ANGPTL3 Deficiency and Risk of Hepatic Steatosis.

BACKGROUND: ANGPTL3 (angiopoietin-like 3) is a therapeutic target for reducing plasma levels of triglycerides and low-density lipoprotein cholesterol. A recent trial with vupanorsen, an antisense oligonucleotide targeting hepatic production of ANGPTL3, reported a dose-dependent increase in hepatic fat. It is unclear whether this adverse effect is due to an on-target effect of inhibiting hepatic ANGPTL3. METHODS: We recruited participants with ANGPTL3 deficiency related to ANGPTL3 loss-of-function (LoF) mutations, along with wild-type (WT) participants from 2 previously characterized cohorts located in Campodimele, Italy, and St. Louis, MO. Magnetic resonance spectroscopy and magnetic resonance proton density fat fraction were performed to measure hepatic fat fraction and the distribution of extrahepatic fat. To estimate the causal relationship between ANGPTL3 and hepatic fat, we generated a genetic instrument of plasma ANGPTL3 levels as a surrogate for hepatic protein synthesis and performed Mendelian randomization analyses with hepatic fat in the UK Biobank study. RESULTS: We recruited participants with complete (n=6) or partial (n=32) ANGPTL3 deficiency related to ANGPTL3 LoF mutations, as well as WT participants (n=92) without LoF mutations. Participants with ANGPTL3 deficiency exhibited significantly lower total cholesterol (complete deficiency, 78.5 mg/dL; partial deficiency, 172 mg/dL; WT, 188 mg/dL; P<0.05 for both deficiency groups compared with WT), along with plasma triglycerides (complete deficiency, 26 mg/dL; partial deficiency, 79 mg/dL; WT, 88 mg/dL; P<0.05 for both deficiency groups compared with WT) without any significant difference in hepatic fat (complete deficiency, 9.8%; partial deficiency, 10.1%; WT, 9.9%; P>0.05 for both deficiency groups compared with WT) or severity of hepatic steatosis as assessed by magnetic resonance imaging. In addition, ANGPTL3 deficiency did not alter the distribution of extrahepatic fat. Results from Mendelian randomization analyses in 36 703 participants from the UK Biobank demonstrated that genetically determined ANGPTL3 plasma protein levels were causally associated with low-density lipoprotein cholesterol (P=1.7×10-17) and triglycerides (P=3.2×10-18) but not with hepatic fat (P=0.22). CONCLUSIONS: ANGPTL3 deficiency related to LoF mutations in ANGPTL3, as well as genetically determined reduction of plasma ANGPTL3 levels, is not associated with hepatic steatosis. Therapeutic approaches to inhibit ANGPTL3 production in hepatocytes are not necessarily expected to result in the increased risk for hepatic steatosis that was observed with vupanorsen.

Serum Neurofilament Light Chain and Glial Fibrillary Acidic Protein as Potential Diagnostic Biomarkers in Autism Spectrum Disorders: A Preliminary Study.

Autism spectrum disorder (ASD) is one of the most common neurodevelopment disorders, characterized by a multifactorial etiology based on the interaction of genetic and environmental factors. Recent evidence supports the neurobiological hypothesis based on neuroinflammation theory. To date, there are no sufficiently validated diagnostic and prognostic biomarkers for ASD. Therefore, we decided to investigate the potential diagnostic role for ASD of two biomarkers well known for other neurological inflammatory conditions: the glial fibrillary acidic protein (GFAP) and the neurofilament (Nfl). Nfl and GFAP serum levels were analyzed using SiMoA technology in a group of ASD patients and in a healthy control group (CTRS), age- and gender-matched. Then we investigated the distribution, frequency, and correlation between serum Nfl and GFAP levels and clinical data among the ASD group. The comparison of Nfl and GFAP serum levels between ASD children and the control group showed a mean value of these two markers significantly higher in the ASD group (sNfL mean value ASD pt 6.86 pg/mL median value ASD pt 5.7 pg/mL; mean value CTRS 3.55 pg/mL; median value CTRS 3.1 pg; GFAP mean value ASD pt 205.7 pg/mL median value ASD pt 155.4 pg/mL; mean value CTRS 77.12 pg/mL; median value CTRS 63.94 pg/mL). Interestingly, we also found a statistically significant positive correlation between GFAP levels and hyperactivity symptoms (p-value <0.001). Further investigations using larger groups are necessary to confirm our data and to verify in more depth the potential correlation between these biomarkers and ASD clinical features, such as the severity of the core symptoms, the presence of associated symptoms, and/or the evaluation of a therapeutic intervention. However, these data not only might shed a light on the neurobiology of ASD, supporting the neuroinflammation and neurodegeneration hypothesis, but they also might support the use of these biomarkers in the early diagnosis of ASD, to longitudinally monitor the disease activity, and even more as future prognostic biomarkers.

HbA1c variability predicts cardiovascular complications in type 2 diabetes regardless of being at glycemic target.

BACKGROUND: HbA1c variability has emerged as risk factor for cardiovascular diseases in diabetes. However, the impact of HbA1c variability on cardiovascular diseases in subjects within the recommended HbA1c target has been relatively unexplored. METHODS: Using data from a large database, we studied 101,533 people with type 2 diabetes without cardiovascular diseases. HbA1c variability was expressed as quartiles of the standard deviation of HbA1c during three years (exposure phase). The primary composite outcome included non-fatal myocardial infarction, non-fatal stroke, all-cause mortality and was assessed during five years following the first three years of exposure to HbA1c variability (longitudinal phase). An expanded composite outcome including non-fatal myocardial infarction, non-fatal stroke, coronary revascularization/reperfusion procedures, peripheral revascularization procedures, and all-cause mortality was also considered, as well as a series of specific cardiovascular complications. Cox models were adjusted for a large range of risk factors and results were expressed as adjusted hazard ratios. RESULTS: An association between HbA1c variability and all the outcomes considered was found. The correlation between HbA1c variability and cardiovascular complications development was confirmed in both the subgroups of subjects with a mean HbA1c ≤ 53 mmol/mol (recommended HbA1c target) or > 53 mmol/mol during the exposure phase. The risk related to HbA1c variability was higher in people with mean HbA1c ≤ 53 mmol/mol for the primary outcome (p for interaction 0.004), for the expanded secondary outcome (p for interaction 0.001) and for the stroke (p for interaction 0.001), even though HbA1c remained at the target during the follow-up. CONCLUSIONS: These findings suggest that HbA1c variability may provide additional information for an optimized management of diabetes, particularly in people within the target of HbA1c.

Towards a validated definition of the clinical transition to secondary progressive multiple sclerosis: A study from the Italian MS Register.

BACKGROUND: Definitions for reliable identification of transition from relapsing-remitting multiple sclerosis (MS) to secondary progressive (SP)MS in clinical cohorts are not available. OBJECTIVES: To compare diagnostic performances of two different data-driven SPMS definitions. METHODS: Data-driven SPMS definitions based on a version of Lorscheider's algorithm (DDA) and on the EXPAND trial inclusion criteria were compared, using the neurologist's definition (ND) as gold standard, in terms of sensitivity, specificity, positive predictive value (PPV), negative predictive value (NPV), Akaike information criterion (AIC) and area under the curve (AUC). RESULTS: A cohort of 10,240 MS patients with ⩾5 years of follow-up was extracted from the Italian MS Registry; 880 (8.5%) patients were classified as SPMS according to the neurologist definition, 1806 (17.6%) applying the DDA and 1134 (11.0%) with the EXPAND definition. The DDA showed greater discrimination power (AUC: 0.8 vs 0.6) and a higher sensitivity (77.1% vs 38.0%) than the EXPAND definition, with similar specificity (88.0% vs 91.5%). PPV and NPV were higher using the DDA than considering EXPAND definition (37.5% vs 29.5%; 97.6% vs 94.0%). CONCLUSION: Data-driven definitions demonstrated greater ability to capture SP transition than neurologist's definition and the global accuracy of DDA seems to be higher than the EXPAND definition.

Variability in body weight and the risk of cardiovascular complications in type 2 diabetes: results from the Swedish National Diabetes Register.

BACKGROUND: There is a high incidence of cardiovascular disease in diabetes. Weight variability has been reported as independent risk factor for cardiovascular disease in the general population and preliminarily also in people with type 2 diabetes. METHODS: Using data from the Swedish National Diabetes Register the possible link between visit-to-visit body weight variability and the risk of cardiovascular complications among people with type 2 diabetes and without prevalent cardiovascular diseases at baseline has been evaluated. Overall, 100,576 people with type 2 diabetes, with at least five measurements of body weight taken over three consecutive years, were included. Variability was expressed as quartiles of the standard deviation of the measures during the three years. The primary composite outcome included non-fatal myocardial infarction, non-fatal stroke, and all-cause mortality and was assessed during five years following the first 3 years of exposure to weight variability. RESULTS: After adjusting for known cardiovascular risk factors, the risk of the primary composite outcome significantly increased with increasing body weight variability [upper quartile HR = 1.45; 95% confidence interval 1.39-1.52]. Furthermore, elevated body weight variability was associated with almost all the other cardiovascular complications considered (non-fatal myocardial infarction, non-fatal stroke, all-cause mortality, peripheral arterial disease, peripheral vascular angioplasty, hospitalization for heart failure, foot ulcer, and all-cause mortality). CONCLUSIONS: High body weight variability predicts the development of cardiovascular complications in type 2 diabetes. These data suggest that any strategy to reduce the body weight in these subjects should be aimed at maintaining the reduction in the long-term, avoiding oscillations.

Early treatment delays long-term disability accrual in RRMS: Results from the BMSD network.

BACKGROUND: The optimal timing of treatment starts for achieving the best control on the long-term disability accumulation in multiple sclerosis (MS) is still to be defined. OBJECTIVE: The aim of this study was to estimate the optimal time to start disease-modifying therapies (DMTs) to prevent the long-term disability accumulation in MS, using a pooled dataset from the Big Multiple Sclerosis Data (BMSD) network. METHODS: Multivariable Cox regression models adjusted for the time to first treatment start from disease onset (in quintiles) were used. To mitigate the impact of potential biases, a set of pairwise propensity score (PS)-matched analyses were performed. The first quintile, including patients treated within 1.2 years from onset, was used as reference. RESULTS: A cohort of 11,871 patients (median follow-up after treatment start: 13.2 years) was analyzed. A 3- and 12-month confirmed disability worsening event and irreversible Expanded Disability Status Scale (EDSS) 4.0 and 6.0 scores were reached by 7062 (59.5%), 4138 (34.9%), 3209 (31.1%), and 1909 (16.5%) patients, respectively. The risk of reaching all the disability outcomes was significantly lower (p < 0.0004) for the first quintile patients' group. CONCLUSION: Real-world data from the BMSD demonstrate that DMTs should be commenced within 1.2 years from the disease onset to reduce the risk of disability accumulation over the long term.

Transition to secondary progression in relapsing-onset multiple sclerosis: Definitions and risk factors.

BACKGROUND: No uniform criteria for a sensitive identification of the transition from relapsing-remitting multiple sclerosis (MS) to secondary-progressive multiple sclerosis (SPMS) are available. OBJECTIVE: To compare risk factors of SPMS using two definitions: one based on the neurologist judgment (ND) and an objective data-driven algorithm (DDA). METHODS: Relapsing-onset MS patients (n = 19,318) were extracted from the Italian MS Registry. Risk factors for SPMS and for reaching irreversible Expanded Disability Status Scale (EDSS) 6.0, after SP transition, were estimated using multivariable Cox regression models. RESULTS: SPMS identified by the DDA (n = 2343, 12.1%) were older, more disabled and with a faster progression to severe disability (p < 0.0001), than those identified by the ND (n = 3868, 20.0%). In both groups, the most consistent risk factors (p < 0.05) for SPMS were a multifocal onset, an age at onset >40 years, higher baseline EDSS score and a higher number of relapses; the most consistent protective factor was the disease-modifying therapy (DMT) exposure. DMT exposure during SP did not impact the risk of reaching irreversible EDSS 6.0. CONCLUSION: A DDA definition of SPMS identifies more aggressive progressive patients. DMT exposure reduces the risk of SPMS conversion, but it does not prevent the disability accumulation after the SP transition.

Disease-modifying drugs can reduce disability progression in relapsing multiple sclerosis.

An ever-expanding number of disease-modifying drugs for multiple sclerosis have become available in recent years, after demonstrating efficacy in clinical trials. In the real-world setting, however, disease-modifying drugs are prescribed in patient populations that differ from those included in pivotal studies, where extreme age patients are usually excluded or under-represented. In this multicentre, observational, retrospective Italian cohort study, we evaluated treatment exposure in three cohorts of patients with relapsing-remitting multiple sclerosis defined by age at onset: paediatric-onset (≤18 years), adult-onset (18-49 years) and late-onset multiple sclerosis (≥50 years). We included patients with a relapsing-remitting phenotype, ≥5 years follow-up, ≥3 Expanded Disability Status Scale (EDSS) evaluations and a first neurological evaluation within 3 years from the first demyelinating event. Multivariate Cox regression models (adjusted hazard ratio with 95% confidence intervals) were used to assess the risk of reaching a first 12-month confirmed disability worsening and the risk of reaching a sustained EDSS of 4.0. The effect of disease-modifying drugs was assessed as quartiles of time exposure. We found that disease-modifying drugs reduced the risk of 12-month confirmed disability worsening, with a progressive risk reduction in different quartiles of exposure in paediatric-onset and adult-onset patients [adjusted hazard ratios in non-exposed versus exposed >62% of the follow-up time: 8.0 (3.5-17.9) for paediatric-onset and 6.3 (4.9-8.0) for adult-onset, P < 0.0001] showing a trend in late-onset patients [adjusted hazard ratio = 1.9 (0.9-4.1), P = 0.07]. These results were confirmed for a sustained EDSS score of 4.0. We also found that relapses were a risk factor for 12-month confirmed disability worsening in all three cohorts, and female sex exerted a protective role in the late-onset cohort. This study provides evidence that sustained exposure to disease-modifying drugs decreases the risk of disability accumulation, seemingly in a dose-dependent manner. It confirms that the effectiveness of disease-modifying drugs is lower in late-onset patients, although still detectable.

Effects of weight loss medications on mortality and cardiovascular events: A systematic review of randomized controlled trials in adults with overweight and obesity.

AIMS: Adults affected by obesity are at higher risk of premature mortality. Medications can help to lose weight and to maintain weight loss. Aim of this meta-analysis was to assess whether anti-obesity medications affect all-cause mortality, mortality due to cardiovascular events, cardiovascular risk factors and body weight. DATA SYNTHESIS: A Medline search was performed to identify randomized controlled trials (RCTs) of anti-obesity medications in adults with overweight or obesity reporting data on all-cause mortality, cardiovascular mortality or non-fatal cardiovascular events, with a follow-up of at least 6 months. We identified 28 RCTs with 50,106 participants. The median follow-up was 52 weeks. Evidence did not show superiority of anti-obesity medications over placebo in reducing all-cause mortality (risk ratio 1.03, 95%Confidence Interval [CI] 0.87 to 1.21) or cardiovascular mortality (risk ratio 0.92, 95%CI 0.72 to 1.18). All-cause mortality rate was positively associated with weight loss (ß = 0.0007; p = 0.045); hence, for each kg of body weight lost there was a 0.07% decrease of all-cause mortality. The pharmacological treatment reduced total-cholesterol (7.15 mg/dl; 95%CI 1.46-12.85), LDL-cholesterol (5.06 mg/dl; 95%CI 1.12-9.00), and triglycerides levels (9.88 mg/dl; 95%CI 5.02-14.75), while it increased HDL-cholesterol (1.37 mg/dl; 95%CI 0.17-2.57). Systolic blood pressure decreased (0.90 mmHg; 95%CI 0.15-1.64). CONCLUSIONS: Although we were unable to demonstrate a superiority of anti-obesity medications over placebo on mortality, metaregression showed that even a small weight reduction tends to reduce all-cause mortality in obesity. Our data support public health measures to reduce the obesity burden by including the use of anti-obesity medications. REGISTRATION NUMBER (PROSPERO): CRD42020210329.

Impact of severe and symptomatic hypoglycemia on quality of life and fear of hypoglycemia in type 1 and type 2 diabetes. Results of the Hypos-1 observational study.

BACKGROUND AND AIMS: Hypoglycemia represents a relevant burden in people with diabetes. Consequences of hypoglycemia/fear of hypoglycemia on quality of life (QoL) and behaviors of patients with T1DM and T2DM were assessed. METHODS AND RESULTS: HYPOS-1 was an observational retrospective study. Fear of hypoglycemia (Fear of Hypoglycemia Questionnaire, FHQ), general health status (visual analog scale of EuroQol questionnaire, EQ5D-VAS) psychological well-being (WHO-5 well being index, WHO-5), diabetes related distress (Problem Areas in Diabetes 5, PAID-5), and corrective/preventive behaviors following hypoglycemia were compared between people with and without previous experience of severe and symptomatic hypoglycemia and by tertiles of FHQ scores. A multivariate analysis was performed to identify factors associated with the likelihood of being in the third tertile of FHQ score. Overall, 2229 patients were involved. Severe hypoglycemia had statistically significant and clinically relevant (measured as effect sizes) negative impact on EQ5D-VAS, WHO-5, PAID-5, and FHQ both in T1DM and T2DM. In T2DM, symptomatic episodes had similar impact of severe hypoglycemia. Moving from the first to the third FHQ tertile, lower scores of EQ-5D VAS and WHO-5, and higher levels of PAID-5 were found. Patients in the third tertile performed more frequently corrective/preventive actions that negatively impact on metabolic control. Previous hypoglycemia, insulin treatment, female gender, age, and school education were the independent factors associated with increased likelihood to be in the third tertile. CONCLUSION: Not only severe but also symptomatic hypoglycemia negatively affect patient QoL, especially in T2DM. Addressing fear of hypoglycemia should be a goal of diabetes education.

The Long-Term Impact of Renin-Angiotensin System (RAS) Inhibition on Cardiorenal Outcomes (LIRICO): A Randomized, Controlled Trial.

BACKGROUND: The comparative effectiveness of treatment with angiotensin-converting enzyme (ACE) inhibitors, angiotensin receptor blockers (ARBs), or their combination in people with albuminuria and cardiovascular risk factors is unclear. METHODS: In a multicenter, randomized, open label, blinded end point trial, we evaluated the effectiveness on cardiovascular events of ACE or ARB monotherapy or combination therapy, targeting BP<130/80 in patients with moderate or severe albuminuria and diabetes or other cardiovascular risk factors. End points included a primary composite of cardiovascular death, nonfatal myocardial infarction, nonfatal stroke, and hospitalization for cardiovascular causes and a revised end point of all-cause mortality. Additional end points included ESRD, doubling of serum creatinine, albuminuria, eGFR, BP, and adverse events. RESULTS: Because of slow enrollment, the trial was modified and stopped 41% short of targeted enrollment of 2100 participants, corresponding to 35% power to detect a 25% reduced risk in the primary outcome. Our analysis included 1243 adults, with median follow-up of 2.7 years. Efficacy outcomes were similar between groups (ACE inhibitor versus ARB, ACE inhibitor versus combination, ARB versus combination) as were rates of serious adverse events. The rate of permanent discontinuation for ARB monotherapy (6.3%) was significantly lower than for ACE inhibitor monotherapy (15.7%) or combined therapy (18.3%). CONCLUSIONS: Patients may tolerate ARB monotherapy better than ACE inhibitor monotherapy. However, data from this trial and similar trials, although as yet inconclusive, show no trend suggesting differences in mortality and renal outcomes with ACE inhibitors or ARBs as dual or monotherapy in patients with albuminuria and diabetes or other cardiovascular risk factors.

Effect of a Behavioral Intervention Strategy on Sustained Change in Physical Activity and Sedentary Behavior in Patients With Type 2 Diabetes: The IDES_2 Randomized Clinical Trial.

Importance: There is no definitive evidence that changes in physical activity/sedentary behavior can be maintained long term in individuals with type 2 diabetes. Objective: To investigate whether a behavioral intervention strategy can produce a sustained increase in physical activity and reduction in sedentary time among individuals with type 2 diabetes. Design, Setting, and Participants: The Italian Diabetes and Exercise Study 2 was an open-label, assessor-blinded, randomized clinical superiority trial, with recruitment from October 2012 to February 2014 and follow-up until February 2017. In 3 outpatient diabetes clinics in Rome, 300 physically inactive and sedentary patients with type 2 diabetes were randomized 1:1 (stratified by center, age, and diabetes treatment) to receive a behavioral intervention or standard care for 3 years. Interventions: All participants received usual care targeted to meet American Diabetes Association guideline recommendations. Participants in the behavioral intervention group (n = 150) received 1 individual theoretical counseling session and 8 individual biweekly theoretical and practical counseling sessions each year. Participants in the standard care group (n = 150) received only general physician recommendations. Main Outcomes and Measures: Co-primary end points were sustained change in physical activity volume, time spent in light-intensity and moderate- to vigorous-intensity physical activity, and sedentary time, measured by an accelerometer. Results: Of the 300 randomized participants (mean [SD] age, 61.6 [8.5] years; 116 women [38.7%]), 267 completed the study (133 in the behavioral intervention group and 134 in the standard care group). Median follow-up was 3.0 years. Participants in the behavioral intervention and standard care groups accumulated, respectively, 13.8 vs 10.5 metabolic equivalent-h/wk of physical activity volume (difference, 3.3 [95% CI, 2.2-4.4]; P < .001), 18.9 vs 12.5 min/dof moderate- to vigorous-intensity physical activity (difference, 6.4 [95% CI, 5.0-7.8]; P < .001), 4.6 vs 3.8 h/d of light-intensity physical activity (difference, 0.8 [95% CI, 0.5-1.1]; P < .001), and 10.9 vs 11.7 h/d of sedentary time (difference, -0.8 [95% CI, -1.0 to -0.5]; P < .001). Significant between-group differences were maintained throughout the study, but the between-group difference in moderate- to vigorous-intensity physical activity decreased during the third year from 6.5 to 3.6 min/d. There were 41 adverse events in the behavioral intervention group and 59 in the standard care group outside of the sessions; participants in the behavioral intervention group experienced 30 adverse events during the sessions (most commonly musculoskeletal injury/discomfort and mild hypoglycemia). Conclusions and Relevance: Among patients with type 2 diabetes at 3 diabetes clinics in Rome who were followed up for 3 years, a behavioral intervention strategy compared with standard care resulted in a sustained increase in physical activity and decrease in sedentary time. Further research is needed to assess the generalizability of these findings. Trial Registration: ClinicalTrials.gov Identifier: NCT01600937.

Prognostic indicators in pediatric clinically isolated syndrome.

OBJECTIVE: To assess prognostic factors for a second clinical attack and a first disability-worsening event in pediatric clinically isolated syndrome (pCIS) suggestive of multiple sclerosis (MS) patients. METHODS: A cohort of 770 pCIS patients was followed up for at least 10 years. Cox proportional hazard models and Recursive Partitioning and Amalgamation (RECPAM) tree-regression were used to analyze data. RESULTS: In pCIS, female sex and a multifocal onset were risk factors for a second clinical attack (hazard ratio [HR], 95% confidence interval [CI] = 1.28, 1.06-1.55; 1.42, 1.10-1.84, respectively), whereas disease-modifying drug (DMD) exposure reduced this risk (HR, 95% CI = 0.75, 0.60-0.95). After pediatric onset MS (POMS) diagnosis, age at onset younger than 15 years and DMD exposure decreased the risk of a first Expanded Disability Status Scale (EDSS)-worsening event (HR, 95% CI = 0.59, 0.42-0.83; 0.75, 0.71-0.80, respectively), whereas the occurrence of relapse increased this risk (HR, 95% CI = 5.08, 3.46-7.46). An exploratory RECPAM analysis highlighted a significantly higher incidence of a first EDSS-worsening event in patients with multifocal or isolated spinal cord or optic neuritis involvement at onset in comparison to those with an isolated supratentorial or brainstem syndrome. A Cox regression model including RECPAM classes confirmed DMD exposure as the most protective factor against EDSS-worsening events and relapses as the most important risk factor for attaining EDSS worsening. INTERPRETATION: This work represents a step forward in identifying predictors of unfavorable course in pCIS and POMS and supports a protective effect of early DMD treatment in preventing MS development and disability accumulation in this population. Ann Neurol 2017;81:729-739.

Liraglutide and cardiovascular outcomes in a real world type 2 diabetes cohort.

In the last years, due to new regulatory guidelines requiring a stringent documentation of cardiovascular (CV) safety of novel drugs for type 2 diabetes, cardiovascular outcomes safety trials (CVOTs) are requested. CVOTs increase the knowledge about the safety profile of the new drugs, but they have intrinsic limits that make difficult their transferability to clinical practice. For this reason, real world evidence is considered an important complement to experimental data. Among the glucagon-like peptide-1 receptor agonists, liraglutide in the LEADER CVOT demonstrated superiority in reducing the risk of major CV events (MACEs) vs. placebo. We conducted an observational, retrospective, longitudinal study based on 307 patients with T2DM treated with liraglutide under routine clinical practice conditions. Real world impact of liraglutide on metabolic control, CV risk factors, hypoglycemia and CV events was assessed. Improvements during 36 months were found in HbA1c (-1.0%; p < 0.0001), fasting blood glucose (-17.6 mg/dL; p < 0.0001), body weight (-3.2 kg; p < 0.0001), waist circumference (-1.45 cm; p = 0.004), systolic blood pressure (-10.41 mmHg; p < 0.0001), diastolic blood pressure (-3.69 mmHg; p < 0.0001), total cholesterol (-7.96 mg/dL; p =0.008) and triglycerides (-20.60 mg/dl; p = 0.01). No severe hypoglycemia occurred. Incidence of MACEs in this cohort was lower than in the LEADER study (2.59 vs. 3.4 events per 100 person-years), confirming CV safety of liraglutide even in the real world. On the other hand, a higher incidence of CV event in patients with established CV disease was documented (8.1 events per 100 person-years), in spite of the use of liraglutide. In conclusion, 36-month durability and CV safety of liraglutide were documented in a real world cohort of T2DM patients, with sustained benefits on a large array of CV risk factors.

Development of the Platelet Efficacy Score (PEscore) to predict the efficacy of platelet transfusion in oncohematologic patients.

BACKGROUND: Despite the prophylactic use of platelet transfusion, hemorrhagic complications still represent an important cause of morbidity and mortality in patients with hematologic malignancies. Patient-related factors and characteristics of the transfused product can affect transfusion efficacy. STUDY DESIGN AND METHODS: The aim of this study was to develop and validate the Platelet Efficacy Score (PEscore), based on patient and product characteristics, to predict the likelihood of a satisfactory platelet transfusion (absolute increment ≥10.5 × 109 /L). This study utilized data relative to 16,265 platelet transfusions performed in 1592 oncohematologic patients. The whole sample was divided into two random samples: a training set, in which different patient-related and transfusion-related characteristics were included in a predictive model to develop the PEscore; and a validation set, in which the predictive properties of the PEscore were confirmed. In the training set, multilevel logistic regression analysis was performed in which the likelihood of attaining a satisfactory transfusion was modeled. RESULTS: The predictive score ranged between 0 and 30. Predictive properties of the PEscore were confirmed by the observed rates of satisfactory transfusions in the validation sample; the probability of a satisfactory transfusion was less than 10% for a score less than 12 and exceeded 50% if the score was 22 or higher. The likelihood of a satisfactory transfusion increased by 29% for a 1-unit increase in the PEscore (odds ratio, 1.29; 95% confidence interval, 1.27-1.31). CONCLUSION: The availability of a prediction score can increase transfusion efficacy, help the transfusion medicine specialist in the choice of the best product for the individual patient, and avoid waste of resources.

Variability in HbA1c, blood pressure, lipid parameters and serum uric acid, and risk of development of chronic kidney disease in type 2 diabetes.

AIM: Variability in HbA1c and blood pressure is associated with the risk of diabetic kidney disease (DKD). No evidence exists on the role of variability in lipids or serum uric acid (UA), or the interplay between the variability of different parameters, in renal outcomes. METHODS: Within the AMD Annals database, we identified patients with ≥5 measurements of HbA1c, systolic blood pressure (SBP) and diastolic blood pressure (DBP), total-, high-density lipoprotein (HDL)- and low-density lipoprotein (LDL)-cholesterol, triglycerides, and UA. Patients were followed-up for up to 5 years. The impact of measures of variability on the risk of DKD was investigated by Cox regression analysis and recursive partitioning techniques. RESULTS: Four-thousand, two-hundred and thirty-one patients were evaluated for development of albuminuria, and 7560 for decreased estimated glomerular filtration rate (eGFR; <60 mL/min/1.73 m2 ). A significantly higher risk of developing albuminuria was associated with variability in HbA1c [upper quartile hazard ratio (HR) = 1.3; 95% confidence interval (CI) 1.1-1.6]. Variability in SBP, DBP, HDL-C, LDL-C and UA predicted the decline in eGFR, the association with UA variability being particularly strong (upper quartile HR = 1.8; 95% CI 1.3-2.4). The concomitance of high variability in HbA1c and HDL-C conferred the highest risk of developing albuminuria (HR = 1.47; 95% CI 1.17-1.84), while a high variability in UA (HR = 1.54; 95% CI 1.19-1.99) or DBP (HR = 1.47; 95% CI 1.11-1.94) conferred the highest risk of decline in eGFR. CONCLUSION: The variability of several parameters influences the development of DKD, having a different impact on albuminuria development and on the decline in GFR.

The complex interplay between clinical and person-centered diabetes outcomes in the two genders.

BACKGROUND: New approaches to cope with clinical and psychosocial aspects of type 2 diabetes (T2DM) are needed; gender influences the complex interplay between clinical and non-clinical factors. We used data from the BENCH-D study to assess gender-differences in terms of clinical and person-centered measures in T2DM. METHODS: Clinical quality of care indicators relative to control of HbA1c, lipid profile, blood pressure, and BMI were derived from electronic medical records. Ten self-administered validated questionnaires (SF-12 Health Survey; WHO-5 well-being index; Problem Areas in Diabetes (PAID) 5, Health Care Climate Questionnaire, Patients Assessment of Chronic Illness Care, Diabetes Empowerment Scale, Diabetes Self-care Activities, Global Satisfaction for Diabetes Treatment, Barriers to Taking Medications, Perceived Social Support) were adopted as person-centered outcomes indicators. RESULTS: Overall, 26 diabetes clinics enrolled 2,335 people (men: 59.7%; women: 40.3%). Lower percentages of women reached HbA1c levels < =7.0% (23.2% vs. 27.8%; p = 0.03), LDL-cholesterol < 100 mg/dl (48.3 vs. 57.8%; p = 0.0005), and BMI <27 Kg/m2 (27.2 vs. 31.6%; p = 0.04) than men. Women had statistically significant poorer scores for physical functioning, psychological well-being, self-care activities dedicated to physical activities, empowerment, diabetes-related distress, satisfaction with treatment, barriers to medication taking, satisfaction with access to chronic care and healthcare communication, and perceived social support than men; 24.8% of women and 8.8% of men had WHO-5 < =28 (likely depression) (p < 0.0001); 67.7% of women and 55.1% of men had PAID-5 > 40 (high levels of diabetes-related distress) (p < 0.0001). At multivariate analysis, factors associated with an increased likelihood of having elevated HbA1c levels (≥8.0%) were different in men and women, e.g. having PAID-5 levels >40 was associated with a higher likelihood of HbA1c ≥8.0% in women (OR = 1.15; 95%CI 1.05-1.25) but not in men (OR = 1.00; 95%CI 0.93-1.08). CONCLUSIONS: In T2DM, women show poorer clinical and person-centered outcomes indicators than men. Diabetes-related distress plays a role as a correlate of metabolic control in women but not in men. The study provides new information about the interplay between clinical and person-centered indicators in men and women which may guide further improvements in diabetes education and support programs.

Fingolimod versus interferon beta/glatiramer acetate after natalizumab suspension in multiple sclerosis.

The comparative effectiveness of fingolimod versus interferon beta/glatiramer acetate was assessed in a multicentre, observational, prospectively acquired cohort study including 613 patients with relapsing multiple sclerosis discontinuing natalizumab in the Italian iMedWeb registry. First, after natalizumab suspension, the relapse risk during the untreated wash-out period and during the course of switch therapies was estimated through Poisson regression analyses in separated models. During the wash-out period an increased risk of relapses was found in patients with a higher number of relapses before natalizumab treatment (incidence rate ratio = 1.31, P = 0.0014) and in patients discontinuing natalizumab due to lack of efficacy (incidence rate ratio = 2.33, P = 0.0288), patient's choice (incidence rate ratio = 2.18, P = 0.0064) and adverse events (incidence rate ratio = 2.09, P = 0.0084). The strongest independent factors influencing the relapse risk after the start of switch therapies were a wash-out duration longer than 3 months (incidence rate ratio = 1.78, P < 0.0001), the number of relapses experienced during and before natalizumab treatment (incidence rate ratio = 1.61, P < 0.0001; incidence rate ratio = 1.13, P = 0.0118, respectively) and the presence of comorbidities (incidence rate ratio = 1.4, P = 0.0097). Switching to fingolimod was associated with a 64% reduction of the adjusted-risk for relapse in comparison with switching to interferon beta/glatiramer acetate (incidence rate ratio = 0.36, P < 0.0001). Secondly, patients who switched to fingolimod or to interferon beta/glatiramer acetate were propensity score-matched on a 1-to-1 basis at the switching date. In the propensity score-matched sample a Poisson model showed a significant lower incidence of relapses in patients treated with fingolimod in comparison with those treated with interferon beta/glatiramer acetate (incidence rate ratio = 0.52, P = 0.0003) during a 12-month follow-up. The cumulative probability of a first relapse after the treatment switch was significantly lower in patients receiving fingolimod than in those receiving interferon beta/glatiramer acetate (P = 0.028). The robustness of this result was also confirmed by sensitivity analyses in subgroups with different wash-out durations (less or more than 3 months). Time to 3-month confirmed disability progression was not significantly different between the two groups (Hazard ratio = 0.58; P = 0.1931). Our results indicate a superiority of fingolimod in comparison to interferon beta/glatiramer acetate in controlling disease reactivation after natalizumab discontinuation in the real life setting.

The long-term effects of stillbirth on women with and without gestational diabetes: a population-based cohort study.

AIMS/HYPOTHESIS: The aim of this study was to estimate the incidence of type 2 diabetes (primary objective) and hospitalisation for cardiovascular events (secondary objective) in women with previous gestational diabetes mellitus (GDM) and in those with normal glucose tolerance (NGT) in pregnancy, and to evaluate the role of stillbirth in differentiating the risks. METHODS: This was a population-based cohort study using administrative data and involving 12 local health authorities. Women with GDM (n = 3,851) during the index period from 2002 to 2010 were propensity matched with women with NGT (n = 11,553). Information was collected on type 2 diabetes development and hospitalisation for cardiovascular events. RESULTS: During a median follow-up of 5.4 years, the incidence rate per 1,000 person-years of type 2 diabetes was 2.1 (95% CI 1.8, 2.5) in women without GDM and 54.0 (95% CI 50.2, 58.0) among women with GDM and pregnancy at term (incidence rate ratio [IRR] 26.9; 95% CI 22.1, 32.7 compared with NGT and pregnancy at term). A history of stillbirth increased the risk of type 2 diabetes development by about twofold, irrespective of GDM status. No significant interaction between stillbirth and GDM on type 2 diabetes risk was found. GDM was associated with a significantly higher risk of cardiovascular events compared with NGT (IRR 2.4; 95% CI 1.5, 3.8). CONCLUSIONS/INTERPRETATION: Pregnancy complicated by GDM and ending in stillbirth represents an important contributory factor in determining type 2 diabetes development. Women with GDM are at a high risk of future cardiovascular events. Women with pregnancy complicated by GDM and stillbirth deserve careful follow-up.

The natural history of benign thyroid nodules.

IMPORTANCE: Detection of asymptomatic thyroid nodules has increased. Consensus is lacking regarding the optimal follow-up of cytologically proven benign lesions and sonographically nonsuspicious nodules. Current guidelines recommend serial ultrasound examinations and reassessment of cytology if significant growth is observed. OBJECTIVE: To determine the frequency, magnitude, and factors associated with changes in thyroid nodule size. DESIGN, SETTING, AND PARTICIPANTS: Prospective, multicenter, observational study involving 992 consecutive patients with 1 to 4 asymptomatic, sonographically or cytologically benign thyroid nodules. Patients were recruited from 8 hospital-based thyroid-disease referral centers in Italy between 2006 and 2008. Data collected during the first 5 years of follow-up, through January 2013, were analyzed. MAIN OUTCOMES AND MEASURES: Baseline nodule growth (primary end point) was assessed with yearly thyroid ultrasound examinations. Size changes were considered significant for growth if an increase of 20% or more was recorded in at least 2 nodule diameters, with a minimum increase of 2 mm. Baseline factors associated with growth were identified. Secondary end points were the sonographic detection of new nodules and the diagnosis of thyroid cancer during follow-up. RESULTS: Nodule growth occurred in 153 patients (15.4% [95% CI, 14.3%-16.5%]). One hundred seventy-four of the 1567 original nodules (11.1% [95% CI, 10.3%-11.9%]) increased in size, with a mean 5-year largest diameter increase of 4.9 mm (95% CI, 4.2-5.5 mm), from 13.2 mm (95% CI, 12.1-14.2 mm) to 18.1 mm (95% CI, 16.7-19.4 mm). Nodule growth was associated with presence of multiple nodules (OR, 2.2 [95% CI 1.4-3.4] for 2 nodules; OR, 3.2 [95% CI, 1.8-5.6 for 3 nodules; and OR, 8.9 [95% CI, 4.4-18.0] for 4 nodules), main nodule volumes larger than 0.2 mL (OR, 2.9 [95% CI, 1.7-4.9] for volumes >0.2 to <1 mL and OR, 3.0 [95% CI, 1.8-5.1] for volumes ≥1 mL), and male sex (OR, 1.7 [95% CI, 1.1-2.6]), whereas an age of 60 years or older was associated with a lower risk of growth than age younger than 45 years (OR, 0.5 [95% CI 0.3-0.9]). In 184 individuals (18.5% [95% CI, 16.4%-20.9%]), nodules shrank spontaneously. Thyroid cancer was diagnosed in 5 original nodules (0.3% [95% CI, 0.0%-0.6%]). Only 2 had grown. An incidental cancer was found at thyroidectomy in a nonvisualized nodule. New nodules developed in 93 patients (9.3% [95% CI, 7.5%-11.1%]), with detection of one cancer. CONCLUSIONS AND RELEVANCE: Among patients with asymptomatic, sonographically or cytologically benign thyroid nodules, the majority of nodules exhibited no significant size increase during 5 years of follow-up and thyroid cancer was rare. These findings support consideration of revision of current guideline recommendations for follow-up of asymptomatic thyroid nodules.