Target product profiles: tests for tuberculosis treatment monitoring and optimization.

The World Health Organization has developed target product profiles containing minimum and optimum targets for key characteristics for tests for tuberculosis treatment monitoring and optimization. Tuberculosis treatment optimization refers to initiating or switching to an effective tuberculosis treatment regimen that results in a high likelihood of a good treatment outcome. The target product profiles also cover tests of cure conducted at the end of treatment. The development of the target product profiles was informed by a stakeholder survey, a cost-effectiveness analysis and a patient-care pathway analysis. Additional feedback from stakeholders was obtained by means of a Delphi-like process, a technical consultation and a call for public comment on a draft document. A scientific development group agreed on the final targets in a consensus meeting. For characteristics rated of highest importance, the document lists: (i) high diagnostic accuracy (sensitivity and specificity); (ii) time to result of optimally ≤ 2 hours and no more than 1 day; (iii) required sample type to be minimally invasive, easily obtainable, such as urine, breath, or capillary blood, or a respiratory sample that goes beyond sputum; (iv) ideally the test could be placed at a peripheral-level health facility without a laboratory; and (v) the test should be affordable to low- and middle-income countries, and allow wide and equitable access and scale-up. Use of these target product profiles should facilitate the development of new tuberculosis treatment monitoring and optimization tests that are accurate and accessible for all people being treated for tuberculosis.

L'Organisation mondiale de la santé a élaboré des profils de produits cibles contenant des cibles minimales et optimales pour les caractéristiques principales des essais destinés au suivi et à l'optimisation du traitement de la tuberculose. L'optimisation du traitement de la tuberculose fait référence à l'instauration d'un régime de traitement efficace de la tuberculose ou à l'adoption d'un tel régime, avec une probabilité élevée d'obtenir de bons résultats thérapeutiques. Les profils de produits cibles couvrent également les essais de guérison effectués à l'issue du traitement. Les profils de produits cibles ont été élaborés sur la base d'un sondage auprès des parties prenantes, d'une analyse coût-efficacité et d'une analyse du parcours de soins du patient. Des retours supplémentaires des parties prenantes ont été obtenus au moyen d'un processus créé selon la méthode Delphi, d'une consultation technique et d'un appel à commentaires publics sur un projet de document. Un groupe d'élaboration scientifique s'est mis d'accord sur les objectifs finaux lors d'une réunion de concertation. En ce qui concerne les caractéristiques jugées les plus importantes, le document énumère ce qui suit: (i) une grande précision diagnostique (sensibilité et spécificité); (ii) un délai idéal d'obtention des résultats ≤ 2 heures et au maximum de 1 jour; (iii) le type d'échantillon requis doit être peu invasif et facile à obtenir, comme l'urine, l'haleine ou le sang capillaire, ou bien un échantillon respiratoire au-delà des expectorations; (iv) idéalement, l'essai pourrait avoir lieu dans un établissement de santé périphérique sans laboratoire ; et (v) l'essai devrait être abordable pour les pays à revenu faible et intermédiaire et permettre un accès large et équitable ainsi qu'une mise à l'échelle. L'utilisation de ces profils de produits cibles devrait faciliter la mise au point de nouveaux essais de surveillance et d'optimisation du traitement de la tuberculose qui soient précis et accessibles à toutes les personnes suivant un traitement pour la tuberculose.

La Organización Mundial de la Salud ha elaborado perfiles de productos objetivo que contienen objetivos mínimos y óptimos para las características principales de las pruebas de seguimiento y optimización del tratamiento de la tuberculosis. La optimización del tratamiento de la tuberculosis consiste en iniciar o cambiar a un régimen eficaz de tratamiento de la tuberculosis que ofrezca una alta probabilidad de un buen resultado terapéutico. Los perfiles de productos objetivo también abarcan las pruebas de curación realizadas al final del tratamiento. La elaboración de los perfiles de los productos objetivo se basó en una encuesta a las partes interesadas, un análisis de rentabilidad y un análisis de la vía de atención al paciente. Se obtuvo información adicional de las partes interesadas mediante un proceso tipo Delphi, una consulta técnica y una convocatoria de comentarios públicos sobre un borrador del documento. Un grupo de desarrollo científico acordó los objetivos finales en una reunión de consenso. Para las características clasificadas de mayor importancia, el documento enumera: (i) alta precisión diagnóstica (sensibilidad y especificidad); (ii) tiempo hasta el resultado de óptimamente ≤ 2 horas y no más de 1 día; (iii) el tipo de muestra requerida debe ser mínimamente invasiva, fácil de obtener, como orina, aliento o sangre capilar, o una muestra respiratoria que vaya más allá del esputo; (iv) idealmente la prueba podría realizarse en un centro sanitario periférico sin laboratorio; y (v) la prueba debe ser asequible para los países de ingresos bajos y medios y permitir un acceso amplio y equitativo y su expansión. El uso de estos perfiles de producto objetivo debería facilitar el desarrollo de pruebas nuevas de seguimiento y optimización del tratamiento de la tuberculosis que sean precisas y accesibles para todas las personas que reciben tratamiento antituberculoso.

Interrupted time-series analysis of active case-finding for tuberculosis during the COVID-19 pandemic, Zambia.

Objective: To evaluate the impact of the coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) pandemic and the subsequent implementation of tuberculosis response measures on tuberculosis notifications in Zambia. Methods: We used an interrupted time-series design to compare monthly tuberculosis notifications in Zambia before the pandemic (January 2019 to February 2020), after implementation of national pandemic mitigation measures (April 2020 to June 2020) and after response measures to improve tuberculosis detection (August 2020 to September 2021). The tuberculosis response included enhanced data surveillance, facility-based active case-finding and activities to generate demand for services. We used nationally aggregated, facility-level tuberculosis notification data for the analysis. Findings: Pre-pandemic tuberculosis case notifications rose steadily from 2890 in January 2019 to 3337 in February 2020. After the start of the pandemic and mitigation measures, there was a -22% (95% confidence interval, CI: -24 to -19) immediate decline in notifications in April 2020. Larger immediate declines in notifications were seen among human immunodeficiency virus (HIV)-positive compared with HIV-negative individuals (-36%; 95% CI: -38 to -35; versus -12%; 95% CI: -17 to -6). Following roll-out of tuberculosis response measures in July 2020, notifications immediately increased by 45% (95% CI: 38 to 51) nationally and across all subgroups and provinces. The trend in notifications remained stable through September 2021, with similar numbers to the predicted number had the pandemic not occurred. Conclusion: Implementation of a coordinated public health response including active tuberculosis case-finding was associated with reversal of the adverse impact of the pandemic and mitigation measures. The gains were sustained throughout subsequent waves of the pandemic.

Screening for HIV Among Patients at Tuberculosis Clinics - Results from Population-Based HIV Impact Assessment Surveys, Malawi, Zambia, and Zimbabwe, 2015-2016.

The World Health Organization and national guidelines recommend HIV testing and counseling at tuberculosis (TB) clinics for all patients, regardless of TB diagnosis (1). Population-based HIV Impact Assessment (PHIA) survey data for 2015-2016 in Malawi, Zambia, and Zimbabwe were analyzed to assess HIV screening at TB clinics among persons who had positive HIV test results in the survey. The analysis was stratified by history of TB diagnosis* (presumptive versus confirmed†), awareness§ of HIV-positive status, antiretroviral therapy (ART)¶ status, and viral load suppression among HIV-positive adults, by history of TB clinic visit. The percentage of adults who reported having ever visited a TB clinic ranged from 4.7% to 9.7%. Among all TB clinic attendees, the percentage who reported that they had received HIV testing during a TB clinic visit ranged from 48.0% to 62.1% across the three countries. Among adults who received a positive HIV test result during PHIA and who did not receive a test for HIV at a previous TB clinic visit, 29.4% (Malawi), 21.9% (Zambia), and 16.2% (Zimbabwe) reported that they did not know their HIV status at the time of the TB clinic visit. These findings represent missed opportunities for HIV screening and linkage to HIV care. In all three countries, viral load suppression rates were significantly higher among those who reported ever visiting a TB clinic than among those who had not (p<0.001). National programs could strengthen HIV screening at TB clinics and leverage them as entry points into the HIV diagnosis and treatment cascade (i.e., testing, initiation of treatment, and viral load suppression).

Assessment of the tuberculosis case-finding and prevention cascade among people living with HIV in Zambia - 2018: a cross-sectional cluster survey.

BACKGROUND: The Ministry of Health Zambia recommends tuberculosis preventive treatment (TPT) with 6 months daily isoniazid for all people living with human immunodeficiency virus (HIV) after ruling out active tuberculosis disease. We sought to estimate the percentage of people living with HIV who progress through each stage of the tuberculosis case-finding and prevention cascade in two provinces with the highest tuberculosis burden in Zambia. METHODS: In this cross-sectional survey, we used a two-stage cluster sampling method. We sampled 12 healthcare facilities with probability proportional to size. Patient volume determined facility cluster size. During October 2018, from each facility we systematically sampled medical records of adults and children living with HIV. Our primary outcome of interest was TPT initiation rate among eligible people living with HIV, weighted for complex survey design. The Rao-Scott adjusted chi-square test was used to test for differences in TPT initiation rate and other indicators from the tuberculosis prevention cascade by age group and province of residence. Additionally, we conducted semi-structured interviews with healthcare workers at each facility to assess TPT knowledge and identify challenges to its implementation. RESULTS: We sampled 482 records of people living with HIV (including 128 children living with HIV). Excluding two people diagnosed with tuberculosis disease before enrollment in HIV care, 93.4% underwent tuberculosis symptom screening. Of those, 4.7% were diagnosed with tuberculosis disease and 95.3% were TPT-eligible, of whom 24.7% initiated TPT. TPT initiation was lower among eligible children (7.7%) compared with adults (25.2%, p = 0.03) and Copperbelt residents (3.1%) compared with Lusaka residents (35.8%, p < 0.01). TPT completion rate was 38.4% among people living with HIV who initiated the 6-month course. Among interviewed healthcare workers, 58.3% (unweighted) incorrectly relayed the number of symptoms needed for a positive tuberculosis symptom screen, 83.3% (unweighted) reported insufficient isoniazid stockpile for completion at the time of TPT initiation, and only 27.3% (unweighted) reported receiving TPT-specific training. CONCLUSIONS: TPT uptake among people living with HIV in Zambia is challenged by inconsistent tuberculosis screening, lack of TPT training for healthcare workers, and supply chain inefficiencies. Addressing these barriers may increase TPT initiations and improve outcomes among people living with HIV.

Mortality among persons with tuberculosis in Zambian hospitals: A retrospective cohort study.

Tuberculosis (TB) mortality in Zambia remains high at 86 per 100,000 populations, translating to approximately 15,000 TB-related deaths annually. We conducted a nationwide retrospective cohort study to understand predictors, time to death, and probable causes of mortality among persons on TB treatment in Zambia. We reviewed medical records for persons with TB registered in 54 purposively selected hospitals in Zambia between January and December 2019. We fitted a Cox proportional hazards model to identify predictors of mortality. Of the 13,220 records abstracted, 10,987 were analyzed after excluding records of persons who transferred in from other hospitals, those with inconsistent dates and those whose treatment outcome was not evaluated. The majority of persons with TB were men, (61.5%, n = 6,761) with a median age of 36 years (IQR: 27-46 years). Overall, 1,063 (9.7%) died before completing TB treatment (incidence rate = 16.9 deaths per 1,000 person-months). Median age at death was 40 years (IQR: 31-52). The majority of deaths (75.7%, n = 799) occurred in the first two months of TB treatment, with a median time to death of 21 days (IQR: 6-57). Independent risk factors for TB mortality included age >54 years, being treated in Eastern, Southern, Western, Muchinga and Central provinces, receiving treatment from a third-level or mission hospital, methods of diagnosis other than Xpert MTB/RIF, extrapulmonary TB (EPTB), and positive HIV status. Probable causes of death were septic shock (18.8%), TB Immune Reconstitution Inflammatory Syndrome (TB IRIS) (17.8%), end-organ damage (13.4%), pulmonary TB (11.4%), anemia (9.6%) and TB meningitis (7.8%). These results show high mortality among people undergoing TB treatment in Zambia. Interventions targeted at persons most at risk such as the elderly, those with EPTB, and those living with HIV, can help reduce TB-related mortalities in Zambia.

COVID-19 mortality sentinel surveillance at a tertiary referral hospital in Lusaka, Zambia, 2020-2021.

Deaths from COVID-19 likely exceeded official statistics in Zambia because of limited testing and incomplete death registration. We describe a sentinel COVID-19 mortality surveillance system in Lusaka, Zambia. We analyzed surveillance data on deceased persons of all ages undergoing verbal autopsy (VA) and COVID-19 testing at the University Teaching Hospital (UTH) mortuary in Lusaka, Zambia, from April 2020 through August 2021. VA was done by surveillance officers for community deaths and in-patient deaths that occurred <48 hours after admission. A standardized questionnaire about the circumstances proximal to death was used, with a probable cause of death assigned by a validated computer algorithm. Nasopharyngeal specimens from deceased persons were tested for COVID-19 using polymerase chain reaction and rapid diagnostic tests. We analyzed the cause of death by COVID-19 test results. Of 12,919 deceased persons at UTH mortuary during the study period, 5,555 (43.0%) had a VA and COVID-19 test postmortem, of which 79.7% were community deaths. Overall, 278 (5.0%) deceased persons tested COVID-19 positive; 7.1% during waves versus 1.4% during nonwave periods. Most (72.3%) deceased persons testing COVID-19 positive reportedly had fever, cough, and/or dyspnea and most (73.5%) reportedly had an antemortem COVID-19 test. Common causes of death for those testing COVID-19 positive included acute cardiac disease (18.3%), respiratory tract infections (16.5%), other types of cardiac diseases (12.9%), and stroke (7.2%). A notable portion of deceased persons at a sentinel site in Lusaka tested COVID-19 positive during waves, supporting the notion that deaths from COVID-19 might have been undercounted in Zambia. Many had displayed classic COVID-19 symptoms and been tested before death yet nevertheless died in the community, potentially indicating strained medical services during waves. The high proportion of cardiovascular diseases deaths might reflect the hypercoagulable state during severe COVID-19. Early supportive treatment and availability of antivirals might lessen future mortality.

The integration of tuberculosis and HIV testing on GeneXpert can substantially improve access and same-day diagnosis and benefit tuberculosis programmes: A diagnostic network optimization analysis in Zambia.

Diagnostic network optimization (DNO), a geospatial optimization technique, can improve access to diagnostics and reduce costs through informing policy-makers' decisions on diagnostic network changes. In Zambia, viral load (VL) testing and early infant diagnosis (EID) for HIV has been performed at centralized laboratories, whilst the TB-programme utilizes a decentralized network of GeneXpert platforms. Recently, the World Health Organization (WHO) has recommended point-of-care (POC) EID/VL to increase timely diagnosis. This analysis modelled the impact of integrating EID/VL testing for children and pregnant/breastfeeding-women (priority-HIV) with TB on GeneXpert in Zambia. Using OptiDx, we established the baseline diagnostic network using inputs for testing demand (October 2019-September 2020), referrals, testing sites, testing platforms, and costs for HIV/TB testing (transport, test, device) respectively in Zambia. Next, we integrated priority-HIV testing on GeneXpert platforms, historically only utilized by the TB-programme. 228,265 TB tests were conducted on GeneXpert devices and 167,458 (99%) of priority-HIV tests on centralized devices at baseline, of which 10% were tested onsite at the site of sample collection. With integration, the average distance travelled by priority-HIV tests decreased 10-fold (98km to 10km) and the proportion tested onsite increased (10% to 48%). 52% of EID tests are likely to be processed within the same-day from a baseline of zero. There were also benefits to the TB-programme: the average distance travelled/specimen decreased (11km to 7km), alongside potential savings in GeneXpert device-operating costs (30%) through cost-sharing with the HIV-programme. The total cost of the combined testing programmes reduced marginally by 1% through integration/optimization. DNO can be used to strategically leverage existing capacity to achieve the WHO's recommendation regarding POC VL/EID testing. Through DNO of the Zambian network, we have shown that TB/HIV testing integration can improve the performance of the diagnostic network and increase the proportion of specimens tested closer to the patient whilst not increasing costs.

Impact of the COVID-19 Pandemic on Tuberculosis Testing and Treatment at a Tertiary Hospital in Zambia.

Globally, tuberculosis (TB) testing and treatment have declined dramatically during the COVID-19 pandemic. We quantified the change in TB visits, testing, and treatment compared with a 12-month pre-pandemic baseline at the national referral hospital's TB Clinic in Lusaka, Zambia, in the first year of the pandemic. We stratified the results into early and later pandemic periods. In the first 2 months of the pandemic, the mean number of monthly TB clinic visits, prescriptions, and positive TB polymerase chain reaction (PCR) tests decreased as follow: -94.1% (95% CI: -119.4 to -68.8%), -71.4% (95% CI: -80.4 to -62.4%), and -73% (95% CI: -95.5 to -51.3%), respectively. TB testing and treatment counts rebounded in the subsequent 10 months, although the number of prescriptions and TB-PCR tests performed remained significantly lower than pre-pandemic. The COVID-19 pandemic significantly disrupted TB care in Zambia, which could have long-lasting impacts on TB transmission and mortality. Future pandemic preparedness planning should incorporate strategies developed over the course of this pandemic to safeguard consistent, comprehensive TB care.

Genomic Analysis of Mycobacterium tuberculosis Strains Resistant to Second-Line Anti-Tuberculosis Drugs in Lusaka, Zambia.

The emergence of pre-extensively drug-resistant tuberculosis (pre-XDR-TB) is a threat to TB control programs in developing countries such as Zambia. Studies in Zambia have applied molecular techniques to understand drug-resistance-associated mutations, circulating lineages and transmission patterns of multi-drug-resistant (MDR) Mycobacterium tuberculosis. However, none has reported genotypes and mutations associated with pre-XDR TB. This study characterized 63 drug-resistant M. tuberculosis strains from the University Teaching Hospital between 2018 and 2019 using targeted gene sequencing and conveniently selected 50 strains for whole genome sequencing. Sixty strains had resistance mutations associated to MDR, one polyresistant, and two rifampicin resistant. Among MDR strains, seven percent (4/60) had mutations associated with pre-XDR-TB. While four, one and nine strains had mutations associated with ethionamide, para-amino-salicylic acid and streptomycin resistances, respectively. All 50 strains belonged to lineage 4 with the predominant sub-lineage 4.3.4.2.1 (38%). Three of four pre-XDR strains belonged to sub-lineage 4.3.4.2.1. Sub-lineage 4.3.4.2.1 strains were less clustered when compared to sub-lineages L4.9.1 and L4.3.4.1 based on single nucleotide polymorphism differences. The finding that resistances to second-line drugs have emerged among MDR-TB is a threat to TB control. Hence, the study recommends a strengthened routine drug susceptibility testing for second-line TB drugs to stop the progression of pre-XDR to XDR-TB and improve patient treatment outcomes.

Immune correlates of Mycobacterium Tuberculosis patients in Zambia stratified by HIV serostatus and level of immunity-a cross-sectional analytical laboratory based study.

BACKGROUND: People living with HIV (PLHIV) co-infected with tuberculosis (TB) have a distinct clinical presentation and poorer treatment outcomes compared to HIV-seronegative TB patients. Excluding low CD4 count, innate immune factors associated with TB are not fully elucidated. We, therefore, characterised and compared the expression of IL-6, TNF-α, IFN-γ, and IL-10 in whole blood of treatment naïve TB patients stimulated with heat-killed Mycobacterium tuberculosis stratified by HIV status and the level of CD4 count. RESULTS: We recruited 39 HIV seropositive and 31 HIV seronegative TB patients. Median (IQR) age was 35(28-42) years and 31(25-36) years respectively, and a majority had pulmonary tuberculosis i.e. 38(95%) and 30(97%), respectively. The two groups were significantly different in the distribution of CD4 count, 563 [465-702.5 cells/mm3] vs 345 [157-483 cell/mm3] in HIV negative vs HIV positive respectively p = <0.001. Post stimulation, the expression of IL-6 in HIV negative TB patients was significantly higher than in the HIV positive 16,757366 [8,827-23,686 pg/ml] vs. 9,508 [5,514-15,008 pg/ml], respectively; p = 0.0360. TNF-α and IFN-γ were highly expressed in HIV negative TB patients compared to the HIV positive though not statistically significant. We only observed higher expression of IL-6 in HIV negative patients in comparison to the HIV positive when stratified by level of CD4 counts as < 500 and ≥ 500 cell/mm3 for both cohorts. 21,953 [8,990-24,206 pg/ml] vs 9,505 [5,400-15,313 pg/ml], p value = 0.0585 in patients with CD4 count < 500 cell/mm3 and 13,168 [7,087-22,584 pg/ml] vs 10,413 [7,397-14,806 pg/ml], p value = 0.3744 for patients with CD4 count of ≥ 500 cell/mm3 respectively. We found a positive pairwise correlation between TNF-α -alpha and IL-6 in both HIV positive and HIV negative patients, r = 0.61 (95% CI 0.36-0.72; p < 0.0001) and r = 0.48 (95% CI 0.15-0.68; p = 0.005) respectively. The IFNγ/IL-10 ratio was higher in HIV negative when compared to HIV positive individuals, 0.052 [0.0-0.28] vs 0.007 [0-0.32] respectively; p = 0.05759. IL-6 independently reduced the probability of TB/HIV, Adjusted odds ratio 0.99, p value 0.007. CONCLUSIONS: This study suggests that HIV seronegative TB patients have a higher pro-inflammatory response to MTB than HIV seropositive TB patients. Further, it also shows that the level of CD4 influences immunomodulation. The findings suggest that the difference in cytokine expression may be responsible for the distinct patterns of TB presentation between HIV positive and HIV negative patient.

Expression of mycobacterium tuberculosis induced SOCS3 and STAT3 and the implications on innate immunity in TB patients vs healthy contacts in high TB/HIV endemic setting: A cross-sectional analytical study.

BACKGROUND: Mycobacterium tuberculosis (TB) remains a disease of global health concern and a leading cause of mortality arising from an infectious agent. Protective immunity to TB remains unclear. Suppressor of cytokine signaling-3 (SOCS3) and signal transduction and activator of transcription-3 (STAT3) genes have shown potential to influence innate immunity. We, therefore, explored the expression of SOCS3 and STAT3 and their implications on the innate immunity in TB patients and their healthy close contacts. METHODS: We recruited 72 TB patients and 62 healthy contacts from a high TB and HIV endemic setting (Lusaka, Zambia). We used RT-PCRT and flow cytometry to quantify the expression of SOCS, STAT3 and cytokines respectively. Data was analysed Stata version 14.0 and figures were developed in GraphPad prism version 9.1.0 (221). Assessment for associations for categorical and continuous variables was analysed using the Chi-square test and Mann-Whitney test respectively. Spearman's rank correlation was used to evaluate the relationship between SOCS3 and IL-6. A p-value < 0.05 was considered statistically significant. RESULTS: Healthy contacts markedly expressed SOCS3 in both unstimulated and stimulated whole blood in comparison to TB patients (p <0.0001). STAT3 was elevated in TB patients in TB patients in stimulated blood only. IL-6 (P = < 0.0001) and IL-10 (P = <0.0001), were significantly expressed in Healthy contacts in comparison to TB patients. TNF-α (p = 0.044) were markedly elevated in TB patients in comparison to healthy contacts. IL-6 and SOCS3 correlated significantly in healthy contacts only (r = 0.429, p = 0.02). CONCLUSIONS: Both SOCS3 and STAT3 are genes of importance in mounting protective innate immunity against TB. We propose that SOCS3 stimulation and inhibition of STAT3 as possible approaches in gene therapy and vaccine development for TB.

A comparison of vitamin D and cathelicidin (LL-37) levels between patients with active TB and their healthy contacts in a high HIV prevalence setting: a prospective descriptive study.

BACKGROUND: Studies from Asia and Europe indicate an association between vitamin D deficiency and susceptibility to TB. We performed an observational case-control study to determine vitamin D and cathelicidin (LL-37) levels and their association with active TB in newly diagnosed and microbiologically confirmed adult TB patients in Zambia, a high HIV prevalence setting. METHODS: Both total vitamin D and LL-37 were measured using ELISA from serum and supernatant isolated from cultured whole blood that was stimulated with heat-killed Mycobacterium tuberculosis. Statistical analysis was performed using STATA statistical software version 12. RESULTS: The median vitamin D in TB patients and healthy contacts was 28.7 (19.88-38.64) and 40.8 (31.2-49.44) ng/ml, respectively (p<0.001). The median LL-37 in TB patients compared with healthy contacts was 1.87 (2.74-8.93) and 6.73 (5.6-9.58) ng/ml, respectively (p=0.0149). Vitamin D correlation with LL-37 in healthy contacts was R2=0.7 (95% CI 0.566 to 0.944), p<0.0001. Normal vitamin D significantly predicted a healthy status (OR 4.06, p=0.002). CONCLUSIONS: Significantly lower levels of vitamin D and LL-37 are seen in adults with newly diagnosed active TB. Longitudinal studies across various geographical regions are required to accurately define the roles of vitamin D and LL-37 in preventive and TB treatment outcomes.

Genetic Diversity and Transmission of Multidrug-Resistant Mycobacterium tuberculosis strains in Lusaka, Zambia.

OBJECTIVE: Zambia is among the 30 high tuberculosis burden countries in the world. Despite increasing reports of multidrug-resistant tuberculosis (MDR-TB) in routine surveillance, information on the transmission of MDR Mycobacterium tuberculosis strains is largely unknown. This study elucidated the genetic diversity and transmission of MDR M. tuberculosis strains in Lusaka, Zambia. METHODS: Eighty-five MDR M. tuberculosis samples collected from 2013 to 2017 at the University Teaching Hospital were used. Drug-resistance associated gene sequencing, spoligotyping, 24-loci mycobacterial interspersed repetitive units-variable number of tandem repeats (MIRU-VNTR), and multiplex PCR for RD-Rio sub-lineage identification were applied. RESULTS: The identified clades were LAM (48%), CAS (29%), T (14%), X (6%) and Harlem (2%). Strains belonging to SITs 21/CAS1-Kili and 20/LAM1 formed the largest clonal complexes. Combined spoligotyping and 24 loci-MIRU-VNTR revealed 47 genotypic patterns with a clustering rate of 63%. Ninety-five percent of LAM strains belonged to the RD-Rio sub-lineage. CONCLUSION: The high clustering rate suggested that a large proportion of MDR-TB was due to recent transmission rather than the independent acquisition of MDR. This spread was attributed to clonal expansion of SIT21/CAS1-Kili and SIT20/LAM1 strains. Therefore, TB control programs recommending genotyping coupled with conventional epidemiological methods can guide measures for stopping the spread of MDR-TB.

The WHO Global Tuberculosis 2021 Report - not so good news and turning the tide back to End TB.

OBJECTIVE: To review the data presented in the 2021 WHO global TB report and discuss the current constraints in the global response. INTRODUCTION AND METHODS: The WHO global TB reports, consolidate TB data from countries and provide up to date assessment of the global TB epidemic. We reviewed the data presented in the 2021 report. RESULTS: We noted that the 2021 WHO global TB report presents a rather grim picture on the trajectory of the global epidemic of TB including a stagnation in the annual decline in TB incidence, a decline in TB notifications and an increase in estimated TB deaths. All the targets set at the 2018 United Nations High Level Meeting on TB were off track. INTERPRETATION AND CONCLUSION: The sub-optimal global performance on achieving TB control targets in 2020 is attributed to the on-going COVID-19 pandemic, however, TB programs were already off track well before the onset of the pandemic, suggesting that the pandemic amplified an already fragile global TB response. We emphasize that ending the global TB epidemic will require bold leadership, optimization of existing interventions, widespread coverage, addressing social determinants of TB and importantly mobilization of adequate funding required for TB care and prevention.

A 10-year Review of TB Notifications and Mortality Trends Using a Joint Point Analysis in Zambia - a High TB burden country.

BACKGROUND: Zambia is one of the TB high-burden countries. It is important to track the progress being made towards enhancing case finding and reducing mortality. We reviewed routine TB notifications and mortality trends, over a decade from all facilities in Zambia. METHODS: A 10-year retrospective study of TB notifications and mortality trends was performed using a Joint Point Analysis version 4.9.0.0, NCI. We extracted the annual national TB program data for the period under review. RESULTS: There was a decline in annual point average for notification between 2010 and 2020 in both males and females, but the females notification rates had a higher rate of decline (AAPC = -6.7, 95%CI:-8.3 to -5.0), p<0.001) compared to the decline in males notification rate (AAPC = -4.1, 95%CI:-4.1 to -5.1, P<0.001). We found a significant growth rate in the proportion of TB patients that were bacteriologically confirmed (AAPC = 6.1, 95% CI: 3.6 to 8.7, p< 0.001), while the proportion of clinically diagnosed patients declined (AAPC= -0.1, 95%CI: -2.3 to 2.1, p<0.001). Notification of drug-resistant TB increased exponentially (AAPC=27.3, 95% CI: 13 to 41), p< 0.001) while mortality rate declined from 21.3 in 2011 to 12.7 in 2019 per 100,000 population (AAP=-5.6, 95%CI: -9.6 to -1.5, p=0.008). CONCLUSIONS: This study has illustrated the importance of reviewing and analyzing routinely collected TB data by national programs. The study revealed areas of improvement in terms of TB control and underscores the need for increased and sustained investment in case detection and diagnostics.

Tuberculosis, HIV/AIDS and Malaria Health Services in sub-Saharan Africa - A Situation Analysis of the Disruptions and Impact of the COVID-19 Pandemic.

BACKGROUND: The unprecedented and ongoing COVID-19 pandemic has exposed weaknesses in African countries' health systems. The impact of shifted focus on COVID-19 for the past 2 years on routine health services, especially those for the epidemics of Tuberculosis, HIV/AIDS and Malaria, have been dramatic in both quantity and quality. METHODS: In this article, we reflect on the COVID-19 related disruptions on the Tuberculosis, HIV/AIDS and Malaria routine health services across Africa. RESULTS: The COVID-19 pandemic resulted in disruptions of routine health services and diversion of already limited available resources in sub-Saharan Africa. As a result, disease programs like TB, malaria and HIV have recorded gaps in prevention and treatment with the prospects of reversing gains made towards meeting global targets. The extent of the disruption is yet to be fully quantified at country level as most data available is from modelling estimates before and during the pandemic. CONCLUSIONS: Accurate country-level data is required to convince donors and governments to invest more into revamping these health services and help prepare for managing future pandemics without disruption of routine services. Increasing government expenditure on health is a critical part of Africa's economic policy. Strengthening health systems at various levels to overcome the negative impacts of COVID-19, and preparing for future epidemics will require strong visionary political leadership. Innovations in service delivery and technological adaptations are required as countries aim to limit disruptions to routine services.

Incidental Tuberculosis in sudden, unexpected, and violent deaths in the community Lusaka, Zambia - A descriptive forensic post-mortem examination study.

OBJECTIVES: Tuberculosis remains a global emergency. In Zambia only 55% of tuberculosis cases are diagnosed. We performed a study to determine incidental cases of tuberculosis seen at forensic autopsy of individuals who died suddenly and unexpectedly in the community in Lusaka, Zambia. METHODS: Whole-body autopsies were performed according to Standard Operating Procedures. Representative samples obtained from relevant organs were subjected to pathological examination. Information on circumstances surrounding the death was obtained. Data on patient demographics, gross and microscopic pathological findings, and cause(s) of death were analysed. RESULTS: Incidental tuberculosis was found in 52 cases (45 male, 7 female, age range 14-66) out of 4286 whole-body autopsies. 41/52 (80%) were aged 21-50 years. One was a 14-year old boy who died during a football match. 39/52 (75%) deaths were attributable specifically to tuberculosis only. Other deaths were due to acute alcohol intoxication(4), violence(7), ruptured ectopic pregnancy(1), bacterial meningitis (1). All the cases were from poor socio-economic backgrounds and lived in high-density areas of Lusaka. CONCLUSIONS: Incidental cases of active tuberculosis undiagnosed antemortem seen at forensic autopsy reflects major gaps in the national TB control programs. More investments into proactive screening, testing, treatment activities, and accurate data collection are required.

Characterization of Mycobacterium tuberculosis genotypes and their correlation to multidrug resistance in Lusaka, Zambia.

OBJECTIVES: The burden of multidrug-resistant tuberculosis (MDR-TB) has been reported to be increasing in Zambia. The reasons for the increase are still unclear. This study determined the diversity of Mycobacterium tuberculosis genotypes among isolates in Lusaka, the capital city, and investigated their association with MDR-TB. METHODS: Spoligotyping, large sequence polymorphism (LSP) analysis, and sequencing of MDR associated genes were performed on a total of 274 M. tuberculosis clinical isolates stored at the University Teaching Hospital from 2013 to 2017. Of these, 134 were MDR-TB while 126 were pan-susceptible. RESULTS: Spoligotyping showed the LAM family as the most predominant genotype (149/274, 54.4%) followed by the CAS family (44/274, 16.1%), T family (39/274, 14.2%), and minor proportions of X, S, Harleem, EAI and Beijing spoligofamilies were identified. Three M. bovis isolates were also observed. Among those, CAS1-Kili (SIT 21) and LAM1 (SIT 20) subfamilies showed a propensity for MDR-TB with p = 0.0001 and p = 0.001, respectively. CONCLUSIONS: This phenomenon might explain the future increase in the MDR-TB burden caused by specific lineages in Zambia. Therefore, it is recommended that the National TB control program in the country complements conventional control strategies with molecular analysis for monitoring and surveillance of MDR-TB epidemiology.

Tuberculosis care cascade in Zambia - identifying the gaps in order to improve outcomes: a population-based analysis.

OBJECTIVE: Tuberculosis (TB) remains a leading cause of morbidity and mortality in Zambia, especially for people living with HIV (PLHIV). We undertook a care cascade analysis to quantify gaps in care and align programme improvement measures with areas of need. DESIGN: Retrospective, population-based analysis. SETTING: We derived national-level estimates for each step of the TB care cascade in Zambia. Estimates were informed by WHO incidence estimates, nationally aggregated laboratory and notification registers, and individual-level programme data from four provinces. PARTICIPANTS: Participants included all individuals with active TB disease in Zambia in 2018. We characterised the overall TB cascade and disaggregated by drug susceptibility results and HIV status. RESULTS: In 2018, the total burden of TB in Zambia was estimated to be 72 495 (range, 40 495-111 495) cases. Of these, 43 387 (59.8%) accessed TB testing, 40 176 (55.4%) were diagnosed with TB, 36 431 (50.3%) were started on treatment and 32 700 (45.1%) completed treatment. Among all persons with TB lost at any step along the care cascade (n=39 795), 29 108 (73.1%) were lost prior to accessing diagnostic services, 3211 (8.1%) prior to diagnosis, 3745 (9.4%) prior to initiating treatment and 3731 (9.4%) prior to treatment completion. PLHIV were less likely than HIV-negative individuals to successfully complete the care cascade (42.8% vs 50.2%, p<0.001). Among those with rifampicin-resistant TB, there was substantial attrition at each step of the cascade and only 22.8% were estimated to have successfully completed treatment. CONCLUSIONS: Losses throughout the care cascade resulted in a large proportion of individuals with TB not completing treatment. Ongoing health systems strengthening and patient-centred engagement strategies are needed at every step of the care cascade; however, scale-up of active case finding strategies is particularly critical to ensure individuals with TB in the population reach initial stages of care. Additionally, a renewed focus on PLHIV and individuals with drug-resistant TB is urgently needed to improve TB-related outcomes in Zambia.