Control of Diabetes Mellitus and Long-Term Prognosis in Stroke Patients: The Shiga Stroke and Heart Attack Registry.

BACKGROUND: The relationship between diabetes control status and long-term prognosis after stroke incidence remains unclear. This study aimed to investigate the effect of diabetes status at admission on long-term survival in patients with first-ever stroke. METHODS: A retrospective cohort study was conducted based on the Shiga Stroke and Heart Attack Registry in Japan. Patients were classified according to their diabetes status and glycated hemoglobin (HbA1c) value at hospital admission into the following: (1) free of diabetes (no history of diabetes and HbA1c <6.5%); (2) good control (history of diabetes and HbA1c <7%; free of history and 6.5% ≤HbA1c <7%); and (3) poor control (with or without a history of diabetes and HbA1c ≥7%). Multivariable Cox regression models were used to evaluate the association between diabetes status and long-term survival from stroke onset. Additionally, we also evaluated the association between diabetes status and conditional survival, beginning 29 days after stroke onset. RESULTS: A total of 6,331 first-ever stroke patients were eligible for this study. Among study patients, the mean (±SD) age was 72.85 ± 13.19 years, and the mean (±SD) follow-up year was 2.76 ± 1.66 years; additionally, 42.09% of patients were women. Among patients with all strokes, considering the free-of-diabetes group as the reference group, the adjusted hazard ratio (95% confidence interval) for mortality was 1.26 (1.10, 1.44) in the good control group and 1.22 (1.05, 1.41) in the poor control group. Among patients with ischemic stroke, the adjusted hazard ratio was 1.24 (1.06, 1.46) in good control group and 1.27 (1.08, 1.50) in poor control group. After excluding patients who died within 28 days, the adjusted hazard ratio for conditional mortality in the poor control group was 1.31 (1.12, 1.54) among all stroke patients and 1.29 (1.08, 1.54) among ischemic stroke patients. No significant associations were observed between diabetic status and long-term mortality in intracerebral hemorrhage patients. CONCLUSIONS: The findings suggest that first-ever stroke patients with diabetes exhibited a higher risk of all-cause mortality than those without diabetes, particularly in the overall stroke and ischemic stroke populations. Additionally, in stroke populations after 28 days of onset, high risk of long-term mortality was stated in stroke patients with poor HbA1c control.

Association between visceral fat accumulation and decline in the estimated glomerular filtration rate based on cystatin C in the Japanese urban population: the KOBE study.

Although metabolic syndrome, including visceral fat accumulation, causes kidney and cardiovascular diseases, the impact of visceral fat accumulation on mild decreased renal function remains unclear. This study examines the association between visceral fat area (VFA) measured by bioimpedance methods and the estimated glomerular filtration rate based on serum cystatin C (eGFRcys) in the Japanese urban population. This community-based cross-sectional study enrolled 952 individuals (287 men, 665 women) who participated in the second follow-up survey of the Kobe Orthopedic and Biomedical Epidemiological (KOBE) study. We compared the multivariate-adjusted means of eGFRcys among VFA quartile groups by gender using the analysis of covariance. Models were adjusted for age, high blood pressure, hypercholesterolemia, glucose intolerance, smoking, and alcohol use, and further adjusted for body mass index (BMI). The highest VFA quartile group had lower eGFRcys than the lowest VFA quartile group after adjusted for cardiometabolic risk factors, except for BMI (93.1 [95% confidence interval (CI), 90.1-96.2] vs. 82.1 [95% CI, 79.1-85.0] in men and 95.8 [95% CI, 94.1-97.5] vs. 89.4 [95% CI, 87.8-90.9] in women). Moreover, further adjustment for BMI revealed a similar result in men (93.5 [95% CI, 89.8-97.2] vs. 81.6 [95% CI, 77.9-85.3]), while no significant association was found in women. This study suggests a significant association between increased VFA levels and lower eGFRcys levels independent of cardiometabolic risk factors, such as glucose intolerance and hypercholesterolemia in men and women, as well as independent of BMI in men.

Determinants of double product: a cross-sectional study of urban residents in Japan.

BACKGROUND: The current study aimed to investigate the determinants of high double product (DP) by evaluating the association between resting DP, which is calculated as systolic blood pressure (SBP) multiplied by heart rate (HR), and blood test results and lifestyle factors. METHODS: This research included 973 participants in the baseline survey of the KOBE study, which included a cohort of urban residents. The possible DP determinants were identified by examining the association between lifestyle factors and laboratory findings and DP by analyzing covariance adjusted for sex and age. Logistic regression analysis was performed with high DP (SBP × HR ≥ 9145 mmHg beats/min or quintile according to sex) as outcome and DP determinants as independent variables. RESULTS: Age, hematocrit, and gamma-glutamyl transferase (log) level were positively associated with a high DP in both men and women. In addition, a high DP was positively associated with Homeostatic Model Assessment for Insulin Resistance score in women alone. Meanwhile, the amount of exercise was negatively associated with a high DP in men alone. CONCLUSIONS: High DP values at rest were associated with insulin resistance, gamma-glutamyl transferase, and the amount of exercise in participants without underlying disease.

[Determinants of salt taste threshold among urban residents: the KOBE study].

Objectives　Though having a high salt taste threshold has been associated with hypertension, its exact determinants remains unclear. This study aimed to identify the determinants of salt taste threshold in a community-based population and to determine the relationship between salt taste thresholds and the simultaneous presence of multiple determinants.Methods　Of the 1,117 participants of the baseline survey of the Kobe study, a cohort study of healthy urban residents, aged 40-74 years, with no history of cancer or cardiovascular diseases, nor undergoing treatment for hypertension, diabetes, or dyslipidemia, was conducted. Among them, 1,116 underwent the salt taste threshold test, and urine samples were collected to determine their estimated salt intake. The salt taste threshold test was carried out using SALSAVE®, with a salt taste threshold of 0.6% defined as normal, and that of 0.8% or more defined as high. A binomial logistic regression model was used, with high salt taste threshold as the objective variable, and life and family status, education, smoking and alcohol drinking status, intake status of salt dried fish, stress indicators, and daily salt intake (estimated from the urine sample) as the explanatory variables. A binomial logistic regression analysis was conducted, through multivariate analysis using the forced entry method, with factors influencing salt taste threshold as explanatory variables, and salt taste threshold (normal/high) as the objective variable. This analysis was performed excluding the urinary sodium-to-potassium ratio to account for multicollinearity with the estimated daily salt intake.Results　The mean age was 60.9±9.0 years for men, and 58.0±8.7 years for women. The salt taste threshold was normal in 80.9% (n=903) of the participants (73.6% [n=251] men and 84.1% [n=652] women), and high in 19.1% (n=213) of the participants (26.3% [n=90] men and 15.9% [n=123] women). Multivariate analysis revealed that smoking habits were significantly associated with a higher salt taste threshold, with an odds ratio (95% confidence interval) of 2.51 (1.33-4.74) for all participants. The odds ratio for a high salt taste threshold was 1.45 (1.03-2.03) for the top 25% estimated daily salt intake group, showing a significant association with a high salt taste threshold. In the analysis by sex, smoking habits were associated with higher salt taste thresholds, while an association with estimated daily salt intake was observed only in men.Conclusion　Smoking status and estimated daily salt intake were associated with higher salt taste thresholds in healthy urban residents.

Seasonal Variation in Incidence of Stroke in a General Population of 1.4 Million Japanese: The Shiga Stroke Registry.

INTRODUCTION: The purpose of this study was to investigate seasonal variation in stroke incidence using data from a large-scale stroke registry of general population in current Japan. METHODS: Shiga Stroke Registry (SSR) is an ongoing population-based registry of stroke that occurred in the Shiga Prefecture in central Honshu, Japan. A total 6,688 cases of first-ever stroke, with onset dates ranging from 1 January 2011 to 31 December in 2013 were included in this study. Incidence rates of first-ever stroke in each season were estimated using the person-year approach and adjusted for age and sex using the Poisson regression models. RESULTS: From 2011 to 2013, we identified a total of 6,688 stroke cases (3,570 men, 3,118 women), of which 4,480 cases had ischemic stroke (2,518 men, 1,962 women), 1,588 had intracerebral hemorrhage (857 men, 731 women) and 563 had subarachnoid hemorrhage (166 men, 397 women). Age- and sex-adjusted incidence rates of total stroke were 151 (95% confidence interval [CI] 144-160, p = <0.001 vs. summer) in spring, 130 (95% CI 122-137) in summer, 141 (95% CI 133-149, p = 0.020 vs. summer) in autumn and 170 (95% CI 161-179, p = <0.001 vs. summer) in winter. Seasonal variation was more pronounced in intracerebral hemorrhage than in ischemic stroke. CONCLUSION: In the present large-scale stroke registry of general population, incidence rates of stroke were highest in winter and lowest in summer in current Japan.

Risk Factors That Most Accurately Predict Coronary Artery Disease Based on the Duration of Follow-up　- NIPPON DATA80.

BACKGROUND: This study assessed sex-specific time-associated changes in the impact of risk factors on coronary artery disease (CAD) mortality in a general population over long-term follow-up.Methods and Results:A prospective longitudinal cohort study was conducted on representative Japanese populations followed up for 29 years. Data from 8,396 participants (3,745 men, 4,651 women) were analyzed. The sex-specific multivariable adjusted hazard ratios (HRs) and 95% confidence intervals (CIs) of 4 risk factors (smoking, diabetes, serum total cholesterol [TC], and systolic blood pressure [SBP]) for CAD mortality were calculated at baseline and at 10, 15, 20, 25, and 29 years of follow-up. In men, smoking (HR 3.23; 95% CI 1.16-9.02) and a 1-SD increase in TC (HR 1.82; 95% CI 1.29-2.57) were strongly associated with a higher risk of CAD in the first 10 years, but this association decreased over time. Diabetes (HR 2.30; 95% CI 1.37-3.85) and a 1-SD increase in SBP (HR 1.23; 95% CI 1.00-1.50) were strongly correlated with a higher risk of CAD after 29 years). In women, diabetes was correlated with CAD after 20 years (HR 2.53; 95% CI 1.19-5.36) and this correlation persisted until after 29 years (HR 2.47; 95% CI 1.40-4.35). CONCLUSIONS: The duration of follow-up needed for the accurate assessment of risk factors for CAD mortality varies according to risk factor and sex.

Association between socioeconomic status and prolonged television viewing time in a general Japanese population: NIPPON DATA2010.

BACKGROUND: It has been pointed out that prolonged television (TV) viewing is one of the sedentary behaviors that is harmful to health; however, the association between socioeconomic status (SES) and prolonged TV viewing time has not been sufficiently investigated in Japan. METHODS: The study population are the participants of NIPPON DATA2010, which is a prospective cohort study of the National Health and Nutrition Survey 2010 in Japan. They were residents in 300 randomly selected areas across Japan. This study included 2752 adults. SES was classified according to the employment status, educational attainment, living status, and equivalent household expenditure (EHE). Prolonged TV viewing time was defined as more than or equal to 4 h of TV viewing per day. Multivariable logistic regression analyses were conducted to examine the association of SES with prolonged TV viewing time. RESULTS: The mean TV viewing time was 2.92 h in all participants. Of 2752 participants, 809 (29.4%) prolonged TV viewing, and the mean TV viewing time of them was 5.61 h. The mean TV viewing time in participants without prolonged TV viewing time was 1.81 h. The mean TV viewing time was prolonged as age classes increased and significantly longer in aged ≥60 years. Prolonged TV viewing time was associated with not working for all age classes and sexes. Only among women, education attainment and living status were also associated with prolonged TV viewing time. For education attainment, the lower the received years of education, the higher odds ratios (OR) of prolonged TV viewing time. For living status, in women aged <60 years, living with others had a significantly higher OR compared to living with spouse. On the other hand, in women aged ≥60 years, living alone had a significantly higher OR. EHE did not have any significant associations with prolonged TV viewing time. CONCLUSIONS: In a general Japanese population, it should be noted that the association between SES and prolonged TV viewing time differed by age and sex. Particularly, it must draw attention to the prolonged TV viewing in elderly. The intervention in order to shorten TV viewing time needs to consider these attributes.

[The search for a predictor of deterioration of the nonspecific stress index K6 among urban residents: The KOBE study].

Objective　To explore health-related and socioeconomic factors that can predict future deterioration in Psychological Distress Scale (K6) scores.Method　We conducted a baseline (2010, 2011) self-administered questionnaire survey of the Kobe Orthopedic and Biomedical Epidemiological study (KOBE study) involving 1,117 participants who had no previous history of cancer or cardiovascular diseases and were not under treatment for hypertension, diabetes, or dyslipidemia. We used the Japanese K6 as an indicator of stress and defined K6≧5 points as a high-stress group and K6<5 points as a low-stress group. A four-year follow-up survey (2014, 2015) was conducted on 1,004 people (follow-up rate of 90%). We excluded 39 participants with missing values, and 185 people whose K6 score was higher than 5 points at baseline. A final total of 780 participants' scores were examined for: gender, age, living situation, physical activity level, average sleep time, as well as the K6 score, the Japanese Hearing Handicap Inventory for Elderly (HHIE-S), and the Japanese Oswestry Disability Index (ODI). We conducted a logistic regression analysis using K6≧5 points at the four-year follow-up survey as the dependent variable and each factor at the baseline survey as the independent variable.Results　Of the 780 subjects analyzed, 132 (16.9%) were highly stressed (K6≧5 points) at the four-year follow-up point. A logistic regression analysis found age (40s/70s) (odds ratio 3.38, 95% confidence interval 1.45-7.86), living situation (single/living together) (odds ratio 1.98, 95% confidence interval 1.07-3.68), and ODI scores (every 1%) (odds ratio 1.05, 95% confidence interval 1.01-1.09), to all be significantly associated with high stress.Conclusion　This study suggests that age, living situation, and ODI scores are related to future stress.

[Association of the combined estimated 24-h urinary Na/K ratio and body mass index with blood pressure: Cross-sectional data from the KOBE study].

Objective　Several studies have suggested that high dietary Na/K ratio and body mass index (BMI) increase the prevalence of hypertension. However, there have been a few reports on the combination of these two factors and their relationship with hypertension. This study aimed to examine the association of the combined estimated 24-h urinary Na/K ratio (24h-u-Na/K) (high or low) and BMI (high or low) with the risk of high blood pressure.Method　We performed a cross-sectional study involving 1,112 participants (340 men and 772 women) of the Kobe Orthopedic and Biomedical Epidemiological study (KOBE study) who had no cardiovascular diseases or current anti-hypertensive medications. Sex-specific analyses were performed. The 24h-u-Na/K ratio was calculated from an estimation formula using collected spot urine. Participants were divided into four groups based on their 24h-u-Na/K ratio (low or high) and BMI (low or high), with the cutoff points being the median and 25 kg/m2, respectively.　Participants with systolic blood pressure (SBP) ≥130 mmHg or diastolic blood pressure (DBP) ≥80 mmHg were diagnosed with high blood pressure. Odds ratios (ORs) for high blood pressure according to the combined risks of high 24h-u-Na/K and BMI were examined with a logistic regression analysis.Results　The average SBP/DBP for men and women was 122.7/77.9 and 113.3/69.1 mmHg, respectively, and prevalence of high blood pressure among men and women was 47.4% and 21.3%, respectively. The mean BMI was 22.8 kg/m2 for men and 20.9 kg/m2 for women. The median 24h-u-Na/K was 3.2 for men and 3.1 for women. The prevalence of high blood pressure (men, women) was the highest in the group in which both 24h-u-Na/K and BMI were high (60.0%, 62.9%; men: P=0.273; women: P<0.001). In the same group, the multivariate-adjusted ORs for high blood pressure were significantly higher for both men (2.59; 95% confidence interval [CI]: 1.15-5.86) and women (10.78; 95% CI: 4.87-23.88) compared to the reference group with both factors classified as low. Women with low BMI but high 24h-u-Na/K also demonstrated a higher risk for high blood pressure (OR: 1.62; 95% CI: 1.10-2.40).Conclusion　The risk of high blood pressure was the highest when both BMI and 24h-u-Na/K were high. The current specific healthcare guidance in Japan is focused on obese individuals. However, in order to prevent hypertension more effectively, additional focus should be placed on the Na/K diet. Increased intake of vegetables and fruits and reduced intake of salt should be strongly recommended.

Daily Habit of Water Intake in Patients with Cerebral Infarction before its Onset; Comparison with a Healthy Population: A Cross-Sectional Study.

BACKGROUND: While water intake is frequently recommended to prevent cerebral infarction (CI), only few studies have been published on this topic. OBJECTIVES: This study retrospectively estimated the daily non-alcohol drink (NAD) intake in CI patients before CI onset and compared it with NAD in healthy subjects. METHODS: We performed a cross-sectional study on CI patients in 3 hospitals and healthy subjects in the Kobe Orthopedic and Biomedical Epidemiologic (KOBE) study. Data from 1,287 subjects (274 CI patients and 1,013 healthy subjects) were used for the analyses. By dividing the CI patients into "increased", "unchanged", and "decreased" groups according to their current NAD intake, we compared the NAD intake between these 3 groups and healthy subjects by analyses of covariance and the post hoc test, adjusting for sex, age, surveyed month, body mass index, alcohol drinking history, and smoking history. Under the assumption that the NAD intake in the "unchanged" group was equal to the NAD intake before CI onset, the OR of less NAD intake for CI adjusting for the relevant variables in the "unchanged" group and the healthy subjects was calculated; the cut-off point was chosen using Youden's index. RESULTS: The mean age (mean ± SD) of the participants was 62.8 ± 9.3 years. One hundred and fifty-one patients (36 women) were included in the "increased" group; 105 (30 women), in the "unchanged" group; 18 (2 women), in the "decreased" group; and 1,013 (706 women), in the "healthy" group. The mean NAD intake was 1,702.5 ± 670.2 mL in the "increased" group, 1,494.2 ± 611.2 mL in the "unchanged" group, 1,268.0 ± 596.1 mL in the "decreased" group, and 1,720.6 ± 686.0 mL in the "healthy" group. After adjusting for the relevant variables, a significant difference in NAD intake between the groups was observed (F = 6.1, p < 0.001), and a post hoc test demonstrated significant differences (p < 0.05) in NAD intake between the "healthy" and "unchanged" groups, and between the "increased" and "unchanged" groups. The OR of less NAD intake (<1,570 mL/day, chosen using Youden's index) for CI was 2.48 (95% CI 1.52-4.07). CONCLUSION: This study showed that daily NAD intake before CI onset in CI patients was less than that in healthy persons, indicating that sufficient intake of NAD may be protective for CI.

Higher serum uric acid level is inversely associated with renal function assessed by cystatin C in a Japanese general population without chronic kidney disease: the KOBE study.

BACKGROUND: Although several epidemiological studies have suggested that high serum uric acid (SUA) levels are related to a decline in kidney function, only a few studies have investigated using cystatin C to calculate estimated glomerular filtration rate (eGFR). We aimed to clarify the relationship between SUA levels and kidney function assessed by cystatin C in a Japanese general community population without chronic kidney disease (CKD). METHODS: We conducted a community-based cross-sectional study that included 1086 healthy participants, aged 40-74 years, without CKD and not undergoing treatment of hyperuricemia, who had participated in the baseline survey of the Kobe Orthopedic and Biomedical Epidemiological (KOBE) study. The preconditions for participation in this study were no past histories of cardiovascular disease or cancer, and not undergoing treatment for diabetes, hypertension, or dyslipidemia. We classified the participants into quartiles stratified by sex according to their SUA level and then examined the relationship with eGFR. The odds ratios for having a low eGFR, defined as the lowest quartile of eGFR (i.e., ≤78.4 mL/min/1. 73m2) was estimated according to SUA quartiles (men, Q1 ≤ 5.0, Q2 5.1-5.9, Q3 6.0-6.6, and Q4 ≥ 6.7; women, Q1 ≤ 3.8, Q2 3.9-4.3, Q3 4.4-4.9, and Q4 ≥ 5.0 mg/dL) after adjustment for age, body mass index, systolic blood pressure, HbA1c, high and low density lipoprotein cholesterol, and smoking and drinking habits. The adjusted mean of each quartile was also calculated. RESULTS: Multivariable-adjusted means of eGFR showed a graded decrease in higher SUA quartiles (men, Q1 90.5, Q2 88.0, Q3 83.5, and Q4 82.0; women, Q1 95.7, Q2 91.3, Q3 89.2, and Q4 86.7). In addition, the multivariable-adjusted odds ratios for having a lower eGFR (95% confidence interval) for each SUA quartile compared with Q1 was Q2 2.29 (0.98, 5.35), Q3 4.94 (2.04, 11.97), and Q4 8.01 (3.20, 20.04) for men, and was Q2 2.20 (1.12, 4.32), Q3 2.68 (1.39, 5.20), and Q4 4.96 (2.62, 9.41) for women. CONCLUSIONS: There was a graded inverse relationship between mild elevations in SUA levels and eGFR assessed by cystatin C in an apparently healthy Japanese population without CKD. This association was similar in both men and women.

Socioeconomic and lifestyle factors associated with depressive tendencies in general Japanese men and women: NIPPON DATA2010.

BACKGROUND: The gender-specific characteristics of individuals at an increased risk of developing depression currently remain unclear despite a higher prevalence of depression in women than in men. This study clarified socioeconomic and lifestyle factors associated with an increased risk of subclinical depression in general Japanese men and women. METHODS: Study participants were residents not receiving psychiatric treatments in 300 sites throughout Japan in 2010 (1152 men, 1529 women). Multivariable-adjusted odds ratios (OR) and 95% confidence intervals (95%CIs) for socioeconomic factors and lifestyle factors were calculated using a logistic regression analysis. RESULTS: Risk of depressive tendencies was significantly higher in men who were single and living alone (OR, 3.27; 95% CI, 1.56-6.88) than those married. The risk was significantly lower in women who were not working and aged ≥ 60 years (OR, 0.39; 95% CI, 0.22-0.68) and higher in men who were not working and aged < 60 years (OR, 3.57; 95%CI, 1.31-9.72) compared with those who were working. Current smoking was also associated with a significantly increased risk of depressive tendencies in women (OR, 2.96; 95% CI, 1.68-5.22) but not in men. CONCLUSIONS: Socioeconomic and lifestyle factors were associated with an increased risk of depressive tendencies in general Japanese. Related factors were different by sex.

Two-Year Survival After First-Ever Stroke in a General Population of 1.4 Million Japanese　- Shiga Stroke Registry.

BACKGROUND: Stroke is one of the leading causes of disability and mortality in Japan. The aim of the present analysis was to determine the non-acute survival rate after first-ever stroke using data from a large-scale population-based stroke registry in Japan. Methods and Results: Shiga Stroke Registry is an ongoing population-based registry of stroke, which covers approximately 1.4 million residents of Shiga Prefecture in central Japan. A total of 2,176 first-ever stroke patients, who were registered in 2011, were followed up until December 2013. The 2-year cumulative survival rates were estimated using Kaplan-Meier method according to index stroke subtype. Cox proportional hazards models were used to assess predictors of all-cause death. During a 2-year follow-up period, 663 patients (30.5%) died. The 2-year cumulative survival rate after first-ever stroke was 69.5%. There was heterogeneity in 2-year cumulative survival according to stroke subtype: lacunar infarction, 87.2%; large artery infarction, 76.1%; cardioembolic infarction, 55.4%; intracerebral hemorrhage, 65.9%; and subarachnoid hemorrhage, 56.7%. Older age, male sex, medical history, higher Japan coma scale score on admission, and stroke subtype were associated with risk of all-cause death in ≤2 years. CONCLUSIONS: In the present population-based stroke registry with a real-world setting in Japan, 2-year cumulative mortality after first-ever stroke is still high (>30%), particularly for cardioembolic infarction, subarachnoid hemorrhage and intracerebral hemorrhage.

Fatty liver index predicts incident diabetes in a Japanese general population with and without impaired fasting glucose.

AIM: Fatty liver is associated with the development of diabetes. However, to our knowledge, no study has examined the relationship between the fatty liver index (FLI), calculated scores of hepatic steatosis, and the development of diabetes among individuals without impaired fasting glucose (IFG). We aimed to examine whether FLI predicts the development of diabetes in individuals with and without IFG in a Japanese general population. METHODS: We selected 1498 men and 2941 women who participated in Specific Health Checkups in Japan. We divided all participants into six groups according to tertiles of FLI (low, moderate, and high) and the presence or absence of IFG, by sex. We calculated hazard ratios for incident diabetes for each group using a Cox proportional hazard model, adjusting for potential confounders. RESULTS: During a mean follow-up period of 3.0 years, 176 cases of diabetes in men and 320 cases in women were identified. Compared with the low FLI group without IFG, the high FLI group without IFG was significantly associated with incident diabetes in both men (hazard ratio, 1.90; 95% confidence interval, 1.08-3.36) and women (hazard ratio, 1.72; 95% confidence interval, 1.18-2.51). All IFG groups were significantly associated with incident diabetes regardless of FLI levels. CONCLUSIONS: Our results showed that FLI is associated with the development of diabetes regardless of sex and the presence or absence of IFG, and that it may be a useful predictor of future risk of incident diabetes even in individuals without IFG.

The JAGUAR Score Predicts 1-Month Disability/Death in Ischemic Stroke Patient Ineligible for Recanalization Therapy.

BACKGROUND AND PURPOSE: Most available scoring system to predict outcome after acute ischemic stroke (AIS) were established in Western countries. We aimed to develop a simple prediction score of 1-month severe disability/death after onset in AIS patients ineligible for recanalization therapy based on readily and widely obtainable on-admission clinical, laboratory and radiological examinations in Asian developing countries. METHODS: Using the Shiga Stroke Registry, a large population-based registry in Japan, multivariable logistic regression analysis was conducted in 1617 AIS patients ineligible for recanalization therapy to yield ß-coefficients of significant predictors of 1-month modified Rankin Scale score of 5-6, which were then multiplied by a specific constant and rounded to nearest integer to develop 0-10 points system. Model discrimination and calibration were evaluated in the original and bootstrapped population. RESULTS: Japan Coma Scale score (J), age (A), random glucose (G), untimely onset-to-arrival time (U), atrial fibrillation (A), and preadmission dependency status according to the modified Rankin Scale score (R), were recognized as independent predictors of outcome. Each of their ß-coefficients was multiplied by 1.3 creating the JAGUAR score. Its area under the curve (95% confidence interval) was .901 (.880- .922) and .901 (.900- .901) in the original and bootstrapped population, respectively. It was found to have good calibration in both study population (P = .27). CONCLUSIONS: The JAGUAR score can be an important prediction tool of severe disability/death in AIS patients ineligible for recanalization therapy that can be applied on admission with no complicated calculation and multimodal neuroimaging necessary, thus suitable for Asian developing countries.

Incidence, Management and Short-Term Outcome of Stroke in a General Population of 1.4 Million Japanese　- Shiga Stroke Registry.

BACKGROUND: This study determined the current status of the incidence, management, and prognosis of stroke in Japan using a population-based stroke registry.Methods and Results:Shiga Stroke Registry is an ongoing population-based registry that covers approximately 1.4 million residents of Shiga Prefecture. Cases of acute stroke were identified using standard definitions through surveillance of both all acute-care hospitals with neurology/neurosurgery facilities and death certificates in 2011. A total of 2,956 stroke cases and 2,176 first-ever stroke cases were identified. The age- and sex-adjusted incidence rate for first-ever stroke using the 2013 European Standard Population as standard was per 100,000 person-years: 91.3 for ischemic stroke, 36.4 for intracerebral hemorrhage, and 13.7 for subarachnoid hemorrhage. It was estimated that approximately 220,000 new strokes occurred in 2011 in Japan. Among the 2,956 cases, most stroke patients underwent neuroimaging, 268 received surgical or endovascular treatment, and 2,158 had rehabilitation therapy; 78 patients received intravenous thrombolysis. A total of 1,846 stroke patients had died or were dependent at hospital discharge, and 390 died within 28 days of onset. CONCLUSIONS: Incidence rates of stroke by subtypes were clarified and the total number of new strokes in Japan was estimated. More than half of stroke patients die or become dependent after a stroke. This study re-emphasized the importance of public health measures in reducing the burden of stroke in Japan.

Risk of stroke and heart failure attributable to atrial fibrillation in middle-aged and elderly people: Results from a five-year prospective cohort study of Japanese community dwellers.

BACKGROUND: The relative and absolute risks of stroke and heart failure attributable to atrial fibrillation (AF) have not been sufficiently examined. METHODS: A prospective study of 23,731 community-dwelling Japanese individuals was conducted. Participants were divided into two groups based on the presence or absence of prevalent AF (n = 338 and n = 23,393, respectively). Excess events (EE) due to AF and relative risks (RRs) determined using the non-AF group as the reference for incident stroke and heart failure were estimated using Poisson regression stratified by age groups (middle-aged: 40-69 years old; elderly: 70 years of age or older) after adjustment for sex and age. RESULTS: There were 611 cases of stroke and 98 cases of heart failure during the observation period (131,088 person-years). AF contributed to a higher risk of stroke both in middle-aged individuals (EE 10.4 per 1000 person-years; RR 4.88; 95% confidence interval [CI], 2.88-8.29) and elderly individuals (EE 18.3 per 1000 person-years; RR 3.05; 95% CI, 2.05-4.54). AF also contributed to a higher risk of heart failure in middle-aged individuals (EE 3.7 per 1000 person-years; RR 8.18; 95% CI, 2.41-27.8) and elderly individuals (EE 15.4 per 1000 person-years; RR 7.82; 95% CI, 4.11-14.9). Results obtained from multivariate-adjusted analysis were similar (stroke: EE 8.9 per 1000 person-years; RR 4.40; 95% CI, 2.57-7.55 in middle-aged and EE 17.4 per 1000 person-years; RR 2.97; 95% CI, 1.99-4.43 in elderly individuals; heart failure: EE 3.1 per 1000 person-years; RR 7.22; 95% CI, 2.06-25.3 in middle-aged and EE 14.1 per 1000 person-years; RR 7.41; 95% CI, 3.86-14.2 in elderly individuals). CONCLUSIONS: AF increased the risk of stroke by the same magnitude as that reported previously in Western countries. AF increased the RR of heart failure more than that in Western populations.

Association between lifestyle factors assessed by standard question items of specific health checkup and the incidence of metabolic syndrome and hypertension in community dwellers: A five-year cohort study of National Health Insurance beneficiaries in Habikino City.

Objective　From April 2008, specific health checkups have been implemented to prevent metabolic syndrome (MetS) and related cardiovascular diseases based on assurance of medical care for the elderly in Japan. In its "Standard Health Checkup and Counseling Guidance Program," 22 standard question items are recommended to assess health conditions of Japanese citizens. However, there are few community-based studies to clarify the relationship between question items and new onset of high risk conditions for cardiovascular diseases such as MetS. Accordingly, we performed a 5-year follow-up study of community dwellers who participated in health checkups of National Health Insurance beneficiaries in Habikino City, Osaka.Method　Lifestyle factors assessed by standard question items in 2008 were defined as exposures at baseline survey. In the analysis of MetS, we followed-up 4,720 participants without MetS; and in the analysis of hypertension, we followed-up 3,326 participants without hypertension until the end of March in 2013. New-onset MetS or hypertension during follow-up were defined as outcomes. Cox proportional hazard model was used to evaluate the relationship between lifestyle factors and the incidence of MetS or hypertension after adjustment for age and waist circumference.Results　The median follow-up period for incidence of MetS was 3.1 years for men and 3.6 years for women. We observed 570 new cases of MetS during follow-up. For men, "taking dinner within 2 hours before going to sleep" and "body weight increase by 10 kg or greater from 20 years old" were significantly associated with MetS (hazard ratio [HR], 1.43; 95% confidence interval [CI], 1.09-1.88 and HR, 1.33; 95% CI, 1.19-1.75, respectively). Occasional consumption of alcohol in men was negatively associated with MetS. For women, "increase or decrease of body weight by 3 kg or greater within 1 year" and "body weight increase by 10 kg or greater from age of 20" were significantly associated with MetS (HR, 1.83; 95% CI, 1.40-2.40 and HR, 2.02; 95% CI, 1.52-2.68, respectively). Daily alcohol consumption from 1 to less than 2 gou (about 23 to 45 g of ethanol) in women was positively associated with MetS (HR, 2.64; 95% CI, 1.51-4.64). We observed 1,045 new cases of hypertension; however, except for daily alcohol consumption for men, no lifestyle factors were associated with incidence of hypertension.Conclusion　Most standard question items of specific health checkups did not predict new-onset MetS or hypertension, at least within 5 years. Thus, development of more predictive question items is warranted.