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Clonal hematopoiesis of indeterminate potential (CHIP) is associated with increased risk of cancers and inflammation-related diseases. This phenomenon becomes common in persons aged ≥80 years, in whom the implications of CHIP are not well defined. We performed a mutational screening in 1794 persons aged ≥80 years and investigated the relationships between CHIP and associated pathologies. Mutations were observed in one-third of persons aged ≥80 years and were associated with reduced survival. Mutations in JAK2 and splicing genes, multiple mutations (DNMT3A, TET2, and ASXL1 with additional genetic lesions), and variant allele frequency ≥0.096 had positive predictive value for myeloid neoplasms. Combining mutation profiles with abnormalities in red blood cell indices improved the ability of myeloid neoplasm prediction. On this basis, we defined a predictive model that identifies 3 risk groups with different probabilities of developing myeloid neoplasms. Mutations in DNMT3A, TET2, ASXL1, or JAK2 were associated with coronary heart disease and rheumatoid arthritis. Cytopenia was common in persons aged ≥80 years, with the underlying cause remaining unexplained in 30% of cases. Among individuals with unexplained cytopenia, the presence of highly specific mutation patterns was associated with myelodysplastic-like phenotype and a probability of survival comparable to that of myeloid neoplasms. Accordingly, 7.5% of subjects aged ≥80 years with cytopenia had presumptive evidence of myeloid neoplasm. In summary, specific mutational patterns define different risk of developing myeloid neoplasms vs inflammatory-associated diseases in persons aged ≥80 years. In individuals with unexplained cytopenia, mutational status may identify those subjects with presumptive evidence of myeloid neoplasms.
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Hematopoiese Clonal , Mutação , Fatores Etários , Idoso de 80 Anos ou mais , Artrite Reumatoide/etiologia , Artrite Reumatoide/genética , Doença das Coronárias/etiologia , Doença das Coronárias/genética , Feminino , Humanos , Leucemia Mieloide/etiologia , Leucemia Mieloide/genética , Masculino , Síndromes Mielodisplásicas/etiologia , Síndromes Mielodisplásicas/genéticaRESUMO
PURPOSE: To assess the accuracy of hospice staff in predicting survival of subjects admitted to hospice, exploring the factors considered most helpful by the hospice staff to accurately predict survival. METHODS: Five physicians and 11 nurses were asked to predict survival at admission of 827 patients. Actual and predicted survival times were divided into ≤ 1 week, 2-3 weeks, 4-8 weeks, and ≥ 2 months and the accuracy of the estimates was calculated. The staff members were each asked to score 17 clinical variables that guided them in predicting survival and we analyzed how these variables impacted the accuracy. RESULTS: Physicians' and nurses' accuracy of survival of the patients was 46% and 40% respectively. Survival was underestimated in 20% and 12% and overestimated in 34% and 48% of subjects. Both physicians and nurses considered metastases, comorbidities, dyspnea, disability, tumor site, neurological symptoms, and confusion very important in predicting patients' survival with nurses assigning more importance to intestinal symptoms and pain too. All these factors, with the addition of cough and/or bronchial secretions, were associated with physicians' greater accuracy. In the multivariable models, intestinal symptoms and confusion continued to be associated with greater predictive accuracy. No factors appreciably raised nurses' accuracy. CONCLUSIONS: Some clinical symptoms rated as relevant by the hospice staff could be important for predicting survival. However, only intestinal symptoms and confusion significantly improved the accuracy of physicians' predictions, despite the high prevalence of overestimated survival.
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Confiabilidade dos Dados , Morte , Expectativa de Vida/tendências , Cuidados Paliativos/métodos , Idoso , Feminino , Humanos , Masculino , Estudos ProspectivosRESUMO
AIM: In this study, the relationship between kidney function, cognitive performance, functional abilities and mood was investigated in a community-dwelling Italian oldest-old population. METHODS: Serum creatinine was used to calculate estimated glomerular filtration rate (eGFR) using the Modification of Diet in Renal Disease formula, for 415 oldest-old without dementia participating in the 'Health and Anemia' study, a prospective, observational cohort study. The cross-sectional associations of kidney function with cognitive performance on several neuropsychological tests, basic and instrumental functional abilities and mood were analyzed using univariate and multivariable linear regression models. RESULTS: Cognitive performance and functional ability significantly worsened with decreasing kidney function. After adjusting for age, sex, education, comorbidity index of the Cumulative Illness Rating Scale (CIRS), body mass index, bone fracture and serum ferritin levels the associations of eGFR categories with basic and instrumental functional abilities continued to be statistically significant whereas that with global cognitive functions did not. No significant independent association was found between renal function and mood. CONCLUSIONS: Oldest-old with reduced kidney function showed greater basic and instrumental functional disabilities, while cognitive function, although decreased with decreasing eGFR, was no longer significantly associated with eGFR categories after adjusting for confounders.
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Afeto , Transtornos Cognitivos/psicologia , Cognição , Envelhecimento Cognitivo , Taxa de Filtração Glomerular , Envelhecimento Saudável/psicologia , Nefropatias/fisiopatologia , Fatores Etários , Idoso de 80 Anos ou mais , Anemia/sangue , Anemia/epidemiologia , Biomarcadores/sangue , Transtornos Cognitivos/diagnóstico , Transtornos Cognitivos/epidemiologia , Creatinina/sangue , Feminino , Avaliação Geriátrica , Envelhecimento Saudável/sangue , Humanos , Itália/epidemiologia , Rim , Nefropatias/sangue , Nefropatias/diagnóstico , Nefropatias/epidemiologia , Masculino , Estudos Prospectivos , Qualidade de Vida , Medição de Risco , Fatores de RiscoRESUMO
BACKGROUND: Alzheimer's Disease (AD) is a multifactorial disorder driven by genetic and modifiable lifestyle risk factors. Lifestyle primary prevention initiatives may reduce the prevalence and incidence of dementia in older adults. OBJECTIVES: The E.Mu.N.I study is a randomized controlled trial investigating the effect of multilevel non-pharmacologic interventions on cognitive performances (primary outcome) and structural and vascular brain MRI markers (secondary outcome), as well as markers of brain functional connectivity change (exploratory outcome), in older adults with subjective memory decline (SMD). Here, we present the study design and the baseline features of the sample. METHODS: Cognitively intact older adults with SMD, enrolled between February 2016 and June 2017, were randomly assigned to one of the 3 interventions for 1 year: Active Control Intervention (ACI), i.e., educational lessons; Partial Intervention (PI), i.e., homotaurine administration (100 mg/die) and lessons on the Mediterranean diet; Multilevel Intervention (MI), i.e., PI plus computerized cognitive training and physical exercise training. RESULTS: One-hundred and twenty-eight eligible participants were enrolled (66% female; age: 68 ± 5 years). Eighty-two percent of the sample was composed of volunteers with SMD from the community. Participants were randomly allocated to the interventions as follows: ACI (N = 40), PI (N = 44), MI (N = 44). No significant differences among groups emerged on socio-demographic, clinical-neuropsychological variables and MRI markers at baseline. CONCLUSIONS: The outcomes obtained from the E.Mu.N.I. study will clarify the efficacy of multilevel non-pharmacologic interventions on cognitive and neuroimaging markers in SMD individuals. This is a crucial step forward for the development of cost-effective non-pharmacologic primary prevention initiatives for AD.
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Demência/terapia , Transtornos da Memória/terapia , Memória , Idoso , Encéfalo/fisiopatologia , Demência/fisiopatologia , Exercício Físico , Feminino , Humanos , Estilo de Vida , Imageamento por Ressonância Magnética , Masculino , Transtornos da Memória/fisiopatologia , Pessoa de Meia-IdadeRESUMO
INTRODUCTION: Relationship between age and dementia at extreme old ages is still an open question, yet population-based studies in this high-risk age segment are rare. METHODS: The Monzino 80-plus is a population-based study among residents 80 years and older in the Varese province, Italy. Of 1371 eligible individuals, 1294 (94.4%), of whom 64 are centenarians, were included in the incidence study. RESULTS: Since 2002, 584 new cases of all-cause dementia were identified over 15 years. The overall incidence rate was 7.9 per 100 person-years. Dementia risk rose with age (IRR: 1.06), with the cubic model providing the best fit (R2 = 0.91-0.96). Cumulative incidences of dementia unadjusted and adjusted for competing mortality risk progressively diverged with age. CONCLUSION: Dementia incidence also keeps rising in nonagenarians and centenarians. Slowing down in growing risk of developing dementia with age is mainly attributable to increasing competing risk of death and resulting selective survival of individuals at lower risk of dementia.
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Envelhecimento , Demência/epidemiologia , Idoso de 80 Anos ou mais , Feminino , Humanos , Incidência , Itália/epidemiologia , Masculino , Testes Neuropsicológicos , Fatores de Risco , Inquéritos e QuestionáriosRESUMO
The aims of this study is to evaluate the association between angiotensin-converting enzyme inhibitor (ACE-I), angiotensin II receptor blocker (ARBs) and/or statin use with the risk of pneumonia, as well as and with in-hospital and short-term outpatient mortality in hospitalized older patients with pneumonia. Patients aged 65 years or older hospitalized in internal medicine and/or geriatric wards throughout Italy and enrolled in the REPOSI (REgistro Politerapuie SIMI-Società Italiana di Medicina Interna) register from 2010 to 2019 were screened to assess the diagnosis of pneumonia and classified on whether or not they were prescribed with at least one drug among ACE-I, ARBs, and/or statins. Further study outcomes were mortality during hospital stay and at 3 months after hospital discharge. Among 5717 cases included (of whom 18.0% with pneumonia), 2915 (51.0%) were prescribed at least one drug among ACE-I, ARBs, and statins. An inverse association was found between treatment with ACE-I or ARBs and pneumonia (OR = 0.79, 95% CI 0.65-0.95). A higher effect was found among patients treated with ACE-I or ARBs in combination with statins (OR = 0.67, 95% CI 0.52-0.85). This study confirmed in the real-world setting that these largely used medications may reduce the risk of pneumonia in older people, who chronically take them for cardiovascular conditions.
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Antagonistas de Receptores de Angiotensina , Inibidores da Enzima Conversora de Angiotensina , Hospitalização , Inibidores de Hidroximetilglutaril-CoA Redutases , Pneumonia , Humanos , Idoso , Masculino , Estudos Retrospectivos , Feminino , Inibidores da Enzima Conversora de Angiotensina/uso terapêutico , Inibidores da Enzima Conversora de Angiotensina/efeitos adversos , Inibidores de Hidroximetilglutaril-CoA Redutases/uso terapêutico , Inibidores de Hidroximetilglutaril-CoA Redutases/efeitos adversos , Idoso de 80 Anos ou mais , Itália/epidemiologia , Pneumonia/tratamento farmacológico , Antagonistas de Receptores de Angiotensina/uso terapêutico , Antagonistas de Receptores de Angiotensina/efeitos adversos , Hospitalização/estatística & dados numéricos , Estudos de CoortesRESUMO
The aims were to assess: the prescription prevalence of anticoagulant drugs for thromboprophylaxis (TP) in hospitalized older patients; the appropriateness of their prescription or non-prescription; the in-hospital mortality in appropriately versus non-appropriately prescribed or not prescribed patients. 4836 patients aged 65 or older, admitted to the Italian internal medicine and geriatric wards participating to the REPOSI register from 2012 to 2019 were assessed for prescription of anticoagulant drugs for TP at admission and/or during hospital stay. The Padua Prediction Score (PPS) and the IMPROVE score were used to assess the thrombotic and bleeding risk. Patients were considered to be appropriately prescribed when had PPS ≥ 4 and IMPROVE < 7, and appropriately not prescribed when PPS < 4. Logistic regression model was used to assess whether appropriateness was associated with in-hospital mortality. Among 4836 patients included, anticoagulants were prescribed for TP in 1233 (25.5%). In all, 4461 patients were assessable for appropriateness: 3136 (70.3%) were appropriately prescribed or non-prescribed according to their thrombotic and bleeding risk. Among 1138 patients receiving prophylaxis, only 360 (31.7%) were appropriately prescribed, while among 3323 non-prescribed patients, 2776 (83.5%) were appropriately non-prescribed. The in-hospital mortality rate was lower in patients appropriately prescribed or non-prescribed than in those inappropriately prescribed or non-prescribed (OR: 0.63; 95% CI: 0.46-0.83). In conclusion, a high prevalence of multimorbid hospitalized patients were appropriately prescribed or non-prescribed for TP with anticoagulants, appropriate non-prescription being mainly driven by a high bleeding risk. The appropriateness of prescription or non-prescription was associated with lower in-hospital mortality.
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Anticoagulantes , Tromboembolia Venosa , Humanos , Idoso , Anticoagulantes/uso terapêutico , Tromboembolia Venosa/tratamento farmacológico , Tromboembolia Venosa/prevenção & controle , Tromboembolia Venosa/epidemiologia , Hospitalização , Hemorragia/epidemiologia , Prescrições de MedicamentosRESUMO
OBJECTIVE: To describe the prescription pattern of antidiabetic and cardiovascular drugs in a cohort of hospitalized older patients with diabetes. METHODS: Patients with diabetes aged 65 years or older hospitalized in internal medicine and/or geriatric wards throughout Italy and enrolled in the REPOSI (REgistro POliterapuie SIMI-Società Italiana di Medicina Interna) registry from 2010 to 2019 and discharged alive were included. RESULTS: Among 1703 patients with diabetes, 1433 (84.2%) were on treatment with at least one antidiabetic drug at hospital admission, mainly prescribed as monotherapy with insulin (28.3%) or metformin (19.2%). The proportion of treated patients decreased at discharge (N = 1309, 76.9%), with a significant reduction over time. Among those prescribed, the proportion of those with insulin alone increased over time (p = 0.0066), while the proportion of those prescribed sulfonylureas decreased (p < 0.0001). Among patients receiving antidiabetic therapy at discharge, 1063 (81.2%) were also prescribed cardiovascular drugs, mainly with an antihypertensive drug alone or in combination (N = 777, 73.1%). CONCLUSION: The management of older patients with diabetes in a hospital setting is often sub-optimal, as shown by the increasing trend in insulin at discharge, even if an overall improvement has been highlighted by the prevalent decrease in sulfonylureas prescription.
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Diabetes Mellitus , Hipoglicemiantes , Humanos , Idoso , Hipoglicemiantes/uso terapêutico , Diabetes Mellitus/tratamento farmacológico , Diabetes Mellitus/epidemiologia , Prescrições de Medicamentos , Anti-Hipertensivos , Insulina/uso terapêutico , Compostos de Sulfonilureia/uso terapêuticoRESUMO
The widespread use of deep learning techniques for creating realistic synthetic media, commonly known as deepfakes, poses a significant threat to individuals, organizations, and society. As the malicious use of these data could lead to unpleasant situations, it is becoming crucial to distinguish between authentic and fake media. Nonetheless, though deepfake generation systems can create convincing images and audio, they may struggle to maintain consistency across different data modalities, such as producing a realistic video sequence where both visual frames and speech are fake and consistent one with the other. Moreover, these systems may not accurately reproduce semantic and timely accurate aspects. All these elements can be exploited to perform a robust detection of fake content. In this paper, we propose a novel approach for detecting deepfake video sequences by leveraging data multimodality. Our method extracts audio-visual features from the input video over time and analyzes them using time-aware neural networks. We exploit both the video and audio modalities to leverage the inconsistencies between and within them, enhancing the final detection performance. The peculiarity of the proposed method is that we never train on multimodal deepfake data, but on disjoint monomodal datasets which contain visual-only or audio-only deepfakes. This frees us from leveraging multimodal datasets during training, which is desirable given their lack in the literature. Moreover, at test time, it allows to evaluate the robustness of our proposed detector on unseen multimodal deepfakes. We test different fusion techniques between data modalities and investigate which one leads to more robust predictions by the developed detectors. Our results indicate that a multimodal approach is more effective than a monomodal one, even if trained on disjoint monomodal datasets.
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Monoclonal gammopathy of undetermined significance (MGUS) and clonal hematopoiesis (CH) are 2 preclinical clonal expansions of hematopoietic cells whose prevalence rises with age, reaching almost 10% in people of aged 70 years and older. The increased risk of myeloid malignancies in patients with myeloma is well defined, and the study of the association between CH and MGUS could help explain this phenomenon. Here, we analyzed a fully clinically annotated dataset of 777 older subjects (median age, 91 years) previously screened for prevalence of CH. The prevalence of MGUS and CH was 9.6% and 17.3%, respectively. We detected CH in 9.7% of the patients with MGUS and MGUS in 5.5% of the patients with CH. We did not find a significant correlation between the presence of MGUS and CH. Furthermore, the 2 conditions showed a differential association with clinical and laboratory covariates, suggesting that MGUS and CH may represent age-associated unrelated clonal drifts of hematopoietic cells. Confirmatory studies are needed to assess the relevance of CH in plasma cell disorders. This trial was registered at www.clinicaltrials.gov as #NCT03907553.
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Gamopatia Monoclonal de Significância Indeterminada , Mieloma Múltiplo , Paraproteinemias , Humanos , Idoso , Idoso de 80 Anos ou mais , Gamopatia Monoclonal de Significância Indeterminada/epidemiologia , Gamopatia Monoclonal de Significância Indeterminada/complicações , Hematopoiese Clonal , Mieloma Múltiplo/complicações , Paraproteinemias/complicações , Estudos de CoortesRESUMO
The aims of the study were to assess the changes in 19-years use of antibiotics (overall, by age, sex and geographical area) and of those classes deemed to be quality indicators for their consumption and to evaluate factors associated to antibiotic use. We analyzed drug prescription data collected in the administrative database of the Lombardy Region (Northern Italy) for outpatients aged 40+ years from 2000 to 2019. Logistic regression analyses were performed to evaluate the association between receiving at least one antibiotic prescription and year of observation, gender, age groups, area of residence, polypharmacy and hospitalizations in the index year. The prevalence of patients prescribed with antibiotics remained high from 2000 (33.8%) to 2019 (32.6%). Prevalence of use of second-line choice antibiotics (penicillin combinations with beta-lactamase inhibitors, third and fourth generation cephalosporins, macrolides) continued to increase, only fluoroquinolones decreased in 2019 (19%) comparing to 2018 (26%), at the time when the Italian Medicines Agency promulgated safety warnings. Females (OR 1.28, 95%CI 1.27-1.28), people living in Brescia (OR 1.24, 95%CI 1.24-1.25), those exposed to polypharmacy (OR 2.57, 95%CI 2.56-2.57) and those hospitalized 1 to 3 (OR 1.86, 95%CI 1.85-1.86) or more than 3 (OR 2.02, 95%CI 2.01-2.03) times a year had a statistically significant higher risk of receiving antibiotics. The high use of antibiotics over the study period further reinforces the need of impactful interventions, in order to improve the rational use of antibiotics and to reduce the risks of antimicrobial resistance. The differences outlined should be considered when monitoring and planning these interventions.
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Antibacterianos/administração & dosagem , Prescrições de Medicamentos/estatística & dados numéricos , Hospitalização/estatística & dados numéricos , Pacientes Ambulatoriais/estatística & dados numéricos , Adulto , Idoso , Idoso de 80 Anos ou mais , Bases de Dados Factuais , Feminino , Humanos , Itália , Masculino , Pessoa de Meia-Idade , Polimedicação/estatística & dados numéricos , Prevalência , Estudos RetrospectivosRESUMO
Identifying the source camera of images and videos has gained significant importance in multimedia forensics. It allows tracing back data to their creator, thus enabling to solve copyright infringement cases and expose the authors of hideous crimes. In this paper, we focus on the problem of camera model identification for video sequences, that is, given a video under analysis, detecting the camera model used for its acquisition. To this purpose, we develop two different CNN-based camera model identification methods, working in a novel multi-modal scenario. Differently from mono-modal methods, which use only the visual or audio information from the investigated video to tackle the identification task, the proposed multi-modal methods jointly exploit audio and visual information. We test our proposed methodologies on the well-known Vision dataset, which collects almost 2000 video sequences belonging to different devices. Experiments are performed, considering native videos directly acquired by their acquisition devices and videos uploaded on social media platforms, such as YouTube and WhatsApp. The achieved results show that the proposed multi-modal approaches significantly outperform their mono-modal counterparts, representing a valuable strategy for the tackled problem and opening future research to even more challenging scenarios.
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BACKGROUND & AIMS: Longevity also carries its dark side of age-related chronic diseases, dementia being one of the worst and the most prevalent. Since dementia lacks effective treatments, preventing or delaying it is highly desirable. Dietary habits and nutrition have been found to be important modifiable risk factors for many chronic diseases, but evidence on the role of diet on the risk of dementia is still limited, particularly among the very old. Aim of the present work is to study the association of the Mediterranean diet and its components with prevalent and incident dementia in the oldest-old. METHODS: We analyzed data from the Monzino 80-plus study, a population-based study in subjects 80 years or older in the Varese province, Italy. A validated food frequency questionnaire was used to collect information on 23 different foods consumed in the previous year. A Mediterranean diet score was calculated and its components were classified into tertiles. Multivariable models for dementia prevalence and incidence were adjusted for demographic and clinical characteristics. RESULTS: Information on nutrition was available for 1390 subjects in the cross-sectional study and 512 subjects in the longitudinal study, mean respective ages 93 and 92. Greater adherence to Mediterranean diet, greater consumption of eggs, fruits and vegetables, carbohydrates, and greater food intake were associated with a lower prevalence of dementia. Increasing number of portions per week and consumption of legumes significantly decreased the incidence of dementia during the 3.6 year mean follow-up: corresponding hazard ratios of highest vs. lowest tertiles (95% confidence intervals) were 0.66 (0.46-0.95) and 0.68 (0.47-0.97), respectively. CONCLUSION: Oldest-old eating less and having diets with less variety and nutrient density were more frequent among subjects with dementia. The longitudinal analysis confirmed oldest-old subjects who eat more portions, as well as those who have a higher intake of legumes, are at decreased risk of developing dementia even though reverse causality cannot be completely ruled out.
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Demência/epidemiologia , Demência/prevenção & controle , Dieta Mediterrânea/estatística & dados numéricos , Dieta/efeitos adversos , Fidelidade a Diretrizes/estatística & dados numéricos , Idoso de 80 Anos ou mais , Estudos Transversais , Demência/etiologia , Inquéritos sobre Dietas , Feminino , Humanos , Incidência , Itália/epidemiologia , Estudos Longitudinais , Masculino , Política Nutricional , Prevalência , Fatores de RiscoRESUMO
BACKGROUND: Mild anemia is a frequent although often overlooked finding in old age. Nevertheless, in recent years anemia has been linked to several adverse outcomes in the elderly population. Objective of the study was to investigate the association of mild anemia (hemoglobin concentrations: 10.0-11.9/12.9 g/dL in women/men) with all-cause mortality over 11-15 years and the effect of change in anemia status on mortality in young-old (65-84 years) and old-old (80+ years). METHODS: The Health and Anemia and Monzino 80-plus are two door-to-door, prospective population-based studies that included residents aged 65-plus years in Biella municipality and 80-plus years in Varese province, Italy. No exclusion criteria were used. RESULTS: Among 4,494 young-old and 1,842 old-old, mortality risk over 15/11 years was significantly higher in individuals with mild anemia compared with those without (young-old: fully-adjusted HR: 1.35, 95%CI, 1.15-1.58; old-old: fully-adjusted HR: 1.28, 95%CI, 1.14-1.44). Results were similar in the disease-free subpopulation (age, sex, education, smoking history, and alcohol consumption adjusted HR: 1.54, 95%CI, 1.02-2.34). Both age groups showed a dose-response relationship between anemia severity and mortality (P for trend <0.0001). Mortality risk was significantly associated with chronic disease and chronic kidney disease mild anemia in both age groups, and with vitamin B12/folate deficiency and unexplained mild anemia in young-old. In participants with two hemoglobin determinations, seven-year mortality risk was significantly higher in incident and persistent anemic cases compared to constant non-anemic individuals in both age groups. In participants without anemia at baseline also hemoglobin decline was significantly associated with an increased mortality risk over seven years in both young-old and old-old. Limited to the Monzino 80-plus study, the association remained significant also when the risk was further adjusted also for time-varying covariates and time-varying anemia status over time. CONCLUSIONS: Findings from these two large prospective population-based studies consistently suggest an independent, long-term impact of mild anemia on survival at older ages.
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Anemia , Idoso , Idoso de 80 Anos ou mais , Hemoglobinas , Humanos , Pessoa de Meia-Idade , Estudos ProspectivosAssuntos
Fragilidade , Insuficiência Cardíaca , Humanos , Idoso , Readmissão do Paciente , Biologia Computacional , Idoso FragilizadoRESUMO
STUDY OBJECTIVE: This study investigated in a large sample of in-patients the impact of mild-moderate-severe anaemia on clinical outcomes such as in-hospital mortality, re-admission, and death within three months after discharge. METHODS: A prospective multicentre observational study, involving older people admitted to 87 internal medicine and geriatric wards, was done in Italy between 2010 and 2012. The main clinical/laboratory data were obtained on admission and discharge. Based on haemoglobin (Hb), subjects were classified in three groups: group 1 with normal Hb, (reference group), group 2 with mildly reduced Hb (10.0-11.9g/dL in women; 10.0-12.9g/dL in men) and group 3 with moderately-severely reduced Hb (<10g/dL in women and men). RESULTS: Patients (2678; mean age 79.2±7.4y) with anaemia (54.7%) were older, with greater functional impairment and more comorbidity. Multivariable analysis showed that mild but not moderate-severe anaemia was associated with a higher risk of hospital re-admission within three months (group 2: OR=1.62; 95%CI 1.21-2.17). Anaemia failed to predict in-hospital mortality, while a higher risk of dying within three months was associated with the degree of Hb reduction on admission (group 2: OR=1.82;95%CI 1.25-2.67; group 3: OR=2.78;95%CI 1.82-4.26) and discharge (group 2: OR=2.37;95%CI 1.48-3.93; group 3: OR=3.70;95%CI 2.14-6.52). Normocytic and macrocytic, but not microcytic anaemia, were associated with adverse clinical outcomes. CONCLUSIONS: Mild anaemia predicted hospital re-admission of older in-patients, while three-month mortality risk increased proportionally with anaemia severity. Type and severity of anaemia affected hospital re-admission and mortality, the worst prognosis being associated with normocytic and macrocytic anaemia.
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Anemia/epidemiologia , Hemoglobinas/metabolismo , Hospitalização/tendências , Idoso , Anemia/sangue , Anemia/diagnóstico , Feminino , Mortalidade Hospitalar/tendências , Humanos , Incidência , Itália/epidemiologia , Masculino , Pessoa de Meia-Idade , Prognóstico , Estudos ProspectivosRESUMO
BACKGROUND: Kidney function declines considerably with age, but little is known about its clinical significance in the oldest-old. OBJECTIVES: To study the association between reduced glomerular filtration rate (GFR) estimated according to five equations with mortality in the oldest-old. DESIGN: Prospective population-based study. SETTING: Municipality of Biella, Piedmont, Italy. PARTICIPANTS: 700 subjects aged 85 and older participating in the "Health and Anemia" Study in 2007-2008. MEASUREMENTS: GFR was estimated using five creatinine-based equations: the Cockcroft-Gault (C-G), Modification of Diet in Renal Disease (MDRD), MAYO Clinic, Chronic Kidney Disease Epidemiology Collaboration (CKD-EPI) and Berlin Initiative Study-1 (BIS-1). Survival analysis was used to study mortality in subjects with reduced eGFR (<60 mL/min/1.73 m(2)) compared to subjects with eGFR ≥ 60 mL/min/1.73 m(2). RESULTS: Prevalence of reduced GFR was 90.7% with the C-G, 48.1% with MDRD, 23.3% with MAYO, 53.6% with CKD-EPI and 84.4% with BIS-1. After adjustment for confounders, two-year mortality was significantly increased in subjects with reduced eGFR using BIS-1 and C-G equations (adjusted HRs: 2.88 and 3.30, respectively). Five-year mortality was significantly increased in subjects with eGFR <60 mL/min/1.73 m(2) using MAYO, CKD-EPI and, in a graduated fashion in reduced eGFR categories, MDRD. After 5 years, oldest old with an eGFR <30 mL/min/1.73 m(2) showed a significantly higher risk of death whichever equation was used (adjusted HRs between 2.04 and 2.70). CONCLUSION: In the oldest old, prevalence of reduced eGFR varies noticeably depending on the equation used. In this population, risk of mortality was significantly higher for reduced GFR estimated with the BIS-1 and C-G equations over the short term. Though after five years the MDRD appeared on the whole a more consistent predictor, differences in mortality prediction among equations over the long term were less apparent. Noteworthy, subjects with a severely reduced GFR were consistently at higher risk of death regardless of the equation used to estimate GFR.
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Anemia/mortalidade , Anemia/fisiopatologia , Taxa de Filtração Glomerular , Insuficiência Renal Crônica/mortalidade , Insuficiência Renal Crônica/fisiopatologia , Idoso de 80 Anos ou mais , Feminino , Humanos , Itália/epidemiologia , Masculino , Valor Preditivo dos Testes , Prevalência , Fatores de RiscoRESUMO
A multicenter observational study, REPOSI (REgistro POliterapie Società Italiana di Medicina Interna), was conducted to assess the prognostic value of glomerular filtration rate (eGFR) on in-hospital mortality, hospital re-admission and death within 3 months, in a sample of elderly patients (n = 1,363) admitted to 66 internal medicine and geriatric wards. Based on eGFR, calculated by the new Chronic Kidney Disease Epidemiology Collaboration (CKD-EPI) formula, subjects at hospital admission were classified into three groups: group 1 with normal eGFR (≥60 ml/min/1.73 m(2), reference group), group 2 with moderately reduced eGFR (30-59 ml/min/1.73 m(2)) and group 3 with severely reduced eGFR (<30 ml/min/1.73 m(2)). Patients with the lowest eGFR (group 3) on admission were more likely to be older, to have a greater cognitive and functional impairment and a high rate of comorbidities. Multivariable logistic regression analysis showed that severely reduced eGFR at the time of admission was associated with in-hospital mortality (OR 3.00; 95% CI 1.20-7.39, p = 0.0230), but not with re-hospitalization (OR 0.97; 95% CI 0.54-1.76, p = 0.9156) or mortality at 3 months after discharge (OR 1.93; 95% CI 0.92-4.04, p = 0.1582). On the contrary, an increased risk (OR 2.60; 95% CI 1.13-5.98, p = 0.0813) to die within 3 months after discharge was associated with decreased eGFR measured at the time of discharge. Our study demonstrates that severely reduced eGFRs in elderly patients admitted to hospital are strong predictors of the risk of dying during hospitalization, and that this measurement at the time of discharge helps to predict early death after hospitalization.