Training the next generation of pharmacometric modelers: a multisector perspective.

The current demand for pharmacometricians outmatches the supply provided by academic institutions and considerable investments are made to develop the competencies of these scientists on-the-job. Even with the observed increase in academic programs related to pharmacometrics, this need is unlikely to change in the foreseeable future, as the demand and scope of pharmacometrics applications keep expanding. Further, the field of pharmacometrics is changing. The field largely started when Lewis Sheiner and Stuart Beal published their seminal papers on population pharmacokinetics in the late 1970's and early 1980's and has continued to grow in impact and use since its inception. Physiological-based pharmacokinetics and systems pharmacology have grown rapidly in scope and impact in the last decade and machine learning is just on the horizon. While all these methodologies are categorized as pharmacometrics, no one person can be an expert in everything. So how do you train future pharmacometricians? Leading experts in academia, industry, contract research organizations, clinical medicine, and regulatory gave their opinions on how to best train future pharmacometricians. Their opinions were collected and synthesized to create some general recommendations.

Population pharmacokinetics of cabotegravir following administration of oral tablet and long-acting intramuscular injection in adult HIV-1-infected and uninfected subjects.

AIM: To characterize cabotegravir population pharmacokinetics using data from phase 1, 2 and 3 studies and evaluate the association of intrinsic and extrinsic factors with pharmacokinetic variability. METHODS: Analyses were implemented in NONMEM and R. Concentrations below the quantitation limit were modelled with likelihood-based approaches. Covariate relationships were evaluated using forward addition (P < .01) and backward elimination (P < .001) approaches. The impact of each covariate on trough and peak concentrations was evaluated through simulations. External validation was performed using prediction-corrected visual predictive checks. RESULTS: The model-building dataset included 23 926 plasma concentrations from 1647 adult HIV-1-infected (72%) and uninfected (28%) subjects in 16 studies at seven dose levels (oral 10-60 mg, long-acting [LA] intramuscular injection 200-800 mg). A two-compartment model with first-order oral and LA absorption and elimination adequately described the data. Clearances and volumes were scaled to body weight. Estimated relative bioavailability of oral to LA was 75.6%. Race and age were not significant covariates. LA absorption rate constant (KALA ) was 50.9% lower in females and 47.8% higher if the LA dose was given as two split injections. KALA decreased with increasing BMI and decreasing needle length. Clearance was 17.4% higher in current smokers. The impact of any covariate was ≤32% on trough and peak concentrations following LA administration. The final model adequately predicted 5097 plasma concentrations from 647 subjects who were not included in the model-building dataset. CONCLUSIONS: A cabotegravir population pharmacokinetic model was developed that can be used to inform dosing strategies and future study design. No dose adjustment based on subject covariates is recommended.

Considerations in the Selection of Renal Dosage Adjustments for Patients with Serious Infections and Lessons Learned from the Development of Ceftazidime-Avibactam.

An extensive clinical development program (comprising two phase 2 and five phase 3 trials) has demonstrated the efficacy and safety of ceftazidime-avibactam in the treatment of adults with complicated intra-abdominal infection (cIAI), complicated urinary tract infection (cUTI), and hospital-acquired pneumonia (HAP), including ventilator-associated pneumonia (VAP). During the phase 3 clinical program, updated population pharmacokinetic (PK) modeling and Monte Carlo simulations using clinical PK data supported modified ceftazidime-avibactam dosage adjustments for patients with moderate or severe renal impairment (comprising a 50% increase in total daily dose compared with the original dosage adjustments) to reduce the risk of subtherapeutic drug exposures in the event of rapidly improving renal function. The modified dosage adjustments were included in the ceftazidime-avibactam labeling information at the time of initial approval and were subsequently evaluated in the final phase 3 trial (in patients with HAP, including VAP), providing supportive data for the approved U.S. and European ceftazidime-avibactam dosage regimens across renal function categories. This review describes the analyses supporting the ceftazidime-avibactam dosage adjustments for renal impairment and discusses the wider implications and benefits of using modeling and simulation to support dosage regimen optimization based on emerging clinical evidence.

Population pharmacokinetic and exposure-response analyses of pemigatinib in patients with advanced solid tumors including cholangiocarcinoma.

Pemigatinib is a selective, potent, oral inhibitor of fibroblast growth factor receptor (FGFR)1-3 with efficacy in patients with previously treated, advanced/metastatic cholangiocarcinoma (CCA) with FGFR2 alterations. A previously developed population pharmacokinetic (PK) model of pemigatinib was refined using an updated dataset with 467 participants from seven clinical studies, including patients with CCA. Updated PK model parameters were used to evaluate the association between pemigatinib exposure and efficacy and safety. Pemigatinib PK was adequately described by a two-compartment model with linear elimination and sequential zero- and first-order absorption. The final model successfully minimized, had a successful covariance step, and showed unbiased goodness-of-fit. Estimated first-order absorption rate constant and apparent clearance were 3.7/h and 10.7 L/h, respectively. Sex, baseline body weight, and concomitant use of phosphate binders, proton pump inhibitors, or histamine-2 antagonists significantly impacted PK parameters; however, the impact of covariates on PK exposure was not clinically significant. Steady-state pemigatinib exposure and mean change from baseline in serum phosphate concentration were associated with objective response rate in a bell-shaped relationship and were significantly associated with increased hyperphosphatemia. Pemigatinib exposure was associated with treatment-emergent adverse events, such as decreased appetite, nausea, and stomatitis, although the relationships were shallow. Overall, analyses indicate that 13.5 mg pemigatinib once daily in 21-day cycles (2 weeks on, 1 week off) offers a favorable benefit-risk profile in patients with advanced/metastatic or surgically unresectable CCA and is the optimal dose for clinical development.

Population Pharmacokinetic Modeling for Ceftazidime-Avibactam Renal Dose Adjustments in Pediatric Patients 3 months and Older.

Ceftazidime-avibactam is a novel ß-lactam/ß-lactamase inhibitor combination developed to treat serious Gram-negative bacterial infections; approved indications include complicated urinary tract infection, complicated intra-abdominal infection, and hospital-acquired pneumonia including ventilator-associated pneumonia in patients ≥ 3 months old. Because of the predominantly renal clearance of ceftazidime and avibactam, dose adjustments (reductions) are required for patients with estimated creatinine clearance (CrCL) ≤ 50 mL/min. We describe the application of combined adult and pediatric population pharmacokinetic models in developing ceftazidime-avibactam dose recommendations for pediatric patients ≥ 2 to < 18 years old with body surface area-normalized CrCL ≤ 50 mL/min/1.73 m2 , including moderate, severe, or very severe renal impairment, or end-stage renal disease requiring hemodialysis, and for patients ≥ 3 months to < 2 years old with mild, moderate, or severe renal impairment. Models included allometric scaling for all subjects and simulations (1,000 subjects per age group, renal function group, and indication) were performed nonparametrically using post hoc random effects. Doses were selected based on simulated pediatric patients achieving steady-state exposures similar to adults and high probability of target attainment (using a simultaneous joint target for both ceftazidime and avibactam). Because there were few children with renal impairment in the ceftazidime-avibactam clinical trials, selected pediatric doses were guided by extrapolation and matching of adult exposures associated with efficacy and within established safety margins. The recommended doses for pediatric patients with estimated CrCL ≤ 50 mL/min/1.73 m2 use equivalent adjustments in dose quantity and/or administration interval (vs. the corresponding age group with normal renal function) as those for adults.

Population Pharmacokinetic Modeling and Probability of Pharmacodynamic Target Attainment for Ceftazidime-Avibactam in Pediatric Patients Aged 3 Months and Older.

Increasing prevalence of infections caused by antimicrobial-resistant gram-negative bacteria represents a global health crisis, and while several novel therapies that target various aspects of antimicrobial resistance have been introduced in recent years, few are currently approved for children. Ceftazidime-avibactam is a novel ß-lactam ß-lactamase inhibitor combination approved for adults and children 3 months and older with complicated intra-abdominal infection, and complicated urinary tract infection or hospital-acquired ventilator-associated pneumonia (adults only in the United States) caused by susceptible gram-negative bacteria. Extensive population pharmacokinetic (PK) data sets for ceftazidime and avibactam obtained during the adult clinical development program were used to iteratively select, modify, and validate the approved adult dosage regimen (2,000-500 mg by 2-hour intravenous (IV) infusion every 8 hours (q8h), with adjustments for renal function). Following the completion of one phase I (NCT01893346) and two phase II ceftazidime-avibactam studies (NCT02475733 and NCT02497781) in children, adult PK data sets were updated with pediatric PK data. This paper describes the development of updated combined adult and pediatric population PK models and their application in characterizing the population PK of ceftazidime and avibactam in children, and in dose selection for further pediatric evaluation. The updated models supported the approval of ceftazidime-avibactam pediatric dosage regimens (all by 2-hour IV infusion) of 50-12.5 mg/kg (maximum 2,000-500 mg) q8h for those ≥6 months to 18 years old, and 40-10 mg/kg q8h for those ≥3 to 6 months old with creatinine clearance > 50 mL/min/1.73 m2 .

Pharmacokinetics and pharmacodynamics of Abelacimab (MAA868), a novel dual inhibitor of Factor XI and Factor XIa.

BACKGROUND: Factor XI (FXI) inhibition offers the promise of hemostasis-sparing anticoagulation for the prevention and treatment of thromboembolic events. Abelacimab (MAA868) is a novel fully human monoclonal antibody that targets the catalytic domain and has dual activity against the inactive zymogen Factor XI and the activated FXI. OBJECTIVES: To investigate the safety, pharmacokinetics (PK), and pharmacodynamics (PD) of single dose intravenous and multiple dose subcutaneous administration of abelacimab in healthy volunteers and patients with atrial fibrillation, respectively. PATIENTS/METHODS: In study ANT-003, healthy volunteers were administered single intravenous doses of abelacimab (30-150 mg) or placebo. The ANT-003 study also included a cohort of obese but otherwise healthy subjects. In study ANT-004, patients with atrial fibrillation were administered monthly subcutaneous doses of abelacimab (120 mg and 180 mg), or placebo, for 3 months. Key PK and PD parameters, including activated partial thromboplastin time (aPTT) and free FXI levels, as well as anti-drug antibodies (ADA) were assessed. RESULTS: Following intravenous administration of abelacimab, the terminal elimination half-life ranged from 25 to 30 days. One hour after the start of the intravenous infusion greater than 99% reductions in free FXI levels were observed. Following once monthly subcutaneous administration, marked reductions from baseline in free FXI levels were sustained. Parenteral administration of abelacimab demonstrated a favorable safety profile with no clinically relevant bleeding events. CONCLUSIONS: Intravenous and multiple subcutaneous dose administration of abelacimab were safe and well tolerated. The safety, PK, and PD data from these studies support the clinical development of abelacimab.

Zanamivir pharmacokinetics and pulmonary penetration into epithelial lining fluid following intravenous or oral inhaled administration to healthy adult subjects.

Zanamivir serum and pulmonary pharmacokinetics were characterized following intravenous (i.v.) or oral inhaled administration. I.v. zanamivir was given as intermittent doses of 100 mg, 200 mg, and 600 mg every 12 h (q12h) for two doses or as a continuous infusion (6-mg loading dose followed by 3 mg/h for 12 h). Oral inhaled zanamivir (two 5-mg inhalations q12h for two doses) was evaluated as well. Each zanamivir regimen was administered to six healthy subjects with serial pharmacokinetic sampling. In addition, a single bronchoalveolar lavage (BAL) fluid sample was collected at various time points and used to calculate epithelial lining fluid (ELF) drug concentrations for each subject. For intermittent i.v. administration of 100 mg, 200 mg, and 600 mg zanamivir, the median zanamivir concentrations in ELF collected 12 h after dosing were 74, 146, and 419 ng/ml, respectively, each higher than the historic mean 50% inhibitory concentrations for the neuraminidases of wild-type strains of influenza A and B viruses. Median ELF/serum zanamivir concentration ratios ranged from 55 to 79% for intermittent i.v. administration (when sampled 12 h after the last dose) and 43 to 45% for continuous infusion (when sampled 6 to 12 h after the start of the infusion). For oral inhaled zanamivir, the median zanamivir concentrations in ELF were 891 ng/ml for the first BAL fluid collection and 326 ng/ml for subsequent BAL fluid collections (when sampled 12 h after the last dose); corresponding serum drug concentrations were undetectable. This study demonstrates zanamivir's penetration into the human pulmonary compartment and supports the doses selected for the continuing development of i.v. zanamivir in clinical studies of influenza.

Probenecid inhibits SARS-CoV-2 replication in vivo and in vitro.

Effective vaccines are slowing the COVID-19 pandemic, but SARS-CoV-2 will likely remain an issue in the future making it important to have therapeutics to treat patients. There are few options for treating patients with COVID-19. We show probenecid potently blocks SARS-CoV-2 replication in mammalian cells and virus replication in a hamster model. Furthermore, we demonstrate that plasma concentrations up to 50-fold higher than the protein binding adjusted IC90 value are achievable for 24 h following a single oral dose. These data support the potential clinical utility of probenecid to control SARS-CoV-2 infection in humans.

Population pharmacokinetic and pharmacodynamic analysis in allergic diseases.

In this chapter, we introduce the concepts and methodologies of population analysis as applied to analyzing pharmacokinetic and pharmacodynamic data. One of the key determining characteristics of the population approach is that through it, one seeks not only to characterize deterministic trends in the data, but also to identify and estimate the magnitudes of the important sources of variability within the data. The first section of this chapter provides an introduction to the primary concepts of, and motivation for, population modeling by way of a hypothetical case study. Then, the various methodologies that have been employed throughout the history of population analysis are described in further detail. Of these, the most commonly employed today is nonlinear mixed-effects (NLME) modeling. Finally, notable examples of the application of population PK and PK/PD modeling to treatments for allergies and asthma are discussed. Population PK models have frequently been used to extrapolate exposures to special populations, such as pediatrics, as well as to optimize treatment regimens and trial designs for these populations. Population PK/PD models have most frequently been applied to analyzing and interpreting data from wheal and flare trials, but are also becoming increasingly important in the analysis of PD data from monoclonal antibodies.

Ceftazidime-Avibactam Population Pharmacokinetic Modeling and Pharmacodynamic Target Attainment Across Adult Indications and Patient Subgroups.

Ceftazidime-avibactam is a novel ß-lactam/ß-lactamase inhibitor combination for the treatment of serious infections caused by resistant gram-negative pathogens. Population pharmacokinetic (PopPK) models were built to incorporate pharmacokinetic (PK) data from five phase III trials in patients with complicated intra-abdominal infection (cIAI), complicated urinary tract infection (cUTI), or nosocomial (including ventilator-associated) pneumonia. Ceftazidime and avibactam pharmacokinetics were well-described by two-compartment disposition models, with creatinine clearance (CrCL) the key covariate determining clearance variability. Steady-state ceftazidime and avibactam exposure for most patient subgroups differed by ≤ 20% vs. healthy volunteers. Probability of PK/pharmacodynamic (PD) target attainment (free plasma ceftazidime > 8 mg/L and avibactam > 1 mg/L for ≥ 50% of dosing interval) was ≥ 94.9% in simulations for all patient subgroups, including indication and renal function categories. No exposure-microbiological response relationship was identified because target exposures were achieved in almost all patients. These modeling results support the approved ceftazidime-avibactam dosage regimens (2000-500 mg every 8 hours, adjusted for CrCL ≤ 50 mL/min).

A randomized, double blind, dose escalation, first time in human study to assess the safety, tolerability, pharmacokinetics, and antiviral activity of single doses of GSK2485852 in chronically infected hepatitis C subjects.

This first-time-in-human, randomized, double-blind, placebo-controlled, dose-escalation study assessed the safety, tolerability, pharmacokinetics, and antiviral activity of GSK2485852, a hepatitis C virus (HCV) NS5B inhibitor, in 27 chronically infected HCV genotype-1 subjects. Subjects received GSK2485852 70, 420, and 70 mg with a moderate fat/caloric meal. Safety, pharmacokinetics, antiviral activity, HCV genotype/phenotype, and interleukin 28B genotype were evaluated. A statistically significant reduction in HCV ribonucleic acid (RNA) was observed after a single dose of 420 mg GSK2485852 (-1.33 log10 IU/mL) compared with placebo (-0.09 log10 IU/mL) at 24 hours post-dose. Subjects receiving 70 mg GSK2485852 were exposed to concentrations above the protein-adjusted 90% effective concentration for a short time; none experienced a significant decline in HCV RNA (-0.47 log10 copies/mL). GSK2485852 was readily absorbed; however, the observed geometric mean maximum plasma concentration (Cmax ) and area under the curve (AUC) values were significantly lower than expected due to a higher-than-predicted-oral clearance. Co-administration with food reduced the AUC and Cmax of GSK2485852 by 40% and 70%, respectively. Two metabolites were detected in human blood with one having approximately 50% higher concentrations than those of the parent. GSK2485852 was well-tolerated and exhibited antiviral activity after a single 420 mg dose in HCV subjects.

Pharmacokinetic study of different dosing regimens of levonorgestrel for emergency contraception in healthy women.

BACKGROUND: Levonorgestrel (LNG) is a commonly used progestin for emergency contraception; however, little is known about its pharmacokinetics and optimal dose for use. METHODS: Serum levels of LNG and sex hormone-binding globulin (SHBG) were measured in five women who received three different regimens: A: 0.75 mg LNG twice with a 12 h interval; B: 0.75 mg twice with a 24 h interval; and C: 1.50 mg in a single dose, with a washout period of 28 days between each treatment. Blood samples were taken before pill intake and at 1, 2, 4, 8 and 12 h after each dose, every 12 h up to day 4 and every 24 h until day 10. LNG and SHBG were measured in all samples. RESULTS: Maximum LNG concentrations were of approximately 27 nmol/l for treatments A and B, and close to 40 nmol/l for treatment C. The area under the curve was significantly higher for treatment C during the first 12 h, and significantly lower for treatment B during the first 24 h. After 48 h and up to 9 days from onset of treatment, serum LNG levels were similar in all three regimens. SHBG levels remained stable for 24 h, decreasing to 60% of the initial value from day 5 until day 10, with no difference between regimens. CONCLUSIONS: The similarity of LNG serum levels obtained with one single dose of 1.5 mg or two doses of 0.75 mg with a 12 h interval justify a clinical comparison of these two regimes.