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Phys Rev E Stat Nonlin Soft Matter Phys ; 85(2 Pt 1): 021139, 2012 Feb.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-22463184

RESUMO

Recently, numerous studies have shown that human dynamics cannot be described accurately by exponential laws. For instance, Barabási [Nature (London) 435, 207 (2005)] demonstrates that waiting times of tasks to be performed by a human are more suitably modeled by power laws. He presumes that these power laws are caused by a priority selection mechanism among the tasks. Priority models are well-developed in queueing theory (e.g., for telecommunication applications), and this paper demonstrates the (quasi-)immediate applicability of such a stochastic priority model to human dynamics. By calculating generating functions and by studying them in their dominant singularity, we prove that nonexponential tails result naturally. Contrary to popular belief, however, these are not necessarily triggered by the priority selection mechanism.


Assuntos
Comportamento , Modelos Estatísticos , Processos Estocásticos , Análise e Desempenho de Tarefas , Simulação por Computador , Humanos
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