutive, serially independent, interpretable screening Pap smears obtained by a single cervical cancer screening laboratory in Leiden, Holland, during a continuous 16-year span from 1983 through 1998. The average monthly rates of premalignant and malignant epithelial change were inspected and the annual patterns contrasted to the annual pattern of sunlight fluency at this global location and to monthly average HPV infection rate. Because HPV is venereally transmitted, Dutch seasonal sexual behavior was evaluated by assessment of the annual pattern of Dutch conception frequency as a competing cause for cervical cancer seasonality. RESULTS: (a) Twice as many premalignant and malignant epithelial changes were found among Pap smears obtained in the summer months, with an August peak concurrent with histopathologic evidence of HPV infection and sunlight fluency in Southern Holland. (b) Monthly sunlight fluency is correlated positively with both the monthly rates of Pap smear-detected cervical epithelial dysplasia and carcinomatous histopathology, as well as HPV. (c) Conception frequency, in this location, peaks in Spring not summer, and has a 4.8% annual amplitude. CONCLUSIONS: (a) Cervical epithelial HPV infection and HPV-induced cervical epithelial dysplasia and carcinomatous change may each be novel sun exposure risks and thereby behaviorably avoidable. (b) Because screening Pap smears uncover many abnormalities that resolve spontaneously (false positives), these data may argue for screening and follow-up Pap smear examinations in seasons other than summer in the Northern Hemisphere, to diminish the false-positive smear rate. Global data are available to confirm and further test each of these conclusions.

Menopausal status dependence of the timing of breast cancer recurrence after surgical removal of the primary tumour.

INTRODUCTION: Information on the metastasis process in breast cancer patients undergoing primary tumour removal may be extracted from an analysis of the timing of clinical recurrence. METHODS: The hazard rate for local-regional and/or distant recurrence as the first event during the first 4 years after surgery was studied in 1173 patients undergoing mastectomy alone as primary treatment for operable breast cancer. Subset analyses were performed according to tumour size, axillary nodal status and menopausal status. RESULTS: A sharp two-peaked hazard function was observed for node-positive pre-menopausal patients, whereas results from node-positive post-menopausal women always displayed a single broad peak. The first narrow peak among pre-menopausal women showed a very steep rise to a maximum about 8-10 months after mastectomy. The second peak was considerably broader, reaching its maximum at 28-30 months. Post-menopausal patients displayed a wide, nearly symmetrical peak with maximum risk at about 18-20 months. Peaks displayed increasing height with increasing axillary lymph node involvement. No multi-peaked pattern was evident for either pre-menopausal or post-menopausal node-negative patients; however, this finding should be considered cautiously because of the limited number of events. Tumour size influenced recurrence risk but not its timing. Findings resulting from the different subsets of patients were remarkably coherent and each observed peak maintained the same position on the time axis in all analysed subsets. CONCLUSIONS: The risk of early recurrence for node positive patients is dependent on menopausal status. The amount of axillary nodal involvement and the tumour size modulate the risk value at any given time. For pre-menopausal node-positive patients, the abrupt increase of the first narrow peak of the recurrence risk suggests a triggering event that synchronises early risk. We suggest that this event is the surgical removal of the primary tumour. The later, broader, more symmetrical risk peaks indicate that some features of the corresponding metastatic development may present stochastic traits. A metastasis development model incorporating tumour dormancy in specific micro-metastatic phases, stochastic transitions between them and sudden acceleration of the metastatic process by surgery can explain these risk dynamics.