Cost-effectiveness study of FIB-4 followed by transient elastography screening strategy for advanced hepatic fibrosis in a NAFLD at-risk population.

BACKGROUND & AIMS: The cost-effectiveness to screen hepatic fibrosis in at-risk population as recommended by several professional societies has been limited. This study aimed to investigate the cost-effectiveness of this screening strategy in the expanded at-risk population recently proposed by several societies. METHODS: A combined model of the decision tree and Markov models was developed to compare expected costs, quality-adjusted life-years (QALYs) and incremental cost-effectiveness ratio (ICER) between screening and no screening groups. The model included liver disease-related health states and cardiovascular disease (CVD) states as a base-case analysis. Screening strategy consisted of fibrosis-4 index (FIB-4) followed by vibration-controlled transient elastography (VCTE) and intensive lifestyle intervention (ILI) as a treatment for diagnosed patients. RESULTS: Cost-effectiveness analysis showed that screening the at-risk population entailed $298 incremental costs and an additional 0.0199 QALY per patient compared to no screening (ICER $14 949/QALY). Screening was cost-effective based on the implicit ICER threshold of $25 000/QALY in Korea. When the effects of ILI on CVD and extrahepatic malignancy were incorporated into the cost-effectiveness model, the ICER decreased by 0.85 times from the base-case analysis (ICER $12 749/QALY). In contrast, when only the effects of liver disease were considered in the model, excluding cardiovascular disease effects, ICER increased from the baseline case analysis to $16 305. Even when replacing with medical costs in Japan and U.S., it remained cost-effective with the estimate below the countries' ICER threshold. CONCLUSIONS: Our study provides compelling evidence supporting the cost-effectiveness of FIB-4-based screening the at-risk population for advanced hepatic fibrosis.

Cost-effectiveness of improving patients' adherence to tuberculosis treatment in South Korea using discrete event simulation.

BACKGROUND: Poor adherence to tuberculosis (TB) treatment is an obstacle to controlling the disease. The Korean government's national TB control plan includes a program on adherence to TB treatment to manage patients with TB. This study aimed to assess the cost-effectiveness of a national TB program for improving patient adherence. METHODS: A discrete event simulation (DES) model was developed to estimate the costs and quality-adjusted life-years (QALYs) of adherent and non-adherent patients. In this model, we considered treatment completion, loss to follow-up, recurrence, death, and treatment changes from drug-susceptible to multidrug-resistant TB as clinical events. We obtained input parameters such as costs, probability of events, and time distributions for each event from the Korean National Health Insurance claims data. We estimated the costs and QALYs before implementation of the program (adherence rate = 79%) and at present (current adherence rate = 94%). The incremental cost-effectiveness ratio (ICER) was used to evaluate whether the program was cost-effective given the willingness-to-pay threshold. RESULTS: In the simulation, the program increasing the proportion of adherent patients gained 0.018 QALY/patient while spending $162/patient. The ICER of the TB program was $8790/QALY. Given a willingness-to-pay threshold of $20,000, the national TB program was considered cost-effective. CONCLUSION: Improvements in adherence to TB treatment through the current TB program were cost-effective. The DES model accurately reflected the real world. Commitment programs to improve patient adherence may help manage TB nationwide.

Real-world effectiveness of CDK4/6 inhibitors on patients with HR+/HER2- advanced breast cancer in South Korea, focusing on underrepresented patients.

OBJECTIVE: We assessed the real-world effectiveness of cyclin-dependent kinase 4 and 6 (CDK4/6) inhibitors as first-line treatments in postmenopausal patients with HR+/HER2- advanced breast cancer, focusing on younger (<45 years) and older (>78 years) populations not considered in clinical trials. METHODS: We analyzed nationwide claims data from the Health Insurance Review and Assessment Service between November 2016 and February 2021. In this retrospective cohort study, patients using CDK4/6 inhibitors and aromatase inhibitors were selected and grouped by age as follows: 45-78 years (trial-enrolled), <45 years (younger), and >78 years (older). We estimated the median real-world progression-free survival (rwPFS) and overall survival (OS) using the Kaplan-Meier method. We conducted Cox regression analysis using a sub-distribution hazard model to evaluate risk factors (age, history of prior systemic treatment, presence of metastasis, comorbidity index, and type of provider) and estimated hazard ratios (HR). RESULTS: Among the 2,830 patients who received CDK4/6 inhibitors as first-line therapy, we identified 358 (12.65%) younger and 148 (5.23%) older underrepresented patients. The younger patient group (50.84%) had the highest rate of prior systemic therapy, followed by the trial-enrolled (25.39%) and older patient groups (8.11%). The median rwPFS was shorter in the older group (19.30 months) than those in the younger and the trial-enrolled age groups (30.33 and 34.53 months, respectively; p = .002). The HR of older age for death was 1.59 (95% confidence interval (CI) = 1.24-2.03). For rwPFS, the HR of prior systemic therapy was 1.19 (95% CI = 1.04-1.37). CONCLUSIONS: The younger age group, which was underrepresented in the trial, did not show a significant difference in risk compared with the enrolled age group. However, the older age group, which was also underrepresented in the trial, faces a risk of mortality but not progression. Patients who fall outside the specified age groups for the clinical trial can still expect the same level of effectiveness in terms of progression.

A Model-Based Economic Evaluation of Hypothetical Treatments for Amyotrophic Lateral Sclerosis in the UK: Implications for Pricing of New and Emerging Health Technologies.

BACKGROUND: Amyotrophic lateral sclerosis (ALS) is a devastating disease which leads to loss of muscle function and paralysis. Historically, clinical drug development has been unsuccessful, but promising disease-modifying therapies (DMTs) may be on the horizon. OBJECTIVES: The aims of this study were to estimate survival, quality-adjusted life-years (QALYs) and costs under current care, and to explore the conditions under which new therapies might be considered cost effective. METHODS: We developed a health economic model to evaluate the cost effectiveness of future ALS treatments from a UK National Health Service and Personal Social Services perspective over a lifetime horizon using data from the ALS-CarE study. Costs were valued at 2021/22 prices. Two hypothetical interventions were evaluated: a DMT which delays progression and mortality, and a symptomatic therapy which improves utility only. Sensitivity analysis was conducted to identify key drivers of cost effectiveness. RESULTS: Starting from King's stage 2, patients receiving current care accrue an estimated 2.27 life-years, 0.75 QALYs and lifetime costs of £68,047. Assuming a 50% reduction in progression rates and a UK-converted estimate of the price of edaravone, the incremental cost-effectiveness ratio for a new DMT versus current care is likely to exceed £735,000 per QALY gained. Symptomatic therapies may be more likely to achieve acceptable levels of cost effectiveness. CONCLUSIONS: Regardless of efficacy, DMTs may struggle to demonstrate cost effectiveness, even at a low price. The cost effectiveness of DMTs is likely to be strongly influenced by drug price, the magnitude and durability of relative treatment effects, treatment starting/stopping rules and any additional utility benefits over current care.

Real-world evidence of brigatinib as second-line treatment after crizotinib for ALK+ non-small cell lung cancer using South Korean claims data (K-AREAL).

PURPOSE: There is a lack of real-world data in Asian populations for brigatinib, a next-generation anaplastic lymphoma kinase (ALK) inhibitor for patients with non-small cell lung cancer (NSCLC). This study analysed real-world outcomes and dosing patterns for brigatinib in patients with crizotinib-refractory ALK+ NSCLC in South Korea. METHODS: This retrospective, non-interventional, cohort study used South Korean Health Insurance and Review Assessment claims data for adults with ALK+ NSCLC who initiated brigatinib between 19 April 2019 and 31 March 2021 after receiving prior crizotinib. Patients' characteristics, time to discontinuation (TTD), time to dose reduction, overall survival (OS) and treatment adherence were assessed. RESULTS: The study included 174 patients (56.9% male; 27.0% with a history of brain metastases). Median duration of prior crizotinib was 17 (range 0.3-48) months. Median follow-up after brigatinib initiation was 18 (range 0-34) months. Overall, 88.5% of patients received full-dose brigatinib (180 mg/day) and 93.1% of patients were adherent (proportion of days covered ≥0.8). The median TTD was 24.9 months (95% CI 15.2-not reached). The probability of continuing treatment was 63.2% at 1 year and 51.5% at 2 years. The probability of continuing at full or peak dose was 79.7% at 1 year and 75.6% at 2 years. Median OS was not reached. The 2-year OS rate was 68.7%. CONCLUSIONS: In this first nationwide retrospective study using national insurance claim data, brigatinib demonstrated real-world clinical benefit as second-line treatment after prior crizotinib in ALK+ NSCLC patients in South Korea.

Lipid profile changes induced by glucagon-like peptide-1 receptor agonists in patients with type 2 diabetes: a systematic review and network meta-analysis.

OBJECTIVE: This study was conducted to investigate the effects of glucagon-like peptide-1 receptor (GLP-1) agonists on the lipid profiles of patients with type 2 diabetes. METHODS: We retrieved the data of phase 3 randomized controlled trials on GLP-1 agonists in patients with type 2 diabetes from the PubMed, Embase, and Cochrane library up to 11 February 2024. We extracted % changes in low-density lipoprotein cholesterol (LDL-C)/high-density lipoprotein cholesterol/total cholesterol (T-CHO) and triglycerides levels from baseline. Using Bayesian network meta-analysis, mean differences and 95% credible intervals for lipid changes were estimated as a unit of percentage points (%p) by class. RESULTS: Twenty-six studies covering 22,290 participants were included. The glucose-dependent insulinotropic polypeptide (GIP)/GLP-1 dual agonist showed significant differences in LDL-C (range of mean differences: -11.61 to -6.77%p), triglycerides (-19.94 to -13.31%p), and T-CHO (-7.94 to -5.09%p) levels compared to placebo, insulin, and sodium-glucose co-transporter 2 (SGLT2) inhibitors. The GLP-1 agonist significantly reduced T-CHO (-5.20%p; -6.39%p) and LDL-C (-4.32%p; -8.17%p) levels compared to placebo and SGLT2 inhibitors, respectively. CONCLUSIONS: The GIP/GLP-1 dual agonist positively affects the lipid profiles of patients with type 2 diabetes. This may contribute to a lower risk of cardiovascular disease in patients with type 2 diabetes. PROTOCOL REGISTRATION: PROSPERO (CRD42021282668).