Comparison of genetic risk prediction models to improve prediction of coronary heart disease in two large cohorts of the MONICA/KORA study.

It is still unclear how genetic information, provided as single-nucleotide polymorphisms (SNPs), can be most effectively integrated into risk prediction models for coronary heart disease (CHD) to add significant predictive value beyond clinical risk models. For the present study, a population-based case-cohort was used as a trainingset (451 incident cases, 1488 noncases) and an independent cohort as testset (160 incident cases, 2749 noncases). The following strategies to quantify genetic information were compared: A weighted genetic risk score including Metabochip SNPs associated with CHD in the literature (GRSMetabo ); selection of the most predictive SNPs among these literature-confirmed variants using priority-Lasso (PLMetabo ); validation of two comprehensive polygenic risk scores: GRSGola based on Metabochip data, and GRSKhera (available in the testset only) based on cross-validated genome-wide genotyping data. We used Cox regression to assess associations with incident CHD. C-index, category-free net reclassification index (cfNRI) and relative integrated discrimination improvement (IDIrel ) were used to quantify the predictive performance of genetic information beyond Framingham risk score variables. In contrast to GRSMetabo and PLMetabo , GRSGola significantly improved the prediction (delta C-index [95% confidence interval]: 0.0087 [0.0044, 0.0130]; IDIrel : 0.0509 [0.0131, 0.0894]; cfNRI improved only in cases: 0.1761 [0.0253, 0.3219]). GRSKhera yielded slightly worse prediction results than GRSGola .

Effect of obesity on the associations of 25-hydroxyvitamin D with prevalent and incident distal sensorimotor polyneuropathy: population-based KORA F4/FF4 study.

BACKGROUND/OBJECTIVES: The association between vitamin D and DSPN has been investigated in cross-sectional studies in individuals with diabetes. However, evidence from prospective and population-based studies is still lacking. Also, the potential modifying effect of obesity and glucose tolerance has not been investigated. Therefore, we examined the cross-sectional and prospective associations of serum 25(OH)D with DSPN and assessed possible effect modifications. SUBJECTS/METHODS: The study included individuals aged 62-81 years who participated in the German KORA F4 (2006-2008) and FF4 (2013-2014) studies. DSPN was assessed using the Michigan Neuropathy Screening Instrument. Cross-sectional analyses (n = 1065; 33% of the participants had obesity) assessed the associations of baseline 25(OH)D with prevalent DSPN, while prospective analyses (n = 422) assessed the associations of 25(OH)D with incident DSPN. RESULTS: No association was found between 25(OH)D and prevalent DSPN in the total sample after adjustment for age, sex, season of blood sampling, BMI, metabolic variables, lifestyle factors, and comorbidities. However, a decrease by 10 nmol/L in 25(OH)D was associated with prevalent DSPN (RR (95% CI) 1.08 (1.01, 1.16)) in individuals with obesity but not in normal-weight individuals (RR (95% CI) 0.97 (0.92, 1.02), pinteraction = 0.002). No evidence for effect modification by glucose tolerance was found (p > 0.05). In the prospective analysis, 25(OH)D levels in the first and second tertiles were associated with higher risk of DSPN (RR (95% CI) 1.18 (1.02; 1.38) and 1.40 (1.04; 1.90)) compared to the third tertile after adjustment for age, sex, season of blood sampling, and BMI. There was no evidence for effect modification by obesity or glucose tolerance categories. CONCLUSIONS: Our study did not show consistent evidence for cross-sectional and prospective associations between serum 25(OH)D levels and DSPN in the total study population of older individuals. However, there was evidence for an association between lower serum 25(OH)D levels and higher prevalence of DSPN in individuals with obesity.

Novel biomarkers of inflammation, kidney function and chronic kidney disease in the general population.

BACKGROUND: Inflammatory processes have been implicated in the development of chronic kidney disease (CKD). We investigated the association of a large panel of inflammatory biomarkers reflecting aspects of immunity with kidney function and CKD incidence. METHODS: We used data from two independent population-based studies, KORA F4 (discovery, n = 1110, mean age 70.3 years, 48.7% male) and ESTHER (replication, n = 1672, mean age 61.9 years, 43.6% male). Serum levels of biomarkers were measured using proximity extension assay technology. The association of biomarkers with estimated glomerular filtration rate (eGFR) at baseline and with incident CKD was investigated using linear and logistic regression models adjusted for cardiorenal risk factors. Independent results from prospective analyses of both studies were pooled. The significance level was corrected for multiple testing by false-discovery rate (PFDR < 0.05). RESULTS: In the KORA F4 discovery study, 52 of 71 inflammatory biomarkers were inversely associated with eGFR based on serum creatinine. Top biomarkers included CD40, TNFRSF9 and IL10RB. Forty-two of these 52 biomarkers were replicated in the ESTHER study. Nine of the 42 biomarkers were associated with incident CKD independent of cardiorenal risk factors in the meta-analysis of the KORA (n = 142, mean follow-up 6.5 years) and ESTHER (n = 103, mean follow-up 8 years) studies. Pathway analysis revealed the involvement of inflammatory and immunomodulatory processes reflecting cross-communication of innate and adaptive immune cells. CONCLUSIONS: Novel and known biomarkers of inflammation were reproducibly associated with kidney function. Future studies should investigate their clinical utility and underlying molecular mechanisms in independent cohorts.

Influence of geographical latitude on vitamin D status: cross-sectional results from the BiomarCaRE consortium.

Even though sunlight is viewed as the most important determinant of 25-hydroxyvitamin D (25(OH)D) status, several European studies have observed higher 25(OH)D concentrations among north-Europeans than south-Europeans. We studied the association between geographical latitude (derived from ecological data) and 25(OH)D status in six European countries using harmonised immunoassay data from 81 084 participants in the Biomarkers for Cardiovascular Risk Assessment in Europe (BiomarCaRE) project (male sex 48·9 %; median age 50·8 years; examination period 1984-2014). Quantile regression models, adjusted for age, sex, decade and calendar week of sampling and time from sampling to analysis, were used for between-country comparisons. Up until the median percentile, the ordering of countries by 25(OH)D status (from highest to lowest) was as follows: Sweden (at 65·6-63·8°N), Germany (at 48·4°N), Finland (at 65·0-60·2°N), Italy (at 45·6-41·5°N), Scotland (at 58·2-55·1°N) and Spain (at 41·5°N). From the 75th percentile and upwards, Finland had higher values than Germany. As an example, using the Swedish cohort as a comparator, the median 25(OH)D concentration was 3·03, 3·28, 5·41, 6·54 and 9·28 ng/ml lower in the German, Finnish, Italian, Scottish and Spanish cohort, respectively (P-value < 0·001 for all comparisons). The ordering of countries was highly consistent in subgroup analyses by sex, age, and decade and season of sampling. In conclusion, we confirmed the previous observation of a north-to-south gradient of 25(OH)D status in Europe, with higher percentile values among north-Europeans than south-Europeans.

Multiplatform Approach for Plasma Proteomics: Complementarity of Olink Proximity Extension Assay Technology to Mass Spectrometry-Based Protein Profiling.

The plasma proteome is the ultimate target for biomarker discovery. It stores an endless amount of information on the pathophysiological status of a living organism, which is, however, still difficult to comprehensively access. The high complexity of the plasma proteome can be addressed by either a system-wide and unbiased tool such as mass spectrometry (LC-MS/MS) or a highly sensitive targeted immunoassay such as the proximity extension assay (PEA). To address relevant differences and important shared characteristics, we tested the performance of LC-MS/MS in the data-dependent and data-independent acquisition modes and Olink PEA to measure circulating plasma proteins in 173 human plasma samples from a Southern German population-based cohort. We demonstrated the measurement of more than 300 proteins with both LC-MS/MS approaches applied, mainly including high-abundance plasma proteins. By the use of the PEA technology, we measured 728 plasma proteins, covering a broad dynamic range with high sensitivity down to pg/mL concentrations. Then, we quantified 35 overlapping proteins with all three analytical platforms, verifying the reproducibility of data distributions, measurement correlation, and gender-based differential expression. Our work highlights the limitations and the advantages of both targeted and untargeted approaches and proves their complementary strengths. We demonstrated a significant gain in proteome coverage depth and subsequent biological insight by a combination of platforms-a promising approach for future biomarker and mechanistic studies.

Metabolic syndrome and the plasma proteome: from association to causation.

BACKGROUND: The metabolic syndrome (MetS), defined by the simultaneous clustering of cardio-metabolic risk factors, is a significant worldwide public health burden with an estimated 25% prevalence worldwide. The pathogenesis of MetS is not entirely clear and the use of molecular level data could help uncover common pathogenic pathways behind the observed clustering. METHODS: Using a highly multiplexed aptamer-based affinity proteomics platform, we examined associations between plasma proteins and prevalent and incident MetS in the KORA cohort (n = 998) and replicated our results for prevalent MetS in the HUNT3 study (n = 923). We applied logistic regression models adjusted for age, sex, smoking status, and physical activity. We used the bootstrap ranking algorithm of least absolute shrinkage and selection operator (LASSO) to select a predictive model from the incident MetS associated proteins and used area under the curve (AUC) to assess its performance. Finally, we investigated the causal effect of the replicated proteins on MetS using two-sample Mendelian randomization. RESULTS: Prevalent MetS was associated with 116 proteins, of which 53 replicated in HUNT. These included previously reported proteins like leptin, and new proteins like NTR domain-containing protein 2 and endoplasmic reticulum protein 29. Incident MetS was associated with 14 proteins in KORA, of which 13 overlap the prevalent MetS associated proteins with soluble advanced glycosylation end product-specific receptor (sRAGE) being unique to incident MetS. The LASSO selected an eight-protein predictive model with an (AUC = 0.75; 95% CI = 0.71-0.79) in KORA. Mendelian randomization suggested causal effects of three proteins on MetS, namely apolipoprotein E2 (APOE2) (Wald-Ratio = - 0.12, Wald-p = 3.63e-13), apolipoprotein B (APOB) (Wald-Ratio = - 0.09, Wald-p = 2.54e-04) and proto-oncogene tyrosine-protein kinase receptor (RET) (Wald-Ratio = 0.10, Wald-p = 5.40e-04). CONCLUSIONS: Our findings offer new insights into the plasma proteome underlying MetS and identify new protein associations. We reveal possible casual effects of APOE2, APOB and RET on MetS. Our results highlight protein candidates that could potentially serve as targets for prevention and therapy.

Associations between haemoglobin A1c and mortality rate in the KORA S4 and the Heinz Nixdorf Recall population-based cohort studies.

BACKGROUND: There is limited knowledge about mortality risk in persons with increased haemoglobin A1c (HbA1c ) levels below the diabetes threshold. Moreover, little is known about how associations between increased HbA1c and mortality depend on the length of follow-up. Therefore, we studied associations between HbA1c and mortality over long-term follow-up in persons with and without known diabetes. METHODS: We used data from two German population-based cohort studies: KORA S4 Study (Southern Germany, n = 1458, baseline visits in 1999 to 2001, baseline age 55 to 74 years, mortality follow-up 16.8 years) and Heinz Nixdorf Recall (HNR) Study (Ruhr area, n = 4613, baseline visits in 2000 to 2003, baseline age 45 to 75 years, mortality follow-up 17.8 years). Adjusted log-linear models were fitted to estimate relative risks (RRs) with 95% confidence intervals (CI). RESULTS: In both cohorts, participants with HbA1c 39 to 41 mmol/mol (5.7%-5.9%) and HbA1c 42 to 46 mmol/mol (6.0% to 6.4%) did not have a larger overall mortality risk than participants with HbA1c < 39 mmol/mol (5.7%): the corresponding adjusted RRs were 1.00 (95% CI: 0.83-1.21) and 1.01 (0.80-1.27) in KORA and 0.99 (0.82-1.21) and 0.83 (0.65-1.07) in the HNR Study. For the pooled cohorts, the RR for HbA1c 39 to 46 mmol/mol (5.7%-6.4%) was 0.96 (0.85-1.07). Associations between newly detected diabetes (HbA1c ≥ 6.5%) and mortality were weak after 4 and 8 years of follow-up, but were stronger after 12 years of follow-up, whereas associations between previously known diabetes (baseline) and mortality decreased. CONCLUSIONS: HbA1c -defined pre-diabetes is not associated with overall mortality. For newly detected and previously known diabetes, mortality risks vary with length of follow-up.

Reversion from prediabetes to normoglycaemia after weight change in older persons: The KORA F4/FF4 study.

BACKGROUND AND AIMS: In a non-interventional study of older persons, we assessed the impact of changes in BMI and waist circumference (WC) on reversion from glucose- and HbA1c-defined prediabetes to normoglycaemia (in short: reversion) and on persistence of normoglycaemia. Moreover, we studied whether reversion reduced cardiovascular risk. METHODS AND RESULTS: From the population-based KORA S4/F4/FF4 cohort study conducted in Southern Germany, we utilized data from the second and third visit to the study center (median follow-up 6.5 years). We used two overlapping data sets, one with 563 persons with HbA1c<6.5% (mean age 69 years, 51.5% men), one with 510 persons with glucose-based prediabetes or normal glucose tolerance. We calculated proportions of reversion, and estimated adjusted relative risks for the association between initial BMI/WC and change of BMI/WC, respectively, and reversion (and persistence of normoglycaemia, respectively). We estimated 10-year cardiovascular risks using the Framingham 2008 score. Overall, 27.3% of persons with HbA1c-defined prediabetes and 9.2% of persons with glucose-based prediabetes returned to normoglycaemia during follow-up. Lower initial BMI/WC and reduction of BMI/WC were associated with larger probabilities of returning to normoglycaemia (e.g., for HbA1c 5.7-6.4%, RR = 1.24 (95% CI: 1.09-1.41) per 1 kg/m2 decline of BMI). Moreover, reduction of BMI/WC increased probabilities of maintaining normoglycaemia (e.g., for glucose-based prediabetes, RR = 1.09 (1.02-1.16) per 1 kg/m2 decline of BMI). 10-year cardiovascular risk was 5.6 (1.7-9.6) percentage points lower after reversion from glucose-based prediabetes to normoglycaemia. CONCLUSION: In older adults, even moderate weight reduction contributes to reversion from prediabetes to normoglycaemia and to maintaining normoglycaemia.

Biomarker-defined pathways for incident type 2 diabetes and coronary heart disease-a comparison in the MONICA/KORA study.

BACKGROUND: Biomarkers may contribute to our understanding of the pathophysiology of various diseases. Type 2 diabetes (T2D) and coronary heart disease (CHD) share many clinical and lifestyle risk factors and several biomarkers are associated with both diseases. The current analysis aims to assess the relevance of biomarkers combined to pathway groups for the development of T2D and CHD in the same cohort. METHODS: Forty-seven serum biomarkers were measured in the MONICA/KORA case-cohort study using clinical chemistry assays and ultrasensitive molecular counting technology. The T2D (CHD) analyses included 689 (568) incident cases and 1850 (2004) non-cases from three population-based surveys. At baseline, the study participants were 35-74 years old. The median follow-up was 14 years. We computed Cox regression models for each biomarker, adjusted for age, sex, and survey. Additionally, we assigned the biomarkers to 19 etiological pathways based on information from literature. One age-, sex-, and survey-controlled average variable was built for each pathway. We used the R2PM coefficient of determination to assess the explained disease risk. RESULTS: The associations of many biomarkers, such as several cytokines or the iron marker soluble transferrin receptor (sTfR), were similar in strength for T2D and CHD, but we also observed important differences. Lipoprotein (a) (Lp(a)) and N-terminal pro B-type natriuretic peptide (NT-proBNP) even demonstrated opposite effect directions. All pathway variables together explained 49% of the T2D risk and 21% of the CHD risk. The insulin-like growth factor binding protein 2 (IGFBP-2, IGF/IGFBP system pathway) best explained the T2D risk (about 9% explained risk, independent of all other pathway variables). For CHD, the myocardial-injury- and lipid-related-pathways were most important and both explained about 4% of the CHD risk. CONCLUSIONS: The biomarker-derived pathway variables explained a higher proportion of the T2D risk compared to CHD. The ranking of the pathways differed between the two diseases, with the IGF/IGFBP-system-pathway being most strongly associated with T2D and the myocardial-injury- and lipid-related-pathways with CHD. Our results help to better understand the pathophysiology of the two diseases, with the ultimate goal of pointing out targets for lifestyle intervention and drug development to ideally prevent both T2D and CHD development.

Modifying effect of metabotype on diet-diabetes associations.

PURPOSE: Inter-individual metabolic differences may be a reason for previously inconsistent results in diet-diabetes associations. We aimed to investigate associations between dietary intake and diabetes for metabolically homogeneous subgroups ('metabotypes') in a large cross-sectional study. METHODS: We used data of 1517 adults aged 38-87 years from the German population-based KORA FF4 study (2013/2014). Dietary intake was estimated based on the combination of a food frequency questionnaire and multiple 24-h food lists. Glucose tolerance status was classified based on an oral glucose tolerance test in participants without a previous diabetes diagnosis using American Diabetes Association criteria. Logistic regression was applied to examine the associations between dietary intake and diabetes for two distinct metabotypes, which were identified based on 16 biochemical and anthropometric parameters. RESULTS: A low intake of fruits and a high intake of total meat, processed meat and sugar-sweetened beverages (SSB) were significantly associated with diabetes in the total study population. Stratified by metabotype, associations with diabetes remained significant for intake of total meat (OR 1.67, 95% CI 1.04-2.67) and processed meat (OR 2.23, 95% CI 1.24-4.04) in the metabotypes with rather favorable metabolic characteristics, and for intake of fruits (OR 0.83, 95% CI 0.68-0.99) and SSB (OR:1.21, 95% CI 1.09-1.35) in the more unfavorable metabotype. However, only the association between SSB intake and diabetes differed significantly by metabotype (p value for interaction = 0.01). CONCLUSIONS: Our findings suggest an influence of metabolic characteristics on diet-diabetes associations, which may help to explain inconsistent previous results. The causality of the observed associations needs to be confirmed in prospective and intervention studies.

Protein markers and risk of type 2 diabetes and prediabetes: a targeted proteomics approach in the KORA F4/FF4 study.

The objective of the present study was to identify proteins that contribute to pathophysiology and allow prediction of incident type 2 diabetes or incident prediabetes. We quantified 14 candidate proteins using targeted mass spectrometry in plasma samples of the prospective, population-based German KORA F4/FF4 study (6.5-year follow-up). 892 participants aged 42-81 years were selected using a case-cohort design, including 123 persons with incident type 2 diabetes and 255 persons with incident WHO-defined prediabetes. Prospective associations between protein levels and diabetes, prediabetes as well as continuous fasting and 2 h glucose, fasting insulin and insulin resistance were investigated using regression models adjusted for established risk factors. The best predictive panel of proteins on top of a non-invasive risk factor model or on top of HbA1c, age, and sex was selected. Mannan-binding lectin serine peptidase (MASP) levels were positively associated with both incident type 2 diabetes and prediabetes. Adiponectin was inversely associated with incident type 2 diabetes. MASP, adiponectin, apolipoprotein A-IV, apolipoprotein C-II, C-reactive protein, and glycosylphosphatidylinositol specific phospholipase D1 were associated with individual continuous outcomes. The combination of MASP, apolipoprotein E (apoE) and adiponectin improved diabetes prediction on top of both reference models, while prediabetes prediction was improved by MASP plus CRP on top of the HbA1c model. In conclusion, our mass spectrometric approach revealed a novel association of MASP with incident type 2 diabetes and incident prediabetes. In combination, MASP, adiponectin and apoE improved type 2 diabetes prediction beyond non-invasive risk factors or HbA1c, age and sex.

Myeloperoxidase, superoxide dismutase-3, cardiometabolic risk factors, and distal sensorimotor polyneuropathy: The KORA F4/FF4 study.

BACKGROUND: Oxidative stress has been proposed as important pathomechanism of cardiometabolic diseases and distal sensorimotor polyneuropathy (DSPN). However, the relevance of biomarkers of oxidative stress has not been investigated in this context. Therefore, this study aimed to assess the association of the prooxidant myeloperoxidase (MPO) and the antioxidant extracellular superoxide dismutase (SOD3) with cardiometabolic risk factors and with prevalence and incidence of DSPN. METHODS: Cross-sectional analyses comprised 1069 participants (40.3% with prediabetes and 20.5% with type 2 diabetes) of the population-based Cooperative Health Research in the Region of Augsburg (KORA) F4 study (2006-2008), 181 of whom had DSPN at baseline. Prospective analyses included 524 individuals without DSPN at baseline who also participated in the KORA FF4 study (2013-2014), 132 of whom developed DSPN during the 6.5-year follow-up. Serum MPO and SOD3 were measured by ELISA, and their association with cardiometabolic risk factors and DSPN were estimated by using linear and logistic regression analyses. RESULTS: Higher MPO and SOD levels showed multiple positive associations with cardiometabolic risk factors including age, indices of obesity, insulin resistance, serum lipids, renal dysfunction, and biomarkers of inflammation. Higher MPO levels were associated with prevalent DSPN (fully adjusted OR 1.38 [95% CI 1.10; 1.72] per doubling of MPO). Higher baseline SOD3 levels were related to incident DSPN (age and sex-adjusted OR 2.14 [1.02; 4.48] per doubling of SOD3), which was partially explained by cardiometabolic risk factors. CONCLUSIONS: Systemic levels of both pro- and antioxidant enzymes appear involved in cardiometabolic risk and development of DSPN.

Association of changes in inflammation with variation in glycaemia, insulin resistance and secretion based on the KORA study.

AIMS: Subclinical systemic inflammation may contribute to the development of type 2 diabetes, but its association with early progression of glycaemic deterioration in persons without diabetes has not been fully investigated. Our primary aim was to assess longitudinal associations of changes in pro-inflammatory (leukocytes, high-sensitivity C-reactive protein (hsCRP)) and anti-inflammatory (adiponectin) markers with changes in markers that assessed glycaemia, insulin resistance, and secretion (HbA1c , HOMA-IR, and HOMA-ß). Furthermore, we aimed to directly compare longitudinal with cross-sectional associations. MATERIALS AND METHODS: This study includes 819 initially nondiabetic individuals with repeated measurements from the Cooperative Health Research in the Region of Augsburg (KORA) S4/F4 cohort study (median follow-up: 7.1 years). Longitudinal and cross-sectional associations were simultaneously examined using linear mixed growth models. Changes in markers of inflammation were used as independent and changes in markers of glycaemia/insulin resistance/insulin secretion as dependent variables. Models were adjusted for age, sex, major lifestyle and metabolic risk factors for diabetes using time-varying variables in the final model. RESULTS: Changes of leukocyte count were positively associated with changes in HbA1c and HOMA-ß while changes in adiponectin were inversely associated with changes in HbA1c . All examined cross-sectional associations were statistically significant; they were generally stronger and mostly directionally consistent to the longitudinal association estimates. CONCLUSIONS: Adverse changes in low-grade systemic inflammation go along with glycaemic deterioration and increased insulin secretion independently of changes in other risk factors, suggesting that low-grade inflammation may contribute to the development of hyperglycaemia and a compensatory increase in insulin secretion.

Circulating Levels of Interleukin 1-Receptor Antagonist and Risk of Cardiovascular Disease: Meta-Analysis of Six Population-Based Cohorts.

OBJECTIVE: Interleukin (IL)-1ß represents a key cytokine in the development of cardiovascular disease (CVD). IL-1ß is counter-regulated by IL-1 receptor antagonist (IL-1RA), an endogenous inhibitor. This study aimed to identify population-based studies on circulating IL-1RA and incident CVD in a systematic review, estimate the association between IL-1RA and incident CVD in a meta-analysis, and to test whether the association between IL-1RA and incident CVD is explained by other inflammation-related biomarkers in the MONICA/KORA Augsburg case-cohort study (Multinational Monitoring of Trends and Determinants in Cardiovascular Disease/Cooperative Health Research in the Region of Augsburg). APPROACH AND RESULTS: We performed a systematic literature search and identified 5 cohort studies on IL-1RA and incident CVD in addition to the MONICA/KORA Augsburg case-cohort study for a meta-analysis based on a total of 1855 CVD cases and 18 745 noncases with follow-up times between 5 and 16 years. The pooled standardized hazard ratio (95% confidence interval) for incident CVD was 1.11 (1.06-1.17) after adjustment for age, sex, anthropometric, metabolic, and lifestyle factors (P<0.0001). There was no heterogeneity in effect sizes (I2=0%; P=0.88). More detailed analyses in the MONICA/KORA study showed that the excess risk for CVD was attenuated by ≥10% after additional separate adjustment for serum levels of high-sensitivity C-reactive protein, IL-6, myeloperoxidase, soluble E-selectin, or soluble intercellular adhesion molecule-1. CONCLUSIONS: Serum IL-1RA levels were positively associated with risk of CVD after adjustment for multiple confounders in a meta-analysis of 6 population-based cohorts. This association may at least partially reflect a response to triggers inducing subclinical inflammation, oxidative stress, and endothelial activation.

Association of glycemic status and segmental left ventricular wall thickness in subjects without prior cardiovascular disease: a cross-sectional study.

BACKGROUND: Left ventricular (LV) hypertrophy and changes in LV geometry are associated with increased cardiovascular mortality. Subjects with type 2 diabetes have an increased risk of such alterations in cardiac morphology. We sought to assess the association of glycemic status and LV wall thickness measured by cardiac magnetic resonance (CMR), and potential interactions of hypertension and diabetes. METHODS: CMR was performed on 359 participants from a cross-sectional study nested in a population-based cohort (KORA FF4) free of overt cardiovascular disease. Participants were classified according to their glycemic status as either control (normal glucose metabolism), prediabetes or type 2 diabetes. Segmentation of the left ventricle was defined according to the American Heart Association (AHA) 16-segment model. Measurements of wall thickness were obtained at end-diastole and analyzed by linear regression models adjusted for traditional cardiovascular risk factors. RESULTS: LV wall thickness gradually increased from normoglycemic controls to subjects with prediabetes and subjects with diabetes (8.8 ± 1.4 vs 9.9 ± 1.4 vs 10.5 ± 1.6 mm, respectively). The association was independent of hypertension and traditional cardiovascular risk factors (ß-coefficient: 0.44 mm for prediabetes and 0.70 mm for diabetes, p-values compared to controls: p = 0.007 and p = 0.004, respectively). Whereas the association of glycemic status was strongest for the mid-cavity segments, the association of hypertension was strongest for the basal segments. CONCLUSION: Abnormal glucose metabolism, including pre-diabetes, is associated with increased LV wall thickness independent of hypertension.

Inverse associations between serum levels of secreted frizzled-related protein-5 (SFRP5) and multiple cardiometabolic risk factors: KORA F4 study.

AIMS: Secreted frizzled-related protein (Sfrp)5 has beneficial effects on insulin sensitivity, inflammation and cardiovascular risk in different mouse models, but its relevance for cardiometabolic diseases in humans is controversial. We aimed to characterise associations of circulating SFRP5 with cardiometabolic risk factors and prediabetes/type 2 diabetes in a large population-based cohort. METHODS: Cross-sectional associations between serum SFRP5 and cardiometabolic risk factors as well as prediabetes/type 2 diabetes were investigated in 1096 participants aged 62-81 years from the German KORA F4 study, of whom 666 had prediabetes or type 2 diabetes. Multivariable linear regression models were adjusted for potential confounders including age, sex, body mass index (BMI), lifestyle factors, lipids, hypertension, kidney function and myocardial infarction. RESULTS: Higher serum SFRP5 levels were associated with lower HbA1c, BMI, systolic blood pressure, estimated glomerular filtration rate and high-sensitivity C-reactive protein levels and with higher levels of high-density lipoprotein cholesterol and adiponectin in the fully adjusted model (all P < 0.009). In contrast, favourable associations between SFRP5 and glycaemia, insulin, insulin resistance and other cardiometabolic risk factors were attenuated after adjustment for BMI. Serum SFRP5 levels were lower in participants with prediabetes or type 2 diabetes [(median (25th; 75th percentile) 48.8 (35.5; 65.7) ng/ml] compared to participants with normal glucose tolerance [55.9 (42.6; 69.6) ng/ml] (P < 0.001). In the fully adjusted model, higher SFRP5 was associated with lower odds of prediabetes/type 2 diabetes [OR (95% CI) (0.72 (0.58; 0.89)) per doubling of SFRP5, P < 0.01]. CONCLUSIONS: Higher serum SFRP5 was inversely associated with multiple risk factors for type 2 diabetes and cardiovascular diseases. However, BMI represents a strong confounder of some of these associations. Higher circulating SFRP5 was also associated with lower odds of prediabetes/type 2 diabetes, and this association was independent of BMI. Thus, SFRP5 emerges as novel biomarker that merits further research in the context of prevention of cardiometabolic diseases.

Serum levels of interleukin-22, cardiometabolic risk factors and incident type 2 diabetes: KORA F4/FF4 study.

AIMS: Interleukin-22 (IL-22) has beneficial effects on body weight, insulin resistance and inflammation in different mouse models, but its relevance for the development of type 2 diabetes in humans is unknown. We aimed to identify correlates of serum IL-22 levels and to test the hypothesis that higher IL-22 levels are associated with lower diabetes incidence. METHODS: Cross-sectional associations between serum IL-22, cardiometabolic risk factors and glucose tolerance status were investigated in 1107 persons of the population-based KORA F4 study. The prospective association between serum IL-22 and incident type 2 diabetes was assessed in 504 initially non-diabetic study participants in both the KORA F4 study and its 7-year follow-up examination KORA FF4, 76 of whom developed diabetes. RESULTS: Male sex, current smoking, lower HDL cholesterol, lower estimated glomerular filtration rate and higher serum interleukin-1 receptor antagonist were associated with higher IL-22 levels after adjustment for confounders (all P < 0.05). Serum IL-22 showed no associations with glucose tolerance status, prediabetes or type 2 diabetes. Baseline serum IL-22 levels (median, 25th/75th percentiles) for incident type 2 diabetes cases and non-cases were 6.28 (1.95; 12.35) and 6.45 (1.95; 11.80) pg/ml, respectively (age and sex-adjusted P = 0.744). The age and sex-adjusted OR (95% CI) per doubling of IL-22 for incident type 2 diabetes of 1.02 (0.85; 1.23) was almost unchanged after consideration of further confounders. CONCLUSIONS: High serum levels of IL-22 were positively rather than inversely associated with several cardiometabolic risk factors. However, these associations did not translate into an increased risk for type 2 diabetes. Thus, our data argue against the utility of IL-22 as biomarker for prevalent or incident type 2 diabetes in humans, but identify potential determinants of IL-22 levels which merits further research in the context of cardiovascular diseases.

Ultra-sensitive troponin I is an independent predictor of incident coronary heart disease in the general population.

Troponins are sensitive markers of myocardial injury and predictive of cardiovascular events, but conventional assays fail to detect slightly elevated troponins in a considerable proportion of the general population. Using a novel ultrasensitive assay, we explored the relationship of troponin levels with the incidence of coronary heart disease (CHD) in a case-cohort sample (mean age 52.5 ± 0.2 years, 51.5% women) comprising 803 CHD cases and 1942 non-cases. Ultrasensitive troponin I was detectable in 99.9% of available case-cohort samples. In an age- and sex-adjusted model, individuals in the highest quartile of the troponin distribution had a more than threefold increased risk for CHD events compared to those in the bottom quartile [hazard ratio, HR, 3.11; 95% confidence interval (CI) 2.15-4.49]. In a model adjusting for cardiovascular risk factors including C-reactive protein, cystatin C and N-terminal pro brain natriuretic peptide, individuals in the highest troponin I quartile still showed a hazard ratio of 2.58 (95% CI 1.66-4.00) for incident CHD as compared to those in the lowest quartile. Ultrasensitive troponin I was detectable in almost all individuals of a study sample reflecting middle-aged to elderly European general population. Ultrasensitive troponin concentrations exhibit an independent, graded, positive relation with incident CHD.

MASP1, THBS1, GPLD1 and ApoA-IV are novel biomarkers associated with prediabetes: the KORA F4 study.

AIMS/HYPOTHESIS: Individuals at a high risk of type 2 diabetes demonstrate moderate impairments in glucose metabolism years before the clinical manifestation of type 2 diabetes, a state called 'prediabetes'. In order to elucidate the pathophysiological processes leading to type 2 diabetes, we aimed to identify protein biomarkers associated with prediabetes. METHODS: In a proteomics study, we used targeted selected reaction monitoring (SRM)-MS to quantify 23 candidate proteins in the plasma of 439 randomly selected men and women aged 47-76 years from the population-based German KORA F4 study. Cross-sectional associations of protein levels with prediabetes (impaired fasting glucose and/or impaired glucose tolerance), type 2 diabetes, glucose levels in both the fasting state and 2 h after an OGTT, fasting insulin and insulin resistance were investigated using regression models adjusted for technical covariables, age, sex, BMI, smoking, alcohol intake, physical inactivity, actual hypertension, triacylglycerol levels, total cholesterol/HDL-cholesterol ratio, and high-sensitivity C-reactive protein levels. RESULTS: Mannan-binding lectin serine peptidase 1 (MASP1; OR per SD 1.77 [95% CI 1.26, 2.47]), thrombospondin 1 (THBS1; OR per SD 1.55 [95% CI 1.16, 2.07]) and glycosylphosphatidylinositol-specific phospholipase D1 (GPLD1; OR per SD 1.40 [95% CI 1.01, 1.94]) were positively associated with prediabetes, and apolipoprotein A-IV (ApoA-IV; OR per SD 0.75 [95% CI 0.56, 1.00]) was inversely associated with prediabetes. MASP1 was positively associated with fasting and 2 h glucose levels. ApoA-IV was inversely and THBS1 was positively associated with 2 h glucose levels. MASP1 associations with prediabetes and fasting glucose resisted Bonferroni correction. Type 2 diabetes associations were partly influenced by glucose-lowering medication. CONCLUSIONS/INTERPRETATION: We discovered novel and independent associations of prediabetes and related traits with MASP1, and some evidence for associations with THBS1, GPLD1 and ApoA-IV, suggesting a role for these proteins in the pathophysiology of type 2 diabetes.

Association of subclinical inflammation with deterioration of glycaemia before the diagnosis of type 2 diabetes: the KORA S4/F4 study.

AIMS/HYPOTHESIS: The role of biomarkers of subclinical inflammation in the early deterioration of glycaemia before type 2 diabetes is largely unknown. We hypothesised that increased levels of circulating proinflammatory biomarkers and decreased circulating adiponectin would be associated with 7 year increases of HbA(1c) in non-diabetic individuals. METHODS: This study was based on individuals who participated in the prospective Cooperative Health Research in the Region of Augsburg (KORA) S4 survey (1999-2001) and the 7 year follow-up KORA F4 (2006-2008) survey. Individuals with type 2 diabetes at baseline or with a diagnosis of diabetes in the period between both surveys were excluded, which left a sample of 850 men and women. Multivariable linear regression analyses were performed to assess associations among baseline values of leucocyte count and levels of acute-phase proteins (high-sensitivity C-reactive protein [hsCRP], serum amyloid A [SAA] and fibrinogen), IL-6 and adiponectin with changes in HbA1c between baseline and follow-up. RESULTS: A high leucocyte count and high hsCRP, SAA and IL-6 levels were positively associated with changes in HbA(1c) after adjusting for age, sex, lifestyle factors and baseline HbA(1c). In contrast, the adiponectin level was inversely associated with changes in HbA(1c) (p value between <0.0001 and 0.020). The associations of leucocyte count and levels of hsCRP and SAA with HbA(1c) changes remained significant after additional adjustment for waist circumference and circulating lipids at baseline and for the 7 year change in waist circumference (p value between 0.004 and 0.045). CONCLUSIONS/INTERPRETATION: An elevated leucocyte count and elevated hsCRP and SAA were associated with early deterioration of glycaemia before the diagnosis of type 2 diabetes. These associations were largely independent of baseline abdominal adiposity and increases in waist circumference.