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PURPOSE: A combined model was established based on the MRI-radiomics of pre- and mid-treatment to assess the risk of disease progression or death in locally advanced nasopharyngeal carcinoma. MATERIALS AND METHODS: A total of 243 patients were analyzed. We extracted 10,400 radiomics features from the primary nasopharyngeal tumors and largest metastatic lymph nodes on the axial contrast-enhanced T1 weighted and T2 weighted in pre- and mid-treatment MRI, respectively. We used the SMOTE algorithm, center and scale and box-cox, Pearson correlation coefficient, and LASSO regression to construct the pre- and mid-treatment MRI-radiomics prediction model, respectively, and the risk scores named P score and M score were calculated. Finally, univariate and multivariate analyses were used for P score, M score, and clinical data to build the combined model and grouped the patients into two risk levels, namely, high and low. RESULT: A combined model of pre- and mid-treatment MRI-radiomics successfully categorized patients into high- and low-risk groups. The log-rank test showed that the high- and low-risk groups had good prognostic performance in PFS (P<0.0001, HR: 19.71, 95% CI: 12.77-30.41), which was better than TNM stage (P=0.004, HR:1.913, 95% CI:1.250-2.926), and also had an excellent predictive effect in LRFS, DMFS, and OS. CONCLUSION: Risk grouping of LA-NPC using a combined model of pre- and mid-treatment MRI-radiomics can better predict disease progression or death.
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BACKGROUND: The purpose was to develop and validate a nomogram for prediction on radiation-induced temporal lobe injury (TLI) in patients with nasopharyngeal carcinoma (NPC). METHODS: The prediction model was developed based on a primary cohort that consisted of 194 patients. The data was gathered from January 2008 to December 2010. Clinical factors associated with TLI and dose-volume histograms for 388 evaluable temporal lobes were analyzed. Multivariable logistic regression analysis was used to develop the predicting model, which was conducted by R software. The performance of the nomogram was assessed with calibration and discrimination. An external validation cohort contained 197 patients from January 2011 to December 2013. RESULTS: Among the 391 patients, 77 patients had TLI. Prognostic factors contained in the nomogram were Dmax (the maximum point dose) of temporal lobe, D1cc (the maximum dose delivered to a volume of 1 ml), T stage, and neutrophil-to-lymphocyte ratios (NLRs). The Internal validation showed good discrimination, with a C-index of 0.847 [95%CI 0.800 to 0.893], and good calibration. Application of the nomogram in the external validation cohort still obtained good discrimination (C-index, 0.811 [95% CI, 0.751 to 0.870]) and acceptable calibration. CONCLUSIONS: This study developed and validated a nomogram, which may be conveniently applied for the individualized prediction of TLI.
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PURPOSE: To compare the clinical characteristics and survival outcomes of patients with ascending type (type A), descending type (type D), and mixed type (type AD) of nasopharyngeal carcinoma (NPC) in non-endemic areas. MATERIALS AND METHODS: The cohort included 628 patients diagnosed with type A, type D, and type AD of NPC between January 2009 and December 2014. Type A was defined as T3-4 N0-1 , type D as T0-1 N2-3 , and type AD as T3-4 N2-3 . Propensity score matching (PSM) was performed to balance clinical factors and match patients. Kaplan-Meier methods and Cox proportional hazards models were used to evaluate the impact of different NPC types on survival outcomes. RESULTS: There were 145 patients with type A, 194 with type D, and 289 with type AD. However, after PSM, there were only 130 patients with each type. Compared with patients with type A, those with type D had lower 5-year disease-specific survival (96.9% vs 91.5%) and distant metastasis-free survival (92.3% vs 77.7%) and higher local relapse-free survival (88.5% vs 96.9%) (p < 0.05 for all). Patients with type AD may have an increased risk of disease progression (progression-free survival, 56.9% vs 74.6% and 66.2%) and death (overall survival [OS], 76.9% vs 85.4% and 85.4%) (p < 0.05 for all) compared to patients with the other two types of tumors. We further analyzed the metastasis trend. Similar metastasis patterns were observed in types AD and D, and types AD and A had similar recurrence trends. The mortality rate of patients with types AD and D in the first 3 years after metastasis was remarkably higher than that of patients with type A. CONCLUSIONS: In non-endemic areas of China, metastases and recurrence patterns differed across tumor types. Type AD has the worst OS, and the clinical process is more radical. Type D has a lower recurrence rate, higher metastasis, and disease-related mortality rates, and poorer prognosis after metastasis than type A.