Effect of Stroke Etiology on Endovascular Treatment for Acute Basilar-Artery Occlusion: A Post Hoc Analysis of the ATTENTION Randomized Trial.

BACKGROUND: Stroke etiology could influence the outcomes in patients with basilar-artery occlusion (BAO). This study aimed to evaluate the differences in efficacy and safety of best medical treatment (BMT) plus endovascular treatment (EVT) versus BMT alone in acute BAO across different stroke etiologies. METHODS: The study was a post hoc analysis of the ATTENTION trial (Trial of Endovascular Treatment of Acute Basilar-Artery Occlusion), which was a multicenter, randomized trial at 36 centers in China from February 2021 to September 2022. Patients with acute BAO were classified into 3 groups according to stroke etiology (large-artery atherosclerosis [LAA], cardioembolism, and undetermined cause/other determined cause [UC/ODC]). The primary outcome was a favorable outcome (modified Rankin Scale score of 0-3) at 90 days. Safety outcomes included symptomatic intracranial hemorrhage and 90-day mortality. RESULTS: A total of 340 patients with BAO were included, 150 (44.1%) had LAA, 72 (21.2%) had cardioembolism, and 118 (34.7%) had UC/ODC. For patients treated with BMT plus EVT and BMT alone, respectively, the rate of favorable outcome at 90 days was 49.1% and 23.8% in the LAA group (odds ratio, 3.08 [95% CI, 1.38-6.89]); 52.2% and 30.8% in the cardioembolism group (odds ratio, 2.45 [95% CI, 0.89-6.77]); and 37.5% and 17.4% in the UC/ODC group (odds ratio, 2.85 [95% CI, 1.16-7.01]), with P=0.89 for the stroke etiology×treatment interaction. The rate of symptomatic intracranial hemorrhage in EVT-treated patients with LAA, cardioembolism, and UC/ODC was 8.3%, 2.2%, and 3.2%, respectively, and none of the BMT-treated patients. Lower 90-day mortality was observed in patients with EVT compared with BMT alone across 3 etiology groups. CONCLUSIONS: Among patients with acute BAO, EVT compared with BMT alone might be associated with favorable outcomes and lower 90-day mortality, regardless of cardioembolism, LAA, or UC/ODC etiologies. The influence of stroke etiology on the benefit of EVT should be explored by further trials. REGISTRATION: URL: https://www.clinicaltrials.gov; Unique identifier: NCT04751708.

Phase I trial of apatinib and paclitaxel+oxaliplatin+5-FU/levoleucovorin for treatment-naïve advanced gastric cancer.

Chinese guidelines recommend POF (paclitaxel, oxaliplatin, and 5-FU/levoleucovorin) as first-line treatment for advanced gastric cancer (AGC). Apatinib can augment the antitumor effect of paclitaxel, oxaliplatin, or fluorouracil in preclinical studies of AGC. A phase I clinical trial was conducted to evaluate the anticancer activity and maximum tolerated dose (MTD) of apatinib plus POF in treatment-naïve patients with AGC and to establish a recommended phase II dose. Participants received escalating doses of daily oral apatinib (250, 375, 500, 625, 750, and 850 mg) plus POF every 2 weeks using a conventional "3 + 3" study design. Among 21 treated patients, one experienced a dose-limiting toxicity (grade 3 skin ulceration at 850 mg). No MTD was reached. Apatinib 750 mg plus POF was recommended for phase II study. The most common grade 3-4 adverse events (AEs) were neutropenia (33.3%), mucositis (14.3%), and hand-foot syndrome (14.3%). Median progression-free and overall survival were 10.4 months (95% CI: 6.3, 14.6) and 18.4 months (95% CI: 9.8, 28.2), respectively. Apatinib up to 850 mg coadministered with POF was well tolerated with manageable AEs. The safety and anticancer activity of this regimen warrants its further investigation as first-line treatment for AGC in a larger study.

Expanding Multiple-Resonance Structure of a Double-Borylated Skeleton by Fusing with Indolocarbazole a Multiple-Resonance Donor for Narrowband Green Emission.

Double-borylated multiple-resonance (MR) skeletons are promising templates for high performance, while the chemical design space is relatively limited. Peripheral segments are often used to decorate/fuse MR skeletons and modulate the photophysics but they can also cause unwanted spectral broadening. Herein, a narrowband MR emitter ICzDBA by fusing an MR-featured donor segment indolocarbazole into a double-borylated MR skeleton is developed. In ICzDBA, the nitrogen atom located away from the core benzene ring can also contribute to the generation of the overall MR-featured distribution through the long-range conjugation effect, along with the other boron/nitrogen atoms on the phenyl center. Thus, ICzDBA in toluene displays a narrowband emission peaking at 507 nm with a full width at half maximum of merely 20 nm (0.09 eV). Moreover, organic light-emitting diode devices using ICzDBA emitter exhibit ultrapure green emission with Commission Internationale de l'Eclairage (CIE) coordinates of (0.27, 0.70) and a high external quantum efficiency of 32.5%. These results manifest the importance of MR characters of peripheral decorations/fusions in preserving the narrowband features of MR skeletons, which provides a solution for further expanding MR structures with well-maintained narrowband characters.

Unveiling the distinctive ossification patterns of diffuse idiopathic skeletal hyperostosis and ankylosing spondylitis using computed tomography three-dimensional reconstruction.

OBJECTIVE: To quantitatively analyze the morphological characteristics of osteophytes in DISH and syndesmophytes in AS, and summarize different ossification patterns to help identify the two diseases. Associated factors for new bone formation would be investigated. METHODS: Fifty patients with DISH and 50 age-, sex-, CT examination site- matched patients with AS were enrolled. Radiographic and clinical data were reviewed. Osteophytes (syndesmophytes) in front of each vertebral body and the corresponding intervertebral disc space were defined as vertebral osteophytes unit (VOU). The volume, angle and location (contralateral, ipsilateral, bilateral) of osteophytes in each VOU were measured and compared between DISH and AS groups. RESULTS: In each VOU, the volume and angle of osteophytes in DISH were significantly larger. The best osteophytes volume and angle cutoff value in predicting DISH was 0.59 cm3 and 40.15°. Contralateral, bilateral, ipsilateral osteophytes were recorded in 59.32%, 36.38%, 4.3% of assessed VOUs in patients with DISH and 64.78%, 29.31%, 5.91% in AS (p<0.001), respectively. As to ipsilateral osteophytes, the volume was inversely correlated with the center of the vertebral body to the center of the descending aorta (DISH: r = -0.45, p= 0.01; AS: r = -0.83, p<0.001). Advanced age, disease duration, smoking and overweight contribute to the progression of osteophytes and syndesmophytes. CONCLUSION: Morphological features of osteophytes are helpful to distinguish DISH with AS. Aortic pulsations inhibit or hinder new bone formation in both DISH and AS. Maintaining normal BMI could postpone osteophytes formation.

Cooperative correction method for distortion and dispersion of deflected field of view in Risley-prism bionic-human-eye imaging systems.

The Risley-prism imaging system (RPIS) is a powerful way to achieve bionic human eye imaging with great advantages on large field of view (FOV) and variable resolution imaging owing to the autonomous controlled deflection of light. But the imaging dispersion originating from nonlinear and uneven light deflection results in limited imaging wavelength that seriously hinders its application. The existing solutions for imaging dispersion mainly rely on the hardware, which generally has bulky structure and limited improvement on image. Besides, the existing image evaluation methods for dispersion are not suitable for RPIS due to inhomogeneous dispersion. Herein, this paper systematically analyzes the mechanism and characteristics of dispersion in the RPIS, and proposes a cooperative correction method for image distortion and dispersion of multiple-color imaging, achieving the elimination of distortion and dispersion simultaneously without changing the optical structure. A dispersion evaluation index based on Pearson's correlation coefficient (PCC) is also established, and the objectivity and validity of the index are proved by experiments. Furthermore, a kind of compact RPIS based on an RGB camera is built, and both indoor and outdoor experiments are conducted. The experimental results demonstrate that proposed algorithm has strong universality and robustness for various scenes and targets.

Dual-polarization defogging method based on frequency division and blind separation of polarization information.

The current advancements in image processing have led to significant progress in polarization defogging methods. However, most existing approaches are not suitable for scenes with targets exhibiting a high degree of polarization (DOP), as they rely on the assumption that the detected polarization information solely originates from the airlight. In this paper, a dual-polarization defogging method connecting frequency division and blind separation of polarization information is proposed. To extract the polarization component of direct transmission light from the detected polarized signal, blind separation of overlapped polarized information is performed in the low-frequency domain based on visual perception. Subsequently, after estimating airlight, a high-quality defogging image can be restored. Extensive experiments conducted on real-world scenes and comparative tests confirm the superior performance of our proposed method compared to other competitive methods, particularly in reconstructing objects with high DOP. This work provides a quantitative approach for estimating the contributions of polarization light from different sources and further expands the application range of polarimetric defogging imaging.

Bio-inspired foveal super-resolution method for multi-focal-length images based on local gradient constraints.

Most existing super-resolution (SR) imaging systems, inspired by the bionic compound eye, utilize image registration and reconstruction algorithms to overcome the angular resolution limitations of individual imaging systems. This article introduces a multi-aperture multi-focal-length imaging system and a multi-focal-length image super-resolution algorithm, mimicking the foveal imaging of the human eye. Experimental results demonstrate that with the proposed imaging system and an SR imaging algorithm inspired by the human visual system, the proposed method can enhance the spatial resolution of the foveal region by up to 4 × compared to the original acquired image. These findings validate the effectiveness of the proposed imaging system and computational imaging algorithm in enhancing image texture and spatial resolution.

Joint constraints of guided filtering based confidence and nonlocal sparse tensor for color polarization super-resolution imaging.

This paper introduces a camera-array-based super-resolution color polarization imaging system designed to simultaneously capture color and polarization information of a scene in a single shot. Existing snapshot color polarization imaging has a complex structure and limited generalizability, which are overcome by the proposed system. In addition, a novel reconstruction algorithm is designed to exploit the complementarity and correlation between the twelve channels in acquired color polarization images for simultaneous super-resolution (SR) imaging and denoising. We propose a confidence-guided SR reconstruction algorithm based on guided filtering to enhance the constraint capability of the observed data. Additionally, by introducing adaptive parameters, we effectively balance the data fidelity constraint and the regularization constraint of nonlocal sparse tensor. Simulations were conducted to compare the proposed system with a color polarization camera. The results show that color polarization images generated by the proposed system and algorithm outperform those obtained from the color polarization camera and the state-of-the-art color polarization demosaicking algorithms. Moreover, the proposed algorithm also outperforms state-of-the-art SR algorithms based on deep learning. To evaluate the applicability of the proposed imaging system and reconstruction algorithm in practice, a prototype was constructed for color polarization image acquisition. Compared with conventional acquisition, the proposed solution demonstrates a significant improvement in the reconstructed color polarization images.

Y4 RNA fragments from cardiosphere-derived cells ameliorate diabetic myocardial ischemia‒reperfusion injury by inhibiting protein kinase C ß-mediated macrophage polarization.

The specific pathophysiological pathways through which diabetes exacerbates myocardial ischemia/reperfusion (I/R) injury remain unclear; however, dysregulation of immune and inflammatory cells, potentially driven by abnormalities in their number and function due to diabetes, may play a significant role. In the present investigation, we simulated myocardial I/R injury by inducing ischemia through ligation of the left anterior descending coronary artery in mice for 40 min, followed by reperfusion for 24 h. Previous studies have indicated that protein kinase Cß (PKCß) is upregulated under hyperglycemic conditions and is implicated in the development of various diabetic complications. The Y4 RNA fragment is identified as the predominant small RNA component present in the extracellular vesicles of cardio sphere-derived cells (CDCs), exhibiting notable anti-inflammatory properties in the contexts of myocardial infarction and cardiac hypertrophy. Our investigation revealed that the administration of Y4 RNA into the ventricular cavity of db/db mice following myocardial I/R injury markedly enhanced cardiac function. Furthermore, Y4 RNA was observed to facilitate M2 macrophage polarization and interleukin-10 secretion through the suppression of PKCß activation. The mechanism by which Y4 RNA affects PKCß by regulating macrophage activation within the inflammatory environment involves the inhibition of ERK1/2 phosphorylation In our study, the role of PKCß in regulating macrophage polarization during myocardial I/R injury was investigated through the use of PKCß knockout mice. Our findings indicate that PKCß plays a crucial role in modulating the inflammatory response associated with macrophage activation in db/db mice experiencing myocardial I/R, with a notable exacerbation of this response observed upon significant upregulation of PKCß expression. In vitro studies further elucidated the protective mechanism by which Y4 RNA modulates the PKCß/ERK1/2 signaling pathway to induce M2 macrophage activation. Overall, our findings suggest that Y4 RNA plays an anti-inflammatory role in diabetic I/R injury, suggesting a novel therapeutic approach for managing myocardial I/R injury in diabetic individuals.

Molecular cloning and gene expression of acc2 from grass carp (Ctenopharyngodon idella) and the regulation of glucose metabolism by ACCs inhibitor.

BACKGROUND: Acetyl-CoA carboxylase (ACC) catalyzes the carboxylation of acetyl-CoA to malonyl-CoA. Malonyl-CoA, which plays a key role in regulating glucose and lipid metabolism, is not only a substrate for fatty acid synthesis but also an inhibitor of the oxidation pathway. ACC exists as two isoenzymes that are encoded by two different genes. ACC1 in grass carp (Ctenopharyngodon idellus) has been cloned and sequenced. However, studies on the cloning, tissue distribution, and function of ACC2 in grass carp were still rare. METHODS AND RESULTS: The full-length cDNA of acc2 was 8537 bp with a 7146 bp open reading frame encoding 2381 amino acids. ACC2 had a calculated molecular weight of 268.209 kDa and an isoelectric point of 5.85. ACC2 of the grass carp shared the closest relationship with that of the common carp (Sinocyclocheilus grahami). The expressions of acc1 and acc2 mRNA were detected in all examined tissues.  The expression level of acc1 was high in the brain and fat but absent in the midgut and hindgut. The expression level of acc2 in the kidney was significantly higher than in other tissues, followed by the heart, brain, muscle, and spleen. ACCs inhibitor significantly reduced the levels of glucose, malonyl-CoA, and triglyceride in hepatocytes. CONCLUSIONS: This study showed that the function of ACC2 was evolutionarily conserved from fish to mammals. ACCs inhibitor inhibited the biological activity of ACCs, and reduced fat accumulation in grass carp.

Degradation of ß-lactam antibiotics by Fe(III)/HSO3- system and their quantitative structure-activity relationship.

ß-lactam antibiotics, extensively used worldwide, pose significant risks to human health and ecological safety due to their accumulation in the environment. Recent studies have demonstrated the efficacy of transition metal-activated sulfite systems, like Fe(Ⅲ)/HSO3-, in removing PPCPs from water. However, research on their capability to degrade ß-lactam antibiotics remains sparse. This paper evaluates the degradation of 14 types of ß-lactam antibiotics in Fe(Ⅲ)/HSO3- system and establishes a QSAR model correlating molecular descriptors with degradation rates using the MLR method. Using cefazolin as a case study, this research predicts degradation pathways through NPA charge and Fukui function analysis, corroborated by UPLC-MS product analysis. The investigation further explores the influence of variables such as HSO3- dosage, substrate concentration, Fe(Ⅲ) dosage, initial pH and the presence of common seen water matrices including humic acid and bicarbonate on the degradation efficiency. Optimal conditions for cefazolin degradation in Fe(Ⅲ)/HSO3- system were determined to be 93.3 µM HSO3-, 8.12 µM Fe(Ⅲ) and an initial pH of 3.61, under which the interaction of Fe(Ⅲ) dosage with initial pH was found to significantly affect the degradation efficiency. This study not only provides a novel degradation approach for ß-lactam antibiotics but also expands the theoretical application horizon of the Fe(Ⅲ)/HSO3- system.

Fanconi Anemia Complementary Group A (FANCA) Facilitates the Occurrence and Progression of Liver Hepatocellular Carcinoma.

BACKGROUND: Liver hepatocellular carcinoma (LIHC) is a serious liver disease worldwide, and its pathogenesis is complicated. AIMS: This study investigated the potential role of FANCA in the advancement and prognosis of LIHC. METHODS: Public databases, quantitative reverse transcription polymerase chain reaction (qRT-PCR), western blot (WB) and immunohistochemistry (IHC) were employed to measure FANCA expression between tumor and normal samples. The relationship between FANCA expression and prognosis of LIHC patients were examined. Functional enrichment of FANCA-related genes was performed. Furthermore, univariate and multivariate analyses were conducted to determine the independent prognosis value of FANCA in LIHC. Finally, influence of FANCA knockout on the proliferation, migration, and invasion of HepG2 cell was validated with cloning formation, CCK8, and Transwell assays. RESULTS: Expression analysis presented that FANCA had high expression level in LIHC tissues and cells. Receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve analysis showed that FANCA was of great diagnosis value in LIHC. Clinicopathological analysis revealed that FANCA was significantly greater expressed in the advanced stage than in the early stage of LIHC. Univariate, multivariate, and Kaplan-Meier survival analysis confirmed that high expression of FANCA was strongly associated with poor survival of LIHC patients. In addition, high level of FANCA in LIHC showed a negative association with immunoinfiltrated B cells, T cells, and stromal scores. Moreover, Knockout of FANCA significantly inhibited HepG2 cell proliferative activity, migration, and invasion ability. CONCLUSIONS: Our data revealed that high level of FANCA was closely associated with LIHC malignant progression, suggesting its potential utility as a diagnostic, predictive indicator, and therapeutic target.

Multispectral image defogging based on a wavelength-dependent extinction coefficient model in fog.

Most of the state-of-the-art defogging models presented in the literature assume that the attenuation coefficient of all spectral channels is constant, which inevitably leads to spectral distortion and information bias. To address this issue, this paper proposes a defogging method that takes into account the difference between the extinction coefficients of multispectral channels of light traveling through fog. Then the spatially distributed transmission map of each spectral channel is reconstructed to restore the fog-degraded images. The experimental results of various realistic complex scenes show that the proposed method has more outstanding advantages in restoring lost detail, compensating for degraded spectral information, and recognizing more targets hidden in uniform ground fog than state-of-the-art technologies. In addition, this work provides a method to characterize the intrinsic property of fog expressed as multispectral relative extinction coefficients, which act as a fundament for further reconstruction of multispectral information.

Intra-abdominal pressure and residual renal function decline in peritoneal dialysis: a threshold-based investigation.

BACKGROUND: The potential impact of elevated intra-abdominal pressure (IAP) on residual renal function (RRF) has not been determined. The objective of this study was to investigate the relationship between IAP and the rate of RRF decline in newly initiated peritoneal dialysis (PD) patients, and to identify the optimal IAP threshold value for delaying the deterioration of RRF. METHODS: A cohort of 62 newly initiated PD patients who completed both 6- and 12-month follow-up evaluations was obtained using the Durand method. A logistic regression model was used to identify variables associated with a rapid decline in RRF. Receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curves were generated to determine the optimal threshold value. Another retrospective cohort analysis was performed to validate the identified critical value. RESULTS: For each 1 cmH2O increase in IAP, the risk of a rapid decline in the RRF increased by a factor of 1.679. Subsequent analysis revealed that patients in the high IAP group had more significant decreases in residual renal estimated glomerular filtration rate (eGFR) (Z = -3.694, p < 0.001) and urine volume (Z = -3.121, p < 0.001) than did those in the non-high IAP group. Furthermore, an IAP ≥15.65 cmH2O was a robust discriminator for the prediction of the rate of RRF decline. CONCLUSION: Patients in the high IAP group experienced a more rapid decline in RRF. Additionally, an optimal critical pressure of 15.65 cmH2O was identified for predicting the rate of RRF decline. IAP, as one of the factors contributing to the rapid decline in RRF in the first year of PD, should be given due attention.

Enhancing Infrared Optical Flow Network Computation through RGB-IR Cross-Modal Image Generation.

Due to the complexity of real optical flow capture, the existing research still has not performed real optical flow capture of infrared (IR) images with the production of an optical flow based on IR images, which makes the research and application of deep learning-based optical flow computation limited to the field of RGB images only. Therefore, in this paper, we propose a method to produce an optical flow dataset of IR images. We utilize the RGB-IR cross-modal image transformation network to rationally transform existing RGB image optical flow datasets. The RGB-IR cross-modal image transformation is based on the improved Pix2Pix implementation, and in the experiments, the network is validated and evaluated using the RGB-IR aligned bimodal dataset M3FD. Then, RGB-IR cross-modal transformation is performed on the existing RGB optical flow dataset KITTI, and the optical flow computation network is trained using the IR images generated by the transformation. Finally, the computational results of the optical flow computation network before and after training are analyzed based on the RGB-IR aligned bimodal data.

Two-Tier Efficient QoE Optimization for Partitioning and Resource Allocation in UAV-Assisted MEC.

Unmanned aerial vehicles (UAVs) have increasingly become integral to multi-access edge computing (MEC) due to their flexibility and cost-effectiveness, especially in the B5G and 6G eras. This paper aims to enhance the quality of experience (QoE) in large-scale UAV-MEC networks by minimizing the shrinkage ratio through optimal decision-making in computation mode selection for each user device (UD), UAV flight trajectory, bandwidth allocation, and computing resource allocation at edge servers. However, the interdependencies among UAV trajectory, binary task offloading mode, and computing/network resource allocation across numerous IoT nodes pose significant challenges. To address these challenges, we formulate the shrinkage ratio minimization problem as a mixed-integer nonlinear programming (MINLP) problem and propose a two-tier optimization strategy. To reduce the scale of the optimization problem, we first design a low-complexity UAV partition coverage algorithm based on the Welzl method and determine the UAV flight trajectory by solving a traveling salesman problem (TSP). Subsequently, we develop a coordinate descent (CD)-based method and an alternating direction method of multipliers (ADMM)-based method for network bandwidth and computing resource allocation in the MEC system. Extensive simulations demonstrate that the CD-based method is simple to implement and highly efficient in large-scale UAV-MEC networks, reducing the time complexity by three orders of magnitude compared to convex optimization methods. Meanwhile, the ADMM-based joint optimization method achieves approximately an 8% reduction in shrinkage ratio optimization compared to baseline methods.

Infrared Image Super-Resolution Network Utilizing the Enhanced Transformer and U-Net.

Infrared images hold significant value in applications such as remote sensing and fire safety. However, infrared detectors often face the problem of high hardware costs, which limits their widespread use. Advancements in deep learning have spurred innovative approaches to image super-resolution (SR), but comparatively few efforts have been dedicated to the exploration of infrared images. To address this, we design the Residual Swin Transformer and Average Pooling Block (RSTAB) and propose the SwinAIR, which can effectively extract and fuse the diverse frequency features in infrared images and achieve superior SR reconstruction performance. By further integrating SwinAIR with U-Net, we propose the SwinAIR-GAN for real infrared image SR reconstruction. SwinAIR-GAN extends the degradation space to better simulate the degradation process of real infrared images. Additionally, it incorporates spectral normalization, dropout, and artifact discrimination loss to reduce the potential image artifacts. Qualitative and quantitative evaluations on various datasets confirm the effectiveness of our proposed method in reconstructing realistic textures and details of infrared images.

Dielectric Barrier Discharge Plasma-Assisted Preparation of Chitosan-Based Hydrogels.

Chitosan is widely used in the production of various hydrogels due to its non-biological toxicity, good biocompatibility, and strong biodegradability. However, chitosan-based hydrogels have not been widely used in tissue engineering due to their poor mechanical strength, poor stability and high biotoxicity of cross-linking agents. As a green technology, low temperature plasma is rich in active groups that can be involved in various chemical reactions, such as replacing the components on the chitosan chain, contributing to the cross-linking of chitosan. In this study, a plasma-assisted preparation method of chitosan-based hydrogels was developed and the properties, including mechanics, water absorption, and degradation (or stability), were characterized and analyzed. It is proved that plasma treatment plays a significant role in improving the mechanical strength and stability of hydrogels.

An approach to complex transboundary water management in Central Asia: Evolutionary cooperation in transboundary basins under the water-energy-food-ecosystem nexus.

Water-related issues in transboundary basins are generally complicated by the challenges of climate change, the historical evolution of the basin characteristics, and the different interests of the riparian countries. Therefore, dealing with water-sharing and water cooperation problems among basin countries needs to be based on multi-factor system analysis in the context of regional water, energy, food (land) resources, and ecosystems. In the present study, the Aral Sea basin in Central Asia, where transboundary water problems are extremely prominent and complex, was selected as the research area. Firstly, the characteristics of the water-energy-food-ecosystem nexus of the Aral Sea basin are analyzed. Then, based on the game theory, a multi-objective game model is constructed, and the multi-objective evolutionary game process and evolutionary stable strategies (ESSs) of both the upstream and downstream countries are explored. Finally, the evolutionary stable strategy under the intervention of the basin commission is simulated. The results show that there are obvious reciprocal feedbacks among water, land, energy, and ecosystem in the Aral Sea basin, and the uneven distribution of natural resources, fragile ecosystems, and conflicting demands of multiple actors lead to the unstable evolution of the nexus. Driven by the maximization of upstream and downstream countries' respective interests, the optimal stabilization strategy of the system cannot be realized. Whereas, the introduction of the basin commission intervention and its restraint mechanism is conducive to promoting cooperation and maximizing the overall benefits of the basin. The incentives and penalties of the basin commission have significant effects on whether the system can reach Pareto optimality, and higher incentive coefficient and penalty coefficient help the system converge to the ideal state more quickly. The evolution of the water-energy-food-ecosystem nexus based on the perspective of the whole basin can provide theoretical support for dealing with the transboundary water conflicts, and the cooperation strategy aiming at maximizing the overall benefits of the basin can provide decision-making basis for promoting transboundary water cooperation and synergistic development of the water-energy-food-ecosystem nexus.

Forecasting environmental water availability of lakes using temporal fusion transformer: case studies of China's two largest freshwater lakes.

Preserving lacustrine ecosystems is vital for sustainable watershed development, and forecasting the environmental water availability of lakes would support policymakers in developing sound management strategies. This study proposed a methodology that merges the lake water level prediction and environmental water availability evaluation. The temporal fusion transformer (TFT) model forecasted the lake water levels for the next 7 days by inputting the streamflow and lake water level data for the past 30 days. The environmental water availability was assessed by comparing the forecasted lake water levels with the environmental water requirements, resulting in adequate, regular, scarce, and severely scarce environmental water availability. The methodology was tested in two case studies: Poyang Lake and Dongting Lake, the two largest freshwater lakes in the Yangtze River Basin, China. The TFT model performed well in forecasting the lake water levels, as shown by the high coefficient of determination and finite root mean square error. The coefficients of determination exceeded 0.98 during the model training, validation, and test for both Poyang Lake and Dongting Lake, and the root mean square errors ranged from 0.06 to 0.46 m. The accurate prediction of lake water level promoted the precise forecasting of the environmental water availability with the high Kappa coefficient exceeding 0.90. Results indicated the rationality and effectiveness of integrating the lake water level prediction and environmental water availability evaluation. Future research includes the applicability of the TFT model to other lakes worldwide to test the proposed approach and investigate strategies to cope with environmental water scarcity.